2020 Washington gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:2020 Washington gubernatorial election
Country:Washington
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2016 Washington gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2016
Next Election:2024 Washington gubernatorial election
Next Year:2024
Election Date:November 3, 2020
Image1:File:U.S. Department of the Interior, Columbia River Salmon Agreement Ceremonial Event, Washington DC on 23 February 2024 - 62 (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Jay Inslee
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:2,294,243
Percentage1:56.56%
Nominee2:Loren Culp
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:1,749,066
Percentage2:43.12%
Map Size:275px
Governor
Before Election:Jay Inslee
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Jay Inslee
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2020 Washington gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020. It followed a top-two primary held on August 4. Incumbent governor Jay Inslee, the Democratic candidate, defeated Loren Culp, the Republican candidate by a wide margin. Inslee, who was eligible to run for a third term due to the lack of gubernatorial term limits,[1] initially launched a campaign for president of the United States in the 2020 election. When he dropped out of that race in August 2019 due to extremely low polling numbers,[2] he announced he would seek a third term as governor.[3] Several other Democratic political figures considered entering the race if Inslee did not run, including Washington Attorney General Bob Ferguson; no other major Democratic candidates entered the race.[4] Republican Loren Culp, the police chief of Republic, Washington, placed second in the top-two primary and advanced to the general election alongside Inslee.

The election was clear and decisive, with incumbent Jay Inslee winning re-election over Loren Culp by over 13 points. This marked the largest margin of victory in a Washington gubernatorial race since Gary Locke won reelection in 2000. Inslee's landslide victory included over 74% of the vote in King County, the highest ever for a Democrat in the county's history. King County, home to Seattle, has about a third of the state's voters.[5] [6] In addition, this was the first time since 2000 that a Democrat won a county in Eastern Washington with Inslee winning Whitman County.[7] Culp still ran ahead of the top-ticket presidential candidate, Donald Trump, by about 4 points.

Despite the margin of victory, Culp refused to concede and filed a lawsuit against Republican Washington Secretary of State Kim Wyman five weeks after the election.[8] He did not give a concession speech, while making claims of irregularities which Wyman characterized as "unsubstantiated".[9] Culp's actions drew criticism and were compared to Donald Trump's refusal to concede the 2020 U.S. presidential election.[10]

This election marked the 10th consecutive election victory of the Democratic candidate for governor of Washington.

Background

Washington had not had a Republican governor since John Spellman left office in 1985, the longest streak of Democratic leadership of any state in the country and the third longest streak of one-party leadership after South Dakota (which had not had a Democratic governor since Harvey L. Wollman left office in 1979) and Utah (which had not had a Democratic governor since Scott M. Matheson left office nine days prior to Spellman in 1985).[11] [12] [13] Incumbent Governor Jay Inslee, who previously served in the U.S. House, was first elected to the governorship in the 2012 election and won reelection in 2016.

When Inslee announced his candidacy for president, several political figures expressed interest in running for Governor if Inslee won the Democratic primaries. These included Attorney General Bob Ferguson, Commissioner of Public Lands Hilary Franz and King County executive Dow Constantine.[14] They stated they would only run if Inslee did not, avoiding a primary challenge.[15] [16]

Several Republican politicians announced their own campaigns to challenge Inslee, including businessman Anton Sakharov, Republic police chief Loren Culp, and state senator Phil Fortunato.[17] [18] [19] However, speculated candidates such as former U.S. Representative Dave Reichert, former Seattle Port Commissioner and 2016 gubernatorial nominee Bill Bryant, Pierce County Executive and former state senator Bruce Dammeier, and state House Minority Leader J. T. Wilcox, all declined to be candidates, leaving no prominent Republicans to challenge Inslee, which was seen as a necessary prerequisite to mount a formidable challenge to him.

Primary election

Washington is one of two states that holds a top-two primary, meaning that all candidates are listed on the same ballot regardless of party affiliation, and the top two move on to the general election. Most states have party primaries.

