| Election Name: | 2007 National Assembly for Wales election |
| Country: | Wales |
| Type: | parliamentary |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2003 National Assembly for Wales election |
| Previous Year: | 2003 |
| Next Election: | 2011 National Assembly for Wales election |
| Next Year: | 2011 |
| Seats For Election: | All 60 seats to the National Assembly for Wales |
| Majority Seats: | 31 |
| Election Date: | 3 May 2007 |
| 1Blank: | Constituency Vote |
| 2Blank: | % and swing |
| 3Blank: | Regional Vote |
| 4Blank: | % and swing |
| Turnout: | 43.7% 5.5% |
| Leader1: | Rhodri Morgan |
| Party1: | Welsh Labour Party |
| Leaders Seat1: | Cardiff West |
| Last Election1: | 30 seats |
| Seats1: | 26 |
| Seat Change1: | 4 |
| 1Data1: | 314,925 |
| 2Data1: | 32.2% 7.8% |
| 3Data1: | 288,954 |
| 4Data1: | 29.6% 7.0% |
| Leader2: | Ieuan Wyn Jones |
| Party2: | Plaid Cymru |
| Leaders Seat2: | Ynys Môn |
| Last Election2: | 12 seats |
| Seats2: | 15 |
| Seat Change2: | 3 |
| 1Data2: | 219,121 |
| 2Data2: | 22.4% 1.2% |
| 3Data2: | 204,757 |
| 4Data2: | 21.0% 1.3% |
| Leader4: | Nick Bourne |
| Party4: | Welsh Conservative Party |
| Leaders Seat4: | Mid and West Wales |
| Last Election4: | 11 seats |
| Seats4: | 12 |
| Seat Change4: | 1 |
| 1Data4: | 218,730 |
| 2Data4: | 22.4% 2.5% |
| 3Data4: | 209,153 |
| 4Data4: | 21.4% 2.3% |
| Leader5: | Michael German |
| Party5: | Welsh Liberal Democrats |
| Leaders Seat5: | South Wales East |
| Last Election5: | 6 seats |
| Seats5: | 6 |
| 1Data5: | 144,450 |
| 2Data5: | 14.8% 0.7% |
| 3Data5: | 114,500 |
| 4Data5: | 11.7% 1.0% |
| First Minister | |
| Posttitle: | First Minister after election |
| Before Election: | Rhodri Morgan |
| Before Party: | Welsh Labour Party |
| After Election: | Rhodri Morgan |
| After Party: | Welsh Labour Party |
| Map Size: | 300px |
The 2007 National Assembly for Wales election was held on Thursday 3 May 2007 to elect members to the National Assembly for Wales. It was the third general election. On the same day local elections in England and Scotland, as well as the Scottish Parliament election took place. This election was preceded by the previous Assembly election in 2003.
The election saw Plaid Cymru make gains at the expense of Labour, although Labour remain the largest party in the Assembly, as they have since it began. Plaid stated they would make a referendum on devolving further powers to the National Assembly a condition for a coalition.[1] Wales reported that senior civil servants before the election were preparing for three possible coalition administrations: Labour/Liberal Democrat, Labour/Plaid Cymru or Plaid Cymru/Liberal Democrat/Conservative.
Discussions between Plaid Cymru, the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats to form a "Rainbow" Coalition broke down, and a coalition was eventually agreed between Labour and Plaid Cymru.
The Welsh Labour Party before the election had 29 seats, Plaid Cymru had 12, the Welsh Conservative Party 11, the Welsh Liberal Democrats 6, Forward Wales 1, with 1 independent, Trish Law. Law had won her seat at a 2006 by-election. The one Forward Wales Assembly Member was elected as an independent before forming the party. The standings were otherwise identical to the 2003 results.
