Opinion polling for the 2016 Australian federal election explained

See also: Pre-election pendulum for the 2016 Australian federal election.

See main article: 2016 Australian federal election. Several research and polling firms conducted polls during the parliamentary term and prior to the 2016 Australian federal election on 2 July in relation to voting intention for the Australian House of Representatives (lower house) and leader ratings. Most firms use the flow of preferences at the previous election to determine the two-party-preferred vote; others ask respondents to nominate their second preference before applying the preference flows at the previous election.

Every federal election after 1961 has been won by the grouping that also won the majority of federal seats in New South Wales. Unusually, in the upcoming election nearly half of all marginal government seats are in NSW; of these, nearly half are in Western Sydney and half are in rural and regional areas. No more than a few government seats in each other state are marginal.

Assuming a theoretical uniform swing, for the Labor opposition to get to 76 seats and majority government would require at least 50.5 percent of the two-party vote (a 4.0-point two-party swing or greater), while for the incumbent Coalition to lose majority government would require 50.2 percent of the two-party vote (a 3.3-point two-party swing or greater).^[1]

Graphical aggregate of national voting intention polling

Federal two-party-preferred polling aggregates by state

The table below published by The Poll Bludger sets out the final release of federal two-party-preferred polling aggregates by state/territory (and swings since the previous election).

Two-party-preferred % polling aggregates by state!State (seats)!!L/NP 2PP!!ALP 2PP!!L/NP swing

New South Wales (47)	51.3	48.7	–3.1
Victoria (37)	47.6	52.4	–2.2
Queensland (30)	52.7	47.3	–4.3
Western Australia (16)	54.2	45.8	–4.1
South Australia (11)	53.8	46.2	+1.4
Tasmania (5)	47.3	52.7	–1.4
ACT & NT (4)	40.4	59.6	–2.7
Australia (150)	50.9	49.1	–2.6