Democratic candidates

Advanced to the general election

Declined

Republican candidates

Advanced to the general election

Eliminated in the primary

Declined

Green Party

Eliminated in the primary

Independents

Eliminated in the primary

Withdrew

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Jay
Inslee (D)
Loren
Culp (R)
Tim
Eyman (R)
Phil
Fortunato (R)
Joshua
Freed (R)
Raul
Garcia (R)
Anton
Sakharov (R)
Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSAJuly 22–27, 2020513 (LV)± 5.4%55%9%8%3%6%4%16%
Crosscut/ElwayJuly 11–15, 2020402 (RV)± 5.0%46%14%4%2%5%6%25%
SurveyUSAMay 16–19, 2020650 (LV)± 5.6%50%4%8%6%6%2%1%23%
SurveyUSAJanuary 26–28, 20201,103 (RV)± 3.9%39%5%11%4%4%3%34%
Crosscut/ElwayDecember 26–29, 2019405 (RV)± 5%46%4%7%4%5%34%
with Bryant, Constantine, Ferguson, and Franz

Results

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[38] October 23, 2020
Inside Elections[39] October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[40] November 2, 2020
Politico[41] November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[42] October 28, 2020
RCP[43] November 2, 2020
270towin[44] November 2, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Jay
Inslee (D)
Loren
Culp (R)
Undecided
Swayable October 23 – November 1, 2020474 (LV)± 6%59%41%
Public Policy Polling (D)October 14–15, 2020615 (LV)± 4%56%40%4%
SurveyUSAOctober 8–10, 2020591 (LV)± 5.2%54%40%6%
Strategies 360September 8–14, 2020501 (RV)± 4.4%53%37%9%
SurveyUSAJuly 22–27, 2020534 (LV)± 5.2%61%32%7%
SurveyUSAMay 16–19, 2020530 (LV)± 5.4%56%31%13%
Jay Inslee vs. Tim Eyman
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Jay
Inslee (D)
Tim
Eyman (R)
Undecided
SurveyUSAJuly 22–27, 2020534 (LV)± 5.2%62%31%7%
SurveyUSAMay 16–19, 2020530 (LV)± 5.4%60%31%9%
Jay Inslee vs. Phil Fortunato
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Jay
Inslee (D)
Phil
Fortunato (R)
Undecided
SurveyUSAJuly 22–27, 2020534 (LV)± 5.2%61%32%8%
SurveyUSAMay 16–19, 2020530 (LV)± 5.4%56%34%10%
Jay Inslee vs. Joshua Freed
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Jay
Inslee (D)
Joshua
Freed (R)
Undecided
SurveyUSAJuly 22–27, 2020534 (LV)± 5.2%60%31%9%
SurveyUSAMay 16–19, 2020530 (LV)± 5.4%57%30%13%
Jay Inslee vs. Raul Garcia

