Montenegro–NATO relations explained

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The accession of Montenegro to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, or NATO, took place on 5 June 2017.[1] In December 2009, Montenegro was granted a Membership Action Plan, the final step in an application for membership in the organization.[2] A formal invitation was issued by the alliance on 2 December 2015,[3] with accession negotiations concluded with the signature by the Foreign Ministers of an Accession Protocol on 19 May 2016.[4] Montenegro officially joined NATO on 5 June 2017.

Background

The State Union of Serbia and Montenegro applied to NATO's Partnership for Peace (PfP) program in June 2003.[5] [6] Montenegro declared independence on 3 June 2006 and soon after opened a Permanent Mission to NATO in Brussels.[7] The new country subsequently joined PfP at the 2006 Riga summit. In November 2007, Montenegro signed a transit agreement with NATO, allowing the alliance's troops to move across the country.[8] Montenegro then signed an agreement with the United States, in which Montenegro would destroy its outdated weaponry as a precondition for NATO membership.[9] In late 2007, Montenegro's Defense Minister Boro Vučinić said that Montenegro would intensify its accession to the alliance after the 2008 Bucharest summit.[10] Montenegro entered Intensified Dialogue with NATO in April 2008, and adopted an Individual Partnership Action Plan in June 2008.[11] It was invited to join the Adriatic Charter of NATO aspirants on 25 September 2008.[12] [13] The country then applied for a Membership Action Plan on 5 November 2008 with support of Prime Minister Milo Đukanović,[14] which was granted in December 2009.[15] Montenegro also began full membership with the Adriatic Charter of NATO aspirants in May 2009.[16] [17]

Montenegro began to contribute its national armed forces to NATO foreign military operations.[18] The country deployed 40 soldiers, a three-member military medical team, and two officers under German command to Afghanistan in 2010. Montenegrin peacekeepers were also deployed to Liberia and Somalia.[19]

Montenegro has received support for its membership bid from several NATO countries, including Romania, Turkey, Germany and the United States.[20] [21] [22] [23] [24]

In December 2013, Dnevne Novine reported that NATO had decided that Montenegro would join NATO at the same time as Macedonia, whose membership has been vetoed by Greece over the Macedonia naming dispute, making accession unlikely in 2014.[25]

In March 2014, Montenegrin Prime Minister Milo Đukanović stated the desire for Montenegro to join NATO,[26] and in May 2014 expressed the hopes an invitation to join the organization will be favoured at the 2014 NATO summit in September. Russian MP Mikhail Degtyarev of the nationalist LDPR warned that NATO membership would make Montenegro "a legitimate target of Russian missiles."[27]

On 29 May 2014, the Slovenian (Karel Erjavec & Roman Jakič) and Croatian (Vesna Pusić & Ante Kotromanović) foreign and defense ministers sent a letter to the Secretary General of NATO, stressing the importance of inviting Montenegro into NATO. The Slovene defense minister also stated that he expects Montenegro to receive a NATO invitation during NATO's 2014 Summit in Wales.[28] However, later that year NATO announced that it would not be offering any new countries membership into the organization that year. Analysts confirmed this as a sign that NATO members are becoming skeptical about further Eastern expansion following Russia's annexation of Crimea, due to worries about Russian retaliation to new security guarantees to countries so close to its borders.[29]

In June 2014, then NATO secretary-general Anders Fogh Rasmussen suggested that NATO would open "intensified talks" with the aim of inviting Montenegro to join the alliance by the end of 2015,[30] but that Montenegro would not get an invitation to join the NATO summit in September. Further assessment of Montenegro's progress was expected by the end of 2015.[31]

A formal invitation was issued by the alliance on 2 December 2015.[3] [32] Final accession talks began in February 2016,[33] and concluded in May, allowing Montenegro to take an "observer" status pending ratification by the governments of the other members, as well as by Montenegro's own parliament.[34]

Pro-Russian opposition parties argued that a referendum on NATO membership should be held simultaneously to parliamentary elections in October 2016, though the government suggested that the elections were a de facto plebiscite on the issue.[35] Pro-NATO parties advanced in the election result.