Source: BludgerTrack 1 Jul 2016: Poll Bludger – Methodology – State 2PP history

National polling

Voting intention

+
Date	Firm	Primary vote	2PP vote		Sample size	Margin of error	Method
		L/NP	ALP	GRN	OTH	L/NP	ALP
28 Jun – 1 Jul 2016	Newspoll^[2]	42%	35%	10%	13%	50.5%	49.5%	4,135	?	Landline
30 Jun 2016	ReachTEL^[3]	42.8%	34.6%	10.7%	12%	51%	49%	2,084	?	Telephone (random)
27–30 Jun 2016	Essential^[4]	42.5%	34.5%	11.5%	12%	50.5%	49.5%	1,212	±3	Online (members)
28–29 Jun 2016	Galaxy^[5]	43%	36%	10%	11%	51%	49%	1,768	?	Landline
26–29 Jun 2016	Ipsos^[6]	40%	33%	13%	14%	50%	50%	1,377	?	Telephone (random)
23–26 Jun 2016	Essential^[7]	39%	37%	10%	14%	49%	51%	1,773	±3	Online (members)
23–26 Jun 2016	Newspoll^[8]	43%	36%	9%	12%	51%	49%	1,713	±3	Landline
23 Jun 2016	ReachTEL^[9]	42.3%	33.7%	10.5%	13.3%	51%	49%	2,349	?	Telephone (random)
20–22 Jun 2016	Galaxy^[10] ^[11]	42%	35%	11%	12%	50%	50%	?	?	Landline
16–19 Jun 2016	Essential^[12]	40%	37%	10%	13%	49%	51%	1,013	±3	Online (members)
16–19 Jun 2016	Newspoll^[13]	41%	36%	10%	13%	50%	50%	1,805	±3	Landline
16 Jun 2016	ReachTEL^[14]	43.5%	33.6%	9.1%	13.7%	51%	49%	2,576	?	Telephone (random)
14–16 Jun 2016	Ipsos^[15]	39%	33%	14%	14%	49%	51%	1,437	?	Telephone (random)
9–12 Jun 2016	Essential^[16]	41%	37%	10%	12%	49%	51%	1,784	±3	Online (members)
9 Jun 2016	ReachTEL^[17]	42.7%	33.2%	9.9%	14.3%	50%	50%	2,175	?	Telephone (random)
2–5 Jun 2016	Essential^[18]	41%	36%	10%	13%	50%	50%	1,772	±3	Online (members)
2–5 Jun 2016	Newspoll^[19]	40%	35%	10%	15%	50%	50%	1,867	±3	Landline
2 Jun 2016	ReachTEL^[20]	41.5%	34.9%	10.1%	13.5%	50%	50%	2,414	?	Telephone (random)
31 May – 2 Jun 2016	Ipsos^[21]	42%	36%	13%	9%	49%	51%	1,359	±2.7	Telephone (random)
26–29 May 2016	Essential^[22]	41%	35%	9%	15%	51%	49%	1,767	±3	Online (members)
21–22, 28–29 May 2016	Morgan^[23]	37.5%	32.5%	13%	17%	49%	51%	3,099	±1	In person and SMS
26 May 2016	ReachTEL^[24]	41.1%	36.5%	9.6%	12.8%	48%	52%	2,700	?	Telephone (random)
19–22 May 2016	Essential^[25]	41%	37%	9%	13%	49%	51%	1,794	±3	Online (members)
19–22 May 2016	Newspoll^[26]	41%	36%	11%	12%	49%	51%	?	±3	Landline
19 May 2016	ReachTEL^[27]	42.6%	36.6%	9.9%	10.9%	50%	50%	2,407	?	Telephone (random)
17–19 May 2016	Ipsos^[28]	43%	34%	14%	9%	51%	49%	1,497	±2.5	Telephone (random)
14–15 May 2016	Morgan^[29]	36.5%	33%	15.5%	15%	47.5%	52.5%	2,318	±1	In person and SMS
12–15 May 2016	Essential^[30]	42%	38%	9%	11%	49%	51%	1,784	±3	Online (members)
6–8 May 2016	Lonergan^[31]	42%	35%	12%	10%	50%	50%	1,841	?	Landline and mobile
5–8 May 2016	Essential^[32]	42%	38%	10%	10%	49%	51%	1,754	±3	Online (members)
9 May 2016	2016 Federal Election campaign begins
5–8 May 2016	Newspoll^[33]	41%	37%	11%	11%	49%	51%	?	±3	Landline
5–7 May 2016	Ipsos	44%	33%	14%	9%	51%	49%	1,410	±2.6	Telephone (random)
4–6 May 2016	Galaxy^[34]	42%	36%	11%	11%	50%	50%	1,739	±2.5	?
5 May 2016	ReachTEL^[35]	43.2%	35.1%	9.5%	12.2%	50%	50%	2,450	?	Telephone (random)
27 Apr – 1 May 2016	Essential^[36]	40%	38%	10%	12%	48%	52%	1,753	±3	Online (members)
23–24, 30 Apr – 1 May 2016	Morgan^[37]	40%	32.5%	13.5%	14%	49%	51%	2,951	±1	In person and SMS
20–24 Apr 2016	Essential^[38]	40%	39%	10%	11%	48%	52%	1,740	±3	Online (members)
14–17 Apr 2016	Newspoll^[39]	41%	36%	11%	12%	49%	51%	?	±3	Landline
13–17 Apr 2016	Essential^[40]	42%	36%	11%	11%	50%	50%	1,753	±3	Online (members)
9–10, 16–17 Apr 2016	Morgan^[41]	40.5%	32%	14%	13.5%	50%	50%	3,083	±1	In person and SMS
14–16 Apr 2016	Ipsos^[42]	42%	33%	14%	11%	50%	50%	1,402	±2.6	Telephone (random)
14 Apr 2016	ReachTEL^[43]	43.5%	35.8%	9.8%	10.9%	50%	50%	2,415	?	Telephone (random)
6–10 Apr 2016	Essential^[44]	42%	35%	11%	12%	50%	50%	1,792	±3	Online (members)
31 Mar – 3 Apr 2016	Newspoll^[45]	41%	36%	11%	12%	49%	51%	?	±3	Landline
26–27 Mar, 2–3 Apr 2016	Morgan^[46]	42%	31%	13%	14%	52.5%	47.5%	3,174	±1	In person and SMS
21 Mar 2016	ReachTEL^[47]	46.6%	34.4%	10.5%	8.6%	52%	48%	3,274	?	Telephone (random)
17–20 Mar 2016	Newspoll^[48]	43%	34%	12%	11%	51%	49%	?	±3%	Landline
16–20 Mar 2016	Essential^[49]	43%	38%	10%	9%	50%	50%	1,790	±3	Online (members)
12–13, 19–20 Mar 2016	Morgan^[50]	40%	33%	14%	13%	49.5%	50.5%	2,948	±1	In person and SMS
10–12 Mar 2016	Ipsos^[51]	45%	31%	14%	10%	53%	47%
3–6 Mar 2016	Newspoll^[52]	43%	35%	12%	10%	50%	50%
2–6 Mar 2016	Essential^[53]	43%	37%	10%	10%	50%	50%
27–28 Feb, 5–6 Mar 2016	Morgan^[54]	43%	29.5%	13%	14.5%	53%	47%
24–28 Feb 2016	Essential^[55]	43%	38%	10%	9%	50%	50%