Results

Results by county

County[45] ! colspan="2" scope="col"
Jay InsleeDemocraticLoren CulpRepublicanWrite-inVariousMarginTotal votes
%%%%
align="center" Adams align="center" 1,655 align="center" 28.34% align="center" 4,170 align="center" 71.40% align="center" 15 align="center" 0.26% align="center" -2,515 align="center" -43.06% align="center" 5,840
align="center" Asotin align="center" 4,212 align="center" 35.49% align="center" 7,627 align="center" 64.26% align="center" 30 align="center" 0.25% align="center" -3,415 align="center" -28.77% align="center" 11,869
align="center" Benton align="center" 36,939 align="center" 36.03% align="center" 65,170 align="center" 63.57% align="center" 410 align="center" 0.40% align="center" -28,231 align="center" -27.54% align="center" 102,519
align="center" Chelan align="center" 17,922 align="center" 41.63% align="center" 24,936 align="center" 57.93% align="center" 188 align="center" 0.44% align="center" -7,014 align="center" -16.30% align="center" 43,046
align="center" Clallam align="center" 24,366 align="center" 49.64% align="center" 24,640 align="center" 50.20% align="center" 82 align="center" 0.17% align="center" -274 align="center" -0.56% align="center" 49,088
align="center" Clark align="center" 138,196 align="center" 50.83% align="center" 132,964 align="center" 48.91% align="center" 715 align="center" 0.26% align="center" 5,232 align="center" 1.92% align="center" 271,895
align="center" Columbia align="center" 652 align="center" 26.34% align="center" 1,819 align="center" 73.49% align="center" 4 align="center" 0.16% align="center" -1,167 align="center" -47.15% align="center" 2,475
align="center" Cowlitz align="center" 22,213 align="center" 37.11% align="center" 37,453 align="center" 62.57% align="center" 193 align="center" 0.32% align="center" -15,240 align="center" -25.46% align="center" 59,859
align="center" Douglas align="center" 7,176 align="center" 33.81% align="center" 13,958 align="center" 65.77% align="center" 90 align="center" 0.42% align="center" -6,782 align="center" -31.96% align="center" 21,224
align="center" Ferry align="center" 1,345 align="center" 30.79% align="center" 3,000 align="center" 68.68% align="center" 23 align="center" 0.53% align="center" -1,655 align="center" -37.89% align="center" 4,368
align="center" Franklin align="center" 12,803 align="center" 39.53% align="center" 19,488 align="center" 60.17% align="center" 96 align="center" 0.30% align="center" -6,685 align="center" -20.64% align="center" 32,387
align="center" Garfield align="center" 349 align="center" 23.61% align="center" 1,118 align="center" 75.64% align="center" 11 align="center" 0.74% align="center" -789 align="center" -52.03% align="center" 1,478
align="center" Grant align="center" 10,772 align="center" 28.71% align="center" 26,645 align="center" 71.00% align="center" 109 align="center" 0.29% align="center" -15,873 align="center" -42.29% align="center" 37,526
align="center" Grays Harbor align="center" 16,502 align="center" 43.08% align="center" 21,686 align="center" 56.61% align="center" 119 align="center" 0.31% align="center" -5,184 align="center" -13.53% align="center" 38,307
align="center" Island align="center" 28,239 align="center" 52.75% align="center" 25,145 align="center" 46.97% align="center" 153 align="center" 0.29% align="center" 3,094 align="center" 5.78% align="center" 53,537
align="center" Jefferson align="center" 16,992 align="center" 68.79% align="center" 7,651 align="center" 30.97% align="center" 59 align="center" 0.24% align="center" 9,341 align="center" 37.82% align="center" 24,702
align="center" King align="center" 887,374 align="center" 74.07% align="center" 307,022 align="center" 25.63% align="center" 3,653 align="center" 0.30% align="center" 580,352 align="center" 48.44% align="center" 1,198,049
align="center" Kitsap align="center" 87,766 align="center" 55.69% align="center" 69,288 align="center" 43.97% align="center" 530 align="center" 0.34% align="center" 18,478 align="center" 11.72% align="center" 157,584
align="center" Kittitas align="center" 10,529 align="center" 40.21% align="center" 15,567 align="center" 59.45% align="center" 87 align="center" 0.33% align="center" -5,038 align="center" -19.24% align="center" 26,183
align="center" Klickitat align="center" 5,693 align="center" 42.31% align="center" 7,735 align="center" 57.49% align="center" 27 align="center" 0.2% align="center" -2,042 align="center" -15.18% align="center" 13,455
