Opinion polling for the 2008 New Zealand general election explained

See also: Opinion polling for the 2011 New Zealand general election.

Opinion polling has been commissioned throughout the duration of the 48th New Zealand Parliament and in the leadup to the 2008 election by various organisations, the main four being Television New Zealand, TV3, The New Zealand Herald and Roy Morgan Research. The sample size, margin of error and confidence interval of each poll varies by organisation and date.

Party vote and key events in the leadup to the 2008 election

Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between survey firms.

Individual polls

PollDateLabourNationalNZ FirstMāoriGreenACTUnited
Future		Prog
2005 election result 17 September 2005 41.1 39.1 5.7 2.1 5.3 1.5 2.7 1.2
Roy Morgan Research17 September–2 October 2005 36.5 41.5 4.5 3 9 1.5 3 1
Roy Morgan Research4–16 October 2005 39 40.5 5 2 7 1.5 3.5 1
Roy Morgan Research18–31 October 2005 37.5 40 6 1 9 1 3.5 0.5
3 News TNS[1] 27 October–2 November 2005 44 37 3.5 2.5 7 1.5 2.5 0.7
One News Colmar Brunton[2] 20 November 2005 40 44 4 2 7 1 1
Herald-DigiPoll[3] 30 November 2005[4] 43.8 41.7 3.8 1.5 5.3 1.5 1.3
One News Colmar Brunton[5] 11 December 2005 37 46 4 2.1 7
Roy Morgan International[6] 13–23 January 2006 39 40.5 4.5 1.5 8.5 1.5 3.0 0.0
Sunday Star-Times/BRC[7] 16–25 January 2006 42 43 4 1 6 1 1
3 News TNS 26 January–2 February 2006 44 38 3.4 1.7 7 1.2 1.5 0.5
One News Colmar Brunton[8] 19 February 2006 42 45 4 2 6 1 1
3 News TNS 23–29 March 2006 43 40 4.3 3 6 1.1 1.9 0.2
Herald-DigiPoll[9] 10 April 2006 43.4 44.6 3.9 2.1 5.2 1.1 1.5
3 News TNS 4–10 May 2006 42 41 3.8 2.2 6 1.8 1.9 0.2
bgcolor=#ffcc99 colspan=1018 May 2006 2006 New Zealand budget presented to Parliament.
One News Colmar Brunton[10] 22–25 May 2006 38 47 4 3 5 1.1 1.4 0.1
3 News TNS 29 June–5 July 2006 46 39 3.8 1.3 6 0.8 1.1 0.4
One News Colmar Brunton[11] 16 July 2006 43 45 2 2 4 2 0.8
One News Colmar Brunton[12] 7–10 August 2006 43 45 3 2.6 3 0.9 1.5 0.4
Herald-DigiPoll[13] 31 August 2006[14] 38.7 46.4 2.8 3.4 5.8 0.7 1.1 0.2
3 News TNS 24–30 August 2006 43 40 3.2 2.8 7 1 1.2 0.2
Roy Morgan Research[15] 28 August–10 September 2006 41 38 5.5 3 8.5 1.5 2 0.5
bgcolor=#ffcc99 colspan=1013 September 2006 – National Party leader Don Brash takes leave to sort out marital problems amidst rumours he had an affair.[16]
PollDateLabourNationalNZ FirstMāoriGreenACTUnited FutureProg
Herald-DigiPoll[17] 22–24 September 2006 38 45.7 2.8 4.1 6.8 1.4 0.7 0.3
One News Colmar Brunton[18] 18–21 September 2006 38 49 – 3 6 – – –
Roy Morgan Research[19] 16 September–1 October 2006 36 41.5 7 2.5 8.5 1.5 2.5 –
Roy Morgan Research[20] 2–15 October 2006 40 40 5 1.5 8.5 2 1.5 0.5
One News Colmar Brunton[21] 16–19 October 2006 36 49 2.5 2.4 6 0.5 0.9 0.2
Roy Morgan Research[22] 16–29 October 2006 38.5 41 3 2.5 8 1.5 3 –
3 News TNS[23] 26 October–1 November 2006 42 40 2.4 3.4 7 1.5 1.9 0.2
Roy Morgan Research[24] 30 October–12 November 2006 38.5 42.5 5 2.5 7.5 0.5 1.5 0.5
Roy Morgan Research[25] 13–26 November 2006 37.5 42.5 4.5 2 8 1.5 3 –
bgcolor=#ffcc99 colspan=1027 November 2006 – John Key becomes leader of the National Party.
