List of marginal seats before the 2019 United Kingdom general election explained

The 2019 general election was held on 12 December 2019. These were the target seats for each of the political parties, according to results from the previous election in 2017.^[1]

^[2]

List by party

Conservative

Conservative target seats^[3]
Rank	Constituency	Winning party 2017		Swing required	Winning party 2019
1	Perth and North Perthshire		0.02%
2	Kensington		0.03%
3	Dudley North		0.03%
4	Newcastle-under-Lyme		0.03%
5	Crewe and Nantwich		0.04%
6	Canterbury		0.16%
7	Barrow and Furness		0.22%
8	Keighley		0.24%
9	Lanark and Hamilton East		0.26%
10	Ashfield		0.44%
11	Stroud		0.54%
12	Bishop Auckland		0.58%
13	Peterborough		0.64%
14	Oxford West and Abingdon		0.68%
15	Westmorland and Lonsdale		0.75%
16	Colne Valley		0.76%
17	Ipswich		0.81%
18	Bedford		0.81%
19	Stockton South		0.82%
20	Edinburgh South West		1.11%

Labour

Labour target seats^[4]
Rank	Constituency	Winning party 2017		Swing required	Winning party 2019
1	Southampton Itchen		0.03%
2	Glasgow South West		0.08%
3	Glasgow East		0.10%
4	Arfon		0.16%
5	Airdrie and Shotts		0.26%
6	Pudsey		0.31%
7	Hastings and Rye		0.32%
8	Chipping Barnet		0.32%
9	Thurrock		0.34%
10	Lanark and Hamilton East		0.36%
11	Preseli Pembrokeshire		0.37%
12	Motherwell and Wishaw		0.38%
13	Inverclyde		0.49%
14	Calder Valley		0.52%
15	Norwich North		0.55%
16	Broxtowe		0.78%
17	Stoke-on-Trent South		0.80%
18	Telford		0.81%
19	Dunfermline and West Fife		0.83%
20	Bolton West		0.92%

Liberal Democrat

Lib Dem target seats^[5]
Rank	Constituency	Winning party 2017		Swing required	Winning party 2019
1	North East Fife		0.00%
2	Richmond Park		0.04%
3	Ceredigion		0.13%
4	St Ives		0.30%
5	Sheffield Hallam		1.86%
6	Cheltenham		2.25%
7	North Devon		3.89%
8	Cheadle		4.13%
9	Leeds North West		4.56%
10	Lewes		5.08%

SNP

SNP target seats^[6]
Rank	Constituency	Winning party 2017		Swing required	Winning party 2019
1	Stirling		0.15%
2	Rutherglen and Hamilton West		0.26%
3	Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath		0.28%
4	Glasgow North East		0.38%
5	Midlothian		0.98%
6	Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill		1.76%
7	Gordon		2.43%
8	East Lothian		2.76%
9	Edinburgh West		2.83%
10	Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock		3.00%

Plaid Cymru

Plaid Cymru targets^[7]
Rank	Constituency	Winning party 2017		Swing required	Winning party 2019
1	Ynys Môn		7.23%
2	Llanelli		17.62%
3	Blaenau Gwent		18.38%
4	Caerphilly		20.01%
5	Rhondda		20.87%

Ulster Unionist Party

Ulster Unionist Party target seats^[11] ^[12]
Rank	Constituency	Winning party 2017		Swing required	Winning party 2019
1	Fermanagh and South Tyrone		0.8%
2	South Antrim		3.7%

SDLP

Social Democratic and Labour Party target seats^[13] ^[14]
Rank	Constituency	Winning party 2017		Swing required	Winning party 2019
1	Belfast South		2.3%
2	South Down		2.4%

Sinn Féin

See also

• List of marginal seats before the 2024 United Kingdom general election
• List of marginal seats before the 2017 United Kingdom general election
• List of marginal seats before the 2015 United Kingdom general election

Notes and References

1. News: Where are the seats that could turn the election?. Peter. Barnes. Christine. Jeavans. BBC News . 13 November 2019.
2. Web site: Jones . Ian . 2024-01-16 . List of general election top target seats, by party . 2024-05-04 . Evening Standard . en.
3. Web site: Conservative Target Seats 2019 - Election Polling . https://web.archive.org/web/20181011221829/https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/conservative . 11 October 2018 . 11 November 2019 . www.electionpolling.co.uk.
4. Web site: Labour Target Seats 2019 - Election Polling . https://web.archive.org/web/20180331054126/https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/labour . 31 March 2018 . 11 November 2019 . www.electionpolling.co.uk.
5. Web site: Liberal Democrat Target Seats 2019 - Election Polling. www.electionpolling.co.uk. 11 November 2019.
6. Web site: SNP Target Seats 2019 - Election Polling. www.electionpolling.co.uk. 11 November 2019.
7. Web site: Plaid Cymru Target Seats 2019 . www.electionpolling.co.uk . 11 November 2019.
8. Web site: Farage hits out at three MEPs who quit Brexit party to back Tories. Kate. Proctor. Frances. Perraudin. 5 December 2019. www.theguardian.com.
9. Web site: Bristol West: What you need to know for the 2019 General Election. Drennan. Sue. 2 December 2019. The Bristol Cable.
10. Web site: DUP targetting North Down seat in December election. 11 November 2019. www.rte.ie.
11. News: Upper Bann constituency profile: Five-party target but two-party choice?. BBC News . 26 November 2019.
12. Web site: The Northern Ireland seats where Brexit and tactical votes will be a gamechanger. 8 November 2019. inews.co.uk.
13. News: South Belfast constituency profile: The DUP seat most under threat. BBC News . 22 November 2019.
14. Web site: Here's a list of MPs elected in Northern Ireland. Dominic. McGrath. TheJournal.ie.
15. Web site: A seat-by-seat guide to the general election in Northern Ireland. 4 December 2019. The Independent.