align="center" Lewis align="center" 13,821 align="center" 30.54% align="center" 31,306 align="center" 69.19% align="center" 122 align="center" 0.27% align="center" -17,485 align="center" -38.65% align="center" 45,249
align="center" Lincoln align="center" 1,526 align="center" 21.79% align="center" 5,450 align="center" 77.83% align="center" 26 align="center" 0.37% align="center" -3,924 align="center" -56.04% align="center" 7,002
align="center" Mason align="center" 16,502 align="center" 44.40% align="center" 20,562 align="center" 55.32% align="center" 104 align="center" 0.28% align="center" -4,060 align="center" -10.92% align="center" 37,168
align="center" Okanogan align="center" 8,298 align="center" 39.15% align="center" 12,843 align="center" 60.59% align="center" 54 align="center" 0.25% align="center" -4,545 align="center" -21.44% align="center" 21,195
align="center" Pacific align="center" 6,514 align="center" 46.47% align="center" 7,463 align="center" 53.24% align="center" 41 align="center" 0.29% align="center" -949 align="center" -6.77% align="center" 14,018
align="center" Pend Oreille align="center" 2,513 align="center" 29.55% align="center" 5,959 align="center" 70.08% align="center" 31 align="center" 0.36% align="center" -3,446 align="center" -40.53% align="center" 8,503
align="center" Pierce align="center" 238,097 align="center" 51.68% align="center" 220,904 align="center" 47.95% align="center" 1,730 align="center" 0.38% align="center" 17,193 align="center" 3.73% align="center" 460,731
align="center" San Juan align="center" 9,621 align="center" 73.39% align="center" 3,465 align="center" 26.43% align="center" 23 align="center" 0.18% align="center" 6,156 align="center" 46.96% align="center" 13,109
align="center" Skagit align="center" 36,444 align="center" 49.87% align="center" 36,404 align="center" 49.81% align="center" 231 align="center" 0.32% align="center" 40 align="center" 0.06% align="center" 73,079
align="center" Skamania align="center" 3,129 align="center" 43.10% align="center" 4,116 align="center" 56.69% align="center" 15 align="center" 0.21% align="center" -987 align="center" -13.59% align="center" 7,260
align="center" Snohomish align="center" 244,876 align="center" 56.13% align="center" 189,797 align="center" 43.50% align="center" 1,607 align="center" 0.37% align="center" 55,079 align="center" 12.63% align="center" 436,280
align="center" Spokane align="center" 131,734 align="center" 44.82% align="center" 161,138 align="center" 54.82% align="center" 1,053 align="center" 0.36% align="center" -29,404 align="center" -10.00% align="center" 293,925
align="center" Stevens align="center" 7,393 align="center" 26.06% align="center" 20,902 align="center" 73.67% align="center" 76 align="center" 0.27% align="center" -13,509 align="center" -47.61% align="center" 28,371
align="center" Thurston align="center" 93,723 align="center" 56.19% align="center" 72,506 align="center" 43.47% align="center" 571 align="center" 0.34% align="center" 21,217 align="center" 12.72% align="center" 166,890
align="center" Wahkiakum align="center" 1,102 align="center" 37.10% align="center" 1,862 align="center" 62.69% align="center" 6 align="center" 0.20% align="center" -760 align="center" -25.59% align="center" 2,970
align="center" Walla Walla align="center" 13,305 align="center" 42.93% align="center" 17,590 align="center" 56.76% align="center" 94 align="center" 0.30% align="center" -4,285 align="center" -13.83% align="center" 30,989
align="center" Whatcom align="center" 81,992 align="center" 59.44% align="center" 55,544 align="center" 40.27% align="center" 399 align="center" 0.29% align="center" 26,448 align="center" 19.17% align="center" 137,935
align="center" Whitman align="center" 10,806 align="center" 51.62% align="center" 10,056 align="center" 48.04% align="center" 72 align="center" 0.34% align="center" 750 align="center" 3.58% align="center" 20,934
align="center" Yakima align="center" 41,152 align="center" 43.07% align="center" 54,097 align="center" 56.62% align="center" 296 align="center" 0.31% align="center" -12,945 align="center" -13.55% align="center" 95,545
Totals2,294,24356.56%1,749,06643.12%13,1450.32%545,17713.44%4,056,454
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Results by congressional district