18–21 Feb 2016	Newspoll^[56]	43%	35%	12%	10%	50%	50%
17–21 Feb 2016	Essential^[57]	44%	35%	10%	11%	52%	48%
13–14, 20–21 Feb 2016	Morgan^[58]	43.5%	29.5%	15%	12%	52.5%	47.5%
11–13 Feb 2016	Ipsos^[59]	44%	32%	15%	10%	52%	48%
11 Feb 2016	ReachTEL^[60]	48.1%	32.8%	10.1%	9%	54%	46%
3–7 Feb 2016	Essential^[61]	44%	35%	10%	10%	52%	48%
30–31 Jan, 6–7 Feb 2016	Morgan^[62]	43.5%	29%	16%	11.5%	52.5%	47.5%
28–31 Jan 2016	Newspoll^[63]	46%	34%	11%	9%	53%	47%
16–17, 23–24 Jan 2016	Morgan^[64]	43.5%	28%	15%	13.5%	55%	45%
21 Jan 2016	ReachTEL^[65]	48.5%	31.8%	10.8%	9.1%	55%	45%
15–18 Jan 2016	Essential^[66]	44%	35%	10%	12%	51%	49%
2–3, 9–10 Jan 2016	Morgan^[67]	47%	29%	13%	11%	56%	44%
15 Dec 2015	Essential^[68]	45%	35%	10%	10%	52%	48%
5–6, 12–13 Dec 2015	Morgan^[69]	48%	27%	14.5%	10.5%	57.5%	42.5%
8 Dec 2015	Essential^[70]	44%	36%	11%	10%	51%	49%
4–6 Dec 2015	Newspoll^[71]	45%	33%	12%	10%	53%	47%
1 Dec 2015	Essential^[72]	44%	35%	11%	10%	51%	49%
21–22, 28–29 Nov 2015	Morgan^[73]	46.5%	28.5%	14%	11%	56%	44%
26 Nov 2015	ReachTEL^[74]	48.8%	31.1%	11.2%	8.9%	55%	45%
24 Nov 2015	Essential^[75]	45%	35%	10%	10%	52%	48%
19–22 Nov 2015	Newspoll^[76]	46%	33%	11%	10%	53%	47%
7–8, 14–15 Nov 2015	Morgan^[77]	46%	28%	14.5%	11.5%	56%	44%
12–14 Nov 2015	Ipsos^[78]	48%	29%	13%	10%	57%	43%
10 Nov 2015	Essential^[79]	45%	35%	10%	11%	52%	48%
6–8 Nov 2015	Newspoll^[80]	46%	34%	10%	10%	53%	47%
3 Nov 2015	Essential	45%	34%	11%	10%	53%	47%
24–25 Oct, 1 Nov 2015	Morgan^[81]	47%	28.5%	14.5%	10%	56.5%	43.5%
27 Oct 2015	Essential^[82]	45%	35%	11%	9%	52%	48%
23–25 Oct 2015	Newspoll^[83]	45%	35%	11%	9%	52%	48%
22 Oct 2015	ReachTEL^[84]	46.7%	33.0%	11.3%	9.1%	53%	47%
20 Oct 2015	Essential^[85]	44%	36%	11%	9%	51%	49%
10–11, 17–18 Oct 2015	Morgan^[86]	46.5%	27.5%	15.5%	10.5%	56%	44%
15–17 Oct 2015	Ipsos^[87]	45%	30%	14%	10%	54%	46%
13 Oct 2015	Essential^[88]	44%	36%	10%	10%	51%	49%
9–11 Oct 2015	Newspoll^[89]	43%	35%	12%	10%	50%	50%
26–27 Sep, 1–5 Oct 2015	Morgan^[90]	47%	27.5%	14%	11.5%	56%	44%
1–4 Oct 2015	Essential^[91]	44%	35%	10%	10%	52%	48%
24–28 Sep 2015	Essential	44%	35%	11%	11%	52%	48%
17–21 Sep 2015	Essential^[92]	43%	37%	11%	9%	50%	50%
19–20 Sep 2015	Morgan^[93]	46%	29.5%	13%	11.5%	55%	45%
17–20 Sep 2015	Newspoll^[94]	44%	35%	11%	10%	51%	49%
15–16 Sep 2015	Galaxy^[95]	44%	36%	11%	9%	51%	49%
15 Sep 2015	ReachTEL^[96]	43.3%	35.9%	11.9%	8.9%	50%	50%
14 Sep 2015	Turnbull replaces Abbott as Liberal leader
12–13 Sep 2015	Morgan^[97]	35%	36.5%	16%	12.5%	43%	57%
5–6 Sep 2015	Morgan^[98]	36.5%	35.5%	16.5%	11.5%	45%	55%
4–6 Sep 2015	Newspoll^[99]	39%	39%	12%	10%	46%	54%
26–30 Aug 2015	Essential^[100]	40%	38%	11%	12%	48%	52%
27 Aug 2015	ReachTEL^[101]	40.3%	37.5%	13.4%	8.9%	47%	53%
22–23 Aug 2015	Morgan^[102]	38.5%	36%	14%	11.5%	45.5%	54.5%
20–23 Aug 2015	Newspoll^[103]	38%	39%	13%	10%	46%	54%
13–15 Aug 2015	Ipsos^[104]	38%	36%	16%	11%	44%	56%
11–14 Aug 2015	Essential	41%	38%	10%	11%	48%	52%
8–9 Aug 2015	Morgan^[105]	36.5%	37%	15.5%	11%	43%	57%
8–9 Aug 2015	Newspoll^[106]	39%	39%	13%	9%	46%	54%
4–7 Aug 2015	Essential	40%	39%	11%	9%	47%	53%
6 Aug 2015	ReachTel^[107]	40.2%	38.3%	12.8%	8.7%	47%	53%
28–31 Jul 2015	Essential^[108]	39%	38%	12%	10%	47%	53%
30 Jul 2015	ReachTel^[109]	40.6%	38%	12.9%	8.6%	47%	53%
25–26 Jul 2015	Morgan^[110]	39%	35.5%	15%	10.5%	46%	54%
16–19 Jul 2015	Newspoll^[111]	40%	39%	12%	9%	47%	53%
14–17 Jul 2015	Essential	41%	38%	11%	11%	48%	52%
11–12 Jul 2015	Morgan^[112]	41.5%	34.5%	13.5%	10.5%	49%	51%
4–5 Jul 2015	Newspoll^[113]	40%	37%	13%	10%	48%	52%
2–4 Jul 2015	Ipsos^[114]	39%	35%	16%	10%	47%	53%
27–28 Jun 2015	Morgan^[115]	39%	36%	14%	11%	46.5%	53.5%
16 Jun 2015	Newspoll^[116]	40%	34%	14%	12%	49%	51%
16 Jun 2015	Essential	42%	39%	10%	9%	48%	52%
13–14 Jun 2015	Morgan^[117]	37.5%	37.5%	13.5%	11.5%	45.5%	54.5%
11–13 Jun 2015	Ipsos^[118]	40%	37%	14%	10%	47%	53%
11–13 Jun 2015	Essential	41%	40%	9%	10%	48%	52%
2 Jun 2015	Newspoll^[119]	41%	37%	13%	9%	48%	52%
2 Jun 2015	Essential^[120]	41%	37%	13%	9%	48%	52%
23–24, 30–31 May 2015	Morgan^[121]	41%	37%	13%	9%	47%	53%
26 May 2015	Essential	41%	39%	10%	9%	48%	52%
18 May 2015	Morgan^[122]	41.5%	35.5%	12.5%	10.5%	49%	51%
17 May 2015	Ipsos^[123]	43%	35%	13%	9%	50%	50%
17 May 2015	Newspoll^[124]	40%	37%	12%	11%	47%	53%
13 May 2015	ReachTel^[125]	41.1%	38.3%	12.1%	8.6%	47%	53%
7–10 May 2015	Essential^[126]	41%	39%	11%	10%	48%	52%
6 May 2015	Di Natale replaces Milne as Greens leader
4 May 2015	Newspoll^[127]	39%	35%	12%	14%	48%	52%
4 May 2015	Morgan^[128]