The United States Senate voted on the Resolution of Ratification (Resolution of Advice and Consent to Ratification (Treaty Doc. 114-12)) on 28 March 2017.[36] President Donald Trump signed a presidential memorandum on 11 April 2017.[37] Ratification by each member state was completed with Spain's ratification on 10 May. On 28 April 2017 Montenegro's parliament ratified the accession treaty.[38] Montenegro officially joined NATO as a member state on 5 June 2017.[1]

The reaction of the Russian government to Montenegro's bid to join NATO had been increasingly hostile[39] culminating in an attempt to stage a coup d'état on 16 October 2016, on the day of the parliamentary election that allegedly would have included assassination of Montenegro's prime minister Milo Đukanović, according to the statements made by Montenegrin officials.[40] [41] The coup plot involved Russian nationals, including a Russian military intelligence officer previously expelled from Poland.[42] [43] [44] Tensions between the countries went on unabated thereafter.[45]

Opinion polls

DatePolling Firm/SourceFor NATO membershipAgainst NATO membershipLead
6–12 October 2017CISR/IRI43518.0
June 2017CEDEM54.245.810.0
Dec 2016CEDEM49.8850.120.2
26 June 2016DAMAR54.245.88.4
24 June 2016CEDEM50.549.51
28 May-5 Jun 2016NSPM39.960.120.2
16–20 May 2016DAMAR54.645.49.2
22 February 2016DAMAR55.644.411
Feb 2016Ipsos50.549.51
Nov 2015CEDEM49.850.20.4
8–16 Oct 2015Ipsos564410
11–18 Sep 2015Ipsos52484
28 July 2015CEDEM49.550.51
8–14 Jun 2015DAMAR51.248.82.4
4–11 Jun 2015Ipsos53.446.66.8
Oct 2014CEDEM43.7556.2512.5
Mar 2014Ipsos52.247.84.4
11 August 2013Ipsos50.649.41.2
Mar 2013CEDEM37.362.725.4
Sep 2012CEDEM49512
July 2012CEDEM46.853.26.4
Dec 2011CEDEM51.548.53
Sep 2011CEDEM43.956.112.2
Oct 2010CEDEM45.154.99.8
Oct 2009CEDEM41.558.517
24 June 2009CEDEM40.9259.0818.16
Nov 2008CEDEM36.4563.5527.1
According to a government poll in March 2014, 46 percent of Montenegro's populace supported NATO membership, while 42 percent opposed it.[46] A poll in July 2015 from the Centre for Democracy and Human Rights, which receives financial support from NATO, found that 36.6 percent support membership, to 37.3 percent against, with sharp divisions between ethnic groups: 71.2 percent of Montenegrin Albanians and 68 percent of Montenegrin Bosniaks support membership, while only 11.3 percent of Montenegrin Serbs do.[47] Russian MP Mikhail Degtyarev of the Nationalist LDPR threatened in May 2014 that NATO membership would make Montenegro "a legitimate target of Russian missiles."[27]

Political views

The ruling Democratic Party of Socialists of Montenegro and Social Democratic Party of Montenegro maintain a strong desire for Montenegro to become a NATO member state. In early 2009 they launched a two-year campaign with the aim of promoting accession to NATO, which is handled by the MAPA media agency under theatrical director Radmila Vojvodić.[48] The ruling coalition of PM Milo Đukanović claims Montenegro cannot afford to remain neutral and identifies NATO and the EU as a common process of Euro-Atlantic integrations.[49] According to a demographic breakdown of polling, citizens of pro-Serbian or pro-Russian political orientation, Eastern Orthodox Christian conservatives, women and the undereducated are the main groups that do not support NATO membership. The campaign has been somewhat successful, but received criticism from the Nansen Dialogue Centre for significant financial investment in a biased and propagandist campaign during a recession.[50] As a direct response, the establishment of the group launched the "No to NATO!" campaign, on a much smaller scale.[51]

The memory of NATO's 1999 bombing campaign of the then Federal Republic of Yugoslavia and resulting civilian casualties form a crucial part of the opposition to NATO membership in Montenegro.

