2024 Basque regional election explained

Election Name:	2024 Basque regional election
Country:	Basque Country
Type:	parliamentary
Ongoing:	no
Previous Election:	2020 Basque regional election
Previous Year:	2020
Outgoing Members:	12th Basque Parliament
Seats For Election:	All 75 seats in the Basque Parliament
Majority Seats:	38
Opinion Polls:	Opinion polls
Registered:	1,795,213 0.0%^[1]
Turnout:	1,077,456 (60.0%) 9.2 pp
Election Date:	21 April 2024
Leader1:	Imanol Pradales
Party1:	Basque Nationalist Party
Leader Since1:	27 January 2024
Leaders Seat1:	Biscay
Last Election1:	31 seats, 38.7%
Seats1:	27
Seat Change1:	4
Popular Vote1:	372,456
Percentage1:	34.8%
Swing1:	3.9 pp
Leader2:	Pello Otxandiano
Party2:	EH Bildu (2023)
Leader Since2:	11 December 2023
Leaders Seat2:	Álava
Last Election2:	21 seats, 27.6%
Seats2:	27
Seat Change2:	6
Popular Vote2:	343,609
Percentage2:	32.1%
Swing2:	4.5 pp
Leader3:	Eneko Andueza
Party3:	PSE–EE (PSOE)
Leader Since3:	30 October 2021
Leaders Seat3:	Biscay
Last Election3:	10 seats, 13.5%
Seats3:	12
Seat Change3:	2
Popular Vote3:	150,752
Percentage3:	14.1%
Swing3:	0.6 pp
Leader4:	Javier de Andrés
Party4:	People's Party of the Basque Country
Leader Since4:	4 November 2023
Leaders Seat4:	Álava
Last Election4:	6 seats, 6.7%
Seats4:	7
Seat Change4:	1
Popular Vote4:	98,144
Percentage4:	9.2%
Swing4:	2.5 pp
Leader5:	Alba García
Party5:	Sumar
Leader Since5:	9 January 2024
Leaders Seat5:	Biscay (lost)
Last Election5:	2 seats (EP)
Seats5:	1
Seat Change5:	1
Popular Vote5:	35,402
Percentage5:	3.3%
Swing5:	n/a
Leader6:	Amaia Martínez
Party6:	Vox (political party)
Leader Since6:	3 August 2020
Leaders Seat6:	Álava
Last Election6:	1 seat, 1.9%
Seats6:	1
Seat Change6:	0
Popular Vote6:	21,696
Percentage6:	2.0%
Swing6:	0.1 pp
Map Size:	400px
Lehendakari
Before Election:	Iñigo Urkullu
Before Party:	Basque Nationalist Party
After Election:	Imanol Pradales
After Party:	Basque Nationalist Party

The 2024 Basque regional election was held on Sunday, 21 April 2024, to elect the 13th Parliament of the Basque Autonomous Community. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election.

This election was the first since 2009 not to see Iñigo Urkullu as the leading candidate of the Basque Nationalist Party (PNV), after the party chose to replace the incumbent Lehendakari with a low profile politician at the provincial level, Imanol Pradales, following 12 years of uninterrupted government. The main opposition, EH Bildu, also ran under a new candidate, Pello Otxandiano, amid speculation that long-time leader Arnaldo Otegi could have led the candidacy following the end of his disqualification from running for public office. All other parliamentary parties but Podemos and Vox also ran under new candidates: Eneko Andueza by the Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE), Javier de Andrés by the People's Party (PP)—with the PP+Cs alliance being discontinued and Citizens (CS) deciding not to contest the election—and Alba García by Sumar.

The results showed a close race between the PNV and EH Bildu, with the latter slightly underperforming opinion polls but securing a large increase in its popular support. The PSE–EE, which had been the junior partner to the PNV-led government since 2016, saw an unexpected increase in support to secure its best result since 2012. The PP increased its seat totals by one compared to the PP+Cs results in 2020, whereas the dissolution of the Elkarrekin Podemos alliance saw Sumar clinging on to one seat and Podemos losing all its representation. Vox was able to retain its seat for Álava.

Overview

Electoral system

The Basque Parliament was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of the Basque Country, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Basque Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a lehendakari.^[2] Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Basque Country and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" or expat vote system (Spanish; Castilian: Voto rogado), under which Spaniards abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote.^[3] The expat vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force.^[4]

The 75 members of the Basque Parliament were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Álava, Biscay and Gipuzkoa, with each being allocated a fixed number of 25 seats in order to provide for an equal parliamentary representation of the three provinces, as required under the regional statute of autonomy.^{[2] [5]}

Election date

The term of the Basque Parliament expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Basque Country (BOPV), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 12 July 2020, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 12 July 2024. The election decree was required to be published in the BOPV no later than 18 June 2024 with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 11 August 2024.^{[2] [5]}

The lehendakari had the prerogative to dissolve the Basque Parliament at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a lehendakari within a sixty-day period from the Parliament re-assembly, the Parliament was to be dissolved and a fresh election called.^[6]

Following the announcement by Galician president Alfonso Rueda of a snap election in Galicia for 18 February 2024,^[7] Urkullu was asked whether he would follow suit and make both elections be held simultaneously—as it had been the case since 2009.^[8] To this, he simply stated that "the Basque Country is not Galicia", distancing himself from Rueda's decision.^[9] Instead, it was expected that the Basque election would most likely be held in March or April 2024, to allow for more time to approve a final set of bills in the Basque Parliament as well as to avoid a simultaneous call with the European Parliament election on 9 June.^{[10] [11]}

The Basque Parliament was officially dissolved on 27 February 2024 after the publication of the dissolution decree in the BOPV, setting the election date for 21 April.^[12]

Parliamentary composition

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Parliament at the time of dissolution.^[13]

Parliamentary composition in February 2024^[14]

Groups		Parties		Legislators
				Seats	Total
	Basque Nationalists Parliamentary Group		EAJ/PNV	31	31
	EH Bildu Parliamentary Group		EH Bildu	21	21
	Basque Socialists Parliamentary Group		PSE–EE (PSOE)	10	10
	Elkarrekin Podemos–IU Parliamentary Group		Podemos	4	6
			EzAn–IU	2
	Basque People's Parliamentary Group^[15]		PP	5	5
	Mixed Group		Vox	1	2
			CS	1

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.^{[5] [16]}

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:

