Election Name: | 2018 Ontario general election |
Country: | Ontario |
Type: | parliamentary |
Ongoing: | no |
Party Colour: | no |
Party Name: | no |
Previous Election: | 2014 Ontario general election |
Previous Year: | 2014 |
Outgoing Members: | 41st Legislative Assembly of Ontario |
Elected Members: | 42nd Legislative Assembly of Ontario |
Next Election: | 2022 Ontario general election |
Next Year: | 2022 |
Seats For Election: | 124 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario |
Majority Seats: | 63 |
Opinion Polls: |
|
Turnout: | 56.67% (5.38pp)[1] |
Image1: | Douglas Robert Ford 2018.jpg |
Image1 Size: | 175x175px |
Leader1: | Doug Ford |
Leader Since1: | March 10, 2018 |
Leaders Seat1: | Etobicoke North |
Last Election1: | 28 seats, 31.25% |
Seats Before1: | 27 |
Seats1: | 76 |
Seat Change1: | 49 |
Popular Vote1: | 2,326,632 |
Percentage1: | 40.50% |
Swing1: | 9.25pp |
Image2 Size: | 175x175px |
Leader2: | Andrea Horwath |
Leader Since2: | March 7, 2009 |
Leaders Seat2: | Hamilton Centre |
Last Election2: | 21 seats, 23.75% |
Seats Before2: | 18 |
Seats2: | 40 |
Seat Change2: | 22 |
Popular Vote2: | 1,929,649 |
Percentage2: | 33.59% |
Swing2: | 9.84pp |
Image4: | Hon Kathleen Wynne MPP Premier of Ontario (cropped2).jpg |
Image4 Size: | 175x175px |
Leader4: | Kathleen Wynne |
Leader Since4: | January 26, 2013 |
Leaders Seat4: | Don Valley West |
Last Election4: | 58 seats, 38.65% |
Seats Before4: | 55 |
Seats4: | 7 |
Seat Change4: | 48 |
Popular Vote4: | 1,124,218 |
Percentage4: | 19.57% |
Swing4: | 19.08pp |
Image5: | Mike Schreiner 4431 (37439753570) (cropped2).jpg |
Image5 Size: | 175x175px |
Leader5: | Mike Schreiner |
Leader Since5: | May 16, 2009 |
Leaders Seat5: | Guelph |
Last Election5: | 0 seats, 4.84% |
Seats Before5: | 0 |
Seats5: | 1 |
Seat Change5: | 1 |
Popular Vote5: | 264,487 |
Percentage5: | 4.60% |
Swing5: | 0.24pp |
Map Size: | 350px |
Premier | |
Posttitle: | Premier after election |
Before Election: | Kathleen Wynne |
After Election: | Doug Ford |
The 2018 Ontario general election was held on June 7, 2018, to elect the 124 members of the 42nd Parliament of Ontario.[2] The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario, led by Doug Ford, won 76 of the 124 seats in the legislature and formed a majority government. The Ontario New Democratic Party, led by Andrea Horwath, formed the Official Opposition. The Ontario Liberal Party, led by incumbent Premier Kathleen Wynne, lost official party status in recording both the worst result in the party's 161-year history and the worst result for any incumbent governing party in Ontario. The Green Party of Ontario won a seat for the first time in their history, while the Trillium Party of Ontario lost its single seat gained by a floor-crossing during the 41st Parliament.
The Electoral Boundaries Act, 2015[3] increased the number of electoral districts from 107 to 122, following the boundaries set out by the federal 2013 Representation Order for Ontario, while preserving the special boundaries of the 11 seats in Northern Ontario set out in the 1996 redistribution.
The Far North Electoral Boundaries Commission, appointed in 2016,[4] recommended the creation of the additional districts of Kiiwetinoong and Mushkegowuk—James Bay, carved out from the existing Kenora—Rainy River and Timmins—James Bay ridings, which accordingly raised the total number of seats to 124.[5] [6] This was implemented through the Representation Statute Law Amendment Act, 2017.[7]
The new districts have been criticized as undemocratic, as they have a population of around 30,000 people compared with over 120,000 people in some southern Ontario constituencies. National Post columnist Josh Dehaas suggested that the small population sizes of the ridings might violate the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms.[8]
In September 2017, a research firm analyzed the impact of redistribution if the boundaries had been in effect for the previous election.[9]
Under legislation passed in 2005, Ontario elections were to be held on "the first Thursday in October in the fourth calendar year following polling day in the most recent general election", subject to the Lieutenant-Governor of Ontario's power to call an election earlier.[10] As the current government had a majority, the passage of a non-confidence motion was not a likely option for calling an early election, though Premier Kathleen Wynne stated in June 2015 that she would likely advise to dissolve the Legislature in spring 2018 rather than in October of that year in order to avoid any conflict with municipal elections and take advantage of better weather and longer days.[11]
To put this on a statutory footing, in October 2016 Attorney General of Ontario Yasir Naqvi introduced a bill in the Legislative Assembly which, in part, included moving the election date to "the first Thursday in June in the fourth calendar year following polling day in the most recent general election",[2] and it came into effect in December 2016.[12]
The Ontario Liberal Party attempted to win their fifth consecutive general election, dating back to 2003. The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario won their first election since 1999, and the Ontario New Democratic Party attempted to win their second election (having previously won in 1990). Numerous other extra-parliamentary political parties also vied for votes.
The Liberals under Kathleen Wynne headed into the 2018 campaign trailing far behind the Progressive Conservatives, led by former Toronto City Councillor Doug Ford. The Liberals' standing with voters had been badly hurt when they partially privatized Hydro One in 2015, after campaigning against it in the 2014 election, as well as rising criticism over "ballooning provincial debt, high electricity prices and costly, politically expedient decisions".[13] [14] In early April, the CBC published their analysis of aggregate polls showing that Ford and the Progressive Conservatives were ahead of the other parties averaging 42.1% support, compared to 27.2% for the governing Liberals, 23.4% for the NDP and 5.7% for the Greens[15] and with 11 Liberal MPPs announcing they would not be running for re-election or having already resigned their seats in the months leading up to the election.[16]
According to Wynne, voters were offered a "stark choice", between "cutting and removing supports from people" with "billions in cuts", which she alleged the Progressive Conservatives would do if they won the election, and expanding investments in social programs such as prescription drugs and childcare, which the Liberal platform promised.[17]