In general elections for the National Assembly for Wales, each voter has two votes in a mixed member system. The first vote may be used to vote for a candidate to become the Assembly Member for the voter's constituency, elected by the first past the post system. The second vote may be used to vote for a regional closed party list of candidates. Additional member seats are allocated from the lists by the d'Hondt method, with constituency results being taken into account in the allocation. The overall result is approximately proportional.
Predictions for the seat distribution were made by a number of polls before the election:
| Forecast by | Dates | Lab | Plaid | Con | LD | other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Institute of Welsh Affairs[2] | 2007-01-13 | 25 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 2 | |
| NOP/ITV[3] | 2007-04-06 | 25 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 2 | |
| Western Mail[4] | 2007-04-27 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 2 |
|-| style="background-color:white" colspan=15 | |-!rowspan=3 colspan=2 | Parties!colspan=10 | Additional member system!rowspan=2 colspan=5 | Total seats|-!colspan=5 |Constituency!colspan=5 |Region|-! Votes !! % !! +/− !! Seats !! +/− ! Votes !! % !! +/− !! Seats !! +/−! Total !! +/− !! %|-|-| || Total || 978,132 || || || 40 || || 974,884 || || || 20 || || 60 || |||}
(source:[5])
NB: candidates in BOLD text were incumbent assembly members before the election
| Constituency | Conservative | Labour | Liberal Democrats | Plaid Cymru | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberavon | Daisy Meyland-Smith | Brian Gibbons | Claire Waller | Linett Purcell | |
| Aberconwy | Dylan Jones-Evans | Denise Idris Jones | Euron Hughes | Gareth Jones | |
| Alyn and Deeside | Will Gallagher | Carl Sargeant | Paul Brighton | Dafydd Passe | William Crawford (UKIP) |
| Arfon | Gerry Frobisher | Martin Eaglestone | Mel Ab Owain | Alun Ffred Jones | Elwyn Williams (UKIP) |
| Blaenau Gwent | Bob Hayward | Keren Bender | Gareth Lewis | Natasha Asghar | Trish Law (Independent) |
| Brecon and Radnorshire | Suzy Davies | Neil Stone | Kirsty Williams | Arwel Lloyd | |
| Bridgend | Emma Greenow | Carwyn Jones | Paul Warren | Nick Thomas | |
| Caerphilly | Richard Foley | Jeff Cuthbert | Huw Price | Lindsay Whittle | Ron Davies (Independent)[6] |
| Cardiff Central | Andrew Murphy | Sue Lent | Jenny Randerson | Thomas Whitfield | Frank Hughes (UKIP) |
| Cardiff North | Jonathan Morgan | Sophie Howe | Ed Bridges | Wyn Jones | Dai Llewellyn (UKIP) |
| Cardiff South and Penarth | Karen Robson | Lorraine Barrett | Dominic Hannigan | Jason Toby | |
| Cardiff West | Alun Craig Williams | Rhodri Morgan | Alison Goldworthy | Neil McEvoy | |
| Carmarthen East and Dinefwr | Henrietta Hensher | Kevin Madge | Ian Walton | Rhodri Glyn Thomas | |
| Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire | Angela Burns | Christine Gwyther | John Gossage | John Dixon | |
| Ceredigion | Trefor Jones | Linda Grace | John Davies | Elin Jones | Dafydd Morgan (Independent) |
| Clwyd South | John Bell | Karen Sinclair | Frank Biggs | Nia Davies | David Rowlands (UKIP) |
| Clwyd West | Darren Millar | Alun Pugh | Simon Croft | Phil Edwards | Warwick Nicholson (UKIP) |
