1990 Nicaraguan general election explained

Country:Nicaragua
Previous Election:1984 Nicaraguan general election
Previous Year:1984
Election Date:25 February 1990
Next Election:1996 Nicaraguan general election
Next Year:1996
Module:
Embed:yes
Type:presidential
Turnout:86.23% (10.81pp)
Election Name:Presidential election
Image1:Violeta Chamorro 1993.jpg
Candidate1:Violeta Chamorro
Party1:National Opposition Union
Color1:0038A8
Running Mate1:Virgilio Godoy
Popular Vote1:777,552
Percentage1:54.74%
Candidate2:Daniel Ortega
Party2:Sandinista National Liberation Front
Running Mate2:Sergio Ramírez
Popular Vote2:579,886
Percentage2:40.82%
President
Before Election:Daniel Ortega
Before Party:Sandinista National Liberation Front
After Election:Violeta Chamorro
After Party:UNO
Module:
Embed:yes
Election Name:Parliamentary election
Seats For Election:90 seats in the National Assembly
Majority Seats:46
Leader1:Violeta Chamorro
Party1:National Opposition Union
Color1:
  1. 0038A8
Last Election1:New
Seats1:51
Percentage1:53.88
Leader2:Daniel Ortega
Party2:Sandinista National Liberation Front
Last Election2:61
Seats2:39
Percentage2:40.84
Leader3:Erick Ramírez
Party3:PSC
Color3:
  1. 0262AE
Last Election3:0
Seats3:1
Percentage3:1.57
Leader4:Moisés Hassan
Party4:MUR
Color4:
  1. D21015
Last Election4:New
Seats4:1
Percentage4:0.99
Map:Elecciones legislativas de Nicaragua de 1990 - Resultados por circunscripción.svg
President of the National Assembly
Before Election:Carlos Núñez
Before Party:Sandinista National Liberation Front
After Election:Miriam Argüello
After Party:APCUNO

General elections were held in Nicaragua on 25 February 1990 to elect the President and the members of the National Assembly.[1] The result was a victory for the National Opposition Union (UNO), whose presidential candidate Violeta Chamorro surprisingly defeated incumbent president Daniel Ortega of the Sandinista National Liberation Front (FSLN).[2] This led to a historic peaceful and democratic transfer of power in Nicaragua.

Background

Ortega had held power since the FSLN toppled the Somoza dictatorship in 1979. Chamorro was the editor of the country's largest newspaper, La Prensa, which she took over after the assassination of her husband Pedro Joaquín Chamorro Cardenal in 1978.[3] A vocal critic of the dictatorship, his murder galvanized support for the Sandinistas against the dictatorship. Following the revolution that overthrew Somoza, Violeta Chamorro initially supported the FSLN government, accepting an invitation to join the Junta of National Reconstruction. However she soon became disenchanted and resigned, returning to the newspaper and becoming a critic of the FSLN government. In 1989 the United States Congress approved $9 million for the promotion of democracy in Nicaragua, of which $2.5 million was set aside for the UNO, in addition to a $5 million grant for the opposition earlier that year.[4] Beginning in early 1989 the government held a series of talks with the opposition about reforming electoral and media laws. In April 1989 the Electoral Law was reformed, giving the opposition a larger share of public campaign funds, increased access to state run media and permission to receive foreign financing.

Campaign

With a diverse coalition of 14 opposition groups, the UNO mainly campaigned on a promise to end the decades of civil war and instability that wracked the country.

While the FSLN was mainly under controversy for their campaign due to their use of violence.

Opinion polls

Opinion polls leading up to the elections divided along partisan lines, with 10 of 17 polls analyzed in a contemporary study predicting an UNO victory while 7 predicted the Sandinistas would retain power.[5] [6]

Results

The election was organized by Mariano Fiallos Oyanguren, a law professor and Sandinista who was appointed by the FSLN in 1984 to head the Supreme Electoral Council. He faced party pressure to throw the race, specifically to announce at 19:00 on election night that the results of the first four precincts were four victories for the FSLN.[7] Instead he chose to read the real results, which split the precincts, with two going to the FSLN and two to the ONU, which went on to win the election. Chamorro was elected with just under 55% of the vote.