In March 2018, the Liberals tabled a pre-election budget in the provincial legislature which promised billions of dollars in new spending for free childcare and expanded coverage for dental care but replaced the government's previous balanced budget with a $6.7 billion deficit projected to last until 2024–2025.[18] PC leader Doug Ford called the budget a "spending spree".[19]
According to Toronto Star columnist Susan Delacourt, voters were motivated by a desire for changesuch desire being more driven by emotion than by ideologyand one researcher estimated that more than half of the electorate was undecided in who they were likely to vote for.[20] The Huffington Post reported that half of voters were basing their vote intentions on how best to block the party they oppose.[21]
In February 2018, Campaign Research conducted a gap analysis on voter intentions in Ontario, and determined the following:
Liberal | PC | NDP | Highlights | |
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= Not voting for party; not considered = Not voting for party; shared consideration = Not voting for party; exclusive consideration = Will vote for party; others considered = Will vote for party; no others considered |
Date | ||
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June 12, 2014 | The Liberal Party under Kathleen Wynne wins a majority government in the 41st Ontario general election. Progressive Conservative leader Tim Hudak announces his intention to step down following the selection of his successor.[23] | |
July 2, 2014 | Tim Hudak resigns as leader of the Progressive Conservatives.[24] Simcoe—Grey MPP Jim Wilson is named interim leader.[25] | |
July 24, 2014 | The Liberals pass their May 1 budget in its final reading. | |
May 9, 2015 | Patrick Brown, the Conservative federal MP for Barrie, is elected leader of the Progressive Conservative Party.[26] | |
September 24, 2015 | Ontario Provincial Police lay charges in relation to the Sudbury by-election scandal.[27] | |
November 1, 2016 | Ontario Provincial Police announce charges under the provincial act against Gerry Lougheed and Patricia Sorbara (CEO and director of the 2018 Liberal campaign) for alleged bribery during a 2015 byelection.[28] Sorbara announced that she will step down from the campaign.[29] | |
January 24, 2018 | CTV News reports that Progressive Conservative Party leader Patrick Brown is accused by two women of committing sexual misconduct. Brown denies the allegations.[30] | |
January 25, 2018 | Patrick Brown resigns as leader of the Progressive Conservative Party.[31] [32] | |
January 26, 2018 | Progressive Conservative Party caucus chooses Nipissing MPP Vic Fedeli as interim leader.[33] | |
March 10, 2018 | Doug Ford is elected leader of the Progressive Conservatives on the third ballot of the party's leadership election.[34] Fedeli continues as Leader of the Opposition for legislative purposes until the election due to Ford not having a seat in the Legislature.[35] | |
April 11, 2018 | First Leaders Debate hosted by the Jamaican Canadian Association. Andrea Horwath, Mike Schreiner, and Premier Kathleen Wynne were in attendance.[36] | |
April 16, 2018 | The Ontario NDP release their full election platform.[37] | |
May 7, 2018 | First televised debate hosted by CityNews: Toronto-focused debate with Ford, Horwath and Wynne[38] | |
May 9, 2018 | Electoral Writ issued.[39] | |
May 11, 2018 | Leaders' debate in Parry Sound.[40] | |
May 17, 2018 | Candidate nominations close at 2 PM local time.[41] | |
May 26, 2018 | Advance voting starts at voting locations and returning offices.[42] [43] | |
May 27, 2018 | Second televised debate, moderated by Steve Paikin and Farah Nasser, held at the Canadian Broadcasting Centre in Toronto and aired on CBC, CTV, Global, TVO, CPAC, CHCH and other outlets. Attended by Wynne, Ford, and Horwath.[44] | |
May 30, 2018 | Advance voting ends at advance voting locations. | |
June 1, 2018 | Advance voting ends at returning offices. | |
June 2, 2018 | Premier Wynne concedes that the Liberals will not win the election.[45] [46] | |
June 6, 2018 | Special ballot voting at returning office or through home visit ends at 6:00 PM EST. | |
June 7, 2018 | Election day. Fixed-date of the 2018 provincial election. |
Issue | align="center" width="30%" | Liberal | align="center" width="30%" | PC | align="center" width="30%" | NDP |
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Budget |
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Child care |
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Education |
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Environment |
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Healthcare |
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Electricity |
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Regulation |
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Taxation |
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Transportation |
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Party | English | French | Translation of French (unofficial) | |
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"Care over cuts"[54] | ||||
"For the People"[55] | ||||
"Change for the better"[56] | "Changeons pour le mieux"[57] | Let's change for the better | ||
"People Powered Change"[58] | ||||
"The Party of Choice"[59] |
Type | Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | No endorsement | |
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Media |
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Politicians and public figures |
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Unions and business associations |
See also: Candidates of the 2018 Ontario general election.
In February 2018, the PC leadership overturned the nomination of candidates Karma Macgregor in Ottawa West—Nepean and Thenusha Parani in Scarborough Centre because of irregularities and allegations of ballot stuffing at their nomination meetings.[90] Both candidates denied these claims.[91] The nomination meetings were reorganized, and both candidates lost the nomination at those meetings. However, the PC leadership decided not to overturn the nomination meeting's result in Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas, where a similar situation took place, because of an ongoing police investigation on this situation.[92]
In March 2018, the NDP nominated Lyra Evans as their candidate in Ottawa—Vanier. Evans was the first openly transgender candidate nominated by a major party to run in an Ontario general election.[93] [94]
See also: Candidates of the Ontario general election, 2018.
