2012 United States presidential election in North Carolina explained

See main article: 2012 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2012 United States presidential election in North Carolina
Country:North Carolina
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States presidential election in North Carolina
Previous Year:2008
Election Date:November 6, 2012
Next Election:2016 United States presidential election in North Carolina
Next Year:2016
Image1:Mitt Romney by Gage Skidmore 6 cropped.jpg
Nominee1:Mitt Romney
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:Massachusetts
Running Mate1:Paul Ryan
Electoral Vote1:15
Popular Vote1:2,270,395
Percentage1:50.39%
President
Before Election:Barack Obama
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Barack Obama
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)
Nominee2:Barack Obama
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:Illinois
Running Mate2:Joe Biden
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:2,178,391
Percentage2:48.35%

The 2012 United States presidential election in North Carolina took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 general election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. North Carolina voters chose 15 electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, U.S. Representative Paul Ryan.

Romney narrowly carried the state of North Carolina, winning 50.39% of the vote to Obama's 48.35%, a margin of 2.04 percentage points. North Carolina was one of just two states (along with Indiana) that flipped from voting for Obama in 2008 to voting Republican in 2012. Like Indiana, North Carolina had been a reliably Republican state prior to Obama's 2008 win, having not previously gone Democratic since 1976. Unlike Indiana, however, North Carolina was still considered a competitive swing state in 2012, and both campaigns targeted it heavily, with the Democrats holding their convention in Charlotte. Romney was the first presidential candidate since Zachary Taylor in 1848 to carry North Carolina while losing both Wake County and Mecklenburg County, the two most populous counties and home to the cities of Raleigh and Charlotte, respectively. Romney also became the third-ever Republican to carry North Carolina without winning the presidency after George H. W. Bush in 1992 and Bob Dole in 1996 and this feat would be reprised by Donald Trump in 2020. Obama became the first ever Democrat incumbent to win the state only once to then win re-election without it. Although Obama lost North Carolina to Romney, he received more votes than he received in 2008, garnering 35,740 more.

Obama became the first Democrat ever to win the presidency without Caswell and Hyde counties. As of the 2020 presidential election, this is the last time where the Republican presidential candidate won Watauga County and where the Democratic presidential candidate won Bladen County, Gates County, Granville County, Martin County, Richmond County, and Robeson County. This is also the last time that any presidential candidate won the majority of the vote in North Carolina.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The 2012 North Carolina Democratic primary was held May 8, 2012. North Carolina awarded 157 delegates proportionally.[1]

No candidate ran against incumbent President Barack Obama in North Carolina's Democratic presidential preference primary. Obama received 766,079 votes, or 79.23% of the vote, with the remainder (200,810 votes, or 20.77%) going to elect delegates with "No Preference".

At the North Carolina Democratic state convention, 152 delegates were awarded to Obama, with 5 delegates remaining unannounced.

Democratic primary election in North Carolina[2]
CandidateVotesPercentageAwarded delegates
Barack Obama (incumbent)766,07779.23%104
No Preference200,81020.77%43
Totals966,889100.00%104

Republican primary

The 2012 North Carolina Republican primary was held May 8, 2012.[3] [4] North Carolina awarded 55 delegates proportionally.[5] Ron Paul and Mitt Romney were the only active contenders on the ballot. By the time of the primary, Romney had already been declared the party's presumptive nominee.[6]

Romney won the North Carolina GOP presidential primary with 65.62% of the vote. Paul (with 11.12% of the vote) narrowly edged out Santorum (with 10.39% of the vote), and Gingrich came in last with 7.64% of the vote. 5.23% of voters registered "no preference". The awarded delegate count from North Carolina's Republican state convention was Romney with 48 delegates and Paul with 7 delegates.