Herald-DigiPoll[26] 14 November–2 December 2006 41.7 42.8 3.4 2 6.1 1 1.6 0.4
Roy Morgan Research[27] 27 November–12 December 2006 37.5 44.5 4 1 9.5 0.5 2 0.5
Roy Morgan Research[28] 3–21 January 2007 41 41 4 2 7.5 1.5 1 0.5
3 News TNS[29] 25 January–1 February 2007 44 41 2.8 2 8 0.8 0.8 0.1
Roy Morgan Research[30] 23 January–5 February 2007 39.5 41.5 4 2 8 1.5 2.5 0.5
bgcolor=#ffcc99 colspan=1013 February 2007 – Taito Phillip Field is expelled from the Labour Party caucus after saying he would stand for election at the 2008 election, either with Labour or as an independent.
PollDateLabourNationalNZ FirstMāoriGreenACTUnited FutureProg
One News Colmar Brunton[31] 12–15 February 2007 39 46 2.2 3.1 7 1.3 0.5 0.4
Roy Morgan Research[32] 6–18 February 2007 36 48.5 3 1.5 8.5 1 1.5 –
Roy Morgan Research[33] 19 February–4 March 2007 36 45 2 3.5 8.5 2.5 1.5 0.5
Roy Morgan Research[34] 5–18 March 2007 37.5 45 4 3.5 7.5 1 1.5 –
One News Colmar Brunton[35] 17–22 March 2007 37 46 2 3.4 7 1.5 1.6 0.1
3 News TNS[36] 22–28 March 2007 44 42 1.2 3.4 5.6 1.2 0.7 0.2
Roy Morgan Research[37] 19 March–2 April 2007 35.5 46 3.5 2.5 9.5 1 1 –
Roy Morgan Research[38] 3–16 April 2007 33.5 45.5 6 2 8.5 1 2 –
One News Colmar Brunton[39] 14–19 April 2007 39 49 2 1.7 6 1 0.6 0.2
Roy Morgan Research[40] 23 April–6 May 2007 36 49.5 4.5 1.5 6 0.5 1.5 –
3 News TNS[41] 3–9 May 2007 36 48 2.4 3.7 8 0.5 0.6 0.1
bgcolor=#ffcc99 colspan=1016 May 2007 – Parliament passes the Crimes (Substituted Section 59) Amendment Act 2007.
bgcolor=#ffcc99 colspan=1017 May 2007 2007 New Zealand budget presented to Parliament.
Roy Morgan Research[42] 7–20 May 2007 32 49 4.5 2.5 7 1.5 1.5 –
Herald-DigiPoll[43] 18–24 May 2007 33.6 50.9 3.2 1.7 6.1 0.7 0.8 0.4
One News Colmar Brunton[44] 19–24 May 2007 31 56 2.1 2.9 6 0.4 1 0.2
Roy Morgan Research[45] 21 May–3 June 2007 33.5 50.5 3.5 1.5 6.5 0.5 2 0.5
bgcolor=#ffcc99 colspan=107 June 2007 – The Reserve Bank intervenes in the currency market by selling New Zealand Dollars in an attempt halt the increase in value of the currency.
