2010 United States Senate election in New York explained

Election Name:2010 United States Senate election in New York
Country:New York
Flag Image:Flag of New York (1901-2020).svg
Type:presidential
Ongoing:Yes
Previous Election:2004 United States Senate election in New York
Previous Year:2004
Next Election:2016 United States Senate election in New York
Next Year:2016
Election Date:November 2, 2010
Image1:File:Chuck Schumer official photo (3x4a).jpg
Nominee1:Chuck Schumer
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:3,047,111
Percentage1:66.33%
Nominee2:Jay Townsend
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Alliance2:Conservative
Popular Vote2:1,479,724
Percentage2:32.21%
Map Size:300px
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Chuck Schumer
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Chuck Schumer
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2010 United States Senate election in New York took place on November 2, 2010, along with elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democrat U.S. Senator Chuck Schumer won re-election to a third term. Schumer won every county except for Wyoming, Tioga, and Hamilton counties.[1]

Background

In the 2004 U.S. Senate election, Schumer had defeated Republican Assemblyman Howard Mills by a 71 to 24 percent margin. Schumer was highly popular in New York, and it was believed that any Republican contender would likely not fare well against him in 2010.[2] Schumer was heavily favored to retain his seat.[3]

In addition to this regular election, there was also a special election to fill the Senate seat vacated by Hillary Clinton, who became the United States Secretary of State on January 21, 2009. In addition, there was the New York gubernatorial election. The existence of two other top-level statewide races, one with a Democratic incumbent perceived as vulnerable and the other an open race, respectively,[4] was believed to lead major New York Republicans to gravitate towards them rather than challenge the popular Schumer.[2] [5]

Republican nomination

Convention

Candidates

Results

Only two candidates, Berntsen and Townsend, obtained at least 25% of the vote at the New York State Republican Convention on June 1, 2010. Berntsen came in first,[10] but still needed to win the primary in order to win the Republican nomination. Berntsen lost the primary to Jay Townsend.[11]

Primary

Candidates

Results

General election

Candidates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report[12] October 26, 2010
Rothenberg[13] October 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics[14] October 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] October 21, 2010
CQ Politics[16] October 26, 2010

Fundraising

Candidate (party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash on handDebt
Chuck Schumer (D)$17,302,006$11,824,587$16,048,482$0
Jay Townsend (R)$197,365$180,693$16,671$105,854
Source: Federal Election Commission[17]

Polling

Poll sourceChuck
Schumer (D)		Jay
Townsend (R)		OtherUndecided
Siena College[18] May 17–20, 2010808± 3.4%63%24%—13%
Siena CollegeJune 7–9, 2010808± 3.4%60%26%—14%
Rasmussen Reports[19] June 16, 2010500± 4.5%54%33%6%6%
Siena CollegeJuly 12, 2010808± 3.4%63%26%—13%
Rasmussen Reports[20] September 16, 2010500± 4.5%58%36%3%4%
Survey USA[21] September 20, 20101,000± 4.2%54%33%10%3%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[22] October 7, 2010500± 4.5%63%27%6%—
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 19, 2010500± 4.5%59%31%5%5%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[23] October 28–29, 2010541± 4.2%61%35%4%—
Siena College[24] October 27–30, 2010603± 4.0%64%32%—2%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Aftermath

Credico sued the New York State Board of Elections under the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment because of this unfair treatment regarding ballot access. Despite being nominated by both the Libertarian Party and the Anti-Prohibition Party, in most jurisdictions, he only appeared on the ballot once. On June 19, 2013, the Federal District Court for the Eastern District of New York ruled in favor of Credico.[25] The New York State Board of Elections did not appeal this decision.[26]