Candidacy		Parties and alliances	Leading candidate		Ideology	Previous result
						Votes (%)	Seats
	EAJ/PNV			Imanol Pradales	Basque nationalism Christian democracy Social democracy	38.70%			^[17] ^[18]
	EH Bildu			Pello Otxandiano	Basque independence Abertzale left Socialism	27.60%			^[19] ^[20]
	PSE–EE (PSOE)			Eneko Andueza	Social democracy	13.52%			^[21]
	Podemos–AV			Miren Gorrotxategi	Left-wing populism Democratic socialism	9.27%			^[22] ^[23] ^[24]
	Sumar			Alba García	Progressivism Left-wing populism Green politics
	PP			Javier de Andrés	Conservatism Christian democracy	6.71%			^[25]
	Vox			Amaia Martínez	Right-wing populism Ultranationalism National conservatism	1.94%			^[26]

Timetable

The key dates are listed below (all times are CET):^{[5] [16] [27]}

• 26 February: The election decree is issued with the countersign of the Lehendakari after deliberation in the Council of Government.^[12]
• 27 February: Formal dissolution of the Basque Parliament and beginning of a suspension period of events for the inauguration of public works, services or projects.
• 1 March: Initial constitution of historical territory and zone electoral commissions.
• 8 March: Deadline for parties and federations intending to enter into a coalition to inform the relevant electoral commission.
• 18 March: Deadline for parties, federations, coalitions, and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates to the relevant electoral commission.
• 20 March: Submitted lists of candidates are provisionally published in the Official Gazette of the Basque Country (BOPV).
• 23 March: Deadline for citizens entered in the Register of Absent Electors Residing Abroad (CERA) and for citizens temporarily absent from Spain to apply for voting.
• 24 March: Deadline for parties, federations, coalitions, and groupings of electors to rectify irregularities in their lists.
• 25 March: Official proclamation of valid submitted lists of candidates.
• 26 March: Proclaimed lists are published in the BOPV.
• 5 April: Official start of electoral campaigning.^[12]
• 11 April: Deadline to apply for postal voting.
• 16 April: Official start of legal ban on electoral opinion polling publication, dissemination or reproduction and deadline for CERA citizens to vote by mail.
• 17 April: Deadline for postal and temporarily absent voters to issue their votes.
• 19 April: Last day of official electoral campaigning and deadline for CERA citizens to vote in a ballot box in the relevant consular office or division.^[12]
• 20 April: Official 24-hour ban on political campaigning prior to the general election (reflection day).
• 21 April: Polling day (polling stations open at 9 am and close at 8 pm or once voters present in a queue at/outside the polling station at 8 pm have cast their vote). Provisional counting of votes starts immediately.
• 26 April: General counting of votes, including the counting of CERA votes.
• 30 April: Deadline for the general counting of votes to be carried out by the relevant electoral commission.
• 11 May: Deadline for elected members to be proclaimed by the relevant electoral commission.
• 18 May: Final deadline for definitive results to be published in the BOPV.

Campaign

Party slogans

Party or alliance		Original slogan	English translation
	EAJ/PNV	« Aukeratu Euskadi. Elige Bienestar »	"Choose the Basque Country. Choose wellbeing"	^[28]
	EH Bildu	« Aldaketa da orain. El futuro en tus manos »	"The change is now. The future in your hands"
	PSE–EE (PSOE)	« Vota al que decide. Erabakia zurea »	"Vote for the one who decides. The decision is yours"
	Podemos–AV	« Elige izquierda »	"Choose the left"
	Sumar	« Es tu tiempo. Euskadi berria »	"It's your time. The new Basque Country"	^[29]
	PP	« Por una Euskadi abierta/Euskadi ireki baten alde »	"For an open Basque Country"	^[30]
	Vox	« Sabes que es verdad »	"You know it's true"	^[31]

Election debates

2024 Basque regional election debates

Date	Organisers	Moderator(s)
			PNV	EH Bildu	PSE–EE	Podemos	Sumar	PP	Vox	Audience
9 April	Coordinadora de ONGD de Euskadi	Begoña Beristain	S	S	S	S	S	S	NI	—	^[32]
9 April	RTVE	Xabier Fortes Teresa Aguiló	S	S		S				14.2%	^[33]
10 April	Cadena SER	Eva Domaika	S	S	S	NI	NI	S	NI	—	^[34]
10 April	EITB	Nerea Reparaz					S	S		4.0%	^[35] ^[36]
12 April	AMPEA	Eva Silván	S	S	S	S	S	S	NI	—	^[37]
12 April	Cadena SER	Eva Domaika	S	S	S	S	S	S		—	^[38]
15 April	El Diario Vasco	Estrella Vallejo Javier Roldán				S			NI	—	^[39]
16 April	EITB	África Baeta Xabier García Ramsden								17.4%	^[40]
17 April	UN Etxea EGK	Iratxe Uriarte	S	S	S	S	S	S	NI	—	^[41] ^[42]
17 April	Cadena SER	Eva Domaika	S	S	S	S	S	S		—	^[43]
18 April	El Correo	Marta Madruga Olatz Barriuso								—	^[44]
19 April	Cadena SER	Jon Egaña								—	^[45]

