The following is a list of Clarivate Citation Laureates considered likely to win the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences.[1] Since 2023, ten of the 91 citation laureates selected starting in 2008 have eventually been awarded a Nobel Prize: Thomas J. Sargent and Christopher A. Sims (2011), Lars Peter Hansen and Robert J. Shiller (2013), Angus Deaton (2015), William Nordhaus (2018), Joshua Angrist and David Card (2021), Douglas Diamond (2022), and Claudia Goldin (2023).
| Citation Laureates | Nationality | Motivations | Institute | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008[2] | ||||
| 2013 | Lars Peter Hansen (born 1952) | "for their contributions to dynamic econometric models." | University of Chicago | |
| 2011 | Thomas J. Sargent (born 1943) | |||
| 2011 | Christopher A. Sims (born 1942) | Princeton University | ||
| Armen Alchian (1914–2013) | "for their publications on property rights and their contributions to the theory of the firm." | University of California, Los Angeles | ||
| Harold Demsetz (1930–2019) | ||||
| Martin Feldstein (1939–2019) | "for his research on public economics, including taxation, social security, health economics and many other topics." | |||
| 2009[3] | ||||
| Ernst Fehr (born 1956) | "for their contributions to behavioral economics, including issues of preferences, fairness, and cooperation." | University of Zürich | ||
| Matthew Rabin (born 1963) | Harvard Business School | |||
| 2018 | William Nordhaus (born 1941) | "for their contributions to environmental economics, particularly with respect to climate change." | Yale University | |
| Martin Weitzman (1942–2019) | Harvard University | |||
| John B. Taylor (born 1946) | "for their research on monetary policy." | |||
| Jordi Galí (born 1961) | ||||
| Mark Gertler (born 1951) | New York University | |||
| 2010[4] | ||||
| Alberto Alesina (1957–2020) | "for theoretical and empirical studies on the relationship between politics and macroeconomics, and specifically for research on politico-economic cycles." | Harvard University | ||
| Nobuhiro Kiyotaki (born 1955) | "for formulation of the Kiyotaki–Moore model, which describes how small shocks to an economy may lead to a cycle of lower output resulting from a decline in collateral values that create a restrictive credit environment." | Princeton University | ||
| John H. Moore (born 1954) | ||||
| Kevin M. Murphy (born 1958) | "for pioneering empirical research in social economics, including wage inequality and labor demand, unemployment, addiction, and the economic return on investment in medical research among other topics." | |||
| 2011[5] | ||||
| 2022 | Douglas Diamond (born 1953) | "for his analysis of financial intermediation and monitoring." | University of Chicago | |
| Anne Osborn Krueger (born 1934) | "for their description of rent-seeking behavior and its implications." | Johns Hopkins University | ||
| Gordon Tullock (1922–2014) | George Mason University School of Law | |||
| Jerry A. Hausman (born 1946) | "for their contributions to econometrics, specifically the Hausman specification test and the White standard errors test." | Massachusetts Institute of Technology | ||
| Halbert White (1950–2012) | University of California, San Diego | |||
| 2012[6] | ||||
| Tony Atkinson (1944–2017) | "for empirical research on consumption, income and savings, poverty and health, and well-being." | Oxford University | ||
| 2015 | Angus Deaton (born 1945) | Princeton University | ||
| Stephen Ross (1944–2017) | "for his arbitrage pricing theory and other fundamental contributions to finance." | Massachusetts Institute of Technology | ||
| 2013 | Robert J. Shiller (born 1946) | "for pioneering contributions to financial market volatility and the dynamics of asset prices." | Yale University | |
| 2013[7] | ||||
| 2021 | Joshua Angrist (born 1960) | "for their advancement of empirical microeconomics." | Massachusetts Institute of Technology | |
| 2021 | David Card (born 1956) | University of California, Berkeley | ||
| Alan Krueger (1960–2019) | Princeton University | |||
| David Forbes Hendry (born 1944) | "for their contributions to economic time-series, including modeling, testing and forecasting." | University of Oxford | ||
| M. Hashem Pesaran (born 1946) | ||||
| Peter C. B. Phillips (born 1948) | Yale University | |||
| Sam Peltzman (born 1940) | "for extending economic theories of regulation." | University of Chicago Booth School of Business | ||
| Richard Posner (born 1939) | University of Chicago Law School | |||
| 2014[8] | ||||
| Philippe Aghion (born 1956) | "for contributions to Schumpeterian growth theory." | Harvard University | ||
| Peter Howitt (born 1946) | Brown University | |||
| William Baumol (1922–2017) | "for their advancement of the study of entrepreneurism." | New York University | ||
| Israel M. Kirzner (born 1930) | ||||
| Mark Granovetter (born 1943) | "for his pioneering research in economic sociology." | Stanford University | ||
| 2015[9] | ||||
| Richard Blundell (born 1952) | "for microeconometric research on labor markets and consumer behavior." | |||
