Opinion polling for the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election explained

In the run-up to the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election, various organizations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Hungary. The results of such polls are displayed in this article.

Pollster bias

The following table displays the pollsters which have alleged funding and links to the political parties:

!Pollster!Alleged bias!Source
PublicusThe company has strong ties to the liberal political segment
RepublikonThe company has strong ties to the liberal political segment[1]
MediánThe company has strong ties to the liberal political segment[2]
IDEAThe company has strong ties to DK[3]
Závecz ResearchThe company has strong ties to MSZP
IránytűThe company has strong ties to Jobbik[4]
Real-PR 93The company has strong ties to Fidesz[5]
TársadalomkutatóThe company has strong ties to Fidesz[6]
NézőpontThe company has strong ties to Fidesz, and is given budget money to conduct research for them[7]
SzázadvégThe company has strong ties to Fidesz, and is given budget money to conduct research for them. It also conducts lobbying on behalf of the government[8] [9]

Party polling

Graphical summary

The graph and the table show the support of the parties as a percentage of those voters, who have chosen a party. Those who did not reply or could or would not choose, are ignored.

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. Other parties in bold pass the threshold (5% for one party, 10% for a joint list of two parties, and 15% for a joint list of three or more parties) to be represented in the National Assembly. Any party which was not polled is displayed with an en-dash (–).

