2010 Texas gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:2010 Texas gubernatorial election
Country:Texas
Type:presidential
Ongoing:No
Previous Election:2006 Texas gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2006
Next Election:2014 Texas gubernatorial election
Next Year:2014
Election Date:November 2, 2010
Turnout:38% (of registered voters)
27% (of eligible voters)[1]
Nominee2:Bill White
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:2,106,395
Percentage2:42.30%
Image1:File:Rick Perry by Gage Skidmore 3 (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Rick Perry
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:2,737,481
Percentage1:54.97%
Map Size:310px
Governor
Before Election:Rick Perry
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Rick Perry
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2010 Texas gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the governor of Texas. Incumbent Republican Governor Rick Perry ran successfully for election to a third consecutive term. He won the Republican primary against U.S. Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison and political newcomer, Debra Medina. The former mayor of Houston, Bill White, won the Democratic nomination. Kathie Glass, a lawyer from Houston and previous candidate for Texas Attorney General, won the Libertarian nomination. Deb Shafto was the nominee of the Texas Green Party. Andy Barron, an orthodontist from Lubbock, was a declared write-in candidate.

Exit polls showed Perry winning Whites (71% to 29%), while White performed well among African Americans (88% to 12%) and Latinos (61% to 38%). Perry's fourth inauguration for a third full four-year term began on January 18, 2011, on the State Capitol South Grounds. As of 2023, this is the last time Foard, Falls, Trinity, Reeves, La Salle and Kleberg counties voted for the Democratic candidate for governor.

Republican primary

Candidates

Polling

Note: polls used different sample sizes and citizen groups. A candidate must have a majority of the vote (>50%) to avoid a runoff with their second place opponent.

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Rick
Perry
Kay Bailey
Hutchison
Debra
Medina
OtherUnde-
cided
Rasmussen ReportsFebruary 23, 2010 align=center48%27%16%9%
Public Policy Polling (report)February 19–21, 2010 align=center40%31%20%9%
Research 2000 (report)February 8–10, 2010 align=center42%30%17%11%
Public Policy Polling (report)February 4–7, 2010 align=center39%28%24%10%
University of Texas (report)February 1–7, 2010 align=center45%21%19%16%
Rasmussen Reports (report)February 1, 2010 align=center44%29%16%11%
Rasmussen Reports (report)January 17, 2010 align=center43%33%12%11%
Rasmussen Reports (report)November 13, 2009 align=center46%35%4%14%
University of Texas (report)November 3, 2009 align=center42%30%7%4%18%
Rasmussen Reports (report)September 16, 200938% align=center40%3%19%
Rasmussen Reports (report)July 15, 2009 align=center46%36%5%14%
Texas Politics (report)June 11–22, 2009 align=center38%27%8%26%
align=center38%26%9%27%
Texas Lyceum (report)June 5–12, 2009 align=center33%21%1%41%
Rasmussen Reports (report)May 7, 2009 align=center42%38%7%13%
Texas Politics (report)February 24 – March 6, 200929% align=center37%10%24%
Public Policy Polling (report)February 18–20, 200931% align=center56%
Texas Lyceum (report)June 12–20, 200822% align=center35%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Felix
Alvarado
Alma
Aguado
Kinky
Friedman*! style="width:70px;"| Tom
Schieffer*
Bill
White
Farouk
Shami
Unde-
cided
Public Policy Polling (report)February 19–21, 20105%3% align=center59%12%align=center 18%
Public Policy Polling (report)February 4–7, 20105%2% align=center49%19%align=center 24%
University of Texas (report)October 20–27, 20092% align=center19%10%55%
University of Texas (report)June 11–22, 2009 align=center12%2%62%
Texas Lyceum (report)June 5–12, 2007 align=center10%6%73%
Wilson Research (report)September 21, 20079% align=center12%30%

* Dropped out prior to the primary.

Results

General election

Candidates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report[8] October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[9] October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[10] November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[12] October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rick
Perry
(R)
Kathie
Glass
(L)
Bill
White
(D)
OtherUnde-
cided
Public Policy Polling (report)October 26–28, 2010568± 4.1% align=center53%44%3%
Lighthouse Opinion and Polling Research (report)October 15–17, 20101200± 2.9% align=center48%3%37%1%11%
Public Policy Polling (report)September 2–6, 2010538± 4.2% align=center48%42%10%
Rasmussen Reports (report)August 22, 2010500± 4.5% align=center49%41%3%7%
Rasmussen Reports (report)July 13, 2010500± 4.5% align=center50%41%2%7%
Public Policy Polling (report)June 19–21, 2010500± 4.4%43%43%14%
Rasmussen Reports (report)June 16, 2010500± 4.5% align=center48%40%5%8%
Rasmussen Reports (report)May 13, 2010500± 4.5% align=center51%38%4%6%
Rasmussen Reports (report)April 14, 2010500± 4.5% align=center48%44%2%6%
Rasmussen Reports (report)March 3, 2010500± 4.5% align=center49%43%3%6%
Rasmussen Reports (report)February 22, 20101,200± 3.0% align=center47%41%5%7%
Public Policy Polling (report)February 4–7, 20101,200± 2.8% align=center48%42%10%
Rasmussen Reports (report)February 1, 20101,000± 3.0% align=center48%39%5%8%
Rasmussen Reports (report)January 17, 20101,000± 3.0% align=center50%40%4%6%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Independent to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Independent to Republican

Election rules

Texas does not have term limits for its governors; thus, gubernatorial incumbents have been free to run as often as they want if they are eligible for the office. The Republicans and Democrats chose their gubernatorial nominees based on the results of primary votes held on March 2, 2010 (the first Tuesday in March.[13]) Both parties' candidates received at least 20 percent of the total votes cast for governor in the 2006 election; thus, they must nominate their candidates via primary election.[14] Any third party that obtains ballot access must nominate its candidates via a statewide convention, which by law must be held on June 12, 2010 (the second Saturday in June.[15]) The Libertarian Party obtained ballot access automatically due to its 2008 showing, in which one of its nominees attracted over one million votes.

