Time of discovery of asteroids which came closer to Earth than the Moon in 2018 | |||||||
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A list of known near-Earth asteroid close approaches less than 1 lunar distance (0.0025696AU) from Earth in 2018.[1]
For reference, the radius of Earth is approximately 4.26E-05AU or 0.0166 lunar distances.
Geosynchronous satellites have an orbit with semi-major axis length of 0.000282AU or 0.110 lunar distances. Eight known asteroids (2018 BD, A106fgF, 2018 LA, A107j4q,, 2018 UA,, and) are confirmed to have passed within this distance, and poorly-observed asteroids ZB0A262,, ZGBE54F, A1080DC, ZW87F01, and ZW900BE may have also passed within this distance.While most asteroids on this list are confirmed, well-observed unconfirmed objects with a 50% or greater chance of passing within 1 LD of the Earth are included as well.
The largest asteroid to pass within 1 LD of Earth in 2018 was with an estimated diameter of around 137 meters and an absolute magnitude of 22.5. The fastest asteroid to pass within 1 LD of Earth in 2018 was that passed Earth with a velocity with respect to Earth of 29.6km/s.[2] [3]
width=100 | Date of closest approach | Date discovered | width=100 | Object | width=205 data-sort-type="number" | Nominal geocentric distance (AU)[4] | data-sort-type="number" | Nominal geocentric distance (LD) | data-sort-type="number" | Size (m) (approximate) | (H) (abs. mag) | Closer approach to Moon | width=120 | Refs[5] [6] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2018-01-02 | 2018-01-04 | 2018 AH | 0.00199abbr=onNaNabbr=on | 0.77[7] | 84–190 | 22.5 | — | |||||||
2018-01-15 | 2018-01-17 | 2018 BW | 0.00112AU | 0.43 | align=center | 6–14 | align=center | 28.1 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-01-16 | 2018-01-17 | 0.000877AU | align=center | 0.34 | align=center | 3–8 | align=center | 29.5 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-01-18 | 2018-01-18 | 2018 BD | 0.000262AU | align=center | 0.10 | align=center | 2–6 | align=center | 30.1 | align=center | — | |||
2018-01-19 | 2018-01-20 | 0.00162AU | align=center | 0.63 | align=center | 17–38 | align=center | 26.0 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-01-19 | 2018-01-17 | 2018 BC | 0.00189AU | align=center | 0.73 | align=center | 3–9 | align=center | 29.4 | align=center | — | |||
2018-01-19 | 2018-01-18 | 2018 BX | 0.00188AU | align=center | 0.73 | align=center | 4–9 | align=center | 29.1 | align=center | — | |||
2018-01-20 | 2018-01-24 | 0.00203AU | align=center | 0.79 | align=center | 5–13 | align=center | 28.3 | align=center | |||||
2018-01-22 | 2018-01-22 | A106fgF | Potential Impact? | 0.0011[8] | align=center | 2–5 | align=center | 30.6 | — | Src | ||||
2018-01-24 | 2018-01-27 | 0.00242AU | align=center | 0.94 | align=center | 12–26 | align=center | 26.8 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-01-25 | 2018-01-26 | ZB0A262 | 0.000401AU | 0.16[9] | align=center | 2–5 | align=center | 30.6 | align=center | — | Src | |||
2018-02-04 | 2018-02-07 | 0.0023AU | align=center | 0.90 | align=center | 6–14 | align=center | 28.2 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-02-06 | 2018-02-07 | 0.00065AU | align=center | 0.25 | align=center | 6–15 | align=center | 28.0 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-02-06 | 2018-02-04 | 2018 CC | 0.00126AU | align=center | 0.49 | align=center | 13–28 | align=center | 26.6 | align=center | — | |||
2018-02-09 | 2018-02-08 | 0.000467AU | align=center | 0.18 | align=center | 7–16 | align=center | 27.8 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-02-09 | 2018-02-04 | 2018 CB | 0.000466AU | align=center | 0.18 | align=center | 18–39 | align=center | 25.9 | align=center | — | |||
2018-02-16 | 2018-02-10 | 0.00237AU | align=center | 0.92 | align=center | 5–11 | align=center | 28.6 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-02-21 | 2018-02-22 | 2018 DQ | 0.00067AU | align=center | 0.26 | align=center | 4–9 | align=center | 29.1 | align=center | — | |||
2018-02-24 | 2018-02-26 | 0.00141AU | align=center | 0.55[10] | align=center | 5–12 | align=center | 28.4 | align=center | ? | ||||
2018-02-25 | 2018-02-23 | 2018 DU | 0.0019AU | align=center | 0.74 | align=center | 5–13 | align=center | 28.3 | align=center | — | |||
2018-03-02 | 2018-02-26 | 0.000748AU | align=center | 0.29 | align=center | 5–12 | align=center | 28.4 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-03-14 | 2018-03-12 | 0.00144AU | align=center | 0.56 | align=center | 13–28 | align=center | 26.6 | align=center | |||||
2018-03-17 | 2018-03-19 | 0.00148AU | align=center | 0.58 | align=center | 2–6 | align=center | 30.1 | — | |||||
