2022 United States Senate election in Arizona explained

Election Name:2022 United States Senate election in Arizona
Country:Arizona
Type:presidential
Ongoing:No
Previous Election:2020 United States Senate special election in Arizona
Previous Year:2020 (special)
Next Election:2028 United States Senate election in Arizona
Next Year:2028
Image1:Mark Kelly, Official Portrait 117th (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Mark Kelly
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:1,322,027
Percentage1:51.39%
Nominee2:Blake Masters
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:1,196,308
Percentage2:46.51%
U.S. senator
Before Election:Mark Kelly
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Mark Kelly
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Arizona.

The seat was previously held by Republican John McCain, who won his final term in 2016 and died from glioblastoma on August 25, 2018. Governor Doug Ducey appointed former U.S. Senator Jon Kyl to fill the seat. Kyl resigned at the end of that year and Ducey replaced him with Martha McSally, who then lost to Democrat Mark Kelly in 2020.

Primaries in Arizona took place on August 2, 2022. Kelly won renomination without opposition, while venture capitalist Blake Masters won the Republican nomination against a large field of candidates. Although Arizona typically leans Republican, Kelly led Masters by low single digits in aggregate polling. Kelly held a significant fundraising advantage until many Republican-aligned groups began spending to assist Masters in the final weeks of the campaign.[1] On November 1, Libertarian nominee Marc Victor dropped out of the race and endorsed Masters.[2]

Kelly won re-election, defeating Masters by a comfortable margin of about 5 points.[3] This was the first time Democrats won a full term to this seat since 1962. The 2022 race was competitive and seen as crucial to determining party control of the U.S. Senate; with Kelly's victory in Arizona and a Democratic victory in Nevada, in addition to a Democratic gain in Pennsylvania, it was projected on November 12 that the Democratic caucus would retain control of the Senate in the 118th United States Congress.[4] [5] Masters conceded the race to Kelly on November 15, 2022.[6]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Did not file

Declined

Polling

Aggregate polls
Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mark
Brnovich
Jim
Lamon
Blake
Masters
Michael
McGuire
Justin
Olson
OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)July 30 – August 1, 20221,064 (LV)± 2.9%16%24%39%7%4%9%
Emerson CollegeJuly 28–30, 2022600 (LV)± 3.9%14%22%40%12%3%9%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 27–28, 2022710 (LV)± 4.0%16%19%31%10%3%6%15%
OH Predictive InsightsJuly 27, 2022502 (LV)± 4.4%12%21%36%5%3%22%
Battleground Connect (R)July 26–27, 2022800 (LV)± 3.7%16%30%28%8%6%12%
The Trafalgar Group (R)July 25–27, 20221,071 (LV)± 2.9%15%27%35%8%6%10%
Battleground Connect (R)July 17–18, 2022800 (LV)± 3.7%16%33%28%7%2%14%
Cygnal (R)July 12–13, 2022419 (LV)± 4.8%18%20%30%5%2%25%
Battleground Connect (R)July 7–9, 2022800 (LV)± 3.7%16%29%27%4%24%
HighGround Public Affairs (R)July 2–7, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%13%14%23%5%2%44%
Alloy Analytics (R)/J.L. PartnersJuly 5–6, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%10%14%26%5%0%45%
OH Predictive InsightsJune 30 – July 2, 2022515 (LV)± 4.3%14%18%25%6%2%35%
Public Policy Polling (D)June 28, 2022595 (LV)± 4.0%15%10%29%5%41%
The Trafalgar Group (R)June 7–9, 20221,077 (LV)± 2.9%24%17%29%4%4%22%
Data Orbital (R)June 1–3, 2022550 (LV)± 4.3%18%20%15%12%36%
Fabrizio Lee (R)May 17–18, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%18%18%22%7%2%34%
Cygnal (R)April 28–30, 2022– (LV)19%20%19%7%2%33%
The Trafalgar Group (R)April 25–28, 20221,064 (LV)± 3.0%24%25%19%8%3%21%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)April 21–24, 2022– (LV)22%25%16%6%31%
OH Predictive InsightsApril 4–5, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%21%16%9%6%3%45%
Data Orbital (R)April 1–3, 2022550 (LV)± 4.3%20%26%10%7%4%33%
HighGround Public Affairs (R)March 26–27, 2022264 (LV)± 6.0%11%10%6%4%8%61%
Fabrizio Lee (R)March 13–14, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%14%14%16%3%1%52%
Alloy Analytics (R)/J.L. PartnersMarch 9–12, 2022433 (LV)± 4.7%20%15%15%3%1%45%
Data Orbital (R)March 2022– (LV)23%17%14%4%5%37%
Data Orbital (R)February 11–13, 2022300 (LV)± 5.7%22%17%15%5%5%37%
co/efficient (R)February 6–8, 2022755 (LV)± 3.6%17%13%12%3%1%11%44%
OH Predictive InsightsJanuary 11–13, 2022302 (RV)± 5.6%25%7%6%11%4%47%
OH Predictive InsightsNovember 1–8, 2021252 (RV)± 6.2%27%5%9%12%2%46%
Fabrizio Lee (R)October 26–28, 2021800 (LV)± 3.5%26%4%14%2%2%<1%52%
OnMessage Inc. (R)September 9–12, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%41%5%7%4%43%
OH Predictive InsightsSeptember 7–12, 2021311 (RV)± 5.6%27%3%6%14%51%
Fabrizio Lee (R)August 4–8, 2021800 (LV)± 3.5%29%7%5%3%<1%56%
HighGround Public Affairs (R)May 3–5, 2021400 (LV)± 4.9%28%1%1%61%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kirk
Adams
Andy
Biggs
Mark
Brnovich
Doug
Ducey
Jim
Lamon
Blake
Masters
Michael
McGuire
Justin
Olson
OtherUndecided
co/efficient (R)February 6–8, 2022755 (LV)± 3.6%14%13%11%11%3%1%9%38%
OH Predictive InsightsJanuary 11–13, 2022302 (RV)± 5.6%13%35%4%4%9%2%34%
WPA Intelligence (R)April 5–6, 2021505 (LV)± 4.4%46%45%9%
OH Predictive InsightsMarch 8–12, 2021690 (RV)± 3.7%2%27%2%3%67%
6%26%2%10%56%
Data Orbital (R)February 17–19, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%2%36%1%1%3%4%53%

