2010 Taiwanese local elections explained

Election Name:	2010 Taiwanese local elections
Country:	Taiwan
Type:	parliamentary
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2009 Taiwanese local elections
Previous Year:	2009
Election Date:	^[1]
Next Election:	2014 Taiwanese local elections
Next Year:	2014
Seats For Election:	5 mayors and others
Registered:	10,663,545
Turnout:	71.71% 5.96
Image1:	Ma Ying-jeou election infobox.jpg
Leader1:	Ma Ying-jeou
Party1:	Kuomintang
Leader Since1:	17 October 2009
Last Election1:	3 seats, 52.13%
Seats1:	3
Popular Vote1:	3,369,052
Percentage1:	44.54%
Swing1:	7.59
Leader2:	Tsai Ing-wen
Party2:	Democratic Progressive Party
Leader Since2:	20 May 2008
Last Election2:	2 seats, 45.23%
Seats2:	2
Popular Vote2:	3,772,373
Percentage2:	49.87%
Swing2:	4.65
1Blank:	Councillors
1Data1:	130
1Data2:	130
2Blank:	Township/city representatives
2Data1:	715
2Data2:	169

Local elections were held in Taiwan on 27 November 2010 to elect mayors, councillors, and village chiefs of special-municipalities (Kaohsiung, New Taipei, Taichung, Tainan and Taipei), known as the Five Municipalities Elections .^[2] Mayoral candidates for the Kuomintang were elected in New Taipei, Taipei, and Taichung, while candidates for the Democratic Progressive Party were elected in Kaohsiung and Tainan. On the eve of the election, Sean Lien, son of former Vice President Chan Lien, was shot in face when he was campaigning for a Kuomintang New Taipei councillor candidate.

Earlier in the year on 12 June 2010, elections were held to elect representatives in township/city councils and village chiefs.

Results summary

Subdivision! colspan="3" rowspan="2"

Mayor	Council
First party		Seats	Second party		Seats	Total seats
New Taipei City			Eric Chu		Kuomintang	30		DPP	28	66
Taipei City			Hau Lung-pin		Kuomintang	31		DPP	23	62
Taichung City			Jason Hu		Kuomintang	27		DPP	24	63
Tainan City			Lai Ching-te		DPP	27		Kuomintang	13	57
Kaohsiung City			Chen Chu		Kuomintang	29		DPP	28	66

Subdivision! rowspan="2"

Electorate	Turnout (%)	Winner				Runner-up				Map
Name		Votes	%	Name		Votes	%
New Taipei City	3,006,877	71.25		Eric Chu	1,115,536	52.61		Tsai Ing-wen	1,004,900	47.39
Taipei City	2,045,925	70.65		Hau Lung-pin	797,865	55.65		Su Tseng-chang	628,129	43.81
Taichung City	1,977,368	73.15		Jason Hu	730,284	51.12		Su Jia-chyuan	698,358	48.88
Tainan City	1,467,256	71.01		Lai Ching-te	619,897	60.41		Kuo Tien-tsai	406,196	39.59
Kaohsiung City	2,166,119	72.52		Chen Chu	821,089	52.80		Yang Chiu-hsing	414,950	26.68	frameless

Taipei

Electoral background

As the capital of Taiwan, Taipei functions as the economic and political centre of Taiwan, and is currently the largest city of Taiwan.^[3] Due to the great allocation of resources to Taipei, the Municipal Mayoral position of Taipei is of extreme strategic importance within the political arena, and has always been a fiercely contested position. Because two directly elected Municipal Mayors of Taipei, Chen Shui-bian and Ma Ying-jeou, were elected the Presidents in 2000 and 2008 respectively, the position has been widely speculated to be a "first-step" towards the Presidential Office.^[4]

Having been under the administration of the Kuomintang for the past twelve years, Taipei is commonly considered to be solidly in the Pan-Blue political camp. Recent estimates show that approximately 60% of voters who identify themselves with political inclination support the Pan-Blue Coalition, whilst 40% support the Pan-Green Coalition.^[5] A significant proportion of eligible voters in Taiwan identify themselves as having no political inclination. The incumbent Taipei Municipal Mayor Hau Lung-pin of the Kuomintang stood for his second term in this election.

Results of Past Taipei Municipal Mayoral Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1994	Chen Shui-bian	Democratic Progressive Party
1998	Ma Ying-jeou	Kuomintang
2002	Ma Ying-jeou	Kuomintang
2006	Hau Lung-pin	Kuomintang

Polling

Poll source	Date of completion	Hau Lung-pin	Su Tseng-chang	Undecided
TVBS	May 26, 2010^[6]	46%	41%	14%
Era Television	June 11, 2010^[7]	39.3%	41.0%	19.6%
Era Television	June 22, 2010^[8]	41.8%	37.7%	20.5%
China Times	July 15, 2010^[9]	42.9%	38.5%	18.7%
TVBS	July 20, 2010^[10]	44%	41%	15%
I-tel Research	August 19, 2010^[11]	58.33%	41.67%	—
TVBS	August 25, 2010^[12]	45%	42%	12%
Apple Daily	August 29, 2010^[13]	43.12%	44.68%	12.20%
I-tel Research	September 1, 2010^[14]	44.55%	55.45%	—
TVBS	September 8, 2010^[15]	42%	45%	13%
China Times	September 17, 2010^[16]		39.0%	41.2%	19.8%
I-tel Research	September 20, 2010^[17]	52.94%	47.06%	—
United Daily News	September 26, 2010^[18]	41%	33%	26%
Apple Daily	October 3, 2010^[19]	47.52%	35.64%	16.84%
TVBS	October 6, 2010^[20]	43%	42%	15%
Shih Hsin University	October 12, 2010^[21]	33.2%	30.1%	36.7%
Liberty Times	October 21, 2010^[22]	36.84%	37.45%	25.71%
United Daily News	October 24, 2010^[23]	48%	37%	15%
TVBS	October 27, 2010^[24]	46%	40%	14%
China Times	November 3, 2010^[25]	42.7%	42.1%	15.2%
Wealth Magazine	November 7, 2010^[26]	37.2%	38.5%	24.3%
Shih Hsin University	November 8, 2010^[27]	33.4%	33.0%	33.6%
Democratic Progressive Party	November 10, 2010^[28]	39.3%	40.8%	19.9%
TVBS	November 11, 2010^[29]	49%	39%	12%
China Times	November 14, 2010^[30]	47.3%	39.6%	13.2%