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size		DK–MSZP–DialogueMHMNP2RKOtherLead
data-sort-value="2024-08-16" 24-31 July 2024IDEA1,50041810210163113417
data-sort-value="2024-07-13" 15–17 Jul 2024Nézőpont1,000478––––95––29218
data-sort-value="2024-07-18" 4–10 Jul 2024Medián1,00042.89.22.80.80.70.77.14.6–0.530.7–12.1
data-sort-value="2024-07-15" 3-8 Jul 2024Republikon1,000417304101560031110
data-sort-value="2024-06-30" 19-27 Jun 2024IDEA1,50041810310163123219
data-sort-value="2024-06-09" 9 Jun 2024EP Election4,569,62044.828.033.700.990.870.646.713.59–0.6829.600.3715.22
data-sort-value="2024-06-08" 6–8 Jun 202421 Kutatóközpont1,0014483––174–132–12
data-sort-value="2024-06-05" 3–5 Jun 2024Publicus1,0014315421–54––25118
data-sort-value="2024-06-05" 31 May–5 Jun 2024Medián1,50050931––54–127123
data-sort-value="2024-06-02" 24 May–2 Jun 2024Závecz Research1,0004511412153–127018
data-sort-value="2024-05-29" 27–29 May 2024Medián1,0004875101620129019
data-sort-value="2024-05-29" 27–29 May 2024Real-PR 931,0004510110157–228117
data-sort-value="2024-06-02" 20 May–29 May 2024IDEA1,5004412400154–226218
data-sort-value="2024-05-28" 20–28 May 2024Századvég1,00045103111690123022
data-sort-value="2024-05-24" 22–24 May 2024Alapjogokért Központ1,0004782111660126121
data-sort-value="2024-05-22" 20–22 May 2024Nézőpont1,0004791111770124123
May 2024Magyar Társadalomkutató4,0005181121450125026
data-sort-value="2024-05-10" 2–10 May 2024Závecz Research1,0003917411263–126013
data-sort-value="2024-05-04" 25 Apr–4 May 2024IDEA1,5003915114112442321218
data-sort-value="2024-05-02" 29 Apr–2 May 2024Nézőpont1,00044131101672322–22
data-sort-value="2024-04-30" 26–30 Apr 2024Publicus1,0004224311–42––23–18
data-sort-value="2024-04-29" 26–29 Apr 2024Medián1,0004594112461225–20
data-sort-value="2024-04-26" 22–26 Apr 2024Republikon1,00035225220661118213
data-sort-value="2024-04-19" 17–19 Apr 2024Iránytű1,073501031––34–226124
data-sort-value="2024-04-12" 9–12 Apr 202453932––64–120233
4–11 Apr 2024Závecz Research1,00034224182218621–912
3326713–85––1437
10 Apr 2024Péter Magyar announces his bid to run in the European Parliament election with the TISZA (Respect and Freedom) party.[10]
data-sort-value="2024-04-08" 31 Mar–8 Apr 2024IDEA1,5003817216113664––1521
data-sort-value="2024-04-04" 2–4 Apr 2024Nézőpont1,000471341116112213–34
26 Mar–2 Apr 2024Republikon1,00038185272308710–1120
3416424231751015518
28 Mar 2024DK–MSZP–Dialogue Alliance is formed.[11]
15 Mar 2024Péter Magyar announces his political movement, called 'Rise up, Hungarians'.[12]
data-sort-value="2024-03-12" 29 Feb–12 Mar 2024IDEA1,500421832821–773––724
data-sort-value="2024-03-09" 6–9 Mar 2024Medián1,000461211831381123–134
data-sort-value="2024-03-09" 29 Feb–9 Mar 2024Závecz Research1,000451942742010410–226
data-sort-value="2024-03-06" 4–6 Mar 2024Magyar Társadalomkutató1,000489408113101132––37
data-sort-value="2024-02-28" 26–28 Feb 2024Nézőpont1,00047142272248814––33
data-sort-value="2024-02-28" 21–28 Feb 2024Republikon1,00037175394409810–320
22–26 Feb 202421 Kutatóközpont1,20044182193137812––26
44171192155633––27
data-sort-value="2024-02-09" 31 Jan–9 Feb 2024IDEA1,500442031712–963––424
data-sort-value="2024-01-20" 15–20 Jan 2024Republikon1,000431953734–98––––24
data-sort-value="2024-01-11" 9–11 Jan 2024Medián1,000531121751186–2––42
data-sort-value="2024-01-11" Jan 2024Századvég1,00051111181111091––540
data-sort-value="2024-01-09" 8–9 Jan 2024Alapjogokért Központ1,000511111422110944––40
data-sort-value="2024-01-05" 2–5 Jan 2024Nézőpont1,00050142183227812––36
data-sort-value="2024-01-11" Dec 2023Magyar Társadalomkutató4,0004910204212101032–439
data-sort-value="2023-12-21" 18–21 Dec 2023Real-PR 931,000471221632281133––35
data-sort-value="2023-12-15" 12–15 Dec 2023Publicus1,003461861721144–––328
data-sort-value="2023-12-13" 30 Nov–13 Dec 2023IDEA1,500432031712–973––423
data-sort-value="2023-11-24" 17–24 Nov 2023Republikon1,000431852745–97––––25
data-sort-value="2023-11-16" 31 Oct–16 Nov 2023IDEA1,000452031721–863––425
data-sort-value="2023-11-08" 29 Oct–8 Nov 2023Závecz Research1,0004819426431841––229
data-sort-value="2023-10-24" 17–24 Oct 2023Republikon1,000431852735–107––––25
data-sort-value="2023-10-18" 13–18 Oct 202321 Kutatóközpont1,00041121112212101022––29
data-sort-value="2023-10-13" 29 Sep–13 Oct 2023IDEA1,800451931811–952––626
data-sort-value="2023-10-04" Sep 2023Medián1,000461221651310752––34
data-sort-value="2023-09-25" 18–25 Sep 2023Republikon1,000421852834–108––––24
data-sort-value="2023-09-18" 8–18 Sep 2023Závecz Research1,000461942643–105–––127