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

General election

In what was initially expected to be one of the most widely contested elections in the nation, Kelly amassed a massive fundraising advantage over Masters, raising a record $75 million compared to Masters's $12 million.[27] Due to the Supreme Court's Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization decision, which reversed Roe v. Wade, Kelly spent the campaign heavily attacking Masters over his anti-abortion stance, which was seen as hurting Masters especially among women voters. He also attacked Masters's support for privatizing Social Security, as Arizona has many retired seniors who use the program. Masters's claim that the 2020 presidential election was stolen also hurt him among voters.[28] Steven J. Law, the leader of a Republican-aligned super PAC, said that Masters "had scored the worst focus group results of any candidate he had ever seen," and cancelled all of its Arizona television advertisements supporting Masters.[29]

With the limited amount of money he had, Masters attempted to portray Kelly as weak on illegal immigration, supportive of spending programs that caused inflation, and too supportive of President Joe Biden. In the final weeks of the campaign, Republican groups increased the amount of money they were spending on the race and polls began to tighten, and many news outlets moved the race from lean Democrat to tossup. However, in the end, Kelly relatively easily defeated Masters, which helped Democrats in retaining the Senate.[30] According to Ron Brownstein of CNN in 2023, Kelly won independent voters by double-digit margins, which contributed to Masters's defeat.[31]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[32] October 27, 2022
align=left Inside Elections[33] October 21, 2022
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] October 19, 2022
Politico[35] October 27, 2022
RCP[36] October 25, 2022
align=left Fox News[37] October 25, 2022
DDHQ[38] October 25, 2022
FiveThirtyEight[39] October 25, 2022
The Economist[40] November 1, 2022