The leading opposition political party, the Socialist People's Party of Montenegro, has remained ambiguous on the question of NATO membership. Although strong supporters of European integration, they maintain that EU and NATO integrations are completely separate paths and endorse holding a referendum. SNP CG has generally avoided giving a direct answer, but it is indirectly opposed to NATO membership. The New Serb Democracy is an outspoken opponent of NATO membership, supporting a referendum and convinced there would be a negative outcome.[52] The Movement for Changes is completely neutral and supports holding a referendum, and acknowledging its result.[53] According to Strategic Marketing's poll on the question as to whether to schedule a referendum, 72% of respondents support holding it. CATI's poll from 11–15 December 2009 on the question of its result yielded the following: 44% would vote against it, 40% would vote in favor, while 8% is unsure. According to a poll released in October 2009, 31.2% of Montenegro's populace supported NATO membership, while 44% opposed it.[54] A poll by Ipsos in March 2014 found that 46% supported membership versus 42% who were opposed.[55] A December 2015 poll found support at 47%, opposition at 39%, with the remaining 14% undecided.[56]

Opposition parties, including Socialist People's Party of Montenegro, have argued that membership should be approved in a national referendum.[56] A political crisis followed the government's announcement of intention to join NATO; large protests, supported by pro-Serbian parties, were held in Podgorica in mid-October 2015 that culminated in a riot in the capital on 24 October. Đukanović accused Serbia and Russia of supporting.[57]

A split in the ruling coalition followed in January 2016.

NATO membership was an issue of debate during the October 2016 parliamentary election. The Democratic Party of Socialists, which had governed Montenegro since 1991 and supports membership, won the election with 41% of the popular vote.

Ratification timeline

EventDate
Partnership for Peace2006-12-14
Individual Partnership Action Plan2008-06-20
Intensified Dialogue2008-04-03
Membership Action Plan2009-12-04
Invitation to join2015-12-02
Accession protocol2016-05-19
Domestic ratification2017-04-28
Ratification by:[58]
Albania2016-09-06
Belgium2017-01-18
Bulgaria2016-08-18
Canada2017-03-06
Croatia2017-02-13
Czech Republic2017-01-27
Denmark2017-01-17
Estonia2017-01-09
France2017-04-18
Germany2017-05-03
Greece2017-03-22
Hungary2016-07-11
Iceland2016-06-23
Italy2017-02-01
Latvia2016-11-01
Lithuania2016-12-20
Luxembourg2017-02-01
Netherlands2017-05-04
Norway2017-02-09
Poland2016-11-28
Portugal2017-03-27
Romania2017-03-24
Slovakia2016-07-06
Slovenia2016-07-08
Spain2017-05-18
Turkey2016-09-27
United Kingdom2016-11-15
United States2017-04-21
Member of NATO2017-06-05

Full membership

Montenegro became the 29th member of NATO on 5 June 2017 when it deposited its instrument of accession to the North Atlantic Treaty with the U.S. State Department in Washington, D.C. On 7 June 2017, The Flag of Montenegro was raised at NATO Headquarters in a special ceremony to mark the country's accession to NATO. Flag raising ceremonies were also held simultaneously at Allied Command Operations in Mons and Allied Command Transformation in Norfolk, Virginia.[59]