Predictions

Source	Date of release	Voter turnout	Hau Lung-pin	Su Tseng-chang
TVBS	August 25, 2010	66%	51%	49%
TVBS	September 8, 2010	67%	48%	52%
I-tel Research	October 4, 2010^[31]	—	50.59%	49.41%
United Daily News	October 24, 2010	—	49%	51%
TVBS	October 27, 2010	68%	50.3%	49.7%
TVBS	November 11, 2010	68%	53%	47%
Global Views	November 27, 2010^[32]	68%	50.6%	48.5%

Results

Municipal Mayoral Election

Party		Candidate	Votes	Percentage
	Kuomintang	2	Hau Lung-pin (郝龍斌)	797,865	55.65%	ImageSize = width:100 height:25PlotArea = left:0 bottom:0 top:0 right:0TimeAxis = orientation:horizontal format:yyyyDateFormat = x.yPeriod = from:0 till:100TimeAxis = orientation:horizontalAlignBars = earlyColors = id:gray value:rgb(0.85,0.85,0.85) id:blue value:rgb(0.00,0.56,0.86)BarData = bar:WikipediasPlotData= bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:100 color:gray width:0.2in bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:55.65 color:blue width:0.2in
	Democratic Progressive Party	5	Su Tseng-chang (蘇貞昌)	628,129	43.81%	ImageSize = width:100 height:25PlotArea = left:0 bottom:0 top:0 right:0TimeAxis = orientation:horizontal format:yyyyDateFormat = x.yPeriod = from:0 till:100TimeAxis = orientation:horizontalAlignBars = earlyColors = id:gray value:rgb(0.85,0.85,0.85) id:blue value:rgb(0.00,0.56,0.86)BarData = bar:WikipediasPlotData= bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:100 color:gray width:0.2in bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:43.81 color:green width:0.2in
	Independent	4	Francis Wu (吳武明)	3,672	0.26%	ImageSize = width:100 height:25PlotArea = left:0 bottom:0 top:0 right:0TimeAxis = orientation:horizontal format:yyyyDateFormat = x.yPeriod = from:0 till:100TimeAxis = orientation:horizontalAlignBars = earlyColors = id:gray value:rgb(0.85,0.85,0.85) id:blue value:rgb(0.00,0.56,0.86)BarData = bar:WikipediasPlotData= bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:100 color:gray width:0.2in bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:0.26 color:black width:0.2in
	Independent	3	Helen Hsiao (蕭淑華)	2,238	0.16%	ImageSize = width:100 height:25PlotArea = left:0 bottom:0 top:0 right:0TimeAxis = orientation:horizontal format:yyyyDateFormat = x.yPeriod = from:0 till:100TimeAxis = orientation:horizontalAlignBars = earlyColors = id:gray value:rgb(0.85,0.85,0.85) id:blue value:rgb(0.00,0.56,0.86)BarData = bar:WikipediasPlotData= bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:100 color:gray width:0.2in bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:0.16 color:black width:0.2in
	Independent	1	Wu Yen-cheng (吳炎成)	1,832	0.13%	ImageSize = width:100 height:25PlotArea = left:0 bottom:0 top:0 right:0TimeAxis = orientation:horizontal format:yyyyDateFormat = x.yPeriod = from:0 till:100TimeAxis = orientation:horizontalAlignBars = earlyColors = id:gray value:rgb(0.85,0.85,0.85) id:blue value:rgb(0.00,0.56,0.86)BarData = bar:WikipediasPlotData= bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:100 color:gray width:0.2in bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:0.13 color:black width:0.2in
Total				1,433,736	align=right colspan=2	100.00%
Voter turnout				70.65%

Municipal Councilmen Election

Party	Votes	Percentage	Seats
	Kuomintang	637,255	44.93%	31
	Democratic Progressive Party	516,140	36.39%	23
	New Party	74,116	5.23%	3
	People First Party	65,550	4.62%	2
	Taiwan Solidarity Union	36,302	2.56%	1
	Green Party Taiwan	16,329	1.15%	0
	Taiwan Constitution Association	188	0.01%	0
	Independent	72,455	5.11%	2
Total		1,418,335	100.00%	62
Voter turnout		70.65%

Ward Chiefs Election

Party	Votes	Percentage	Seats
	Kuomintang	648,243	48.63%	247
	Democratic Progressive Party	105,465	7.91%	41
	Green Party Taiwan	964	0.07%	0
	Independent	578,227	43.38%	168
Total		1,332,899	100.00%	456
Voter turnout		70.72%

New Taipei

Electoral background

New Taipei (formerly Taipei County) was promoted into a central municipality, and replaced Taipei City as the largest city of Taiwan.^[3] Taipei County was under the administration of the Kuomintang, with the incumbent Taipei County Magistrate Chou Hsi-wei serving as mayor. However, unlike Taipei City, which is solidly in the Pan-Blue political camp, the electoral composition of Taipei County is more evenly distributed between Pan-Blue and Pan-Green Coalition supporters, with only a very slight overall inclination towards the Pan-Blue political camp.^[33] It should also be noted that Taipei County had previously been under the administration of the Democratic Progressive Party for 16 years, until the incumbent County Magistrate Chou Hsi-wei won power 5 years ago.^{[34] [35]}

Results of Past Taipei County Magistrate Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1989	You Ching	Democratic Progressive Party
1993	You Ching	Democratic Progressive Party
1997	Su Tseng-chang	Democratic Progressive Party
2001	Su Tseng-chang	Democratic Progressive Party
2005	Chou Hsi-wei	Kuomintang

