March 2024 United Kingdom budget explained

United Kingdom budget
Year:March 2024
Country:United Kingdom
Previous Budget:November 2023 United Kingdom autumn statement
Previous Year:2023 autumn statement
Next Budget:October 2024 United Kingdom budget
Next Year:October 2024
Presented:6 March 2024
Parliament:58th
Party:Conservative Party
Chancellor:Jeremy Hunt

The March 2024 United Kingdom budget was delivered to the House of Commons by Jeremy Hunt, the Chancellor of the Exchequer, on 6 March 2024.[1] [2] It was the third budget presented by Hunt since his appointment as Chancellor, the last to be delivered during his tenure as chancellor and the last budget to be presented by the Conservative government of Rishi Sunak before the party was defeated by Labour in the 2024 general election.

In the budget, Hunt abolished the non-dom tax status, reduced employee's national insurance by 2%, froze alcohol and fuel duties, increased tobacco and vapes duties, extended the oil and gas windfall tax, increased the child benefit threshold, announced further energy measures, announced further levelling-up funding, reduced capital gains tax by 4%, extended the Household Support Fund and increased the VAT threshold to £90,000 for small businesses, and kept income tax personal allowances at the same level (fiscal drag) [3] [4]

The Budget announced the "biggest ever funding boost from government" for renewable energy.[5] Further funding for science and technology investment were announced,[6] with more investment to come from the private sector.[7] [8] The budget announced more measures to protect farmers with the agricultural property relief.[9]

Background

The date of the March 2024 budget was confirmed by HM Treasury on 27 December 2023. It was the last budget to be presented before the next general election.[10]

During the 2023 autumn statement, Hunt reduced National Insurance by 2% and announced tax relief for businesses. In January 2024 he hinted that he may seek to announce further tax cuts in the forthcoming budget, describing countries with lower taxes as having more "dynamic, faster growing economies".[11] But suggested a few weeks later there was likely to be less scope for tax cuts in the budget than had been the case during the 2023 autumn statement.[12]

On 23 January 2024, data from the Office for National Statistics indicated government borrowing in December 2023 was almost £5bn lower than had been forecast by the Office for Budget Responsibility. Borrowing for the nine months up to December 2023 was £119.1bn, £11.1bn more than during the same period for 2022, but lower than the £123.9bn predicted by the OBR. Moreover, the data showed that borrowing for the month of December 2023 was £7.8bn, a fall from £16.2bn in December 2022, and the lowest monthly figure since 2019. This prompted analysts, including Ruth Gregory, deputy chief UK economist at Capital Economics, to suggest the Chancellor would have room to make potential tax cuts.[13] But the Institute for Fiscal Studies warned the UK was facing its worst economic situation since the 1950s, and said any promise of tax cuts may have to be postponed,[14] while the International Monetary Fund (IMF) "advised the UK against further tax cuts" during its assessment of the world economy.[15] The IFS also warned that the government should not make tax cuts unless it could explain how they would be financed.[16] On the weekend before the budget, Hunt told the BBC he wanted to move towards a low-tax economy but would do so in a responsible way.[17]

Official figures released on 15 February indicated the UK had entered recession, after the economy shrank by 0.3% between October and December, having already contracted between July and September 2023.[18]

The statement

During his statement, Hunt confirmed that the Office for Budget Responsibility had predicted UK economy would grow by 0.8% in 2024 and 1.9% in 2025. Economic growth was forecast to be 2% for 2026, 1.8% for 2027 and 1.7% for 2028, while the UK's rate of inflation was estimated to fall below the Bank of England's 2% target by the end of June 2024, and would then fall to 1.5% in 2025. Public debt, excluding Bank of England debt, was forecast to be 91.7% of GDP in 2024, rising to 92.8% in 2025. Overall day-to-day government spending was forecast to increase by 1% in real terms over the next five years.

Key points

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2024-03-06 . Spring Budget 2024 speech . 2024-03-07 . GOV.UK . en.
  2. Web site: 2024-03-06 . Spring Budget 2024 . 2024-03-07 . GOV.UK . en.
  3. Web site: Budget 2024 live: Jeremy Hunt cuts National Insurance and extends child benefit in Budget . 2024-03-06 . BBC News . 5 March 2024 . en-gb.
  4. Web site: A Levelling Up Budget . 2024-03-07 . GOV.UK . en.
  5. Web site: Over £1 billion budget for renewable energy auction . 2024-03-07 . GOV.UK . en.
  6. Web site: Spring Budget puts UK on fast-track to becoming science and technology superpower . 2024-03-07 . GOV.UK . en.
  7. Web site: AstraZeneca plans £650 million investment in UK . 2024-03-07 . GOV.UK . en.
  8. Web site: Great British Nuclear to buy two Hitachi sites for new nuclear development . 2024-03-07 . GOV.UK . en.
  9. Web site: Budget boost for farmers and environment with extension to Agricultural Property Relief . 2024-03-07 . GOV.UK . en.
  10. Web site: Treasury says 2024 Budget to be held on 6 March . 27 December 2023 . 21 January 2024 . BBC News . BBC.
  11. Web site: Vishala . Sri-Pathma . Chancellor Jeremy Hunt hints at further tax cuts . 19 January 2024 . 23 January 2024 . BBC News . BBC.
  12. Web site: Becky . Morton . Henry . Zeffman . Jeremy Hunt: Less scope for tax cuts in Budget . 31 January 2024 . 1 February 2024 . BBC News . BBC.
  13. Web site: Nick . Edser . Lower UK government borrowing raises prospects of tax cuts . 23 January 2024 . 23 January 2024 . BBC News . BBC.
  14. Web site: Faarea . Masud . Tom . Espiner . Tax cut promises may need to be rolled back – IFS think tank . 25 January 2024 . 25 January 2024 . BBC News . BBC.
  15. Web site: Faisal . Islam . Jonathan . Josephs . IMF warns UK government against further tax cuts . 30 January 2024 . 30 January 2024 . BBC News . BBC.
  16. Web site: Faisal . Islam . Lucy . Hooker . Hunt considers National Insurance cuts at Budget . 27 February 2024 . 27 February 2024 . BBC News . BBC.
  17. Web site: Becky . Morton . Laura . Kuenssberg . Budget 2024: Jeremy Hunt says 'I will only cut taxes in a responsible way' . 3 March 2024 . 3 March 2024 . BBC News . BBC.
  18. Web site: UK economy fell into recession after people cut spending . 15 February 2024 . 15 February 2024 . BBC News . BBC.
  19. Web site: Budget summary: Key points from Jeremy Hunt's speech . 7 March 2024 . 1 April 2024 . BBC News . BBC.
  20. Web site: What does non-dom mean and how are the rules changing? . 6 March 2024 . 1 April 2024 . BBC News . BBC.
  21. Web site: How dangerous is vaping, what is the disposable vape ban and what is the vaping tax? . 6 March 2024 . 1 April 2024 . BBC News . BBC.