List of COVID-19 simulation models explained

COVID-19 simulation models are mathematical infectious disease models for the spread of COVID-19.[1] The list should not be confused with COVID-19 apps used mainly for digital contact tracing.

Note that some of the applications listed are website-only models or simulators, and some of those rely on (or use) real-time data from other sources.

Models with the most scientific backing

The sub-list contains simulators that are based on theoretical models. Due to the high number of pre-print research created and driving by the COVID-19 pandemic,[2] especially newer models should only be considered with further scientific rigor.[3] [4]

Simulations and models

Genome databases

Several of these models make use of genome databases, including the following:

Consortia, research clusters, other collections

Vaccination monitors, models or dashboards

Note: The following (additional) resources are mostly based on actual data, not simulation. They might include predictive features, e. g. vaccination rate estimation, but in general are not based on theoretical or modeling grounds as the main list of this article. Nonetheless, forecasting remains important.[63] (See for example the COVID-19 Forecast Hub)[64]

Models with less scientific backing

The following models are purely for educational purposes only.

Other related simulations, models or data sources

Trainings and other resources

See also

Further reading

Articles

Books

Notes and References

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  5. Chen TM, Rui J, Wang QP, Zhao ZY, Cui JA, Yin L . A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel coronavirus . Infectious Diseases of Poverty . 9 . 1 . 24 . February 2020 . 32111262 . 7047374 . 10.1186/s40249-020-00640-3 . free .
  6. Web site: CoSim Online . shiny.covid-simulator.com . 14 December 2023.
  7. Web site: COVID-19 Mobility Network Modeling . covid-mobility.stanford.edu . 14 December 2023.
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  28. Maier BF, Brockmann D . Effective containment explains subexponential growth in recent confirmed COVID-19 cases in China . Science . 368 . 6492 . 742–746 . May 2020 . 32269067 . 7164388 . 10.1126/science.abb4557 . 2002.07572 . free . 2020Sci...368..742M .
  29. Web site: Evolutionary AI . evolution.ml . 14 December 2023.
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  31. Miikkulainen R, Francon O, Meyerson E, Qiu X, Sargent D, Canzani E, Hodjat B . 2020-08-01. From Prediction to Prescription: Evolutionary Optimization of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions in the COVID-19 Pandemic. cs.NE. 2005.13766.
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  33. Siwiak . Marian . Szczesny . Pawel . Siwiak . Marlena . 2020-07-10 . From the index case to global spread: the global mobility based modelling of the COVID-19 pandemic implies higher infection rate and lower detection ratio than current estimates . PeerJ . en . 8 . e9548 . 10.7717/peerj.9548 . free . 32728498 . 2167-8359. 7357567 .
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  42. Web site: sc-cosmo – Stanford-CIDE COronavirus Simulation MOdel . 14 December 2023.
  43. Web site: SDL PAND - Mapa global . pand.sdlps.com . 2023-05-20.
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