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Montenegro to Formally Join NATO on June 5 – Independent.mk. 6 June 2017.
  2. Web site: PCNEN – Prve crnogorske elektronske novine. pcnen.com. 6 June 2017.
  3. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-34981973 Montenegro invited to join Nato
  4. Web site: Montenegro: Protokoll zu Nato-Beitritt wird im Mai unterzeichnet. 13 April 2016. 2016-04-13. Der Standard.
  5. Staying the course . Robert . Serry . Christopher . Bennett . NATO Review . NATO . Winter 2004 . 10 February 2015.
  6. Jelena Dzankic, Montenegrin NATO Membership Aspirations After the Referendum on Independence
  7. http://www.gov.me/eng/mininos/vijesti.php?akcija=rubrika&rubrika=16 Montenegro's Missions in the World
  8. News: Montenegro, NATO sign transit arrangement . Xinhua . ChinaView . 27 November 2007 . 2008-09-20 . Mu . Xuequan . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20080614172501/http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2007-11/27/content_7150443.htm . 14 June 2008 . dmy-all .
  9. News: U.S. Funds Montenegrin Arms Reduction . Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty . 5 December 2007 . 5 June 2015.
  10. News: Montenegro moving towards NATO membership . B92 . 26 December 2007 . 2008-09-20 . https://web.archive.org/web/20080508000517/http://www.b92.net/eng/news/region-article.php?yyyy=2007&mm=12&dd=26&nav_id=46475 . 8 May 2008 . dead . dmy-all .
  11. News: NATO launches Intensified Dialogue with Montenegro . NATO News . 24 June 2008 . 9 February 2015.
  12. Web site: NATO's relations with Montenegro . . 3 July 2008 . 2008-09-20. https://web.archive.org/web/20080910090121/http://www.nato.int/issues/nato-montenegro/index.html. 10 September 2008 . live.
  13. News: BiH, Montenegro invited to join Adriatic Charter of NATO aspirants . 26 September 2008 . Southeast European Times . Dnevni . Avaz . 2008-10-07.
  14. News: Montenegro Hands over Application for NATO's MAP. 6 November 2008. 9 February 2015. Turkish Weekly. MIA. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20150209180451/http://www.turkishweekly.net/news/60927/montenegro-hands-over-application-for-nato-s-map.html. 9 February 2015. dmy-all.
  15. Web site: Montenegro Joins NATO Membership Action Plan. 4 December 2009. 4 December 2009.
  16. Web site: Development of relations between Montenegro and NATO – key dates . Ministry of Foreign Affairs and European Integration . 2013 . 5 June 2015 . https://archive.today/20160316070917/http://www.mvpei.gov.me/en/sections/NATO/Development-of-relations-between-Montenegro-and-NA/ . 16 March 2016 . dead . dmy-all .
  17. Web site: NATO's relations with Montenegro. 19 November 2014. 9 February 2015. NATO.
  18. Web site: Montenegro – Overview . United States European Command EUCOM . 10 May 2014 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20140512231149/http://www.eucom.mil/mission/the-region/montenegro . 12 May 2014 .
  19. http://www.setimes.com/cocoon/setimes/xhtml/en_GB/features/features/setimes/features/2009/07/30/featue-02
  20. News: Romanian president says his country wants Albania, Macedonia, and Croatia in NATO. Kyiv Post. 14 January 2008. 9 February 2015.
  21. News: Romania wants Macedonia, Albania and Croatia to join NATO . MakFax . 11 January 2008 . 2008-09-20 . https://web.archive.org/web/20080506155426/http://www.makfax.com.mk/look/novina/article.tpl?IdLanguage=1&IdPublication=2&NrArticle=97245&NrIssue=554&NrSection=10 . 6 May 2008 . live .
  22. News: Ankara lends support to Montenegro's bids for membership in NATO, EU . . 19 January 2008 . 2008-09-20 . https://web.archive.org/web/20080619085119/http://www.todayszaman.com/tz-web/detaylar.do?load=detay&link=132010 . 19 June 2008.
  23. News: Berlin: Germany supports Montenegro's further progress in EU and NATO integration . Natomontenegro.me (source: Government of Montenegro) . 3 April 2014 . 2014-05-19 . https://web.archive.org/web/20140519131659/http://www.natomontenegro.me/en/News/94795/Berlin-Germany-supports-Montenegro-s-further-progress-in-EU-and-NATO-integration.html . 19 May 2014 . dead . dmy-all .
  24. News: US to support Montenegro's membership in NATO . Neurope.eu . 13 April 2014 . 2010-05-19.
  25. Web site: Montenegro to enter NATO together with Macedonia: Vecer. 17 December 2013. 2013-12-17.
  26. News: Tigner. Brooks. Ukraine crisis won't halt NATO expansion. 28 March 2014. Jane's Defence Weekly. 25 March 2014.
  27. News: Montenegro Seeks Security With NATO Membership . Leos . Rousek . The Wall Street Journal . 16 May 2014 . 17 May 2014.
  28. Web site: Slovenia and Croatia Pushing for Montenegro's NATO Membership . 7 June 2014 . 7 June 2014 . The Slovenia Times.
  29. Web site: NATO rules out admitting new members anytime soon. Fox news. 7 July 2014.
