Opinion polling for the 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries explained

This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2024 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Democrats or Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.

Opinion polling

Aggregate polls

Aggregate polls of declared candidates in the 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries!Source of poll aggregation!Dates administered!Dates updated!Joe Biden!Dean Phillips!Marianne Williamson!Other/undecided!Margin
270 to Win[1] January 25 – February 14, 2024February 18, 202474.2%5.6%8.0%12.2%Biden +66.2
FiveThirtyEight[2] through February 14, 2024February 18, 202475.1%6.9%–18.0%Biden +68.2
Race to the WH[3] through January 29, 2024February 2, 202471.9%–7.2%20.9%Biden +64.7
Real Clear Polling[4] December 26, 2023 – February 14, 2024February 18, 202472.7%4.7%7.0%15.6%Biden +65.7
Average73.5%5.7%7.4%13.4%Biden +66.1

Polling with declared candidates

Polling with declared candidates in the 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Joe
Biden		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
(withdrawn)		Dean
Phillips		Marianne
Williamson		OtherUndecidedMargin
March 12, 2024Georgia, Mississippi, the Northern Mariana Islands, Washington, and abroad primaries held. President Joe Biden secures a majority of pledged delegates and becomes the presumptive Democratic nominee.
March 6, 2024Dean Phillips suspends his campaign. Hawaii caucus held.
Emerson College[5] March 5–6, 2024540 (LV)77.4%–3.8%3.4%–15.4%Biden +73.6%
March 5, 2024Super Tuesday held.
TIPP/Issues & Insights[6] February 28 – March 1, 2024603 (RV)76%–9%–3%12%Biden +67%
New York Times/Siena College[7] February 25–28, 2024224 (RV)79%–10%0%1%10%Biden +69%
February 28, 2024Marianne Williamson relaunches her campaign.
HarrisX/Forbes[8] February 24–28, 20241,076 (RV)74%–7%–10%8%Biden +67%
February 27, 2024Michigan primary held.
HarrisX[9] February 20–23, 20241,070 (RV)72%–7%–12%8%Biden +65%
Quinnipiac[10] February 15–19, 2024624 (RV)80%–15%–2%4%Biden +65%
Marquette University Law School[11] February 5–15, 2024356 (RV)66%–2%6%–27%Biden +60%
Emerson College[12] February 13–14, 2024489 (LV)74.3%–8.7%––17.1%Biden +66%
Echelon Insights[13] February 12–14, 2024484 (LV)78%–8%–2%12%Biden +70%
February 7, 2024Marianne Williamson suspends her campaign.
February 6, 2024Nevada primary held.
February 3, 2024South Carolina primary held.
TIPP/Issues & Insights[14] January 31 – February 2, 2024542 (RV)70%–3%5%4%17%Biden +65%
McLaughlin & Associates[15] January 25–31, 2024425 (LV)67%–2%9%–23%Biden +58%
Emerson College[16] January 26–29, 2024472 (LV)72.3%–4.4%4.2%–19.1%Biden +67.9%
YouGov/Yahoo News[17] January 25–29, 2024475 (RV)74%–3%4%2%18%Biden +70%
Quinnipiac University[18] January 25–29, 2024693 (RV)78%–6%11%––Biden +67%
January 23, 2024New Hampshire primary held.
HarrisX/The Messenger[19] January 17–21, 2024–66%–5%6%10%14%Biden +60%
Echelon Insights[20] January 16–18, 2024499 (LV)69%–3%3%7%17%Biden +66%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[21] January 18, 2024546 (LV)77%–3%2%6%12%Biden +74%
HarrisX/The Messenger[22] January 16–17, 2024350 (RV)69%–4%9%8%11%Biden +60%
Issues & Insights/TIPP[23] January 3–5, 2024597 (LV)69%–4%5%––Biden +64%
USA Today/Suffolk[24] December 26–29, 2023278 (LV)73.74%–2.16%8.99%–14.75%Biden +64.75%
Morning Consult[25] December 22–24, 2023800 (RV)81%–1%2%–16%Biden +79%
McLaughlin & Associates[26] December 13–19, 2023446 (LV)69%–5%6%–20%Biden +63%
Quinnipiac University[27] December 14–18, 2023683 (RV)75%–5%13%1%5%Biden +62%
YouGov/Yahoo News[28] December 14–18, 2023458 (RV)68%–3%4%–22%Biden +64%
Echelon Insights[29] December 12–16, 2023449 (LV)65%–2%8%8%17%Biden +57%
Monmouth University/Washington Post[30] December 7–11, 2023460 (LV)79%–5%9%2%6%Biden +70%
Emerson College[31] December 4–6, 2023402 (RV)63.3%–2.3%4.8%–29.6%Biden +58.5%
Big Village[32] November 27 – December 3, 20231,012 (LV)70.4%–7.6%12.9%9.1%–Biden +57.5%
TIPP/Issues & Insights[33] November 29 – December 1, 2023–61%–3%5%4%26%Biden +56%
Harris X/The Messenger[34] November 22–28, 20231,399 (RV)65%–4%8%11%13%Biden +57%
Emerson College[35] November 17–20, 2023599 (LV)65.8%–2.0%4.8%–27.4%Biden +61.0%
McLaughlin & Associates[36] November 16–20, 2023440 (LV)66%–3%9%–22%Biden +57%
Harris X/The Messenger[37] November 15–19, 20231,066 (RV)65%–4%5%11%15%Biden +60%
Echelon Insights[38] November 14–17, 2023482 (LV)67%–5%6%4%18%Biden +61%
NBC News[39] November 10–14, 2023311 (RV)77%–4%12%7%–Biden +65%
Fox News[40] November 10–13, 2023386 (RV)72%–3%13%––Biden +59%
YouGov/Yahoo News[41] November 9–13, 2023461 (RV)64%–4%4%–26%Biden +60%
Quinnipiac[42] November 9–13, 2023666 (RV)74%–4%12%4%5%Biden +62%
Lord Ashcroft Polls[43] November 1–11, 20233,386 (LV)70%–4%6%0%20%Biden +64%
Big Village[44] October 30 – November 5, 2023642 (LV)71.4%–9.2%11.1%8.3%–Biden +60.3%
TIPP Insights[45] November 1–3, 20231,282 (RV)72%–4%4%–20%Biden +68%
Morning Consult[46] October 30 – November 2, 2023789 (LV)73%–4%4%–19%Biden +69%
CNN/SSRS[47] October 27 – November 2, 2023562 (RV)71%–11%8%5%4%Biden +61%
HarrisX/The Messenger[48] October 30 – November 1, 2023725 (RV)73%–4%5%9%10%Biden +68%
Quinnipiac[49] October 26–30, 2023695 (RV)77%–6%8%5%5%Biden +69%
October 26, 2023Dean Phillips declares his candidacy.