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Mark
Kelly (D)
Blake
Masters (R)
Undecided
Margin
RealClearPoliticsOctober 30 – November 7, 2022November 7, 202248.0%48.3%3.7%Masters +0.3
FiveThirtyEightSeptember 7, 2021 – November 7, 2022November 7, 202248.6%47.1%4.3%Kelly +1.5
270ToWinNovember 3–7, 2022November 7, 202247.9%46.6%5.5%Kelly +1.3
Average48.3%47.2%4.5%Kelly +1.1
Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mark
Kelly (D)
Blake
Masters (R)
Marc
Victor (L)
OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)November 5–7, 20221,094 (LV)± 2.9%47%48%1%4%
Data Orbital (R)November 4–6, 2022550 (LV)± 4.3%48%47%2%1%3%
Research Co.November 4–6, 2022450 (LV)± 4.6%49%46%2%3%
Data for Progress (D)November 2–6, 20221,359 (LV)± 3.0%49%50%2%
Targoz Market ResearchNovember 2–6, 2022560 (LV)± 4.1%50%47%2%
KAConsulting (R)November 2–3, 2022501 (LV)± 4.4%47%46%1%6%
InsiderAdvantage (R)November 2, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%48%48%2%2%
HighGround Inc.November 1–2, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%46%45%2%6%
Remington Research Group (R)November 1–2, 20221,075 (LV)± 2.9%48%47%2%3%
Marist CollegeOctober 31 – November 2, 20221,157 (RV)± 4.1%49%45%1%8%
1,015 (LV)± 4.3%50%47%1%2%
Big Data Poll (R)October 31 – November 2, 20221,051 (LV)± 3.0%48%49%4%
Patriot Polling (R)October 30 – November 2, 2022814 (RV)49%48%4%
CiviqsOctober 29 – November 2, 2022852 (LV)± 4.2%49%49%2%1%
November 1, 2022Victor withdraws from the race and endorses Masters
Emerson CollegeOctober 30 – November 1, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%47%48%3%1%1%
48%48%3%1%
The Phillips AcademyOctober 29–30, 2022985 (LV)± 3.1%47%47%2%5%
Fox NewsOctober 26–30, 20221,003 (RV)± 3.0%47%45%4%5%
Wick Insights (R)October 26–30, 20221,122 (LV)± 3.2%49%47%3%1%
Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R)October 24–26, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%47%46%3%
OH Predictive InsightsOctober 24–26, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%48%46%3%3%
Siena College/NYTOctober 24–26, 2022604 (LV)± 4.4%51%45%1%3%
BSP Research/Shaw & Co.October 19–26, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.1%44%40%5%11%
InsiderAdvantage (R)October 24–25, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%45%43%6%6%
co/efficient (R)October 20–21, 20221,111 (LV)± 3.1%47%45%4%4%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)October 14–18, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%48%45%2%<1%6%
The Trafalgar Group (R)October 16–17, 20221,078 (LV)± 2.9%47%46%3%4%
Data for Progress (D)October 11–17, 2022893 (LV)± 3.0%47%47%3%4%
Wick Insights (R)October 8–14, 20221,058 (LV)± 3.1%49%46%2%3%
HighGround Inc.October 12–13, 2022500 (LV)± 4.3%42%40%5%3%10%
InsiderAdvantage (R)October 11, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%46%42%5%7%
Kurt Jetta (D)October 9–10, 2022894 (RV)54%32%15%
551 (LV)55%38%7%
Ascend Action (R)October 8–10, 2022954 (LV)± 3.2%48%44%5%2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)October 8–10, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%46%43%4%7%
OH Predictive InsightsOctober 4–6, 2022674 (LV)± 3.8%46%33%15%7%
Big Data Poll (R)October 2–5, 2022970 (LV)± 3.1%46%45%2%7%
YouGov/CBS NewsSeptember 30 – October 4, 20221,164 (RV)± 3.8%51%48%1%
CNN/SSRSSeptember 26 – October 2, 2022900 (RV)± 4.4%52%42%7%
795 (LV)± 4.6%51%45%4%
Fox NewsSeptember 22–26, 20221,008 (RV)± 3.0%46%40%6%9%
Suffolk UniversitySeptember 21–25, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%49%42%2%7%
