Opinion polling for the 2007 Greek legislative election explained

In the run up to the 2007 Greek legislative election, various organizations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Greece during the term of the 12th Hellenic Parliament. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous legislative election, held on 7 March 2004, to the day the next election was held, on 16 September 2007.

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.

Voting intention estimates

Polling

The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. Polls that show their results without disregarding those respondents who were undecided or said they would abstain from voting (either physically or by voting blank) have been re-calculated by disregarding these numbers from the totals offered through a simple rule of three in order to obtain results comparable to other polls and the official election results. When available, seat projections are displayed below the percentages in a smaller font. 151 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Hellenic Parliament.[1] [2]

Polling firm/CommissionerFieldwork dateNDPASOKKKESYRIZALAOSLead
2007 legislative election16 Sep 200741.8
38.1
8.2
5.0
3.8
3.7
GPO/Mega TV16 Sep 2007 42.0
37.8
8.2
5.0
4.0
4.2
Rass/ERT16 Sep 2007 41.2–
43.2
37.5–
39.5
7.0–
8.0
4.5–
5.5
3.0–
4.0
4.0
Metron Analysis/ANT1 TV16 Sep 2007 40.2–
42.8

36.5–
39.1
7.5–
8.9
5.0–
6.0
3.5–
4.5
3.7
MRB/Alpha TV16 Sep 2007 40.8–
42.8

37.5–
39.5
7.5–
8.5
4.5–
6.0
3.5–
4.5
3.3
Alco/Alter TV16 Sep 2007 40.6–
42.6
37.8–
39.8
6.4–
8.0
4.6–
5.8
3.3–
4.3
2.8
GPO/Mega TV16 Sep 2007 41.0–
43.0

