List of human disease case fatality rates explained

Human infectious diseases may be characterized by their case fatality rate (CFR), the proportion of people diagnosed with a disease who die from it (cf. mortality rate). It should not be confused with the infection fatality rate (IFR), the estimated proportion of people infected by a disease-causing agent, including asymptomatic and undiagnosed infections, who die from the disease. IFR cannot be higher than the CFR and is often much lower, but is also much harder to calculate. This data is based on optimally treated patients and excludes isolated cases or minor outbreaks, unless otherwise indicated.

style="background:black;width:10px;"
No treatment or cureViral disease
No cureBacterial disease
UnvaccinatedAmoebic disease
UntreatedFungal disease
Vaccinated/treatedParasitic disease
Co-infectionPrion
DiseaseTypeTreatment stageCFRNotesReference(s)
Transmissible spongiform encephalopathyPrion No treatment and no cure[1] data-sort-value="100" 100%[2] Includes Creutzfeldt–Jakob disease and all its variants, fatal insomnia, kuru, Gerstmann–Sträussler–Scheinker syndrome, Variably protease-sensitive prionopathy and others.[3] No cases of survival, invariably fatal.
RabiesViralUnvaccinated data-sort-value="99.9999999999999999" ≈100%[4] Preventable with vaccine and PEP but once symptoms manifest, there is no cure and the CFR is greater than 99%. 4 known people who survived were simply vaccinated too late,[5] after symptoms started; more recently, at least 3 individuals have survived after being placed in a medically induced coma, however this protocol has since been disputed.[6] 29 known cases of survival
Plague, pneumonicBacterialUnvaccinated and untreateddata-sort-value="99.9999999999999" ≈100%
Nipah virusViralUntreated100%The rate drops to 40-75% if treated
African trypanosomiasisParasitic (protozoan)Untreateddata-sort-value="99.9999" >99%Without treatment this disease is nearly invariably fatal due to its parasitic and extremely debilitating nature[7] [8]
Visceral leishmaniasisParasitic (protozoan)Untreateddata-sort-value="99.9999" >99%[9]
NaegleriasisAmoebicUntreated≈98.5%From 1962 to 2022 there have been 157 recorded cases of the infection in United States, only 4 of those 157 individuals survived the disease. A combination of drugs have shown effectiveness in survivors.[10]
Glanders, septicemicBacterialUntreateddata-sort-value="95" 95%The rate drops significantly to >50% with treatment.[11]
Smallpox Variola major – specifically the malignant (flat) or hemorrhagic typeViralUntreateddata-sort-value="94.9999" ≈95%The rate dropped significantly to 10% with effective treatments.
Eradicated.
[12]
[13]
Granulomatous amoebic encephalitisAmoebicNo cure[14] data-sort-value="90" 90%150 cases worldwide, only < 10 survivors have been identified.[15] [16]
HIV/AIDSViralUntreateddata-sort-value="85" 90%[17]
Anthrax, pulmonaryBacterialUnvaccinated and untreateddata-sort-value="85.0001" > 85%Early treatments lower the CFR to 45% as seen in the 2001 AMERITHRAX letter attacks.
Monoclonal antibodies (Obilotoxaximab & Raxibacumab) could lower this further.
Lujo virusViral80%[18]
B virusViralUntreateddata-sort-value="79.9999" ≈80%Early treatment including aciclovir can improve prognosis.[19]
Aspergillosis, invasive pulmonary formFungalOpportunistic w/COPD, Tuberculosis and Immuno-
compromised
data-sort-value="70" [50–90]%[20]
Smallpox, Variola major – in pregnant womenViralUnvaccinateddata-sort-value="65.0001" > 65%Eradicated.
Influenza A virus subtype H5N1Viraldata-sort-value="59.9999" ≈53%[21]