16 Sep 2023Péter Márki-Zay's Everybody's Hungary People's Party (MMN) officially becomes a party.[13]
data-sort-value="2023-09-08" 28 Aug–8 Sep 2023IDEA1,800451921822–106–––526
7 Sep 2023Gábor Vona's Second Reform Era Party (2RK) officially becomes a party.[14]
data-sort-value="2023-09-06" 4–6 Sep 2023Nézőpont1,0005110208522983–––41
data-sort-value="2023-08-29" 24–29 Aug 202321 Kutatóközpont1,5004215419714854–––27
data-sort-value="2023-08-23" 16–23 Aug 2023Republikon1,0004217421044–107––––25
20 Aug 2023Péter Jakab's On the People's Side (NP) officially becomes a party.[15]
data-sort-value="2023-08-09" 28 Jul–9 Aug 2023IDEA1,800462021822–96–––526
data-sort-value="2023-07-25" 14–25 Jul 2023Republikon1,000441852944–86––––26
data-sort-value="2023-07-19" 28 Jun–19 Jul 2023IDEA1,800482021822–86–––328
data-sort-value="2023-06-30" 26–30 Jun 2023Publicus8074621.49.5–7.13.61.21.262–––224.6
data-sort-value="2023-06-23" 19–23 Jun 2023Republikon1,000461652945–76––––30
data-sort-value="2023-06-10" 25 May–10 Jun 2023IDEA1,800482021822–86–––328
data-sort-value="2023-05-31" 26–31 May 2023Medián1,0004914118432792––035
data-sort-value="2023-05-19" 27 Apr–19 May 2023IDEA1,800481931822–96–––229
data-sort-value="2023-05-17" 15–17 May 2023Nézőpont1,000511621953–63–––435
data-sort-value="2023-05-05" 28 Apr–5 May 2023Závecz Research1,000501942642–73–––331
data-sort-value="2023-04-28" 21–28 Apr 2023Republikon1,000481752744–85––––31
data-sort-value="2023-04-16" 25 Mar–13 Apr 2023IDEA 1,800492021812–95–––329
Mar 2023Századvég1,00045.510.21.11.19.12.32.3–10.212.5–––5.735.3
data-sort-value="2023-03-29" 27–29 Mar 2023Társadalomkutató1,0005212216432810––––40
data-sort-value="2023-03-24" 20–24 Mar 2023Republikon1,000472052834–83–––027
data-sort-value="2023-03-16" 25 Feb–16 Mar 2023IDEA 1,800481922721–96–––429
data-sort-value="2023-03-08" 28 Feb–8 Mar 2023Závecz Research1,000491851643193–––131
data-sort-value="2023-02-27" 21–27 Feb 2023Medián1,000511412952266–––137
data-sort-value="2023-02-22" 20–22 Feb 2023Nézőpont1,0005212215422992–––40
data-sort-value="2023-02-15" 10–15 Feb 2023Republikon1,000472063635–73–––027
data-sort-value="2023-02-15" 30 Jan–15 Feb 2023IDEA 1,800482032621–95–––428
data-sort-value="2023-01-11" 31 Dec 2022–11 Jan 2023IDEA1,800482023631–95–––328
data-sort-value="2023-01-06" 2–6 Jan 2023Republikon1,000452062654–93–––025
data-sort-value="2023-01-04" 2–4 Jan 2023Nézőpont1,000561421623–64–––642
data-sort-value="2022-12-16" 12–16 Dec 2022Publicus1,0024815.37.11.27.15.92.41.244.7–––232.7
9–15 Dec 2022Medián1,0005012218523872–––38
data-sort-value="2022-12-14" 12–14 Dec 2022Real-PR 931,000511321661–1072––138
data-sort-value="2022-12-12" 29 Nov–12 Dec 2022IDEA1,800471933641–104–––328
data-sort-value="2022-11-28" 23–28 Nov 2022Republikon1,000461862644–104–––028
data-sort-value="2022-11-22" 14–22 Nov 2022Závecz Research1,000501751653–83–––233
data-sort-value="2022-11-08" 28 Oct–8 Nov 2022IDEA1,800521932531–84–––333
data-sort-value="2022-10-19" 19–24 Oct 2022Republikon1,000481762843–102–––031
data-sort-value="2022-10-21" 15–21 Oct 2022Medián1,00050.611.71.31.36.52.62.62.69.19.12.6–––38.9
data-sort-value="2022-10-17" 17–19 Oct 2022Nézőpont1,00054.218.34.10.06.14.12.0–4.26.12.0–––37.2
data-sort-value="2022-10-09" 29 Sep–9 Oct 2022 IDEA1,800512022641–93–––231
data-sort-value="2022-09-22" 14–22 Sep 2022Závecz Research1,000521552653–82–––237
data-sort-value="2022-09-09" 31 Aug–9 Sep 2022IDEA1,800501723632–95–––333
data-sort-value="2022-08-31" 29–31 Aug 2022Nézőpont1,00052.811.92.00.09.95.92.0–6.77.9–––040.9
data-sort-value="2022-08-30" 25–30 Aug 2022Publicus1,0004813.87.51.38.83.72.51.355.0–––334.2
20 Aug 2022Péter Jakab, the former president of Jobbik, founds a new movement called the On the People's Side Movement (NP)[16]
data-sort-value="2022-08-07" 27 Jul–7 Aug 2022IDEA1,800511722661–95–––134
data-sort-value="2022-07-22" 20–22 Jul 2022Publicus1,0044412.07.21.28.47.22.41.27.26.0–––232.0
data-sort-value="2022-07-20" 9–20 Jul 2022IDEA1,800541422651–96–––140
data-sort-value="2022-07-13" 11–13 Jul 2022Nézőpont1,00056.38.81.81.88.87.01.8–5.28.8–––047.5
data-sort-value="2022-06-22" 20–22 Jun 2022Nézőpont1,00057.99.81.61.66.56.51.6–6.38.1–––048.1
data-sort-value="2022-05-09" 29 Apr–9 May 2022IDEA1,800571222761–84–––145
25 Apr–4 May 2022Závecz Research1,000601151553–81–––149
data-sort-value="2022-04-30" 26–30 Apr 2022Medián1,00060721831376–––252
data-sort-value="2022-04-24" 20–24 Apr 2022Republikon1,000551254963–42–––043
data-sort-value="2022-04-03" 3 Apr 2022National Election5,651,05754.1334.445.883.27–––2.2819.69