  30. News: NATO will not offer Georgia membership step, avoiding Russia clash . Adrian . Croft . Reuters . 25 June 2014 . 25 June 2014.
  31. Web site: NATO Rejects Montenegro Membership in 2014 . 25 June 2014 . 25 June 2014 . Balkan Insight.
  32. News: NATO invites Montenegro to join alliance, defying Russia . Robin . Emmott . Sabine . Siebold . Reuters . 2 December 2015 . 2 December 2015.
  33. News: Montenegro and Nato: Foes to friends? . Guy . Delauney . BBC News . 15 February 2016 . 15 February 2016.
  34. News: NATO formally invites Montenegro as 29th member . Associated Press . John-Thor . Dahlburg . Matthew . Lee . 19 May 2016 . 19 May 2016.
  35. News: US Senators Set to Back Montenegro's NATO Bid . Dusica . Tomovic . Balkin Insight . 14 September 2016 . 14 September 2016.
  36. News: U.S. Senate Roll Call Votes 115th Congress – 1st Session. United States Senate. Federal government of the United States. Government Printing Office. Washington, D.C.. 28 March 2017. 13 April 2017.
  37. News: Office of the Press Secretary. Presidential Memorandum on a Letter from the President to the President of the Senate. https://web.archive.org/web/20170411174903/https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2017/04/11/letter-president-president-senate. dead. 11 April 2017. whitehouse.gov. White House. Washington, D.C.. en. 11 April 2017. 13 April 2017. White House Office of the Press Secretary.
  38. News: Montenegro ratifies Nato membership in historic shift to western alliance . Associated Press in Cetinje . 28 April 2017 . 7 May 2017.
  39. https://www.svoboda.org/a/28516064.html Конец операции "Черногория"
  40. News: Slučaj "državni udar" i Đukanovićev "stari recept".
  41. News: Montenegrin prosecutor says Russian nationalists behind alleged coup plot.
  42. News: Farmer. Ben. Reconstruction: The full incredible story behind Russia's deadly plot to stop Montenegro embracing the West. 2 June 2017. The Telegraph. 18 February 2017.
  43. News: Kremlin rejects claims Russia had role in Montenegro coup plot. 21 February 2017. The Guardian. 20 February 2017.
  44. http://time.com/4673038/dusko-markovic-montenegro-russia-nato/ Q&A: Duško Marković, the Prime Minister Stuck Between Putin and Trump in the Balkans
  45. News: Montenegro protests after senior politician held while changing planes at a Moscow airport. 2 June 2017. AP. 29 May 2017.
  46. Web site: Public opinion on NATO membership in Montenegro. NATO Membership Council's Communication Team in Montenegro. 29 March 2014. 10 May 2014.
  47. Web site: CEDEM poll: Montenegrins split over issue of NATO membership . 31 July 2015 . Policy Association for an Open Society . 2 December 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20151208150551/http://pasos.org/14519/cedem-poll-montenegrins-split-over-issue-of-nato-membership/ . 8 December 2015 . dead . dmy-all .
  48. Web site: Kampanjom Za Veću Podršku Učlanjenju U Nato – E-Novine . Naslovi.net . 2016-05-19.
  49. Web site: Volja građana i za NATO referendum :: Dnevni list Pobjeda . 17 June 2010 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20111007064200/http://www.pobjeda.co.me/citanje.php?datum=2009-01-11&id=156376 . 7 October 2011 .
  50. Web site: Vijesti Crna Gora | Srbija | Srpska | Rusija | Hronika | Politika . In4s.net . 3 May 2016 . 2016-05-19.
  51. http://www.in4s.net/crna-gora/58-cg/6510-in4s-poeo-kampanju-ne-u-nato
  52. News: Predrag Tomović . Crna Gora neće gubiti vrijeme . Radio Slobodna Evropa . Slobodnaevropa.org . 4 December 2009 . 2016-05-19.
  53. Web site: PZP traži da se izjasni narod - Pokret za Promjene . 17 June 2010 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20110727190208/http://promjene.org/saopstenja-za-javnost/pzp-trazi-da-se-izjasni-narod.html . 27 July 2011 .
  54. Web site: Political Public Opinion in Montenegro. Foundation Open Society Institute. October 2009. 22 May 2010. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20110722171733/http://www.cedem.me/fajlovi/editor_fajlovi/istrazivanja/CEDEM_oktobar09.pdf. 22 July 2011. dmy-all.
  55. Web site: NATO Membership Council's Communication Team: 46% of citizens support Montenegro's accession to NATO. 29 March 2014. 2014-04-04. Government of Montenegro.
  56. Web site: Montenegrins Vote Online to Stay out of NATO. 13 April 2016. 2016-04-13. Balkan Insight.
  57. News: Pro-Russian Parties Seek To Derail Montenegro's NATO Bid. RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty. 28 November 2015. 2015-12-26. en. Charles. Recknagel.
  58. Web site: Protocol to the North Atlantic Treaty on the Accession of Montenegro . 1 June 2017 . 2017-06-06 . . https://web.archive.org/web/20171125041755/https://www.state.gov/documents/organization/271236.pdf . 2017-11-25 . dead.
  59. Web site: Flag-raising ceremony marks Montenegro's entry into NATO. NATO. 15 June 2017.