Republican primary election in North Carolina
Candidate"style="width: 5em" VotesPercentageAwarded delegates
Mitt Romney638,60165.62%48
Ron Paul108,21711.12%7
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)101,09310.39%
Newt Gingrich (withdrawn)74,3677.64%
No Preference50,9285.23%
Totals973,206100.00%55

General election

Polling

Statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election

Throughout most of 2011, Obama won or tied with Romney in every poll. On September 25, 2011, Romney won a poll for the first time, 50% to 39%. Until May 2012, Obama had a consistent but narrow lead over Romney. Throughout the summer of 2012, the tide changed with Romney winning more polls than Obama. In September, Obama's momentum rose and Obama won most polls in September 2012. In October, the tide changed in Romney's favor, and Obama had not won a poll since October 1, 2012. Romney won every poll for the first three weeks in October, but then many polls came as tied between Obama and Romney. Romney led the last poll 50% to 46%, but the second last poll was tied.[7] The last three polls showed an average of Romney leading 49% to 48%, which was accurate compared to the results.[7]

Overview

2012 United States presidential election in North Carolina[8]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanMitt RomneyPaul Ryan2,270,39550.39%15
DemocraticBarack Obama (incumbent)Joe Biden (incumbent)2,178,39148.35%0
LibertarianJim Gray44,5150.99%0
Others (write-in)12,0710.27%0
Totals4,505,372100.00%15
Voter turnout (registered voters)67.74%