Coalition polling

Poll results

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size		United for HungaryMHMOtherLead
NP
data-sort-value="2023-03-31"Mar 2023Századvég1,00047.728.410.212.52.219.3
data-sort-value="2023-03-29"27–29 Mar 2023Nézőpont1,0005126128325
data-sort-value="2022-12-16"12–16 Dec 2022Publicus1,00248414427
data-sort-value="2022-12-15"9–15 Dec 2022Medián1,0004734109013
data-sort-value="2022-08-30"25–30 Aug 2022Publicus1,00048405438
data-sort-value="2022-06-22"20–22 Jul 2022Publicus1,0044442–6522
data-sort-value="2022-06-14"Jun 2022Századvég1,00053.726.3–9.58.42.127.4
data-sort-value="2022-05-04"25 Apr–4 May 2022Závecz Research1,0006031–71129
data-sort-value="2022-04-21"19–21 Apr 2022Nézőpont1,0005634–53222
data-sort-value="2022-04-03"3 Apr 2022National Election5,651,05754.1334.44–5.883.272.2819.69

Regions polling results

Budapest

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size		DK–MSZP–DialogueMHMNPOtherLead
data-sort-value="2024-06-09"9 Jun 2024Local Elections792.29228.6916.624.98–10.15–3.817.89–27.340.521.35
data-sort-value="2024-06-08"4-6 June 2024Publicus1,04224237–16–19–2011
data-sort-value="2024-05-25"23-25 May 2024Medián1,00029205–11–38–24–5
data-sort-value="2024-05-22"17-22 May 2024Medián1,00031236–7–412–1618
data-sort-value="2023-12-14"Aug-Nov 2023IDEA–362333111217102–113
data-sort-value="2023-09-22"Sep 2023Republikon–3521751245145–––14
data-sort-value="2022-04-03"3 Apr 2022National Election–40.8447.844.115.19––2.027.00

Debrecen

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size		MHMNP2RKOther/No preferenceLead
data-sort-value="2023-10-18"13–18 Oct 202321 Kutatóközpont1,00041121112212101022–29
data-sort-value="2022-04-03"3 Apr 2022National Election145,75956.0235.854.111.17––2.8420.17

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2022-04-21 . Horn Gábor és az SZDSZ-es "politechnikum" . 2023-07-11 . hu.
  2. Web site: Bálint . Pongrácz . 2022-04-22 . Ki mögött ki áll? – A hazai közvélemény-kutatók hátterének feltáró elemzése (1. rész) Transzparens Újságírásért Alapítvány . 2024-02-13 . hu.
  3. Web site: Bálint . Pongrácz . 2022-04-22 . Ki mögött ki áll? – A hazai közvélemény-kutatók hátterének feltáró elemzése (2. rész) Transzparens Újságírásért Alapítvány . 2024-02-13 . hu.
  4. Web site: Nemzet . Magyar . 2023-02-17 . Feléleszti a Jobbik az Iránytű Intézetet . 2024-03-15 . Feléleszti a Jobbik az Iránytű Intézetet . hu.
  5. Web site: Ágota . Bozai . 2022-02-06 . Felvétel készült a közvélemény-kutatásnak álcázott befolyásoló kampányról Somogyban . 2023-05-29 . Magyarnarancs.hu . hu.
  6. Web site: 2022-04-21 . Négy éven belül harmadszor buktak nagyot a magyar közvélemény-kutatók, de miért? G7 - Gazdasági sztorik érthetően . 2023-04-21 . hu.
  7. Web site: 2023-02-13 . Milliókat kaptak az Európai Parlamenttől Fidesz-közeli szervezetek atlatszo.hu . 2023-05-16 . hu.
  8. Web site: Az illegális pártfinanszírozás rendszere – ahogy a résztvevők látják, 1. rész: "…egy részét le is fogják nyúlni" . 2023-04-21 . Szabad Európa . hu.
  9. Web site: 2016-06-08 . Üstökösszerű karriert futott be a közbeszerzési piacon 2010 óta a Századvég-csoport atlatszo.hu . 2023-05-16 . hu.
  10. Web site: 2024-04-10 . A Tisztelet és Szabadság Párttal indul a júniusi választáson Magyar Péter . 2024-04-10 . telex . hu.
  11. Web site: 2024-03-28 . Közös EP- és fővárosi listát állít a DK, az MSZP és a Párbeszéd . 2024-04-26 . telex . hu.
  12. Web site: 2024-03-15 . Magyar Péter elindítja a Talpra, magyarok közösséget, és politikai pártot szervez . 2024-04-10 . telex . hu.
  13. News: 2023-09-16. Megtartotta alapító kongresszusát Márki-Zay Péter pártja. hu. hvg.hu.
  14. News: 2023-09-07. Vona Gábor pártot alapít. hu. 24.hu.
  15. News: 2023-08-20. Jakab Péter bejelentette, hogy párttá alakult a Nép Pártján Mozgalom. hu. telex.hu.
  16. News: 2022-08-20. Jakab Péter: A Nép Pártján Mozgalom a mai napon megalakult. hu. index.hu.

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