2012 Montenegrin parliamentary election explained

Country:Montenegro
Election Date:14 October 2012
Previous Election:2009
Next Election:2016
Turnout:70.56% (4.37pp)
Party1:European Montenegro
Last Election1:46
Seats1:39
Percentage1:46.33
Party2:Democratic Front (Montenegro)
Last Election2:13
Seats2:20
Percentage2:23.19
Party3:Socialist People's Party of Montenegro
Last Election3:16
Seats3:9
Percentage3:11.24
Party4:Positive Montenegro
Last Election4:New
Seats4:7
Percentage4:8.37
Party5:Bosniak Party
Last Election5:1
Seats5:3
Percentage5:4.24
Colour6:
  1. 80b3ff
Last Election6:2
Seats6:1
Percentage6:1.47
Party7:Albanian Coalition
Colour7:darkred
Last Election7:1
Seats7:1
Percentage7:1.07
Party8:Croatian Civic Initiative
Last Election8:1
Seats8:1
Percentage8:0.41
Prime Minister
Before Election:Igor Lukšić
Before Party:Democratic Party of Socialists of Montenegro
After Election:Milo Đukanović
After Party:Democratic Party of Socialists of Montenegro

Snap parliamentary elections were held in Montenegro on 14 October 2012.[1] The parliamentary elections were the ninth since the reintroduction of multi-party system in 1990, and the third since regaining full independence in 2006. The result was a victory for the ruling European Montenegro alliance (based around the Democratic Party of Socialists) led by Milo Đukanović, which won 39 of the 81 seats, remaining without the majority by itself for the first time since the 2001 election, and subsequently forming a majority coalition government with the ethnic minority Bosniak Party (BS) and Croatian Civic Initiative (HGI) parties.

Electoral system

See also: Elections in Montenegro. The 81 members of Parliament were elected by proportional representation from a single nationwide constituency with an electoral threshold of 3%, although the threshold was reduced to 0.7% for ethnic minority parties in districts where ethnic minorities accounted for at least 15% of the population. For ethnic Croats, the electoral list wins one seat if it receives more than 0.35% of the popular vote. Seats were distributed using the D'Hondt method, which slightly favors larger lists.

Electoral lists

Several coalitions were formed or continued for the election:[2]

CoalitionPartyMain ideologyLeader
DPS-SDP-LPSocial democracyMilo Đukanović
NOVA-PzPBig tent, populismMiodrag Lekić
Social conservatismSrđan Milić
Positive MontenegroSocial liberalismDarko Pajović
Bosniak PartyMinority politicsRafet Husović
NS-SL-DCBConservatismJovan Markuš
FORCA-AKPMinority politicsNazif Cungu
DS-DP-AAMinority politicsFatmir Gjeka
DSS-SSRConservatismRanko Kadić
Democratic Union of AlbaniansMinority politicsFerhat Dinosha
Croatian Civic InitiativeMinority politicsMarija Vučinović
JKP-PUPILeft-wing populismZoran Radošević

Opinion polls

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty. The threshold for a party to elect members is 3%.

DatePolling Firm/
Source
ECGBSSNPDFPCGOthersLead
NovaPzP
Oct 2012CeDem47.22.314.918.510.26.928.7
Oct 2012Ipsos472.5112487.523
July 2012DeFacto50.72.918.29.47.18.33.432.5
Dec 2011CeDem54.4ECG17.29.16.815.537.2
Sep 2011CeDem54.1ECG17.98.27.712.228.2
Dec 2010CeDem56.4ECG19.76.16.910.728.2
Oct 2010CeDem56.9ECG17.89.24.711.330.3
July 2010CeDem53.2ECG18.68.14.915.230.3
Oct 2009Election51.916.89.26.016.135.1

Notes and References

  1. News: Montenegro to hold October election as EU talks begin.
  2. http://www.electionguide.org/election.php?ID=2058 Election Profile