2018-03-18 | 2018-03-21 | 0.000979AU | align=center | 0.38 | align=center | 9–22 | align=center | 27.2 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-03-19 | 2018-03-20 | 0.00187AU | align=center | 0.73 | align=center | 5–11 | align=center | 28.6 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-03-23 | 2018-03-21 | 0.00129AU | align=center | 0.50 | align=center | 8–18 | align=center | 27.6 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-03-30 | 2018-03-28 | 0.001AU | align=center | 0.39 | align=center | 5–13 | align=center | 28.3 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-04-07 | 2018-04-11 | 0.00177AU | align=center | 0.69 | align=center | 6–12 | align=center | 28.5 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-04-10 | 2008-04-13 | aka | 0.00201AU | align=center | 0.78 | align=center | 8–18 | align=center | 27.6 | align=center | — | |||
2018-04-12 | 2018-04-13 | ZGBE54F | 0.000469AU | align=center | 0.18[11] | align=center | 2–7 | align=center | 30.0 | align=center | — | Src | ||
2018-04-12 | 2018-04-11 | 0.00201AU | align=center | 0.78 | align=center | 3–8 | align=center | 29.4 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-04-15 | 2018-04-14 | 0.00129AU | align=center | 0.50 | align=center | 46–100 | align=center | 23.8 | align=center | |||||
2018-04-21 | 2018-04-23 | 0.00229AU | align=center | 0.89 | align=center | 18–41 | align=center | 25.8 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-04-22 | 2018-04-21 | 2018 HV | 0.00103AU | align=center | 0.40 | align=center | 4–10 | align=center | 28.9 | align=center | — | |||
2018-05-15 | 2010-11-30 | 0.00136AU | align=center | 0.53 | align=center | 51–110 | align=center | 23.6 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-05-23 | 2018-05-22 | 0.000997AU | align=center | 0.39 | align=center | 3–7 | align=center | 29.7 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-05-26 | 2018-05-24 | 0.002AU | align=center | 0.78 | align=center | 9–22 | align=center | 27.2 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-06-02 | 2018-06-02 | 2018 LA | 3.34E-05AU (Impact) | align=center | 0.0130 (Impact)[12] | align=center | 2–3 | align=center | 30.5 | align=center | — | |||
2018-06-15 | 2018-06-11 | 0.00221AU | align=center | 0.86 | align=center | 13–30 | align=center | 26.5 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-06-16 | 2018-06-17 | 0.00139AU | align=center | 0.54 | align=center | 4–10 | align=center | 28.8 | align=center | |||||
2018-06-17 | 2018-06-17 | A107j4q | 0.000206AU | align=center | 0.080[13] | align=center | 4–11 | align=center | 28.9 | align=center | — | Srcdiagram | ||
2018-06-23 | 2018-06-24 | A107pL2 | 0.000525AU | align=center | 0.20[14] | align=center | 3–9 | align=center | 29.5 | align=center | — | Src | ||
2018-07-04 | 2018-07-05 | ZN2E090 | 0.00132AU | align=center | 0.51[15] | align=center | 4–12 | align=center | 28.8 | align=center | — | Src | ||
2018-07-07 | 2018-07-08 | 2018 NX | 0.000783AU | align=center | 0.30 | align=center | 7–17 | align=center | 27.7 | align=center | — | |||
2018-07-08 | 2018-07-08 | 2018 NW | 0.000833AU | align=center | 0.32 | align=center | 7–16 | align=center | 27.8 | align=center | — | |||
2018-08-10 | 2018-08-11 | 0.000224AU | align=center | 0.087 | align=center | 8–20 | align=center | 27.4 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-08-12 | 2018-08-13 | A1080DC | 0.000284AU | align=center | 0.11[16] | align=center | 1–4 | align=center | 31.3 | align=center | — | Src | ||
2018-08-21 | 2018-08-21 | 0.000592AU | align=center | 0.23 | align=center | 8–20 | align=center | 27.4 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-09-03 | 2018-09-07 | 0.00243AU | align=center | 0.94 | align=center | 2–6 | align=center | 29.9 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-09-05 | 2018-09-06 | 2018 RS | 0.00071AU | align=center | 0.28 | align=center | 2–9 | align=center | 30.0 | align=center | — | |||
2018-09-06 | 2018-09-07 | 0.00255AU | align=center | 0.991 | align=center | 5–12 | align=center | 28.5 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-09-07 | 2018-09-09 | 0.00112AU | align=center | 0.44 | align=center | 7–16 | align=center | 27.8 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-09-08 | 2018-09-07 | 2018 RW | 0.00114AU | align=center | 0.44 | align=center | 2–5 | align=center | 30.3 | align=center | — | |||
2018-09-09 | 2018-09-03 | 2018 RC | 0.0015AU | align=center | 0.58 | align=center | 28–63 | align=center | 24.9 | align=center | — | |||
2018-09-12 | 2018-09-13 | 0.0012AU | align=center | 0.47 | align=center | 10–36 | align=center | 26.5 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-09-12 | 2018-09-13 | 0.000331AU | align=center | 0.13 | align=center | 2–8 | align=center | 29.7 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-09-15 | 2018-09-16 | 2018 SM | 0.000285AU | align=center | 0.11 | align=center | 3–9 | align=center | 29.4 | align=center | — | |||
2018-09-16 | 2018-09-18 | 0.00131AU | align=center | 0.51 | align=center | 2–7 | align=center | 29.9 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-09-18 | 2018-09-17 | 2018 SC | 0.00179AU | align=center | 0.70 | align=center | 5–19 | align=center | 27.9 | align=center | — | |||