PollDateLabourNationalNZ FirstMāoriGreenACTUnited FutureProg
Roy Morgan Research[46] 4–17 June 2007 36 49.5 3 1.5 6.5 1.5 0.5 0.5
Herald-DigiPoll[47] 4–22 June 2007 40.1 48.2 3 2.4 4 0.6 0.3 –
Roy Morgan Research[48] 18 June–1 July 2007 34 48.5 2.5 2 8.5 1 1.5 1
bgcolor=#ffcc99 colspan=101 July 2007 – Introduction of several government policies, including 20 hours funded childcare for 3 and 4-year olds and the Kiwisaver retirement savings scheme.
One News Colmar Brunton[49] 30 June–5 July 2007 36 52 2.3 2.6 5 0.3 0.6 0.4
3 News TNS[50] 5–11 July 2007 36 48 2.6 2.7 6 1.2 1.1 –
UMR Research c. 15 July 200736 50 2.3 2.6 7.1 0.4 0.8 –
Roy Morgan Research[51] 2–15 July 2007 36 47 5 2 6.5 1.5 1 0.5
Herald-DigiPoll[52] 5–19 July 2007 42 48.5 2 1.8 4 0.4 0.3 –
Roy Morgan Research[53] 16–29 July 2007 35 49 4 3 6 0.5 0.5 0.5
One News Colmar Brunton[54] 4–9 August 2007 36 53 2.6 1 5 1.2 0.5 0.2
UMR Research c. 15 August 2007 35 49 2.9 2.1 7.7 0.6 1.1 –
Roy Morgan Research[55] 30 July–12 August 2007 31 50.5 4 3 7 1.5 2 0.5
Roy Morgan Research[56] 20 August–2 September 2007 34 48 2.5 3 9.5 1 0.5 0.5
3 News TNS 30 August–5 September 2007 37 47 3.2 1.8 7 1.5 0.1 –
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[57] 15 September 2007 36 50 3 2 6 1 1 0
One News Colmar Brunton[58] 8–13 September 2007 39 49 2.9 2.8 5 0.8 0.5 0.3
Roy Morgan Research[59] 3–16 September 2007 35 49 2.5 3 7.5 1.5 1 –
UMR Research[60] 13–19 September 2007 34 51 2.8 2.6 6.7 0.9 0.4 –
Herald-DigiPoll[61] 29 September 2007 39.6 44.8 3.1 2.8 7.2 1.1 0.4 0.2
Roy Morgan Research[62] 17–30 September 2007 33 48.5 3 2.5 9.5 1 1.5 0.5
One News Colmar Brunton[63] 6–11 October 2007 37 49 1.9 2.8 6 0.6 0.4 0.1
Roy Morgan Research[64] 1–14 October 2007 39 45.5 3 2 7.5 0.5 1.5 –
UMR Research[65] 11–15 October 2007 38 49 2.6 1.2 6.9 0.8 0.5 –
bgcolor=#ffcc99 colspan=1015 October 2007 – Operation 8 police raids on activists.
PollDateLabourNationalNZ FirstMāoriGreenACTUnited FutureProg
Herald-DigiPoll[66] 8–28 October 2007 38.8 51.2 1.8 1.8 5.4 0.2 0.2 –
Roy Morgan Research[67] 15–28 October 2007 40.5 45 3.5 1.5 6.5 1 1.5 –
Roy Morgan Research[68] 29 October–11 November 2007 34 48 5.5 2.5 7.5 1 1 –
bgcolor=#ffcc99 colspan=1012 November 2007 – The New Zealand Herald dedicates its front page to criticism of the Electoral Finance Bill under headline "Democracy under attack".
