2017 Montana's at-large congressional district special election explained

Election Name:2017 United States House of Representatives election in Montana
Country:Montana
Type:by-election
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 United States House of Representatives election in Montana
Previous Year:2016
Election Date:May 25, 2017
Next Election:2018 United States House of Representatives election in Montana
Next Year:2018
Seats For Election:Montana's at-large congressional district
Image1:File:Greg Gianforte (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Greg Gianforte
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:190,520
Percentage1:49.9%
Nominee2:Rob Quist
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:169,214
Percentage2:44.4%
Image3:File:3x4.svg
Nominee3:Mark Wicks
Party3:Libertarian Party (United States)
Popular Vote3:21,682
Percentage3:5.7%
Map Size:300px
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Ryan Zinke
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Greg Gianforte
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

In Montana, an at-large congressional district special election was held on May 25, 2017, to determine the member of the United States House of Representatives for Montana's at-large congressional district. The election was necessitated by incumbent Republican Representative Ryan Zinke's appointment as United States Secretary of the Interior. Zinke resigned on March 1, 2017, upon his confirmation.[1]

Montana's state law required the Governor of Montana to call for a special election to be held no less than 85 and no more than 100 days after the vacancy.[2] Governor Steve Bullock declared a special election to take place on May 25, the earliest possible day he was legally allowed to choose.[1]

The Democratic, Republican, Libertarian, and Green Parties held nominating conventions to decide their nominee.[3] The day before the election, Gianforte assaulted a reporter and was charged with misdemeanor assault.[4] [5] At around 10:30pm MST, the election was called for Gianforte after 77% of the votes were counted.[6] [7]

Republican Party

The Republican Party nominated a candidate at a convention on March 6.[8]

Nominated

Eliminated at convention

Withdrawn

Declined

Results

Republican Convention
CandidateFirst ballotPct.
150.561%
94.539%

Democratic Party

The Democratic Party selected a nominee at a convention on March 5.[28]

The Bozeman Daily Chronicle from February 4 to 8 conducted a straw poll of Democratic delegates.[29] Of 89 delegates that responded, Rob Quist was selected by 37, Amanda Curtis by 30, Kelly McCarthy by 13, 9 were undecided, and zero delegates selected John Meyer or other.[29]

Nominated

Eliminated at convention

Declined

Results

Democratic Convention
CandidateFirst ballotPct.Second ballotPct.Third ballotPct.Fourth ballotPct.
5736%6239%7245%9057%
3925%4830%5736%6943%
3824%4226%3119%
1711%85%
74%

Libertarian Party

The Libertarian Party Convention on March 11, 2017, was held at Eagle's Lodge in Helena, Montana.

The following county affiliate parties were represented at the convention:

Officers of the Montana Libertarian Party and delegates from the assembled counties had voting rights.

Nominated

Eliminated at convention

Withdrawn

Results

Libertarian Convention
CandidateFirst ballotPct.Second ballotPct.Third ballotPct.
Mark Wicks319%529%956%
Joe Paschal531%635%744%
Evan Gardner319%318%Eliminated
Rufus Peace319%318%Eliminated
Dan Nelson16%Eliminated
Chris Colvin00%Eliminated
Nathan McKenty00%Eliminated
James White00%Eliminated
None of the Above16%Eliminated

Green Party

The Green Party Convention on March 4, 2017, was held at the University of Montana's Payne Family Native American Center.