2018-09-25 | 2018-09-21 | 0.000587AU | align=center | 0.23 | align=center | 4–12 | align=center | 28.6 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-09-30 | 2018-10-02 | 2018 TC | 0.00204AU | align=center | 0.79 | align=center | 10–31 | align=center | 26.6 | align=center | — | |||
2018-10-06 | 2018-10-05 | 0.000682AU | align=center | 0.27 | align=center | 3–9 | align=center | 29.5 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-10-06 | 2018-10-06 | ZTF01Z9 | 0.0017AU | align=center | 0.66[17] | align=center | 4–12 | align=center | 28.8 | align=center | — | Src | ||
2018-10-07 | 2018-10-05 | 2018 TV | 0.0019AU | align=center | 0.74 | align=center | 4–13 | align=center | 28.6 | align=center | — | |||
2018-10-17 | 2018-10-18 | 2018 UL | 0.00148AU | align=center | 0.57 | align=center | 3–11 | align=center | 29.1 | align=center | ||||
2018-10-19 | 2018-10-19 | 9.14E-05AU | align=center | 0.036 | align=center | 2–6 | align=center | 30.2 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-11-01 | 2018-11-01 | 0.000276AU | align=center | 0.11[18] | align=center | 2–5 | align=center | 30.6 | align=center | — | Temp. src | |||
2018-11-02 | 2018-11-03 | 0.00101AU | align=center | 0.39 | align=center | 1–5 | align=center | 30.8 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-11-05 | 2018-11-08 | 0.00123AU | align=center | 0.48 | align=center | 4–16 | align=center | 28.3 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-11-06 | 2018-11-07 | 0.000942AU | align=center | 0.37 | align=center | 9–33 | align=center | 26.7 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-11-10 | 2018-11-04 | aka | 0.00255AU | align=center | 0.994 | align=center | 6–22 | align=center | 27.5 | align=center | — | |||
2018-11-11 | 2018-11-11 | 0.00103AU | align=center | 0.40 | align=center | 3–10 | align=center | 29.1 | align=center | — | Temp. src | |||
2018-11-13 | 2018-11-10 | 0.00224AU | align=center | 0.87 | align=center | 7–23 | align=center | 27.4 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-11-13 | 2018-11-16 | 0.00168AU | align=center | 0.65 | align=center | 2–7 | align=center | 30.0 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-11-14 | 2018-11-15 | 0.00133AU | align=center | 0.52 | align=center | 4–12 | align=center | 28.6 | align=center | |||||
2018-11-15 | 2018-11-17 | ZW84BCD | 0.000845AU | align=center | 0.33[19] | align=center | 2–7 | align=center | 30.0 | align=center | — | Src | ||
2018-11-16 | 2018-11-17 | ZW87F01 | 0.000594AU | align=center | 0.23[20] | align=center | 1–2 | align=center | 32.3 | align=center | — | Src | ||
2018-11-16 | 2018-11-17 | 2018 WH | 0.00127AU | align=center | 0.50 | align=center | 2–8 | align=center | 29.8 | align=center | — | |||
2018-11-16 | 2018-11-17 | 2018 WG | 0.000206AU | align=center | 0.080 | align=center | 3–10 | align=center | 29.3 | align=center | — | |||
2018-11-18 | 2018-11-17 | 2018 WE | 0.0016AU | align=center | 0.62 | align=center | 4–16 | align=center | 28.3 | align=center | ||||
2018-11-19 | 2018-11-17 | 2018 WJ | 0.000794AU | align=center | 0.31 | align=center | 6–26 | align=center | 27.5 | align=center | — | |||
2018-11-25 | 2018-11-26 | 0.000715AU | align=center | 0.28 | align=center | 12–51 | align=center | 26.0 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-11-27 | 2018-11-28 | 0.000729AU | align=center | 0.28 | align=center | 3–9 | align=center | 29.4 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-11-28 | 2018-11-29 | 0.00216AU | align=center | 0.84 | align=center | 5–20 | align=center | 27.8 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-11-28 | 2018-11-29 | ZW900BE | 0.000224AU | align=center | 0.087[21] | align=center | 1–4 | align=center | 31.2 | align=center | — | Src | ||
2018-11-30 | 2018-11-29 | 0.00134AU | align=center | 0.52 | align=center | 2–7 | align=center | 30.1 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-12-02 | 2018-11-29 | 0.000221AU | align=center | 0.086 | align=center | 2–6 | align=center | 30.2 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-12-11 | 2018-12-13 | 0.00249AU | align=center | 0.97 | align=center | 3–11 | 29.1 | align=center | ||||||
2018-12-27 | 2018-12-28 | 0.000398AU | align=center | 0.15 | align=center | 3–10 | 29.3 | align=center | — | |||||
2018-12-28 | 2018-12-29 | 0.00131AU | 0.51 | 2–6 | 29.8 | align=center | — | |||||||
2018-12-28 | 2019-01-03 | 0.0011AU | align=center | 0.43 | align=center | 22–69 | align=center | 25.1 | align=center | — | ||||
2018-12-30 | 2018-12-31 | 0.000725AU | 0.28 | 2–7 | 29.8 | align=center | — | Temp. src |
This sub-section visualises the warning times of the close approaches listed in the above table, depending on the size of the asteroid. The sizes of the charts show the relative sizes of the asteroids to scale. For comparison, the approximate size of a person is also shown. This is based the absolute magnitude of each asteroid, an approximate measure of size based on brightness.
