Country: | Japan |
Type: | parliamentary |
Previous Election: | 2014 Japanese general election |
Previous Year: | 2014 |
Election Date: | 22 October 2017 |
Next Election: | 2021 Japanese general election |
Next Year: | 2021 |
Previous Mps: | Representatives elected in the Japanese general election, 2014 |
Elected Mps: | Representatives elected in the Japanese general election, 2017 |
Seats For Election: | All 465 seats in the House of Representatives |
Majority Seats: | 233 |
Turnout: | 53.68% (1.03pp; Const. votes) 53.68% (1.03pp; PR votes) |
1Blank: | Constituency vote |
2Blank: | % and swing |
3Blank: | Regional vote |
4Blank: | % and swing |
Leader1: | Shinzō Abe |
Party1: | Liberal Democratic Party (Japan) |
Last Election1: | 291 seats |
Seats1: | 284 |
Seat Change1: | 7 |
1Data1: | 26,500,777 |
2Data1: | 47.82% (0.28pp) |
3Data1: | 18,555,717 |
4Data1: | 33.28% (0.17pp) |
Leader2: | Yukio Edano |
Party2: | Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan |
Last Election2: | Did not exist |
Seats2: | 55 |
Seat Change2: | New |
1Data2: | 4,726,326 |
2Data2: | 8.53% (New) |
3Data2: | 11,084,890 |
4Data2: | 19.88% (New) |
Leader3: | Yuriko Koike |
Party3: | Kibō no Tō |
Last Election3: | Did not exist |
Seats3: | 50 |
Seat Change3: | New |
1Data3: | 11,437,602 |
2Data3: | 20.64% (New) |
3Data3: | 9,677,524 |
4Data3: | 17.36% (New) |
Leader4: | Natsuo Yamaguchi |
Party4: | Komeito |
Last Election4: | 35 seats |
Seats4: | 29 |
Seat Change4: | 6 |
1Data4: | 832,453 |
2Data4: | 1.50% (0.50pp) |
3Data4: | 6,977,712 |
4Data4: | 12.51% (1.20pp) |
Leader5: | Kazuo Shii |
Party5: | Japanese Communist Party |
Last Election5: | 21 seats |
Seats5: | 12 |
Seat Change5: | 9 |
1Data5: | 4,998,932 |
2Data5: | 9.02% (4.28pp) |
3Data5: | 4,404,081 |
4Data5: | 7.90% (3.47pp) |
Leader6: | Ichirō Matsui |
Party6: | Nippon Ishin no Kai |
Last Election6: | Did not exist |
Seats6: | 11 |
Seat Change6: | New |
1Data6: | 1,765,053 |
2Data6: | 3.18% (New) |
3Data6: | 3,387,097 |
4Data6: | 6.07% (New) |
Prime Minister | |
Before Party: | Liberal Democratic Party (Japan) |
After Party: | Liberal Democratic Party (Japan) |
General elections were held in Japan on 22 October 2017.[1] Voting took place in all Representatives constituencies of Japan – 289 single-member districts and eleven proportional blocks – in order to appoint all 465 members (down from 475) of the House of Representatives, the lower house of the then 707-member bicameral National Diet of Japan. Incumbent Prime Minister Shinzō Abe's governing coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and the Komeito party retained their seats in signs of what was perceived as weak opposition. The PM won his fourth term in office and held on to the two-thirds supermajority in order to implement policies on revising the war-renouncing Article 9 of the Japanese Constitution.[2]
The snap elections were called in the midst of the North Korea missile threat and with the largest opposition party, the Democratic Party, in disarray. Just hours before Abe's announcement of the snap election on 25 September, Governor of Tokyo Yuriko Koike launched a new conservative reformist party Kibō no Tō, the Party of Hope, which was seen as a viable alternative to the ruling coalition. It soon led to the dissolution of the Democratic Party and its party members defecting to the Kibō no Tō.[3] However, the liberal wing of the Democratic Party, whose members Koike refused to nominate, formed the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDP) led by Yukio Edano, splitting the opposition in half.[4] The elections turned into a three-way contest as the CDP joined with the Japanese Communist Party and Social Democratic Party on a common platform opposing the constitutional revision. While Kibō no Tō fell short of expectation, the CDP surged in the polls in the last days before the elections and beat Kibō no Tō to emerge as the largest opposition party.[5]