Breck, along with two independent candidates, won a lawsuit in U.S. District Court against the Montana Secretary of State, ruling Montana's ballot access laws to be unconstitutional in the case of special elections. The District Court Judge ruled to change the original requirement to submit 14,268 ballot petition signatures, reducing that requirement to 400 signatures. The US Court decision failed to provide further remedy and Breck's name was not placed on the ballot despite injunctive appeals to the Ninth Circuit Court and U.S. Supreme Court. Breck subsequently endorsed Independent write-in candidate Doug Campbell who was a co-plaintiff in the suit.[44] [45] [46]

Nominated

General election

Campaign

During his 2017 Congressional special election campaign, Gianforte relaxed his past pledges to refuse all PAC money, and began to turn away only corporate PAC funding. His campaign began accepting contributions from political party and leadership PACs.[48]

The night before the election, Gianforte physically assaulted Ben Jacobs, a reporter from The Guardian, in front of multiple witnesses, knocking him down, punching him, and breaking his glasses.[49] Gianforte was subsequently charged with misdemeanor assault.[50] [51] The editorial boards of the Billings Gazette, the Independent Record, and the Missoulian rescinded their endorsements of Gianforte.[52]

The Gianforte campaign released a statement following the incident alleging the incident was caused by, "this aggressive behavior from a liberal journalist", a claim contradictory to the eyewitness account of the Fox News team present in the room at the time. Alicia Acuna, one of two Fox news reporters present, and the only eyewitnesses to the incident, stated that Jacobs had walked into the room, put a voice recorder up to Gianforte's face and began asking questions. She stated that Jacobs, however, showed no sign of physical aggression and did not physically engage Gianforte before being attacked by the Republican candidate.[53] [54]

On June 12, following the election, Gianforte was sentenced to community service and fined $385 after admitting the charge.[55]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[56] May 12, 2017
align=left Inside Elections[57] May 25, 2017

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Greg
Gianforte (R)
Rob
Quist (D)
Mark
Wicks (L)
Thomas
Breck (G)
Undecided
Change ResearchMay 20–23, 20171,888± 2.0% align=center49%44%7%
Gravis MarketingMay 22, 2017818± 3.4% align=center49%35%8%9%
Gravis MarketingMay 2–4, 2017462± 4.6% align=center45%37%5%3%10%
Gravis MarketingApril 27, 2017836± 3.4% align=center52%39%6%2%
Garin-Hart-Yang (D)April 25–27, 2017601± 4.0% align=center49%43%8%
Emerson CollegeApril 20–21, 2017648± 3.8% align=center52%37%5%7%
Gravis MarketingApril 6, 20171,222± 2.9% align=center50%38%3%2%7%

Results

County results[58]