Abs Magnitude 30 and greater (size of a person for comparison)Abs Magnitude 29-30Absolute Magnitude 28-29Absolute Magnitude 27-28Absolute Magnitude 26-27Absolute Magnitude 25-26 Absolute Magnitude less than 25 (largest)
The number of asteroids listed here are significantly less than those of asteroids that approach Earth for several reasons. Asteroids that approach Earth not only move faster, but are brighter and are easier to detect with modern surveys because:
These factors severely limit the amount of Moon-approaching asteroids, to a level many times lower than the asteroids detected passing as close to Earth.
width=100 | Date of closest approach | width=100 | Object | width=205 | Nominal lunocentric distance (AU)[22] | Nominal lunocentric distance (LD) | data-sort-type="number" | Size (m) (approximate) | (H) | approach distance to Earth (LD) | Refs |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2018-01-15 | 2018 BW | 0.00212abbr=onNaNabbr=on | 0.82 | 5–17 | 28.1 | 0.43 | |||||
2018-01-19 | 2018 BD | 0.00123AU | 0.48 | 2–6 | 30.2 | 0.10 | |||||
2018-01-20 | 0.00186AU | 0.72 | 5–15 | 28.3 | 0.79 | ||||||
2018-01-24 | ZB0A262 | 0.00148AU | 0.57[23] | 2–5 | 30.6 | 0.16 | Src | ||||
2018-02-03 | 2018 CT | 0.00249AU | 0.97 | 15–47 | 25.8 | 1.69 | |||||
2018-02-06 | 0.00204AU | 0.79 | 4–20 | 28.0 | 0.25 | ||||||
2018-02-24 | 0.00128AU | align=center | 0.50[24] | align=center | 4–14 | align=center | 28.4 | align=center | 0.55 | ||
2018-03-01 | 0.000893AU | align=center | 0.35 | align=center | 4–15 | align=center | 28.4 | align=center | 0.29 | ||
2018-03-14 | 0.00136AU | align=center | 0.53 | align=center | 10–34 | align=center | 26.5 | align=center | 0.56 | ||
2018-03-17 | 0.00187AU | align=center | 0.73 | align=center | 2–7 | align=center | 30.1 | 0.58 | |||
2018-03-17 | 0.00118AU | align=center | 0.46 | align=center | 8–27 | align=center | 27.1 | align=center | 0.38 | ||
2018-03-30 | 0.00157AU | align=center | 0.61 | align=center | 4–16 | align=center | 28.3 | align=center | 0.39 | ||
2018-04-13 | 0.00221AU | align=center | 0.86 | align=center | 3–9 | align=center | 29.4 | align=center | 0.78 | ||
2018-04-15 | 0.000876AU | align=center | 0.34 | align=center | 37–138 | align=center | 23.6 | align=center | 0.50 | ||
2018-05-23 | 0.00146AU | align=center | 0.57 | align=center | 3–8 | align=center | 29.7 | align=center | 0.39 | ||
2018-06-02 | 2018 LA | 0.00208AU | align=center | 0.83 | align=center | 2–3 | align=center | 30.5 | align=center | Impact | |
2018-06-16 | 0.000527AU | align=center | 0.20 | align=center | 4–11 | align=center | 28.8 | align=center | 0.54 | ||
2018-06-17 | A107j4p | 0.00256AU | align=center | 0.995[25] | align=center | 4–11 | align=center | 28.9 | align=center | 0.080 | Src |
2018-06-23 | A107pL2 | 0.00208AU | align=center | 0.81[26] | align=center | 3–9 | align=center | 29.5 | align=center | 0.20 | Src |
2018-07-02 | 2018 NH | 0.00109AU | align=center | 0.43 | align=center | 24–88 | align=center | 24.6 | align=center | 1.13 | |
2018-07-05 | ZN2E090 | 0.00168AU | align=center | 0.65[27] | align=center | 4–12 | align=center | 28.8 | align=center | 0.51 | Src |
2018-07-07 | 2018 NX | 0.00152AU | align=center | 0.59 | align=center | 7–18 | align=center | 27.7 | align=center | 0.30 | |
2018-07-08 | 2018 NW | 0.00165AU | align=center | 0.64 | align=center | 6–18 | align=center | 27.8 | align=center | 0.32 | |
2018-07-24 | 0.000713AU | align=center | 0.28 | align=center | 8–21 | align=center | 27.4 | align=center | 1.14 | ||
2018-08-04 | 0.00182AU | align=center | 0.71 | align=center | 9–33 | align=center | 26.7 | align=center | 1.07 | ||
2018-08-10 | 0.00117AU | align=center | 0.46 | align=center | 7–22 | align=center | 27.4 | align=center | 0.087 | ||
2018-08-12 | 0.00178AU | align=center | 0.69 | align=center | 1–4 | align=center | 31.3 | align=center | 0.11 | ||
2018-08-15 | 0.00117AU | align=center | 0.45 | align=center | 6–17 | align=center | 27.9 | align=center | 1.32 | ||
2018-08-19 | ZTF00VP | 0.00149AU | align=center | 0.58[28] | align=center | 3–11 | align=center | 29.0 | align=center | 1.12 | Src |