Despite being disrupted by Typhoon Lan, the elections saw a slight increase in turnout rate of 53.68 percent but still was the second lowest in postwar Japan. The lowest ever turnout was recorded in 2014.[6] They were also the first elections after the voting age was lowered from 20 to 18. Abe also became the first Prime Minister to win three consecutive general elections since 1953 and the first LDP leader to do so. He became the longest-serving Prime Minister in the history of the country in August 2020, but resigned shortly after achieving this due to health issues.[7]
The House of Representatives has a fixed term of four years. Under the postwar constitution drafted in 1947, the interpretation of Article 7 states that the cabinet may instruct the Emperor to dissolve the House of Representatives before the end of term at will. Elections must be held within 40 days after dissolution.[8] In June 2015, the Public Office Election Law was amended to lower the voting age from 20 to 18 years of age.[9]
As of June 2015, the largest opposition party Democratic Party of Japan was reportedly preparing a roster of up to 250 candidates so as to be prepared in the event that the next general election was to be held alongside the House of Councillors election in the summer of 2016, before it merged with the Japan Innovation Party to form the Democratic Party in March 2016.[10] The Democratic Party suffered a considerable defeat at the hands of the ruling coalition in the election, in which the Abe government took almost two-thirds of the seats.
In January 2017, Tokyo Governor Yuriko Koike established a new local party, Tomin First, to challenge the establishment Liberal Democratic Party in the Tokyo metropolitan election to be held in July. Tomin First won a resounding victory in the election, which came in the wake of the Moritomo Gakuen and Kake Gakuen scandals calling into question the propriety of the Abe government's decision making.[11] [12] After the election, Defense Minister Tomomi Inada resigned in connection with another scandal involving the Japan Self-Defense Forces concealing evidence of a battle in South Sudan. Meanwhile, the main national opposition Democratic Party was severely hurt by the resignation of its leader Renho in July, as well as several high-profile defections.[13]
The government of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe began publicly discussing the possibility of an election in mid-September 2017, as the North Korea crisis was ongoing. Continuing the momentum of her Tokyo election victory, Koike announced the formation of a new national political party, Kibō no Tō (Party of Hope), on 25 September. Abe called the general election just hours later on the same day. Soon after the Party of Hope was established, Democratic Party leader Seiji Maehara sought to merge with Kibō no Tō. Maehara's decision was strongly criticised by the liberal wing of the party, whose candidacies were rejected by Koike. The liberal wing surrounding the deputy president Yukio Edano announced the formation of the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan on 2 October 2017.[14] Opposition politicians claim Abe called the election partly to evade further questioning in parliament over his alleged misuse of power in securing approval for a veterinary college campus in Imabari.[15]
One wedge issue between the two major coalitions is the scheduled consumption tax hike in October 2019. The LDP coalition advocates keeping the tax hike and using the funds for child care and education, while the Kibo coalition advocates freezing the tax hike.[16] Nonetheless, Koike stated on 8 October that she was open to the option of a grand coalition with the LDP.[17]
The LDP fielded 332 candidates, while Komeito fielded 53, Kibō no Tō fielded 235, and Nippon Ishin fielded 52. The Constitutional Democratic Party, Japanese Communist Party and Social Democratic Party joined forces to support a total number of 342 candidates on the common platform of opposing the revision the pacifist Article 9 of the Constitution of Japan and the new national security legislation.[18] [19]
Several U.S.-Japan policy experts, including James Zumwalt and Michael Green, opined in October that the election was unlikely to have a major impact on policy as the LDP was expected to retain control; however, there was anxiety about the prospect of a leadership vacuum if Abe was eventually forced to resign as head of the LDP.[20]
See also: List of political parties in Japan.