Herald-DigiPoll[69] 8–26 November 2007 38.1 51.3 2.1 3 3.5 0.7 0.4 0.3
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[70] 17 November 2007 40 45 3 3 5 1 1 0
Roy Morgan Research[71] 12–25 November 2007 35 48 5 2.5 6.5 1.5 0.5 0.5
3 News TNS 8–13 December 2007 36 51 2.2 2.8 4.8 0.9 0.7 –
One News Colmar Brunton[72] 8–13 December 2007 35 54 2.2 1.7 4.6 0.8 0.5 0.1
Roy Morgan Research[73] 26 November–9 December 2007 34.5 47.5 5 2 6 1.5 0.5 0.5
Roy Morgan Research[74] 3–20 January 2008 33.5 52 3.5 2 6.5 1 0.5 0.5
Herald-DigiPoll[75] 10–24 January 2008 38.7 47.5 3 1 9.1 0.7 0 0
3 News TNS 23–30 January 2008 35 49 3 3 7 0.5 0.5 –
bgcolor=#ffcc99 colspan=1029 January, 30 January 2008 – John Key and Helen Clark open their election year campaigns with speeches focusing on youth issues.
PollDateLabourNationalNZ FirstMāoriGreenACTUnited FutureProg
Roy Morgan Research[76] 21 January–3 February 2008 36.5 45.5 4 2 9 2 0.5 0.5
One News Colmar Brunton[77] 9–14 February 2008 34 53 1.7 3.3 6 0.9 0.2 –
Roy Morgan Research[78] 4–17 February 2008 32.5 51.5 3 3 8 0.5 0.5 0.5
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[79] 13–19 February 2008 32 55 3 2 6 1 0 0
3 News TNS 19–26 February 2008 35 51 3 2 7 1 0.1 0.1
Herald-DigiPoll[80] 11–28 February 2008 36.5 54.5 2.1 1.5 4.4 0.4 0.4 0
Roy Morgan Research[81] 18 February–2 March 2008 35 49.5 4 2 7 1 0.5 0.5
One News Colmar Brunton[82] 8–13 March 2008 35 50 2.5 3.3 7 0.9 0.3 0.1
Roy Morgan Research[83] 3–16 March 2008 34 51 3 2 6.5 1.5 1 0.5
Herald-DigiPoll[84] 6–27 March 2008 39.3 49.9 1.1 3.7 3.9 1.1 0 –
Roy Morgan Research[85] 24 March–6 April 2008 34.5 47 4 3 9 1.5 0.5 0.5
3 News TNS[86] 10–16 April 2008 38 48 3.4 2.9 5.8 0.5 0.3 –
One News Colmar Brunton[87] 12–17 April 2008 35 54 1.5 3.2 3.7 1.1 0.2 0.1
Roy Morgan Research[88] 7–20 April 2008 35.5 50 3.5 2.5 6.5 1.5 0.5 –
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[89] 9–22 April 2008 34 52 3 3 6 0 1 1
Herald-DigiPoll[90] 5–26 April 2008 37.2 52.1 1.5 2.9 5.2 0.4 0.1 0
PollDateLabourNationalNZ FirstMāoriGreenACTUnited FutureProg
Roy Morgan Research[91] 21 April–4 May 2008 35.5 49.5 4.5 2 6.5 1 1 –
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[92] 7–13 May 2008 29 56 5 2 6 1 0 0
bgcolor=#ffcc99 colspan=1017 May 2008 2008 New Zealand budget presented to Parliament.
