Opinion polling for the 2011 Turkish general election explained

Opinion polling has been commissioned throughout the duration of the 23rd parliamentary term and in the leadup to the 2011 election by various organisations. The sample size, margin of error and confidence interval of each poll varies by organisation and date.

Poll results

Results of several polling organisations together:

Date Organisation DSP
May 2010 SONAR[1] 31.09 32.48 18.59 4.27 3.74 3.53
June 2010 Denge[2] 42.4 27.2 11.6 6.1 4.3 –
July 2010 SONAR[3] 31.1 33.5 15.5 5.1 3.3 3.1
August 2010 Konsensus[4] 40.1 30.6 12.0 – – –
August 2010 SONAR[5] 37.23 31.2013.59 4.02 2.39 3.29
September 2010 Andy-ar[6] 44.1 25.3 10.3 5.7 5.8 –
November 2010 AKP[7] 46.8 25.0 12.7 6.0 2.0 –
December 2010 Konsensus[8] 40.9 26.0 15.6 7.5 – –
December 2010 A&G<ref>Web site: Haber, Haberler, Haber Siteleri . Net Haber . 2017-12-14 . https://web.archive.org/web/20120724132102/http://www.nethaber.com/Haber/171214/CHP-Adil-Gure-SECIM-ANKETI/ . 2012-07-24 . dead . 44.0 31.0 10.0 – – –
December 2010 ORC[9] 40.7 23.3 12.1 5.9 5.4 –
January 2011 Metropoll[10] 43.5 30.7 13.8 6.5 1.3 –
February 2011 USADEM[11] 46.70 27.40 11.21 7.65 – –
March 2011 İKSara[12] 48 28 15 4,5 1 –
March 2011 MetroPoll[13] 48.3 27.5 11.7 6.6 2 –
March 2011 Konsensus[14] 46.4 25.8 13.6 5.7 2 –
April 9, 2011 GENAR[15] 47.9 24.4 12.2 4.5 2.8 –
April 2011 ORC[16] [17] 50.1 24.5 11.7 4.0 6.1 –
April 30, 2011 GENAR[18] 48.7 25.2 11.9 6.4 - –
April 2011 İKSara[19] 46.4 30.3 13.5 5.4 1.4 –
April 2011 Marmara[20] 47.1 27.4 11.2 6.0 1.3 0.9
April 2011 AKAM[21] 41.8 25.8 15.1 6.0 3.6 –
20 May 2011 ORC[22] 49.5 25.2 11.3 5.1 6.8 –

Poll results by Andy-Ar

Results of Andy-Ar:

Date AK Party CHP MHP BDP SP DP DSP BBP HSP Others
November 2010[23] 46.4 24.7 10.2 5.9 1.4 1.2 0.8 1.1 2.9 5.4
December 2010[24] 46,8 26,1 10,6 5,9 1,7 0,9 0,5 2,6 2,8 2,1
January 2011[25] 48,3 25,2 10,6 6,9 2,2 0,5 0,3 2,1 1,1 2,8
February 2011[26] 48,8 26,2 10,4 6,8 1,6 0,4 0,4 2,6 0,9 1,9
March 2011[27] 48,2 26,8 11,2 5.8 1,2 – – 2,2 2,1 2.5
April 2011[28] 51.2 28.8 10.7 4.3 – – – – – –
May 2011[29] 52 27 10.5 7 – – – – – –

Poll results by Konsensus

Results of Konsensus Research & Consultanty:

Date AK Party CHP MHP BDP SP Others
June 201040,6 30,6 12,0 5,4 2,3 9,6
July 201041,1 29,8 12,7 6,2 3,8 6,2
August 201044,9 27,0 12,3 5,2 3,0 7,6
September 201046,9 24,5 10,6 8,7 3,5 5,8
October 201044,8 25,1 12,9 6,7 3,4 7,1
November 2010 40,9 26,0 14,2 7,5 2,5 8,9
December 2010 46,0 26,5 12,5 6,7 3,2 5,1
January 2011 49,6 26,8 11,1 6,9 0,8 4,0
February 2011 46,4 25,8 13,6 5,7 2,2 6,3
March/April 2011[30] 48,9 25,8 10,9 6,0 1,8 2,5
May 2011[31] 48,6 28,3 11,6 6,0 1,2 1,7