37.5–
39.5
7.5–
9.0
4.5–
6.0
3.5–
4.0
3.5
VPRC/Skai TV16 Sep 2007 41.0–
43.0

36.0–
38.0
7.5–
9.5
5.0–
6.0
3.5–
4.5
5.0
VPRC31 Aug 200742.038.08.55.04.04.0
Alco31 Aug 200740.139.28.34.74.60.9
ΜRΒ31 Aug 200740.838.48.65.44.32.4
GPO31 Aug 200740.639.08.24.65.11.6
Marc30 Aug 200738.538.19.95.34.80.4
VPRC30 Aug 200741.538.08.55.04.03.5
Alco29 Aug 200741.941.08.24.54.40.9
GPO29 Aug 200740.339.07.85.05.51.3
Metron Analysis29 Aug 200738.736.610.56.14.62.1
ΜRΒ28 Aug 200739.637.38.24.94.42.3
Alco27 Aug 200741.640.77.74.04.30.9
Kapa Research26 Aug 200740.438.98.35.74.81.5
MRB23 Aug 200741.739.57.75.14.52.2
Metron Analysis22 Aug 200739.837.99.05.54.51.9
GPO22 Aug 200741.839.98.24.85.31.9
VPRC16 Jul 200742.538.57.54.53.54.0
Kapa Research30 Jun 200741.139.98.64.94.81.2
Metron Analysis21 Jun 200742.541.37.44.44.41.2
Rass15-21 Jun 200742.339.78.84.74.62.6
MRB15 Jun 200742.539.88.25.24.31.2
Alco15 Jun 200741.341.17.63.54.00.2
VPRC8 Jun 200743.039.07.04.54.04.0
GPO4 Jun 200740.038.88.05.05.51.2
Metron Analysis2 Jun 200741.639.98.54.55.51.7
MRB24 May 200742.139.77.45.25.52.4
VPRC13 May 200742.539.56.55.03.53.0
Metron Analysis1-13 May 200741.840.38.15.44.41.5
GPO27-30 Apr 200741.340.08.54.85.41.3
MRB27 Apr 200742.839.98.04.94.42.9
Metron Analysis13-27 Apr 200742.340.47.05.54.81.9
GPO13-27 Apr 200741.939.98.44.75.22.0
VPRC13 Apr 200742.539.07.04.54.03.5
GPO2 Apr 200741.639.68.14.65.22.0
Kapa Research30 Mar 200742.441.28.03.94.51.2
Alco30 Mar 200743.642.97.13.62.80.7
MRB22-30 Mar 200742.839.78.24.45.03.1
Metron Analysis22 Mar 200742.841.48.13.64.21.4
VPRC11 Mar 200743.039.57.04.53.53.5
MRB25-28 Feb 200743.339.59.23.74.43.8
GPO25-28 Feb 200742.939.58.04.65.03.4
Rass25 Feb 200744.841.47.13.43.33.4
VPRC11 Feb 200743.039.57.54.03.53.5
Kapa Research10 Feb 200742.841.08.44.13.71.8
GPO1-10 Feb 200742.740.57.84.44.62.2
GPO15 Jan 200741.639.08.54.85.32.6
VPRC14 Jan 200743.039.07.54.03.54.0
Kapa ResearchDec 200642.241.08.64.33.91.2
RassDec 200643.540.48.74.13.33.1
Metron AnalysisDec 200643.141.17.04.24.52.0
VPRCDec 200643.038.57.54.53.54.5
GPODec 200642.640.87.74.24.71.8
MRBDec 200643.840.38.33.63.93.5
AlcoNov 200643.340.88.13.93.92.5
GPONov 200642.338.58.54.65.03.8
ΜRBNov 200643.239.58.34.84.23.7
VPRCNov 200642.538.58.04.54.04.0
Kapa ResearchOct 200643.640.38.53.93.73.3
Metron AnalysisOct 200643.339.27.75.44.54.1
Kapa ResearchOct 200642.440.17.63.83.42.3
GPOOct 200641.839.68.94.94.92.2
VPRCOct 200642.538.58.04.54.04.0
VPRCSep 200642.538.58.04.54.04.0
GPOSep 200641.938.89.74.65.13.1
Metron AnalysisAug 200642.940.28.44.24.22.7
VPRCJul 200642.038.08.54.54.54.0
Metron AnalysisJun 200641.640.18.83.95.61.5
MRBJun 200643.140.18.53.64.63.0
VPRCJun 200641.538.58.54.54.53.0
GPOJun 200641.439.09.04.46.22.4
Kapa ResearchMay 200642.039.98.34.05.82.1
MarcMay 200641.340.38.64.95.01.0
Metron AnalysisMay 200641.840.68.23.75.61.2
VPRCMay 200642.039.08.04.04.03.0
GPOApr 200641.540.58.53.75.91.0
VPRCApr 200641.539.59.03.04.02.0
DIMELApr 200642.244.76.83.52.82.5
GPOMar 200641.740.57.73.86.21.2
Metron AnalysisMar 200641.241.58.43.95.00.3
VPRCMar 200642.039.58.03.54.52.5
Kapa ResearchMar 200641.240.48.43.96.00.8
MRBMar 200641.840.58.43.85.61.3
Kapa ResearchMar 200641.340.78.53.95.60.6
Metron AnalysisMar 200641.541.37.84.54.90.2
RassMar 200640.339.97.94.87.00.4
AlcoFeb 200640.741.28.03.46.70.5
GPOFeb 200641.940.27.83.96.21.7
Kapa ResearchFeb 200642.239.88.23.85.92.4
MRBFeb 200642.940.28.14.14.72.7
VPRCFeb 200641.539.58.03.55.02.0
GPOJan 200641.338.98.94.46.52.4
VPRCJan 200642.039.58.03.54.52.5
Kapa ResearchDec 200539.438.08.34.56.41.4
MRBDec 200541.839.38.33.94.12.5
GPODec 200539.537.98.64.95.71.6
VPRCDec 200542.039.58.04.04.02.5
VPRCNov 200542.539.08.04.53.53.5
GPONov 200541.738.78.04.74.03.0
Metron AnalysisNov 200540.740.08.74.64.90.7
AlcoOct 200541.940.47.93.64.11.5
VPRCOct 200542.539.08.05.03.03.5
GPOOct 200541.437.88.14.73.63.6
GPOSep 200543.338.47.54.73.54.9
VPRCSep 200542.538.57.55.03.04.0
VPRCJul 200543.039.07.04.53.54.0
Metron AnalysisJun 200541.638.88.85.04.62.8
VPRCJun 200543.538.07.05.03.05.5
MRBMay 200543.639.07.64.03.34.6
VPRCMay 200543.539.06.54.03.04.5
Kapa ResearchMay 200543.040.37.53.64.02.7
VPRCApr 200543.539.56.54.03.04.0
MRBApr 200543.539.77.63.92.93.8
Kapa ResearchMar 200544.139.16.94.23.55.0
OpinionMar 200542.837.97.04.44.14.9
VPRCMar 200544.540.07.03.53.04.5
Metron AnalysisFeb 200542.837.97.04.44.14.9
GPOFeb 200544.838.17.73.43.56.7
VPRCJan 200546.039.07.03.52.57.0
MRBDec 200444.637.58.04.23.57.1
VPRCDec 200447.038.07.53.02.59.0
GPODec 200446.038.37.13.73.27.7
AlcoNov 200444.737.77.93.83.87.0
VPRCNov 200448.036.57.52.52.011.5
Metron AnalysisOct 200445.338.47.24.33.36.9
MRBOct 200446.837.47.34.42.49.4
VPRCOct 200448.037.58.02.52.010.5
GPOSep 200446.738.16.83.53.28.6
Kapa ResearchSep 200448.039.36.92.72.08.7
VPRCJun 200445.535.59.04.53.010.0
GPOMay 200445.436.28.44.22.99.2
VPRCMay 200442.034.07.03.52.58.0
OpinionMay 200446.737.46.53.82.79.3
Metron AnalysisMay 200445.937.57.94.32.58.4
ΑlcoMay 200444.836.58.54.63.18.3
MRBMay 200446.037.47.44.12.38.6
MRBMay 200446.437.97.14.32.48.5
VPRCMay 200441.533.57.04.03.08.0
GPOMay 200445.637.08.04.03.28.6
OpinionMay 200447.937.76.64.22.710.2
Metron AnalysisMay 200445.838.06.54.22.57.8
Metron AnalysisMay 200445.635.77.15.13.79.9
Kapa ResearchMay 200446.238.37.03.82.67.9
VPRCApr 200447.536.08.04.02.511.5
PrognosisApr 200447.639.36.83.78.3
GPOApr 200445.137.67.64.52.87.5
2004 legislative election7 Mar 200445.4
40.6
5.9
3.3
2.2
4.8

Notes and References

  1. http://www.ethnos.gr/article.asp?catid=5347&subid=2&pubid=132809 Exit poll results
  2. Web site: Opinion polling - Legislative election 2007 - by chronological order. eklogesonline.com.