Roy Morgan Research[93] 5–18 May 2008 35 49 4 2.5 7.5 1 .5 –
Herald-DigiPoll[94] 5–28 May 2008 36.2 51.5 1.9 2.2 6.4 0.7 0.4 0
3 News TNS[95] 23–29 May 2008 35 50 3.9 2 5.8 1 0.2 0.1
One News Colmar Brunton[96] 24–29 May 2008 29 55 4.4 2.5 7 1.2 0.2 0.1
Roy Morgan Research[97] 19 May–1 June 2008 32 50.5 4 3 7 1.5 1 –
Roy Morgan Research[98] 2–15 June 2008 31.5 52.5 4 2 7 2 0.5 –
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[99] 11–17 June 2008 30 54 3 2 7 1 1 –
One News Colmar Brunton[100] 14–19 June 2008 29 55 3.2 4.4 7 0.8 0.4 0
Herald-DigiPoll[101] 6–25 June 2008 32.4 54.9 3.3 1.8 5.9 0.8 0.1 –
Roy Morgan Research[102] 16–29 June 2008 30.5 51.5 4 2.5 8 2 1 –
PollDateLabourNationalNZ FirstMāoriGreenACTUnited FutureProg
Roy Morgan Research[103] 30 June–13 July 2008 31 52 6.5 1 7.5 0.5 1 –
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[104] 9–15 July 2008 35 51 4 2 5 1 0 –
One News Colmar Brunton[105] 12–17 July 2008 35 52 2.4 1.7 6 1.2 0.3 0
3 News TNS[106] Released 18 July 2008 35 48 4 2 7 1 0.3 0
Herald-DigiPoll[107] Released 29 July 2008 30.8 55.4 4.1 2.6 5.5 0.2 0.9 –
Roy Morgan Research[108] 14–27 July 2008 32.5 47.5 5 3 8 2.5 0.5 –
Roy Morgan Research[109] 28 July–10 August 2008 34 48 6.5 2 7.5 1.5 0 –
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[110] 6–12 August 2008 35 54 3 2 4 1 0 –
One News Colmar Brunton[111] 9–14 August 2008 37 51 2.6 3.1 3.5 0.6 0.7 0.1
3 News TNS[112] 14–20 August 2008 37 48 3 2 6 2 1 0
Roy Morgan Research[113] 18–31 August 2008 38 44.5 2.5 3.5 8 1.5 1 –
Herald-DigiPoll[114] 3–25 August 2008 36.3 50 2.1 3.1 5.1 2.3 0 –
One News Colmar Brunton[115] 6–11 September 2008 35 53 1.8 1.8 5 2 0 0
bgcolor=#ffcc99 colspan=1011 September 2008 – Parliament passes a law creating the New Zealand Emissions Trading Scheme.[116]
bgcolor=#ffcc99 colspan=1012 September 2008 – Helen Clark announces the election will be held 8 November 2008.[117]
PollDateLabourNationalNZ FirstMāoriGreenACTUnited FutureProg
Roy Morgan Research[118] 1–14 September 2008 36.5 47.5 5 1.5 6.5 1.5 0.5 –
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[119] 10–16 September 2008 34 52 3 3 5 1 – –
Herald-DigiPoll[120] 15–24 September 2008 35.7 51.4 2.8 1.9 4.9 1.1 0.4 0.4
3 News TNS[121] 18–24 September 2008 36 49 3 2 5 2 0 0
One News Colmar Brunton[122] 27 September–2 October 2008 33 52 2.0 2.5 7 1.5 0.7 0.3
Roy Morgan Research[123] 22 September –5 October 2008 37.5 40.5 4 2 9 3.5 1 1
3 News TNS[124] Released 10 October 2008 39 45 2.7 2.5 6.7 1.8 0.1 0.1
One News Colmar Brunton[125] 4–9 October 2008 33 51 2.6 2.8 8 1.6 0.1 0.3
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[126] 8–14 October 2008 33 51 3 2 7 1 1 0
One News Colmar Brunton[127] 11–16 October 2008 3650 2.1 2.1 5 2.1 0.5 0.5
3 News TNS[128] Released 23 October 2008 37.4 45.1 3.5 2.3 8.8 1.7 0.2 0.1
PollDateLabourNationalNZ FirstMāoriGreenACTUnited FutureProg