Echelon Insights[50] October 23–26, 2023472 (LV)59%–1%7%4%27%Biden +52%
Noble Predictive Insights[51] October 20–26, 2023894 (LV)77%––8%–14%Biden +69%
HarrisX/The Messenger[52] October 16–23, 20231,106 (RV)70%––9%13%9%Biden +61%
USA Today/Suffolk[53] October 17–20, 2023289 (LV)73.0%––10.7%1.0%15.2%Biden +62.3%
Emerson College[54] October 16–17, 2023643 (RV)70.0%––9.9%–20.1%Biden +60.1%
Yahoo News[55] October 12–16, 2023509 (LV)68%––6%4%21%Biden +62%
Zogby Analytics[56] October 13–15, 2023424 (LV)67.6%14.9%–1.6%6.4%9.6%Biden +52.7%
October 9, 2023Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announces he will run as an independent.
Harris X/The Messenger[57] October 4–7, 20231,080 (RV)58%15%–7%7%13%Biden +43%
Big Village[58] September 29 – October 3, 20231,106 (RV)61.8%23.7%–7.2%7.3%–Biden +38.1%
TIPP/Issues & Insights[59] September 27–29, 2023560 (RV)65%14%––––Biden +51%
Echelon Insights[60] September 25–28, 2023499 (LV)58%18%–4%4%16%Biden +40%
McLaughlin & Associates[61] September 22–26, 2023432 (LV)56%15%–3%–26%Biden +41%
Marquette University Law School[62] September 18–25, 2023372 (LV)49%13%–4%–34%Biden +36%
HarrisX/The Messenger[63] September 13–19, 20231,114 (RV)62%16%–6%5%11%Biden +46%
Emerson College[64] September 17–18, 2023457 (LV)61.6%14.3%–3.6%–20.5%Biden +47.3%
Rasmussen[65] September 14–18, 2023–57%25%–3%7%–Biden +32%
YouGov[66] September 14–18, 2023486 (RV)68%7%–4%–19%Biden +61%
Harvard/Harris[67] September 13–14, 2023800 (RV)60%15%–4%9%13%Biden +45%
Ipsos/Reuters[68] September 8–14, 20232,024 (A)67%14%–4%––Biden +53%
Fox News[69] September 9–12, 2023404 (LV)71%17%–6%3%3%Biden +54%
Quinnipiac University[70] September 7–11, 2023724 (RV)73%11%–8%––Biden +62%
HarrisX/The Messenger[71] September 6–11, 20231,245 (RV)65%11%–7%7%10%Biden +54%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[72] September 3–4, 2023618 (LV)71%9%–3%3%14%Biden +62%
Morning Consult[73] August 30 – September 1, 2023800 (RV)76%9%–3%––Biden +67%
Issues & Insights/TIPP[74] August 30 – September 1, 2023606 (RV)68%10%–5%3%14%Biden +58%
Echelon Insights[75] August 28–31, 2023468 (RV)57%13%–6%4%20%Biden +44%
Big Village[76] August 25–27, 2023919 (A)60.3%19.0%–9.7%10.9%–Biden +41.3%
Emerson College[77] August 25–26, 2023374 (RV)61.0%11.5%–4.4%–23.0%Biden +49.5%
HarrisX[78] August 24–26, 2023763 (RV)66%13%–7%5%9%Biden +53%
McLaughlin & Associates[79] August 15–23, 2023444 (LV)61%12%–7%–21%Biden +40%
HarrisX[80] August 17–21, 2023648 (A)64%13%–4%8%11%Biden +51%
Yahoo News/YouGov[81] August 17–21, 2023495 (RV)69%7%–5%2%18%Biden +62%
Emerson College[82] August 16–17, 202360868.9%8.9%–3.8%–18.5%Biden +60.0%
Fox News/Beacon Research[83] August 11–14, 2023399 (RV)64%17%–9%––Biden +47%
Quinnipiac University[84] August 10–14, 2023666 (RV)72%13%–9%1%3%Biden +59%
Issues & Insights/TIPP[85] August 2–4, 2023615 (RV)63%15%–4%3%15%Biden +48%
Echelon Insights[86] July 24–27, 2023500 (LV)62%16%–5%4%14%Biden +46%
The New York Times/Siena College[87] July 23–27, 2023296 (LV)64%13%–10%1%12%Biden +51%
Big Village[88] July 24–26, 2023922 (A)62.6%19.8%–9.1%8.4%–Biden +42.8%
McLaughlin & Associates[89] July 19–24, 2023428 (LV)65%13%–3%–19%Biden +52%
Harvard-Harris[90] July 19–20, 2023–62%16%–5%5%11%Biden +46%
Quinnipiac University[91] July 13–17, 2023727 (RV)71%14%–7%1%5%Biden +57%
Yahoo News[92] July 13–17, 202349469%7%–5%2%17%Biden +62%
Reuters/Ipsos[93] July 11–17, 20232,044 (RV)63%15%–4%3%14%Biden +48%
Issues & Insights/TIPP[94] July 5–7, 2023–60%16%–5%5%14%Biden +44%
Echelon Insights[95] June 26–29, 2023511 (LV)65%14%–5%6%11%Biden +51%
Fox News[96] June 23–26, 202339164%17%–10%4%6%Biden +47%
Emerson College[97] June 19–20, 2023441 (RV)72.5%14.6%–2.5%10.4%–Biden +57.9%
YouGov[98] June 16–20, 2023–70%7%–3%2%18%Biden +63%
Harvard-Harris[99] June 14–15, 20232,090 (RV)62%15%–4%8%12%Biden +47%
The Messenger/HarrisX[100] June 14–15, 2023381 (RV)54%14%–5%10%17%Biden +40%
Big Village[101] June 9–14, 2023916 (RV)60.0%18.3%–11.2%10.5%–Biden +41.7%
Quinnipiac University[102] June 8–12, 2023722 (RV)70%17%–8%––Biden +53%
USA Today/Suffolk[103] June 5–9, 2023293 (RV)58%15%–6%–21%Biden +43%
Issues & Insights/TIPP[104] May 31 – June 2, 2023638 (RV)68%12%–4%4%12%Biden +56%
YouGov[105] May 25–30, 2023467 (RV)62%12%–5%–19%Biden +50%