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 38 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Basque Parliament.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout	PNV									Lead
2024 regional election	21 Apr 2024		60.0		34.8	32.1	14.1	2.2	–	2.0	9.2	–	3.3	2.7
Gizaker/EiTB^[46] ^[47]	15–21 Apr 2024	3,608	?		35.7	32.9	14.3	3.6	–	1.6	8.4	–	2.6	2.8
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^[48]	13–20 Apr 2024	2,104	?		34.2	33.4	13.7	3.0	–	2.0	8.6	–	3.6	0.8
KeyData/Público^[49]	15 Apr 2024	?	62.7		34.7	34.5	13.2	2.3	–	1.8	8.5	–	3.1	0.2
Data10/OKDiario^[50]	14–15 Apr 2024	1,500	61	34.2		34.4	13.1	2.2	–	2.3	8.4	–	3.1	0.2
SocioMétrica/El Español^[51]	10–14 Apr 2024	1,500	?	33.9		34.8	13.5	2.3	–	2.0	8.1	–	3.4	0.9
ElectoPanel/Crónica Vasca^[52]	27 Mar–13 Apr 2024	1,391	?		34.7	34.1	12.9	2.8	–	2.0	9.4	–	2.9	0.6
Target Point/El Debate^[53]	9–12 Apr 2024	1,001	?		35.2	33.9	13.3	2.0	–	1.7	8.3	–	3.5	1.3
DYM/Henneo^[54]	8–12 Apr 2024	1,221	?	35.6		36.0	13.7	1.8	–	?	9.6	–	2.3	0.4
NC Report/La Razón^[55]	8–12 Apr 2024	1,000	66.7		35.3	34.3	12.3	2.4	–	1.9	8.8	–	3.2	1.0
GAD3/ABC^[56]	8–12 Apr 2024	800	?		35.6	34.2	12.6	2.6	–	2.2	7.5	–	2.9	1.3
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^[57]	1–12 Apr 2024	1,489	?		34.8	34.1	13.6	2.0	–	2.4	8.5	–	3.3	0.7
Hamalgama Métrica/VozPópuli^[58]	8–11 Apr 2024	1,000	66.1		34.8	33.9	12.5	2.3	–	2.3	8.3	–	2.9	0.9
Gizaker/EiTB^[59]	5–11 Apr 2024	1,800	60.8	34.2		34.9	14.0	2.4	–	1.5	7.7	–	3.8	0.5
40dB/Prisa^[60] ^[61]	5–10 Apr 2024	1,200	?	34.5		35.4	13.4	2.3	–	1.9	8.2	–	2.2	0.9
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es^[62]	3–10 Apr 2024	946	56.0	33.8		34.4	12.8	3.0	–	2.0	7.8	–	3.6	0.6
Celeste-Tel/Onda Cero^[63]	4–9 Apr 2024	1,100	65.2		35.5	33.9	13.2	1.9	–	1.8	8.4	–	3.0	1.6
CIS^[64] ^[65]	4–8 Apr 2024	4,025	?	32.6– 33.5		34.2– 35.1	13.3– 14.1	3.1– 3.2	–	2.7– 3.0	6.7– 7.0	–	3.1– 3.6	1.6
Data10/OKDiario^[66]	5–6 Apr 2024	1,500	?		33.7	33.6	13.2	2.7	–	2.2	8.7	–	3.2	0.1
GAD3/Mediaset^[67] ^[68]	1–5 Apr 2024	800	?		35.8	34.2	14.2	2.4	–	?	7.8	–	?	1.6
Ikerfel/El Diario Vasco^[69]	26 Mar–5 Apr 2024	2,400	63.2	33.8		34.2	13.3	2.6	–	2.1	8.6	–	3.8	0.5
NC Report/La Razón^[70]	25 Mar–5 Apr 2024	1,000	62.6		35.9	33.0	13.0	2.8	–	1.7	8.6	–	3.0	2.9
KeyData/Público^[71]	4 Apr 2024	?	61.6		35.3	33.2	13.3	2.5	–	1.9	8.7	–	3.0	2.1
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^[72]	18 Mar–4 Apr 2024	2,089	?		35.0	32.6	13.4	2.0	–	2.1	9.8	–	3.6	2.4
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^[73]	18–26 Mar 2024	1,798	?		34.8	32.9	13.3	2.9	–	1.8	10.0	–	3.2	1.9
ElectoPanel/Crónica Vasca^[74]	1–26 Mar 2024	1,391	?		34.1	33.9	12.4	2.6	–	2.3	8.6	–	3.2	0.2
CIS ^[75]	18–22 Mar 2024	4,998	?		37.8	31.1	11.3	2.2	–	3.3	8.2	–	3.0	6.7
CIS^[76] ^[77]			?		36.1	33.0	13.1	2.5	–	1.9	7.7	–	3.7	3.1
Ikerfel/GPS^[78]	15–20 Mar 2024	3,030	61.2		35.7	33.7	13.1	2.4	–	1.9	7.5	–	2.8	2.0
40dB/Prisa^[79] ^[80]	15–19 Mar 2024	1,200	?		34.2	33.7	13.8	2.8	–	2.1	8.1	–	3.0	0.5
Aztiker/Gara^[81] ^[82]	11–18 Mar 2024	1,800	?	33.4		34.0	13.9	3.0	–	2.2	8.5	–	3.1	0.6
Gizaker/EiTB^[83]	8–14 Mar 2024	1,800	61.2		36.0	32.7	14.2	3.7	–	1.4	8.3	–	2.9	3.3
ElectoPanel/Crónica Vasca^[84]	1–14 Mar 2024	1,284	?	34.0		34.4	12.0	2.4	–	2.5	9.3	–	3.4	0.4
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^[85]	1–14 Mar 2024	1,207	?		34.3	32.3	14.7	0.9	–	1.3	10.1	–	6.0	2.0
ElectoPanel/Crónica Vasca^[86]	16–28 Feb 2024	1,301	?	33.9		34.2	11.5	2.4	–	2.5	9.0	–	4.0	0.3
ElectoPanel/Crónica Vasca^[87]	2–15 Feb 2024	1,287	?		34.1	31.5	14.6	2.1	–	2.6	8.9	–	5.1	2.6
Ikerfel/GPS^[88]	30 Jan–2 Feb 2024	3,030	60.9		34.6	32.4	14.2	3.0	–	2.5	7.7	–	2.7	2.2
ElectoPanel/Crónica Vasca^[89]	18 Jan–1 Feb 2024	1,392	?		33.5	31.0	15.3	0.8	–	2.2	9.2	–	5.3	2.5
Gizaker/EiTB^[90] ^[91]	24–29 Jan 2024	1,800	64.2		35.8	32.1	14.8	4.0	–	1.6	7.3	–	3.2	3.7
			64.2		35.8	32.1	14.8		–	1.6	7.3	–	7.2	3.7
Ikerfel/El Diario Vasco^[92]	19–26 Jan 2024	2,400	?		?	?	?	?	–	?	?	–	?	?
			59.9		34.3	33.0	15.0		–	1.6	7.2	–	7.1	1.3
ElectoPanel/Crónica Vasca^[93]	1 Dec–17 Jan 2024	1,470	?		33.4	31.7	14.4	1.0	–	2.5	8.9	–	5.7	1.7
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^[94]	26 Dec–9 Jan 2024	1,200	?		35.8	32.0	15.2	–	–	1.3	8.3	–	7.0	3.8
ElectoPanel/Crónica Vasca^[95]	1 Dec–4 Jan 2024	1,470	?		32.8	31.9	14.2	1.4	–	2.5	9.6	–	6.3	0.9
Hamalgama Métrica/VozPópuli^[96]	20–27 Dec 2023	1,000	65		37.1	32.1	10.6		–	2.9	10.6	–	4.9	5.0
Aztiker/Gara^[97] ^[98]	7–20 Dec 2023	1,800	?	31.5		32.1	15.3		–	2.8	9.4	–	7.7	0.6
Ikerfel/GPS^[99]	21–24 Nov 2023	3,030	62.0		37.1	29.9	14.3	6.5	–	2.1	8.0	–	–	7.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía^[100]	29 Oct–24 Nov 2023	1,390	?	32.4		32.9	14.4	7.6	–	2.5	9.5	–	–	0.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^[101]	13–15 Sep 2023	800	?	32.1		32.5	17.0	5.1	–	2.8	7.9	1.1	–	0.4
2023 general election	23 Jul 2023		65.1	24.0	23.9		25.3		–	2.6	11.6	–	11.1	1.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía^[102]	28 May–15 Jun 2023	5,804	?		34.7	31.2	12.3	9.2	–	2.6	9.5	–	–	3.5
2023 foral elections	28 May 2023		60.0		34.5	28.8	16.2	7.0	–	1.5	8.9	–	–	5.7
ElectoPanel/Electomanía^[103]	15 Mar–29 Apr 2022	228	?		36.2	29.0	12.2	8.8	8.6	2.0			–	7.2
Ikerfel/GPS^[104] ^[105]	21–25 Feb 2022	3,333	55.2		39.3	27.3	14.3	7.0	–	2.7	6.2	–	–	12.0
Ikerfel/GPS^[106] ^[107]	29 Nov–3 Dec 2021	3,333	55.5		39.6	27.5	14.0	6.7	–	2.2	6.7	–	–	12.1
Ikerfel/GPS^[108] ^[109]	27 Sep–1 Oct 2021	3,333	56.2		39.4	27.7	13.9	6.8	6.9	1.9			–	11.7
ElectoPanel/Electomanía^[110]	15 Sep 2021	?	?		40.0	27.3	13.5	6.4	8.2	1.7			–	12.7
Ikerfel/GPS^[111] ^[112]	17–21 May 2021	3,333	55.1		39.0	27.5	13.6	6.6	7.7	1.7			–	11.5
2020 regional election	12 Jul 2020		50.8		38.7	27.6	13.5	8.0	6.7	1.9			–	11.1