Roy Morgan Research[129] 6–19 October 2008 32 43 4.5 2.5 11.5 3.5 0.5 0.5
Herald-DigiPoll[130] 15–22 October 2008 37.0 50.4 2.1 2.4 5.4 1.2 0.2 0.3
One News Colmar Brunton[131] 18–23 October 2008 35.047.03.0 3.0 8.0 2.0 0.4 0.0
3 News TNS[132] Released 6 November 2008 33.146.03.4 2.7 9.0 2.8 0.2 0.3
One News Colmar Brunton[133] 1–5 November 2008 35.047.02.4 1.3 9.0 2.5 0.4 0.4
Herald-DigiPoll[134] 29 October–5 November 2008 36.4 47.9 3.9 2.3 5.8 1.8 0.7 0.2
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[135] Released 7 November 2008 31 49 3 3 8 4 1 –
Roy Morgan Research[136] 20 October–2 November 2008 34.5 42 4.5 2.5 10 4 1 –
2008 election result[137] 8 November 2008 33.99 44.93 4.07 2.39 6.72 3.65 0.87 0.91

Preferred Prime Minister

Individual polls

PollDateHelen
Clark		Don
Brash		John
Key		Winston
Peters
TV3–TNS 27 October – 2 November 2005 43 19 – 8
TV3–TNS 26 January – 2 February 2006 39 16 – 7
TV3–TNS 23–29 March 2006 38 15 – 6
TV3–TNS 4–10 May 2006 34 18 – 6
TV3–TNS 29 June – 5 July 2006 38 13 0 6
TV3–TNS 24–30 August 2006 38 17 0 5
Herald–DigiPoll 31 August 2006 52.4 22.4 8.5 5
Herald–DigiPoll 22–24 September 2006 50.8 25.9 9.2 4.8
TV3–TNS 26 October–1 November 2006 35 15 – –
Herald–DigiPoll 14 November–2 December 2006 54.2 3.9 28.5 –
TV3–TNS 25 January–1 February 2007 35 1 24 5
One News–Colmar Brunton 12–15 February 2007 32 – 27 3
One News–Colmar Brunton 17–22 March 2007 32 – 29 4
TV3–TNS 22–28 March 2007 37 1 28 4
One News–Colmar Brunton14–19 April 2007 37 1 29 3
TV3–TNS 3–9 May 2007 30 1 32 5
Herald–DigiPoll18–24 May 2007 42.1 – 45.5 5.4
One News–Colmar Brunton19–24 May 2007 27 0.3 38 2
PollDateHelen
Clark		Don
Brash		John
Key		Winston
Peters
One News–Colmar Brunton30 June–5 July 2007 29 0.5 35 2
TV3–TNS 5–11 July 2007 31 1 31 4
Herald–DigiPoll5–19 July 2007 48.7 – 37.9 7
One News–Colmar Brunton4–9 August 2007 30 0.7 33 4
TV3–TNS 30 August – 5 September 2007 28 1 32 6
Fairfax Media Poll15 September 2007 34 – 41 3
One News–Colmar Brunton8–13 September 2007 33 0.3 31 4
Herald–DigiPoll29 September 2007 46.8 – 42.2 –
One News–Colmar Brunton6–11 October 2007 33 0.2 33 3
Herald–DigiPoll8–28 October 2007 50.8 – 37.3 5
Fairfax Media Poll17 November 2007 38 – 36 –
Herald–DigiPoll8–26 November 2007 48.7 – 36.7 8.1
TV3–TNS 5–12 December 2007 28 – 33 6
One News–Colmar Brunton8–13 December 2007 30 0.2 35 2
Herald–DigiPoll10–24 January 2008 49.7 – 39.2 3.8
TV3–TNS 23–30 January 2008 29 – 33 6
One News–Colmar Brunton9–14 February 2008 27 0.4 36 4
Fairfax Media–Nielsen13–19 February 2008 29 – 44 –
TV3–TNS 19–26 February 2008 28 – 35 5
Herald–DigiPoll11–28 February 2008 44.3 0.2 46.3 3.3
One News–Colmar Brunton8–13 March 2008 31 – 36 5
Herald–DigiPoll6–27 March 2008 45.6 – 45.9 3.9
PollDateHelen
Clark		Don
Brash		John
Key		Winston
Peters
TV3–TNS 10–16 April 2008 32 – 29 6
One News–Colmar Brunton12–17 April 2008 29 – 35 4