Big Village[106] May 26–28, 2023425 (LV) 58.8%19.0%–10.6%11.6%–Biden +39.8%
Echelon Insights[107] May 22–25, 2023538 (LV) 60%14%–5%2%19%Biden +46%
Fox News[108] May 19–22, 20231,001 (RV)62%16%–8%6%8%Biden +46%
CNN[109] May 17–20, 2023432 (RV)60%20%–8%13%–Biden +40%
Marquette Law School[110] May 8–18, 2023312 (RV)53%12% –7%–28%Biden +41%
YouGov[111] May 5–8, 2023480 (RV)67%10%–6%–17%Biden +57%
Rasmussen Reports[112] May 3–7, 2023910 (LV)62%19%–4%15%–Biden +43%
Change Research[113] April 28 – May 2, 20231,208 (LV)65%11%–11%11%2%Biden +55%
Echelon Insights[114] April 25–27, 2023513 (LV)66%10%–2%5%17%Biden +56%
April 25, 2023President Joe Biden declares his candidacy.
Emerson College Polling[115] April 24–25, 20231,100 (RV)70%21%–8%––Biden +49%
Fox News[116] April 21–24, 20231,004 (RV)62%19%–9%–10%Biden +43%
Suffolk University[117] April 19, 2023600 (LV)67%14%–5%–13%Biden +53%
Morning Consult[118] April 7–9, 2023827 (LV)70%10%–4%8%8%Biden +60%
April 5, 2023Robert F. Kennedy Jr. declares his candidacy.
Echelon Insights[119] March 27–29, 2023370 (LV)73%––10%17%–Biden +63%
Morning Consult[120] March 3–5, 2023826 (LV)77%––4%9%10%Biden +73%
March 4, 2023Marianne Williamson declares her candidacy.

Hypothetical polling

This section lists polling with hypothetical candidates, which was mostly conducted between 2020 and April 2023, before the presidential candidacies were declared.

Polls including Joe Biden

Hypothetical polls including Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Stacey
Abrams		Joe
Biden		Pete
Buttigieg		Kamala
Harris		Amy
Klobuchar		Gavin
Newsom		Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez		Bernie
Sanders		Elizabeth
Warren		Other
American Pulse Research and Polling[121] October 27–30, 2023243 (LV)–38%–11%–17%–10%–24%
April 25, 2023Biden declares his candidacy
Big Village[122] April 19–23, 2023902 (A)–32%7%15%3%5%6%13%4%13%
Harris Poll & HarrisX[123] April 18–19, 2023683 (RV)3%37%6%10%2%4%2%8%4%11%
Legar[124] April 6–10, 2023368 (A)–27%7%10%2%7%–12%6%7%
Big Village[125] March 29–31, 2023445 (A)–36%7%15%2%4%5%13%8%7%
Harris Poll & HarrisX[126] March 22–23, 20232,905 (RV)2%41%5%11%2%3%3%7%4%10%
Big Village[127] March 15–17, 2023434 (A)–33%5%17%5%5%6%15%7%4%
Yahoo! News Survey/You Gov[128] February 23–27, 20231,516 (LV)–53%–22%–––––25%
McLaughlin & Associates[129] February 17–23, 2023442 (LV)–26%7%6%2%3%3%8%4%41%
Big Village[130] February 15–17, 2023437 (A)–34%9%13%3%6%7%13%7%8%
Harris Poll[131] February 15–16, 2023–2%36%6%15%2%4%4%8%3%20%
Léger[132] February 10–13, 2023354 (A)–25%10%10%1%6%–14%4%30%
Ipsos[133] February 6–13, 20231,786 (RV)–35%10%12%–5%–13%5%20%
McLaughlin & Associates[134] January 19–24, 2023442 (LV)0%25%7%6%2%7%5%5%4%40%
Big Village[135] January 18–20, 2023447 (A)–34.3%9.0%14.0%3.9%5.2%5.4%13.2%5.7%9.3%
Harris Poll[136] January 18–19, 2023–3%35%5%12%3%3%3%11%3%25%
YouGov[137] January 14–17, 2023618 (A)–39%10%8%–6%–13%–26%
YouGov[138] January 5–9, 2023442 (A)–31%11%9%4%6%–14%9%9%
Big Village[139] January 4–6, 2023477 (A)–32.9%8.7%16.0%–––12.5%–29.9%
Big Village[140] December 16–18, 2022466 (A)–37.2%9.8%15.8%–––10.1%–27.1%
Harris Poll[141] December 14–15, 2022685 (RV)3%36%6%10%3%–5%7%3%27%
Harris Poll[142] December 14–15, 2022685 (RV)3%36%6%10%3%–5%7%3%27%
McLaughlin & Associates[143] December 9–14, 2022455 (RV)–22%6%8%2%3%4%8%2%42%
Marist College[144] December 6–8, 2022519 (RV)–35%16%17%–––––32%
Big Village[145] November 30 – December 2, 2022452 (A)–35%9%15%4%4%5%13%7%4%
Cornell University Collaborative Midterm Survey[146] October 26 – November 25, 20224,079 (A)–27%14%15%6%11%8%12%–7%
Ipsos[147] November 9–21, 2022569 (LV)5%15%10%11%3%5%4%7%5%35%
Emerson College[148] November 18–19, 2022591 (RV)–42%9%17%–6%–12%7%4%
Big Village[149] November 16–18, 2022454 (A)–39%8%14%–––11%6%–
Harris Poll[150] November 16–17, 2022–3%35%6%13%3%–4%9%3%24%
Zogby Analytics[151] November 9–11, 2022859 (LV)2%41%9%11%–10%6%13%9%–
Big Village[152] November 9–10, 2022446 (A)–39%16%25%–––16%––
November 8, 20222022 midterm elections
Big Village[153] November 2–4, 2022356 (LV)–42%19%19%–––16%––
Big Village[154] November 2–4, 2022444 (A)–40%16%21%–––18%––
Big Village[155] October 31 – November 2, 2022378 (LV)–41%13%21%–––19%––
Big Village[156] October 31 – November 2, 2022488 (A)–39%12%22%–––22%––