Greg Gianforte
Republican
Rob Quist
Democratic
Mark Wicks
Libertarian
MarginTotal
align=center CountyVotes%Votes%Votes%Votes%VotesTurnout
Beaverhead2,23962.28%1,14431.82%2125.90%1,09530.46%3,62153.92%
Big Horn1,19343.70%1,39451.06%1435.24%2017.36%2,74334.30%
Blaine82141.82%97449.62%1688.56%1537.79%1,96949.56%
Broadwater1,48165.39%63828.17%1466.45%84337.22%2,28253.52%
Carbon2,57253.25%1,97540.89%2835.86%59712.36%4,84563.79%
Carter44184.32%5911.28%234.40%38273.04%53254.68%
Cascade13,42749.80%11,54642.83%1,9877.37%1,8816.98%27,14350.19%
Chouteau1,23457.85%71733.61%1828.53%51724.24%2,14961.29%
Custer2,20660.99%1,17532.49%2366.52%1,03128.50%3,62950.55%
Daniels49572.79%15122.21%345.00%34450.59%68055.69%
Dawson2,01966.74%82727.34%1795.92%1,19239.40%3,03551.26%
Deer Lodge95528.99%2,06362.63%2768.38%1,10833.64%3,31360.64%
Fallon70281.25%13615.74%263.01%56665.51%86843.95%
Fergus3,00566.22%1,19626.36%3377.43%1,80939.86%4,55758.74%
Flathead20,30257.38%13,63038.52%1,4504.10%6,67218.86%35,46251.85%
Gallatin17,07440.88%22,90254.84%1,7874.28%5,82813.95%41,90954.69%
Garfield48790.19%295.37%244.44%45884.81%54058.76%
Glacier92930.20%1,97264.11%1755.69%1,04333.91%3,08539.15%
Golden Valley28271.03%8822.17%276.80%19448.87%39765.30%
Granite83860.07%47033.69%876.24%36826.38%1,39959.58%
Hill2,06143.62%2,09144.25%57312.13%300.63%4,78250.25%
Jefferson2,99756.71%1,99637.77%2925.53%1,00118.94%5,32262.49%
Judith Basin63665.43%25526.23%818.33%38139.20%97567.66%
Lake5,19351.37%4,46944.21%4474.42%7247.16%10,13353.10%
Lewis and Clark11,88042.75%14,48752.13%1,4235.12%2,6079.38%27,95760.96%
Liberty48958.49%20824.88%13916.63%28133.61%84271.17%
Lincoln4,47165.41%2,10430.78%2603.80%2,36734.63%6,85550.03%
Madison2,24760.53%1,23533.27%2306.20%1,01227.26%3,74159.60%
McCone63276.70%15518.81%374.49%47757.89%83067.04%
Meagher51666.58%19625.29%638.13%32041.29%78059.68%
Mineral91158.85%53834.75%996.40%37324.10%1,54849.41%
Missoula15,13732.10%30,05463.73%1,9684.17%14,91731.63%47,35656.14%
Musselshell1,30773.72%32418.27%1428.01%98355.44%1,77958.58%
Park3,32945.12%3,67849.85%3715.03%3494.73%7,40157.81%
Petroleum20379.61%3814.90%145.49%16564.71%25660.24%
Phillips1,37475.70%30416.75%1377.55%1,07058.95%1,82466.45%
Pondera1,26758.28%73333.72%1748.00%53424.56%2,18261.99%
Powder River57077.87%12116.53%415.60%44961.34%73256.92%
Powell1,34463.34%62229.31%1567.35%72234.02%2,13860.24%
Prairie40574.18%10419.05%376.78%30155.13%54662.69%
Ravalli10,48059.76%6,22435.49%8334.75%4,25624.27%17,66057.95%
Richland1,95873.78%60122.65%953.58%1,35751.13%2,66237.02%
Roosevelt91644.02%1,03049.50%1356.49%1145.48%2,08735.46%
Rosebud1,40057.64%88836.56%1415.80%51221.08%2,43548.40%
Sanders2,90363.79%1,35329.73%2956.48%1,55034.06%4,57254.38%
Sheridan69154.45%48338.06%957.49%20816.39%1,27652.45%
Silver Bow3,63529.33%7,87263.52%8867.15%4,23734.19%12,49056.61%
Stillwater2,42967.45%91425.38%2587.16%1,51542.07%3,61758.92%
Sweet Grass1,07669.29%40325.95%744.76%67343.34%1,55358.74%
Teton1,53658.47%88733.76%2047.77%64924.70%2,64665.19%
Toole98961.89%44327.72%16610.39%54634.17%1,61360.50%
Treasure21364.35%7923.87%3911.78%13440.48%33259.18%
Valley1,90462.78%85928.32%2708.90%1,04534.45%3,03567.79%
Wheatland46662.63%19826.61%8010.75%26836.02%74555.89%
Wibaux27378.90%6217.92%113.18%21160.98%34846.96%
Yellowstone29,98055.79%20,12037.44%3,6346.76%9,86018.35%54,06655.70%