width=80px colspan=2 | Party | width=50px | Before election | width=50px | Const. | width=50px | PR | width=50px | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
290 | 277 | 313 | 332 | ||||||
57 | 198 | 234 | 235 | ||||||
34 | 9 | 44 | 53 | ||||||
21 | 206 | 65 | 243 | ||||||
15 | 63 | 77 | 78 | ||||||
14 | 47 | 52 | 52 | ||||||
2 | 19 | 21 | 21 | ||||||
0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | ||||||
Others | 0 | 44 | 47 | 91 | |||||
Ind. | 39 | 73 | – | 73 | |||||
Total | 472 | 936 | 855 | 1,180 |
Parties | Leader | Ideology | Seats | Status | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last election | Before election | |||||
Liberal Democratic Party | Shinzo Abe | Conservatism | ||||
Democratic Party | Seiji Maehara | Liberalism | rowspan="3" | |||
Kibō no Tō | Yuriko Koike | Conservatism | Did not exist | |||
Komeito | Natsuo Yamaguchi | |||||
Japanese Communist Party | Kazuo Shii | Communism | rowspan="5" | |||
Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan | Yukio Edano | Liberalism | Did not exist | |||
Nippon Ishin no Kai | Ichirō Matsui | Conservatism | Did not exist | |||
Social Democratic Party | Tadatomo Yoshida | Social democracy |
Fewer than 20% of the 1,180 candidates that ran in the election were women. 9% of current elected figures are women, Japan ranks 165th out of 193 countries on this aspect.[27]
Date | Polling Firm/Source | LDP | DP | Komei | JCP | PJK | SDP | LP | Ishin | Kibō | CDP | Oth. | Und. | No Answer | Lead | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17–19 Oct | Yomiuri Shimbun | 33 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 2 | < | --Und.&No answer-->16 | 16 | |||||||
17–18 Oct | Asahi Shimbun | 34 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 1 | < | --Und.&No answer-->23 | 21 | |||||
14–15 Oct | FNN & Sankei Shimbun | 32.9 | 8.5 | 5.4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4.8 | 15.0 | 14.6 | 4.8 | < | --Und.&No answer-->12.1 | 17.9 | |||||
6–9 Oct | Jiji Press | 30.7 | 5.9 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 3.1 | 11.8 | 4.4 | 33.2 | 18.9 | ||||||||
7–8 Oct | Yomiuri Shimbun | 32 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 27 | 6 | 19 | |||||
3–4 Oct | Asahi Shimbun | 35 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 0 | < | --Und.+Prefer not to answer-->27 | 23 | ||||
2 Oct | Liberal wing of the Democratic Party splits to form the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan | |||||||||||||||||
30 Sep–1 Oct | Kyodo News | 24.1 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 14.8 | 0 | 42.8 | 9.3 | ||||||
30 Sep–1 Oct | ANN | 29 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 0 | < | --Und.+Prefer not to answer-->39 | 15 | ||||||
29 Sep–1 Oct | Seijiyama | 22.7 | 3.4 | 6.3 | (Oth.) | 2.1 | (Oth.) | 3.2 | 11.3 | 0.9 | 32.4 | 3.6 | 11.4 | |||||
28–29 Sep | Yomiuri Shimbun | 34 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 25 | 7 | 15 | |||||
28 Sep | The Democratic Party dissolves and announces its candidacies under Kibō no Tō banner | |||||||||||||||||
26–27 Sep | Asahi Shimbun | 32 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 1 | < | --Und.+Prefer not to answer-->29 | 19 | ||||
26–27 Sep | Mainichi Shimbun | 29 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | < | --Others+Und.+No answer-->16 | 11 | |||||
25 Sep | Prime Minister Shinzō Abe announces his intention to seek a general election to be held on 22 October 2017 | |||||||||||||||||
25 Sep | Governor of Tokyo Yuriko Koike launches the party Kibō no Tō | |||||||||||||||||
23–24 Sep | Kyodo News | 27.0 | 8.0 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 6.2 | 42.2 | 19 | ||||||
22–24 Sep | The Nikkei & TV Tokyo | 44 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | < | --Und.+No answer-->20 | 24 |
Date | Polling Firm/Source | LDP | DP | Komei | JCP | PJK | SDP | LP | Ishin | Kibō | CDP | Oth. | Ind. | Und. + No Answer | Lead | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17–18 Oct | Asahi Shimbun | 33 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 39 | 24 | |||||
3–4 Oct | Asahi Shimbun | 31 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 21 | |||
26–27 Sep | Asahi Shimbun | 31 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 22 | |||