Polling

Poll source	Date of completion	Eric Chu Li-luan	Tsai Ing-wen	Undecided
China Times	May 24, 2010^[36]	33.0%	28.2%	38.7%
TVBS	May 24, 2010^[37]	43%	44%	14%
TVBS	July 16, 2010^[38]	46%	40%	14%
China Times	July 17, 2010^[39]	39.2%	39.8%	21.0%
Era Television	July 21, 2010^[40]	41.1%	36.2%	22.7%
Democratic Progressive Party	August 19, 2010^[41]	44.2%	44.1%	11.7%
TVBS	August 23, 2010^[42]	47%	40%	13%
I-tel Research	August 23, 2010^[43]	45%	55%	—
I-tel Research	September 7, 2010^[44]	43.9%	56.1%	—
Apple Daily	September 11, 2010^[45]	47.04%	39.08%	13.88%
China Times	September 17, 2010^[46]	42.1%	38.1%	19.8%
Democratic Progressive Party	September 23, 2010^[47]	44.4%	43.5%	12.1%
United Daily News	September 27, 2010^[48]	45%	28%	26%
I-tel Research	September 28, 2010^[49]	55.63%	44.38%	—
Apple Daily	October 4, 2010^[50]	48.49%	35.13%	16.38%
TVBS	October 5, 2010^[51]	47%	35%	17%
Democratic Progressive Party	October 7, 2010^[52]	43.1%	43.5%	13.4%
Citizen's Association of Taiwan	October 8, 2010^[53]	37.9%	35.3%	26.8%
Shih Hsin University	October 10, 2010^[54]	35.3%	31.3%	33.4%
China Times	October 17, 2010^[55]	43%	34%	23%
Liberty Times	October 19, 2010^[56]	35.81%	34.00%	30.19%
United Daily News	October 27, 2010^[57]	45%	37%	18%
TVBS	October 29, 2010^[58]	44%	40%	16%
China Times	November 2, 2010^[59]	44%	38%	18%
Liberty Times	November 2, 2010^[60]	35.82%	38.49%	25.69%
Wealth Magazine	November 5, 2010	39.3%	34.3%	26.4%
Decision Making Research	November 6, 2010^[61]	39.9%	37.2%	22.9%
Shih Hsin University	November 7, 2010^[62]	33.5%	30.4%	36.1%
China Times	November 8, 2010^[63]	45.6%	41.6%	12.8%
TVBS	November 9, 2010^[64]	45%	38%	17%
Democratic Progressive Party	November 12, 2010^[65]	40.3%	39.1%	20.6%
Liberty Times	November 12, 2010^[66]	38.81%	39.29%	21.90%

Predictions

Source	Date of release	Voter turnout	Eric Chu Li-luan	Tsai Ing-wen
TVBS	August 23, 2010^[67]	69%	53%	47%
I-tel Research	October 4, 2010^[68]	—	49.56%	50.44%
United Daily News	October 27, 2010	—	55%	45%
TVBS	October 29, 2010^[69]	71%	51%	49%
TVBS	November 9, 2010^[70]	71%	51%	49%
Global Views	November 27, 2010	69.1%	48.9%	51.1%

Results

Municipal Mayoral Election

Party		Candidate	Votes	Percentage
	Kuomintang	1	Eric Chu Li-luan (朱立倫)	1,115,536	52.61%	ImageSize = width:100 height:25PlotArea = left:0 bottom:0 top:0 right:0TimeAxis = orientation:horizontal format:yyyyDateFormat = x.yPeriod = from:0 till:100TimeAxis = orientation:horizontalAlignBars = earlyColors = id:gray value:rgb(0.85,0.85,0.85) id:blue value:rgb(0.00,0.56,0.86)BarData = bar:WikipediasPlotData= bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:100 color:gray width:0.2in bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:52.61 color:blue width:0.2in
	Democratic Progressive Party	2	Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文)	1,004,900	47.39%	ImageSize = width:100 height:25PlotArea = left:0 bottom:0 top:0 right:0TimeAxis = orientation:horizontal format:yyyyDateFormat = x.yPeriod = from:0 till:100TimeAxis = orientation:horizontalAlignBars = earlyColors = id:gray value:rgb(0.85,0.85,0.85) id:blue value:rgb(0.00,0.56,0.86)BarData = bar:WikipediasPlotData= bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:100 color:gray width:0.2in bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:47.39 color:green width:0.2in
Total				2,120,436	align=right colspan=2	100.00%
Voter turnout				71.25%

Municipal Councilmen Election

Party	Votes	Percentage	Seats
	Kuomintang	831,590	39.74%	30
	Democratic Progressive Party	724,807	34.64%	28
	People First Party	40,755	1.95%	0
	New Party	18,807	0.90%	0
	Taiwan Solidarity Union	33,789	1.61%	0
	Green Party Taiwan	8,321	0.40%	0
	Independent	434,368	20.76%	8
Total		2,092,437	100.00%	66
Voter turnout		71.29%

Ward Chiefs Election

Party	Votes	Percentage	Seats
	Kuomintang	645,761	32.68%	354
	Democratic Progressive Party	75,790	3.84%	25
	Chinese Reunification Party	1,912	0.10%	1
	People First Party	208	0.01%	0
	Independent	1,252,189	63.37%	652
Total		1,975,860	100.00%	1,032
Voter turnout		71.45%

Taichung

Electoral background

Results of Past Taichung County Magistrate Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1989	Liao Liou-yi	Kuomintang
1993	Liao Liou-yi	Kuomintang
1997	Liao Yung-lai	Democratic Progressive Party
2001	Huang Chung-sheng	Kuomintang
2005	Huang Chung-sheng	Kuomintang

Results of Past Taichung City Mayoral Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1989	Lin Po-jung	Kuomintang
1993	Lin Po-jung	Kuomintang
1997	Chang Wen-ying	Democratic Progressive Party
2001	Jason Hu Chih-chiang	Kuomintang
2005	Jason Hu Chih-chiang	Kuomintang