| 40%| 37.5%| 11.5%| 11%| 46.5%| style="background:#f66;" | 53.5%|-! 28 Apr 2015| style="text-align:left;" | Essential| 40%| 39%| 10%| 11%| 47%| style="background:#f66;" | 53%|-! 21 Apr 2015| style="text-align:left;" | Essential| 41%| 39%| 11%| 10%| 48%| style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 11–12, 18–19 Apr 2015| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan^[129] | 38.5%| 38%| 12%| 11%| 47%| style="background:#f66;" | 53%|-! 14 Apr 2015| style="text-align:left;" | Essential| 41%| 39%| 10%| 11%| 48%| style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 10–12 Apr 2015| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll^[130] | 41%| 36%| 11%| 12%| 49%| style="background:#f66;" | 51%|-! 9–11 Apr 2015| style="text-align:left;" | Ipsos^[131] | 39%| 38%| 13%| 9%| 46%| style="background:#f66;" | 54%|-! 28–29 Mar, 3–6 Apr 2015| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan^[132] | 40.5%| 36%| 12.5%| 11%| 47%| style="background:#f66;" | 53%|-! 29 Mar 2015| style="text-align:left;" | ReachTEL^[133] | 39.6%| 40.5%| 11.5%| 8.5%| 46%| style="background:#f66;" | 54%|-! 20–22 Mar 2015| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll^[134] | 41%| 37%| 11%| 11%| 49%| style="background:#f66;" | 51%|-! 14–15, 21–22 Mar 2015| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan^[135] | 38%| 40%| 11%| 11%| 44%| style="background:#f66;" | 56% |-! 17 Mar 2015| style="text-align:left;" | Essential| 40%| 39%| 9%| 11%| 48%| style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 10 Mar 2015| style="text-align:left;" | Essential^[136] | 40%| 40%| 9%| 11%| 47%| style="background:#f66;" | 53%|-! 7–8 Mar 2015| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll^[137] | 38%| 39%| 12%| 11%| 45%| style="background:#f66;" | 55%|-! 28 Feb–1, 7–8 Mar 2015| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan^[138] | 39%| 38%| 12.5%| 11.5%| 46.5%| style="background:#f66;" | 53.5%|-! 26–28 Feb 2015| style="text-align:left;" | Ipsos| 42%| 36%| 12%| 10%| 49%| style="background:#f66;" | 51%|-! 20–22 Feb 2015| style="text-align:left;" | Essential | 40%| 41%| 9%| 10%| 47%| style="background:#f66;" | 53%|-! 20–22 Feb 2015| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll| 38%| 38%| 12%| 12%| 47%| style="background:#f66;" | 53%|-! 6–8 Feb 2015| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll| 35%| 41%| 12%| 12%| 43%| style="background:#f66;" | 57%|-! 31 Jan–1, 7–8 Feb 2015| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan| 35%| 41%| 12%| 12%| 42.5%| style="background:#f66;" | 57.5%|-! 5 Feb 2015| style="text-align:left;" | ReachTEL| 38.4%| 41.4%| 11.2%| 8.9%| 45%| style="background:#f66;" | 55%|-! 4–5 Feb 2015| style="text-align:left;" | Galaxy| 36%| 43%| 11%| 10%| 43%| style="background:#f66;" | 57%|-! 28–30 Jan 2015| style="text-align:left;" | Galaxy| 36%| 43%| 11%| 10%| 43%| style="background:#f66;" | 57%|-! 27 Jan 2015| style="text-align:left;" | ReachTEL| 39.7%| 40.2%| 11.3%| 8.8%| 46%| style="background:#f66;" | 54%|-! 27 Jan 2015| style="text-align:left;" | Essential| 39%| 41%| 9%| 11%| 46%| style="background:#f66;" | 54%|-! 20 Jan 2015| style="text-align:left;" | Essential| 40%| 40%| 10%| 11%| 47%| style="background:#f66;" | 53%|-! 13 Jan 2015| style="text-align:left;" | Essential| 38%| 40%| 10%| 11%| 46%| style="background:#f66;" | 54%|-! 12 Jan 2015| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan| 38.5%| 38.5%| 9.5%| 13.5%| 45.5%| style="background:#f66;" | 54.5%|-! 23–27 Dec 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan| 37.5%| 39.5%| 12%| 11%| 43.5%| style="background:#f66;" | 56.5%|-! 16 Dec 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Essential| 40%| 38%| 10%| 12%| 48%| style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 12–15 Dec 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll| 38%| 39%| 12%| 11%| 46%| style="background:#f66;" | 54%|-! 6–7, 13–14 Dec 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan| 35%| 41%| 11.5%| 12.5%| 42.5%| style="background:#f66;" | 57.5%|-! 4–6 Dec 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Ipsos| 40%| 37%| 12%| 11%| 48%| style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 2–4 Dec 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Galaxy| 38%| 41%| 11%| 10%| 45%| style="background:#f66;" | 55%|-! 2 Dec 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Essential| 40%| 40%| 9%| 11%| 47%| style="background:#f66;" | 53%|-! 29–30 Nov 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll| 37%| 37%| 13%| 13%| 46%| style="background:#f66;" | 54%|-! 22–23, 29–30 Nov 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan| 37%| 37.5%| 12%| 11.5%| 46.5%| style="background:#f66;" | 53.5%|-! 25 Nov 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Essential| 40%| 39%| 10%| 11%| 48%| style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 21 Nov 2014| style="text-align:left;" | ReachTEL| 40.2%| 38.7%| 11.1%| 9.9%| 47%| style="background:#f66;" | 53%|-! 18 Nov 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll| 36%| 39%| 11%| 14%| 45%| style="background:#f66;" | 55%|-! 17 Nov 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Essential| 40%| 38%| 10%| 12%| 48%| style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 17 Nov 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan| 38%| 38.5%| 12%| 11.5%| 44.5%| style="background:#f66;" | 55.5%|-! 11 Nov 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Essential| 40%| 38%| 10%| 13%| 48%| style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 4 Nov 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll| 38%| 36%| 13%| 13%| 46%| style="background:#f66;" | 54%|-! 4 Nov 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Essential| 40%| 38%| 10%| 12%| 48%| style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 25–26 Oct, 1–2 Nov 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan| 38.5%| 37.5%| 12.5%| 11.5%| 45.5%| style="background:#f66;" | 54.5%|-! 30 Oct–1 Nov 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Ipsos| 42%| 37%| 12%| 10%| 49%| style="background:#f66;" | 51%|-! 28 Oct 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Essential| 39%| 39%| 9%| 12%| 47%| style="background:#f66;" | 53%|-! 23 Oct 2014| style="text-align:left;" | ReachTEL| 40.1%| 37.5%| 11.5%| 10.9%| 48%| style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 21 Oct 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Essential| 40%| 39%| 10%| 11%| 47%| style="background:#f66;" | 53%|-! 21 Oct 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll| 38%| 34%| 14%| 14%| 47%| style="background:#f66;" | 53%|-! 20 Oct 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan| 39.5%| 35.5%| 12%| 13%| 48%| style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 14 Oct 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Essential| 41%| 39%| 10%| 10%| 48%| style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 7 Oct 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Essential| 40%| 39%| 10%| 11%| 48%| style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 4–5 Oct 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan| 40%| 35%| 12%| 13%| 47%| style="background:#f66;" | 53%|-! 4–5 Oct 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Galaxy| 42%| 36%| 12%| 10%| 49%| style="background:#f66;" | 51%|-! 23 Sep 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll| 41%| 34%| 11%| 14%| 49%| style="background:#f66;" | 51%|-! 13–14, 20–21 Sep 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan| 38.5%| 37.5%| 12%| 12%| 45.5%| style="background:#f66;" | 54.5%|-! 18 Sep 2014| style="text-align:left;" | ReachTEL| 41.6%| 37.4%| 10.5%| 10.5%| 49%| style="background:#f66;" | 51%|-! 30–31 Aug, 6–7 Sep 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan| 38%| 37%| 10.5%| 14.5%| 46%| style="background:#f66;" | 54%|-! 5–7 Sep 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll| 39%| 35%| 14%| 12%| 48%| style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 22–24 Aug 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll| 40%| 34%| 11%| 15%| 49%| style="background:#f66;" | 51%|-! 