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PNV										Lead
2024 regional election	21 Apr 2024			21.6	20.0	8.7	1.2	–	1.4	5.7	2.0		37.5	1.6
DYM/Henneo^[113]	8–12 Apr 2024	1,221	17.7		25.2	8.3	3.9	–	1.5	7.6	3.6	20.9	8.2	7.5
Gizaker/EiTB^[114]	5–11 Apr 2024	1,800	23.0		28.0	4.0	1.0	–	–	2.0	2.0	–	–	5.0
40dB/Prisa	5–10 Apr 2024	1,200	19.6		19.9	12.0	3.5	–	2.6	5.6	3.7	19.5	8.9	0.3
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es	3–10 Apr 2024	946	18.7		22.3	9.8	–	–	–	4.9	–	18.6	–	3.6
CIS	4–8 Apr 2024	4,025	22.8		25.2	8.9	1.9	–	1.5	4.6	1.4	26.3	5.2	2.4
CIS	18–22 Mar 2024	4,998		27.9	25.9	10.1	1.9	–	1.6	4.9	2.3	19.4	3.5	2.0
Ikerfel/GPS	15–20 Mar 2024	3,030		18.7		18.7	5.0	0.8	–	0.5	1.7	0.9	40.3	11.7	Tie
40dB/Prisa	15–19 Mar 2024	1,200		20.9	18.9	9.7	3.3	–	3.4	3.8	3.2	25.2	5.7	2.0
Gizaker/EiTB^[115]	8–14 Mar 2024	1,800	22.5		26.9	5.0	1.3	–	0.3	1.4	1.2	29.9	9.7	4.4
Ikerfel/GPS	30 Jan–2 Feb 2024	3,030		21.3	19.8	7.6	1.3	–	1.3	2.6	1.5	30.6	12.1	1.5
Gizaker/EITB^[116]	24–29 Jan 2024	1,800	23.2		25.2	5.2	1.8	–	0.7	1.2	1.6	28.6	10.4	2.0
Ikerfel/GPS	21–24 Nov 2023	3,030		23.5	19.5	6.9	2.8	–	0.6	3.2	–	30.6	10.8	4.0
2023 general election	23 Jul 2023		16.1	16.1		17.0		–	1.8	7.7	7.4		32.4	0.9
2023 foral elections	28 May 2023			20.4	17.0	9.6	4.1	–	0.9	5.2	–		40.0	3.4
Ikerfel/GPS	21–25 Feb 2022	3,333		24.1	13.9	7.7	4.9	–	0.8	1.0	–	31.4	13.0	10.2
Ikerfel/GPS	29 Nov–3 Dec 2021	3,333		27.9	14.6	6.5	4.6	–	0.7	1.5	–	28.8	12.2	13.3
Ikerfel/GPS	27 Sep–1 Oct 2021	3,333		26.6	14.5	6.6	4.9	1.4	0.4		–	32.1	11.5	12.1
Ikerfel/GPS	17–21 May 2021	3,333		24.9	13.9	5.9	4.3	1.6	0.4		–	30.6	15.2	11.0
2020 regional election	12 Jul 2020			20.3	14.5	7.1	4.2	3.5	1.0		–		47.1	5.8

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PNV							Other/ None		Lead
CIS	4–8 Apr 2024	4,025		29.8	29.0	10.6	2.0	1.7	4.4	2.0	5.1	15.6	1.8
CIS	18–22 Mar 2024	4,998		34.9	30.0	10.9	1.9	1.4	5.0	2.3	3.8	9.9	4.9

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PNV				Other/ None		Lead
GAD3/Mediaset	8 Apr 2024	?		72.0	9.0	4.0	1.0	0.9	9.3	63.0
CIS	18–22 Mar 2024	4,998		60.5	27.2	2.0	–	0.9	9.3	33.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía^[117]	31 Dec–12 Jan 2024	4,250	32.7		55.7	–	–	–	11.6	23.0