76 | 40 | 7 | 1 | |
Progressive Conservative | New Democratic | Liberal | G |
Elections Ontario used electronic vote tabulator machines from Dominion Voting Systems for counting the ballots. Tabulators were deployed at 50 per cent of polling stations at a cost of .[109] [110] This election was the first time Ontario used vote counting machines for a provincial election, although tabulators have been used in Ontario civic elections for more than 20 years, and also in a 2016 by-election in Whitby-Oshawa.The original paper ballots marked by voters will be kept for a year along with the digital scans of each ballot by the tabulator.
Party | Votes | Seats | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2,326,632 | 9.25pp | ||||
1,929,649 | 9.84pp | ||||
1,124,218 | 19.08pp | ||||
264,487 | 0.24pp |
Results by riding - 2018 Ontario general election[111] | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Riding | Winning party | Turnout [112] | Votes[113] | ||||||||||||||||
Party | Votes | Share | Margin # | Margin % | PC | NDP | Lib | Green | Other | Total | |||||||||
Ajax | PC | 19,078 | 39.1% | 3,948 | 8.1% | 54.6% | 19,078 | 15,130 | 12,607 | 1,224 | 220 | 601 | 48,860 | ||||||
Algoma—Manitoulin | NDP | 17,105 | 58.6% | 9,962 | 34.1% | 53.1% | 7,143 | 17,105 | 2,365 | 1,025 | - | 1,573 | 29,211 | ||||||
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill | PC | 25,214 | 56.0% | 15,496 | 34.4% | 55.4% | 25,214 | 9,718 | 8,116 | 1,195 | - | 755 | 44,998 | ||||||
Barrie—Innisfil | PC | 22,121 | 50.0% | 9,460 | 21.4% | 54.3% | 22,121 | 12,661 | 5,543 | 3,190 | - | 757 | 44,272 | ||||||
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte | PC | 20,445 | 44.7% | 7,554 | 16.5% | 57.0% | 20,445 | 12,891 | 6,210 | 5,354 | 335 | 454 | 45,689 | ||||||
Bay of Quinte | PC | 24,224 | 48.0% | 8,161 | 16.2% | 56.5% | 24,224 | 16,063 | 7,511 | 1,730 | 379 | 535 | 50,442 | ||||||
Beaches—East York | NDP | 24,064 | 48.2% | 10,584 | 21.2% | 61.2% | 9,202 | 24,064 | 13,480 | 2,128 | 161 | 879 | 49,914 | ||||||
Brampton Centre | NDP | 12,892 | 38.4% | 89 | 0.3% | 50.3% | 12,803 | 12,892 | 5,825 | 1,053 | - | 1,025 | 33,598 | ||||||
Brampton East | NDP | 18,062 | 46.9% | 5,166 | 13.4% | 51.2% | 12,896 | 18,062 | 6,398 | 523 | - | 616 | 38,495 | ||||||
Brampton North | NDP | 14,877 | 37.5% | 497 | 1.3% | 51.7% | 14,380 | 14,877 | 8,410 | 1,366 | - | 591 | 39,624 | ||||||
Brampton South | PC | 15,652 | 41.0% | 2,733 | 7.2% | 51.6% | 15,652 | 12,919 | 7,212 | 1,472 | - | 914 | 38,169 | ||||||
Brampton West | PC | 14,951 | 39.4% | 490 | 1.3% | 49.9% | 14,951 | 14,461 | 7,013 | 999 | - | 537 | 37,961 | ||||||
Brantford—Brant | PC | 24,437 | 39.4% | 635 | 1.1% | 47.7% | 24,437 | 23,802 | 5,553 | 2,741 | - | 1,655 | 58,188 | ||||||
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound | PC | 26,874 | 54.7% | 15,037 | 30.6% | 57.2% | 26,874 | 11,837 | 6,041 | 2,927 | - | 1,449 | 49,129 | ||||||
Burlington | PC | 25,504 | 40.4% | 7,451 | 11.8% | 58.4% | 25,504 | 18,053 | 15,515 | 2,828 | - | 1,155 | 63,055 | ||||||
Cambridge | PC | 17,793 | 37.0% | 2,154 | 4.5% | 63.4% | 17,793 | 15,639 | 11,191 | 3,018 | - | 490 | 48,131 | ||||||
Carleton | PC | 25,798 | 51.3% | 14,490 | 28.8% | 55.2% | 25,798 | 11,308 | 9,768 | 1,985 | 91 | 1,308 | 50,258 | ||||||
Chatham-Kent—Leamington | PC | 24,078 | 51.9% | 7,520 | 16.2% | 62.0% | 24,078 | 16,558 | 3,736 | 1,643 | 358 | - | 46,373 | ||||||
Davenport | NDP | 27,613 | 60.3% | 19,055 | 41.6% | 56.8% | 7,370 | 27,613 | 8,558 | 1,624 | 69 | 585 | 45,819 | ||||||
Don Valley East | Lib | 13,012 | 35.9% | 1,028 | 2.8% | 55.2% | 11,984 | 9,937 | 13,012 | 917 | - | 367 | 36,217 | ||||||
Don Valley North | PC | 18,046 | 44.4% | 5,489 | 13.5% | 53.8% | 18,046 | 8,476 | 12,557 | 1,039 | - | 489 | 40,607 | ||||||
Don Valley West | Lib | 17,802 | 38.9% | 181 | 0.4% | 61.3% | 17,621 | 8,620 | 17,802 | 1,268 | - | 466 | 45,777 | ||||||
Dufferin—Caledon | PC | 29,704 | 53.1% | 18,323 | 32.7% | 56.6% | 29,704 | 11,381 | 6,972 | 7,011 | - | 888 | 55,956 | ||||||
Durham | PC | 28,575 | 47.0% | 9,322 | 15.3% | 59.9% | 28,575 | 19,253 | 10,237 | 2,360 | - | 382 | 60,807 | ||||||
Eglinton—Lawrence | PC | 19,999 | 40.4% | 957 | 1.9% | 60.1% | 19,999 | 8,985 | 19,042 | 1,190 | - | 311 | 49,527 | ||||||
Elgin—Middlesex—London | PC | 29,264 | 55.5% | 12,341 | 23.4% | 59.4% | 29,264 | 16,923 | 3,857 | 2,029 | - | 694 | 52,767 | ||||||
Essex | NDP | 26,134 | 47.9% | 2,711 | 5.0% | 56.1% | 23,423 | 26,134 | 3,026 | 1,920 | - | - | 54,503 | ||||||
Etobicoke Centre | PC | 24,432 | 43.0% | 4,724 | 8.3% | 61.9% | 24,432 | 10,311 | 19,708 | 1,329 | 162 | 883 | 56,825 | ||||||
Etobicoke—Lakeshore | PC | 22,626 | 38.3% | 3,225 | 5.5% | 58.6% | 22,626 | 19,401 | 14,305 | 2,138 | - | 523 | 58,993 | ||||||
Etobicoke North | PC | 19,055 | 52.5% | 9,845 | 27.1% | 50.6% | 19,055 | 9,210 | 6,601 | 1,026 | - | 414 | 36,306 | ||||||
Flamborough—Glanbrook | PC | 22,454 | 43.5% | 4,824 | 9.4% | 60.6% | 22,454 | 17,630 | 7,967 | 2,307 | - | 1,230 | 51,588 | ||||||
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell | PC | 19,952 | 41.0% | 4,543 | 9.3% | 55.4% | 19,952 | 10,610 | 15,409 | 1,427 | - | 1,292 | 48,690 | ||||||
Guelph | Grn | 29,082 | 45.0% | 14,998 | 23.4% | 61.1% | 14,084 | 13,929 | 6,537 | 29,082 | - | 945 | 64,577 | ||||||
Haldimand—Norfolk | PC | 28,889 | 57.1% | 15,280 | 30.2% | 59.2% | 28,889 | 13,609 | 4,656 | 2,095 | - | 1,344 | 50,593 | ||||||
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock | PC | 32,406 | 56.7% | 17,264 | 30.2% | 59.7% | 32,406 | 15,142 | 5,655 | 2,551 | - | 1,389 | 57,143 | ||||||
Hamilton Centre | NDP | 23,866 | 65.2% | 18,136 | 49.6% | 48.9% | 5,730 | 23,866 | 3,982 | 2,102 | 156 | 739 | 36,575 | ||||||
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek | NDP | 22,518 | 51.1% | 9,834 | 22.3% | 53.1% | 12,684 | 22,518 | 5,320 | 1,884 | - | 1,614 | 44,020 | ||||||
Hamilton Mountain | NDP | 24,406 | 54.6% | 11,515 | 25.8% | 56.2% | 12,891 | 24,406 | 4,134 | 2,300 | - | 986 | 44,717 | ||||||
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas | NDP | 23,921 | 43.2% | 6,732 | 12.2% | 62.3% | 17,189 | 23,921 | 10,960 | 2,302 | 247 | 771 | 55,390 | ||||||
Hastings—Lennox and Addington | PC | 22,374 | 50.2% | 7,933 | 17.8% | 59.1% | 22,374 | 14,441 | 5,180 | 1,924 | - | 602 | 44,521 | ||||||
Humber River—Black Creek | NDP | 11,573 | 37.4% | 2,206 | 7.1% | 47.3% | 9,367 | 11,573 | 8,642 | 485 | - | 862 | 30,929 | ||||||
Huron—Bruce | PC | 27,646 | 52.4% | 12,320 | 23.3% | 63.5% | 27,646 | 15,326 | 7,356 | 1,804 | - | 670 | 52,802 | ||||||