The newly created central municipality Taichung will be formed from the merging and elevation of Taichung County and Taichung City, both of which are currently county-level divisions of Taiwan. At present, both Taichung County and Taichung are under the administration of the Kuomintang, with the incumbent Taichung County Magistrate being Huang Chung-sheng and the incumbent Taichung City Mayor being Jason Hu Chih-chiang. The electoral composition of Taichung County is relatively balanced with only a slight overall inclination towards the Pan-Blue political camp, whereas Taichung City is commonly considered to be mildly leaning towards the Pan-Blue political camp. It is estimated that in Taichung County, approximately 52% of voters who identify themselves with political inclination support the Pan-Blue Coalition, whilst 48% support the Pan-Green Coalition.^[33] In Taichung City, the proportion of Pan-Blue to Pan-Green supporters within voters who identify themselves with political inclination is approximately 55% to 45%.^[33]

Polling

Poll source	Date of completion	Jason Hu Chih-chiang	Su Jia-chyuan	Undecided
Apple Daily	May 24, 2010^[71]	53.40%	35.39%	11.21%
TVBS	May 25, 2010^[72]	57%	26%	17%
United Daily News	June 4, 2010^[73]	46%	24%	30%
Liberty Times	June 9, 2010^[74]	35.59%	28.71%	29.67%
Era Television	July 6, 2010^[75]	44.6%	32.5%	22.9%
TVBS	July 22, 20102^[76]	51%	31%	19%
Era Television	July 27, 2010^[77]	43.5%	30.7%	25.8%
I-tel Research	August 26, 2010^[78]	62%	38%	—
TVBS	August 27, 2010^[79]	51%	30%	19%
I-tel Research	September 9, 2010^[80]	52.25%	47.75%	—
Democratic Progressive Party	September 15, 2010^[81]	45%	36%	19%
China Times	September 19, 2010^[82]	41%	35%	25%
Apple Daily	September 26, 2010^[83]	51.82%	36.26%	11.92%
United Daily News	September 28, 2010^[84]	43%	25%	29%
Democratic Progressive Party	September 29, 2010^[85]	46.4%	33.3%	20.3%
I-tel Research	September 29, 2010^[86]	59.57%	40.43%	—
TVBS	October 12, 2010^[87]	47%	34%	18%
Shih Hsin University	October 12, 2010^[88]	37.9%	22.2%	39.9%
Democratic Progressive Party	October 13, 2010^[89]	45.7%	35.3%	19.0%
United Daily News	October 27, 2010	49%	31%	20%
Democratic Progressive Party	October 27, 2010^[90]	40.5%	35.4%	24.1%
China Times	October 31, 2010^[91]	43%	33%	23%
Liberty Times	November 5, 2010^[92]	34.85%	30.04%	35.11%
Democratic Progressive Party	November 6, 2010^[93]	40.1%	35.1%	24.8%
Shih Hsin University	November 9, 2010^[94]	36.3%	26.5%	37.2%
China Times	November 12, 2010^[95]	47.1%	40.1%	12.8%
Beterly Research	November 15, 2010^[96]	28.9%	29.2%	41.9%

Predictions

Source	Date of release	Voter turnout	Jason Hu Chih-chiang	Su Jia-chyuan
TVBS	August 27, 2010	65%	58%	42%
I-tel Research	October 4, 2010^[97]	—	57.28%	42.72%
United Daily News	October 27, 2010	—	56%	44%
Global Views	November 27, 2010	64.1%	50.6%	49.4%

Results

Municipal Mayoral Election

Party		Candidate	Votes	Percentage
	Kuomintang	2	Jason Hu Chih-chiang (胡志強)	730,284	51.12%	ImageSize = width:100 height:25PlotArea = left:0 bottom:0 top:0 right:0TimeAxis = orientation:horizontal format:yyyyDateFormat = x.yPeriod = from:0 till:100TimeAxis = orientation:horizontalAlignBars = earlyColors = id:gray value:rgb(0.85,0.85,0.85) id:blue value:rgb(0.00,0.56,0.86)BarData = bar:WikipediasPlotData= bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:100 color:gray width:0.2in bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:51.12 color:blue width:0.2in
	Democratic Progressive Party	1	Su Jia-chyuan (蘇嘉全)	698,358	48.88%	ImageSize = width:100 height:25PlotArea = left:0 bottom:0 top:0 right:0TimeAxis = orientation:horizontal format:yyyyDateFormat = x.yPeriod = from:0 till:100TimeAxis = orientation:horizontalAlignBars = earlyColors = id:gray value:rgb(0.85,0.85,0.85) id:blue value:rgb(0.00,0.56,0.86)BarData = bar:WikipediasPlotData= bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:100 color:gray width:0.2in bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:48.88 color:green width:0.2in
Total				1,428,642	align=right colspan=2	100.00%
Voter turnout				73.15%

Municipal Councilmen Election

Party	Votes	Percentage	Seats
	Kuomintang	531,365	37.64%	27
	Democratic Progressive Party	460,345	32.61%	24
	Taiwan Solidarity Union	24,396	1.73%	1
	People First Party	9,247	0.66%	1
	Independent	386,217	27.36%	10
Total		1,411,570	100.00%	63
Voter turnout		73.21%

Ward Chiefs Election

Party	Votes	Percentage	Seats
	Kuomintang	465,827	34.40%	227
	Democratic Progressive Party	54,623	4.03%	18
	Independent	833,529	61.56%	379
Total		1,353,979	100.00%	624
Voter turnout		73.31%

Tainan

Electoral background

Results of Past Tainan County Magistrate Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1989	Lee Ya-chiao	Kuomintang
1993	Mark Chen Tang-shan	Democratic Progressive Party
1997	Mark Chen Tang-shan	Democratic Progressive Party
2001	Su Huan-chih	Democratic Progressive Party
2005	Su Huan-chih	Democratic Progressive Party