Preferred Lehendakari

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become lehendakari.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size								Other/ None/ Not care		Lead
DYM/Henneo	8–12 Apr 2024	1,221	28.0		30.9	–	–	–	–	–	–	41.1	2.9
Gizaker/EiTB^[118]	5–11 Apr 2024	1,800		27.8	27.0	3.1	0.7	1.5	0.2	1.1	–	38.6	0.8
40dB/Prisa	5–10 Apr 2024	1,200		23.5	19.8	9.5	3.5	5.7	2.1	3.3	13.3	19.2	3.7
CIS	4–8 Apr 2024	4,025		28.2	26.8	8.9	2.8	4.0	1.7	1.8	6.3	19.4	1.4
CIS	18–22 Mar 2024	4,998		30.4	26.1	8.2	1.7	4.0	1.4	2.0	7.9	18.3	4.3
40dB/Prisa	15–19 Mar 2024	1,200		24.8	21.5	7.3	4.3	4.8	2.8	3.3	11.0	20.2	3.3
Gizaker/EiTB^[119]	8–14 Mar 2024	1,800	26.0		26.1	4.1	1.7	0.8	0.3	0.8	–	40.2	0.1
Gizaker/EiTB	24–29 Jan 2024	1,800		25.4	25.3	5.3	1.7	1.2	0.6	1.2	–	39.3	0.1

Voter turnout

The table below shows registered vote turnout on election day without including voters from the Census of Absent-Residents (CERA). Compared to past elections, 2024 elections turnout data are to be gathered at 13:00 and 18:00 (instead of 12:00 and 17:00 at previous elections).^[120]

Province	Time
	13:00			18:00			20:00
	2020	2024	+/–	2020	2024	+/–	2020	2024	+/–
Álava	13.51%	25.93%	+12.42	33.21%	48.73%	+15.52	50.31%	61.11%	+10.80
Biscay	13.49%	27.43%	+13.94	36.40%	51.87%	+15.47	52.52%	63.41%	+10.89
Gipuzkoa	15.48%	30.02%	+14.54	36.67%	50.73%	+14.06	54.57%	61.71%	+7.14
Total	14.14%	28.05%	+13.91	36.02%	51.03%	+15.01	52.86%	62.52%	+9.66
Sources^[121]

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 21 April 2024 Basque Parliament election results

Parties and alliances		Popular vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Total	+/−
	Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV)	372,456	34.82	–3.88	27	–4
	Basque Country Gather (EH Bildu)	343,609	32.13	+4.53	27	+6
	Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE (PSOE))	150,752	14.09	+0.57	12	+2
	People's Party (PP)^1	98,144	9.18	+2.47	7	+1
	Unite (Sumar)^2	35,402	3.31	n/a	1	–1
	United We Can–Green Alliance (Podemos/Ahal Dugu–AV)^2	23,888	2.23	n/a	0	–4
	Vox (Vox)	21,696	2.03	+0.05	1	±0
	Animalist Party with the Environment (PACMA)^3	5,585	0.52	–0.02	0	±0
	Blank Seats to Leave Empty Seats (EB/AZ)	3,112	0.29	+0.02	0	±0
	For a Fairer World (PUM+J)	1,683	0.16	+0.04	0	±0
	To Be (Izan)	1,419	0.13	New	0	±0
	Communist Party of the Workers of Spain (PCTE/ELAK)	666	0.06	±0.00	0	±0
	Humanist Party (PH)	475	0.04	+0.01	0	±0
	Welcome (OE)	187	0.02	+0.01	0	±0
Blank ballots		10,523	0.98	+0.04
Total		1,069,597			75	±0
Valid votes		1,069,597	99.27	+0.01
Invalid votes		7,859	0.73	–0.01
Votes cast / turnout		1,077,456	60.02	+9.24
Abstentions		717,757	39.98	–9.24
Registered voters		1,795,213
Sources^[122]

Distribution by constituency

Constituency	PNV		EH Bildu		PSE–EE		PP		Sumar		Vox
	data-sort-type="number"	%	data-sort-type="number"	S	data-sort-type="number"	%	data-sort-type="number"	S	data-sort-type="number"	%	data-sort-type="number"	S	data-sort-type="number"	%	data-sort-type="number"	S	data-sort-type="number"	%	data-sort-type="number"	S	data-sort-type="number"	%	data-sort-type="number"	S
Álava	26.7	7	29.1	8	16.2	4	15.9	4	3.7	1	3.7	1
Biscay	39.1	11	28.3	8	13.9	4	9.0	2	3.3	−	1.9	−
Gipuzkoa	31.4	9	39.8	11	13.4	4	6.4	1	3.1	−	1.5	−
Total	34.8	27	32.1	27	14.1	12	9.2	7	3.3	1	2.0	1
Sources

Aftermath

The results were announced after polls in the region closed, with PNV securing the most votes, but finished with a tie with EH Bildu at 27 seats.^[123]

Investiture
Ballot →		20 June 2024
Required majority →		38 out of 75
	Absentees
Sources^[124]