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. News: Zinke confirmed as Interior secretary; Montana prepares for special election. Lutey. Tom. Billings Gazette. March 1, 2017. March 1, 2017.
  2. Web site: Dale Matheson. Montana Legislative Services. 13-25-203. Vacancy in office of United States senator or representative.. December 21, 2016. October 14, 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20151014004142/http://leg.mt.gov/bills/mca/13/25/13-25-203.htm. dead.
  3. News: Mike Dennison . MTN News . December 19, 2016 . GOP state Senators Buttrey and Sales in the race for Zinke seat . . December 21, 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20161222085415/http://www.kpax.com/story/34088260/state-sen-buttrey-of-great-falls-will-vie-for-zinke-seat . December 22, 2016 . dead .
  4. CNN, Jethro Mullen, May 25, 2017, An egregious assault': Twitter erupts over GOP candidate's alleged attack on reporter", Retrieved May 25, 2017.
  5. News: GOP Candidate Charged With Misdemeanor Assault of Reporter. May 25, 2017. . Associated Press. Bobby Caina Calvan. May 25, 2017.
  6. News: Election Results: Gianforte Wins U.S. House Seat in Montana – Election Results 2017 . . 2016-11-08 . 2017-05-26.
  7. Web site: Q2 News - Greg Gianforte wins the Montana U.S. House... . Facebook . 2017-05-26.
  8. Web site: Greg Gianforte wins Republican nomination for Montana's U.S. House election. March 6, 2017 .
  9. News: Gianforte officially enters the race to succeed Zinke. KTVH. Mike Dennison. January 25, 2017. January 26, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20170202034853/http://www.ktvh.com/2017/01/gianforte-officially-enters-the-race-to-succeed-zinke. February 2, 2017. dead.
  10. News: Gianforte wins Republican nomination for Montana's US House election . Associated Press . . March 3, 2017 . March 3, 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170307061624/http://www.nbcmontana.com/news/montana/gianforte-wins-republican-nomination-for-montanas-us-house-election/379897527 . March 7, 2017 . dead .
  11. News: Troy Carter . December 18, 2016 . Ed Buttrey becomes first candidate to announce for replacing Zinke . . December 21, 2016 . May 4, 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170504070805/http://www.bozemandailychronicle.com/news/politics/ed-buttrey-becomes-first-candidate-to-announce-for-replacing-zinke/article_1b37cd40-565e-58fc-b340-1f553c7aff4e.html . dead .
  12. News: Glimm enters race to succeed Zinke in U.S. House. KRTV. Ambarian. Jonathon. January 25, 2017. January 26, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20170202183950/http://www.krtv.com/story/34346246/glimm-enters-race-to-succeed-zinke-in-us-house. February 2, 2017. dead.
  13. News: Former GOP chair and state senator Ken Miller seeks nomination to replace Zinke. Bozeman Daily Chronicle. Carter. Troy. January 16, 2017. January 17, 2017.
  14. News: David Erickson . January 6, 2014 . Samuel Redfern: Looking out for veterans, victims of war . . March 14, 2017.
  15. News: Redfern announces candidacy for Republican nominee to special election. NBC Montana. March 2, 2017. March 5, 2017.
  16. News: Meet The Candidates Vying To Replace Ryan Zinke In Congress. Montana Public Radio. March 2, 2017. March 5, 2017.
  17. News: Former Yellowstone County lawmaker enters special Congressional race. Billings Gazette. Hudson. Matt. February 27, 2017. March 1, 2017.
  18. News: Political newcomer joins growing field of Republicans hoping to replace Zinke in Congress. Bozeman Daily Chronicle. Carter. Troy. December 20, 2016. March 1, 2017.
  19. News: Mike Dennison . MTN News . January 23, 2017 . Zinke confirmation not yet scheduled; Turiano enters race to succeed him . . January 24, 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170125234118/http://www.kpax.com/story/34326703/zinke-confirmation-not-yet-scheduled-turiano-enters-race-to-succeed-him . January 25, 2017 . dead .