2018-09-03 | 0.00254AU | align=center | 0.990 | align=center | 2–7 | align=center | 29.8 | align=center | 0.95 | ||
2018-09-05 | 2018 RS | 0.0022AU | align=center | 0.85 | align=center | 2–12 | align=center | 29.5 | align=center | 0.28 | |
2018-09-07 | 0.002AU | align=center | 0.78 | align=center | 6–19 | align=center | 27.8 | align=center | 0.44 | ||
2018-09-08 | 2018 RW | 0.00256AU | align=center | 0.997 | align=center | 2–7 | align=center | 30.3 | align=center | 0.44 | |
2018-09-10 | 2018 RC | 0.00244AU | align=center | 0.95 | align=center | 23–87 | align=center | 24.6 | align=center | 0.58 | |
2018-09-12 | 0.00134AU | align=center | 0.52 | align=center | 2-8 | align=center | 29.7 | align=center | 0.13 | ||
2018-09-15 | 2018 SM | 0.00188AU | align=center | 0.73 | align=center | 3-9 | align=center | 29.4 | align=center | 0.11 | |
2018-09-15 | 0.00229AU | align=center | 0.89 | align=center | 2–7 | align=center | 29.9 | align=center | 0.51 | ||
2018-09-19 | 0.00154AU | align=center | 0.60 | align=center | 14–50 | align=center | 25.8 | align=center | 1.37 | ||
2018-09-24 | 0.00193AU | align=center | 0.75 | align=center | 4-12 | align=center | 28.6 | align=center | 0.23 | ||
2018-10-06 | 0.000749AU | align=center | 0.29 | align=center | 3–9 | align=center | 29.5 | align=center | 0.27 | ||
2018-10-17 | 2018 UL | 0.000992AU | align=center | 0.39 | align=center | 3–11 | align=center | 29.1 | align=center | 0.57 | |
2018-10-19 | 0.00189AU | align=center | 0.74 | align=center | 2–6 | align=center | 30.2 | align=center | 0.036 | ||
2018-11-01 | 0.00215AU | align=center | 0.84 | align=center | 2–5 | align=center | 30.6 | align=center | 0.11 | Temp. Src | |
2018-11-03 | 0.00131AU | align=center | 0.51 | align=center | 13–36 | align=center | 26.2 | align=center | 1.13 | ||
2018-11-04 | 2018 WS | 0.00212AU | align=center | 0.89 | align=center | 11–34 | align=center | 26.5 | align=center | 1.74 | |
2018-11-05 | 0.00247AU | align=center | 0.96 | align=center | 9–33 | align=center | 26.7 | align=center | 0.37 | ||
2018-11-06 | ZV33FBC | 0.00147AU | align=center | 0.57[29] | align=center | 9–28 | align=center | 26.9 | align=center | 0.57 | Src |
2018-11-14 | 0.00124AU | align=center | 0.48 | align=center | 4–12 | align=center | 28.6 | align=center | 0.52 | ||
2018-11-15 | 0.00243AU | align=center | 0.95 | align=center | 2–7 | align=center | 30.0 | align=center | 0.65 | ||
2018-11-15 | ZW87F01 | 0.00195AU | align=center | 0.76[30] | align=center | 1–2 | align=center | 32.3 | align=center | 0.23 | Src |
2018-11-16 | 2018 WH | 0.00215AU | align=center | 0.83 | align=center | 2–8 | align=center | 29.8 | align=center | 0.50 | |
2018-11-18 | 2018 WE | 0.00133AU | align=center | 0.52 | align=center | 4–16 | align=center | 28.3 | align=center | 0.62 | |
2018-11-19 | 2018 WJ | 0.00228AU | align=center | 0.89 | align=center | 6–26 | align=center | 27.5 | align=center | 0.31 | |
2018-11-25 | 0.00142AU | align=center | 0.55 | align=center | 12–51 | align=center | 26.0 | align=center | 0.28 | ||
2018-11-25 | ZTF01p2 | 0.00246AU | align=center | 0.96[31] | align=center | 10–31 | align=center | 26.7 | align=center | 1.47 | Src |
2018-11-25 | 0.00197AU | align=center | 0.77 | align=center | 4–14 | align=center | 28.5 | align=center | 1.18 | ||
2018-11-27 | 0.00225AU | align=center | 0.88 | align=center | 3–9 | align=center | 29.4 | align=center | 0.28 | ||
2018-11-28 | ZW900BE | 0.00255AU | align=center | 0.993[32] | 1–4 | align=center | 31.2 | align=center | 0.087 | Src | |
2018-12-05 | 0.00225AU | align=center | 0.88 | align=center | 2–6 | align=center | 30.2 | align=center | 0.086 | ||
2018-12-08 | 0.00176AU | align=center | 0.68 | align=center | 5–16 | align=center | 28.1 | align=center | 1.009 | ||
2018-12-11 | 0.00158AU | align=center | 0.61 | align=center | 3–11 | 29.1 | align=center | 0.97 | |||
2018-12-27 | 0.00131AU | align=center | 0.51 | align=center | 3–10 | 29.3 | align=center | 0.15 | |||
2018-12-30 | 0.000253AU | 0.98 | 2–7 | 29.8 | align=center | 0.28 | Temp. src |
An example list of near-Earth asteroids that passed more than 1 lunar distance (384,400 km or 0.00256 AU) from Earth in 2018.