References

Opinion poll sources

Other

Notes and References

1. Web site: 1 March 2024 . Elecciones al Parlamento Vasco de 21 de abril de 2024 . es . . 16 March 2024.
2. Ley Orgánica 3/1979, de 18 de diciembre, de Estatuto de Autonomía para el País Vasco] ]. Organic Law . 3 . es . 18 December 1979 . 17 July 2017.
3. Web site: Reig Pellicer . Naiara . 16 December 2015 . Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote . cafebabel.co.uk . 17 July 2017.
4. News: Araque Conde . Pilar . 8 June 2022 . El Congreso acaba con el voto rogado: diez años de trabas burocráticas para los residentes en el extranjero . es . Público . Madrid . 31 July 2022.
5. Ley 5/1990, de 15 de junio, de Elecciones al Parlamento Vasco . Law . 5 . es . 15 June 1990 . 17 July 2017.
6. Ley 7/1981, de 30 de junio, sobre Ley de Gobierno . Law . 7 . es . 30 June 1981 . 17 July 2017.
7. News: Salgado . Daniel . Muñoz . Beatriz . 21 December 2023 . Alfonso Rueda convoca para el 18 de febrero las primeras elecciones en Galicia sin Feijóo en 14 años . es . elDiario.es . 21 December 2023.
8. News: 21 December 2023 . Rueda llama a Urkullu para comunicarle la fecha de las elecciones gallegas . es . Europa Press . Bilbao . 21 December 2023.
9. News: 21 December 2023 . Urkullu dice que "Euskadi no es Galicia" tras la convocatoria de las gallegas el 18 de febrero . es . Europa Press . Vitoria . 21 December 2023.
10. News: Lorente . Adolfo . 25 November 2023 . La opción de marzo cobra fuerza para el adelanto electoral . es . El Correo . 21 December 2023.
11. News: Barriuso . Olatz . 20 December 2023 . Urkullu busca exprimir su mayoría absoluta y las elecciones vascas apuntan ahora a abril . es . El Correo . 21 December 2023.
12. Boletín Oficial del País Vasco . 42 . 27 February 2024 . 2483-5366 . Decreto 7/2024, de 26 de febrero, del Lehendakari, por el que se disuelve el Parlamento Vasco y se convocan elecciones . es.
13. Web site: Elecciones al Parlamento Vasco / Eusko Legebilitzarra (desde 1980) . es . Historia Electoral.com . 16 March 2024.
14. Web site: Parliamentarians and bodies. Groups. Composition. 12th Legislature . es . www.legebiltzarra.eus . . 7 October 2021.
15. News: 26 July 2023 . Ciudadanos abandona el grupo del PP en el Parlamento Vasco y pasa a compartir el mixto con Vox . es . EiTB . 29 August 2023.
16. Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General . Organic Law . 5 . es . 19 June 1985 . 25 November 2023.
17. News: Rioja Andueza . Iker . 24 November 2023 . El PNV prescinde de Urkullu y no será candidato en las elecciones vascas de 2024 . es . elDiario.es . 24 November 2023.
18. News: Ormazabal . Mikel . 27 January 2024 . El PNV proclama a Imanol Pradales como candidato a lehendakari para las próximas elecciones en el País Vasco . es . El País . San Sebatián . 7 February 2024.
19. News: 26 June 2023 . Kortajarena asume la portavocía de EH Bildu en el Parlamento Vasco tras la marcha de Iriarte y Casanova . es . Noticias de Gipuzkoa . 26 June 2023.
20. News: Guadilla . David . Barriuso . Olatz . 11 December 2023 . Pello Otxandiano será el candidato a lehendakari de EH Bildu . es . El Correo . 11 December 2023.
21. News: Rioja Andueza . Iker . 30 October 2021 . Eneko Andueza arrasa con un 95% de los votos en las primarias y será el nuevo líder de los socialistas vascos . es . elDiario.es . 31 October 2021.
22. News: Cortizo . Gonzalo . Ortiz . Alberto . Rioja Andueza . Iker . 30 November 2023 . Sumar y Podemos tantean un acuerdo electoral en Galicia y Euskadi en medio de su escalada de tensión . es . elDiario.es . 1 December 2023.
23. News: Villamediana . Miriam . 2 February 2024 . Podemos proclama a su candidata en el País Vasco y lanza su campaña en solitario al margen de Sumar . es . ABC . Bilbao . 7 February 2024.
24. News: Garmendia . Xabier . 2 February 2024 . Podemos usará la marca Elkarrekin por separado y Sumar irá con IU y Equo . es . 7 February 2024.
25. News: Goyoaga . Ander . 4 November 2023 . Javier de Andrés toma el mando del PP vasco con el objetivo de atraer a votantes del PNV . es . La Vanguardia . 4 November 2023.
26. News: 18 March 2024 . La parlamentaria Amaia Martínez repite como candidata de Vox a lehendakari . es . Europa Press . Bilbao . 18 March 2024.
27. Web site: Elecciones Parlamento Vasco 2024. Calendario general . es . www.euskadi.eus . 27 February 2024 . Basque Government . 18 March 2024.
28. News: 4 April 2024 . Los partidos vascos abren la campaña electoral . es . Europa Press . Bilbao . 6 April 2024.
29. News: 2 April 2024 . Sumar dice que es la única garantía de plantear el 21A cambios para Euskadi con perspectiva transformadora y progresista . es . Europa Press . Bilbao . 9 April 2024.
30. News: Europa Press . 5 April 2024 . Feijóo pide el voto al PP como "única garantía" de que no gobierne EH Bildu y le exige que pida perdón en campaña . es . El Periódico de España . Bilbao . 9 April 2024.
31. News: González . Miguel . 9 April 2024 . Vox ilustra con datos manipulados su campaña electoral vasca bajo el lema "sabes que es verdad" . es . El País . Madrid . 9 April 2024.
32. News: 9 April 2024 . Coordinadora de ONGD de Euskadi: Debate Elecciones al Parlamento Vasco 2024 . es . EITB . 18 April 2024.
33. News: 9 April 2024 . Los partidos de Euskadi confrontan sus posturas en el primer debate de las elecciones vascas, en RTVE . es . RTVE . 18 April 2024.
34. News: 10 April 2024 . Los jóvenes candidatos vascos contrastan en SER Euskadi sus soluciones a la falta de vivienda . es . Cadena SER . 18 April 2024.
35. News: 8 April 2024 . EITB se vuelca con la campaña electoral del 21A . es . EITB . 18 April 2024.
36. News: Larreategi . Jon . 12 April 2024 . El primer debate electoral de EITB apenas levanta interés . es . GasteizBerri . 14 April 2024.
37. Web site: 9 April 2024 . Diálogo entre candidatas a las Elecciones al Parlamento Vasco del 21 de abril . es . AMPEA . 18 April 2024.
38. News: 10 April 2024 . El autogobierno, a debate en SER Euskadi . es . Cadena SER . 18 April 2024.