Kanata—Carleton | PC | 23,089 | 43.2% | 7,497 | 14.0% | 62.3% | 23,089 | 15,592 | 9,090 | 2,827 | - | 2,855 | 53,453 | ||||||
Kenora—Rainy River | PC | 9,748 | 48.6% | 2,255 | 11.2% | 54.1% | 9,748 | 7,493 | 2,123 | 707 | - | - | 20,071 | ||||||
Kiiwetinoong | NDP | 3,232 | 49.9% | 1,467 | 22.7% | 45.8% | 1,765 | 3,232 | 983 | 406 | - | 91 | 6,477 | ||||||
King—Vaughan | PC | 29,136 | 56.6% | 17,124 | 33.3% | 55.5% | 29,136 | 7,921 | 12,012 | 1,754 | - | 638 | 51,461 | ||||||
Kingston and the Islands | NDP | 21,788 | 39.2% | 6,476 | 11.6% | 57.3% | 14,512 | 21,788 | 15,312 | 3,574 | - | 458 | 55,644 | ||||||
Kitchener Centre | NDP | 20,512 | 43.4% | 7,432 | 15.7% | 58.3% | 13,080 | 20,512 | 9,499 | 3,234 | - | 955 | 47,280 | ||||||
Kitchener—Conestoga | PC | 17,005 | 39.6% | 686 | 1.6% | 59.9% | 17,005 | 16,319 | 6,035 | 2,853 | - | 762 | 42,974 | ||||||
Kitchener South—Hespeler | PC | 16,511 | 38.9% | 770 | 1.8% | 55.8% | 16,511 | 15,741 | 6,335 | 3,198 | 275 | 423 | 42,483 | ||||||
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex | PC | 27,906 | 58.3% | 11,108 | 22.0% | 60.8% | 27,906 | 16,800 | 3,143 | 1,660 | - | 915 | 50,424 | ||||||
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston | PC | 26,194 | 52.0% | 10,855 | 21.6% | 62.0% | 26,194 | 15,339 | 5,359 | 2,410 | 440 | 601 | 50,343 | ||||||
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes | PC | 30,002 | 61.3% | 20,314 | 41.5% | 60.2% | 30,002 | 9,688 | 6,543 | 2,347 | - | 389 | 48,969 | ||||||
London—Fanshawe | NDP | 25,272 | 55.7% | 11,753 | 25.9% | 49.6% | 13,519 | 25,272 | 3,797 | 2,050 | - | 753 | 45,391 | ||||||
London North Centre | NDP | 25,757 | 47.6% | 9,056 | 16.7% | 54.9% | 16,701 | 25,757 | 8,501 | 2,493 | - | 661 | 54,113 | ||||||
London West | NDP | 32,644 | 55.3% | 15,511 | 26.3% | 60.6% | 17,133 | 32,644 | 5,847 | 2,211 | - | 1,161 | 58,996 | ||||||
Markham—Stouffville | PC | 25,912 | 48.1% | 11,905 | 22.1% | 58.6% | 25,912 | 10,997 | 14,007 | 2,153 | - | 777 | 53,846 | ||||||
Markham—Thornhill | PC | 18,943 | 50.4% | 9,783 | 26.0% | 52.2% | 18,943 | 8,010 | 9,160 | 859 | - | 576 | 37,548 | ||||||
Markham—Unionville | PC | 29,305 | 62.4% | 20,849 | 44.4% | 54.7% | 29,305 | 7,778 | 8,456 | 996 | - | 405 | 46,940 | ||||||
Milton | PC | 18,249 | 41.7% | 5,185 | 11.8% | 56.1% | 18,249 | 9,740 | 13,064 | 2,200 | - | 536 | 43,789 | ||||||
Mississauga Centre | PC | 17,860 | 40.9% | 5,814 | 13.3% | 49.8% | 17,860 | 12,046 | 11,102 | 1,149 | - | 1,553 | 43,710 | ||||||
Mississauga East—Cooksville | PC | 17,862 | 41.1% | 4,739 | 10.9% | 51.5% | 17,862 | 9,871 | 13,123 | 1,498 | - | 1,051 | 43,405 | ||||||
Mississauga—Erin Mills | PC | 19,631 | 41.6% | 6,610 | 14.0% | 55.1% | 19,631 | 13,021 | 11,965 | 1,296 | - | 1,265 | 47,178 | ||||||
Mississauga—Lakeshore | PC | 22,520 | 42.3% | 3,884 | 14.0% | 59.3% | 22,520 | 9,735 | 18,636 | 1,572 | - | 736 | 53,199 | ||||||
Mississauga—Malton | PC | 14,712 | 39.1% | 2,361 | 6.3% | 48.4% | 14,712 | 12,351 | 7,813 | 674 | 1,187 | 874 | 37,611 | ||||||
Mississauga—Streetsville | PC | 20,879 | 43.5% | 8,486 | 17.7% | 55.5% | 20,879 | 12,393 | 12,344 | 1,349 | - | 999 | 47,964 | ||||||
Mushkegowuk—James Bay | NDP | 4,827 | 51.8% | 2,032 | 21.8% | 54.0% | 2,795 | 4,827 | 1,332 | 167 | - | 203 | 9,324 | ||||||
Nepean | PC | 23,899 | 45.1% | 8,789 | 16.6% | 58.7% | 23,899 | 15,110 | 10,383 | 2,739 | - | 826 | 52,957 | ||||||
Newmarket—Aurora | PC | 24,813 | 47.7% | 12,408 | 23.9% | 59.0% | 24,813 | 12,405 | 11,840 | 1,859 | 447 | 649 | 52,013 | ||||||
Niagara Centre | NDP | 21,618 | 44.2% | 3,285 | 6.7% | 56.1% | 18,333 | 21,618 | 5,779 | 1,803 | 217 | 1,124 | 48,874 | ||||||
Niagara Falls | NDP | 30,161 | 50.8% | 9,035 | 15.2% | 54.6% | 21,126 | 30,161 | 5,554 | 2,057 | - | 483 | 59,381 | ||||||
Niagara West | PC | 24,394 | 52.8% | 10,625 | 23.0% | 63.3% | 24,394 | 13,769 | 4,859 | 2,590 | - | 578 | 46,190 | ||||||
Nickel Belt | NDP | 23,157 | 63.5% | 15,139 | 41.5% | 55.4% | 8,018 | 23,157 | 3,182 | 1,137 | - | 973 | 36,467 | ||||||
Nipissing | PC | 17,598 | 49.9% | 4,604 | 13.1% | 58.2% | 17,598 | 12,994 | 2,794 | 997 | - | 860 | 35,243 | ||||||
Northumberland—Peterborough South | PC | 27,386 | 45.3% | 12,582 | 20.8% | 64.6% | 27,386 | 14,804 | 14,603 | 2,740 | - | 890 | 60,423 | ||||||
Oakville | PC | 24,837 | 43.7% | 4,510 | 7.9% | 62.5% | 24,837 | 9,424 | 20,327 | 1,986 | - | 297 | 56,871 | ||||||
Oakville North—Burlington | PC | 25,691 | 46.4% | 12,195 | 22.0% | 60.2% | 25,691 | 13,496 | 13,487 | 2,052 | - | 625 | 55,351 | ||||||
Orléans | Lib | 24,972 | 39.0% | 2,463 | 3.8% | 62.8% | 22,509 | 14,033 | 24,972 | 1,603 | 435 | 398 | 63,950 | ||||||
Oshawa | NDP | 24,301 | 44.9% | 1,707 | 3.2% | 54.6% | 22,594 | 24,301 | 4,278 | 1,957 | - | 1,013 | 54,143 | ||||||
Ottawa Centre | NDP | 29,675 | 46.1% | 8,564 | 13.3% | 61.2% | 10,327 | 29,675 | 21,111 | 2,266 | - | 1,024 | 64,403 | ||||||
Ottawa South | Lib | 20,773 | 39.6% | 5,454 | 10.4% | 56.9% | 15,319 | 14,250 | 20,773 | 1,618 | - | 456 | 52,416 | ||||||
Ottawa—Vanier | Lib | 20,555 | 42.9% | 6,323 | 13.2% | 51.5% | 10,252 | 14,232 | 20,555 | 1,955 | - | 964 | 47,958 | ||||||
Ottawa West—Nepean | PC | 16,590 | 32.8% | 175 | 0.3% | 57.0% | 16,590 | 16,415 | 14,810 | 1,937 | - | 793 | 50,545 | ||||||
Oxford | PC | 29,152 | 55.7% | 13,235 | 25.3% | 59.2% | 29,152 | 15,917 | 3,620 | 2,254 | 335 | 1,033 | 52,311 | ||||||
Parkdale—High Park | NDP | 32,407 | 59.4% | 22,586 | 41.4% | 62.4% | 9,821 | 32,407 | 9,271 | 2,544 | - | 506 | 54,549 | ||||||
Parry Sound—Muskoka | PC | 22,662 | 48.1% | 12,277 | 26.0% | 59.2% | 22,662 | 10,385 | 4,071 | 9,438 | 219 | 368 | 47,143 | ||||||
Perth—Wellington | PC | 23,736 | 50.7% | 9,351 | 20.0% | 60.3% | 23,736 | 14,385 | 5,062 | 2,746 | - | 914 | 46,843 | ||||||
Peterborough—Kawartha | PC | 22,904 | 37.7% | 2,386 | 3.9% | 62.7% | 22,904 | 20,518 | 14,946 | 2,024 | - | 398 | 60,790 | ||||||
Pickering—Uxbridge | PC | 22,447 | 42.2% | 5,414 | 10.2% | 58.9% | 22,447 | 17,033 | 10,851 | 2,105 | 373 | 384 | 53,193 | ||||||
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke | PC | 33,350 | 69.2% | 25,284 | 52.5% | 59.7% | 33,350 | 8,066 | 4,701 | 1,436 | - | 646 | 48,199 | ||||||
Richmond Hill | PC | 22,224 | 51.2% | 10,116 | 23.3% | 52.2% | 22,224 | 7,490 | 12,108 | 1,248 | - | 301 | 43,371 | ||||||
St. Catharines | NDP | 18,911 | 36.6% | 1,558 | 3.0% | 58.1% | 17,353 | 18,911 | 12,671 | 1,923 | - | 792 | 51,650 | ||||||
Sarnia—Lambton | PC | 26,811 | 52.7% | 7,816 | 15.4% | 60.9% | 26,811 | 18,995 | 2,246 | 1,856 | 71 | 851 | 50,830 | ||||||
Sault Ste. Marie | PC | 13,498 | 42.0% | 414 | 1.3% | 54.5% | 13,498 | 13,084 | 3,199 | 1,044 | - | 1,292 | 32,117 | ||||||