Results of Past Tainan City Mayoral Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1989	Shih Chih-ming	Kuomintang
1993	Shih Chih-ming	Kuomintang
1997	George Chang Tsan-hung	Democratic Progressive Party
2001	Hsu Tain-tsair	Democratic Progressive Party
2005	Hsu Tain-tsair	Democratic Progressive Party

The newly created central municipality Tainan will be formed from the merging and elevation of Tainan County and Tainan City, both of which are currently county-level divisions of Taiwan. The incumbent Tainan County Magistrate Su Huan-chih and the incumbent Tainan City Mayor being Hsu Tain-tsair are both members of the Democratic Progressive Party. Having been under the administration of the Democratic Progressive Party for the past seventeen and thirteen years respectively, both Tainan County and Tainan City are commonly considered to be strongholds of the Pan-Green political camp.^[35] It is estimated that in both the county and the city, approximately 60% of voters who identify themselves with political inclination support the Pan-Green Coalition, whilst 40% support the Pan-Blue Coalition.^[33]

Polling

Poll source	Date of completion	William Lai Ching-te	Kuo Tien-tsai	Undecided
TVBS	May 20, 2010^[98]	59%	22%	19%
TVBS	July 27, 2010^[99]	53%	25%	22%
Era Television	August 17, 2010^[100]	47.7%	18.9%	33.4%
I-tel Research	August 27, 2010^[101]	67.21%	32.79%	—
TVBS	August 31, 2010^[102]	53%	25%	21%
I-tel Research	September 13, 2010^[103]	75.42%	24.58%	—
China Times	September 18, 2010^[104]	52%	21%	27%
United Daily News	September 29, 2010^[105]	44%	20%	33%
I-tel Research	September 30, 2010^[106]	66.43%	33.57%	—
TVBS	October 13, 2010^[107]	50%	28%	22%
Shih Hsin University	October 16, 2010^[108]	36.2%	23.3%	40.5%
Liberty Times	October 23, 2010^[109]	44.07%	16.73%	39.2%
United Daily News	October 29, 2010^[110]	48%	24%	28%
China Times	October 29, 2010^[111]	52%	23%	25%
TVBS	November 4, 2010^[112]	47%	34%	18%
Shih Hsin University	November 13, 2010^[113]	37.7%	22.0%	40.3%
Democratic Progressive Party	November 13, 2010^[114]	51.3%	25.9%	22.8%

Predictions

Source	Date of release	Voter turnout	William Lai Ching-te	Kuo Tien-tsai
TVBS	August 31, 2010	67%	64%	36%
I-tel Research	October 4, 2010^[115]	—	66.79%	33.21%
United Daily News	October 29, 2010	—	58%	42%
TVBS	November 4, 2010^[116]	71%	56%	44%
Global Views	November 27, 2010	61.7%	62.5%	37.5%

Results

Municipal Mayoral Election

Party		Candidate	Votes	Percentage
	Democratic Progressive Party	2	William Lai Ching-te (賴清德)	619,897	60.41%	ImageSize = width:100 height:25PlotArea = left:0 bottom:0 top:0 right:0TimeAxis = orientation:horizontal format:yyyyDateFormat = x.yPeriod = from:0 till:100TimeAxis = orientation:horizontalAlignBars = earlyColors = id:gray value:rgb(0.85,0.85,0.85) id:blue value:rgb(0.00,0.56,0.86)BarData = bar:WikipediasPlotData= bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:100 color:gray width:0.2in bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:60.41 color:green width:0.2in
	Kuomintang	1	Kuo Tien-tsai (郭添財)	406,196	39.59%	ImageSize = width:100 height:25PlotArea = left:0 bottom:0 top:0 right:0TimeAxis = orientation:horizontal format:yyyyDateFormat = x.yPeriod = from:0 till:100TimeAxis = orientation:horizontalAlignBars = earlyColors = id:gray value:rgb(0.85,0.85,0.85) id:blue value:rgb(0.00,0.56,0.86)BarData = bar:WikipediasPlotData= bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:100 color:gray width:0.2in bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:39.59 color:blue width:0.2in
Total				1,026,093	align=right colspan=2	100.00%
Voter turnout				71.01%

Municipal Councilmen Election

Party	Votes	Percentage	Seats
	Democratic Progressive Party	378,139	37.01%	27
	Kuomintang	288,861	28.27%	13
	People First Party	5,774	0.57%	0
	New Party	810	0.08%	0
	Taiwan Solidarity Union	4,701	0.46%	0
	Taiwan Public Opinion Party	138	0.01%	0
	Independent	343,300	33.60%	17
Total		1,021,723	100.00%	57
Voter turnout		71.09%

Ward Chiefs Election

Party	Votes	Percentage	Seats
	Kuomintang	191,288	19.56%	124
	Democratic Progressive Party	69,780	7.13%	40
	Independent	717,077	73.31%	588
Total		978,145	100.00%	752
Voter turnout		71.17%

Kaohsiung

Electoral background

Results of Past Kaohsiung Municipal Mayoral Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1994	Wu Den-yih	Kuomintang
1998	Frank Hsieh Chang-ting	Democratic Progressive Party
2002	Frank Hsieh Chang-ting	Democratic Progressive Party
2006	Chen Chu	Democratic Progressive Party

Results of Past Kaohsiung County Magistrate Elections
Year	Winning Candidate	Political Party
1989	Yu Chen Yueh-ying	Democratic Progressive Party
1993	Yu Cheng-hsien	Democratic Progressive Party
1997	Yu Cheng-hsien	Democratic Progressive Party
2001	Yang Chiu-hsing	Democratic Progressive Party
2005	Yang Chiu-hsing	Democratic Progressive Party

The newly created central municipality Kaohsiung will be formed from the merging of Kaohsiung County and the current central municipality Kaohsiung City. The incumbent Kaohsiung Municipal Mayor Chen Chu and the incumbent Kaohsiung County Magistrate Yang Chiu-hsing are both members of the Democratic Progressive Party. Having been under the administration of the Democratic Progressive Party for the past twelve years, the electoral composition of Kaohsiung City has a slight overall inclination towards the Pan-Green political camp.^[117] On the other hand, Kaohsiung County has been under the control of Tangwai members and the Democratic Progressive Party for 25 years, is widely considered to be solidly in the Pan-Green political camp.^{[34] [35]} It is estimated that in Kaohsiung County, approximately 60% of voters who identify themselves with political inclination support the Pan-Green Coalition, whilst 40% support the Pan-Blue Coalition.^[33]