In the primary election, the party's winning candidate must garner a majority (over 50%) of votes cast; otherwise, the top two candidates face each other in a runoff election. However, in the general election, the winning candidate needs only a plurality of votes to be elected Governor (as was the case with the 2006 election and the 1990 election, in which Libertarian Jeff Daiell attracted over 129,000 votes). Independent and write-in candidates may seek ballot access; however, the criteria for such access are quite strict (see "Ballot Access" below). Nevertheless, in the 2006 election, two independent candidates, Carole Keeton Strayhorn, the Republican State Comptroller, and Kinky Friedman, a popular Texas country musician, obtained enough signatures to qualify. The Libertarian nominee, James Werner, was on the ballot automatically because of that party's Texas showing in the 2004 general election.

Political party candidates

Any political party whose candidate for governor, during the 2006 election, garnered at least 20 percent of the total votes cast, must nominate all its candidates for all offices sought via primary election.[14] In the 2006 election, both the Democratic candidate (Chris Bell) and the Republican candidate (Rick Perry) received this many votes; thus, both parties must hold primary elections using the two-round system. The primary elections must be held on the first Tuesday in March,[13] and a candidate must receive a majority of votes cast in the primary election;[16] otherwise, a runoff election between the top two finishers must be held[17] on the second Tuesday in April.[18]

A political party whose candidate for governor, during the 2006 election, received at least two percent but less than 20 percent of the total votes cast, may nominate its candidates for all offices sought via either a primary election (using the two-round system) or a state convention. If the party chooses to conduct a primary election, it must notify the Texas Secretary of State at least one year prior to the general election date and must nominate all its candidates via primary election.[19] No third-party candidate met this requirement in 2006; the last to do so was the Libertarian Party in 1990 (when nominee Jeff Daiell polled over 3.3% of the vote).

All other political parties must nominate their candidates via state convention,[20] which by law must be held on the second Saturday in June.[15] In order to qualify for ballot access at the general election, the party must either:

Independent candidates

Should an independent gubernatorial candidate seek ballot access in the state of Texas, the candidate must meet the following requirements:

Write-in candidates

In the event a candidate does not qualify for independent status, the person may still run as a write-in candidate. The candidate must either:[30]

External links

Debate:

Voter resources:

Republican candidates for Governor:

Democratic candidates for Governor:

Libertarian candidate for governor:

Third party/Independent candidates for Governor:

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Turnout and Voter Registration Figures (1970-current). www.sos.state.tx.us. September 24, 2021.
  2. Web site: Lone Star Gov Race Highlights Texas 2010 Campaign Year. NPR. Rudin. Ken. January 5, 2010. April 1, 2022.
  3. Web site: About Felix Alvarado, candidate for Texas Governor. KCBD. February 18, 2010. April 1, 2022.
  4. Web site: The Unmentionables. Texas Tribune. Hamilton. Reeve. January 15, 2010. April 1, 2022.
  5. Web site: Libertarian Party of Texas Chooses Its Candidate. Aguilar. Julian. June 13, 2010. The Texas Tribune. August 16, 2010.
  6. Web site: Deb Shafto's biography. Project VoteSmart. April 16, 2022.
  7. News: Barron called to run for governor. Killeen Daily Herald. September 5, 2010. April 16, 2022. Stone. Jackie.
  8. Web site: 2010 Governors Race Ratings . https://web.archive.org/web/20101028141343/http://cookpolitical.com/charts/governors/raceratings_2010-10-14_12-35-09.php . dead . October 28, 2010 . . October 28, 2010.
  9. Web site: Governor Ratings . . October 28, 2010.
  10. Web site: 2010 Governor Races . . October 28, 2010.
  11. Web site: THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS . October 28, 2010 . . October 28, 2010.
  12. Web site: Race Ratings Chart: Governor . . October 28, 2010 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101005231611/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-governor . October 5, 2010 .
  13. Texas Election Code, Section 41.007(a).
  14. Texas Election Code, Section 172.001.
  15. Texas Election Code, Section 181.061(a).
  16. Texas Election Code, Section 172.003.
  17. Texas Election Code, Section 172.004.
  18. Texas Election Code, Section 41.007(b).
  19. Texas Election Code, Section 172.002.
  20. Texas Election Code, Section 181.003.
  21. Texas Election Code, Section 181.005(b).
  22. Texas Election Code, Section 181.005(a).
  23. Texas Election Code, Section 181.006(b)(2).
  24. Texas Election Code, Section 181.006(g).
  25. Texas Election Code, Section 142.007.
  26. Texas Election Code, Sections 142.008 and 142.009.
  27. Texas Election Code, Section 141.066.
  28. Texas Election Code, Section 142.009(1).
  29. Texas Election Code, Section 142.006(a).
  30. Texas Election Code, Section 146.023 (filing fee or signatures required).
  31. Texas Election Code, Section 146.0231 (referencing Section 172.024).
  32. Texas Election Code, Section 146.0230 (referencing Section 172.025).
  33. Texas Election Code, Section 146.025.