39. News: 15 April 2024 . Los candidatos protagonizan en DV un debate encendido en materia de sanidad, Ertzaintza y memoria . es . El Diario Vasco . 18 April 2024.
40. News: 17 April 2024 . El debate electoral de anoche en EITB se convierte en el más seguido de la campaña . es . GasteizBerri . 17 April 2024.
41. Web site: 12 April 2024 . Encuentro Electoral de la Juventud Vasca . es . EGK . 18 April 2024.
42. Web site: 17 April 2024 . Euskadiko Gazteen Hauteskunde Topaketa: Etorkizuna Eratzen . es . EGK . 18 April 2024.
43. News: 17 April 2024 . La política industrial y la deslocalización de empresas vascas centran el debate sectorial sobre Economía . es . Cadena SER . 18 April 2024.
44. News: 18 April 2024 . Los candidatos buscan el choque para convencer a los indecisos a 72 horas de las elecciones . es . El Correo . 18 April 2024.
45. News: 19 April 2024 . Un debate decisivo, sereno y constructivo, sin menciones a ETA . es . Cadena SER . 22 April 2024.
46. Web site: Empate técnico entre PNV y EH Bildu a 26-28 escaños con la formación jeltzale como más votada . es . EiTB . 21 April 2024.
47. Web site: Los sondeos dan al PNV la victoria en votos, pero empatado en escaños con EH Bildu . es . El Español . 21 April 2024.
48. Web site: EH Bildu gana en escaños y el PNV en votos, pero podría no sumar mayoría con el PSOE, según el sondeo de Sigma Dos para EL MUNDO . es . El Mundo . 21 April 2024.
49. Web site: El PNV podrá gobernar Euskadi con el PSE pese a que EH Bildu será el primer partido en escaños, según las encuestas . es . Público . 15 April 2024.
50. Web site: Bildu ganará las elecciones y el PSOE decidirá quién gobierna el País Vasco . es . OKDiario . 15 April 2024.
51. Web site: Bildu se acerca al 21-A con leve ventaja sobre el PNV pero la mayoría prefiere a Pradales de lehendakari . es . El Español . 15 April 2024.
52. Web site: Bildu ganaría en escaños, el PNV sería el más votado y Podemos y Sumar desaparecerían . es . Crónica Vasca . 15 April 2024.
53. Web site: El PNV aguanta el tirón de Bildu y gana por la mínima en votos y escaños para alivio de Sánchez . es . El Debate . 14 April 2024.
54. Web site: Bildu alcanza al PNV en una disputada recta final de la campaña vasca, pero nacionalistas y PSE podrían reeditar Gobierno . es . 20 minutos . 15 April 2024.
55. Web site: Elecciones en País Vasco: la fuga de voto socialista y del PNV encumbra a Bildu . es . La Razón . 15 April 2024.
56. Web site: Bildu supera al PNV por la mínima y los socialistas decidirán el lendakari . es . ABC . 14 April 2024.
57. Web site: Bildu adelanta al PNV y entra en la recta final del 21-A empujado por la debacle de Podemos y Sumar. es . La Razón . 15 April 2024.
58. Web site: Bildu ganaría en el País Vasco por el desgaste del PNV, el fiasco del PSOE y la desaparición de Podemos . es . VozPópuli . 15 April 2024.
59. Web site: EH Bildu gana las elecciones autonómicas por primera vez, según EITB Focus . es . EiTB . 14 April 2024.
60. Web site: EH Bildu adelanta al PNV en la última semana de la campaña vasca . es . El País . 15 April 2024.
61. Web site: Informe preelectoral para las elecciones vascas. Ola 2. Abril 2024 . es . 40dB . 15 April 2024.
62. Web site: EH Bildu acaricia la victoria en Euskadi y pone en peligro la mayoría absoluta de PNV y PSOE . es . elDiario.es . 12 April 2024.
63. Web site: El PNV ganaría en votos, pero Bildu obtendría más escaños . es . Onda Cero . 11 April 2024.
64. Web site: Campaña de las elecciones autonómicas del País Vasco 2024 (Estudio nº 3451. Abril 2024) . es . CIS . 10 April 2024.
65. Web site: Estimación de voto (Estudio nº 3451. Campaña de las elecciones autonómicas del País Vasco 2024) . es . CIS . 10 April 2024.
66. Web site: El PSOE tendrá que decidir entre dar el Gobierno vasco a Bildu o salvar al PNV con el apoyo de Sumar . es . OKDiario . 8 April 2024.
67. Web site: Elecciones de País Vasco 2024: Bildu ganaría por la mínima, según el sondeo de GAD3 para Mediaset . es . Telecinco . 8 April 2024.
68. Web site: Barómetro Mediaset. Estimación elecciones vascas . es . GAD3 . 10 April 2024.
69. Web site: EH Bildu ganaría por la mínima en votos y escaños al PNV . es . El Diario Vasco . 14 April 2024.
70. Web site: Bildu roza el empate técnico con el PNV . es . La Razón . 8 April 2024.
71. Web site: El PSE tendría la llave del Gobierno entre Bildu y PNV en un Parlamento en el que Vox, Sumar y Podemos podrían quedarse fuera . es . Público . 7 April 2024.
72. Web site: Bildu blinda sus votos mientras en el PNV crecen la fuga y la indecisión . es . El Mundo . 8 April 2024.
73. Web site: Casi 45.000 indecisos del PNV decidirán una ajustada campaña con Bildu al alza . es . El Mundo . 28 March 2024.
74. Web site: El PNV y Bildu llegan empatados a la campaña del 21-A: ambos lograrían 28 escaños . es . Crónica Vasca . 2 April 2024.
75. Web site: Diferencias CIS País Vasco recalculado - publicado . es . SocioMétrica . 2 April 2024.
76. Web site: Preelectoral del País Vasco. Elecciones autonómicas 2024 (Estudio nº 3448. Marzo 2024) . es . CIS . 1 April 2024.
77. Web site: Estimación de voto (Estudio nº 3448. Preelectoral del País Vasco. Elecciones autonómicas 2024) . es . CIS . 1 April 2024.
78. Web site: Elecciones Autonómicas: previsión de voto (Marzo 2024) . es . Basque Government . 27 March 2024.
79. Web site: Empate entre PNV y EH Bildu en Euskadi a un mes de las elecciones autonómicas . es . El País . 25 March 2024.
80. Web site: Informe preelectoral para las elecciones vascas. Marzo 2024 . es . El País . 25 March 2024.
81. Web site: EH Bildu podría ganar la contienda más reñida de los últimos años . es . Naiz . 5 April 2024.
82. Web site: [A] PAÍS VASCO. Encuesta Aztiker 05/04/2024: EH BILDU 34,0% (28/30), EAJ-PNV 33,4% (26/28), PSE-EE 13,9% (11/12), PP 8,5% (6/7), SUMAR 3,1% (1/2), PODEMOS-AV 3,0% (0/1), VOX 2,2% (0/1) ]. es . Electográfica . 5 April 2024.
83. Web site: Empate técnico en escaños entre PNV y EH Bildu a un mes de las elecciones . es . EiTB . 21 March 2024.