Object | data-sort-type="number" | Size meters | data-sort-type="number" | lunar distances | Date | Ref |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
624 | 10.9 | 2018-02-04 | ||||
3752 Camillo | 2306 | 53.6 | 2018-02-20 | |||
271 | 3.76 | 2018-03-07 | ||||
1981 Midas | 3400 | 34.9 | 2018-03-21 | |||
46 | 1.70 | 2018-04-08 | ||||
285 | 6.48 | 2018-05-09 | ||||
359 | 9.50 | 2018-05-29 | ||||
860 | 15.5 | 2018-06-21 | ||||
2018 NL | 32 | 1.42 | 2018-06-28 | |||
(4953) 1990 MU | 2800 | 41.6 | 2018-11-29 | |||
62 | 4.09 | 2018-12-09 | ||||
800 | 7.36 | 2018-12-22 |
List of asteroids that are listed on the Sentry Risk Table because they have short observation arcs with poorly constrained orbits and have a chance of impacting Earth in 2018. Given a short observation arc, many different orbits fit the observed data. These objects could be millions if not billions of kilometers from Earth on the date of a low probability virtual impactor. For example, is expected to be 5AU from Earth in December 2018 around the time of the 3 virtual impactors.[33] 2010 GZ60 was removed from the sentry table in February 2018 after further observations were found by NEOWISE, ruling out any possible impacts.
Cumulatively among the asteroids listed below, there is a roughly 1 in 98,700 chance that any of the asteroids will impact Earth in 2018. Most of this comes from asteroid 2008 US which is only ~2 meters in diameter and had a 1 in 240,000 chance of impact on 18 April 2018.
Also included are asteroids discovered before impact (specifically, 2018 LA) and exceptionally massive fireballs with either an equivalent yield of more than 1 kiloton of TNT or an estimated size of more than 3 meters.
width=90 | Date | Object | Estimated diameter (meters) | Obs arc (days) | Impact probability (1 in) | Sigma from best-fit orbit [34] | Palermo scale | JPL Horizons nominal geocentric distance (AU) | NEODyS nominal geocentric distance (AU) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2018-01-31[35] | [36] | 9 | 0.18 | 2,100,000,000 | 0.994 | align="center" | -7.87 | 1.1AU | 0.23AU | |||||
2018-02-10[37] | [38] | 9 | 0.071 | 370,000,000 | 0.039 | align="center" | -8.38 | 1.3AU | 1.1AU | |||||
2018-02-15 | 9 | 0.18 | 100,000,000 | -2.100 | align="center" | -7.70 | 1.2AU | 0.25AU | ||||||
2018-02-15 | 9 | 0.18 | 140,000,000 | -1.183 | align="center" | -7.82 | 1.2AU | 0.25AU | ||||||
2018-02-17 | 9 | 0.18 | 120,000,000 | -0.465 | align="center" | -7.67 | 1.2AU | 0.25AU | ||||||
2018-02-24[39] | [40] | 9 | 0.043 | 110,000,000 | 0.948 | align="center" | -7.63 | 2.7AU | 4.1AU | |||||
2018-02-25 | 9 | 0.071 | 2,000,000 | -0.690 | align="center" | -6.26 | 1.3AU | 1.2AU | ||||||
2018-02-26[41] | [42] | 157 | 1.0 | 2,100,000,000 | 0.096 | align="center" | -5.47 | 2.4AU | 2.4AU | |||||
2018-02-26[43] | 9 | 0.12 | 290,000,000 | -2.389 | align="center" | -8.34 | 0.95AU | 2.8AU | ||||||
2018-03-01[44] | 4 | 0.040 | 1,100,000,000 | 0.697 | align="center" | -9.01 | 2.9AU | 2.3AU | ||||||
2018-03-09 | 9 | 0.071 | 1,700,000,000 | 1.232 | align="center" | -8.05 | 1.4AU | 1.2AU | ||||||
2018-03-10 | 9 | 0.071 | 1,100,000,000 | 0.806 | align="center" | -8.35 | 1.4AU | 1.2AU | ||||||
2018-03-11[45] | 54 | 3.1 | 2,400,000 | 1.438 | align="center" | -3.72 | 1.6AU | 2.1AU | ||||||
2018-03-11 | 9 | 0.071 | 2,900,000 | 0.544 | align="center" | -6.01 | 1.4AU | 1.2AU | ||||||