Polling

Poll source	Date of completion		Yang Chiu-hsing	Huang Chao-shun	Undecided
TVBS	May 27, 2010^[118]	62%	—	26%	12%
Era Television	July 13, 2010^[119]	45.4%	25.4%	11.7%	17.5%
TVBS	July 29, 2010^[120]	43%	26%	16%	15%
Apple Daily	August 3, 2010^[121]	43.75%	27.18%	20.49%	8.58%
Era Television	August 3, 2010^[122]	43.6%	23.8%	11.5%	21.2%
United Daily News	August 4, 2010^[123]	44%	23%	13%	19%
Democratic Progressive Party	August 9, 2010^[124]	53.7%	22.6%	15.3%	8.4%
TVBS	August 10, 2010^[125]	46%	28%	14%	12%
I-tel Research	August 16, 2010^[126]	54.35%	36.96%	8.70%	—
Liberty Times	August 18, 2010^[127]	46%	19%	7%	28%
I-tel Research	August 31, 2010^[128]	48.36%	20.49%	31.15%	—
TVBS	September 2, 2010^[129]	46%	22%	16%	16%
I-tel Research	September 17, 2010^[130]	56.45%	25.81%	17.74%	—
China Times	September 18, 2010^[131]	45.5%	20.2%	14.9%	19.3%
Apple Daily	September 23, 2010^[132]	36.39%	24.60%	18.05%	20.96%
United Daily News	September 26, 2010	37%	24%	14%	23%
Democratic Progressive Party	September 27, 2010^[133]	46.0%	26.3%	12.4%	15.3%
TVBS	September 28, 2010^[134]	42%	21%	18%	19%
The Commons Daily	September 29, 2010^[135]	31.7%	18.8%	7.3%	42.4%
Apple Daily	September 29, 2010^[136]	38.30%	22.48%	19.61%	19.61%
China Times	September 30, 2010^[137]	42.8%	21.1%	13.8%	22.3%
Democratic Progressive Party	October 12, 2010^[138]	47.0%	21.7%	14.8%	16.5%
Shih Hsin University	October 14, 2010^[139]	31.7%	20.6%	15.2%	32.5%
TVBS	October 25, 2010^[140]	43%	26%	16%	15%
China Times	October 28, 2010^[141]	47.1%	23.4%	10.3%	19.2%
Liberty Times	October 30, 2010^[142]	43.27%	18.52%	7.8%	30.41%
United Daily News	October 31, 2010^[143]	39%	29%	16%	16%
TVBS	November 7, 2010^[144]	41%	28%	16%	15%
Democratic Progressive Party	November 9, 2010^[145]	47.2%	25.6%	12.5%	14.7%
Shih Hsin University	November 11, 2010^[146]	34.1%	18.2%	15.3%	32.4%
Liberty Times	November 15, 2010	45.03%	16.76%	11.51%	26.37%
China Times	November 15, 2010^[147]	46.0%	24.0%	13.7%	16.3%

Predictions

Source	Date of release	Voter turnout		Yang Chiu-hsing	Huang Chao-shun
TVBS	September 2, 2010	72%	52%	26%	22%
I-tel Research	October 4, 2010^[148]	—	52.74%	25.34%	21.92%
TVBS	October 25, 2010	74%	46%	31%	23%
United Daily News	October 31, 2010	—	44%	35%	21%
TVBS	November 7, 2010^[149]	73%	45%	33%	21%
Kuomintang	November 15, 2010^[150]	—	41.52%	27.68%	30.80%
Global Views	November 27, 2010	69.7%	55.6%	39.2%	5.2%

Results

Municipal Mayoral Election

Party		Candidate	Votes	Percentage
	Democratic Progressive Party	3	Chen Chu (陳菊)	821,089	52.80%	ImageSize = width:100 height:25PlotArea = left:0 bottom:0 top:0 right:0TimeAxis = orientation:horizontal format:yyyyDateFormat = x.yPeriod = from:0 till:100TimeAxis = orientation:horizontalAlignBars = earlyColors = id:gray value:rgb(0.85,0.85,0.85) id:blue value:rgb(0.00,0.56,0.86)BarData = bar:WikipediasPlotData= bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:100 color:gray width:0.2in bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:52.80 color:green width:0.2in
	Independent	1	Yang Chiu-hsing (楊秋興)	414,950	26.68%	ImageSize = width:100 height:25PlotArea = left:0 bottom:0 top:0 right:0TimeAxis = orientation:horizontal format:yyyyDateFormat = x.yPeriod = from:0 till:100TimeAxis = orientation:horizontalAlignBars = earlyColors = id:gray value:rgb(0.85,0.85,0.85) id:blue value:rgb(0.00,0.56,0.86)BarData = bar:WikipediasPlotData= bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:100 color:gray width:0.2in bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:26.68 color:black width:0.2in
	Kuomintang	2	Huang Chao-shun (黃昭順)	319,171	20.52%	ImageSize = width:100 height:25PlotArea = left:0 bottom:0 top:0 right:0TimeAxis = orientation:horizontal format:yyyyDateFormat = x.yPeriod = from:0 till:100TimeAxis = orientation:horizontalAlignBars = earlyColors = id:gray value:rgb(0.85,0.85,0.85) id:blue value:rgb(0.00,0.56,0.86)BarData = bar:WikipediasPlotData= bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:100 color:gray width:0.2in bar:Wikipedias from:0 till:20.52 color:blue width:0.2in
Total				1,555,210	align=right colspan=2	100.00%
Voter turnout				72.52%