| Cynon Valley | Neil John | Christine Chapman | Margaret Phelps | Liz Walters | |
| Delyn | Antoinette Sandbach | Sandy Mewies | Ian Matthews | Meg Elis | Derek Bigg (UKIP) |
| Dwyfor Meirionnydd | Mike Wood | David Phillips | Steve Churchman | Dafydd Elis-Thomas | |
| Gower | Byron Davies | Edwina Hart | Nick Tregoning | Darren Price | Alex Lewis (UKIP) |
| Islwyn | Paul Williams | Irene James | Mark J Maguire | Alan Pritchard | Kevin Etheridge (Independent) |
| Llanelli | Andrew Morgan | Catherine Thomas | Jeremy Townsend | Helen Mary Jones | |
| Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney | Giles Howard | Huw Lewis | Amy Kitcher | Glyndwr Cennydd Jones | Clive Tovay (Independent), Jeff Edwards |
| Monmouth | Nick Ramsay | Richard Clark | Jacqui Sullivan | Jonathan T Clark | Ed Abrams (English Democrats) |
| Montgomeryshire | Dan Munford | Rachel Maycock | Mick Bates | David Thomas | Bruce Lawson (UKIP) |
| Neath | Andrew Silvertsen | Gwenda Thomas | Sheila Waye | Alun Llewelyn | |
| Newport East | Peter Fox | John Griffiths | Ed Townsend | Trefor Puw | Andrew Constantine (English Democrats)[7] |
| Newport West | Matthew Evans | Rosemary Butler | Nigel Flanagan | Brian Hancock | Mike Blundell (English Democrats) & James Harris (Independent) |
| Ogmore | Norma Lloyd Nesling | Janice Gregory | Martin Plant | Sian Caiach | |
| Pontypridd | Janice Charles | Jane Davidson | Mike Powell | Richard Rhys Grigg | |
| Preseli Pembrokeshire | Paul Davies | Tamsin Dunwoody | Hywel Davies | John Osmond | |
| Rhondda | Howard Parsons | Leighton Andrews | Karen Roberts | Jill Evans | |
| Swansea East | Bob Dowdle | Valerie Lloyd | Helen Ceri Clarke | Danny Bowles | |
| Swansea West | Harri Lloyd Davies | Andrew Davies | Peter May | Ian Titherington | Richard Lewis (UKIP) |
| Torfaen | Graham Smith | Lynne Neagle | Patrick Legge | Rhys ab Elis | Ian Williams (People's Voice) |
| Vale of Clwyd | Matt Wright | Ann Jones | Mark Young | Mark Jones | |
| Vale of Glamorgan | Gordon Kemp | Jane Hutt | Mark Hooper | Barry Shaw | Kevin Mahoney (UKIP) |
| Wrexham | Felicity Elphick | Lesley Griffiths | Bruce Roberts | Siôn Aled Owen | John Marek (Independent), Peter Lewis (UKIP) |
| Ynys Môn | James Roach | Jonathan Austin | Mandi Abrahams | Ieuan Wyn Jones | Francis Wykes (UKIP), Peter Rogers (Independent) |
|-! colspan=2 style="width: 200px"|Constituency! style="width: 150px"|Elected member! style="width: 300px"|Result
| British National Party | Christian Peoples Alliance | Communist Party of Britain | Conservative Party | Green Party of England and Wales | Independent | Independent | Labour Party | Liberal Democrats | Plaid Cymru | Socialist Labour Party | UKIP | Veritas | Welsh Christian Party | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Ian Si'ree | Joseph Antony Biddulph | Rick Newnham | Nick Bourne | Leila Kiersch | Caroline Evans | Gwynoro Jones | Alun Davies | Cllr. Bill Powell | Nerys Evans | Alun Davies | Clive Easton | Iain Sheldon | Adam Bridgman | |
| 2. | Chris Edwards-Harrill | Elaine Blake | Glyn Davies | Timothy John Foster | Joyce Watson | Julianna Hughes | David Senior | Luke Hume | Nick Powell | M. Williams | |||||
| 3. | Lloyd Thomas Morgan | Graham Morgan | Lisa Francis | Marilyn Elson | Alun Wyn Richards | Cllr. Ken Harris | Delyth Richards | Patricia Ann Bowen | Dennis Taylor | J. Morgan | |||||