Marist CollegeSeptember 19–22, 20221,260 (RV)± 3.6%51%41%8%
1,076 (LV)± 3.9%50%45%5%
Data for Progress (D)September 15–19, 2022768 (LV)± 4.0%48%47%2%3%
The Trafalgar Group (R)September 14–17, 20221080 (LV)± 2.9%47%45%3%5%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)September 8–15, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%50%42%4%4%
52%45%3%
OnMessage Inc. (R)September 6–11, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%50%40%6%5%
Kurt Jetta (D)September 9–10, 2022972 (RV)± 3.5%53%32%15%
563 (LV)55%35%9%
OH Predictive InsightsSeptember 6–9, 2022654 (LV)± 3.8%47%35%6%12%
Emerson CollegeSeptember 6–7, 2022627 (LV)± 3.9%47%45%3%5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)September 6–7, 2022550 (LV)± 4.2%45%39%4%12%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022773 (RV)±4.5%52%37%11%
The Trafalgar Group (R)August 24–27, 20221,074 (LV)± 2.9%48%44%4%4%
RMG ResearchAugust 16–22, 2022750 (LV)± 3.6%50%43%7%
Fox NewsAugust 12–16, 20221,012 (RV)± 3.0%50%42%2%6%
Kurt Jetta (D)August 4–8, 20221,107 (A)± 2.9%48%34%19%
877 (RV)± 3.3%50%34%16%
512 (LV)± 4.3%54%40%7%
OnMessage Inc. (R)August 1–2, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%49%44%7%
Beacon Research (D)July 5–20, 2022802 (RV)± 3.5%49%34%1%13%
504 (LV)± 4.4%51%39%2%8%
Fabrizio Lee (R)July 13–14, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%49%44%7%
Change Research (D)June 24–27, 2022705 (LV)± 3.7%48%39%13%
Blueprint Polling (D)May 12–16, 2022608 (LV)± 4.0%49%32%19%
OH Predictive InsightsSeptember 7–12, 2021882 (RV)± 3.3%44%35%21%
Mark Kelly vs. Mark Brnovich
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mark
Kelly (D)
Mark
Brnovich (R)
OtherUndecided
Beacon Research (D)July 5–20, 2022802 (RV)± 3.5%49%35%1%11%
504 (LV)± 4.4%51%40%2%7%
Blueprint Polling (D)May 12–16, 2022608 (LV)± 4.0%50%33%18%
Data for Progress (D)January 21–24, 20221,469 (LV)± 3.0%49%47%4%
OH Predictive InsightsSeptember 7–12, 2021882 (RV)± 3.3%43%39%18%
OH Predictive InsightsMay 3–5, 2021935 (RV)± 3.2%46%36%18%
Mark Kelly vs. Jim Lamon
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mark
Kelly (D)
Jim
Lamon (R)
OtherUndecided
Beacon Research (D)July 5–20, 2022802 (RV)± 3.5%48%34%2%14%
504 (LV)± 4.4%50%40%2%9%
Change Research (D)June 24–27, 2022705 (LV)± 3.7%47%41%12%
Blueprint Polling (D)May 12–16, 2022608 (LV)± 4.0%48%34%18%
OH Predictive InsightsSeptember 7–12, 2021882 (RV)± 3.3%43%36%21%
Mark Kelly vs. Michael McGuire
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mark
Kelly (D)
Michael
McGuire (R)
Undecided
OH Predictive InsightsSeptember 7–12, 2021882 (RV)± 3.3%44%37%19%
OH Predictive InsightsMay 3–5, 2021935 (RV)± 3.2%44%35%21%
Mark Kelly vs. Andy Biggs
Mark Kelly vs. Doug Ducey
Mark Kelly vs. Kelli Ward
Mark Kelly vs. Kari Lake
Mark Kelly vs. Jack McCain
Mark Kelly vs. Kimberly Yee
Mark Kelly vs. generic Republican
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mark
Kelly (D)
Generic
Republican
OtherUndecided
OH Predictive InsightsMay 9–16, 2022938 (RV)± 3.3%40%39%21%
HighGround Public Affairs (R)March 26–27, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%45%41%2%12%
OH Predictive InsightsMarch 7–15, 2022753 (RV)± 3.6%37%39%24%
Change Research (D)March 2022– (LV)43%46%11%
OH Predictive InsightsJanuary 11–13, 2022855 (RV)± 3.4%42%38%19%
OH Predictive InsightsNovember 1–8, 2021713 (RV)± 3.7%40%39%21%
Mark Kelly vs. generic opponent
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Results