YouGov[157] October 11–26, 20221,860 (RV)–42%14%14%–7%12%––1%
YouGov[158] October 17–19, 2022––29%13%9%––7%14%8%10%
McLaughlin & Associates[159] October 12–17, 2022474 (LV)3%27%4%9%1%3%3%8%2%40%
Harris Poll[160] October 12–13, 2022744 (RV)3%37%6%13%1%–4%6%3%13%
Big Village[161] October 5–7, 2022362 (RV)–44%15%17%––––20%–
Big Village[162] October 5–7, 2022453 (A)–40%15%20%––––21%–
Big Village[163] September 21–23, 2022397 (RV)–48%16%14%––––15%–
Big Village[164] September 21–23, 2022434 (A)–47%16%15%––––15%–
McLaughlin & Associates[165] September 17–22, 2022471 (LV)4%27%5%6%1%2%3%7%2%43%
TIPP Insights[166] September 7–9, 2022596 (RV)3%34%4%10%1%4%2%7%3%32%
Big Village[167] September 7–9, 2022492 (A)–43%14%22%––––17%–
Harris Poll[168] September 7–8, 2022672 (RV)4%37%6%13%3%–3%8%2%12%
Big Village[169] August 24–26, 2022487 (A)–40%16%19%––––19%–
McLaughlin & Associates[170] August 20–24, 2022468 (LV)3%23%5%8%1%5%1%6%3%45%
Big Village[171] August 10–12, 2022465 (A)–37%14%20%––––22%–
TIPP Insights[172] August 2–4, 2022576 (RV)4%30%4%8%1%6%3%8%4%32%
Harris Poll[173] July 27–28, 2022697 (RV)4%31%5%12%3%–3%8%4%14%
Harris Poll[174] June 29–30, 2022484 (RV)4%30%6%18%2%–4%8%3%8%
McLaughlin & Associates[175] June 17–22, 2022456 (LV)5%23%5%5%2%2%6%––40%
TIPP Insights[176] June 8–10, 2022509 (RV)2%24%4%7%2%2%3%9%3%30%

Polls excluding Joe Biden

Hypothetical polls without Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Stacey
Abrams		Cory
Booker		Pete
Buttigieg		Hillary
Clinton		Andrew
Cuomo		Kamala
Harris		Amy
Klobuchar		Joe
Manchin		Gavin
Newsom		Michelle
Obama		Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez		Bernie
Sanders		Elizabeth
Warren		Gretchen
Whitmer		OtherUndecided
Yahoo News/YouGov[177] June 28 – July 1, 2024536 (RV)–7%8%––31%2%–17%–3%7%4%6%2%20%
Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research[178] June 29–30, 2024397 (RV)––6%––25%––17%21%2%––7%6%16%
Data for Progress (D)[179] June 28, 2024387 (LV)–7%10%––39%2%–18%––––6%7%9%
SurveyUSA[180] June 28, 2024879 (LV)––8%––43%––16%––––7%7%20%
HarrisX/The Messenger[181] October 30 – November 1, 2023725 (RV)–––––48%––––––––33%20%
Big Village[182] April 19–23, 2023902 (A)––10%––28%4%–7%–7%16%7%3%14%
Big Village[183] March 29–31, 2023445 (A)––11%––28%4%–7%–7%18%11%4% 7%
Echelon Insights[184] March 27–29, 2023530 (RV)2%4%8%––27%2%–9%–6%–7%5% 7%
Harris Poll & HarrisX[185] March 22–23, 20232,905 (RV)5%–8%13%2%22%3%4%6%–4%10%8%– 4%
Big Village[186] March 15–17, 2023434 (A)– –7%––31%4%–8%–8%21%10%3%2%
Yahoo News[187] February 23–27, 2023450 (LV)– –12%––25%5%–12%––12%8%5%
Echelon Insights[188] February 21–23, 2023499 (LV)3%5%14%––27%5%0%6%–6%–8%3%24%
McLaughlin & Associates[189] February 17–23, 2023442 (LV)–3%11%6%–11%3%2%5%19%5%9%6%–12%
Big Village[190] February 15–17, 2023437 (A)––11%––27%5%–9%–8%18%10%5%3%
Harris Poll[191] February 15–16, 2023–3%–8%16%3%22%4%5%7%–7%12%3%––
Ipsos[192] February 6–13, 20231,786 (RV)––15%––27%––10%––18%8%4%3%
Echelon Insights[193] January 23–25, 2023467 (LV)4%4%11%––23%4%–8%–9%–8%3%9%
McLaughlin & Associates[194] January 19–24, 2023442 (LV)–2%8%8%–15%2%2%7%15%6%5%5%–11%
Big Village[195] January 18–20, 2023447 (A)––14%––29%5%–8%–6%19%8%4%3%
Harris Poll[196] January 18–19, 2023–5%–7%11%2%26%5%4%6%–4%12%5%––
Big Village[197] January 4–6, 2023477 (A)––11%––30%5%–11%–9%17%7%2%4%
Big Village[198] December 16–18, 2022466 (A)––10%14%2%35%5%–7%–6%16%8%3%3%
Harris Poll[199] December 14–15, 2022685 (RV)3%–9%14%2%23%4%4%––5%11%5%––
Echelon Insights[200] December 12–14, 2022523 (RV)3%3%11%––24%6%–5%–5%–5%3%12%
476 (LV)3%3%12%––26%5%–6%–5%–5%3%10%
McLaughlin & Associates[201] December 9–14, 2022455 (LV)–1%6%8%–13%3%2%4%21%4%9%5%–12%
YouGov[202] December 1–5, 2022588 (RV)––14%––19%––10%–6%13%7%7%–
724 (A)––12%––18%––9%–7%11%7%6%–
Big Village[203] November 30 – December 2, 2022452 (A)––13%––32%6%–5%–6%17%9%3%2%
Echelon Insights[204] November 17–19, 2022496 (RV)3%4%13%––21%2%–6%–7%–7%4%7%
496 (LV)2%4%12%––23%4%–6%–7%–8%3%7%
Harris Poll[205] November 16–17, 2022–4%–8%––24%4%3%––6%11%6%–3%
Zogby Analytics[206] November 9–11, 2022859 (LV)5%–10%––32%––6%–10%13%9%–38%
November 8, 20222022 midterm elections
Echelon Insights[207] October 24–26, 2022475 (LV)5%4%11%––27%3%–4%–7%–6%1%12%
475 (LV)5%3%14%––26%4%–6%–5%–7%1%11%