| 4. | Marie Murray | Clive Eliassen | O. J. Williams | John Jennings | Rhiannon Stone | Selwyn Runnett | Mrs. Liz Saville-Roberts | Maggie Davies | Virginia Whinnyates | M. Davies | |||||
| 5. | Richard Minshull | Chris Simpson | Dr. Parvaiz Ali | Cllr. David Peter | Martin Wiltshire | ||||||||||
| 6. | M.J.H. Jefferies | Emma Hayes | |||||||||||||
| 7. | Alexander Viol |
| British National Party | Christian Peoples Alliance | Communist Party of Britain | Conservative Party | Green Party of England and Wales | Labour Party | Liberal Democrats | Plaid Cymru | Socialist Labour Party | UKIP | Welsh Christian Party | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Ennys Hughes | Brian Churchill | Glyn Davies | Brynle Williams | Jim Killock | Ken Skates | Eleanor Burnham | Janet Ryder | Bob English | John Bufton | Lindsay Griffiths |
| 2. | Dallus Weaver | Rhian Cartwright | Mark Isherwood | Joe Blakesley | Donna Hutton | Cllr. Tudor Jones | Dafydd Wigley | Dave Roberts | Nathan Gill | Rev. Heather Butler | |
| 3. | Simon Darby | Trevor Jones | Cllr. Janet Finch-Saunders | Maredudd ap Rheinallt | Cllr. Ronnie Hughes | Bobby Feeley | Dyfed Edwards | Judith Sambrook | Elaine Gill | Mark MacLeod | |
| 4. | Mike Howard | Mike Green | Paul Rogers | Cllr. Wilf Hastings | Wenna Williams | Cllr. Douglas Madge | Cllr. Abdul Khan | Paul Liversuch | Ken Khambatta | Justin Davies | |
| 5. | James Davies | Cllr. Chris Hughes | Cllr. Michael Edwards | ||||||||
| 6. | John Broughton | Anne Williams |
| British National Party | Christian Peoples Alliance | Communist Party of Britain | Conservative Party | Green Party of England and Wales | Labour Party | Liberal Democrats | Plaid Cymru | RESPECT The Unity Coalition | Socialist Alternative | Socialist Equality Party | Socialist Labour Party | UKIP | Welsh Christian Party | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | John Walker | Anthony Jeremy | Robert Griffiths | David Melding | John Matthews | Iftakhar Khan | Cllr. John Dixon | Leanne Wood | Karen Tyre | Dave Reid | Chris Talbot | Liz Screen | John Pratt | W. Johannsen | |
| 2. | Laurence Reid | Gwen Griffiths | Andrew R. T. Davies | Richard Payne | Cerys Furlong | Cllr. Gavin Cox | Chris Franks | Rowena Mason | David O'Sullivan | Harry Parfitt | David Bevan | D. Thomson | |||
| 3. | Tim Windsor | Fran Rawlings | Victoria Green | Nigel Baker | Anthony Hunt | Alexandra Macmillan | Gwenllian Lansdown | Andrew Price | Stuart Nolan | Ina Marsden | Dr K. T. Rajan | D. Williams | |||
| 4. | Mark Deacon | Clive Griffiths | Richard John | Richard Clarke | Jayne Brencher | Cllr. Asghar Ali | Mohammed Sarul Islam | Jane Jackson | Poopalasingham Thillaivarothayan | Rob Hawkins | William Potter | J. Storey | |||
| 5. | Mike Jones-Pritchard | Anthony Matthews | Matt Greenough | Cllr. Margaret Jones | Alex Gounelas | ||||||||||
| 6. | Jon Burns | Elizabeth Ale | Andrew Sherwood | Joe Fathallah |
| British National Party | Christian Peoples Alliance | Communist Party of Britain | Conservative Party | English Democrats | Green Party of England and Wales | Independent | Labour Party | Liberal Democrats | Plaid Cymru | Socialist Labour Party | UKIP | Welsh Christian Party | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Robert James Trueman | Madeleine Jeremy | Roy Evans | William Graham | Steve Gash | Ann Were | Colin Hobbs | Cllr. Mark Whitcutt | Michael German | Jocelyn Davies | John Cox | David J Rowlands | Jeff Green | |