  20. News: The Latest: GOP field for Montana US House race narrows to 6. Bozeman Daily Chronicle. Associated Press. March 2, 2017. March 5, 2017. March 2, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20170302232022/http://www.bozemandailychronicle.com/ap_news/the-latest-gop-field-for-montana-us-house-race-narrows/article_a69bcca2-94d3-5498-b1c0-5d8e4987bbea.html. dead.
  21. News: Lutey . Tom . December 19, 2016 . Republicans line up to run for Zinke's open seat, Democrats not so much . The Billings Gazette.
  22. News: Lutey. Tom. District Judge Fagg won't seek U.S. House seat. Billings Gazette. January 10, 2017.
  23. News: Gianforte, Curtis front runners for Zinke seat, expert says. Great Falls Tribune. Drake. Phil. February 5, 2017. March 1, 2017.
  24. News: Sales decides against run for Congress. Great Falls Tribune. February 21, 2017 . March 1, 2017.
  25. News: Dana Liebelson . White Nationalist Who Yelled 'Hail Trump!' Thinking About Congressional Run . The Huffington Post . December 16, 2016.
  26. Web site: Libertarian-leaning Montana State Rep. Daniel Zolnikov is Thinking About Montana's One Federal House Seat. Reason. Doherty. Brian. December 28, 2016. December 29, 2016.
  27. . DanielZolnikov . 825067910464954370 . January 27, 2017 . FYI #mtnews, I sent a letter to Republican state central committee members last week informing them I'm not running . March 1, 2017.
  28. Web site: Montana Democrats Announce Special Nominating Convention March 5 . . March 1, 2017 . March 1, 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170302193614/http://www.montanademocrats.org/news/montana-democrats-announce-special-nominating-convention-march-5 . March 2, 2017 . dead .
  29. News: Troy Carter . Poll: Insiders show stronger support for Dems with name recognition . . February 12, 2017 . March 1, 2017 . February 26, 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170226014315/http://www.bozemandailychronicle.com/news/politics/poll-insiders-show-stronger-support-for-dems-with-name-recognition/article_6ae95d36-81e8-53ef-b520-530d59ceb41d.html . dead .
  30. News: Bobby Caina Calvan . Associated Press . Rob Quist wins Democratic nomination for congressional seat . March 5, 2017 . Great Falls Tribune.
  31. News: Democrat Amanda Curtis interested in U.S. House; Fagg, Graf join Republican list. January 4, 2017. January 7, 2017. . Tom. Lutey.
  32. News: Enviro attorney in Bozeman becomes 5th to seek Dem's nomination for U.S. House. January 6, 2017. January 24, 2017. Bozeman Daily Chronicle. Troy. Carter. January 8, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20170108104021/http://www.bozemandailychronicle.com/news/politics/enviro-attorney-in-bozeman-becomes-th-to-seek-dem-s/article_e473c183-2cea-56b8-bc57-8502e57e9613.html. dead.
  33. News: A Sixth Democrat Enters The Race For Zinke's House Seat . February 7, 2017 . February 7, 2017 . Montana Public Radio . Nicky . Ouellet.
  34. News: Sentinel teacher to seek Democratic nomination for U.S. House. Missoulian. Briggeman. Kim. February 13, 2017. March 1, 2017.
  35. News: Helena Democrat Weida to join race for Zinke's seat. Independent Record. Loranger. Erin. February 23, 2017. March 1, 2017.
  36. Web site: Dan West: Democratic Candidate for Congress. February 6, 2017. February 7, 2017. Intelligent Discontent. Nathan. Kosted.
  37. News: Mike Dennison . MTN News . January 13, 2017 . Baucus' son considering U.S. House race, while musician Quist is all in . . January 15, 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170114183357/http://www.kpax.com/story/34254167/baucus-son-considering-us-house-race-while-musician-quist-is-all-in . January 14, 2017 . dead .