23–24 Sep | Kyodo News | 28.1 | 6.4 | 3.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 6.6 | - | - | - | 21.5 |
Date | Polling Firm/Source | LDP | DP | Komei | JCP | PJK | SDP | LP | Ishin | Kibō | CDP | Oth. | No party | Und. + No Answer | Lead | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17–19 Oct | The Nikkei | 41 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 28 | |||||||||||
17–18 Oct | Asahi Shimbun | 32 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 27 | 16 | 5 | ||
14–15 Oct | FNN | 34.5 | 0.7 | 5.4 | 3.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 9.5 | 11.6 | 1.5 | 27.9 | 1.3 | 6.6 | ||
14–15 Oct | JNN | 32.8 | 1.2 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 7.3 | 0.8 | 38.1 | 5.3 | 5.3 | ||
13–15 Oct | NHK | 32.8 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 3.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 5.4 | 6.6 | 34.0 | 1.2 | ||||
10–11 Oct | The Nikkei | 39 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 28 | ||||||
7–9 Oct | NHK | 31.2 | 1.6 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 0.4 | 39.1 | 10.0 | 7.9 | ||
6–9 Oct | Jiji Press | 23.9 | 1.6 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 57.2 | 33.3 | ||||
7–8 Oct | Yomiuri Shimbun | 33 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 38 | 8 | 5 | |||
3–4 Oct | Asahi Shimbun | 30 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 21 | Tied | ||
30 Sep – 1 Oct | ANN | 39.6 | 7.1 | 4.6 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 9.6 | 0.0 | < | --No Party & Und.-->28.0 | 11.6 | ||||
29 Sep – 1 Oct | NHK | 30.8 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 5.4 | < | --No Party-->40.4 | 9.6 | |||||
28–29 Sep | Yomiuri Shimbun | 32 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | < | --No Party-->40 | 7 | 8 | |||
26–27 Sep | Asahi Shimbun | 31 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | < | --No Party-->32 | 18 | 1 | ||
26–27 Sep | Mainichi Shimbun | 28 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 1 | < | --No Party-->39 | 11 | |||
22–24 Sep | The Nikkei & TV Tokyo | 44 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 12 | ||||
16–17 Sep | ANN | 46.2 | 11.3 | 3.5 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 1.4 | < | --No Party & Und.-->29.0 | 17.2 | ||||
8–11 Sep | Jiji Press | 23.7 | 4.3 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | < | --No Party-->62.9 | 39.2 | |||||
8–10 Sep | NHK | 37.7 | 6.7 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | < | --No Party-->40.8 | 7.1 | 3.1 | |||
8–10 Sep | Yomiuri Shimbun | 40 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | < | --No Party-->45 | 2 | 5 | ||||
25-27 Aug | The Nikkei & TV Tokyo | 41 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 5 | 5 | ||||
19-20 Aug | FNN | 33.0 | 6.9 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 44.6 | 0.4 | 11.6 | ||||
5-6 Aug | Asahi Shimbun | 33 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 46 | 7 | 13 | ||||
5-6 Aug | ANN | 38.1 | 10.8 | 3.9 | 5.6 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 37.1 | 1.0 | |||||
4-6 Aug | NHK | 34.8 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 45.7 | 4.8 | 10.9 | ||||
3-6 Aug | Jiji Press | 25.7 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 62.2 | 36.5 | ||||||
3-4 Aug | The Nikkei & TV Tokyo | 37 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 6 | 1 | ||||
3-4 Aug | Yomiuri Shimbun | 36 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | < | --No Party-->45 | 4 | 9 | ||||
3-4 Aug | Mainichi Shimbun | 26 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 21 | |||||
3-4 Aug | Kyodo News | 39.0 | 7.3 | 5.9 | 5.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 37.9 | 1.1 | ||||||
22-23 Jul | Mainichi Shimbun | 25 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 28 | |||||
22-23 Jul | FNN | 29.1 | 7.0 | 5.3 | 4.6 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 45.7 | 0.8 | 16.6 | ||||
7-10 Jul | Jiji Press | 21.1 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 65.3 | 44.2 | ||||||
8-9 Jul | Asahi Shimbun | 30 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 47 | 7 | 17 | ||||
