Next Latvian parliamentary election explained

Country:	Latvia
Seats For Election:	All 100 seats in the Saeima 51 seats needed for a majority
Previous Election:	2022
Election Date:	By 3 October 2026
Ongoing:	yes
Leader1:	Evika Siliņa
Party1:	New Unity
Current Seats1:	25
Leader2:	Armands Krauze
Party2:	Union of Greens and Farmers
Current Seats2:	16
Party3:	United List (Latvia)
Current Seats3:	14
Leader4:	Raivis Dzintars
Party4:	National Alliance (Latvia)
Current Seats4:	13
Leader5:	Aleksejs Rosļikovs
Party5:	For Stability!
Current Seats5:	10
Leader6:	Ainārs Šlesers
Party6:	Latvia First
Current Seats6:	8
Leader7:	J. Panteļējeva & A. Šuvajevs
Party7:	The Progressives (Latvia)
Current Seats7:	10
Prime Minister
Before Election:	Evika Siliņa
Before Party:	Unity (Latvian political party)

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Latvia no later than 3 October 2026, following the end of the term of the fourteenth Saeima elected in 2022.

Opinion polls

2024

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	JV	ZZS	AS	NA	ST!	LPV	PRO	KP	LA	S	P21	PLV	SV	JKP	Others	Lead
			data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"				data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
SKDS/LTV^[1]	June 2024	1,818	18.4	7.2	7.9	16.1	6	10.7	10.6	1.6	3.9	8.5	0.3	1.4	2.9	2.4	2.3	2.3
SKDS/LTV^[2]	April 2024	1,806	12.7	11.6	8.5	14.5	6.5	10.2	11.5	2.4	2.1	8.7	0.3	1.7	4.1	2.7	2.4	1.8
SKDS/LTV^[3]	March 2024	1,785	13.6	10.3	8.2	13.9	8.4	11.1	13.6	2.5	3.1	7.3	0.3	1.1	2.9	2.2	1.6	0.3
SKDS/LTV^[4]	January 2024	1,799	16	10.1	8.4	13	8.2	11.1	13.3	2.5	2.7	5.9	0.7	1.3	2.9	2.7	1.4	2.7

2023

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	JV	ZZS	AS	NA	ST!	LPV	PRO	AP!		S	P21	PLV	SV	K	Others	Lead
										KP	LA			LKS
			data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"				data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
SKDS/LTV^[5]	December 2023	1,808	14.4	12	8.9	13.1	9.1	11.3	12	2	3.3	3.6	1.3	2.5	2.2	3.2	1.2	1.3
SKDS/LTV	November 2023		18	13.2	7.6	10.1	9.6	11.5	11.2	2.8	2	7.2	0.3	1.5	2.3	2.8	0.4	3.6
SKDS/LTV^[6]	October 2023	1,793	17.3	13.7	8.2	12.9	8.7	11.6	11	2.3	-	4.5	0.7	1.8	2.3	2.7	0.4	3.6
SKDS/LTV^[7]	September 2023	1,081	14.5	12.9	8.7	12	8.1	11.9	13.8	2.6	1.7	5.1	0.5	1.5	2.5	3.2	0.9	0.7
SKDS/LTV^[8]	August 2023	1,787	18.1	12.7	9.3	8.7	9.3	11.9	13	2.8	2.1	5.3	0.6	1.1	1.7	2.7	0.6	5.1
SKDS/LTV^[9]	July 2023	1,805	22.3	11.8	7.5	8.8	7.5	11.4	14	2.5	2	4.9	0.4	1.2	2.1	2.6	1.3	8.3
SKDS/LTV^[10]	June 2023	1,797	18.9	11.1	8.9	10.2	6.6	14.1	14.7	1.5	2.1	5.6	0.7	0.9	2.0	1.7	1.0	4.2
SKDS/LTV^[11]	May 2023	1,777	18.9	12.8	9.1	10.6	7.8	13.5	10.8	1.6	1.2	5.5	1.3	1.3	2.1	2.3	1.1	5.4
SKDS/LTV^[12]	April 2023	1,800	19.0	12.7	11.7	10.0	7.8	11.7	11.3	2.9	–	4.7	–	2.2	–	2.9	3.0	6.3
SKDS/LTV^[13]	March 2023	1,814	17.7	14.4	9.7	10.9	8.8	9.0	12.8	1.9	1.2	4.5	1.7	2.1	2.4	1.8	1.2	3.3
SKDS/LTV^[14]	January 2023	1,792	21.3	14.1	10.3	10.4	7.2	7.8	10.9	2.5	1.7	4.1	2	1.7	1.7	2.8	1.5	7.2