McLaughlin & Associates[208] October 12–17, 2022474 (LV)3%2%6%6%2%16%2%2%5%17%5%8%2%0%24%
Harris Poll[209] October 12–13, 2022744 (RV)3%–10%17%25%2%4%––5%11%4%–3%
Morning Consult[210] September 23–25, 2022893 (RV)–4%13%––26%4%–5%–8%–7%1%4%
McLaughlin & Associates[211] September 17–22, 2022471 (LV)4%1%6%11%1%11%2%1%5%18%2%7%4%0%25%
Echelon Insights[212] September 16–19, 2022509 (LV)8%3%11%––28%5%–6%–7%–5%2%8%
Harris Poll[213] September 7–8, 2022672 (RV)6%–9%14%–26%2%2%––5%10%5%–3%
McLaughlin & Associates[214] August 20–24, 2022468 (LV)4%2%6%7%1%15%2%2%4%16%2%7%5%2%25%
Echelon Insights[215] August 19–22, 2022515 (RV)6%3%12%––22%2%–6%–9%–5%2%8%
505 (LV)7%4%14%––21%3%–6%–5%–6%2%8%
Harris Poll[216] July 27–28, 2022697 (RV)5%–8%––23%4%4%––5%8%4%–4%
Suffolk University[217] July 22–25, 2022440 (RV)––16%8%–18%11%–8%–10%18%–––
Echelon Insights[218] July 15–18, 2022500 (RV)7%4%10%––27%3%0%7%–5%–7%1%10%
493 (LV)6%5%13%––26%3%0%7%–5%–7%1%9%
Harris Poll[219] June 29–30, 2022484 (RV)4%–6%––25%4%1%––4%12%6%–14%
McLaughlin & Associates[220] June 17–22, 2022456 (LV)6%3%8%7%1%13%3%2%3%19%7%–––13%
Echelon Insights[221] June 17–20, 2022489 (RV)5%5%11%––30%3%0%5%–6%–6%2%8%
484 (LV)6%6%12%––27%4%0%5%–7%–6%2%8%
Zogby Analytics[222] May 23–24, 2022554 (LV)5%––21%–19%––5%21%–8%4%–7%10%
Echelon Insights[223] May 20–23, 2022474 (LV)7%7%12%––30%2%–4%–4%–5%1%7%21%
480 (RV)7%5%11%––31%2%–3%–8%–5%1%7%20%
Harvard/Harris[224] May 18–19, 2022–3%–7%10%–19%3%6%––4%10%4%–4%28%
McLaughlin & Associates[225] April 22–26, 2022463 (LV)6%3%9%9%2%17%4%1%2%23%1%4%––4%17%
Harvard/Harris[226] April 20–21, 2022727 (RV)5%–8%14%–31%3%4%––6%10%5%––14%
Echelon Insights[227] April 18–20, 2022469 (RV)5%6%10%––31%3%1%1%–6%–6%1%9%19%
456 (LV)6%7%11%––30%4%1%1%–5%–6%1%8%20%
Harvard/Harris[228] March 23–24, 2022740 (RV)6%–8%15%–28%4%3%––4%9%4%––19%
Echelon Insights[229] March 18–21, 2022472 (LV)6%4%9%––26%5%–2%–7%–8%1%8%24%
490 (LV)6%4%11%––26%6%–2%–6%–8%1%6%22%
McLaughlin & Associates[230] March 17–22, 2022466 (LV)5%3%7%7%1%18%2%2%2%20%2%6%––9%18%
Harvard/Harris[231] February 23–24, 2022750 (RV)5%–8%13%–29%3%5%––5%9%6%––17%
Echelon Insights[232] February 19–23, 2022543 (RV)8%6%9%––29%3%–2%–10%–6%0%8%21%
McLaughlin & Associates[233] February 16–22, 2022453 (LV)6%4%10%9%1%15%2%2%4%22%6%–––8%13%
Echelon Insights[234] January 21–23, 2022477 (RV)6%5%12%––30%3%–2%–5%–8%1%7%21%
Harvard/Harris[235] January 19–20, 2022672 (RV)6%–7%17%–23%2%3%––6%12%7%––17%
McLaughlin & Associates[236] January 13–18, 2022463 (LV)6%4%6%9%2%16%3%2%2%22%9%–––4%15%
Morning Consult[237] December 11–13, 2021916 (RV)–5%11%––31%3%–3%–8%–8%–3%16%
Echelon Insights[238] December 9–13, 2021479 (RV)5%6%7%––33%3%2%1%–5%14%8%2%2%8%
Harvard/Harris[239] November 30 – December 2, 20211,989 (RV)5%5%8%––31%5%–––7%15%7%2%14%–
Hill-HarrisX[240] November 18–19, 2021939 (RV)4%3%5%––26%3%–4%15%5%7%2%1%10%16%
Echelon Insights[241] November 12–18, 2021458 (LV)6%6%8%––29%2%1%2%–5%16%6%0%0%16%
McLaughlin & Associates[242] November 11–16, 2021450 (LV)5%3%8%–2%22%5%––23%5%–––32%–
YouGov/Yahoo News[243] October 19–21, 2021671 (A)7%–9%––22%––––7%12%8%–4%31%
Echelon Insights[244] October 15–19, 2021533 (LV)5%4%9%––23%4%1%3%–5%16%6%0%2%20%
McLaughlin & Associates[245] October 14–18, 2021473 (LV)5%3%9%–2%29%3%2%2%18%7%–––8%14%
McLaughlin & Associates[246] September 9–14, 2021476 (LV)5%4%7%–2%29%3%–2%17%7%–––6%17%
Echelon Insights[247] August 13–18, 2021514 (RV)6%6%11%––33%2%–2%–8%–5%1%8%18%
McLaughlin & Associates[248] July 29 – August 3, 2021467 (LV)4%5%8%4%–28%2%–2%16%7%––10%14%
YouGov/Yahoo News[249] July 30 – August 2, 2021697 (A)4%–6%––44%––––4%10%6%–18%20%
McLaughlin & Associates[250] June 16–20, 2021463 (LV)5%3%4%–2%31%3%–1%19%5%–––11%16%
McLaughlin & Associates[251] May 12–18, 2021459 (LV)4%4%6%–1%35%3%–2%16%7%–––11%13%
Trafalgar Group[252] April 30 – May 6, 2021– (LV)––9%––41%5%–––8%–––36%–
McLaughlin & Associates[253] April 8–13, 2021458 (LV)–4%5%–2%34%4%–2%20%3%–––13%12%
McLaughlin & Associates[254] February 24–28, 2021443 (LV)–4%7%–1%28%3%––23%8%––12%14%
January 20, 2021Inauguration of Joe Biden
McLaughlin & Associates[255] December 9–13, 2020445 (LV)–3%5%–5%25%2%––29%7%–––8%18%
McLaughlin & Associates/Newsmax[256] November 21–23, 2020445 (LV)–2%6%–5%29%2%––23%6%–––5%23%
