List of predicted asteroid impacts on Earth explained

This is a list of asteroids that have impacted Earth after discovery and orbit calculation that predicted the impact in advance., all of the asteroids with predicted impacts were under 5m (16feet) in size that were discovered just hours before impact, and burned up in the atmosphere as meteors.

Asteroid
designation
Date of impact Location of impact Method of detection Estimated size Reference
October 7, 2008 visual, weather satellite, meteorite recovery 4m (13feet) [1]
January 2, 2014 2- [2]
June 2, 2018 Botswana/South Africa border visual, infrasound, meteorite recovery 2m (07feet) [3] [4] [5]
June 22, 2019 infrasound, weather satellite & radar 4m (13feet) [6]
March 11, 2022 Jan Mayen, northern Atlantic Ocean visual, infrasound 2m (07feet) [7] [8]
November 19, 2022 visual, radar 1m (03feet) [9] [10]
February 13, 2023 visual, meteorite recovery 1m (03feet) [11] [12]
January 21, 2024 visual, meteorite recovery 1m (03feet) [13] [14]

Notes and References

  1. Shaddad . Muawia H. . etal . The recovery of asteroid . . 45 . 10–11 . 1557–1589 . October 2010 . 10.1111/j.1945-5100.2010.01116.x . 2010M&PS...45.1557S . 2024-01-27 . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20160304185539/http://asima.seti.org/2008TC3/papers/maps1116-1296.pdf . 2016-03-04 . free .
  2. News: Small asteroid 2014 AA hits Earth . . Kelly . Beatty . January 2, 2014 . 2024-01-28 .
  3. News: Tariq . Malik . A Tiny Asteroid Just Hit Earth, Sparking a Fireball Over South Africa (Video) . . June 4, 2018 . 2024-01-28.
  4. Web site: Tioga . Gulon . Asteroid 2018 LA hit the atmosphere over Botswana on June 2 . July 3, 2018 . News . International Meteor Organization . 2024-02-18.
  5. News: Bob . King . First Fragment Of Shattered Asteroid Recovered In Botswana . July 6, 2018 . Duluth News Tribune . 2024-02-18.
  6. News: Laura . Geggel . Astronomers Spotted a Car-Size Asteroid Just Hours Before Impact . Space.com . June 28, 2019 . 2024-01-28.
  7. News: Fridge-size asteroid detected just 2 hours before it slammed into Earth . . Harry . Baker . March 16, 2022 . 2024-01-28.
  8. News: Karl . Antier . 2022 EB5 : 5th predicted Earth impact! . News . International Meteor Organization . March 13, 2022 . 2024-01-28.
  9. News: NASA Program Predicted Impact of Small Asteroid Over Ontario, Canada . November 22, 2022 . . 2024-01-28.
  10. Web site: Meteorite Falls: Grimsby, Ontario . NASA Johnson Space Center Astromaterials Research & Exploration Science . 2024-02-18.
  11. News: CNEOS Predicts Another Small Asteroid Impact, This One over Northwestern France . February 14, 2023 . . 2024-01-28.
  12. News: Daniel W. E. . Green . CBET 5230 : 2023 CX_1 . March 6, 2023 . Central Bureau Electronic Telegrams . 5230 . 2024-02-18.
  13. News: Scientists discover near-Earth asteroid hours before it exploded over Berlin . Space.com . Kiley . Price . January 23, 2024 . 2024-01-28.
  14. News: Meteorites from Asteroid 2024 Bx1, which just hit Earth, may be super-rare space rocks . Space.com . Robert . Rea . January 31, 2024 . 2024-02-05.