2022

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	JV	ZZS	AS	NA	ST!	LPV	PRO	AP!		S	P21	LKS	SV	K	R	Others	Lead
										KP	LA
			data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"				data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"		data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
SKDS/LTV^[15]	December 2022	1,785	18.8	15.1	8.9	11.1	8	5.8	11.7	5.3		4.4	2.2	2.8	1.5	2.8	–	1.5	3.7
SKDS/LTV^[16]	November 2022	1,795	22.5	11.6	11	12.1	5.8	5.9	12.3	5.1		4.4	2	2.1	1.5	2.7	–	1.0	10.2
SKDS/LTV^[17]	7–19 Oct 2022	1,821	23.9	13.7	9.7	10.5	6.2	5.5	9.6	4.6		3.0	2.2	2.2	1.9	2.9	1.6	2.0	10.2
2022 election	1 Oct 2022	–	18.92	12.40	10.98	9.27	6.78	6.22	6.14	4.96		4.76	3.66	3.62	3.23	3.08	1.76	4.18	6.42

Notes and References

1. Web site: Jūnijā pieaudzis «Jaunās Vienotības» reitings; Saeimā iekļūtu 8 spēki . 2024-07-06 . www.lsm.lv . lv.
2. Web site: Partiju reitingi aprīlī: Atbalsts iekļūšanai Saeimā būtu 8 partijām; līderos – NA un ZZS . 2024-05-14 . www.lsm.lv . lv.
3. Web site: Partiju reitingi martā: Saeimas vēlēšanās līderi būtu NA un «Progresīvie», JV zaudē līderpozīcijas . 2024-04-06 . www.lsm.lv . lv.
4. Web site: Partiju reitingi janvārī: "Jaunā Vienotība" saglabā līderpozīcijas, lielākais kritums ZZS . 2024-02-04 . www.lsm.lv . lv.
5. Web site: Partiju reitingi decembrī: "Jaunā Vienotība" piedzīvo kritumu, Saeimā iekļūtu 7 spēki . 2023-12-23 . www.lsm.lv . lv.
6. Web site: Partiju reitingi: "Jaunā Vienotība" atgriežas līderpozīcijā, atbalsts kāpj arī ZZS, "Progresīvajiem" kritums . 2023-10-31 . www.lsm.lv . lv.
7. Web site: Partiju reitingi septembrī: "Jaunā Vienotība" līderpozīciju atdod Zaļo un Zemnieku savienībai . 2023-10-01 . www.lsm.lv . lv.
8. Web site: Partiju reitingi augustā: līderos "Jaunā Vienotība", ZZS un Šlesera partija . 2023-09-14 . www.lsm.lv . lv.
9. Web site: Partiju reitingi jūlijā: "Jaunā Vienotība" saglabā līderpozīcijas, ZZS izvirzās otrajā vietā . 2023-08-08 . www.lsm.lv . lv.
10. Web site: Partiju reitingi: līderos – "Jaunā Vienotība", "Latvija pirmajā vietā" izvirzās otrajā vietā . 2023-06-30 . www.lsm.lv . lv.
11. Web site: Partiju reitingi: maijā lielākais kritums – "Apvienotajam sarakstam" . 2023-06-08 . www.lsm.lv . lv.
12. Web site: Partiju reitingi: aprīlī lielākais kāpums – "Latvija pirmajā vietā" . 2023-05-12 . www.lsm.lv . lv.
13. Web site: Partiju reitingā lielākais kritums – "Jaunajai Vienotībai"; vadošais piecinieks – nemainīgs . 2023-04-11 . www.lsm.lv . lv.
14. Web site: Partiju reitingā līderpozīcijas saglabā "Jaunā Vienotība" . 2023-02-17 . www.lsm.lv . lv.
15. Web site: Partiju reitingi: decembrī lielākais kritums "Jaunajai Vienotībai", kāpums – ZZS un "Stabilitātei". 2023-01-06 . www.lsm.lv . lv.
16. Web site: "Jaunā Vienotība" arvien droša līdere partiju reitingos, konkurenti mazliet pietuvojušies . 2022-12-11 . www.lsm.lv . lv.
17. Web site: Pēc 14. Saeimas vēlēšanām reitings kāpis visām parlamentā iekļuvušajām partijām . 2022-12-06 . www.lsm.lv . lv.