2016 North Dakota gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:2016 North Dakota gubernatorial election
Country:North Dakota
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2012 North Dakota gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2012
Next Election:2020 North Dakota gubernatorial election
Next Year:2020
Election Date:November 8, 2016
Image1:File:DougBurgum 2018 (cropped-1).jpg
Nominee1:Doug Burgum
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:259,863
Percentage1:76.52%
Running Mate1:Brent Sanford
Nominee2:Marvin Nelson
Party2:North Dakota Democratic–Nonpartisan League Party
Popular Vote2:65,855
Percentage2:19.39%
Running Mate2:Joan Heckaman
Map Size:250px
Governor
Before Election:Jack Dalrymple
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Doug Burgum
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2016 North Dakota gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of North Dakota, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. This would have been the first time North Dakotans selected a governor under new voter ID requirements, in which a student ID was insufficient identification to vote,[1] but a court ruling in August 2016 struck the down the provision; the election was held under the 2013 rules.[2]

The primaries took place on June 14. This is the first open seat election since 2000. Incumbent Republican Jack Dalrymple announced that he would not run for re-election to a second full term in office.[3] Businessman Doug Burgum (R) defeated state representative Marvin Nelson (DNPL) in the general election to become the new Governor of North Dakota.

Background

In December 2010, Republican Governor John Hoeven resigned after being elected to the U.S. Senate. Jack Dalrymple, the lieutenant governor, was sworn in as governor and was elected to a full term in 2012. In August 2015, Dalrymple announced that he would not run for re-election to a second full term in office.[3]

Republican primary

The North Dakota Republican Party endorsed North Dakota Attorney General Wayne Stenehjem at their April 2–3 state convention, however ballot access was actually determined by the June 14th primary election, which former Microsoft executive Doug Burgum won in an upset.[4]

Candidates

Endorsed

Other candidates

Withdrawn

Declined

Republican State Convention

To endorse a candidate, delegates to the Republican state convention voted for one candidate in a series of rounds. After the first round, all candidates would remain on the ballot, but after subsequent rounds of voting, the recipient of the lowest number of votes would be removed. The first candidate to receive more than half the cast vote would receive the state party endorsement.

After no candidate received the majority in the first round, a second round of voting was completed, in which enough delegates voted for Attorney General Wayne Stenehjem to give him the endorsement without having to remove a candidate from the ballot or vote again.[16]

Republican primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Endorsed

Declined

Results

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Endorsed

Results

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[27] August 12, 2016
align=left Daily Kos[28] November 8, 2016
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[29] November 3, 2016
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] November 7, 2016
align=left Real Clear Politics[31] November 1, 2016
align=left Governing[32] October 27, 2016