  38. News: Robinson . Joshua . January 23, 2017 . Juneau: I will not to pursue MT Congress seat . . January 24, 2017 . February 2, 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170202091104/http://www.kulr8.com/story/34326780/juneau-not-to-pursue-mt-congress-seat . dead .
  39. News: Whitney . Eric . Curtis In, Juneau, Schreiner Out Of Race For Zinke's Seat . Montana Public Radio.
  40. News: January 4, 2017. Libertarian Mark Wicks says he'll run for House to replace Zinke. Carter. Troy. Bozeman Daily Chronicle. February 7, 2017.
  41. News: Libertarians Pick Inverness Rancher for Congressional Race. March 11, 2017. Calvan. Bobby Caina. U.S. News & World Report. Associated Press. March 11, 2017.
  42. News: Montana Libertarians select Wicks as nominee for U.S. House seat. Jonathon Ambarian. MTN News. KTVQ. March 12, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20170312180226/http://www.ktvq.com/story/34732485/montana-libertarians-select-wicks-as-nominee-for-us-house-seat. March 12, 2017. dead.
  43. News: January 27, 2017. Montana Libertarian Party to convene ahead of special election. Carter. Troy. . February 7, 2017.
  44. News: Sec. of State: no change to candidate names on special election ballot. Wadley. Will. April 10, 2017. KECI. May 25, 2017. en-US.
  45. Web site: Court Order . May 25, 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170410144604/http://static.lakana.com/bmg-kecitv-media-us-east-1/document_dev/2017/04/09/Order%20re%20Injunction%20Motion_6418836_ver1.0.pdf . April 10, 2017 . dead .
  46. News: Montana Green Party Candidate Endorses Independent Write-in Candidate Doug Campbell in Special Election Race. April 25, 2017. Thomas Breck for Congress. May 25, 2017. en-US. August 12, 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180812112148/http://thomasbreckforcongress.us/index.php/2017/04/25/montana-green-party-candidate-endorses-independent-write-in-candidate-doug-campbell-in-special-election-race/. dead.
  47. News: March 4, 2017. Montana Green Party holds first statewide convention in 10 years. Bubnash. Kasey. Missoulian. April 7, 2017.
  48. News: Montana's Greg Gianforte Ditches 'No PAC' Pledge for 2018. Roll Call Newspaper. Pathe. Simone. Feb 7, 2018. Feb 7, 2018. January 24, 2020. https://web.archive.org/web/20200124105507/http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/montanas-greg-gianforte-ditches-no-pac-pledge-2018. dead.
  49. News: Republican candidate 'body-slams' Guardian reporter in Montana . Wong . Julia Carrie . Julia Carrie Wong . May 24, 2017 . . May 25, 2017 . Levin . Sam . en-GB . 0261-3077.
  50. News: Julia Carrie. Wong. Levin. Sam. Republican candidate charged with assault after 'body-slamming' Guardian reporter. The Guardian. May 25, 2017.
  51. News: Gianforte cited for misdemeanor assault. KRTV Great Falls. KRTV. May 25, 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20170525054128/http://www.krtv.com/story/35512890/gianforte-cited-for-misdemeanor-assault. May 25, 2017. dead.
  52. News: Grunwald . Michael . Three Montana newspapers rescind Gianforte endorsements after alleged body-slamming incident . Politico . May 25, 2017.
  53. Web site: McBride . Jessica . READ: Greg Gianforte Statement on 'Body Slam' Claim . Heavy.com . 2017-05-05 . 2017-05-26.
  54. Web site: Greg Gianforte: Fox News team witnesses GOP House candidate 'body slam' reporter . Fox News . 2017-05-24 . 2017-09-27.
  55. News: Greg Gianforte sentenced to community service for assaulting Guardian reporter. Wong. Julia Carrie. June 12, 2017. The Guardian. June 12, 2017. Levin. Sam. en-GB.
  56. News: House Specials Update: MT-AL Moves to Lean Republican . Dave Wasserman . May 12, 2017 . January 2, 2022 .
  57. Web site: Key Counties to Watch in Montana's Special Congressional Election. The Rothenberg Political Report. May 25, 2017. January 4, 2022.
  58. https://sosmt.gov/Portals/142/Elections/archives/2010s/2017/2017-Special-Official-Statewide-Canvass.pdf?dt=1523477333219 Statewide Special Election Canvass