Next Trinidad and Tobago general election explained

Election Name:Next Trinidad and Tobago general election
Seats Before1:22
Majority Seats:21
Seats For Election:All 41 seats in the House of Representatives
Seats Needed2: 2
Last Election2:47.14%, 19 seats
Party2:United National Congress
Leader2:Kamla Persad-Bissessar
Last Election1:49.05%, 22 seats
Type:parliamentary
Leader1:Keith Rowley
Party1:People's National Movement
Image1:Trinidad and Tobago Prime Minister Keith Rowley at the United States Department of State in Washington, D.C., January 29, 2024 (cropped).jpg
Previous Election:2020 Trinidad and Tobago general election
Previous Year:2020
Country:Trinidad and Tobago
Election Date:By 2025
Ongoing:yes
Seats Before2:19
Prime Minister
Before Election:Keith Rowley
Before Party:PNM

General elections will be held in Trinidad and Tobago by 2025 to elect 41 members to the 13th Trinidad and Tobago Republican Parliament. It will be the 100th anniversary of general elections in the country.

Electoral system

The 41 members of the House of Representatives are elected by first-past-the-post voting in single-member constituencies. Registered voters must be 18 years and over, must reside in an electoral district/constituency for at least two months prior to the qualifying date, be a citizen of Trinidad and Tobago or a Commonwealth citizen residing legally in Trinidad and Tobago for a period of at least one year.

If one party obtains a majority of seats, then that party is entitled to form the Government, with its leader as Prime Minister. If the election results in no single party having a majority, then there is a hung parliament. In this case, the options for forming the Government are either a minority government or a coalition government.[1]

Parties and candidates

Political parties registered with the Elections and Boundaries Commission (EBC) can contest the general election as a party.[2]

The leader of the party commanding a majority of support in the House of Representatives is the person who is called on by the president to form a government as Prime Minister, while the leader of the largest party or coalition not in government becomes the Leader of the Opposition.[3]

Opinion polls

The North American Caribbean Teachers Association (NACTA) based in New York (led by political analyst Vishnu Bisram), pollster Nigel Henry's Solution by Simulation and pollster Louis Bertrand's H.H.B (H.H.B) & Associates have commissioned opinion polling for the next general election sampling the electorates' opinions.

Seat projections

DatePollsterdata-sort-type="number" Sample sizedata-sort-type="number" class="unsortable" style="background:;" Legislative majority
data-sort-value="2019-08-25" 9 Sep 2024NACTA/Newday[4] 49025160data-sort-value="5" style="background:;color:#FFFFFF;" 5
data-sort-value="2015-12-07" style="border-right-style:hidden;" 9 Sep 2024Five dissident UNC MPs reshuffled in the House of Representatives[5] [6]
data-sort-value="2015-12-07" style="border-right-style:hidden;" 17 Jun 20242024 Local Government By-Elections: PNM wins Lengua/Indian Walk, breaking the 2023 Trinidadian local election tie with the UNC for the seat and number of councillors elected islandwide, UNC retains control of Quinam/Morne Diablo
data-sort-value="2015-09-28" style="border-right-style:hidden;" 15 Jun 20242024 United National Congress internal election

Opposition Leader Kamla Persad-Bissessar retains leadership of the UNC with 76.47% of the vote.

data-sort-value="2016-07-03" style="border-right-style:hidden;" 14 August 2023PNM ties in number of councillors and corporations won with the UNC in the 2023 Trinidadian local elections
data-sort-value="2016-09-30" style="border-right-style:hidden;" 12 August 2023The Tobago People's Party is formed comprising all ex-PDP Tobago House of Assembly members, besides PDP leader Watson Duke, leaving Duke as the sole PDP member of the THA
data-sort-value="2016-07-10" style="border-right-style:hidden;" 26 Jun 2023UNC and NTA form an alliance to contest the 2023 Trinidadian local elections[7]
data-sort-value="2018-01-19" style="border-right-style:hidden;" 20 Jan 20232023 Trinidad and Tobago presidential election
data-sort-value="2015-09-28" style="border-right-style:hidden;" Nov-Dec 20222022 People's National Movement leadership election

Prime Minister Keith Rowley retains leadership of the PNM with 92.46% of the vote.

data-sort-value="2015-12-15" style="border-right-style:hidden;" 24 Apr 20222022 Tobago Council of the PNM election
Ancil Dennis succeeds Tracy Davidson-Celestine as PNM Tobago leader
data-sort-value="2015-09-28" style="border-right-style:hidden;" 6 Dec 2021January 2021 Tobago House of Assembly election

PDP wins a historic landslide victory, ending 21 consecutive years of PNM rule, Farley Chavez Augustine replaces Ancil Dennis as Chief Secretary of Tobago

data-sort-value="2015-09-28" style="border-right-style:hidden;" 21 Oct 2021UNC motion to impeach President Paula-Mae Weekes fails[8]
data-sort-value="2015-09-09" style="border-right-style:hidden;" 25 Jan 2021PNM and PDP win an equal number of seats in the January 2021 Tobago House of Assembly election
data-sort-value="2020-08-10" 10 Aug 20202020 general election22190data-sort-value="22" style="background:;color:#FFFFFF;" 3

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Trinidad and Tobago Parliament. 2021-08-09. www.ttparliament.org.
  2. Web site: Assigning Political Party Symbols. live. https://web.archive.org/web/20200905085318/https://www.ebctt.com/services/assigning-political-party-symbols/. 5 September 2020. 21 August 2020. Trinidad and Tobago Elections And Boundaries Commission.
  3. Web site: Glossary of Parliamentary Terms. live. https://web.archive.org/web/20200131123516/http://www.ttparliament.org/about.php?mid=42. 31 January 2020. 20 August 2020. Trinidad and Tobago Parliament.
  4. Web site: Tack . Clint Chan . 2024-09-10 . NACTA: PNM holds early advantage ahead of election . 2024-09-26 . Trinidad and Tobago Newsday . en-US.
  5. Web site: UNC dissidents shuffled in House . 2024-09-27 . www.guardian.co.tt . en.
  6. Web site: RAMDASS . ANNA . 2024-09-09 . UNC dissidents have been 'politically distanced' . 2024-09-27 . Trinidad Express Newspapers . en.
  7. Web site: 2023-06-28 . UNC-NTA alliance can give PNM edge - CNC3 . 2024-09-27 . en-US.
  8. Web site: Singh . Renu-ka . Motion to remove President fails . 2024-09-27 . www.guardian.co.tt . en.