Next Azorean regional election explained

Election Name:Next Azorean regional election
Country:Azores
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:yes
Previous Election:2024 Azorean regional election
Previous Year:2024
Election Date:No later than October 2028
Seats For Election:57 seats to the Legislative Assembly of the Azores
Majority Seats:29
Opinion Polls:
  1. Opinion polls
Leader1:José Manuel Bolieiro
Party1:PSD
Alliance1:PSD/CDS/PPM
Leader Since1:14 December 2019
Leaders Seat1:São Miguel
Last Election1:26 seats, 42.1%
Seats Needed1: 3
Leader2:Francisco César
Party2:Socialist Party (Portugal)
Leader Since2:29 June 2024
Leaders Seat2:
Last Election2:23 seats, 35.9%
Seats Needed2: 6
Leader3:José Pacheco
Party3:CHEGA
Color3:202056
Leader Since3:23 April 2022
Leaders Seat3:São Miguel
Last Election3:5 seats, 9.2%
Seats Needed3: 24
Leader4:António Lima
Party4:Left Bloc (Portugal)
Leader Since4:14 July 2018
Leaders Seat4:Compensatory list
Last Election4:1 seat, 2.5%
Seats Needed4: 28
Image5: IL
Colour5:00ADEF
Leader5:Nuno Barata
Party5:IL
Leader Since5:2019
Leaders Seat5:Compensatory list
Last Election5:1 seat, 2.1%
Seats Needed5: 28
Colour6:008080
Leader6:Pedro Neves
Party6:PAN
Leader Since6:2019
Leaders Seat6:Compensatory list
Last Election6:1 seat, 1.6%
Seats Needed6: 28
Map Size:400
President
Posttitle:President-designate
Before Election:José Manuel Bolieiro
Before Party:Social Democratic Party (Portugal)

The next Azorean regional election will be held on or before October 2028, to determine the composition of the Legislative Assembly of the Autonomous Region of the Azores, Portugal. The election will replace all 57 members of the Azores Assembly, and the new members will then elect the President of the Autonomous Region.

President José Manuel Bolieiro, from the Social Democratic Party (PSD) leads a minority coalition government with the CDS – People's Party (CDS–PP) and the People's Monarchist Party (PPM).[1] The parties in the coalition government have contested the previous election in an electoral coalition.

Background

Leadership changes and challenges

Socialist Party

A few weeks after the February 2024 election, Vasco Cordeiro announced his intention to not run for another term as party leader.[2] A leadership ballot was called for 28 and 29 June 2024.[3] Only one candidate was on the ballot, Francisco César, son of former President of the Regional Government Carlos César.[4] As expected, Francisco César was easily elected with 93 percent of the votes:|-! align="center" colspan=2 style="width: 60px"|Candidate! align="center" style="width: 50px"|Votes! align="center" style="width: 50px"|%|-| style="background:#f6f;"|| align=left | Francisco César| align=right | | align=right | 93.3|-| colspan=2 align=left | Blank/Invalid ballots| align=right | | align=right | 6.7|-|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"| colspan=2 style="text-align:left;" | Turnout| align=right | | align=right | |-| colspan="4" align=left|Source: Expresso|}

Electoral system

The Azores regional parliament elects 57 members through a proportional system in which the 9 islands elect a number of MPs proportional to the number of registered voters. MPs are allocated by using the D'Hondt method. 5 members are also elected for a Compensation constituency. Current distribution of MPs by constituency:

ConstituencyTotal
MPs
Registered
voters
Corvo2
Faial4
Flores3
Graciosa3
Pico4
Santa Maria3
São Jorge3
São Miguel20
Terceira10
Compensation5
Total57

Parties

Current composition

The table below lists parties represented in the Legislative Assembly of the Azores before the election.

NameIdeologyLeader2024 resultStatus
%Seats
PPD/PSDSocial Democratic Party
Liberal conservatismJosé Manuel Bolieiro42.1%rowspan="3"
CDS–PPCDS – People's Party
Christian democracyArtur Lima
PPMPeople's Monarchist Party
MonarchismPaulo Estêvão
PSSocialist Party
Social democracyFrancisco César35.9%rowspan="5"
CHCHEGA!
National conservatismJosé Pacheco9.2%
BELeft Bloc
Democratic socialismAntónio Lima2.5%
ILLiberal Initiative
Classical liberalismNuno Barata2.1%
PANPeople Animals Nature
Animal welfarePedro Neves1.6%

Opinion polls

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample sizeTurnoutLead
2024 EP electiondata-sort-value="2024-06-09"9 Jun 202424.238.4
32.3
8.1
3.7
6.1
1.3
1.7
8.4
6.1
2024 legislative electiondata-sort-value="2024-03-10"10 Mar 202446.239.8
29.2
15.8
3.4
2.7
1.6
1.1
6.5
10.6
2024 regional electiondata-sort-value="2024-02-04"4 Feb 202450.342.1
35.9
9.2
2.5
2.1
1.6
1.6
3.7
6.2

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2024-03-15 . Açores: programa de Governo de Bolieiro vai passar com abstenção do Chega . 2024-06-15 . Expresso . pt.
  2. Web site: Vasco Cordeiro não se recandidata à liderança do PS/Açores . RTP Açores . Ponta Delgada, Portugal . 20 April 2024. 15 June 2024 . Portuguese.
  3. Web site: Vasco Cordeiro apoia Francisco César à liderança do PS-Açores . Público . Lisbon, Portugal . 13 May 2024. 15 June 2024 . Portuguese.
  4. Web site: Francisco César é candidato único à liderança do PS/Acores . Correio da Manhã . Lisbon, Portugal . 14 June 2024. 15 June 2024 . Portuguese.