By county

CountyMark Kelly
Democratic
Blake Masters
Republican
Marc Victor
Libertarian
Write-inMarginTotal
votes
data-sort-type="number" data-sort-type="number" %data-sort-type="number" data-sort-type="number" %data-sort-type="number" data-sort-type="number" %data-sort-type="number" data-sort-type="number" %data-sort-type="number" data-sort-type="number" %
Apache18,00567.398,16330.555492.0520.019,84236.8426,719
Cochise20,00242.5725,53954.351,3832.94670.14-5,537-11.7846,991
Coconino35,14963.8418,69733.961,1992.18130.0216,45229.8855,058
Gila7,98435.4213,95861.916012.6710.00-5,974-26.5022,544
Graham3,24329.797,38867.872552.3400.00-4,145-38.0810,886
Greenlee97039.401,39256.541004.0600.00-422-17.142,462
La Paz1,71130.943,65666.111602.8930.05-1,945-35.175,530
Maricopa809,57352.19710,49145.8031,0992.00630.0099,0826.391,551,226
Mohave21,04025.6958,73771.722,1172.5850.01-37,697-46.0381,899
Navajo18,72446.0820,97051.619272.2890.02-2,246-5.5340,630
Pima248,23061.95144,93636.177,5441.88150.00103,29425.78400,725
Pinal62,00942.9278,82054.553,6502.5370.00-16,811-11.64144,486
Santa Cruz8,98868.163,89229.523042.3120.025,09638.6513,186
Yavapai45,25836.6075,75261.262,6332.1380.01-30,494-24.66123,651
Yuma21,14145.6623,91751.661,2412.6820.00-2,776-6.0046,301
Totals1,322,02751.391,196,30846.5153,7622.091970.01125,7194.892,572,294

By congressional district

Kelly won 5 out of 9 congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans.[41]

DistrictKellyMastersRepresentative
52%46%David Schweikert
47%51%Tom O'Halleran (117th Congress)
Eli Crane (118th Congress)
rowspan rowspan76%rowspan21%Ruben Gallego
57%41%Greg Stanton
rowspan rowspan44%rowspan54%Andy Biggs
54%44%Ann Kirkpatrick (117th Congress)
Juan Ciscomani (118th Congress)
rowspan rowspan68%rowspan30%Raúl Grijalva
46%52%Debbie Lesko
38%60%Paul Gosar