7-9 Jul | NTV | 35.6 | 9.2 | 3.7 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 38.1 | 4.6 | 2.5 | ||||
7-9 Jul | Yomiuri Shimbun | 31 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 47 | 4 | 16 | ||||
7-9 Jul | NHK | 30.7 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 47.0 | 5.8 | 16.3 | ||||
17-18 Jun | Mainichi Shimbun | 27 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 47 | 20 | |||||
17-18 Jun | FNN | 36.0 | 8.3 | 4.1 | 5.6 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 38.1 | 0.4 | 2.1 | ||||
17-18 Jun | Yomiuri Shimbun | 41 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 4 | 1 | ||||
17-18 Jun | Asahi Shimbun | 34 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 41 | 7 | 7 | ||||
16-18 Jun | NTV | 38.5 | 11.0 | 5.1 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 33.4 | 5.0 | 5.1 | ||||
9-11 Jun | NHK | 36.4 | 7.9 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 40.8 | 5.1 | 4.4 | ||||
13–14 May | FNN | 41.6 | 8.0 | 2.9 | 4.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 35.6 | 0.4 | 6.0 | ||||
12–14 May | Yomiuri Shimbun | 43 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 5 | 4 | |||||
12–14 May | NHK | 37.5 | 7.3 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 38.4 | 7.5 | 0.9 | ||||
14-16 Apr | Yomiuri Shimbun | 44 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 38 | 4 | 6 | |||||
7-9 Apr | NHK | 38.1 | 6.7 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 38.7 | 7.0 | 0.6 | ||||
18-19 Mar | Yomiuri Shimbun | 40 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 43 | 2 | 3 | |||||
10-12 Mar | NHK | 36.9 | 7.6 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 38.9 | 6.6 | 2.0 | ||||
17-19 Feb | Yomiuri Shimbun | 43 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 2 | 3 | ||||
11-12 Feb | NHK | 38.2 | 6.4 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 40.1 | 5.2 | 1.9 | ||||||
27-29 Jan | Yomiuri Shimbun | 40 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 2 | ||||
7-9 Jan | NHK | 38.3 | 8.7 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 38.3 | 5.3 | Tied | ||||||
2017 | |||||||||||||||||
8-10 Oct | NHK | 37.1 | 9.9 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 37.8 | 4.9 | 0.7 | ||||
7-9 Oct | Yomiuri Shimbun | 40 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 4 | 1 | ||||
9-11 Sep | Yomiuri Shimbun | 46.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 31.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 | ||||
9-11 Sep | NHK | 40.2 | 8.3 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 36.0 | 6.1 | 4.2 | ||||
4-6 Mar | Yomiuri Shimbun | 37.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 43.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | ||||
12-14 Feb | Yomiuri Shimbun | 42.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | ||||||
5-7 Feb | NHK | 37.6 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 35.1 | 7.4 | 2.5 | ||||
30-31 Jan | Yomiuri Shimbun | 40.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | ||||
9-11 Jan | NHK | 37.5 | 8.1 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 33.1 | 9.4 | 4.4 | ||||
8-10 Jan | Yomiuri Shimbun | 40.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 37.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | ||||
2016 | |||||||||||||||||
17-18 Dec | Yomiuri Shimbun | 37.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | ||||
11-13 Dec | NHK | 37.5 | 8.5 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 34.3 | 7.0 | 3.2 | ||||
4-6 Dec | Yomiuri Shimbun | 36.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 43.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | ||||
6-8 Nov | Yomiuri Shimbun | 40.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | ||||
6-8 Nov | NHK | 37.1 | 8.4 | 3.4 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 36.3 | 8.2 | 0.8 | ||||
10-12 Oct | NHK | 35.6 | 8.6 | 3.3 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 35.7 | 10.3 | 0.1 | |||||
7-8 Oct | Yomiuri Shimbun | 39.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 1.0 | Tied | ||||||
19-20 Sep | Yomiuri Shimbun | 33.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | |||||
11–13 Sep | NHK | 34.7 | 9.8 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 36.2 | 9.0 | 1.5 | |||||