| 2. | Peter Greenhalgh | Sara Jeremy | Angharad Halpin | Laura Anne Jones | Alan England | Alasdair McGowen | Tunji Fahm | Mohammad Asghar | Sue Deare | Keith Morgan | Geoff Waggett | |||
| 3. | Marlene Jordan | Dan Cole | David Chipp | Fred Bishop | Gerry Layton | Julie Helen Robinson | Cllr. Phylip Hobson | Colin Mann | Glenn Eynon | Roger Thomas | Peter Watkins | |||
| 4. | Christopher Robinson | Dave Rawlings | Andrew Roberts | David Lane | Owen Clarke | John Wright Turner | Alison Willott | Glyn Erasmus | Cerian Screen | Hugh Moelwyn Hughes | Richard Patching | |||
| 5. | Steven Uncles | Rhianon Passmore | Cllr. David Hando | Joyce Giblin | ||||||||||
| 6. | Michael Russell | Jean Gray |
| British National Party | Christian Peoples Alliance | Communist Party of Britain | Conservative Party | Green Party of England and Wales | Independent Conservative | Independent | Labour Party | Liberal Democrats | Plaid Cymru | RESPECT The Unity Coalition | Socialist Alternative | Socialist Labour Party | UKIP | Welsh Christian Party | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Clive Bennett | Anne Savoury | David Brown | Alun Cairns | Rhodri Griffiths | John Jenkins | Keith James | Howard Davies | Peter Black | Bethan Jenkins | Paul Lynch | Ross Saunders | Jacob Bowen | Tim Jenkins | David Griffiths | |
| 2. | Nick Griffin | Mick Carty | Chris Smart | Brig Oubridge | Cllr. Alana Davies | Cllr. Jackie Radford | David Lloyd | Ahmed Al-Jeffery | Alec Thraves | Martha Page-Harries | Mike Squires | Anthony Kelly | ||||
| 3. | John Cooper | Sian O'Brien | Gerald Rowbottom | Jane Richmond | Cllr. Leighton Veale | Frank Little | Lisa Turnbull | Ron Job | Miriam Scale | Denise Robinson | Katherine Bridgman | |||||
| 4. | Jennifer King | Rob Uprichard | Kenneth Watts | Jonathan Spink | Cllr. Erika Kirchner | Cllr. Mike Day | Carolyn Edwards | Lianne Francis | Howard Rees | Josie MacDonald | Tim Price | |||||
| 5. | Bob Smith | David Rees | Cllr. Peter Foley | Bernard Roome | Theresa Jenkins | |||||||||||
| 6. | Cllr. Norah Clarke | Mark Evans | ||||||||||||||
| 7. | Rachael Hitchinson | |||||||||||||||
| 8. | Marilyn Harris |
In South Wales West, there were also party lists from the Communist Party of Britain, Christian Peoples Alliance, Respect Party, Socialist Labour Party, Welsh Christian Party in addition to two independents, Keith James and John Hudson Jenkins.
Thirteen of the members elected to the Assembly in the election were not members of the previous Assembly, including Gareth Jones, who sat in the Assembly from 1999 to 2003 and lost his seat in that year's election.
Nine sitting AMs were defeated at the polls.
Four sitting AMs did not offer themselves for re-election.
Due to boundary changes, the composition of the outgoing Assembly did not reflect the Assembly that was elected in May 2003 (see National Assembly for Wales constituencies and electoral regions). The main changes were in northwestern Wales, where the constituencies of Conwy, Caernarfon, and Meirionydd nant Conwy were replaced by Aberconwy, Arfon and Dwyfor Meirionnydd.