Scarborough—Agincourt | PC | 18,582 | 50.4% | 8,153 | 22.1% | 51.3% | 18,582 | 6,434 | 10,429 | 635 | 189 | 602 | 36,871 | ||||||
Scarborough Centre | PC | 15,266 | 38.4% | 2,019 | 5.1% | 53.2% | 15,266 | 13,247 | 8,791 | 919 | - | 1,481 | 39,704 | ||||||
Scarborough—Guildwood | Lib | 11,972 | 33.3% | 74 | 0.2% | 52.9% | 11,898 | 9,917 | 11,972 | 878 | 66 | 1,174 | 35,905 | ||||||
Scarborough North | PC | 17,413 | 51.0% | 9,093 | 26.7% | 50.8% | 17,413 | 8,320 | 7,519 | 543 | - | 318 | 34,113 | ||||||
Scarborough—Rouge Park | PC | 16,224 | 38.6% | 963 | 2.3% | 55.5% | 16,224 | 15,261 | 8,785 | 1,014 | - | 731 | 42,015 | ||||||
Scarborough Southwest | NDP | 19,835 | 45.7% | 6,270 | 14.4% | 56.0% | 13,565 | 19,835 | 8,228 | 1,174 | - | 641 | 43,443 | ||||||
Simcoe—Grey | PC | 34,094 | 55.9% | 20,650 | 33.9% | 57.1% | 34,094 | 13,444 | 8,780 | 4,192 | - | 453 | 60,963 | ||||||
Simcoe North | PC | 25,236 | 46.9% | 10,158 | 18.9% | 58.9% | 25,236 | 15,078 | 9,523 | 3,632 | - | 320 | 53,789 | ||||||
Spadina—Fort York | NDP | 24,677 | 49.6% | 12,907 | 26.0% | 53.4% | 10,834 | 24,677 | 11,770 | 1,815 | - | 635 | 49,731 | ||||||
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry | PC | 26,780 | 61.5% | 17,364 | 39.9% | 54.1% | 26,780 | 9,416 | 5,386 | 1,596 | - | 360 | 43,538 | ||||||
Sudbury | NDP | 17,386 | 48.1% | 8,981 | 24.8% | 54.2% | 8,405 | 17,386 | 8,108 | 1,504 | 82 | 682 | 36,167 | ||||||
Thornhill | PC | 28,889 | 61.1% | 19,755 | 41.8% | 56.2% | 28,889 | 9,134 | 6,985 | 1,043 | - | 1,208 | 47,259 | ||||||
Thunder Bay—Atikokan | NDP | 11,793 | 36.3% | 81 | 0.3% | 54.7% | 7,555 | 11,793 | 11,712 | 880 | - | 585 | 32,525 | ||||||
Thunder Bay—Superior North | Lib | 11,973 | 39.9% | 813 | 2.7% | 53.8% | 5,395 | 11,160 | 11,973 | 838 | - | 669 | 30,035 | ||||||
Timiskaming—Cochrane | NDP | 16,806 | 61.2% | 10,646 | 38.8% | 53.1% | 6,160 | 16,806 | 2,476 | 723 | - | 1,296 | 27,461 | ||||||
Timmins | NDP | 8,978 | 57.4% | 4,344 | 27.8% | 48.1% | 4,634 | 8,978 | 1,378 | 273 | - | 370 | 15,633 | ||||||
Toronto Centre | NDP | 23,688 | 53.7% | 11,702 | 26.5% | 54.3% | 6,234 | 23,688 | 11,986 | 1,377 | - | 863 | 44,148 | ||||||
Toronto—Danforth | NDP | 32,938 | 64.2% | 24,807 | 48.4% | 61.6% | 8,131 | 32,938 | 7,216 | 2,248 | 228 | 508 | 51,269 | ||||||
Toronto—St. Paul's | NDP | 18,843 | 36.0% | 1,345 | 2.6% | 60.7% | 13,780 | 18,843 | 17,498 | 1,690 | - | 591 | 52,402 | ||||||
University—Rosedale | NDP | 24,537 | 49.7% | 13,639 | 27.6% | 56.6% | 10,431 | 24,537 | 10,898 | 2,652 | 220 | 674 | 49,412 | ||||||
Vaughan—Woodbridge | PC | 21,687 | 50.5% | 7,945 | 18.5% | 56.0% | 21,687 | 6,254 | 13,742 | 972 | - | 291 | 42,946 | ||||||
Waterloo | NDP | 27,315 | 50.5% | 10,342 | 19.1% | 61.8% | 16,973 | 27,315 | 6,577 | 2,613 | - | 566 | 54,044 | ||||||
Wellington—Halton Hills | PC | 31,659 | 54.0% | 17,572 | 30.0% | 61.1% | 31,659 | 14,087 | 7,492 | 5,066 | - | 320 | 58,624 | ||||||
Whitby | PC | 26,471 | 45.8% | 5,313 | 9.2% | 60.3% | 26,471 | 21,158 | 7,441 | 1,958 | - | 768 | 57,796 | ||||||
Willowdale | PC | 17,732 | 43.6% | 6,917 | 17.0% | 50.5% | 17,732 | 10,481 | 10,815 | 932 | 233 | 453 | 40,646 | ||||||
Windsor—Tecumseh | NDP | 25,221 | 58.4% | 13,544 | 31.4% | 47.8% | 11,677 | 25,221 | 3,513 | 1,909 | 863 | - | 43,183 | ||||||
Windsor West | NDP | 20,276 | 52.1% | 9,203 | 23.7% | 43.3% | 11,073 | 20,276 | 5,722 | 1,393 | - | 435 | 38,899 | ||||||
York Centre | PC | 18,434 | 50.1% | 9,817 | 26.7% | 52.9% | 18,434 | 8,617 | 7,865 | 843 | - | 1,002 | 36,761 | ||||||
York—Simcoe | PC | 26,050 | 57.3% | 15,395 | 33.8% | 54.9% | 26,050 | 10,655 | 6,182 | 2,195 | - | 409 | 45,491 | ||||||
York South—Weston | NDP | 13,455 | 36.1% | 1,165 | 3.1% | 49.2% | 12,290 | 13,455 | 10,379 | 946 | - | 228 | 37,298 |
[114] [115] [116] |-! colspan=2 rowspan=2 | Political party! rowspan=2 | Party leader! colspan=5 | MPPs! colspan=3 | Votes|-! Candidates!2014!Dissol.!2018!±!#!%! ± (pp)|style="text-align:left;"|Doug Ford|124|28|27|76|48|2,326,523|40.19%|9.08|style="text-align:left;"|Andrea Horwath|124|21|18|40|19|1,929,966|33.34%|9.68|style="text-align:left;"|Kathleen Wynne|124|58|55|7|51|1,124,346|19.42%|19.10|style="text-align:left;"|Mike Schreiner|124| - | - |1|1|264,519|4.57%|0.31|style="text-align:left;"|Allen Small|117| - | - | - | - |42,822|0.74%|0.04|style="text-align:left;"|Greg Vezina|42| - | - | - | - |16,146|0.28%|0.20| colspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|Independents and no affiliation|32| - |2| - | - |8,226|0.14%|0.06|style="text-align:left;"|Bob Yaciuk|26| - |1| - | - |8,091|0.14%|0.13|style="text-align:left;"|Trevor Holliday|10| - | - | - | - |5,912|0.10%|0.08|style="text-align:left;"|Brad Harness|10| - | - | - | - |2,682|0.05%||style="text-align:left;"|Paul McKeever|14| - | - | - | - |2,565|0.04%|0.20|style="text-align:left;"|Jason Tysick|5| - | - | - | - |2,316|0.04%||style="text-align:left;"|Yuri Duboisky|16| - | - | - | - |2,199|0.04%|0.03|style="text-align:left;"|Dave McKee|12| - | - | - | - |1,471|0.03%|0.01|style="text-align:left;"|Bahman Yazdanfar|5| - | - | - | - |1,239|0.02%|0.01|style="text-align:left;"|Queenie Yu|3| - | - | - | - |1,078|0.02%||style="text-align:left;"|Joshua E. Eriksen|3| - | - | - | - |802|0.01%||style="text-align:left;"|Daryl Christoff|3| - | - | - | - |634|0.01%||style="text-align:left;"|Hilton Milan|5| - | - | - | - |631|0.01%||style="text-align:left;"|Kevin Clarke|6| - | - | - | - |628|0.01%|0.01|style="text-align:left;"|vacant|2| - | - | - | - |386|0.01%||style="text-align:left;"|Ken Ranney|2| - | - | - | - |340|0.01%||style="text-align:left;"|Patrick Knight|2| - | - | - | - |321|0.01%||style="text-align:left;"|Paul Figueiras|2| - | - | - | - |256| - |0.02|style="text-align:left;"|Arthur Smitherman|3| - | - | - | - |215| - ||style="text-align:left;"|Wasyl Luczkiw|2| - | - | - | - |191| - ||style="text-align:left;"|Derrick Matthews|2| - | - | - | - |176| - ||style="text-align:left;"|John Turmel|2| - | - | - | - |112| - ||style="text-align:left;"|Abu Alam|2| - | - | - | - |67| - || style="text-align:left;" colspan="4"|Vacant|4| colspan="5"||-|colspan="8" style="text-align:left;"|Blank and invalid ballots|align="right"|61,426|align="right"|1.06|align="right"||-style="background:#E9E9E9;"|colspan="3" style="text-align:left;"|Total|825|107|107|124||5,806,286|100.00%||-style="background:#E9E9E9;"|colspan="8" style="text-align:left;"|Registered voters / turnout|10,246,066|56.67%|5.38|}
Incumbents MPPs who lost their seats [117]
38 incumbent Liberal MPPs lost their re-election races, as well as a one Trillium party MPP.