Inslee won six of 10 congressional districts, with the remaining four going to Culp, including one that elected a Democrat.[46]

DistrictInsleeCulpRepresentative
56.43%43.2%Suzan DelBene
60.12%39.55%Rick Larsen
45.75%53.98%Jaime Herrera Beutler
37.48%62.18%Dan Newhouse
42.54%57.11%Cathy McMorris Rodgers
55.66%44.02%Derek Kilmer
84.56%15.16%Pramila Jayapal
49.11%50.55%Kim Schrier
72.73%26.97%Adam Smith
54.25%45.38%Denny Heck (116th Congress)
Marilyn Strickland (117th Congress)

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. News: Merica . Dan . Washington Gov. Jay Inslee announces 2020 presidential bid . March 1, 2019 . March 1, 2019.
  2. Web site: 2019-10-21. Was Jay Inslee's presidential campaign a failure?. 2020-10-20. The Aggie. en-US.
  3. News: Dan Merica and Paul LeBlanc . Washington Gov. Jay Inslee drops out of presidential race . August 22, 2019 . CNN . August 22, 2019.
  4. News: Gutman . David . August 22, 2019 . With Inslee running again for governor, leading Washington state Democrats put their ambitions on hold . The Seattle Times . August 22, 2019.
  5. News: Brunner. Jim. November 10, 2020. Republican Loren Culp lost King County by the worst margin in at least four decades in Washington governor's race. The Seattle Times. November 21, 2020.
  6. News: Election Results and Voters' Pamphlets. Washington Secretary of State. November 21, 2020.
  7. News: Leadingham. Scott. November 19, 2020. Incumbent's Advantage: Why Whitman County Votes For Biden And Inslee, But GOP For Congress. Northwest Public Broadcasting. December 12, 2020.
  8. Web site: Refusing to concede lost election, Washington gubernatorial candidate Loren Culp sues Sec. of State . Seattle Post-Intelligencer . December 19, 2020 . December 11, 2020. Callie. Craighead.
  9. News: Loren Culp, refusing to concede Washington gubernatorial race, turns on top Republicans . November 21, 2020. Jim. Brunner. The Seattle Times.
  10. Web site: Bowman . Nick . Opinion: Loren Culp, Trump show a refusal to accept reality in both Washingtons . MyNorthwest.com . Bonneville International . 10 November 2020 . 9 November 2020.
  11. News: Wood . Benjamin . Zachary Moses, a Democratic candidate for governor, wants to break up Republican control of Utah and build a space port . August 29, 2019 . Salt Lake Tribune . July 19, 2019.
  12. News: Scott . Dylan . Kristi Noem elected first woman governor of South Dakota . August 26, 2019 . Vox . November 7, 2018.
  13. News: Camden . Jim . John Spellman, Washington's last Republican governor, dies . August 23, 2019 . The Spokesman-Review . January 16, 2018.
  14. Web site: King County Executive Dow Constantine not ruling out run for governor . February 22, 2019 . KING 5 News . February 25, 2019.
  15. News: Axelrod . Tal . Inslee to announce bid for third term as Washington governor: report . The Hill . August 22, 2019 . August 22, 2019.
  16. News: Smay . Ian . Bob Ferguson announces decision to run for another term as Washington Attorney General . KING 5 News . August 22, 2019 . August 22, 2019.
  17. Web site: Inslee, Culp advance to general election in Washington governor's race . November 26, 2020. July 30, 2020 .
  18. Web site: Robinson . Erin . Republic police chief announces run for governor . KXLY . August 2, 2019 . July 26, 2019 . August 2, 2019 . https://web.archive.org/web/20190802180545/https://www.kxly.com/news/republic-police-chief-announces-run-for-governor/1100205481 . dead .
  19. Web site: GOP State Senator Phil Fortunato gears up for governor run . August 5, 2019 . The Seattle Times . en-US. August 6, 2019.
  20. 1164573405753958400 . JayInslee . That's why, today, I'm announcing my intention to run for a third term as Washington's governor. Join me. . August 22, 2019.