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		Margin of
error		Doug
Burgum (R)		Marvin
Nelson (D)		Undecided
SurveyMonkeyNovember 1–7, 2016313± 4.6% align=center70%27%3%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 31–November 6, 2016288± 4.6% align=center68%29%3%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 28–November 3, 2016276± 4.6% align=center70%27%3%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 27–November 2, 2016260± 4.6% align=center69%28%3%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 26–November 1, 2016254± 4.6% align=center67%30%3%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 25–31, 2016279± 4.6% align=center68%29%3%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. News: Watts. Adam. Lyden. Grace. ID law may complicate voting for North Dakota students. March 9, 2016. Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. March 9, 2016.
  2. News: Childress. Sarah. North Dakota's Voter ID Law Is Latest to Be Overturned. September 22, 2016. Frontline. WGBH-TV. August 2, 2016.
  3. Web site: Dalrymple won't run for re-election. KFGO. August 24, 2015. August 24, 2015.
  4. Web site: Doug Burgum announces bid for North Dakota governor. Grand Forks Herald. Springer. Patrick. January 14, 2016. January 14, 2016. https://web.archive.org/web/20160304113836/http://www.grandforksherald.com/news/politics/3924505-doug-burgum-announces-bid-north-dakota-governor. March 4, 2016. dead.
  5. Web site: Stenehjem to announce for governor next week. The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. November 17, 2015. November 19, 2015.
  6. News: After two ballots, Stenehjem wins GOP nomination for ND governor's race. April 5, 2016. The Dickinson Press. Forum News Service. Forum Communications. April 2, 2016.
  7. News: Nelson. TJ. Stenehjem Announces Running Mate in ND Governor Race. April 10, 2016. KVRR.com. Red River Broadcast Co. April 3, 2016.
  8. News: Nowatzki. Mike. After criticizing Burgum, Sanford agrees to be his running mate. April 10, 2016. Jamestown Sun. Forum News Service. Forum Communications. April 8, 2016.
  9. Web site: State lawmaker from Bismarck running for governor. Grand Forks Herald. September 23, 2015. September 26, 2015. September 27, 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20150927214946/http://www.grandforksherald.com/news/politics/3845854-state-lawmaker-bismarck-running-governor. dead.
  10. Web site: Campbell announces he won't run for North Dakota governor. The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. Hageman. John. November 16, 2015. September 19, 2015.
  11. Web site: Congressman Kevin Cramer: "Timing isn't right for me to run for Governor". KFGO. Musland. Cally. August 25, 2015. September 29, 2015.
  12. Web site: Former Secretaries . usda.gov . United States Department of Agriculture . 19 March 2019.
  13. Web site: ND treasurer Schmidt to seek fourth term, won't run for governor. The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. Nowatzki. Mike. November 18, 2015. November 19, 2015.
  14. Web site: North Dakota Lt. Gov. Wrigley won't run for governor. The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. Nowatzki. Mike. September 28, 2015. September 29, 2015.
  15. News: Nowatzki. Mike. Poll finds Burgum trailing Stenehjem by large margin. March 3, 2016. Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. Forum News Service. March 1, 2016.
  16. Web site: news. INFORUM.
  17. News: Nowatzki. Mike. Four races still unfilled. April 5, 2016. Jamestown Sun. Forum Communications. April 4, 2016.
  18. News: Grossfeld. Max. ND Gov. Candidate Nelson Chooses New Rockford Sen. Heckaman as Running Mate. April 10, 2016. KFYR-TV. Associated Press. March 23, 2016.
  19. Web site: Heitkamp says she won't run for governor in 2016. The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. Nowatzki. Mike. September 9, 2015 . September 9, 2015.
  20. Web site: North Dakota democrat party leader says plenty of potential canidates [sic] for governor]. KFGO. Haney. Don. January 29, 2016. February 26, 2016.
  21. Web site: Sinner rules out gov. race; may not run for re-election to senate. KFGO. Monk. Jim. March 3, 2016. March 4, 2016.
  22. Web site: Democrats Have More Seats to Defend in 2015-2016 Governors Races. Governing. Jacobson. Louis. January 23, 2015. March 24, 2015.
  23. Web site: Heitkamp: Decision on ND governor's race coming 'sooner rather than later'. The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. Nowatzki. Mike. August 25, 2015 . September 9, 2015.
  24. Web site: Former ND ag commissioner exploring run for governor. The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. Nowatzki. Mike. November 3, 2015. November 19, 2015.
  25. Web site: Vogel bows out of North Dakota governor's race. The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. January 28, 2016. January 29, 2016.
  26. News: Fargo businessman to run for governor as Libertarian. April 5, 2016. The Forum of Fargo-Moorhead. Forum News Service. Forum Communications. April 5, 2016.
  27. Web site: 2016 Governor Race ratings . The Cook Political Report . October 15, 2018.
  28. Web site: Elections 2015-16 . Daily Kos . October 15, 2018 .
  29. Web site: Gubernatorial Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . October 15, 2018.
  30. Web site: Our Final 2016 picks . Sabato's Crystal Ball . October 15, 2018 . October 15, 2018 . https://web.archive.org/web/20181015114619/http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/our-final-2016-picks/ . dead .
  31. Web site: 2016 Election Maps - 2016 Governor Races . Real Clear Politics . October 15, 2018.
  32. Web site: 2016 Governors Races Ratings & News. Governing Magazine. October 28, 2016. October 27, 2016. https://web.archive.org/web/20161027090343/http://www.governing.com/governor-races-2016. dead.

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