Parties | Seats | ||
---|---|---|---|
90 | |||
22 | |||
1 | |||
11 | |||
Total | 124 |
Parties | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 | 37 | 11 | 124 | ||||
40 | 61 | 23 | 124 | ||||
7 | 26 | 88 | 3 | 124 | |||
1 | 2 | 117 | 4 | 124 | |||
1 | 77 | 78 | |||||
20 | 20 | ||||||
2 | 10 | 12 | |||||
1 | 10 | 11 | |||||
8 | 8 | ||||||
5 | 5 |
Party | Toronto | 905 Belt | Ham/Niagara | Central | East | Midwest | Southwest | North | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 76 | ||
11 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 40 | |||
3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | |||||||
1 | 1 | |||||||||
Total | 25 | 25 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 124 |
2nd ! | 1st vs 2nd | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Scarborough—Guildwood | 33.3% | 33.1% | 0.2% | |||||
Thunder Bay—Atikokan | 36.2% | 36.0% | 0.2% | |||||
Brampton Centre | 38.4% | 38.1% | 0.3% | |||||
Ottawa West—Nepean | 32.8% | 32.5% | 0.3% | |||||
Don Valley West | 38.9% | 38.5% | 0.4% | |||||
Brantford—Brant | 42.0% | 40.9% | 1.1% | |||||
Brampton North | 37.5% | 36.3% | 1.2% | |||||
Sault Ste. Marie | 42.0% | 40.7% | 1.3% | |||||
Brampton West | 39.4% | 38.1% | 1.3% | |||||
Kitchener—Conestoga | 39.6% | 38.0% | 1.6% |
2nd ! | 3rd | 1st vs 3rd | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ottawa West—Nepean | 32.8% | 32.5% | 29.3% | 3.5% | |||||||
Scarborough—Guildwood | 33.3% | 33.1% | 27.6% | 5.7% | |||||||
York South—Weston | 36.1% | 33.0% | 27.8% | 8.3% | |||||||
Don Valley East | 35.9% | 33.1% | 27.4% | 8.5% | |||||||
Humber River—Black Creek | 37.4% | 30.3% | 27.9% | 9.5% | |||||||
Toronto—St. Paul's | 36.0% | 33.4% | 26.3% | 9.7% | |||||||
St. Catharines | 36.6% | 33.6% | 24.5% | 12.1% | |||||||
Ottawa South | 39.6% | 29.2% | 27.2% | 12.4% | |||||||
Thunder Bay—Atikokan | 36.2% | 36.0% | 23.2% | 13.0% | |||||||
Kingston and the Islands | 39.2% | 27.5% | 26.1% | 13.1% |
Those candidates not belonging to a major party, receiving more than 1,000 votes in the election, are listed below:
Riding | Party | Candidates | Votes | Placed | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tommy Lee | 1,366 | 4th | |||
1,947 | 5th | ||||
Caroline Roach | 1,187 | 4th | |||
Matthew Dougherty | 1,040 | 4th | |||
Shawn Poirier | 1,105 | 4th |
Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | Liberal | Progressive Conservative | New Democrat | Green | Other | Polling method | Lead | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election | Archive | 19.6 | 40.5 | 33.6 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 6.9 | ||||||
21 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 1 | ±3 pp | 2,178 | IVR | 5 | |||||
Research Co. | HTML | 20 | 39 | 37 | 4 | 1 | ±3.8 pp | 661 | Online | 2 | |||
18.9 | 39.1 | 35.1 | 4.5 | 2.4 | ±2.8 pp | 1,230 | IVR | 4.0 | |||||
17 | 38 | 38 | 6 | 2 | ±3.3 pp | 906 (1/3) | Online/telephone (rolling) | 0 | |||||
HTML | 19 | 39 | 36 | 6* | ±3.1 pp | 1,501 | Online/telephone | 3 | |||||
HTML | 20.2 | 39.0 | 34.3 | 4.9 | 1.7 | ±1.7 pp | 3,320 | IVR | 4.7 | ||||
HTML | 18 | 39 | 38 | 5* | N/A | 1,008 | Online | 1 | |||||
17 | 39 | 37 | 6 | 1 | ±3.0 pp | 1,083 (1/4) | Online/telephone (rolling) | 2 | |||||
20 | 38 | 37 | 5 | 1 | ±2.7 pp | 1,275 (1/4) | Online/telephone (rolling) | 1 | |||||
18 | 38 | 37 | 5 | 2 | ±3 pp | 2,349 | IVR | 1 | |||||
HTML | 23 | 33 | 37 | 5 | 2 | ±1.9 pp | 2,646 | Online | 4 | ||||
20 | 37 | 37 | 5 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,447 | Online/telephone | 0 | |||||
19.3 | 38.6 | 34.9 | 5.9 | 1.2 | ±3.1 pp | 990 (2/3) | IVR (rolling) | 3.7 | |||||
Research Co. | HTML | 18 | 38 | 39 | 4 | 1 | ±3.7 pp | 701 | Online | 1 | |||
19 | 39 | 35 | 5 | 2 | ±2 pp | 2,602 | IVR | 4 | |||||
HTML | 19 | 37 | 39 | 6 | ±2.5 pp | 1,500 | Online | 2 | |||||
19.1 | 37.9 | 38.4 | 3.3 | 1.3 | ±3.2 pp | 945 | IVR | 0.5 | |||||
17 | 37 | 39 | 5 | 2 | ±3.5 pp | 773 | Online | 2 | |||||
Innovative Research | 22 | 34 | 36 | 6 | 2 | N/A | 958 | Online | 2 | ||||
Innovative Research | 21 | 34 | 37 | 6 | 1 | ±4.0 pp | 611 | Telephone | 3 | ||||
17 | 32 | 43 | 5 | 2 | ±3.5 pp | 800 | Online | 11 | |||||
Media consortium leaders' debate in Toronto (May 27, 2018)[119] | |||||||||||||
HTML | 16.0 | 37.9 | 39.3 | 4.5 | 2.4 | ±2.39 pp | 1,682 | IVR | 1.4 | ||||
HTML | 22 | 37 | 34 | 7* | ±3.2 pp | 1,241 | Online/telephone | 3 | |||||
HTML | 23 | 33 | 37 | 4 | 2 | ±3.5 pp | 800 | Online | 4 | ||||
20.4 | 34.9 | 35.6 | 7.0 | 2.1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,021 | IVR | 0.7 | |||||
14 | 33 | 47 | 4 | 2 | ±3 pp | 906 | IVR | 14 | |||||
Innovative Research | 26 | 36 | 31 | 6 | 1 | N/A | 1,074 | Online | 5 | ||||
HTML | 18 | 37 | 38 | 5 | 2 | ±3.3 pp | 870 | Online | 1 | ||||
21 | 37 | 37 | 5* | ±3.09 pp | 1,008 | Online | 0 | ||||||
HTML | 23 | 36 | 37 | 4* | ±3.5 pp | 1,000 | Online | 1 | |||||
HTML | 24 | 35 | 34 | 5 | 2 | ±1.9 pp | 2,824 | Online | 1 | ||||
HTML | 22.3 | 41.9 | 29.3 | 5.0 | 1.4 | ±2.02 pp | 2,350 | IVR | 12.6 | ||||
23.3 | 39.1 | 29.8 | 5.4 | 2.3 | ±2.9 pp | 1,124 | IVR | 9.3 | |||||
HTML | 23 | 38 | 32 | 7* | ±2.5 pp | 1,500 | Online | 6 | |||||
HTML | 22 | 40 | 35 | 3* | ±3.5 pp | 1,000 | Online | 5 | |||||
Innovative Research | 27 | 35 | 31 | 6 | 1 | N/A | 1,529 | Online | 4 | ||||