2018-03-11[46] | [47] | 10 | 0.11 | 3,400,000 | 1.198 | align="center" | -6.09 | 2.7AU | 3AU | |||||
2018-03-21[48] | 22 | 0.97 | 2,000,000,000 | 3.436 | align="center" | -7.94 | 3.4AU | 3.4AU | ||||||
2018-03-22[49] | 537 | 0.93 | 1,900,000,000 | 0.195 | align="center" | -4.68 | 3.8AU | 2.4AU | ||||||
2018-04-08[50] | [51] | 16 | 1.0 | 1,900,000,000 | 0.196 | align="center" | -8.19 | 3AU | 3.4AU | |||||
2018-04-10[52] | [53] | 19 | 0.16 | 91,000,000 | 0.155 | align="center" | -6.86 | 0.63AU | 0.6AU | |||||
2018-04-18[54] | 2008 US | 2 | 0.081 | 240,000 | 0.253 | align="center" | -6.56 | 1AU | 1AU | |||||
2018-04-19[55] | N/A (not discovered before impact) | 4 | N/A | 1 | 0.000 | 0 | N/A (impact) | N/A (impact) | ||||||
2018-04-24[56] | 36 | 0.12 | 310,000,000 | 0.687 | align="center" | -6.63 | 3.8AU | 3.8AU | ||||||
2018-04-29 | 19 | 0.16 | 210,000,000 | -0.099 | align="center" | -7.67 | 0.72AU | 0.69AU | ||||||
2018-04-30[57] | 4 | 0.97 | 710,000 | -1.705 | align="center" | -6.18 | 3.7AU | 3.7AU | ||||||
2018-05-04[58] | 2008 LE | 22 | 0.14 | 270,000,000 | -0.137 | align="center" | -7.01 | 2.3AU | 2.3AU | |||||
2018-05-08 | 9 | 0.043 | 210,000,000 | 1.159 | align="center" | -7.45 | 1.9AU | 3AU | ||||||
2018-05-17[59] | [60] | 49 | 0.083 | 480,000,000 | 1.108 | align="center" | -6.64 | 2.3AU | 1.6AU | |||||
2018-06-02 | 3 | 0.16 | 1 | 0.000 | >0 | 4E-05AU (impact) | 4E-05AU (impact) | |||||||
2018-06-03[61] | [62] | 5 | 0.045 | 910,000 | -0.349 | align="center" | -5.67 | 1.1AU | 1.3AU | |||||
2018-06-03 | 5 | 0.045 | 670,000 | 0.067 | align="center" | -6.10 | 1.1AU | 1.3AU | ||||||
2018-06-04 | 5 | 0.045 | 340,000,000 | 0.474 | align="center" | -9.17 | 1.1AU | 1.3AU | ||||||
2018-06-21 | N/A (not discovered before impact) | 5 | N/A | 1 | 0.000 | 0 | N/A (impact) | N/A (impact) | ||||||
2018-06-22 | 157 | 1.0 | 500,000,000 | -0.333 | align="center" | -5.62 | 1.9AU | 1.9AU | ||||||
2018-07-25 | N/A (not discovered before impact) | 3 | N/A | 1 | 0.000 | 0 | N/A (impact) | N/A (impact) | ||||||
2018-08-12 | 16 | 1.0 | 310,000,000 | -0.816 | align="center" | -7.79 | 1.8AU | 1.6AU | ||||||
2018-08-19[63] | 499 | 1.8 | 560,000,000 | 0.768 | align="center" | -4.13 | 1.3AU | 1.3AU | ||||||
2018-08-30 | 10 | 0.11 | 6,200,000,000 | 2.277 | align="center" | -9.63 | 2.8AU | 3.2AU | ||||||
2018-09-07 | 10 | 0.11 | 170,000,000 | 1.084 | align="center" | -7.95 | 2.7AU | 3.1AU | ||||||
2018-09-10 | 10 | 0.11 | 91,000,000 | 0.297 | align="center" | -7.56 | 2.7AU | 3.1AU | ||||||
2018-09-11 | 10 | 0.11 | 120,000,000 | -0.315 | align="center" | -7.56 | 2.7AU | 3.1AU | ||||||
2018-09-11 | 10 | 0.11 | 710,000,000 | -1.258 | align="center" | -8.14 | 2.7AU | 3.1AU | ||||||
2018-09-12 | 10 | 0.11 | 220,000,000 | -0.824 | align="center" | -7.72 | 2.7AU | 3AU | ||||||
2018-09-12 | 10 | 0.11 | 7,700,000,000 | -2.041 | align="center" | -8.91 | 2.7AU | 3AU | ||||||
2018-09-12 | 10 | 0.11 | 1,800,000,000 | -1.660 | align="center" | -8.39 | 2.7AU | 3AU | ||||||
2018-09-13[64] | 31 | 1.0 | 1,400,000,000 | -1.839 | align="center" | -7.55 | 1.3AU | 1.4AU | ||||||
2018-09-18[65] | 23 | 3.0 | 1,100,000,000 | 1.918 | align="center" | -7.98 | 3AU | 3AU | ||||||
2018-09-19 | 157 | 1.0 | 770,000,000 | -0.337 | align="center" | -5.87 | 2.3AU | 2.3AU | ||||||
2018-09-20[66] | 31 | 0.60 | 14,000,000 | 0.453 | align="center" | -5.77 | 1.3AU | 0.62AU | ||||||
2018-09-25 | N/A (not discovered before impact) | 4 | N/A | 1 | 0.000 | 0 | N/A (impact) | N/A (impact) | ||||||