15-16 Aug | Yomiuri Shimbun | 37.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | ||||||
7–9 Aug | NHK | 34.3 | 10.9 | 3.0 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 34.5 | 9.6 | 0.2 | |||||
24-26 Jul | Yomiuri Shimbun | 36.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | ||||||
18–19 Jul | Asahi Shimbun | 31.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | |||||
11–12 Jul | Asahi Shimbun | 32.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | |||||
10–12 Jul | NHK | 34.7 | 7.7 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 36.8 | 9.5 | 2.1 | |||||
3-5 Jul | Yomiuri Shimbun | 35.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 44.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | ||||||
20–21 Jun | Asahi Shimbun | 36.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | |||||
5-7 Jun | Yomiuri Shimbun | 38.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | |||||
5–7 Jun | NHK | 35.8 | 9.4 | 3.6 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 33.9 | 9.3 | 1.9 | |||||
16–17 May | Asahi Shimbun | 39.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 33.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | |||||
8–10 May | Yomiuri Shimbun | 43.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | |||||
8–10 May | NHK | 37.5 | 7.8 | 5.3 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 34.7 | 8.4 | 2.8 | |||||
18–19 Apr | Asahi Shimbun | 36.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | |||||
10–12 Apr | NHK | 37.8 | 9.2 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 29.2 | 9.9 | 8.6 | |||||
3-5 Apr | Yomiuri Shimbun | 41.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | |||||
14–15 Mar | Asahi Shimbun | 38.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 37.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | |||||
6–8 Mar | NHK | 36.7 | 10.9 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 31.8 | 8.1 | 4.9 | |||||
28 Jan-28 Feb | Yomiuri Shimbun | 43.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | |||||
14–15 Feb | Asahi Shimbun | 40.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 35.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | |||||
6–8 Feb | NHK | 41.2 | 10.3 | 4.9 | 4.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 29.7 | 6.5 | 11.5 | |||||
6-7 Feb | Yomiuri Shimbun | 42.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | |||||
17–18 Jan | Asahi Shimbun | 33.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | |||||
10–12 Jan | NHK | 39.4 | 9.2 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 31.9 | 7.7 | 7.5 | |||||
9-11 Jan | Yomiuri Shimbun | 41.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | |||||
2015 | |||||||||||||||||
24-25 Dec | Yomiuri Shimbun | 36.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 32.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | |||||
15–16 Dec | Asahi Shimbun | 35.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 33.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | |||||
14 Dec 2014 | General Election | 33.1 | 18.3 | 13.7 | 11.4 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 14.9 |
Date | Polling Firm/Source | Abe | Koike | Oth. | Und. + No Answer | Lead | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14–15 Oct | FNN & Sankei Shimbun | 54.0 | 26.5 | 19.5 | 27.5 | |||
30 Sep – 1 Oct | Kyodo News | 45.9 | 33.0 | 21.1 | 12.9 |
Date | Polling Firm/Source | Government gains seats | LDP re-election | Balanced | Opposition gains seats | Change in government | Und. + No Answer | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
bgcolor=green | bgcolor=green | bgcolor=yellow | bgcolor=red | bgcolor=red | bgcolor=grey | ||||||
17–18 Oct | Asahi Shimbun | 37 | 36 | 27 | |||||||
14–15 Oct | FNN & Sankei Shimbun | 50.5 | 40.6 | 8.9 | |||||||
14–15 Oct | JNN | 35 | 47 | 18 | |||||||
13–15 Oct | NHK | 22 | 33 | 39 | |||||||
7–9 Oct | NHK | 21 | 32 | 41 | |||||||
7–8 Oct | Yomiuri Shimbun | 44 | 42 | 14 | |||||||
3–4 Oct | Asahi Shimbun | 43 | 33 | 24 | |||||||
30 Sep – 1 Oct | ANN | 44 | 38 | 18 | |||||||
30 Sep – 1 Oct | Kyodo News | 27.4 | 48.6 | 16.9 | |||||||
29 Sep – 1 Oct | NHK | 20 | 33 | 42 | |||||||
26–27 Sep | Mainichi Shimbun | 34 | 49 |
See main article: Results of the 2017 Japanese general election.