Leaders' debate in Parry Sound (May 11, 2018) | |||||||||||||
HTML | 22.1 | 42.3 | 28.4 | 5.4 | 1.8 | ±1.95 pp | 2,534 | IVR | 13.9 | ||||
22 | 40 | 33 | 4 | 2 | ±4 pp | 777 | IVR | 7 | |||||
Innovative Research | 28 | 38 | 28 | 6 | 1 | N/A | 915 | Online | 10 | ||||
City Toronto leaders' debate (May 7, 2018)[120] |
Date | Firm | Best Premier ratings | Approval ratings | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ford | Horwath | Wynne | |||||||||
Ford | Horwath | Wynne | |||||||||
June 6, 2018 | Research Co. | 36% | 55% | 54% | 34% | 29% | 64% | ||||
June 2, 2018 | Forum Research | 27% | 31% | 17% | 27% | 55% | 41% | 34% | 23% | 65% | |
June 2, 2018 | Abacus Data | 25% | 48% | 42% | 20% | 21% | 56% | ||||
May 31, 2018 | Research Co. | 23% | 28% | 15% | 33% | 56% | 52% | 34% | 27% | 64% | |
May 29, 2018 | Forum Research | 29% | 30% | 16% | 30% | 53% | 40% | 32% | 23% | 65% | |
May 29, 2018 | Angus Reid | 25% | 34% | 15% | |||||||
May 29, 2018 | Innovative Research | 23% | 30% | 14% | 30% | 54% | 48% | 23% | 25% | 59% | |
May 26, 2018 | Abacus Data | 27% | 45% | 44% | 15% | 19% | 60% | ||||
May 23, 2018 | Forum Research | 30% | 33% | 15% | 32% | 51% | 43% | 26% | 19% | 69% | |
May 23, 2018 | Innovative Research | 24% | 26% | 19% | 27% | 57% | 46% | 20% | 24% | 61% | |
May 22, 2018 | Leger | 23% | 28% | 12% | |||||||
May 18, 2018 | Abacus Data | 26% | 46% | 42% | 13% | 17% | 60% | ||||
May 12, 2018 | Innovative Research | 24% | 26% | 16% | 31% | 52% | 44% | 17% | 21% | 62% | |
May 9, 2018 | Forum Research | 34% | 49% | 42% | 25% | 20% | 71% |
Polling firm | Last date of polling | Link | Lib | PC | NDP | Gre | Oth | Polling method | Lead | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Campaign Research | HTML | 27 | 35 | 32 | 5 | 2 | ±2.3 pp | 1,871 | Online | 3 | |||
Leaders' debate in Parry Sound (May 11, 2018) | |||||||||||||
31.1 | 36.6 | 23.1 | 5.9 | 3.4 | ±2.19 pp | 2,000 | IVR | 5.5 | |||||
CityTV Toronto leaders' debate (May 7, 2018) |
Polling organisation | Last date of polling | Source | Lib | PC | NDP | Gr | Oth | Polling type | Sample size | Margin of error | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ipsos | HTML | 26 | 40 | 29 | – | 5 | Online/telephone | 1,197 | ±3.2% | |||
24.4 | 41.1 | 25.6 | 6.5 | 2 | IVR | 2,018 | ±2.2% | |||||
Abacus Data | HTML | 29 | 35 | 29 | 5 | 2 | Online | 1,755 | ±2.4% | |||
Nanos Research | 28.5 | 41.1 | 24.3 | 5.9 | Telephone | 500 | ±4.4% | |||||
Pollara | HTML | 23 | 40 | 30 | 6 | 1 | Online | 1,010 | ±3.1% | |||
Leger | HTML | 26 | 43 | 26 | – | Online | 1,000+ | |||||
Nanos Research | 30.6 | 42.2 | 21.4 | 5.3 | Telephone | 2,098 | ±2.1% | |||||
Forum Research | 21 | 46 | 27 | 4 | 2 | IVR | 1,126 | ±3% | ||||
Mainstreet Research | HTML | 28.2 | 44.9 | 21.3 | 4.0 | 1.6 | IVR | 1,763 | ±2.33% | |||
Ipsos | HTML | 27 | 40 | 28 | – | 5 | Online | 800 | ±4.0% | |||
Innovative Research | HTML | 29.9 | 42.5 | 20.7 | 6.9 | 1.1 | Online | 600 | ±4.0% | |||
Abacus Data | HTML | 28 | 40 | 24 | 6 | 2 | Online | 4,177 | ±1.5% | |||
EKOS Research | 29.3 | 43.0 | 20.7 | 5.2 | 1.8 | IVR | 1,067 | ±3.0% | ||||
Mainstreet Research | HTML | 23.9 | 50.3 | 18.3 | 5.2 | 2.4 | IVR | 1,969 | ±2.21% | |||
Forum Research | 29 | 36 | 26 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 728 | ±4% | ||||
Innovative Research | 26 | 44 | 22 | 7 | 1 | Telephone | 603 | ±4.0% | ||||
Mainstreet Research | HTML | 26.2 | 47.0 | 18.6 | 6.4 | 1.8 | IVR | 2,003 | ±2.23% | |||
Campaign Research | HTML | 27 | 43 | 23 | 5 | 1 | Online | 1,637 | ±2.4% | |||
Leger | 26 | 42 | 24 | – | 8 | Online | 1,008 | ±3.087% | ||||
Ipsos | HTML | 32 | 39 | 25 | – | 3 | Online | 803 | ±4.0% | |||
Forum Research | 23 | 44 | 27 | 5 | 2 | IVR | 923 | ±3% | ||||
Doug Ford is elected leader of the Progressive Conservative Party | ||||||||||||
Angus Reid | 24 | 50 | 22 | – | 4 | Online | 807 | ±3.4% | ||||
DART | 19 | 44 | 24 | – | 13 | Online | 962 | ±3.6% | ||||
Nanos Research | 30.5 | 43.5 | 23.2 | 2.8 | Telephone | 502 | ±4.4% | |||||
Forum Research | 21 | 46 | 24 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 1,005 | ±3% | ||||
Ipsos | HTML | 29 | 38 | 26 | – | 7 | Online | 802 | ±4.0% | |||
Forum Research | 24 | 49 | 19 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 949 | ±3% | ||||
Campaign Research | HTML | 28 | 43 | 20 | 8 | 1 | Online | 1,426 | ±2.5% | |||
Leger | HTML | 33 | 36 | 26 | Online | 996 | ±3.1% | |||||
Innovative Research | 32 | 36 | 21 | 9 | 2 | Online | 1,027 | |||||
Vic Fedeli is appointed as interim leader of the Ontario PC Party | ||||||||||||
Forum Research | 27 | 42 | 23 | 6 | 2 | IVR | 751 | ±4% | ||||
Patrick Brown resigns as Ontario PC leader | ||||||||||||
Innovative Research | 35 | 38 | 18 | 8 | 1 | Online | 1,040 | |||||
Forum Research | 24 | 43 | 24 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 1,022 | ±3% | ||||
Campaign Research | HTML | 34 | 35 | 23 | 6 | 2 | Online | 1,544 | ±2.5% | |||
Mainstreet Research | 32 | 43 | 18 | 7 | IVR | 2,375 | ±2.01% | |||||
Nanos Research | 33.5 | 41.4 | 20.5 | 4.0 | Telephone | 500 | ±4.4% | |||||
Ipsos | HTML | 28 | 36 | 28 | – | 9 | Online | 829 | ±4.0% | |||
Campaign Research | HTML | 35 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 2 | Online | 1,495 | ±2.5% | |||