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. Web site: GOP megadonor Peter Thiel to host fundraiser for Arizona Senate candidate Blake Masters . CNBC. September 20, 2022 .
  2. News: Arizona's Libertarian Senate Candidate Quits and Endorses Masters . Bloomberg.com . November 2022 .
  3. News: Ulloa . Jazmine . 2022-11-12 . Mark Kelly Wins Arizona Senate Race, Putting Democrats a Seat From Control . en-US . The New York Times . 2022-11-12 . 0362-4331.
  4. News: Ulloa . Jazmine . 2022-11-12 . Mark Kelly Wins Arizona Senate Race, Putting Democrats a Seat From Control . en-US . The New York Times . 2022-11-13 . 0362-4331.
  5. News: Democrats keep control of the Senate with win in Nevada . en-US . Washington Post . 2022-11-13 . 0190-8286.
  6. News: Blake Masters concedes Sen. Mark Kelly's victory, ending a crucial Arizona Senate race . en-US . AZ Central . 2022-11-15 . 0190-8286.
  7. Web site: November 25, 2020. Statement of Candidacy Filing FEC-1473777. live. Federal Election Commission. https://web.archive.org/web/20201125205547/http://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/S0AZ00350/1473777 . November 25, 2020 .
  8. News: 2021-04-08. Kelly raises $4.4 million for Senate re-election bid. Associated Press. live. 2021-05-15. https://archive.today/20210515130007/https://apnews.com/article/senate-elections-arizona-john-mccain-elections-campaigns-75d3c7207404fc842a988a84535ce49b. May 15, 2021. He's [Mark Kelly's] now seeking a full six-year term..
  9. Web site: Steinhauser. Paul. July 9, 2021. Thiel ally Blake Masters files for 2022 GOP Senate run in Arizona. live. July 10, 2021. Fox Business. en-US. https://web.archive.org/web/20210709214518/https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/thiel-ally-blake-masters-files-for-2022-gop-senate-run-in-arizona . July 9, 2021 .
  10. News: Arizona Attorney General Mark Brnovich launches US Senate campaign. The Arizona Republic.
  11. Web site: Sanchez . Yvonne . Jim Lamon is the first Republican to enter Arizona's 2022 Senate race . The Arizona Republic. May 3, 2021.
  12. News: Michael McGuire enters Arizona's GOP US Senate primary race; hopes to challenge Sen. Mark Kelly. Yvonne Wingett. Sanchez. June 8, 2021. Arizona Republic. June 8, 2021.
  13. News: Arizona utilities regulator Justin Olson enters GOP Senate race, slams Democrats' spending proposal as 'socialist state' . Yvonne Wingett . Sanchez . October 13, 2021 . Arizona Republic . October 13, 2021.
  14. News: 'Let's go, Brandon' becomes a campaign slogan in Arizona Republican's new ad . January 28, 2022.
  15. Web site: Statement of Candidacy Filing FEC-1498745. February 5, 2021. Federal Election Commission.
  16. Web site: House Freedom Caucus chair weighs Arizona Senate bid . March 1, 2021 . The Hill . Brufke . Juliegrace .
  17. Web site: Brufke . Juliegrace . House Freedom Caucus chair weighs Arizona Senate bid . . March 2021 . March 1, 2021.
  18. Web site: News. BiggsForCongress.com .
  19. Web site: Sanchez . Yvonne . March 3, 2022 . 'I have the job I want': Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey will not run for the U.S. Senate in 2022 . March 3, 2022 . Arizona Mirror.
  20. Web site: Valencia. Peter. Kari Lake announces run for Arizona governor. 2021-06-01. AZFamily (KPHO-TV/KTVK). en.
  21. Web site: Jack McCain, John McCain's son, has no 'immediate plans to run for office'. Yvonne Wingett. Sanchez. The Arizona Republic. June 10, 2020. May 24, 2021.
  22. Web site: Roberts. Laurie. Dec 11, 2020. Doug Ducey vs. Kelli Ward for the Senate in '22? That would be epic. But it won't happen. January 7, 2021. The Arizona Republic.
  23. Web site: Fischer. Howard. Arizona Gov. Ducey: I Won't Run For U.S. Senate In 2022. January 25, 2021. 91.5 KJZZ Phoenix Radio. January 25, 2021.
  24. Web site: 2021-05-17. Kimberly Yee announces run for Arizona governor. 2021-05-17. KNXV. en.
  25. Web site: 2022 Primary Election Interested Candidates. 2021-07-06. apps.arizona.vote. April 2, 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220402183228/https://apps.arizona.vote/info/soi/2022-primary-election/32/0. dead.
  26. Web site: Goldmacher . Shane . Libertarian Candidate Drops Out of Arizona Senate Race and Endorses Masters . . November 1, 2022.
  27. Web site: bizjournals.com . Kelly continues to raise money 'like a maniac,' dwarfing Masters in Senate race. October 18, 2022. 6 April 2023.
  28. Web site: Column: In Arizona, fears that yet another flawed candidate may cost GOP control of Senate . . September 2022 .
  29. Web site: November 12, 2022. How the 2022 Midterms Became a Squeaker. Shane. Goldmacher. The New York Times.
  30. Web site: Fox News Power Rankings: Storm clouds gather for Democrats in the Northeast . . October 25, 2022 .
  31. News: McCarthy's fall and Trump's rise reflect the same bet among Republicans. CNN. Brownstein. Ronald. October 10, 2023. October 10, 2023.
  32. Web site: 2022 Senate Race ratings . The Cook Political Report . October 25, 2022.
  33. Web site: Senate ratings . Inside Elections . October 25, 2022.
  34. Web site: 2022 Senate . Sabato's Crystal Ball . October 25, 2022.
  35. Web site: Senate Election Forecast 2022. October 19, 2022 . Politico.
  36. Web site: Battle for the Senate 2022. October 25, 2022 . RealClearPolitics.
  37. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . Fox News . October 25, 2022 . October 25, 2022.
  38. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . DDHQ . October 25, 2022 . October 25, 2022.
  39. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . October 25, 2022 . October 25, 2022.
  40. News: Economist's 2022 Senate forecast . The Economist . October 16, 2022 . October 25, 2022.
  41. Results . docs.google.com .