Prefecture | Total seats | Seats won | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LDP | CDP | Kibō | Komeito | Ishin | JCP | SDP | Ind. | |||
Aichi | 15 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||||
Akita | 3 | 3 | ||||||||
Aomori | 3 | 3 | ||||||||
Chiba | 13 | 12 | 1 | |||||||
Ehime | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||||||
Fukui | 2 | 2 | ||||||||
Fukuoka | 11 | 11 | ||||||||
Fukushima | 5 | 3 | 2 | |||||||
Gifu | 5 | 5 | ||||||||
Gunma | 5 | 5 | ||||||||
Hiroshima | 7 | 6 | 1 | |||||||
Hokkaido | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | ||||||
Hyōgo | 12 | 10 | 2 | |||||||
Ibaraki | 7 | 6 | 1 | |||||||
Ishikawa | 3 | 3 | ||||||||
Iwate | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||
Kagawa | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||||||
Kagoshima | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||||||
Kanagawa | 18 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |||||
Kōchi | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||||||
Kumamoto | 4 | 4 | ||||||||
Kyoto | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||||
Mie | 4 | 2 | 2 | |||||||
Miyagi | 6 | 5 | 1 | |||||||
Miyazaki | 3 | 3 | ||||||||
Nagano | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||||||
Nagasaki | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||||||
Nara | 3 | 3 | ||||||||
Niigata | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | ||||||
Ōita | 3 | 3 | ||||||||
Okayama | 5 | 5 | ||||||||
Okinawa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||
Osaka | 19 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||||
Saga | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||||||
Saitama | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | ||||||
Shiga | 4 | 4 | ||||||||
Shimane | 2 | 2 | ||||||||
Shizuoka | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||||||
Tochigi | 5 | 4 | 1 | |||||||
Tokushima | 2 | 2 | ||||||||
Tokyo | 25 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | |||||
Tottori | 2 | 2 | ||||||||
Toyama | 3 | 3 | ||||||||
Wakayama | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||||||
Yamagata | 3 | 3 | ||||||||
Yamaguchi | 4 | 4 | ||||||||
Yamanashi | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||||||
Total | 289 | 218 | 18 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 22 |
PR block | Total seats | Seats won | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LDP | CDP | Kibō | Komeito | JCP | Ishin | SDP | |||
Chūgoku | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ||||
Hokkaido | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
Hokuriku–Shinetsu | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||
Kinki | 28 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | ||
Kyushu | 20 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
Northern Kanto | 19 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |||
Shikoku | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||
Southern Kanto | 22 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||
Tohoku | 13 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |||
Tokai | 21 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||
Tokyo | 17 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | |||
Total | 176 | 66 | 37 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 8 | 1 |
Party | Name | Constituency | Year elected | Defeated by | Party | Details | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
data-sort-value="Yamamoto, Yuji" | Yūji Yamamoto | Kochi-2nd | 1990 (in Kochi-3rd) | data-sort-value="Hirota, Hajime" | Hajime Hirota | Agriculture Minister in the Third Abe Cabinet. He was returned to the Diet through the Shikoku PR block.[28] | ||||
data-sort-value="Nishikawa, Koya" | Koya Nishikawa | Tochigi-2nd (Kita-Kantō PR block) | 1996 | data-sort-value="Fukuda, Akio" | Akio Fukuda | Agriculture Minister in the Second Abe Cabinet who was defeated in the district in 2014 but managed to return through the PR block at that time. He didn't enter the block this time round and therefore was not returned to the Diet.[29] | ||||
data-sort-value="Nakagawa, Yuuko" | Yūko Nakagawa | Hokkaido-11th | 2012 | data-sort-value="Ishikawa, Kaori" | Kaori Ishikawa | MP since 2012 and widow of former Finance Minister, Shōichi Nakagawa.[30] | ||||
data-sort-value="Yamada, Miki" | Miki Yamada | Tokyo-1st | 2012 | data-sort-value="Kaieda, Banri" | Banri Kaieda | Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs in the Third Abe Cabinet. Yamada famously defeated former DPJ leader Kaieda in the 2014 election.[31] [32] Kaieda regained his seat in this election. Yamada was able to retain her Diet seat through the LDP list for the Tokyo PR block.[33] | ||||