Municipal Councilmen Election

Party	Votes	Percentage	Seats
	Kuomintang	601,083	39.08%	29
	Democratic Progressive Party	564,397	36.70%	28
	People First Party	30,355	1.97%	1
	New Party	1,317	0.09%	0
	Taiwan Solidarity Union	27,171	1.77%	0
	Independent	313,586	20.39%	8
Total		1,537,889	100.00%	66
Voter turnout		72.60%

Ward Chiefs Election

Party	Votes	Percentage	Seats
	Kuomintang	393,136	26.81%	242
	Democratic Progressive Party	170,430	11.62%	96
	Taiwan Solidarity Union	85	0.01%	0
	Independent	902,836	61.56%	555
Total		1,466,487	100.00%	893
Voter turnout		72.72%

Implications and reactions

A forum entitled "Policy Direction after Five Metropolitan Elections in Taiwan", organized by the Institute for National Policy Research on Monday, November 29, 2010, concluded that although the Kuomintang won three of the five mayoral positions, in terms of the overall votes won, the real victor was in fact the Democratic Progressive Party.^[151]

Raymond Burghardt, chairman of the American Institute in Taiwan, said that the way both parties handled the shooting which wounded Sean Lien, son of former vice-president Lien Chan, "was also a sign of political maturity."^[152]

Taiwanese political scientist Hsu Yung-ming believed that the elections signalled the era of the new "Four Heavenly Kings" Tsai Ing-wen, Chen Chu, William Lai and Su Jia-chyuan within the Democratic Progressive Party.^[153]