| John A. List (born 1968) | "for advancing field experiments in economics." | University of Chicago | ||
| Charles F. Manski (born 1948) | "for his description of partial identification and economic analysis of social interactions." | Northwestern University | ||
| 2016[10] | ||||
| Olivier Blanchard (born 1948) | "for contributions to macroeconomics, including determinants of economic fluctuations and employment." | |||
| Edward Lazear (1948–2020) | "for his development of the distinctive field of personnel economics." | |||
| Marc Melitz (born 1968) | "for pioneering descriptions of firm heterogeneity and international trade." | Harvard University | ||
| 2017[11] | ||||
| Colin Camerer (born 1959) | "for pioneering research in behavioral economics and in neuroeconomics." | California Institute of Technology | ||
| George Loewenstein (born 1955) | Carnegie Mellon University | |||
| Robert Hall (born 1943) | "for his analysis of worker productivity and studies of recessions and unemployment." | Stanford University | ||
| Michael C. Jensen (born 1939) | "for their contributions illuminating the dimensions of decisions in corporate finance." | Harvard University | ||
| Stewart Myers (born 1940) | Massachusetts Institute of Technology | |||
| Raghuram Rajan (born 1963) | University of Chicago | |||
| 2018[12] | ||||
| Manuel Arellano (born 1957) | "for contributions to panel data analysis, especially the Arellano–Bond estimator." | Center for Monetary and Financial Studies | ||
| Steve Bond (born 1963) | Oxford University | |||
| Wesley M. Cohen (born 1950) | "for the introduction and development of the concept of absorptive capacity and its contribution to our understanding of technological innovation." | Duke University | ||
| Daniel A. Levinthal (born 1957) | University of Pennsylvania | |||
| David M. Kreps (born 1950) | "for contributions to dynamic economic phenomena." | Stanford University | ||
| 2019[13] | ||||
| W. Brian Arthur (born 1946) | "for research exploring the consequences of increasing returns (or network effects) in economic systems." | |||
| Ariel Rubinstein (born 1951) | "for development of formal theoretical economic models and especially models of bounded rationality." | New York University | ||
| Søren Johansen (born 1939) | "for contributions to econometrics and cointegration analysis." | University of Copenhagen | ||
| Katarina Juselius-Johansen (born 1943) | ||||
| 2020[14] | ||||
| David Dickey (born 1945) | "for the statistical tests of a unit root in time-series analysis (Dickey and Fuller) and the statistical analysis of non-stationary time series (Perron)." | North Carolina State University | ||
| Wayne Fuller (born 1931) | Iowa State University | |||
| Pierre Perron (born 1959) | Boston University | |||
| 2023 | Claudia Goldin (born 1946) | "for contributions to labor economics, especially her analysis of women and the gender pay gap." | Harvard University | |
| Steven T. Berry (born 1959) | "for their BLP random coefficients logit model for demand estimation." | Yale University | ||
| James A. Levinsohn (born 1958) | ||||
| Ariél Pakes (born 1949) | Harvard University | |||
| 2021[15] | ||||
| David B. Audretsch (born 1954) | "for ioneering research on entrepreneurship, innovation, and competition." | Indiana University | ||
| David Teece (born 1948) | University of California, Berkeley | |||
| Joel Mokyr (born 1946) | "for studies of the history and culture of technological progress and its economic consequences." | Northwestern University | ||
| Carmen Reinhart (born 1955) | "for contributions to international macroeconomics and insights on global debt and financial crises." | Harvard Kennedy School | ||
| Kenneth Rogoff (born 1953) | Harvard University | |||
| 2022[16] | ||||
| Daron Acemoglu (born 1967) | "for far-reaching analysis of the role of political and economic institutions in shaping national development." | Massachusetts Institute of Technology | ||
| Simon Johnson (born 1963) | ||||
| James A. Robinson (born 1960) | University of Chicago | |||
| Samuel Bowles (born 1939) | "for providing evidence and models that broaden our understanding of economic behavior to include not only self interest but also reciprocity, altruism, and other forms of social cooperation." | |||
| Herbert Gintis (1940–2023) | ||||
| Richard Easterlin (born 1926) | "for pioneering contributions to the economics of happiness and subjective well-being." | University of Southern California | ||
| Richard Layard (born 1934) | London School of Economics | |||
| Andrew Oswald (born 1953) | University of Warwick | |||
| 2023[17] | ||||
| Raj Chetty (born 1979) | "for understanding the determinants of economic opportunity and identifying policies to increase social mobility." | Harvard University | ||
| Edward Glaeser (born 1967) | "for penetrating analysis and insights on urban economics and the city as an engine of growth." | Harvard University | ||
| Thomas Piketty (born 1971) | "for research on income and wealth inequality and its consequences." | Paris School of Economics | ||
| Emmanuel Saez (born 1972) | University of California, Berkeley | |||
| Gabriel Zucman (born 1986) | Paris School of Economics École Normale Supérieure |