Fairfax Media–Nielsen9–22 April 2008 33 – 42 –
Herald–DigiPoll5–26 April 2008 45.3 – 48 –
Fairfax Media–Nielsen 7–13 May 2008 28 – 45 5
Herald–DigiPoll 5–28 May 2008 42.3 – 44.6 6.7
TV3–TNS 23–29 May 2008 29 – 35 6
One News–Colmar Brunton24–29 May 2008 28 – 36 6
Fairfax Media–Nielsen 11–17 June 2008 30 – 43 2
One News–Colmar Brunton 14–19 June 2008 27 0.2 38 4
Fairfax Media–Nielsen 9–15 July 2008 32 – 39 3
One News–Colmar Brunton 12–17 July 2008 31 0.3 38 4
TV3–TNS Released 18 July 2008 28 – 32 6
Herald–DigiPoll Released 29 July 2008 44 – 47.1 4.9
Fairfax Media–Nielsen 6–12 August 2008 31 – 43 2
One News–Colmar Brunton 9–14 August 2008 33 – 36 3
TV3–TNS 14–20 August 2008 31 – 34 3
Herald–DigiPoll 3–25 August 2008 45 – 46.6 5.6
PollDateHelen
Clark		Don
Brash		John
Key		Winston
Peters
One News-Colmar Brunton 6–11 September 2008 31 0.1 40 3
Fairfax Media–Nielsen 10–16 September 2008 30 – 41 2
Herald–DigiPoll 15–24 September 2008 43.1 – 45.5 4
TV3–TNS Released 28 September 2008 32 – 34 –
One News-Colmar Brunton27 September–2 October 2008 31– 41 3
TV3–TNS Released 10 October 2008 31.6 – 31 –
One News-Colmar Brunton4–9 October 2008 31– 39 2
Fairfax Media–Nielsen8–14 October 2008 35 – 43 –
One News-Colmar Brunton11–16 October 2008 34 0.1402
TV3–TNS Released 23 October 2008 36.3 – 36.3 –
Herald–DigiPoll15–22 October 2008 45.4 – 44.8 4.0
One News-Colmar Brunton18–23 October 2008 37 -383
One News-Colmar Brunton1–5 November 2008 36 – 40 1

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 3 News Poll . 3 News (MediaWorks New Zealand) . 20 April 2008 . 23 October 2010.
  2. News: NATIONAL FINANCE SPOKESMAN MAKES APPEARANCE IN POPULARITY STAKES. New Zealand Press Association. 20 November 2005.
  3. News: Labour stays tops in poll to end year. Ruth . Berry . . . 17 December 2005 . 13 October 2013.
  4. Dates surveyed unavailable: date shown is date polled released to media.
  5. News: The Green Party, on 7 percent, and New Zealand First on 4 percent, were both.... New Zealand Press Association. 16 December 2005.
  6. News: NATS AHEAD IN NEW POLL. New Zealand Press Association . 29 January 2006.
  7. News: There was also a Sunday Star-Times/BRC opinion poll out today.. New Zealand Press Association . 29 January 2006.
  8. News: NATS STILL AHEAD IN LATEST POLL. New Zealand Press Association . 19 February 2006.
  9. News: Young. Audrey. Key overtakes Peters in PM stakes. 14 October 2013. The New Zealand Herald. 10 April 2006.
  10. Web site: One News Colmar Brunton poll: May 2006 . ONE News (Television New Zealand) . 28 May 2006 . 23 October 2010.
  11. News: GAP CLOSING BUT NATIONAL STILL IN FRONT -- NEW POLL SHOWS. New Zealand Press Association. 16 July 2006.
  12. Web site: ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll: Aug 2006 . ONE News (Television New Zealand) . 13 August 2006 . 23 October 2010.