  21. Web site: King County Executive Dow Constantine not ruling out run for governor . KING. February 22, 2019 . February 25, 2019.
  22. News: Gutman . David . With Inslee running again for governor, leading Washington state Democrats put their ambitions on hold . August 23, 2019 . The Seattle Times . August 22, 2019.
  23. News: Brunner . Jim . Tim Eyman says he'll run for governor as Republican, not independent . February 15, 2020 . The Seattle Times . February 13, 2020.
  24. News: Brunner . Jim . September 6, 2019 . Former Bothell Mayor Joshua Freed to run for governor, citing homelessness crisis . The Seattle Times . September 6, 2019.
  25. News: Garcia . Raul . Raul Garcia for WA State Governor . May 15, 2020 . Raul Garcia . May 15, 2020 .
  26. Web site: Here's who's running statewide in the Aug. 4 primary election (and in a hot congressional race) . James. Drew. 2020-05-15. 2020-05-19. The News Tribune.
  27. Web site: Brunner . Jim . As Washington state Republicans struggle to field 2020 candidates, Reichert eyes run for governor . Seattle Times . September 3, 2019 . September 1, 2019.
  28. News: Brunner . Jim . Who will Washington's next governor be? Uncertainty over Inslee creates pileup of politicians, domino effects down ballot . The Seattle Times . June 24, 2019 . June 25, 2019.
  29. Web site: As Governor Inslee eyes White House, who could take his place in 2020? . March 1, 2019 . Q13 FOX News . en. March 1, 2019.
  30. Web site: 2018 CANDIDATE CONVERSATION - DREW MacEWEN . Radio . iFiberone News . iFIBER ONE News Radio . en . October 21, 2018 . October 13, 2018 . https://web.archive.org/web/20181013022419/http://www.ifiberonenewsradio.com/candidate-conversation---drew-macewen/youtube_813dcfb6-b85e-11e8-8f8c-13aa0b6fd249.html . dead .
  31. Web site: Dori: Why I might just run for governor after all. 1 October 2019.
  32. Web site: Connelly . Joel . Former U.S. Rep. Dave Reichert says he won't run for Washington governor -- yet again . . September 3, 2019 . September 3, 2019.
  33. Web site: With Jay Inslee running for president, here's who might lead WA next . . en. April 6, 2019.
  34. Web site: Liz Hallock – A New Deal for Washington. en-US. 2020-01-23. February 2, 2020. https://web.archive.org/web/20200202024841/https://newdealwashington.com/. dead.
  35. Web site: Talamo . Lex . Liz Hallock running for Washington governor as a Green Party candidate . Yakima Herald-Republic . February 20, 2020 . February 17, 2020.
  36. Web site: Cregan Newhouse for Governor. 2020-08-11. August 9, 2020. https://web.archive.org/web/20200809201805/https://www.cregannewhouse.com/. dead.
  37. Web site: Asa Palagi, 2020. January 14, 2020. June 3, 2020. https://web.archive.org/web/20200603054044/https://www.pdc.wa.gov/browse/campaign-explorer/candidate?filer_id=PALAA--420&election_year=2020. dead.
  38. Web site: 2020 Governor Race Ratings for October 23, 2020. The Cook Political Report. en. March 11, 2021.
  39. Web site: 2020 Gubernatorial Ratings. insideelections.com. March 11, 2021.
  40. Web site: 2020 Gubernatorial race ratings . November 2, 2020 . Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball . March 13, 2021.
  41. Web site: We rated every gubernatorial race in 2020. Here's who we think will win.. Politico. November 19, 2019.
  42. Web site: 2020 Governor Race Ratings . . June 1, 2020 . June 5, 2020.
  43. Web site: June 13, 2020 . 2020 Governor Races. June 14, 2020 . RealClearPolitics.
  44. Web site: 2020 Gubernatorial Elections Map . 270towin.
  45. Web site: February 3, 2021 . Governor - County Results . June 2, 2022 . Office of the Secretary of State.
  46. Results . sos.wa.gov . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20201124181933/https://www.sos.wa.gov/elections/research/2020-general-election.aspx. 2020-11-24.