External links

Notes and References

  1. News: A Rush for Clinton's Senate Seat . Richberg, Keith B. . The Washington Post . December 2, 2008 . December 18, 2008.
  2. News: Sen. Chuck Schumer unlikely to see competition in 2010 reelection bid . Saltonsall, David . . February 1, 2009 . February 2, 2009.
  3. Web site: 2010 Senate Rankings, Revised and Extended . Silver, Nate . . December 8, 2008 . January 24, 2009 . Nate Silver . February 4, 2009 . https://web.archive.org/web/20090204104659/http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/12/2010-senate-rankings-revised-and.html . dead .
  4. News: New Siena Poll finds Gov. David Paterson's approval rating at just 19% . Nydailynews.com . March 23, 2009 . June 14, 2010 . New York . Kenneth . Lovett.
  5. Web site: Senate Races 2010 . VoteFromAbroad.org . December 18, 2008.
  6. News: Townsend trails Berntsen at state GOP convention . McKenna, Chris . . June 2, 2010 . August 17, 2010 . June 16, 2011 . https://web.archive.org/web/20110616195337/http://www.recordonline.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20100602/NEWS/6020356/-1/news04 . dead .
  7. Web site: Martin Chicon NY-US Senator 2010 Republican Candidate NYC Sat 10/3/09 - AOL Video . Video.aol.co.uk . June 14, 2010 . September 20, 2020 . https://web.archive.org/web/20200920013557/http://video.aol.co.uk/video-detail/martin-chicon-ny-us-senator-2010-republican-candidate-nyc-sat-10309/3694919687 . dead .
  8. Web site: Nassau Comptroller Eyeing Schumer Challenge . Capitaltonight.com . April 15, 2010 . June 14, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20110815181509/http://www.capitaltonight.com/2010/04/nassau-comptroller-eyeing-schumer-challenge/ . August 15, 2011 . dead . mdy-all .
  9. Web site: Latest count on U.S. Senate candidates: 22 Politics on the Hudson . Polhudson.lohudblogs.com . May 12, 2010 . June 14, 2010 . May 19, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20100519015702/http://polhudson.lohudblogs.com/2010/05/12/latest-count-on-u-s-senate-candidates-22/ . dead .
  10. Web site: NY GOP Chooses Berntsen Against Schumer. Real Clear Politics. Trygstad. Kyle. June 2, 2010. March 10, 2020.
  11. Web site: Townsend Wins GOP Primary For Senate Seat. CBS New York. Associated Press. September 14, 2010. March 10, 2020.
  12. Web site: Senate . . October 26, 2010.
  13. Web site: Senate Ratings . . October 26, 2010.
  14. Web site: Battle for the Senate . . October 26, 2010.
  15. Web site: 2010 Senate Ratings . . October 26, 2010 . October 28, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20101028092918/http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-senate/ . dead .
  16. Web site: Race Ratings Chart: Senate . . October 26, 2010 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101028234525/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate . October 28, 2010 .
  17. Web site: 2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for New York . fec.gov . July 25, 2010 .
  18. https://web.archive.org/web/20100703033944/http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/parents_and_community/community_page/sri/sny_poll/SNY0610%20Release.pdf Siena College
  19. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/new_york/toplines/toplines_new_york_senate_june_16_2010 Rasmussen Reports
  20. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_state_toplines/new_york/toplines_new_york_senate_race_schumer_september_16_2010 Rasmussen Reports
  21. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ddf78dd6-bef1-44e3-af71-225f2d2da637 Survey USA
  22. https://web.archive.org/web/20110617031932/http://www.angus-reid.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/10/2010.10.08_NewYork_USA.pdf Angus Reid Public Opinion
  23. https://web.archive.org/web/20101207020751/http://www.angus-reid.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/10/2010.10.31_NewYork_USA.pdf Angus Reid Public Opinion
  24. https://web.archive.org/web/20101105000502/http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/Parents_and_Community/Community_Page/SRI/SNY_Poll/103110SNYPollReleaseFINAL.pdf Siena College
  25. Web site: New York Libertarian Party Wins Lawsuit Against Discriminatory Election Law | Ballot Access News. June 20, 2013 .
  26. Web site: New York State Changes Mind, Won't Appeal Credico Decision | Ballot Access News. July 12, 2013 .

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