16–17, 23–24 Aug 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan| 37.5%| 38.5%| 10.5%| 13.5%| 44.5%| style="background:#f66;" | 55.5% |-! 19 Aug 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Essential| 40%| 38%| 9%| 13%| 48%| style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 9–10 Aug 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan| 37.5%| 38%| 11%| 13.5%| 44% | style="background:#f66;" | 56%|-! 8–10 Aug 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll| 40%| 34%| 13%| 13%| 48% | style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 25–27 Jul 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll| 36%| 36%| 12%| 16%| 46% | style="background:#f66;" | 54%|-! 11–13 Jul 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll| 36%| 37%| 11%| 16%| 46% | style="background:#f66;" | 54%|-! 1 Jul 2014| style="text-align:left;" |Essential^[139] | 40%| 38%| 9%| 13%| 48% | style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 30 Jun 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan^[140] | 35%| 36.5%| 12%| 16.5%| 42.5% | style="background:#f66;" | 57.5%|-! 27–29 Jun 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll| 35%| 37%| 13%| 15%| 45% | style="background:#f66;" | 55%|-! 13–15 Jun 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll| 37%| 36%| 10%| 17%| 47% | style="background:#f66;" | 53%|-! 30 May–1 Jun 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll| 36%| 37%| 12%| 15%| 46% | style="background:#f66;" | 54%|-! 27 May 2014| style="text-align:left;" |Essential^[141] | 40%| 39%| 9%| 12%| 48% | style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 20 May 2014| style="text-align:left;" |Essential^[142] | 40%| 40%| 8%| 12%| 48% | style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 17–18 May 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan^[143] | 35%| 38.5%| 12%| 14.5%| 42.5% | style="background:#f66;" | 57.5%|-! 16–18 May 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll| 36%| 38%| 11%| 15%| 45% | style="background:#f66;" | 55%|-! 15–17 May 2014| style="text-align:left;" |Nielsen^[144] | 35%| 40%| 14%| 12%| 44% | style="background:#f66;" | 56%|-! 4 May 2014| style="text-align:left;" |Galaxy^[145] | 39%| 37%| 11%| 13%| 48% | style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 2–4 May 2014| style="text-align:left;" |Newspoll^[146] | 38%| 34%| 14%| 14%| 47% | style="background:#f66;" | 53%|-! 30 Apr 2014| style="text-align:left;" |Essential^[141] | 40%| 38%| 10%| 11%| 48% | style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 22 Apr 2014| style="text-align:left;" |Morgan^[147] | 38.5%| 34%| 13%| 14.5%| 48% | style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 15 Apr 2014| style="text-align:left;" |Essential^[148] | 42%| 37%| 10%| 11%| 50%| 50%|-! 13 Apr 2014| style="text-align:left;" |Nielsen^[149] | 40%| 34%| 17%| 9%| 48% | style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 8 Apr 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Essential^[150] | 42%| 38%| 9%| 11%| 49%| style="background:#f66;" | 51%|-! 7 Apr 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan^[151] | 38.5%| 34.5%| 12%| 15%| 48.5%| style="background:#f66;" | 51.5%|-! 4–6 Apr 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll^[152] | 43%| 34%| 11%| 12%| style="background:#00bfff;" | 51% | 49%|-! 25 Mar 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan^[153] | 38%| 38.5%| 11%| 12.5%| 45.5%| style="background:#f66;" | 54.5%|-! 25 Mar 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Essential^[154] | 44%| 37%| 9%| 11%| style="background:#00bfff;" | 51%| 49%|-! 21–23 Mar 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll^[155] | 40%| 36%| 13%| 11%| 48%| style="background:#f66;" | 52%|- ! 18 Mar 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Essential^[156] | 43%| 36%| 9%| 12%| style="background:#00bfff;" | 51%| 49%|-! 13–15 Mar 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Nielsen^[157] | 44%| 35%| 12%| 10%| style="background:#00bfff;" | 51%| 49%|- ! 7–9 Mar 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll| 41%| 35%| 11%| 13%| 49%| style="background:#f66;" | 51%|-! 5 Mar 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Essential^[158] | 44%| 38%| 8%| 10%| style="background:#00bfff;" | 51%| 49%|-! 23 Feb 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan^[159] | 41%| 35.5%| 10.5%| 13%| 49.5%| style="background:#f66;" | 50.5%|-! 21–23 Feb 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll^[160] | 39%| 39%| 10%| 12%| 46%| style="background:#f66;" | 54%|-! 15 Feb 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Nielsen^[161] | 44%| 33%| 12%| 11%| style="background:#00bfff;" | 52%| 48%|-! 7–9 Feb 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll^[162] | 41%| 35%| 12%| 12%| 49%| style="background:#f66;" | 51%|-! 28 Jan 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan^[163] | 39.5%| 37%| 11.5%| 12%| 47%| style="background:#f66;" | 53%|-! 23 Jan 2014| style="text-align:left;" | ReachTEL| 39.8%| 40.6%| 9.1%| 9.1%| 47%| style="background:#f66;" | 53%|-! 17–20 Jan 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Essential^[164] | 43%| 37%| 9%| 11%| style="background:#00bfff;" | 51%| 49%|-! 13 Jan 2014| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan^[165] | 38%| 39%| 10.5%| 12.5%| 47.5%| style="background:#f66;" | 52.5%|-! 16 Dec 2013| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan^[166] | 40.5%| 38.5%| 10%| 11%| 47.5%| style="background:#f66;" | 52.5%|-! 15 Dec 2013| style="text-align:left;" | ReachTEL| 41.4%| 40.4%| 8.7%| 9.5%| 48%| style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 6–8 Dec 2013| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll| 40%| 38%| 11%| 11%| 48%| style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 28 Nov–2 Dec 2013| style="text-align:left;" | Essential^[167] | 44%| 36%| 8%| 11%| style="background:#00bfff;" | 52%| 48%|-! 30 Nov–1 Dec 2013| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan (multi)^[168] | 41.5%| 38.5%| 8.5%| 12.5%| 48.5%| style="background:#f66;" | 51.5%|-! 22–24 Nov 2013| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll| 43%| 35%| 10%| 12%| style="background:#00bfff;" | 52%| 48%|-! 21–23 Nov 2013| style="text-align:left;" | Nielsen^[169] | 41%| 37%| 11%| 11%| 48%| style="background:#f66;" | 52%|-! 8–10 Nov 2013| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll| 45%| 32%| 12%| 11%| style="background:#00bfff;" | 53%| 47%|-! 25–27 Oct 2013| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll| 47%| 31%| 10%| 12%| style="background:#00bfff;" | 56%| 44%|-! 19–20 Oct 2013| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan^[170] | 43.5%| 34.5%| 10%| 12%| style="background:#00bfff;" | 51.5%| 48.5%|- style="background:#DADADA;" ||13 Oct 2013| colspan="7"| Shorten replaces Rudd as Labor leader|-! 21–22 Sep 2013| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan^[171] | 43.5%| 34%| 10.5%| 12%| style="background:#00bfff;" | 50.5%| 49.5%|-! 19–22 Sep 2013| style="text-align:left;" | Essential^[172] | 43%| 37%| 9%| 11%| style="background:#00bfff;" | 51%| 49%|-! 12–15 Sep 2013| style="text-align:left;" | Essential^[172] | 44%| 36%| 9%| 11%| style="background:#00bfff;" | 53%| 47%|-! style="background:#b0e9db;"|7 Sep 2013! style="text-align:left; background:#b0e9db;"|2013 election| style="background:#b0e9db;"|45.6%| style="background:#b0e9db;"|33.4%| style="background:#b0e9db;"|8.7%| style="background:#b0e9db;"|12.3%| style="background:#00bfff;"|53.5%| style="background:#b0e9db;"|46.5%|-! 4–6 Sep 2013| style="text-align:left;" | Morgan (multi)| 45%| 31.5%| 9.5%| 14%| style="background:#00bfff;" | 54.5% | 44.5%|-! 5 Sep 2013| style="text-align:left;" | ReachTEL^[173] | 43.5%| 33.7%| 10.2%| 12.6%| style="background:#00bfff;" | 53%| 47%|-! 3–5 Sep 2013| style="text-align:left;" | Newspoll| 46%| 33%| 9%| 12%| style="background:#00bfff;" | 54%| 46%|}