Antonio Lacayo, a Sandinista supporter who voted for Ortega but ultimately served as a central figure in the Violeta Chamorro administration, said later: “Without Mariano Fiallos [Oyanguren] there would have been no democratic transition in 1990.”[8]

President

National Assembly

By region

RegionFSLNUNOOther
Boaco24.04%70.70%5.26%
Carazo51.62%44.55%3.84%
Chinandega41.71%54.26%4.03%
Chontales25.48%70.31%4.22%
Esteli51.07%44.45%4.47%
Granada37.52%58.63%3.85%
Jinotega37.44%54.81%7.74%
Leon45.67%50.45%3.87%
Madriz40.90%54.50%4.59%
Managua42.48%53.35%4.17%
Masaya41.84%54.65%3.50%
Matagalpa35.50%59.27%5.23%
Nueva Segovia49.51%46.60%3.89%
RAAN39.21%17.02%43.77%
RAAS34.37%58.70%6.93%
Rio San Juan57.72%39.47%2.81%
Rivas45.09%51.56%3.34%
align=left colspan=4Source: Constituency Level Elections Archive[9]

Analysis

Possible explanations for the ONU victory include that the Nicaraguan people were disenchanted with the Ortega government, specifically discontentment with the management of the economy and the hostile posture toward the United States, believing the ONU was more likely to bring peace. Additionally, in November 1989, the White House had met with Chamorro on the subject of peace and democracy in Nicaragua and announced that the economic embargo against Nicaragua would end if Chamorro won.[10] There are also reports of intimidation from the side of the Contras,[11] with a Canadian observer mission claiming that 42 people were killed by the Contras in "election violence" in October 1989.[12]

Notes and References

  1. [Dieter Nohlen]
  2. News: Turnover in Nicaragua; NICARAGUAN OPPOSITION ROUTS SANDINISTAS; U.S. PLEDGES AID, TIED TO ORDERLY TURNOVER. The New York Times. 27 February 1990. Mark A.. Uhlig. 30 April 2010.
  3. News: Uhlig. Mark A.. 1990-02-27. Turnover in Nicaragua; Aristocratic Democrat; Violeta Barrios de Chamorro. en-US. The New York Times. 2021-07-08. 0362-4331.
  4. Williams . Philip J. . 1990 . Elections and Democratization in Nicaragua: The 1990 Elections in Perspective . Journal of Interamerican Studies and World Affairs . 32 . 4 . 13–34 . 10.2307/166114 . 166114 . 0022-1937.
  5. Bischoping . Katherine . Schuman . Howard . Pens and Polls in Nicaragua: An Analysis of the 1990 Pre-election Surveys . American Journal of Political Science . May 1992 . 36 . 2 . 331–350 . 10.2307/2111480 . 2111480 . 3 July 2020.
  6. Web site: After the Poll Wars-Explaining the Upset. Envio. March 1990.
  7. Cid, Amalia del. "Cinco Grandes Fraudes Electorales En La Historia De Nicaragua." La Prensa. August 16, 2020. Via ProQuest.
  8. Web site: López. Ismael. June 29, 2014. El impulsor de la transparencia electoral. live. 2021-06-20. Confidencial. es. https://web.archive.org/web/20210624202930/https://archivo.confidencial.com.ni/articulo/18186/el-impulsor-de-la-transparencia-electoral . 2021-06-24 .
  9. Web site: Constituency-Level Elections Archive (CLEA). www.electiondataarchive.org. 2019-03-09.
  10. https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/politics/1989/11/09/bush-vows-to-end-embargo-if-chamorro-wins/705463fe-b519-4cef-8e9e-95b2504081d6/ "Bush Vows to End Embargo if Chamorro Wins"
  11. "The policy of keeping the contras alive ... also has placed in jeopardy the holding of elections by encouraging contra attacks on the electoral process. Thus, while the Bush administration proclaims its support for human rights and free and fair elections in Nicaragua, it persists in sabotaging both." As seen at: "Nicaragua" Human Rights Watch, 1990
  12. https://web.archive.org/web/20120724111823/http://pqasb.pqarchiver.com/thestar/access/471113751.html?FMT=ABS&FMTS=ABS:FT&type=current&date=Oct+27%2C+1989&author=%28CP%29&pub=Toronto+Star&desc=U.S.+trying+to+disrupt+election+in+Nicaragua%2C+Canadians+report&pqatl=google "U.S. trying to disrupt election in Nicaragua, Canadians report"