See also

• Elections in the Republic of China

Notes and References

1. Web site: 中選會選舉資料庫網站 . cec.gov.tw . 16 January 2020 . zh.
2. http://www.taiwantoday.tw/ct.asp?xitem=97734&CtNode=414 Three-in-one municipal elections set for Nov. 27
3. http://sowf.moi.gov.tw/stat/month/m1-01.xls 土地面積、村里鄰、戶數暨現住人口數統計表
4. http://forums.chinatimes.com/survey/9502a/Htm/02.htm 台北市長的好處
5. http://www.takungpao.com/news/10/03/04/_IN-1223054.htm 中評: 蘇郝對決牽動2012政治版圖
6. Web site: TVBS Poll Center: Public Opinion Marketing Research. May 26, 2010. TVBS. Chinese. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20100704212037/http://www.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/DL_DB/yijung/201005/yijung-20100527184915.pdf. July 4, 2010.
7. Web site: http://survey.eracom.com.tw/file/productimages25/100611-%E5%8F%B0%E5%8C%97%E5%B8%82%E9%95%B7%E9%81%B8%E6%83%85%E6%B0%91%E6%84%8F%E8%AA%BF%E6%9F%A5%E5%96%AE%E9%A1%8C%E7%99%BE%E5%88%86%E6%AF%94.pdf . zh:｢台北市長選情｣ 民意調査 . June 11, 2010 . Chinese . Era Television . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101206125915/http://survey.eracom.com.tw/file/productimages25/100611-%E5%8F%B0%E5%8C%97%E5%B8%82%E9%95%B7%E9%81%B8%E6%83%85%E6%B0%91%E6%84%8F%E8%AA%BF%E6%9F%A5%E5%96%AE%E9%A1%8C%E7%99%BE%E5%88%86%E6%AF%94.pdf . December 6, 2010 .
8. Web site: http://survey.eracom.com.tw/file/productimages25/100622-%E5%8F%B0%E5%8C%97%E5%B8%82%E9%95%B7%E9%81%B8%E6%83%85%E6%B0%91%E6%84%8F%E8%AA%BF%E6%9F%A5%E5%96%AE%E9%A1%8C%E7%99%BE%E5%88%86%E6%AF%94.pdf . zh:｢台北市長選情｣ 民意調査 . June 22, 2010 . Chinese . Era Television . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101206125921/http://survey.eracom.com.tw/file/productimages25/100622-%E5%8F%B0%E5%8C%97%E5%B8%82%E9%95%B7%E9%81%B8%E6%83%85%E6%B0%91%E6%84%8F%E8%AA%BF%E6%9F%A5%E5%96%AE%E9%A1%8C%E7%99%BE%E5%88%86%E6%AF%94.pdf . December 6, 2010 .
9. News: http://news.chinatimes.com/politics/0,5244,50204041x112010071500173,00.html . zh:本報選情民調 郝43％ 蘇39％ 首都激鬥ing . July 15, 2010 . China Times . Chinese . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20100716193306/http://news.chinatimes.com/politics/0%2C5244%2C50204041x112010071500173%2C00.html . July 16, 2010 .
10. Web site: TVBS Poll Center: Public Opinion Marketing Research. October 27, 2010. TVBS. Chinese. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20100820200404/http://www.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/DL_DB/yijung/201007/yijung-20100721182046.pdf. August 20, 2010.
11. Web site: http://www.i-tel.com.tw/vivi/0818election-t-0.htm. zh:台北市長(第一波民調)─台北市市長二選一結果?. August 19, 2010. Chinese. I-Tel Research. September 5, 2010. September 8, 2010. https://web.archive.org/web/20100908204401/http://www.i-tel.com.tw/vivi/0818election-t-0.htm. dead.
12. Web site: TVBS Poll Center: Public Opinion Marketing Research. August 25, 2010. TVBS. Chinese. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20100922102311/http://www.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/DL_DB/doshouldo/201008/doshouldo-20100826185929.pdf. September 22, 2010.
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14. Web site: http://www.i-tel.com.tw/vivi/election-2-2-1.htm. zh:｢花博爭議」殺很大!? 台北天空由藍轉綠!. September 1, 2010. Chinese. I-Tel Research. September 5, 2010. September 8, 2010. https://web.archive.org/web/20100908204446/http://www.i-tel.com.tw/vivi/election-2-2-1.htm. dead.
15. Web site: TVBS Poll Center: Public Opinion Marketing Research. September 8, 2010. TVBS. Chinese. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20101010183259/http://www.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/DL_DB/rickliu/201009/rickliu-20100909190005.pdf. October 10, 2010.
16. News: http://news.chinatimes.com/politics/0,5244,50204041x112010071500173,00.html . zh:本報最新民調 蘇41% 郝39% 首都保衛戰選情激烈 . September 17, 2010 . China Times . Chinese . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20100919152344/http://news.chinatimes.com/focus/0%2C5243%2C50106600x112010091700111%2C00.html . September 19, 2010 .
17. Web site: http://www.i-tel.com.tw/vivi/election-3-2-1.htm. zh:郝蘇爭霸越演越烈 站穩腳步者必致勝!. September 20, 2010. Chinese. I-Tel Research. October 16, 2010. October 12, 2010. https://web.archive.org/web/20101012162551/http://www.i-tel.com.tw/vivi/election-3-2-1.htm. dead.
18. News: News/National/NATS2/5877448 . September 26, 2010 . United Daily News . dead . https://archive.today/20130205021025/http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS2/5877448.shtml . February 5, 2013 .
19. News: http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/32857297/IssueID/20101003. zh: <蘋果> 民調 請問明天若是北市市長投票日, 你會投票給誰?. October 5, 2010. Apple Daily. Chinese. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20101005073832/http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/32857297/IssueID/20101003. October 5, 2010.
20. Web site: TVBS Poll Center: Public Opinion Marketing Research. October 27, 2010. TVBS. Chinese. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20101121171418/http://www.gclub.com.tw/FILE_DB/DL_DB/yijung/201010/yijung-20101007205538.pdf. November 21, 2010.
21. News: http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/32881159/IssueID/20101013. zh:五都選舉民調台北市 激戰 蘇僅落後郝3%. October 13, 2016. Apple Daily. Chinese. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20101016054525/http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/32881159/IssueID/20101013. October 16, 2010.
22. News: http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2010/new/oct/22/today-t2.htm. zh:本報民調/蘇37.45%郝36.84% 平分秋色. October 22, 2010. Liberty Times. Chinese.
23. News: News/National/NATS2/5935970 . October 24, 2010 . United Daily News . dead . https://archive.today/20130205072918/http://udn.com/NEWS/NATIONAL/NATS2/5935970.shtml . February 5, 2013 .
24. Web site: TVBS Poll Center: Public Opinion Marketing Research. October 27, 2010. TVBS. Chinese. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20120305163903/http://www.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/DL_DB/yijung/201010/yijung-20101028190251.pdf. March 5, 2012.
25. News: http://news.chinatimes.com/focus/0,5243,50107150x112010110500442,00.html . zh:台北市最新民調 郝43％ 蘇42％ 肉搏戰 熱到家 . November 5, 2010 . China Times . Chinese . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101116053227/http://news.chinatimes.com/focus/0%2C5243%2C50107150x112010110500442%2C00.html . November 16, 2010 .
26. http://monthly.wealth.com.tw/index2.aspx?f=201&amp;id=1416. zh:選前民調: 蘇貞昌小贏郝龍斌1.3個百分點 藍綠「搶3」決勝北二都!. October 10, 2010. Wealth Magazine. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20101117005416/http://monthly.wealth.com.tw/index2.aspx?f=201&id=1416. November 17, 2010.
27. News: http://tw.nextmedia.com/rnews/article/SecID/101/ArtID/89777/IssueID/20101110. zh:蘋果民調》郝蘇僅差0.4% 誰贏誰輸有得拚. November 10, 2016. Apple Daily. Chinese. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20101112090028/http://tw.nextmedia.com/rnews/article/SecID/101/ArtID/89777/IssueID/20101110. November 12, 2010.
28. News: http://www.nownews.com/n/2010/11/15/611622. zh:民進黨民調 年輕選民支持度: 蘇貞昌6成 郝龍斌近3成. November 15, 2010. Now News. Chinese.
29. Web site: TVBS Poll Center: Public Opinion Marketing Research. November 11, 2010. TVBS. Chinese. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20101121135406/http://www.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/DL_DB/doshouldo/201011/doshouldo-20101112185652.pdf. November 21, 2010.
30. News: http://news.chinatimes.com/focus/0,5243,50107248x112010111600465,00.html . zh:郝領先七％ 中立者較青睞蘇 . November 16, 2010 . China Times . Chinese . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101119073329/http://news.chinatimes.com/focus/0%2C5243%2C50107248x112010111600465%2C00.html . November 19, 2010 .
31. Web site: http://www.i-tel.com.tw/vivi/20100816election-1-3-3.htm. zh:台北市市長─三波民調支持度總表. October 4, 2010. Chinese. I-Tel Research. November 20, 2010. March 3, 2016. https://web.archive.org/web/20160303174051/http://www.i-tel.com.tw/vivi/20100816election-1-3-3.htm. dead.
32. Web site: http://www.gvm.com.tw/gvsrc/2010_GVSRC_CI.pdf. zh:遠見民調:五都選舉 ｢競選指標｣ 最終預測. November 27, 2016. Chinese. GVSRC. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20110107002334/http://www.gvm.com.tw/gvsrc/2010_GVSRC_CI.pdf. January 7, 2011.
33. 《台灣與大陸政治評論集》，林清察，2006年
34. 《重修臺灣省通志》＜卷八．職官志第一冊-文職表篇＞，劉寧顏，臺灣省文獻委員會，1993年
35. http://issue.udn.com/2005vote/sta/vphoto3.htm 歷屆縣市長選舉結果
36. News: http://news.chinatimes.com/focus/0,5243,50105459x112010052500107,00.html . zh:本報最新民調 新北市藍綠旗鼓相當 朱立倫33％ 蔡英文28％ . May 25, 2010 . China Times . Chinese . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20100527085958/http://news.chinatimes.com/focus/0%2C5243%2C50105459x112010052500107%2C00.html . May 27, 2010 .
37. Web site: TVBS Poll Center: Public Opinion Marketing Research. May 24, 2010. TVBS. Chinese. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20100704202352/http://www.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/DL_DB/rickliu/201005/rickliu-20100526170004.pdf. July 4, 2010.
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