November 3, 20202020 presidential election
McLaughlin & Associates[257] November 2–3, 2020461 (LV)–2%8%–8%18%–––25%6%–––6%28%
Léger[258] August 4–7, 20201,007 (LV)6%7%14%–20%13%6%–8%–9%6%––24%
390 (LV)6%6%16%–21%19%6%–––9%–––17%–

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Notes and References

  1. https://www.270towin.com/2024-democratic-nomination/ 270 to Win
  2. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/2024/national/ FiveThirtyEight
  3. https://www.racetothewh.com/2024/dem Race to the WH
  4. https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/democratic-primary/2024/national Real Clear Polling
  5. https://emersoncollegepolling.com/march-2024-national-poll-trump-45-biden-45haley-primary-voters-break-for-biden-over-trump-in-general-election/ Emerson College
  6. https://tippinsights.com/biden-trump-stay-neck-and-neck-but-will-winning-2024-popular-vote-be-enough-i-i-tipp-poll/ TIPP/I&I
  7. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/03/02/us/elections/times-siena-poll-likely-electorate-crosstabs.html New York Times/Siena College
  8. https://harrisx.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/HarrisX-Overnight-Poll-Permanent-Political-VP-Mental-Acuity-Bidenomics-2.29.2024.pdf HarrisX/Forbes
  9. https://twitter.com/Harris_X_/status/1761133150254637098 HarrisX
  10. https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3890 Quinnipiac
  11. https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/MLSPSC18PressRelease_NationalIssues.pdf Marquette University Law School
  12. https://emersoncollegepolling.com/february-2024-national-poll-biden-performs-strongest-against-trump-among-prominent-democrats/ Emerson College
  13. https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/feb2024-verified-voter-omnibus/ Echelon Insights
  14. https://issuesinsights.com/2024/02/07/frustrated-independents-hold-trumps-edge-over-biden-in-2024-ii-tipp-poll/ TIPP/I&I
  15. https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/National-January-Presentation-RELEASE-2-1-24.pdf McLaughlin & Associates
  16. https://emersoncollegepolling.com/january-2024-national-poll-trump-and-biden-remain-neck-and-neck-in-likely-rematch/ Emerson College
  17. https://www.scribd.com/document/702515138/Yahoo-News-YouGov-Poll-1-29-24-Politics-Tabs YouGov/Yahoo News
  18. https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3889 Quinnipiac University
  19. https://web.archive.org/web/20240124101823/https://themessenger.com/politics/messenger-poll-trump-leads-biden-by-seven-points-exclusive HarrisX/The Messenger
  20. https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/jan2024-verified-voter-omnibus/ Echelon Insights
  21. https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/joe-biden-administration-approval-ratings-and-hypothetical-voting-intention-19-january-2024/ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
  22. https://drive.google.com/file/d/16dZWm_7keAUnD8QYF5VEqY9pz2RAOQE1/view HarrisX/The Messenger
  23. https://tippinsights.com/will-trumps-rising-support-from-minority-voters-put-him-back-into-the-white-house-i-i-tipp-poll/ I&I/TIPP
  24. https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/national/2024/1_2_2024_marginals_part_1_corrected.pdf?la=en&hash=D84AF65FA8598D8369CFB340DAA4DDFC48206E06 USA Today/Suffolk
  25. https://pro.morningconsult.com/instant-intel/biden-2024-democratic-primary-polling Morning Consult
  26. https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/National-December-Presentation-RELEASE-12-19-23.pdf McLaughlin & Associates
  27. https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3887 Quinnipiac University
  28. https://news.yahoo.com/poll-trump-is-tied-with-biden-for-now--but-criminal-trials-and-unpopular-plans-pose-risks-for-2024-204526992.html YouGov/Yahoo News
  29. https://echelonin.wpenginepowered.com/wp-content/uploads/December-2023-Omnibus-Topline-EXTERNAL.pdf Echelon Insights
  30. https://www.washingtonpost.com/documents/843c150c-f8ef-4af9-8dab-8a0976d63735.pdf Monmouth University/Washington Post
  31. https://emersoncollegepolling.com/december-2023-national-poll-economic-worries-and-anxiety-driving-younger-voters-away-from-biden/ Emerson College