Notes and References

  1. http://www.cnnturk.com/2010/turkiye/05/29/sonar.anketi.chp.32.48.ile.ak.partiyi.gecti/578170.0/index.html CHP %32.48 ile AK Parti'yi geçti
  2. Web site: CHP uçtu MHP çakıldı! - Bugün Politika . 2011-04-14 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20110203161959/http://www.bugun.com.tr/haber-detay/107272-chp-uctu-mhp-cakildi-haberi.aspx . 2011-02-03 .
  3. Web site: Turkeys Ruling AKP Trails Behind Republicans | Angus Reid Public Opinion . 2011-04-14 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20110617033220/http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/39352/turkeyaas_ruling_akp_trails_behind_republicans/ . 2011-06-17 .
  4. Web site: Account Suspended . Nethaberci.com . 2017-12-14.
  5. http://www.hurriyetport.com/news/118/ARTICLE/22638/2010-08-11.html SONAR Ağustos 2010 Referandum ve seçim anketi sonuçları açıklandı
  6. Web site: 检测中.
  7. Web site: İşte Erdoğan'ın elindeki son seçim anketi! | Siyaset Haberleri . Haber.gazetevatan.com . 2017-12-14 . https://web.archive.org/web/20120317052542/http://haber.gazetevatan.com/iste-erdoganin-elindeki-son-secim-anketi/342372/9/Siyaset . 2012-03-17 . dead .
  8. Web site: İşte çarpıcı anket sonuçları - Haberler Son Dakika . Haberturk.com . 2010-12-19 . 2017-12-14.
  9. Web site: Loading.... www.stratejikboyut.com. 14 December 2017.
  10. Web site: En son secim anketi ak parti 435 CHP haberleri .
  11. Web site: Seçim anketine göre Türkiyede durum . Haber3 . 2017-12-07 . 2017-12-14.
  12. Web site: Politika CHPyi memur, AK Partiyi ev hanımları yükseltiyor ZAMAN . 2011-04-14 . 2012-03-14 . https://web.archive.org/web/20120314014955/http://www.zaman.com.tr/haber.do?haberno=1105220&title=chpyi-memur-ak-partiyi-ev-hanimlari-yukseltiyor&haberSayfa=0 . dead .
  13. Web site: Majority welcomes headscarved deputies, opınıon poll finds . 2011-04-14 . https://web.archive.org/web/20121016194841/http://www.todayszaman.com/news-239150-majority-welcomes-headscarved-deputies-opinion-poll-finds.html . 2012-10-16 . dead .
  14. Web site: Hürriyet Daily News. Hürriyet Daily News. 14 December 2017.
  15. http://www.zaman.com.tr/haber.do?haberno=1119292&title=iste-partilerin-son-oy-oranlari İşte partilerin son oy oranları
  16. Web site: Ak Parti hiç bu kadar yüksek oy almamıştı... İşte son anket! . MedyaFaresi.com . 19 April 2011. 2017-12-14.
  17. Web site: ORCnin Nisan ayı seçim anketi şaşırttı . Istanbulhaber.com.tr . 2011-04-19 . 2017-12-14.
  18. Web site: İşte en son seçim anketi . 2011-04-30 . https://web.archive.org/web/20110501235040/http://zaman.com.tr/haber.do?haberno=1128123&title=iste-en-son-secim-anketi . 2011-05-01 . dead .
  19. http://www.haber365.com/Haber/IKSara_Arastirma_Sirketi_Secmenin_Nabzini_Tuttu/ IKSara Arastirma Sirketi Secmenin Nabzini Tuttu
  20. Web site: CHP ve MHP şokta Bugün Foto Galeri . 2011-05-13 . 2011-05-04 . https://web.archive.org/web/20110504231552/http://spor.bugun.com.tr/foto-galeri/152990-page-7-chp-ve-mhp-sokta-galerisi.aspx . dead .
  21. Web site: CHP ve MHP şokta Bugün Foto Galeri . 2011-05-13 . 2011-05-04 . https://web.archive.org/web/20110504231447/http://spor.bugun.com.tr/foto-galeri/152990-page-19-chp-ve-mhp-sokta-galerisi.aspx . dead .
  22. Web site: Seçimlere 23 gün kala son seçim anketi . Internethaber.com . 20 May 2011. 2017-12-14.
  23. Web site: Archived copy . 2011-04-14 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20120324195633/http://andy-ar.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/arsiv/turkiye_siyasi_gundem_arastirmasi_kasim_2010.ppt . 2012-03-24 .
  24. Web site: Archived copy . 2011-04-14 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20110811120811/http://andy-ar.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/arsiv/turkiye_siyasi_gundem_arastirmasi_aralik_2010.ppt . 2011-08-11 .
  25. Web site: Archived copy . 2011-04-14 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20120324195747/http://andy-ar.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/arsiv/turkiye_siyasi_gundem_arastirmasi_ocak_2011.ppt . 2012-03-24 .
  26. Web site: Archived copy . 2020-04-25 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150316132933/http://andy-ar.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/T%C3%BCrkiye-Siyasi-G%C3%BCndem-Ara%C5%9Ft%C4%B1rmas%C4%B1-%C5%9Eubat-2011.ppt . 2015-03-16 . dead .
  27. Web site: Archived copy . 2020-04-25 . https://web.archive.org/web/20110516211007/http://andy-ar.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/mart-2011-siyasi-g%C3%BCndem-ara%C5%9Ft%C4%B1rmas%C4%B1.ppt . 2011-05-16 . dead .
  28. Web site: Archived copy . 2011-04-24 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20120324195850/http://andy-ar.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/nisan-2011.doc . 2012-03-24 .
  29. Web site: STAR - Haberler, Son Dakika, Haber, Son Dakika Haberleri . Stargazete.com . 2017-12-14.
  30. Web site: Bugün seçim olsa... - Haberler Son Dakika . Haberturk.com . May 2011. 2017-12-14.
  31. Web site: Seçimden önceki son anket - Haberler Son Dakika . Haberturk.com . June 2011. 2017-12-14.

This article is licensed under the GNU Free Documentation License. It uses material from the Wikipedia article "Opinion polling for the 2011 Turkish general election".

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