By county

CountyMitt Romney
Republican
Barack Obama
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
%%%%
Alamance38,17056.32%28,87542.60%7311.08%9,29513.72%67,776
Alexander12,25371.25%4,61126.81%3321.94%7,64244.44%17,196
Alleghany3,39066.90%1,58331.24%941.86%1,80735.66%5,067
Anson4,16637.01%7,01962.36%710.63%−2,853−25.35%11,256
Ashe8,24265.36%4,11632.64%2522.00%4,12632.72%12,610
Avery5,76674.31%1,88224.26%1111.43%3,88450.05%7,759
Beaufort13,97759.17%9,43539.94%2080.89%4,54219.23%23,620
Bertie3,38733.46%6,69566.14%410.40%−3,308−32.68%10,123
Bladen7,74848.56%8,06250.52%1470.92%−314−1.96%15,957
Brunswick34,74360.57%22,03838.42%5811.01%12,70522.15%57,362
Buncombe54,70142.84%70,62555.31%2,3701.85%−15,924−12.47%127,696
Burke22,26760.93%13,70137.49%5761.58%8,56623.44%36,544
Cabarrus49,55759.30%32,84939.31%1,1601.39%16,70819.99%83,566
Caldwell23,22966.88%10,89831.38%6051.74%12,33135.50%34,732
Camden3,10966.09%1,50832.06%871.85%1,60134.03%4,704
Carteret24,77569.76%10,30129.00%4411.24%14,47440.76%35,517
Caswell5,59450.67%5,34848.45%970.88%2462.22%11,039
Catawba44,53863.99%24,06934.58%9941.43%20,46929.41%69,601
Chatham16,66547.03%18,36151.82%4081.15%−1,696−4.79%35,434
Cherokee9,27872.11%3,37826.25%2111.64%5,90045.86%12,867
Chowan3,89151.85%3,55647.38%580.77%3354.47%7,505
Clay3,97370.42%1,57927.99%901.59%2,39442.43%5,642
Cleveland25,79359.51%17,06239.37%4851.12%8,73120.14%43,340
Columbus12,94153.38%11,05045.58%2521.04%1,8917.80%24,243
Craven26,92858.32%18,76340.64%4791.04%8,16517.68%46,170
Cumberland50,66639.69%75,79259.38%1,1830.93%−25,126−19.69%127,641
Currituck7,49666.31%3,56231.51%2462.18%3,93434.80%11,304
Dare10,24857.02%7,39341.13%3331.85%2,85515.89%17,974
Davidson49,38369.62%20,62429.07%9281.31%28,75940.55%70,935
Davie14,68771.05%5,73527.75%2481.20%8,95243.30%20,670
Duplin11,41655.44%9,03343.87%1430.69%2,38311.57%20,592
Durham33,76923.01%111,22475.80%1,7421.19%−77,455−52.79%146,735
Edgecombe8,54631.68%18,31067.89%1160.43%−9,764−36.21%26,972
Forsyth79,76845.83%92,32353.04%1,9781.13%−12,555−7.21%174,069
Franklin14,60351.44%13,43647.33%3501.23%1,1674.11%28,389
Gaston56,13862.04%33,17136.66%1,1741.30%22,96725.38%90,483
Gates2,56447.52%2,78651.63%460.85%−222−4.11%5,396
Graham2,75069.67%1,11928.35%781.98%1,63141.32%3,947
Granville12,40547.21%13,59851.75%2721.04%−1,193−4.54%26,275
Greene4,41153.56%3,77845.87%470.57%6337.69%8,236
Guilford104,78941.28%146,36557.66%2,6981.06%−41,576−16.38%253,852
Halifax8,76333.60%17,17665.86%1400.54%−8,413−32.26%26,079
Harnett25,56558.89%17,33139.92%5191.19%8,23418.97%43,415
Haywood15,63355.88%11,83342.30%5081.82%3,80013.58%27,974
Henderson32,99462.98%18,64235.58%7561.44%14,35227.40%52,392
Hertford3,00727.54%7,84371.84%680.62%−4,836−44.30%10,918
Hoke6,81939.90%10,07658.96%1941.14%−3,257−19.06%17,089
Hyde1,19350.06%1,16348.80%271.14%301.26%2,383
Iredell49,29964.56%26,07634.15%9901.29%23,22330.41%76,365
Jackson8,25449.42%8,09548.47%3522.11%1590.95%16,701
Johnston48,42763.15%27,29035.58%9741.27%21,13727.57%76,691
Jones2,83754.24%2,35244.97%410.79%4859.27%5,230
Lee13,15854.28%10,80144.56%2801.16%2,3579.72%24,239
Lenoir13,98049.78%13,94849.66%1580.56%320.12%28,086
Lincoln25,26768.71%11,02429.98%4841.31%14,24338.73%36,775
Macon10,83564.26%5,71233.88%3141.86%5,12330.38%16,861
Madison5,40453.44%4,48444.34%2252.22%9209.10%10,113
Martin5,99547.38%6,58352.03%740.59%−588−4.65%12,652
McDowell11,77565.06%6,03133.32%2931.62%5,74431.74%18,099
Mecklenburg171,66838.24%272,26260.65%4,9701.11%−100,594−22.41%448,900
Mitchell5,80674.77%1,83823.67%1211.56%3,96851.10%7,765
Montgomery6,40457.02%4,70641.90%1211.08%1,69815.12%11,231
Moore29,49563.55%16,50535.56%4150.89%12,99027.99%46,415
Nash23,84249.17%24,31350.14%3370.69%−471−0.97%48,492
New Hanover53,38551.52%48,66846.96%1,5751.52%4,7174.56%103,628
Northampton3,48332.38%7,23267.24%410.38%−3,749−34.86%10,756
Onslow32,24362.69%18,49035.95%7021.36%13,75326.74%51,435
Orange21,53928.06%53,90170.22%1,3171.72%−32,362−42.16%76,757
Pamlico4,05159.91%2,64739.15%640.94%1,40420.76%6,762
Pasquotank7,63342.15%10,28256.78%1921.07%−2,649−14.63%18,107
Pender14,61759.60%9,63239.27%2781.13%4,98520.33%24,527
Perquimans3,82257.46%2,75941.48%711.06%1,06315.98%6,652
Person10,49654.94%8,41844.06%1921.00%2,07810.88%19,106
Pitt36,21445.92%41,84353.06%7991.02%−5,629−7.14%78,856
Polk6,23660.03%4,01338.63%1401.34%2,22321.40%10,389
Randolph45,16074.38%14,77324.33%7821.29%30,38750.05%60,715
Richmond9,33248.06%9,90451.01%1810.93%−572−2.95%19,417
Robeson17,51040.77%24,98858.18%4481.05%−7,478−17.41%42,946
Rockingham25,22760.04%16,35138.91%4421.05%8,87621.13%42,020
Rowan38,77562.23%22,65036.35%8871.42%16,12525.88%62,312
Rutherford18,95466.04%9,37432.66%3741.30%9,58033.38%28,702
Sampson14,42255.10%11,56644.19%1860.71%2,85610.91%26,174
Scotland5,83141.19%8,21558.03%1100.78%−2,384−16.84%14,156
Stanly19,90469.31%8,43129.36%3821.33%11,47339.95%28,717
Stokes15,23770.48%6,01827.84%3641.68%9,21942.64%21,619
Surry19,92367.60%9,11230.92%4351.48%10,81136.68%29,470
Swain2,97651.96%2,61845.71%1342.33%3586.25%5,728
Transylvania9,63457.47%6,82640.72%3031.81%2,80816.75%16,763
Tyrrell93052.16%83746.94%160.90%935.22%1,783
Union61,10764.51%32,47334.28%1,1481.21%28,63430.23%94,728
Vance7,42935.62%13,32363.89%1020.49%−5,894−28.27%20,854
Wake211,59643.50%267,26254.94%7,5691.56%−55,666−11.44%486,427
Warren3,14030.90%6,97868.67%440.43%−3,838−37.77%10,162
Washington2,62240.34%3,83358.98%440.68%−1,211−18.64%6,499
Watauga13,86150.09%13,00246.98%8112.93%8593.11%27,674
Wayne27,64153.83%23,31445.40%3970.77%4,3278.43%51,352
Wilkes20,51570.39%8,14827.96%4821.65%12,36742.43%29,145
Wilson17,95445.91%20,87553.38%2800.71%−2,921−7.47%39,109
Yadkin12,57874.81%3,95723.54%2781.65%8,62151.27%16,813
Yancey5,27855.85%3,98142.12%1922.03%1,29713.73%9,451
Totals2,270,39550.39%2,178,39148.35%56,5861.26%92,0042.04%4,505,372