  32. https://s3.amazonaws.com/cdn.big-village.com/big-village/2023/12/Big-Village-Political-Poll-12.03.23.pdf Big Village
  33. https://issuesinsights.com/2023/12/04/angry-independent-voters-give-trump-edge-over-biden-in-2024-ii-tipp-poll/ TIPP/I&I
  34. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1VYKgbxixwaIX6eNdfs3WUoqNK9WNJ0V6/edit#gid=1424676705 Harris X/The Messenger
  35. https://emersoncollegepolling.com/november-2023-national-poll-trump-maintains-lead-over-biden/ Emerson College
  36. https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/National-November-Presentation-RELEASE-11-21-23.pdf McLaughlin & Associates
  37. https://drive.google.com/file/d/18g_IUTCNS0LCXuePs_L4fS9LOOB2zY-0/view Harris X/The Messenger
  38. https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/nov2023-verified-voter-omnibus/ Echelon Insights
  39. https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/24171452-230343-nbc-november-2023-poll_111923-release-v2 NBC News
  40. https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-support-trump-hits-62-gop-primary Fox News
  41. https://www.scribd.com/document/684747880/20231113-politics-tabs-1 YouGov/Yahoo News
  42. https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3883 Quinnipiac
  43. https://lordashcroftpolls.com/2023/12/my-latest-us-polling-and-what-it-means-on-ukraine/ Lord Ashcroft Polls
  44. https://s3.amazonaws.com/cdn.big-village.com/big-village/2023/11/Big-Village-Political-Poll-11.05.23.pdf Big Village
  45. https://tippinsights.com/biden-trump-in-a-dead-heat-as-women-minorities-lift-trump-i-i-tipp-poll/ TIPP Insights
  46. https://pro.morningconsult.com/analysis/phillips-trails-biden-polls Morning Consult
  47. https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/24130797/cnn-poll-on-2024.pdf CNN/SSRS
  48. https://web.archive.org/web/20231101224706/https://themessenger.com/politics/poll-trump-continues-to-lead-biden-exclusive HarrisX/The Messenger
  49. https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3881 Quinnipiac
  50. https://echelonin.wpenginepowered.com/wp-content/uploads/October-2023-Omnibus-Topline-EXTERNAL.pdf Echelon Insights
  51. https://bloximages.newyork1.vip.townnews.com/thecentersquare.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/5/ba/5ba7017e-7a6d-11ee-9168-63ee2746cdb9/65452c1606e77.pdf.pdf Noble Predictive Insights
  52. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1YkYvLkndA055TUyBzOmfckqJ-Ga1jqgI/edit#gid=1356423326&range=A112:AG120 HarrisX/The Messenger
  53. https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/national/2023/10_23_2023_marginals_embargoed_1.pdf?la=en&hash=70BA9F3E1B524CE8D52AB6C553F49E0648CB0515 USA Today/Suffolk
  54. https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2023-national-poll-trump-making-inroads-with-young-voters-against-biden-maintains-majority-support-in-republican-primary/ Emerson College
  55. https://www.scribd.com/document/678478269/20231016-yahoo-tabs-1 Yahoo News
  56. https://www.zogbyanalytics.com/images/za101923/Frequencies%20Zogby%20Dem%20Primary%20Voters%20101723.pdf Zogby Analytics
  57. https://web.archive.org/web/20231010163511/https://themessenger.com/politics/poll-trump-maintains-narrow-lead-over-biden-exclusive Harris X/The Messenger
  58. https://s3.amazonaws.com/cdn.big-village.com/big-village/2023/10/Big-Village-Political-Poll-10.03.23.pdf Big Village
  59. https://issuesinsights.com/2023/10/05/support-for-both-biden-and-trump-fell-in-oct-just-a-blip-or-an-opening-for-others-ii-tipp-poll/ TIPP/I&I
  60. https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/sept2023-verified-voter-omnibus/ Echelon Insights
  61. https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/National-September-Presentation-RELEASE-9-27-23.pdf McLaughlin & Associates
  62. https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/MLSPSC16Toplines.html#B3:_Democratic_primary Marquette University Law School
  63. https://drive.google.com/file/d/1i-eOjCsTyycTwmyYfWeMCXRodWdq0fVz/view HarrisX/The Messenger
  64. https://emersoncollegepolling.com/september-2023-national-poll-a-trump-bump-in-gop-primary/ Emerson College
  65. https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/biden_administration/33_of_democrats_might_vote_for_rfk_jr_as_third_party_candidate Rasmussen