Mucormycosis (Black fungus)Fungaldata-sort-value="59.9995" [40–80]%[22]
Tularemia, pneumonicBacterialUntreateddata-sort-value="59.999" ≤ 60%
Ebola – specifically EBOVViralUnvaccinated and untreateddata-sort-value="86.5" [25–90]%Prognosis improved by early supportive treatments as seen in the West African epidemic and the Kivu outbreak.[23] [24]
Marburg virus disease – all outbreaks combinedViralUntreateddata-sort-value="56.5" [23–90]%23% in 1967 when it was first identified and 90% in 2004-2005 when the worst outbreak of the disease occurred. Galidesivir has shown promise in treating Filoviridae[25] [26]
Cryptococcal meningitisFungalCo-infection with HIVdata-sort-value="50" [40–60]%6 month mortality is >=60% with fluconazole-based therapy and 40% with amphotericin-based therapy in research studies in low and middle income countries.[27]
Anthrax, gastrointestinalBacterialUnvaccinated and untreateddata-sort-value="50.0002" > 50%
Tetanus, GeneralizedBacterialUnvaccinated and untreateddata-sort-value="50" 50%CFR drops to [10–20]% with effective treatment.[28]
Tuberculosis, HIV NegativeBacterialVaccinateddata-sort-value="43" 43%Vaccines have been developed but have been frequently dismissed for having received controversial and improper testing on African populations.[29]
Plague, septicemicBacterialUnvaccinated and untreateddata-sort-value="40" [30–50]%
BaylisascariasisParasitic (helminthous)data-sort-value="40.0000" ≈40%With occurrence of Neural Larva Migrans; early, aggressive treatment necessary for survival, but only 2 full recoveries from NLM ever documented[30]
Hantavirus infectionViraldata-sort-value="36" 36%Ribavirin may be a drug for HPS and HFRS but its effectiveness remains unknown, still, spontaneous recovery is possible with supportive treatment.
Middle Eastern Respiratory Syndrome (MERS)Viraldata-sort-value="35" 34%Galidesivir has shown promise in treating Coronaviridae[31]
Eastern equine encephalitisViraldata-sort-value="33" ≈33%[32]
Bubonic plagueBacterialUnvaccinated and untreateddata-sort-value="32.5" [5–60]%
Anthrax, gastrointestinal, oropharyngeal typeBacterialdata-sort-value="30" [10–50]%
Smallpox, Variola majorViralUnvaccinateddata-sort-value="30" 30%
Varicella (chickenpox), in newbornsViralUntreateddata-sort-value="30" ≈30%Where the mothers develop the disease between 5 days prior to, or 2 days after delivery.
Dengue haemorrhagic fever (DHF)ViralUntreateddata-sort-value="26" 26%Dengue haemorrhagic fever is also known as severe dengue.[33] [34]
ViralNo curedata-sort-value="23.5" [15–30]%No specific treatment; usually involves supportive care.[35]
Hantavirus pulmonary syndrome (HPS)ViralUntreateddata-sort-value="21" ≈21%Galidesivir has shown promise in treating Bunyavirales[36]
Tularemia, typhoidalBacterialUntreateddata-sort-value="19" [3–35]%
LeptospirosisBacterialdata-sort-value="17.4999" <[5–30]%
Meningococcal diseaseBacterialUnvaccinated and untreateddata-sort-value="15" [10–20]%[37]
Typhoid feverBacterialUnvaccinated and untreateddata-sort-value="15" [10–20]%
LegionellosisBacterialdata-sort-value="15" ≈15%
Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS)Viraldata-sort-value="11" 11%Galidesivir has shown promise in treating Coronaviridae.[38]
Intestinal capillariasisParasitic (helminthous)Untreateddata-sort-value="10" ≈10%[39]
Visceral leishmaniasisParasitic (protozoan)data-sort-value="10" ≈10%[40]
BotulismBacterial toxinTreateddata-sort-value="9.9999" < 10%Untreated foodborne botulism is thought to be ≈50%[41]
Diphtheria, respiratoryBacterialUnvaccinated and untreateddata-sort-value="7.5" ≈[5-10]%[42]
Yellow feverViralUnvaccinateddata-sort-value="7.5" 7.5%[43]