84. Web site: El PNV y Bildu empatarían en las elecciones vascas del 21-A con Podemos y Sumar hundidos . es . Crónica Vasca . 18 March 2024.
85. Web site: Bildu sigue al alza y amenaza el poder de un PNV en decadencia con el PSOE de juez . es . El Mundo . 18 March 2024.
86. Web site: Bildu supera otra vez al PNV y ganaría las elecciones vascas en votos y escaños . es . Crónica Vasca . 4 March 2024.
87. Web site: El PNV se recupera, adelanta a Bildu y ganaría las elecciones vascas por la mínima . es . Crónica Vasca . 19 February 2024.
88. Web site: Elecciones Autonómicas: previsión de voto (Febrero 2024) . es . Basque Government . 9 February 2024.
89. Web site: El PSE subiría tres escaños mientras PNV y Bildu se disputarían la victoria en las elecciones . es . Crónica Vasca . 5 February 2024.
90. Web site: Ajustada victoria del PNV con EH Bildu a dos escaños . es . EiTB . 2 February 2024.
91. Web site: EiTB Focus. Enero 2024. Elecciones Autonómicas. CAV . es . Gizaker . 2 February 2024.
92. Web site: Ajustada victoria del PNV con EH Bildu a dos escaños . es . El Diario Vasco . 4 February 2024.
93. Web site: Bildu y PNV se mantienen en empate técnico a la espera de fecha para las elecciones vascas . es . Crónica Vasca . 21 January 2024.
94. Web site: El pacto con Otegi en Pamplona cambia el escenario vasco: crece el PNV por miedo a Bildu y el PSOE cae ya dos puntos . es . El Mundo . 16 January 2024.
95. Web site: Bildu adelanta al PNV y ganaría las elecciones vascas por un escaño . es . Crónica Vasca . 8 January 2024.
96. Web site: Un PNV y un PSOE a la baja podrían mantener su coalición de Gobierno en País Vasco con una raquítica mayoría . es . VozPópuli . 1 January 2024.
97. Web site: EH Bildu ganaría las elecciones en una pugna reñida a varias bandas . es . Naiz . 5 February 2024.
98. Web site: [A] PAÍS VASCO. Encuesta Aztiker 05/02/2024: EH BILDU 32,1% (24/27), EAJ-PNV 31,5% (24/25), PSE-EE 15,3% (11/12), PP 9,4% (6/8), ELKARREKIN 7,7% (6), VOX 2,8% (1) ]. es . Electográfica . 5 February 2024.
99. Web site: Elecciones Autonómicas: previsión de voto (Noviembre 2023) . es . Basque Government . 1 December 2023.
100. Web site: ElectoPanel Euskadi (26N): EH Bildu, primero en votos y escaños . es . Electomanía . 26 November 2023.
101. Web site: Otegi cerca de ser 'lehendakari': fuerte caída del PNV y Sánchez tendría que decidir . es . El Mundo . 17 September 2023.
102. Web site: ElectoPanel Euskadi (18J): subida de EH Bildu, que se acerca al PNV . es . Electomanía . 18 June 2023.
103. Web site: EuskoPanel (30A): subida de EH Bildu, que roza el 30%. Ligero descenso del PNV . es . Electomanía . 30 April 2022.
104. Web site: Elecciones Autonómicas: previsión de voto (Marzo 2022) . es . Basque Government . 4 March 2022.
105. Web site: PAÍS VASCO. Encuesta Ikerfel/Gobierno Vasco [Sociómetro] 04/03/2022: EH BILDU 27,3% (22), EAJ-PNV 39,3% (31), ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-IU 7,0% (4), PSE-EE 14,3% (12), PP+Cs 6,2% (5), VOX 2,7% (1) ]. es . Electograph . 4 March 2022.
106. Web site: Elecciones Autonómicas: previsión de voto (Diciembre 2021) . es . Basque Government . 16 December 2021.
107. Web site: PAÍS VASCO. Encuesta Ikerfel/Gobierno Vasco [Sociómetro] 16/12/2021: EH BILDU 27,5% (23), EAJ-PNV 39,6% (31), ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-IU 6,7% (4), PSE-EE 14,0% (10), PP+Cs 6,7% (6), VOX 2,2% (1) ]. es . Electograph . 16 December 2021.
108. Web site: Elecciones Autonómicas: previsión de voto (Octubre 2021) . es . Basque Government . 8 October 2021.
109. Web site: PAÍS VASCO. Encuesta Ikerfel/Gobierno Vasco [Sociómetro] 08/10/2021: EH BILDU 27,7% (23), EAJ-PNV 39,4% (31), ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-IU 6,8% (4), PSE-EE 13,9% (11), PP+Cs 6,9% (5), VOX 1,9% (1) ]. es . Electograph . 8 October 2021.
110. Web site: EuskoPanel (15S): Vox quedaría fuera del Parlamento Vasco . es . Electomanía . 15 September 2021.
111. Web site: Elecciones Autonómicas: previsión de voto (Mayo 2021) . es . Basque Government . 28 May 2021.
112. Web site: PAÍS VASCO. Encuesta Ikerfel/Gobierno Vasco [Sociómetro] 28/05/2021: EH BILDU 27,5% (22), EAJ-PNV 39,0% (31), ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-IU 6,6% (4), PSE-EE 13,6% (10), PP+Cs 7,7% (7), VOX 1,7% (1) ]. es . Electograph . 28 May 2021.
113. Web site: EH-Bildu daría el sorpasso al PNV y sería el partido más votado en las elecciones vascas . es . Diario de León . 15 April 2024.
114. Web site: Análisis de microdatos de EITB Focus . es . EiTB . 15 April 2024.
115. Web site: La encuesta de EiTB para las elecciones vascas deja a Sumar fuera y Podemos podría ser llave de un gobierno de izquierdas . es . Diario Red . 21 March 2024.
116. Web site: EiTB Focus. Enero 2024. Elecciones Autonómicas. CAV . Gizaker . 6 February 2024.
117. Web site: ElectoPanel (18ene): la mayoría considera que EH-Bildu ganará pero no gobernará . es . Electomanía . 18 January 2024.
118. Web site: Sube el grado de conocimiento de Otxandiano y Pradales, y prácticamente empatan en valoración . es . EiTB . 14 April 2024.
119. Web site: 4 de cada 10 votantes no tienen claro aún a quién desean como lehendakari . es . EiTB . 22 March 2024.
120. News: 16 April 2024 . Los datos de participación y resultados de las elecciones vascas, en una nueva 'app' que dará datos reales y no estimados . es . laSexta . 18 April 2024.
121. Web site: 21 April 2024 . Elecciones 2024. Avances de participación . es . Basque Government . 21 April 2024.
122. Web site: Election Results Archive . es . euskadi.eus . Basque Government . 9 May 2024.
123. News: Hedgecoe . Guy . 20 December 2017 . El PNV puede revalidar su coalición con los socialistas en País Vasco tras un empate inédito con EH Bildu en escaños . es . Newtral . 21 April 2024.
124. News: Bono . Gerard . 20 June 2024 . Imanol Pradales es investido como lendakari con el apoyo del PSE . es . ABC . Vitoria . 21 June 2024.