Liar's dice explained

Liar's dice is a class of dice games for two or more players requiring the ability to deceive and to detect an opponent's deception. In "single hand" liar's dice games, each player has a set of dice, all players roll once, and the bids relate to the dice each player can see (their hand) plus all the concealed dice (the other players' hands). In "common hand" games, there is one set of dice which is passed from player to player. The bids relate to the dice as they are in front of the bidder after selected dice have been re-rolled. Originating during the 15th century, the game subsequently spread to Latin American and European countries. In 1993, a variant, Call My Bluff, won the Spiel des Jahres.

Background

Liar's dice originated as a bluffing board game titled Dudo during the 15th century from the Inca Empire, and subsequently spread to Latin American countries.[1] The game later spread to European countries via Spanish conquistadors. In the 1970s, numerous commercial versions of the game were released.[2]

Single hand

Five dice are used per player with dice cups used for concealment.

Each round, each player rolls a "hand" of dice under their cup and looks at their hand while keeping it concealed from the other players. The first player begins bidding, announcing any face value and the minimum number of dice that the player believes are showing that value, under all of the cups in the game. Ones are often wild, always counting as the face of the current bid.

Turns rotate among the players in a clockwise order. Each player has two choices during their turn: to make a higher bid, or challenge the previous bid—typically with a call of "liar". Raising the bid means either increasing the quantity, or the face value, or both, according to the specific bidding rules used. There are many variants of allowed and disallowed bids; common bidding variants, given a previous bid of an arbitrary quantity and face value, include:

If the current player challenges the previous bid, all dice are revealed. If the bid is valid (at least as many of the face value and any wild aces are showing as were bid), the bidder wins. Otherwise, the challenger wins. The player who loses a round loses one of their dice. The last player to still retain a die (or dice) is the winner. The loser of the last round starts the bidding on the next round. If the loser of the last round was eliminated, the next player starts the new round.

Dice odds

For a given number of unknown dice n, the probability that exactly a certain quantity q of any face value are showing, P(q), is

P(q)=C(n,q)(1/6)q(5/6)n-q

B(n,\tfrac{1}{6})

.

For the same n, the probability P'(q) that at least q dice are showing a given face is the sum of P(x) for all x such that q ≤ x ≤ n, or

P'(q)=

n
\sum
x=q

C(n,x)(1/6)x(5/6)n-x

These equations can be used to calculate and chart the probability of exactly q and at least q for any or multiple n. For most purposes, it is sufficient to know the following facts of dice probability:

Common hand

The "Common hand" version is for two players. The first caller is determined at random. Both players then roll their dice at the same time, and examine their hands. Hands are called in style similar to poker, and the game may be played with poker dice:

Category Example
Five of a kind
Four of a kind
High straight
Full house
Three of a kind
Low straight
Two pair
Pair
Runt

One player calls their hand. The other player may either call a higher-ranking hand, call the bluff, or re-roll some or all of their dice. When a bluff is called, the accused bluffer reveals their dice and the winner is determined.[4]

Commercial versions

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Neller . Todd . Approximating Optimal Dudo Play with Fixed-Strategy Iteration Counterfactual Regret Minimization . 2022-11-06 . Gettysburg College, Dept. of Computer Science.
  2. Book: Taylor, David G. . Games, Gambling, and Probability: An Introduction to Mathematics . 2021-06-22 . CRC Press . 978-1-000-40020-5 . en.
  3. Web site: Ferguson. Thomas S. Thomas S. Ferguson . Models for the Game of Liar's Dice. University of California at Los Angeles. 16 January 2013. Ferguson. Christopher P. Chris Ferguson.
  4. Hoyle's Rules of Games, Third Revised and Updated Edition. Albert H. Morehead and Georffrey Mott-Smith - Revised and Updated by Philip D. Morehead
  5. Book: Woods, Stewart . Eurogames: The Design, Culture and Play of Modern European Board Games . 2012-08-16 . McFarland . 978-0-7864-9065-3 . en.
  6. Web site: Bluff . 2022-11-05 . . en-US.
  7. Web site: Preisträger – SPIEL Messe . 2022-11-05 . 2020-11-03 . https://web.archive.org/web/20201103224339/https://www.spiel-messe.com/de/deutscher-spielepreis/preistraeger/ . dead .