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Romney won 10 of the state's 13 congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
27.88%71.60%G. K. Butterfield
57.26%41.71%Renee Ellmers
57.99%41.01%Walter B. Jones
27.41%71.43%David Price
59.06%39.77%Virginia Foxx
57.65%41.34%Howard Coble
59.24%39.86%Mike McIntyre
58.06%41.00%Larry Kissell
Richard Hudson
56.19%42.81%Sue Myrick
Robert Pittenger
58.00%40.89%Patrick McHenry
60.90%37.79%Heath Shuler
Mark Meadows
20.79%78.54%Mel Watt
55.45%43.53%Brad Miller
George Holding

See also

External links

for North Carolina

Major state elections in chronological order

Notes and References

  1. Web site: North Carolina Democrat. The Green Papers. November 14, 2012.
  2. Web site: NC - Election Results. results.enr.clarityelections.com. September 18, 2016.
  3. News: Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar. CNN. January 12, 2012.
  4. News: Presidential Primary Dates. Federal Election Commission. January 23, 2012.
  5. Web site: North Carolina Republican. The Green Papers. November 14, 2012.
  6. News: Memoli. Michael A.. RNC officially names Mitt Romney the party's 'presumptive nominee'. November 3, 2016. LA Times. April 25, 2012.
  7. Web site: RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - North Carolina: Romney vs. Obama. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20110504081741/http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nc/north_carolina_romney_vs_obama-1784.html. 2011-05-04.
  8. Web site: North Carolina State Board of Elections . November 14, 2012 . https://web.archive.org/web/20121125212444/http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/NC/42923/112059/Web01/en/summary.html . 2012-11-25 . dead .