| Election Name: | 44th Manitoba general election |
| Country: | Manitoba |
| Type: | parliamentary |
| Ongoing: | yes |
| Previous Election: | 2023 Manitoba general election |
| Previous Year: | 2023 |
| Election Date: | On or before October 5, 2027 |
| Next Election: | 45th Manitoba general election |
| Next Year: | 45th |
| Seats For Election: | 57 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba 29 seats are needed for a majority |
| Leader Since1: | September 16, 2017 |
| Leaders Seat1: | Fort Rouge |
| Last Election1: | 34 seats, 45.63% |
| Seats Before1: | 34 |
| Seats1: | 34 |
| Leader2: | Wayne Ewasko (interim) |
| Leader Since2: | January 18, 2024 |
| Leaders Seat2: | Lac du Bonnet |
| Seats Before2: | 21 |
| Seats2: | 21 |
| Seats Needed2: | 8 |
| Image3: | LIB |
| Image3 Size: | x150px |
| Leader3: | Cindy Lamoureux (interim) |
| Leader Since3: | October 17, 2023 |
| Leaders Seat3: | Tyndall Park |
| Last Election3: | 1 seat, 10.63% |
| Seats Before3: | 1 |
| Seats Needed3: | 28 |
| Premier | |
| Before Election: | Wab Kinew |
| Before Party: | New Democratic |
| Outgoing Members: | outgoing members |
The 44th Manitoba general election will be held on or before October 5, 2027 to elect 57 members to the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba.
Under Manitoba's Elections Act, a general election must be held no later than the first Tuesday of October in the fourth calendar year following the previous election.[1] As the previous election was held in 2023, the latest possible date for the election is October 5, 2027.[2] The election will be held under first-past-the-post voting.
| Party | 2023 | Gain/(loss) due to | Current | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resignation as MLA | Removed from caucus | Byelection flip | |||||
| 34 | (1) | 1 | 34 | ||||
| 22 | (1) | 21 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | ||||||
| – | 1 | 1 | |||||
| Total | 57 | (1) | – | 1 | 57 | ||
| Seat | Before | Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Member | Party | Reason | Date | Member | Party | ||
| Tuxedo | May 6, 2024 | Heather Stefanson | Resignation[3] | July 8, 2024[4] | Carla Compton | |||
| Fort Garry | September 16, 2024 | Mark Wasyliw | Removed from caucus[5] | |||||
| Voting intentions in Manitoba since the 2023 election | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polling firm | Dates conducted | Source | NDP | PC | Liberal | Keystone | Green | Others | Margin | Sample size | Polling method | Lead | |
| Probe Research | [9] | 56% | 34% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3.1% | 1,000 | mixed | 22% | ||
| Probe Research | [10] [11] | 51% | 38% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3.1% | 1,000 | mixed | 13% | ||
| Probe Research | [12] [13] | 49% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3.1% | 1,000 | mixed | 12% | ||
| Probe Research | [14] [15] | 51% | 38% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3.1% | 1,000 | mixed | 13% | ||
| 2023 general election | data-sort-value="2023-10-03 | October 3, 2023 | [16] | 45.63% | 41.86% | 10.63% | 0.77% | 0.74% | 0.37% | — | — | — | 3.77% |
| Polling firm | Dates conducted | Source | Others | Margin | Sample size | Polling method | Lead | ||||||
| NDP | PC | Liberal | Keystone | Green | |||||||||