Pertussis (whooping cough), infants in developing countriesBacterialUnvaccinateddata-sort-value="3.7" ≈3.7%
Smallpox, Variola majorViralVaccinateddata-sort-value="3" 3%
Cholera, in AfricaBacterialdata-sort-value="2.5" ≈[2–3]%With proper treatment, may be less than 1%, while without treatment may reach 50%[44] [45] [46] [47] [48]
1918 (Spanish) fluViralTreateddata-sort-value="2.5001" [2.5-9.7]%varies with population, up to 22% in Western Samoa[49] [50] [51]
AngiostrongyliasisParasitic (helminthous)data-sort-value="2.4" ≈2.4%From Hawaiian cases.[52]
Measles (rubeola), in developing countriesViralUnvaccinateddata-sort-value="2" ≈[1–3]%May reach [10–30]% in some localities.
BrucellosisBacterialUntreateddata-sort-value="1.9999" ≤ 2%
Hepatitis A, adults > 50 years oldViralUnvaccinateddata-sort-value="1.8" ≈1.8%
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)ViralUnvaccinated &<br />data-sort-value="2.1" 0.5-1%Depends largely on the age group of the person.[53] [54]
Lassa feverViralTreateddata-sort-value="1" ≈1%15% in hospitalized patients; higher in some epidemics.[55]
Mumps encephalitisViralUnvaccinateddata-sort-value="1" ≈1%
Pertussis (whooping cough), children in developing countriesBacterialUnvaccinateddata-sort-value="1" ≈1%For children 1–4 years old.
Smallpox, Variola minorViralUnvaccinateddata-sort-value="1" 1%
Venezuelan Equine Encephalitis (VEE)Viraldata-sort-value="0.9999" < 1%
Anthrax, cutaneousBacterialdata-sort-value="0.9999" < 1%
Seasonal Influenza, WorldwideViralLargely unvaccinated,
Treated
data-sort-value="0.1" < 0.1–0.5%Depends largely on the age group of the people.[56]
MalariaParasitic (protozoan)data-sort-value="0.3" ≈0.3%[57]
Hepatitis AViralUnvaccinateddata-sort-value="0.2" [0.1–0.3]%
PolioViralWithout artificial breathing supportdata-sort-value="0.1" ≈0.1%, varies by age: 2-5% for children and up to 15-30% for adults0.5% of all infected become paralysed. Of those, about [10–20]% die.[58] [59]
Asian (1956–58) fluViraldata-sort-value="0.1" ≈0.1%[60]
Hong Kong (1968–69) fluViraldata-sort-value="0.1" ≈0.1%
Influenza A, typical pandemicsViraldata-sort-value="0.0999" < 0.1%
Varicella (chickenpox), adultsViralUnvaccinateddata-sort-value="0.02" 0.02%
Hand, foot and mouth disease, children < 5 years oldViraldata-sort-value="0.01" 0.01%[61]
Varicella (chickenpox), childrenViralUnvaccinateddata-sort-value="0.001" 0.001%

See also

Notes and References

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  2. Web site: Weiss . Cynthia . Sharing Mayo Clinic: Back from the brink and overcoming a rare neurologic disorder . Mayo Clinic News Network . 8 January 2023 . 27 June 2021.
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  4. Web site: Deadliest diseases ranked? . 2 April 2020 . . 2021-03-18 . 2021-03-12 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210312201044/https://www.cbsnews.com/pictures/deadly-diseases-infectious-world-ranked/#1 . live .
  5. Web site: Is Rabies Really 100% Fatal? Viruses101 Learn Science at Scitable . 2023-08-17 . www.nature.com . en.
  6. Jackson . AC . Human Rabies: a 2016 Update. . Current infectious disease reports . November 2016 . 18 . 11 . 38 . 10.1007/s11908-016-0540-y . 27730539.
  7. Web site: 2019-04-22 . CDC - African Trypanosomiasis - General Information - East African Trypanosomiasis FAQs . 2023-08-17 . www.cdc.gov . en-us.
  8. Web site: . 2014 . African Sleeping Sickness . 2014-06-04 . https://web.archive.org/web/20140607002025/http://www.seattlebiomed.org/disease/african-sleeping-sickness . 2014-06-07 . dead.
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