  66. https://www.scribd.com/document/672315030/20230918-Politics-Tabs YouGov
  67. https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/HHP_Sept23_KeyResults.pdf Harvard/Harris
  68. https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/reutersipsos-issues-survey-september-2023 Ipsos/Reuters
  69. https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-expands-lead-gop-primary-race Fox News
  70. https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3878 Quinnipiac University
  71. https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Wn-FZoR3WNt5tw9U_arZY0fOcNoRWvK2/view HarrisX/The Messenger
  72. https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/joe-biden-administration-approval-ratings-and-hypothetical-voting-intention-3-4-september-2023/ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
  73. https://pro.morningconsult.com/analysis/joe-biden-rfk-jr-poll-sept-2023 Morning Consult
  74. https://tippinsights.com/despite-troubles-biden-trump-hold-onto-their-big-leads-i-i-tipp-poll/ I&I/TIPP
  75. https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/august-verified-voter-omnibus/ Echelon Insights
  76. https://s3.amazonaws.com/cdn.big-village.com/big-village/2023/08/Big-Village-Political-Poll-08.27.2023.pdf Big Village
  77. https://emersoncollegepolling.com/august-2023-national-poll-trump-debate-snub-may-open-door-for-other-candidates/ Emerson College
  78. https://web.archive.org/web/20230829143851/https://themessenger.com/politics/harris-messenger-poll-biden-trump-in-dead-heat-ramaswamy-wins-the-debate HarrisX
  79. https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/National-Presentation-RELEASE-8-23-2023-1.pdf McLaughlin & Associates
  80. https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/american-free-enterprise-chamber-of-commerce-releases-its-first-2024-presidential-race-national-and-iowa-surveys-of-voters-conducted-by-harrisx-301906141.html HarrisX
  81. https://news.yahoo.com/poll-desantiss-support-collapses-ahead-of-1st-gop-debate-214353402.html Yahoo News/YouGov
  82. https://emersoncollegepolling.com/august-2023-national-poll-desantis-fades-into-tie-with-ramaswamy-trump-maintains-majority-of-gop-support-ahead-of-debate/ Emerson College
  83. https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-ramaswamy-rising-desantis-loses-ground-gop-primary Fox News/Beacon Research
  84. https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us08162023_regvoter_usos65.pdf Quinnipiac University
  85. https://issuesinsights.com/2023/08/14/even-after-three-indictments-trump-support-rises-ii-tipp-poll/ I&I/TIPP
  86. https://echelonin.wpenginepowered.com/wp-content/uploads/July-2023-Omnibus-Topline-EXTERNAL.pdf Echelon Insights
  87. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/08/01/us/elections/times-siena-poll-registered-voters-crosstabs.html The New York Times/Siena College
  88. https://s3.amazonaws.com/cdn.big-village.com/big-village/2023/07/Big-Village-Political-Poll-07.26.23.pdf Big Village
  89. https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/National-July-Presentation-RELEASE-07-24-23.pdf McLaughlin & Associates
  90. https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/HHP_July2023_KeyResults.pdf Harvard-Harris
  91. https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us07192023_uyru85.pdf Quinnipiac University
  92. https://www.scribd.com/document/660010152/20230717-yahoo-tabs# Yahoo News
  93. https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2023-07/Reuters%20Ipsos%20Large%20Sample%20Survey%20Issues%20Poll%20July%202023%20Topline%2007%2019%202023.pdf Reuters/Ipsos
  94. https://tippinsights.com/trump-biden-still-hold-big-leads-but-can-it-last-i-i-tipp-poll/ I&I/TIPP
  95. https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/june-2023-omnibus/ Echelon Insights
  96. https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2023/06/Fox_June-23-26-2023_National_Topline_June-28-Release.pdf Fox News
  97. https://emersoncollegepolling.com/june-2023-national-third-party-candidacy-could-derail-president-bidens-reelection-bid/ Emerson College
  98. https://www.scribd.com/document/654559950/20230620-Trumppol-Tabs YouGov
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