2018-09-26 | 157 | 1.0 | 2,400,000,000 | 0.029 | align="center" | -6.09 | 2.4AU | 2.4AU | ||||||
2018-10-02[67] | 37 | 0.97 | 53,000,000 | 0.328 | align="center" | -6.08 | 3.9AU | 1.6AU | ||||||
2018-10-22[68] | 2 | 0.031 | 3,300,000,000 | -0.299 | align="center" | -11.2 | 4.8AU | 3.8AU | ||||||
2018-10-27[69] | [70] | 14 | 0.96 | 2,100,000,000 | -1.613 | align="center" | -8.25 | 1.2AU | 1.7AU | |||||
2018-10-28 | 14 | 0.96 | 500,000,000 | -0.177 | align="center" | -7.92 | 1.2AU | 1.7AU | ||||||
2018-10-30 | 14 | 0.96 | 8,300,000,000 | 1.972 | align="center" | -9.43 | 1.2AU | 1.7AU | ||||||
2018-11-01[71] | 2008 VL | 9 | 0.12 | 710,000,000 | 1.279 | align="center" | -8.27 | 4.5AU | 4.5AU | |||||
2018-11-12 | 9 | 0.043 | 77,000,000 | -0.297 | align="center" | -7.79 | 0.29AU | 3.7AU | ||||||
2018-11-12 | 9 | 0.043 | 770,000,000 | -0.704 | align="center" | -8.26 | 0.29AU | 3.7AU | ||||||
2018-11-12[72] | [73] | 6 | 0.046 | 56,000,000 | 0.822 | align="center" | -8.27 | 0.44AU | 0.43AU | |||||
2018-11-12 | 9 | 0.043 | 32,000,000 | 0.008 | align="center" | -7.61 | 0.29AU | 3.7AU | ||||||
2018-11-12 | 6 | 0.046 | 1,900,000,000 | 2.113 | align="center" | -9.46 | 0.44AU | 0.43AU | ||||||
2018-11-16 | 9 | 0.043 | 67,000,000 | 0.981 | align="center" | -7.60 | 0.28AU | 3.7AU | ||||||
2018-11-16 | 49 | 0.083 | 10,000,000,000 | 1.753 | align="center" | -7.73 | 3.4AU | 0.19AU | ||||||
2018-11-20 | N/A (not discovered before impact) | 3 | N/A | 1 | 0.000 | 0 | N/A (impact) | N/A (impact) | ||||||
2018-11-29 | 49 | 0.083 | 1,300,000,000 | 0.856 | align="center" | -7.42 | 3.4AU | 0.22AU | ||||||
2018-12-11[74] | 2010 XC | 5 | 0.058 | 40,000,000 | -0.250 | align="center" | -8.27 | 2.4AU | 2.3AU | |||||
2018-12-13[75] | [76] | 51 | 1.9 | 2,000,000,000 | 0.455 | align="center" | -7.48 | 5.3AU | 5.3AU | |||||
2018-12-14[77] | 18 | 0.066 | 710,000,000 | 1.218 | align="center" | -7.87 | 2.9AU | 3.4AU | ||||||
2018-12-14[78] | [79] | 13 | 2.8 | 830,000,000 | 0.401 | align="center" | -7.75 | 3.1AU | 3AU | |||||
2018-12-15 | 51 | 1.9 | 450,000,000 | -0.856 | align="center" | -6.64 | 5.3AU | 5.3AU | ||||||
2018-12-16 | 13 | 2.8 | 230,000,000 | 0.147 | align="center" | -7.53 | 3.1AU | 3AU | ||||||
2018-12-17[80] | [81] | data-sort-value="2000" align="center" | ? (2000) | data-sort-value="1.4" align="center" | 1.4 (1.3) | data-sort-value="99999999999" | N/A (91,000,000) | data-sort-value="5.001" | N/A (1.952) | data-sort-value="-99" align="center" | N/A (-2.43) | data-sort-value="6.9" | 6.9AU | Not listed |
2018-12-18 | 13 | 2.8 | 91,000,000 | -0.252 | align="center" | -7.51 | 3.1AU | 3.1AU | ||||||
2018-12-18[82] | 231 | 1.4 | 1,000,000,000 | -0.262 | align="center" | -5.14 | 3.4AU | 2.2AU | ||||||
2018-12-18 | N/A (not discovered before impact) | 12 | N/A | 1 | 0.000 | 0 | N/A (impact) | N/A (impact) | ||||||
2018-12-20 | 51 | 1.9 | 3,400,000,000 | -1.991 | align="center" | -7.29 | 5.3AU | 5.2AU | ||||||
2018-12-22 | 13 | 2.8 | 200,000,000 | -1.085 | align="center" | -8.38 | 3.1AU | 3.1AU | ||||||
2018-12-23[83] | 2013 YB | 2 | 0.16 | 17,000,000 | 3.754 | align="center" | -9.06 | 2.3AU | 2.3AU | |||||
2018-12-26 | 9 | 0.071 | 3,200,000,000 | -0.855 | align="center" | -9.74 | 1.4AU | 1.1AU | ||||||
2018-12-29 | 19 | 0.16 | 2,800,000,000 | 0.411 | align="center" | -8.06 | 1.4AU | 1.4AU | ||||||
2018-12-30 | 19 | 0.16 | 6,200,000,000 | 0.502 | align="center" | -8.22 | 1.4AU | 1.3AU |