Opinion polling for the 2015 Finnish parliamentary election explained

In the run up to the 2015 Finnish legislative election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Finland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 17 April 2011, to the day the next election was held, on 19 April 2015.

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The table uses the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if that date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

DatePolling FirmKOKSDPPSKESKVASVIHRSFPKDOthersLead
23 Mar–15 AprTaloustutkimus16.915.116.724.08.38.84.63.52.07.1
8 Apr–12 AprTNS Gallup17.017.016.223.08.58.14.63.71.96.0
27 Mar–1 AprTietoykkönen16.217.016.623.58.48.14.34.11.86.5
25 Feb–19 MarTaloustutkimus16.116.214.624.98.58.94.53.92.48.7
16 Feb–12 MarTNS Gallup16.816.915.224.78.48.64.23.31.97.8
5–11 MarTietoykkönen17.316.416.823.58.38.24.13.61.76.2
2–24 FebTaloustutkimus16.216.815.424.98.88.84.03.31.88.1
19 Jan–12 FebTNS Gallup16.917.114.126.28.58.34.23.21.59.3
28 Jan-3 FebTietoykkönen17.816.515.325.48.27.84.03.61.47.6
29 Dec–27 JanTaloustutkimus16.317.214.826.08.28.34.23.51.58.8
15 Dec–15 JanTNS Gallup17.216.514.525.98.88.44.13.31.38.7
2014
3–27 DecTaloustutkimus17.115.313.326.88.99.43.73.91.79.7
17 Nov-12 DecTNS Gallup16.716.914.226.18.18.94.23.51.49.2
3 Nov-2 DecTaloustutkimus17.316.114.326.78.98.34.03.31.19.4
23 Nov-26 NovTietoykkönen17.715.815.726.68.48.13.12.91.78.9
21 NovTNS Gallup17.416.416.224.58.08.34.33.61.37.1
30 Sep-28 OctTaloustutkimus19.415.215.125.57.99.13.62.71.56.1
22 Sep-16 OctTNS Gallup19.416.216.122.38.78.24.23.61.32.9
10 Oct-16 OctTietoykkönen18.515.116.523.48.08.94.23.81.64.9
2 Sep-25 SepTaloustutkimus20.415.216.623.38.37.84.63.00.82.9
21 Aug-26 AugTietoykkönen20.814.716.021.39.98.44.13.11.70.5
5 Aug-28 AugTaloustutkimus21.215.817.121.38.28.13.73.41.20.1
15 Jul–12 AugTNS Gallup22.114.915.919.99.38.74.53.41.32.2
1 Jul-30 JulTaloustutkimus21.813.816.420.99.38.83.93.41.70.9
2 Jun–25 JunTaloustutkimus20.314.817.919.59.39.04.23.81.20.8
26 May–11 JunTNS Gallup20.514.917.220.39.08.54.43.91.30.2
5–27 MayTaloustutkimus20.115.018.919.58.59.34.43.21.10.6
2–29 AprTaloustutkimus20.215.817.621.08.88.24.13.70.60.8
5 Mar–1 AprTaloustutkimus20.315.517.820.97.78.74.33.51.30.6
25 Feb–22 MarTNS Gallup19.516.317.221.57.58.94.33.51.32.0
3 Feb–4 MarTaloustutkimus19.415.516.922.87.79.04.23.41.13.4
13 Jan–8 FebTNS Gallup19.216.217.022.47.68.54.23.51.43.2
1–28 JanTaloustutkimus18.715.517.823.67.58.13.83.71.34.9
2013
27 Nov–23 DecTaloustutkimus19.115.917.423.97.08.23.83.11.64.8
19 DecTNS Gallup18.016.717.523.07.97.94.43.31.35.0
30 Oct–26 NovTaloustutkimus18.315.417.224.17.49.04.13.21.35.8
7–29 OctTaloustutkimus18.116.917.423.27.68.43.93.51.05.1
23 OctTNS Gallup18.216.218.921.87.78.34.43.41.12.9
9 Sep–2 OctTaloustutkimus18.415.318.822.67.29.33.93.31.23.8
6 Aug–4 SepTaloustutkimus18.315.019.323.87.78.43.82.80.94.5
15 AugTNS Gallup18.716.318.721.97.38.24.23.51.23.2
2–31 JulTaloustutkimus18.815.618.022.87.28.44.43.61.24.0
29 May–26 JunTaloustutkimus18.416.118.621.57.59.34.03.51.12.9
29 Apr–28 MayTaloustutkimus19.216.517.421.78.08.04.13.81.32.5
4–25 AprTaloustutkimus19.216.218.619.49.09.14.23.21.10.2
11–27 MarTaloustutkimus19.818.018.418.38.59.04.13.10.81.4
11 Feb–7 MarTaloustutkimus20.818.218.117.28.28.74.33.21.32.6
7–29 JanTaloustutkimus21.918.717.717.17.98.93.93.10.83.2
2012
3–27 DecTaloustutkimus21.017.918.017.87.98.74.33.41.03.0
1–24 OctTaloustutkimus20.918.515.317.38.59.13.94.02.52.4
3–19 SepTaloustutkimus21.519.917.215.97.88.94.33.21.31.6
7–29 AugTaloustutkimus22.718.715.816.68.29.44.33.21.14.0
3 Jul–1 AugTaloustutkimus20.820.317.515.58.08.54.43.71.30.5
4–27 JunTaloustutkimus21.620.815.616.57.58.23.93.72.20.8
7–31 MayTaloustutkimus21.720.515.916.77.78.83.73.61.41.2
3–26 AprTaloustutkimus22.619.114.116.48.910.43.73.21.63.5
5–29 MarTaloustutkimus22.617.315.816.78.111.03.53.71.35.3
30 Jan–23 FebTaloustutkimus22.116.016.117.77.911.44.13.51.34.4
2–26 JanTaloustutkimus23.116.317.415.69.09.63.84.11.15.8
2011
7–28 DecTaloustutkimus22.716.419.916.28.57.63.93.61.22.8
9–17 NovTaloustutkimus24.317.619.913.97.07.94.13.91.44.4
10 Oct–3 NovTaloustutkimus24.417.121.413.17.47.74.13.71.13.0
15 Aug–13 SepTaloustutkimus23.718.621.112.68.07.43.83.61.32.6
5 Jul–10 AugTaloustutkimus21.419.822.013.27.67.43.93.41.30.6
6–29 JunTaloustutkimus21.118.123.013.88.07.24.13.11.61.9
9–31 MayTaloustutkimus21.518.820.614.37.77.64.33.81.40.9
17 Apr 2011Election Results20.419.119.115.88.17.34.34.02.31.3

Seats

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 101 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Finnish Parliament.

This article is licensed under the GNU Free Documentation License. It uses material from the Wikipedia article "Opinion polling for the 2015 Finnish parliamentary election".

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101 seats needed for majority
DatePolling FirmKOKSDPPSKESKVASVIHRSFPKDOthers
19 Apr 2015ScenariPolitici363435511515851
21 Mar 2015Accuscore343536531614921
3 Nov 2014–19 Mar 2015Taloustutkimus333531561715841
14 Mar 2015Accuscore343436551614821
26 Feb 2015Accuscore343436561614811
21 Feb 2015Accuscore353435571514811
23 Jan 2015Accuscore353336561515811
2 Jun–2 Dec 2014Taloustutkimus423137501712821