Preferred prime minister and satisfaction

+
Date	Firm	Preferred prime minister			Satisfied	Dissatisfied	Satisfied	Dissatisfied
		Turnbull	Shorten		Turnbull		Shorten
28 Jun – 1 Jul 2016	Newspoll	48%	31%		40%	47%	36%	51%
30 Jun 2016	ReachTEL	52.9%	47.1%
26–29 Jun 2016	Ipsos	49%	35%		49%	41%	42%	50%
23–26 Jun 2016	Essential	40%	29%		40%	40%	37%	39%
23–26 Jun 2016	Newspoll	45%	30%		37%	51%	35%	50%
23 Jun 2016	ReachTEL	58.4%	41.6%
16–19 Jun 2016	Newspoll	46%	31%		36%	51%	35%	51%
16 Jun 2016	ReachTEL	57.6%	42.4%
14–16 Jun 2016	Ipsos	48%	34%		47%	42%	43%	47%
9–12 Jun 2016	Essential	40%	29%		38%	40%	34%	40%
9 Jun 2016	ReachTEL	55.4%	44.6%
2–5 Jun 2016	Newspoll	45%	30%		37%	51%	33%	52%
2 Jun 2016	ReachTEL	55.6%	44.4%
31 May – 2 Jun 2016	Ipsos	49%	31%		45%	42%	41%	47%
26–29 May 2016	Essential	40%	27%		41%	39%	34%	44%
26 May 2016	ReachTEL	54.9%	45.1%
19–22 May 2016	Newspoll	46%	31%		38%	50%	37%	49%
19 May 2016	ReachTEL	55.6%	44.4%
17–19 May 2016	Ipsos	47%	30%		48%	38%	40%	46%
12–15 May 2016	Essential	43%	28%		40%	42%	34%	43%
5–8 May 2016	Newspoll	49%	27%		38%	49%	33%	52%
5–7 May 2016	Ipsos	51%	29%		48%	40%	38%	49%
5 May 2016	ReachTEL	57.7%	42.3%
4–5 May 2016	Morgan	57%	24%		43%	41%	34%	49%
14–17 Apr 2016	Newspoll	47%	28%		36%	49%	31%	52%
14–16 Apr 2016	Ipsos	54%	27%		51%	38%	33%	55%
14 Apr 2016	ReachTEL	58.4%	41.6%
Apr 2016	Essential	44%	22%		39%	39%	30%	44%
31 Mar–3 Apr 2016	Newspoll	48%	27%		38%	48%	32%	53%
Mar 2016	Essential	48%	19%		45%	35%	27%	47%
21 Mar 2016	ReachTEL	60.0%	40.0%
10–12 Mar 2016	Ipsos	61%	24%		55%	32%	33%	52%
3–6 Mar 2016	Newspoll	55%	21%		44%	41%	30%	55%
Feb 2016	Essential	52%	15%		51%	27%	27%	48%
18–21 Feb 2016	Newspoll	55%	21%		48%	38%	28%	57%
11–13 Feb 2016	Ipsos	64%	19%		62%	24%	30%	55%
11 Feb 2016	ReachTEL	74.9%	25.1%
Jan 2016	Essential	51%	18%		51%	25%	27%	47%
28–31 Jan 2016	Newspoll	59%	20%		53%	31%	25%	60%
Dec 2015	Essential	54%	15%		56%	23%	27%	47%
4–6 Dec 2015	Newspoll	60%	14%		52%	30%	23%	61%
Nov 2015	Essential	55%	14%		56%	20%	27%	47%
26 Nov 2015	ReachTEL	71.4%	28.6%
19–22 Nov 2015	Newspoll	64%	15%		60%	22%	26%	57%
12–14 Nov 2015	Ipsos	69%	18%		69%	16%	29%	57%
6–8 Nov 2015	Newspoll	55%	14%		56%	20%	27%	47%
Oct 2015	Essential	48%	19%		47%	17%	30%	42%
23–25 Oct 2015	Newspoll^[174]	63%	17%		58%	23%	26%	58%
20–22 Oct 2015	Morgan^[175]	76%	14%		66%	18%	25%	62%
15–17 Oct 2015	Ipsos	67%	21%		68%	17%	32%	56%
9–11 Oct 2015	Newspoll	57%	19%		50%	25%	28%	53%
Sep 2015	Essential	53%	17%		N/A	N/A	29%	50%
17–20 Sep 2015	Newspoll	55%	21%		42%	24%	29%	54%
15–16 Sep 2015	Galaxy	51%	20%
15 Sep 2015	ReachTEL	61.9%	38.1%
15 Sep 2015	Morgan	70%	24%
		Abbott	Shorten		Abbott		Shorten
4–6 Sep 2015	Newspoll	37%	41%		30%	63%	30%	58%
27 Aug 2015	ReachTEL	42.1%	57.9%
20–23 Aug 2015	Newspoll	35%	40%		30%	63%	34%	52%
13–15 Aug 2015	Ipsos	39%	45%		35%	59%	39%	49%
11 Aug 2015	Essential	36%	32%		38%	53%	29%	52%
9 Aug 2015	Newspoll	39%	39%		33%	61%	29%	57%
6 Aug 2015	ReachTEL	41.5%	58.5%
31 Jul 2015	ReachTEL	44.9%	55.1%
16–19 Jul 2015	Newspoll	39%	36%		33%	60%	27%	59%
7 Jul 2015	Essential	37%	30%		37%	53%	27%	52%
6 Jul 2015	Newspoll	39%	39%		33%	60%	28%	56%
11–13 Jun 2015	Newspoll	41%	38%		34%	56%	28%	54%
11–13 Jun 2015	Ipsos	41%	42%
2 Jun 2015	Essential	38%	33%		39%	50%	32%	45%
2 Jun 2015	Newspoll	41%	37%		38%	53%	32%	50%
17 May 2015	Ipsos	44%	39%		42%	50%	41%	45%
17 May 2015	Newspoll	41%	40%		39%	52%	35%	46%
12 Apr 2015	Essential	35%	32%		36%	54%	32%	41%
5 Apr 2015	Newspoll	38%	38%		37%	56%	34%	50%
27 Apr 2015	Morgan	44%	39%		37%	53%	34%	48%
14 Apr 2015	Essential	33%	35%		33%	58%	33%	42%
10–12 Apr 2015	Newspoll	40%	41%		33%	59%	33%	51%
9–11 Apr 2015	Ipsos	38%	46%		34%	60%	42%	44%
20–22 Mar 2015	Newspoll	36%	41%		29%	61%	36%	47%
7–8 Mar 2015	Newspoll	33%	44%		28%	63%	39%	42%
26–28 Feb 2015	Ipsos	39%	44%		32%	62%	43%	43%
20–22 Feb 2015	Newspoll	35%	43%		25%	68%	35%	49%
6–8 Feb 2015	Newspoll	30%	48%		24%	68%	42%	40%
1 Feb 2015	Galaxy	27%	44%
28–30 Jan 2015	Galaxy	27%	44%
14 Jan 2015	Morgan	41%	43%		37%	52%	37%	40%
13 Jan 2015	Essential	35%	37%		37%	53%	39%	33%
28–30 Nov 2014	Newspoll	37%	44%		33%	58%	37%	43%
4–6 Dec 2014	Ipsos	39%	47%
28–30 Nov 2014	Newspoll	36%	43%		33%	57%	39%	43%
18 Nov 2014	Newspoll	37%	43%		36%	55%	39%	41%
11 Nov 2014	Essential	36%	34%		39%	50%	37%	38%
4 Nov 2014	Newspoll	39%	38%		37%	52%	37%	45%
30 Oct–1 Nov 2014	Ipsos	41%	41%		42%	49%	43%	40%
21 Oct 2014	Newspoll	39%	38%		38%	53%	35%	46%
14 Oct 2014	Essential	38%	32%		40%	48%	35%	36%
23 Sep 2014	Newspoll	41%	37%		41%	52%	38%	43%
5–7 Sep 2014	Newspoll	37%	37%		35%	54%	36%	43%
22–24 Aug 2014	Newspoll	39%	40%		36%	55%	40%	39%
8–10 Aug 2014	Newspoll	41%	37%		36%	54%	36%	44%
25–27 Jul 2014	Newspoll	38%	38%		36%	53%	38%	41%
11–13 Jul 2014	Newspoll	36%	41%		31%	60%	34%	43%
27–29 Jun 2014	Newspoll	34%	44%		31%	62%	34%	41%
13–15 Jun 2014	Newspoll	37%	40%		30%	61%	34%	45%
30 May – 1 Jun 2014	Newspoll	35%	45%		33%	59%	38%	43%
16–18 May 2014	Newspoll	34%	44%		30%	60%	42%	39%
15–17 May 2014	Nielsen	40%	51%		34%	62%	47%	39%
2–4 May 2014	Newspoll	40%	38%		35%	56%	35%	41%
13 Apr 2014	Nielsen	45%	44%		43%	50%	43%	41%
8 Apr 2014	Essential	42%	32%		41%	47%	34%	38%
4–6 Apr 2014	Newspoll	41%	33%		40%	47%	31%	42%
21–23 Mar 2014	Newspoll	43%	36%		40%	50%	36%	43%
13–15 Mar 2014	Nielsen	48%	43%		45%	49%	42%	42%
7–9 Mar 2014	Newspoll	42%	36%		38%	50%	33%	43%
21–23 Feb 2014	Newspoll	38%	37%		36%	52%	35%	39%
15 Feb 2014	Nielsen	49%	39%		45%	47%	40%	40%
7–9 Feb 2014	Newspoll	41%	33%		40%	45%	35%	35%
6–8 Dec 2013	Newspoll	41%	34%		40%	45%	44%	27%
22–24 Nov 2013	Newspoll	44%	33%		42%	42%	39%	27%
21–23 Nov 2013	Nielsen	49%	41%		47%	46%	51%	30%
8–10 Nov 2013	Newspoll	46%	30%		45%	38%	37%	24%
25–27 Oct 2013	Newspoll	47%	28%		47%	34%	32%	24%
2013 election		–	–		–	–	–	–
3–5 Sep 2013	Newspoll	45%			44%	50%
^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader.

