Next Croatian parliamentary election explained

Country:Croatia
Seats For Election:All 151 seats in the Croatian Parliament
Majority Seats:76
Election Date:TBD
Ongoing:yes
Party1:HDZ-led coalition
Leader1:Andrej Plenković
Last Election1:61
Current Seats1:61
Seats1:61
Percentage1:34.42
Party2:Rivers of Justice
Leader2:Peđa Grbin
Last Election2:42
Current Seats2:42
Party3:DP-led coalition
Leader3:Ivan Penava
Last Election3:14
Current Seats3:14
Party4:We can! (Croatia)
Leader4:Sandra Benčić
Last Election4:10
Current Seats4:10
Party5:MostSovereignists
Leader5:Nikola Grmoja
Last Election5:11
Current Seats5:11
Party6:FocusRepublic
Last Election6:1
Current Seats6:1
Party7:IDSPGS
Last Election7:2
Current Seats7:2
Party8:NPS
Leader8:Matija Posavec
Last Election8:2
Current Seats8:2
Heading10:Minority lists
Party10:Independent Democratic Serb Party
Leader10:Milorad Pupovac
Last Election10:3
Current Seats10:3
Party11:Democratic Union of Hungarians of Croatia
Last Election11:1
Current Seats11:1
Party12:Croatian Romani Union "Kali Sara"
Last Election12:1
Current Seats12:1
Party13:Bošnjaci zajedno!
Leader13:Armin Hodžić
Last Election13:1
Current Seats13:1
Party14:Independents
Leader14:
Last Election14:2
Current Seats14:2
Prime Minister
Before Election:Andrej Plenković
Before Party:HDZ

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Croatia by 2028.

Electoral system

See main article: Elections in Croatia.

The 151 members of the Croatian Parliament are elected from ten geographical and two special constituencies.[1] 140 seats are elected from ten 14-seat constituencies (1st–10th constituencies) by open list proportional representation using a 5% electoral threshold, with seats allocated using the d'Hondt method. Voters can give their "preference vote" to a single candidate on the list, but only candidates who have received at least 10% of the party's votes take precedence over the other candidates on the list.[2] A further three seats are elected in a special electoral district (11th constituency) for Croatian citizens living abroad

Eight seats are elected from a constituency for national minorities (12th constituency), with three seats for Serbs and one each for Italians, Hungarian, Czechs and Slovaks, Albanians/Bosniaks/Macedonians/Montenegrins/Slovenes and Austrians/Bulgarians/Germans/Jews/Poles/Roma/Romanians/Rusyns/Russians/Turks/Ukrainians/Vlachs. Voters with the right to vote in the 12th constituency can choose to either vote for a candidate list on the ballot in the district they belong to according to their place of residence (one of the ten geographical districts) or for a candidate of their minority in the 12th constituency.[3]

Candidate lists may be proposed independently by one political party or by two or more political parties (coalition list) which are registered in Croatia on the day the decision to call the elections is announced, or by voters. Voters can propose independent candidate lists by collecting 500 signatures of residents of the constituency the list is running in.[4]

Opinion polls

Surveys in Croatia are conducted by specialized companies in the field of public opinion polls, and their results are published in cooperation with national television or newspapers. The media that publish the results are listed in the table below according to which TV show they publish the results, with which poll company they cooperate, the size of the poll, the number of polls conducted so far and the time of publication of the results.

MediaPresentation of the resultsPolling firmPoll sizeConducted pollsTime of publication of polls
HRTDnevnik 2 at 19:00 (CET)Promocija plus1,100-1,4001420th of the month (except in April 2022)
RTLRTL Danas at 18:30 (CET)1,30037Between 4th and 10th of the month, usually on Sunday
Nova TVDnevnik Nove TV at 19:15 (CET)Ipsos976–99639Between 23rd and 26th of the month
N1N1 Newsroom at 16:00 (CET)Masmi1,3001One year after last general elections
Večernji listInternet publication2x1 komunikacije1,04111Between 24th and 30th of the month
Poll results published by major media are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date of publication, name of polling firm with a link to the page of results and poll size. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then all tied parties cells would be shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party or the support percentage is less than 1.0%, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown with a dash. Table also include other elections that are held between two parliamentary elections.
Publication datePolling firmVotesHDZSDPDPPiPMožemoMostHSFokusIDSNPSRFCentarHSSHSUHNSOthersUndecidedLead
data-sort-type="number" style="background:;"
4 Aug 2024Promocija plus1,30028.522.26.71.09.16.00.71.01.5-1.20.80.90.50.6-15.76.3
31 Jul 20242x1 komunikacije1,04130.320.67.5-7.16.01.11.41.6--2.1-1.4--18.19.7
25 Jul 2024Ipsos98430.219.07.5-8.57.0----------14.811.2
7 Jul 2024Promocija plus1,30030.725.97.10.810.36.60.31.41.30.50.80.30.60.50.80.910.44.8
1 Jul 20242x1 komunikacije1,04130.021.17.6-7.45.91.11.21.5--2.1-1.3--12.98.9
25 Jun 2024Ipsos1,00031.520.57.8-9.17.7----------12.911.0
9 Jun2024 European Parliament election
7 Jun 2024Promocija plus1,30029.822.38.41.29.26.70.51.42.0-0.81.01.00.60.7-10.77.5
24 May 2024Ipsos99030.520.27.4-11.18.6---------10.611.610.3
12 May 2024Promocija plus1,00029.523.28.31.29.35.60.71.31.11.01.01.11.41.20.8-9.56.3
25 Apr 2024Ipsos1,00028.522.210.1-12.38.3----------6.76.3
17 Apr 20242024 Election resultsN/A34.425.49.69.18.02.32.31.20.8----6.98-9.0

Notes and References

  1. http://www.ipu.org/parline-e/reports/2077_B.htm Electoral system
  2. Web site: Zakon o izborima zastupnika u Hrvatski sabor (Act on Election of Representatives to the Croatian Parliament) . hr . 27 August 2018 . 28 August 2018 . https://web.archive.org/web/20180828035834/https://www.zakon.hr/z/355/Zakon-o-izborima-zastupnika-u-Hrvatski-sabor . live .
  3. Web site: Zakon o izborima zastupnika u Hrvatski sabor (pročišćeni tekst) . Zakon . 2 April 2024 . 28 August 2018 . https://web.archive.org/web/20180828035834/https://www.zakon.hr/z/355/Zakon-o-izborima-zastupnika-u-Hrvatski-sabor . live .
  4. Web site: Elections of representatives to the Croatian Parliament . State Electoral Commission of the Republic of Croatia . 2 April 2024 . 2 April 2024 . https://web.archive.org/web/20240402234732/https://www.izbori.hr/site/en/about-elections-referenda/elections-of-representatives-to-the-croatian-parliament/1724 . live .