  13. News: National storms to poll lead . Paula . Oliver . . . 31 August 2006 . 23 October 2010.
  14. Dates surveyed unavailable: date shown is date polled released to media.
  15. Web site: In New Zealand: Labour Government Support Up 2.5%, Nationals Down 6% . . 16 September 2006 . 23 October 2010.
  16. News: Dirty politics: Sex and smears, down under . https://ghostarchive.org/archive/20220524/https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/australasia/dirty-politics-sex-and-smears-down-under-416569.html . 24 May 2022 . subscription . live . Kathy . Marks . . 19 September 2006 . 23 October 2010.
  17. News: Hefty majority of voters rejects PM's use of 'cancerous' . Paula . Oliver . Ruth . Berry . The New Zealand Herald . APN News & Media . 26 September 2006 . 23 October 2010.
  18. Web site: ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll: Sept 2006 . ONE News (Television New Zealand) . 24 September 2010 . 23 October 2010.
  19. Web site: In New Zealand: National Ahead of Labour As Speculation Engulfs PM Clark's Private Life – Minor Party Support Continues To Rise . Roy Morgan Research . 7 October 2006 . 23 October 2010.
  20. Web site: Roy Morgan Research . 21 October 2006 . In New Zealand: Labour Up 4% To 40% – National Party Support Also 40% . 19 June 2011 . https://web.archive.org/web/20061107040129/http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2006/4095/ . 7 November 2006 . dead .
  21. Web site: ONE News (Television New Zealand) . 23 October 2006 . ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll: Oct 2006 . 19 June 2011.
  22. Web site: Roy Morgan Research . 4 November 2006 . In New Zealand: National Hold A Small Lead Over Labour . 19 June 2011.
  23. News: . Poll fuels speculation of National coup . The New Zealand Herald . APN News & Media . 6 November 2006 . 19 June 2011.
  24. Web site: Roy Morgan Research . 18 November 2006 . In New Zealand: National Extend Their Lead Over Labour . 19 June 2011.
  25. Web site: Roy Morgan Research . 2 December 2006 . New Zealand Nationals Extend Lead to 5% . 19 June 2011.
  26. News: The New Zealand Herald . APN News & Media . 5 December 2006 . Key's takeover puts brakes on Labour rise . Paula . Oliver . 19 June 2011.
  27. Web site: Roy Morgan Research . 19 December 2006 . In New Zealand: National Support Up 2% To 44.5% . 19 June 2011.
  28. Web site: Roy Morgan Research . 30 January 2007 . In New Zealand: Support For Labour Up 3.5% In January . 19 June 2011.
  29. Web site: TV3. (MediaWorks New Zealand) . 5 February 2007 . Poll good news for Green Party and Key . https://web.archive.org/web/20071119143946/http://tv3.co.nz/News/NationalNews/tabid/184/articleID/20362/Default.aspx . 19 November 2007.
  30. Web site: In New Zealand: Labour Support Down 1.5% In Past Fortnight To 39.5% . Roy Morgan Research . 13 February 2007 . 19 July 2011.
  31. [One News (New Zealand)|ONE News]
  32. [Roy Morgan Research]
  33. [Roy Morgan Research]
  34. [Roy Morgan Research]
  35. [One News (New Zealand)|ONE News]
  36. [Scoop (news website)|Scoop.co.nz]
  37. [Roy Morgan Research]
  38. [Roy Morgan Research]
  39. [One News (New Zealand)|ONE News]
  40. [Roy Morgan Research]
  41. [TV3 (New Zealand)|TV3]
  42. [Roy Morgan Research]
  43. [The New Zealand Herald]
  44. [One News (New Zealand)|ONE News]
  45. [Roy Morgan Research]
  46. [Roy Morgan Research]
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This article is licensed under the GNU Free Documentation License. It uses material from the Wikipedia article "Opinion polling for the 2008 New Zealand general election".

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