Individual seat polling

See main article: Electorate opinion polling for the 2016 Australian federal election.

Notes and References

1. [Mackerras pendulum for the Australian 2016 federal election]
2. Web site: Newspoll: Turnbull clings to narrow lead. www.theaustralian.com.au. 20 April 2019.
3. Web site: 7 News - National Poll - 30 June 2016 - ReachtelBlog. www.reachtel.com.au. 20 April 2019.
4. Web site: 1 Jul 2016 Essential. 20 April 2019.
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90. Web site: L-NP (56%) leads ALP (44%) – biggest lead for L-NP since June 2013 – a vote of confidence in Turnbull's new Ministry. 5 October 2015. Roy Morgan Research.
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93. Web site: New PM Turnbull gives L-NP (55%) big lead over ALP (45%). 21 September 2015. Roy Morgan Research.
94. Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition. Crikey. William Bowe. 22 September 2015.
95. News: Malcolm Turnbull puts Coalition ahead in poll for the first time in 16 months . 18 September 2015. The Guardian. Shalailah Medhora.
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97. Web site: L-NP (43%) fell further behind ALP (57%) before Turnbull challenged Abbott for the Prime Ministership on Monday. Roy Morgan Research. 16 September 2015.
98. Web site: L-NP (45%) well behind ALP (55%) on two-party preferred basis as Government Confidence down 5.5pts to 90, Greens at record high – 16.5%. Roy Morgan Research. 7 September 2015.
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103. Web site: Newspoll 23 August. News.com.au.
104. News: Tony Abbott's leadership faces new dangers as Fairfax-Ipsos poll predicts Coalition wipeout. The Sydney Morning Herald. 16 August 2015. 16 August 2015.
105. Web site: L-NP support slumps following resignation of Bronwyn Bishop as Roy Morgan Government Confidence plunges to record low. Roy Morgan Research. 10 August 2015. 11 August 2015.
106. News: Newspoll: Labor extends lead as entitlements scandal hurts Coalition. The Australian. 9 August 2015.
107. Web site: Tony Abbott dragged down by expenses scandal as Bill Shorten surges ahead. Fairfax Media. 9 August 2015.
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110. Web site: L-NP support slumps amid Bronwyn Bishop travel expense 'misconduct' and as the ALP commits to renewable energy & 'turn back the boats' policy. Roy Morgan Research. 27 July 2015.
111. News: Bill Shorten's Newspoll figures rapidly drop. 21 July 2015. Sky News Australia.
112. Web site: ALP support crumbles as Opposition Leader Bill Shorten fronts Royal Commission. Roy Morgan. 13 July 2015.
113. News: Newspoll: Labor in lead but Bill Shorten at lows . 6 July 2015. The Australian. Phillip Hudson.
114. Web site: Fairfax-Ipsos: 53-47 to Labor. Crikey.com.au. 5 July 2015.
115. Web site: L-NP vote up 1% as Opposition Leader Bill Shorten under controversy for his role in the AWU 'affair' and caught out on a lie – however ALP would still win a Federal Election. Roy Morgan Research. 29 June 2015.
116. News: Newspoll: Bill Shorten approval rating at record low 28 per cent. 15 June 2015. The Australian. Phillip Hudson.
117. Web site: ALP increases lead after Hockey says first home buyers should 'get a good job that pays good money'. Roy Morgan Research. 15 June 2015.
118. Web site: Voters drift away from Tony Abbott amid worsening housing affordability crisis and same-sex marriage debate. The Sydney Morning Herald. 14 June 2015. 15 June 2015.
119. Web site: Tony Abbott passes Bill Shorten on approval rating. Newspoll. 2 May 2015.
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121. Web site: 'Budget Bounce' over for the L-NP as ALP regain initiative with Shorten's call for same-sex marriage. Roy Morgan Research. 3 June 2015.
122. Web site: L-NP gets 'Budget boost' – now highest in over a year (February 2014). Roy Morgan Research. Roy Morgan. 18 May 2015.
123. Web site: Fairfax-Ipsos poll: Coalition draws 50–50 with Labor, Abbott approval soars. The Age. 17 May 2015. 17 May 2015.
124. Web site: Newspoll: Budget win for voters, economy … and Tony Abbott. The Australian. 17 May 2015.
125. Web site: ReachTel: 7 News – National Poll – 13 May 2015. ReachTel. 15 May 2015.
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127. Web site: Newspoll: Tony Abbott catches Shorten, Labor keeps lead. The Australian. 5 May 2015.
128. Web site: L-NP vote virtually unchanged as Abbott Government prepares for second Federal Budget.
129. Web site: ALP would still easily win Federal Election as Foreign Minister Julie Bishop arrives in Iran for talks on ISIS, asylum seekers and trade. 20 April 2015. Roy Morgan.
130. Web site: Newspoll: Bill Shorten posts worst ratings as Tony Abbott claws back ground. 12 April 2015. 13 April 2015. Newspoll.
131. Web site: Abbott and Hockey lead Coalition poll dive. 12 April 2015. 13 April 2015. Ipsos.
132. Web site: L-NP support jumps following Mike Baird's triumph in NSW Election. 7 April 2015. 8 April 2015. Roy Morgan Research.
133. Web site: 7 News – National Poll – 29 March 2015. 30 March 2015. 2 April 2015. ReachTEL.
134. News: Mumble: Newspoll takes pressure off Tony Abott's leadership. Peter Mumble. 25 March 2015. 26 March 2015. The Australian.