data-sort-value="Ochi, Takao" | Takao Ochi | Tokyo-6th | 2012 | data-sort-value="Ochiai, Takayuki" | Takayuki Ochiai | Vice Minister of the Cabinet Office in the Second and Third Abe Cabinet. Ochi was able to hold on to his Diet seat through the LDP list for the Tokyo PR block.[34] | ||||
data-sort-value="Tsuchiya, Masatada" | Masatada Tsuchiya | Tokyo-18th | 2012 | data-sort-value="Kan, Naoto" | Naoto Kan | Former mayor of Musashino. Tsuchiya defeated former PM Kan in the 2014 election. Kan was able to return to the parliament through the Tokyo PR block and was the very last (475th) MP elected that night. He regained his seat in the election. Conversely, Tsuchiya wasn't returned to the Diet as he was not in the LDP list for the Tokyo PR block.[35] | ||||
data-sort-value="Ueda, Isamu" | Isamu Ueda | Kanagawa-6th | 2000 (block) 2003 (district) | data-sort-value="Aoyagi, Youichirou" | Yōichirō Aoyagi | Deputy Secretary General of the Komeito party and Vice Finance Minister in the Second and Third Koizumi Cabinet[36] | ||||
data-sort-value="Wakasa, Masaru" | Masaru Wakasa | Tokyo-10th | 2014 (block) 2016 (district) | data-sort-value="Suzuki, Hayato" | Hayato Suzuki | A founding member of Kibō no Tō and one of the closest allies of Yuriko Koike. He was in the Kibō list for the Tokyo PR block, but was not able to hold on to his Diet seat due to receiving inadequate votes.[37] [38] | ||||
data-sort-value="Mabuchi, Sumio" | Sumio Mabuchi | Nara-1st | 2003 | data-sort-value="Kobayashi, Shigeki" | Shigeki Kobayashi | Minister of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism in the Kan cabinet and a candidate for the 2012 DPJ leadership election. Mabuchi has the highest ratio of margin of defeat (97.27%) among all defeated candidates in the election.[39] | ||||
(formerly LDP) | data-sort-value="Asao, Keiichirou" | Keiichirō Asao | Kanagawa-4th | 2009 | data-sort-value="Waseda, Yuki" | Yuki Waseda | Former chairman of the defunct Your Party. He contested as an independent as he wasn't selected by the LDP in the snap election.[40] | |||
data-sort-value="Toyota, Mayuko" | Mayuko Toyota | Saitama-4th | 2012 | data-sort-value="Hosaka, Yasushi" | Yasushi Hosaka | Toyota resigned from the LDP due to a high-profile bullying scandal in June 2017.[41] At the time of the election, she was under investigation for assaulting her former aide. She contested as an independent as she wasn't selected by the LDP in the snap election.[42] |
+ Results of the Prime Minister election | |||||
width=40px rowspan="2" colspan="2" | Party | width=100px rowspan="2" | Candidate | width=50px rowspan="1" colspan="2" | Votes |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
width=25px | Rep | width=25px | Cou | ||
312 | 151 | ||||
60 | 9 | ||||
51 | 3 | ||||
16 | 48 | ||||
12 | 14 | ||||
11 | 11 | ||||
1 | 0 | ||||
1 | 0 | ||||
0 | 2 | ||||
Invalid/blank vote | 1 | 1 | |||
Did not vote | 0 | 3 | |||
Total | 465 | 242 |
The success of the CDP in surpassing the Kibō no Tō in the number of seats and becoming the official opposition party was surprising. It presented a potential challenge for the ruling coalition to pass the constitutional amendment of Article 9, which was one of the main issues of the 2017 general election that was supported by Kibō no Tō leader Koike but opposed by the pacifist coalition.[43] With a supermajority in both the upper and the lower house, the ruling coalition was expected to pass other legislation without much resistance.[44] In a post-election conference, Prime Minister Shinzō Abe was optimistic about moving forward, stating that the victory was the first time the LDP have "won three consecutive victories" under the same party leader.[45] The landslide victory achieved by the LDP campaign has been observed as not completely related to the popularity of Shinzo Abe, as the victory was also significantly influenced by the disconnect between the oppositions, notably the failure of Koike and the pacifist coalition to unite over many election issues.[46]
Nevertheless, the CDP finishing second led to Kibō no Tō dissolving in 2018 (with Shigefumi Matsuzawa reviving the party in a smaller capacity) and merging into the Democratic Party for the People, which subsequently largely merged into a refounded CDP, with the exception of a splinter group led by Yuichiro Tamaki. Koike became an independent, lightly cooperating with the LDP and her own regional party, Tomin First no Kai.[47]
A special Diet session was convened on 1 November to elect the next prime minister.[48] Abe was re-elected with 312 and 151 votes in the House of Representatives and House of Councillors respectively.[49] [50] The new cabinet was formed later on the day.
ja:ローレンス・レペタ
. 2017-10-15. The Asia-Pacific Journal: Japan Focus. 2017-10-17.