Forum Research | 24 | 40 | 26 | 8 | 2 | IVR | 861 | ±3% | ||||
Innovative Research | 31 | 41 | 19 | 8 | 1 | Telephone | 607 | ±4.0% | ||||
Campaign Research | HTML | 32 | 35 | 23 | 9 | 1 | Online | 1,263 | ±2.8% | |||
Nanos Research | 29.2 | 38.3 | 26.0 | 6.4 | Telephone | 500 | ±4.4% | |||||
Forum Research | 24 | 45 | 22 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 946 | ±3% | ||||
Campaign Research | HTML | 32 | 36 | 25 | 7 | 1 | Online | 1,347 | ±2.7% | |||
Forum Research | 22 | 44 | 27 | 5 | 2 | IVR | 801 | ±3% | ||||
Innovative Research | 35 | 40 | 18 | 5 | 1 | Telephone | 608 | ±4.0% | ||||
Campaign Research | HTML | 33 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 0 | Online | 1,133 | ±2.9% | |||
Ipsos | HTML | 32 | 39 | 22 | – | 7 | Online | 800 | ±4.0% | |||
Forum Research | 25 | 40 | 27 | 6 | 2 | IVR | 981 | ±3% | ||||
Nanos Research | 31.2 | 42.2 | 19.5 | 6.7 | Telephone | 500 | ±4.4% | |||||
Innovative Research | HTML | 36 | 40 | 17 | 6 | 1 | Telephone | 605 | ±4.0% | |||
Campaign Research | HTML | 31 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 1 | Online | 943 | ±3% | |||
Innovative Research | HTML | 35 | 39 | 20 | 5 | 1 | Telephone | 600 | ±4.0% | |||
Forum Research | 23 | 44 | 24 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 1,003 | ±3% | ||||
Campaign Research | HTML | 30 | 38 | 24 | 7 | 1 | Online | 1,118 | ±3% | |||
Mainstreet Research | HTML | 29 | 43 | 24 | 5 | – | IVR | 2,000 | ±2.19% | |||
Campaign Research | HTML | 37 | 34 | 22 | 6 | 1 | Online | 864 | ±4% | |||
Forum Research | 28 | 41 | 23 | 6 | 3 | IVR | 1,103 | ±3% | ||||
Campaign Research | HTML | 31 | 36 | 25 | Online | 979 | ±3% | |||||
Innovative Research | 29 | 40 | 23 | 6 | 2 | Online | 779 | |||||
Forum Research | 19 | 43 | 28 | 8 | 2 | IVR | 884 | ±3.3% | ||||
Mainstreet Research | HTML | 30 | 40 | 24 | 6 | – | IVR | 2,531 | ±1.95% | |||
Forum Research | 24 | 44 | 25 | 6 | 2 | IVR | 1,120 | ±3% | ||||
Mainstreet Research | HTML | 29 | 39 | 27 | 4 | – | IVR | 2,524 | ±1.95% | |||
Campaign Research | HTML | 28 | 50 | 15 | 5 | 2 | IVR | 676 | ±4% | |||
Forum Research | 24 | 43 | 24 | 8 | 2 | IVR | 1,184 | ±3% | ||||
Nanos Research | 31.9 | 39.9 | 22.2 | 5.2 | 0.8 | Telephone | 500 | ±4.4% | ||||
Mainstreet Research | HTML | 25 | 43 | 27 | 6 | – | IVR | 2,524 | ±1.95% | |||
Forum Research | 24 | 43 | 23 | 8 | 2 | IVR | 1,124 | ±3% | ||||
Innovative Research | 33 | 38 | 20 | 8 | – | Telephone | 600 | ±4.0% | ||||
Ipsos | HTML | 40 | 35 | 20 | 5 | – | Online | 800 | ±4% | |||
Mainstreet Research | HTML | 28 | 43 | 23 | 6 | – | IVR | 2,562 | ±1.94% | |||
Forum Research | 25 | 45 | 23 | 6 | 2 | IVR | 1,154 | ±3% | ||||
Ipsos | HTML | 35 | 37 | 23 | 5 | – | Online | 800 | ±4% | |||
Premier Kathleen Wynne prorogues the legislature | ||||||||||||
Forum Research | 28 | 41 | 23 | 6 | 2 | IVR | 1,097 | ±3% | ||||
Forum Research | 35 | 42 | 17 | 5 | 2 | IVR | 1,183 | ±3% | ||||
Forum Research | 30 | 40 | 21 | 8 | 2 | IVR | 1,173 | ±3% | ||||
Forum Research | 30 | 40 | 21 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 1,172 | ±3% | ||||
Mainstreet Research | HTML | 36 | 38 | 20 | 5 | – | IVR | 2,537 | ±1.95% | |||
Forum Research | 34 | 39 | 21 | 5 | 2 | IVR | 1,157 | ±3% | ||||
Forum Research | 30 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 2 | IVR | 1,225 | ±3% | ||||
Forum Research | 27 | 44 | 22 | 6 | 2 | IVR | 1,148 | ±3% | ||||
Mainstreet Research | HTML | 33 | 36 | 26 | 5 | – | IVR | 2,623 | ±1.91% | |||
Forum Research | 31 | 34 | 26 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 1,003 | ±3% | ||||
Ipsos | HTML | 44 | 31 | 20 | 4 | – | Online | 1,002 | ±3.5% | |||
Forum Research | 30 | 36 | 26 | 6 | 1 | IVR | 1,158 | ±3% | ||||
Mainstreet Research | HTML | 28 | 40 | 25 | 7 | – | IVR | 2,506 | ±1.96% | |||
Mainstreet Research | HTML | 30 | 40 | 24 | 7 | – | IVR | 4,610 | ±1.5% | |||
Forum Research | 26 | 35 | 33 | 4 | 2 | IVR | 1,001 | ±3% | ||||
Forum Research | 26 | 32 | 35 | 5 | 2 | IVR | 678 | ±4% | ||||
Ipsos | HTML | 34.13 | 32.37 | 25.19 | 8.31 | – | Online | 1,002 | ±3.5% | |||
Innovative Research | 34 | 35 | 24 | 6 | – | Telephone | 606 | ±4.0% | ||||
Forum Research | 24 | 33 | 36 | 5 | 2 | IVR | 1,001 | ±3% | ||||
Patrick Brown is elected leader of the Ontario PC Party | ||||||||||||
Forum Research | 29 | 36 | 24 | 9 | 2 | IVR | 912 | ±3% | ||||
Innovative Research | 40 | 33 | 18 | 8 | 1 | Online | 1,017 | |||||
Forum Research | 29 | 34 | 27 | 8 | 2 | IVR | 881 | ±3% | ||||
Environics | HTML | 32 | 33 | 27 | 7 | – | Telephone | 989 | ±3.1% | |||
Forum Research | 32 | 39 | 21 | 6 | 2 | IVR | 996 | ±3% | ||||
Forum Research | 37 | 36 | 19 | 6 | 2 | IVR | 1,028 | ±3% | ||||
Forum Research | 35 | 36 | 20 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 1,058 | ±3% | ||||
Forum Research | 37 | 37 | 17 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 1,054 | ±3% | ||||
Forum Research | 40 | 35 | 19 | 4 | 2 | IVR | 1,104 | ±3% | ||||
Forum Research | 36 | 34 | 23 | 6 | 1 | IVR | 1,079 | ±3% | ||||
Forum Research | 39 | 32 | 19 | 8 | 2 | IVR | 1,229 | ±3% | ||||
Jim Wilson becomes interim leader of the Ontario PC Party | ||||||||||||
Tim Hudak resigns as leader of the Ontario PC Party | ||||||||||||
2014 election | HTML | 38.65 | 31.25 | 23.75 | 4.84 | 1.51 |