135. Web site: Federal ALP increases lead as NSW prepares to vote in State Election. 23 March 2015. 25 March 2015. Roy Morgan Research.
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137. News: Newspoll: Tony Abbott rises but Labor has commanding lead. The Australian. 9 March 2015. 9 March 2015. Phillip Hudson.
138. News: Roy Morgan Research: L-NP support increases after PM Abbott commits to sending Australian troops to Iraq. 10 March 2015. 12 March 2015. Roy Morgan Research.
139. Web site: Essential Report. 1 July 2014 . 6 July 2014 . Essential.
140. Web site: ALP (57.5%) increases lead over L-NP (42.5%) as new Senate prepares to sit for first time . 30 June 2014 . 6 July 2014 . Morgan.
141. Web site: Federal politics – voting intention . 30 April 2014 . 4 May 2014 . Essential.
142. Web site: Federal politics – voting intention . 20 April 2014 . 28 May 2014 . Essential.
143. Web site: ALP (57.5%) surges to biggest lead over L-NP (42.5%) since early August 2010 after Joe Hockey delivers his first Federal Budget. . 18 May 2014 . 20 May 2014 . Roy Morgan.
144. Web site: Tony Abbott pays price for broken promises . 19 May 2014 . 19 May 2014 . SMH. Mark Kenny.
145. Web site: Tony Abbott would lose an election if it was held now as voters see his deficit tax plan as a "broken promise" . 3 May 2014. The Daily Telegraph. Samantha Maiden.
146. Web site: Federal Newspoll . Newspoll.
147. Web site: ALP (52%) lead virtually unchanged over L-NP (48%) as Prince William and the Duchess of Cambridge tour Australia . 22 April 2014 . 4 May 2014 . Roy Morgan.
148. Web site: The Essential Report . 15 April 2014 . 15 April 2014 . Essential.
149. Web site: Tony Abbott slumps in polls despite best week yet. 13 April 2014 . 15 April 2014 . Nielsen.
150. Web site: The Essential Report . 8 April 2014 . 10 April 2014 . Essential.
151. Web site: ALP (51.5%) lead is down over L-NP (48.5%) as special WA Senate Election shows both major parties losing support . 7 April 2014 . 15 April 2014 . Morgan.
152. Web site: Federal Voting Intentions & Leaders Ratings . 8 April 2014. 10 April 2014 . Newspoll.
153. Web site: ALP (54.5%) biggest lead over L-NP (45.5%) since losing the Election after ALP win narrowly in SA and L-NP win in Tasmania . 24 March 2014 . 28 March 2014 . Morgan.
154. Web site: Federal politics- Voting intention . 25 March 2014 . 27 March 2014 . Essential.
155. Web site: Newspoll. 17 February 2014 . 25 March 2014 . The Australian.
156. Web site: Federal politics- Voting intention . 18 March 2014 . 27 March 2014 . Essential.
157. Web site: PM backed despite job losses. 17 February 2014 . 21 March 2014 . Sydney Morning Herald.
158. Web site: Federal politics- Voting intention . 5 March 2014 . 10 March 2014 . Essential.
159. Web site: ALP (50.5%, down 1.5%) lead down again over L-NP (49.5%, up 1.5%) as Western Australia set to face a new half-Senate Election in April. 24 February 2014 . 24 February 2014 . Roy Morgan Research.
160. Web site: Newspoll shows lift for ALP as budget fears rise . 24 February 2014 . 25 February 2014 . The Australian.
161. Web site: Tony Abbott bounces back as union woes hit Bill Shorten in latest poll. 17 February 2014 . 11 February 2014 . The Age.
162. Web site: Latest Polls . 11 February 2014 . 11 February 2014 . The Australian.
163. Web site: ALP (53%, up 0.5%) increases clear lead over L-NP (47%, down 0.5%). Government Confidence lowest since Abbott Government elected . 28 January 2014 . 28 January 2014 . Roy Morgan Research.
164. Web site: The Essential Report . 21 January 2014 . 23 January 2014 . Essential Research.
165. Web site: ALP (52.5%) start 2014 with a clear lead over the L-NP (47.5%) in first major public opinion poll of 2014 . 13 January 2014 . 13 January 2014 . Roy Morgan Research.
166. Web site: ALP (52.5%) increases lead over L-NP (47.5%) after Holden decision to cease manufacturing in 2017 and Roy Morgan Government Confidence lowest since Federal Election . 16 December 2013 . 13 January 2014 . Roy Morgan Research.
167. Web site: The Essential Report . 3 December 2013 . 4 December 2013 . Essential Research.
168. Web site: ALP (51.5%) gain lead over L-NP (48.5%) after Gonski 'backflip' . 2 December 2013 . 2 December 2013 . Roy Morgan Research.
169. Web site: Labor storms ahead . 25 November 2013 . 25 November 2013 . The Age.
170. Web site: L-NP (51.5%) regains lead over ALP (48.5%) after Bill Shorten elected as new ALP Leader. 21 October 2013. 12 August 2015.
171. Web site: First Morgan Poll since Election: Major parties close on two-party preferred, Albanese (41%) cf. Shorten (23%) clearly preferred as next Labor Leader. 24 September 2013. 12 August 2015. Roy Morgan.
172. Web site: The Essential Report. 23 September 2013. Essential Vision.
173. Web site: 7 News National Poll . 6 September 2013 . ReachTEL . 6 September 2013.
174. Web site: Newspoll: True measure of Labor's fall as Coalition surges on PM's gains. The Australian. 26 October 2015.
175. Web site: Turnbull (76%) clearly preferred Australian PM cf. Shorten 'Mr. 14%'. December 1988: Hawke 69% cf. Howard 'Mr. 18%'.. Roy Morgan Research. 23 October 2015.