2012 Iranian legislative election explained

Election Name:2012 Iranian legislative election
Country:Iran
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 Iranian legislative election
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2016 Iranian legislative election
Next Year:2016
Turnout:66.2%[1]
Seats For Election:All 290 seats to the Islamic Consultative Assembly
146 seats are needed for a majority
Election Date:2 March and 4 May 2012
Leader1:Ali Larijani
Colour1:FF0000
Alliance1:United Front of Principlists
Leaders Seat1:Qom
Seats1:133
36+97
Percentage1:45.86%
1Blank:Political camp
1Data1:Principlists
1Data2:Principlists
1Data3:Principlists
1Data4:Reformists
1Data5:Principlists
1Data6:Principlists
1Data7:Principlists
1Data8:Reformists
Colour2:00FFFF
Leader2:Mohammad Taqi Mesbah Yazdi
Alliance2:
Party2:Stability Front
Leaders Seat2:Did not stand
Seats2:83
18+65
Percentage2:28.62%
Colour3:008080
Leader3:Mohsen Rezaee
Alliance3:Resistance Front
Leaders Seat3:Did not stand
Seats3:70
18+52
Percentage3:24.13%
Colour4:7CFC00
Leader4:Mostafa Kavakebian
Alliance4:Reformists Front
Leaders Seat4:Semnan[2]
(defeated)
Seats4:13
Percentage4:4.48%
Colour5:FFA500
Leader5:Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
Esfandiar Mashaei
Alliance5:Justice Discourse
Monotheism and Justice Front
Party5:
Leaders Seat5:Did not stand
Seats5:9[3]
Percentage5:3.10%
Colour6:000000
Leader6:Shahabodin Sadr
Party6:
Leaders Seat6:Tehran, Rey, Shemiranat and Eslamshahr
(disqualified)
Seats6:7
Percentage6:2.41%
Colour7:FFFF00
Leader7:Ali Motahari
Party7:
Leaders Seat7:Tehran, Rey, Shemiranat and Eslamshahr
Seats7:2
Percentage7:0.68%
Colour8:228B22
Leader8:Mohammad Khatami
Alliance8:Council for coordinating the Reforms Front
Party8:
Leaders Seat8:Did not stand
Seats8:
Percentage8:0%
Speaker
Before Election:Ali Larijani
After Election:Ali Larijani
Before Party:United Front of Principlists
After Party:United Front of Principlists

The parliamentary election for the 9th Islamic Consultative Assembly, or Majlis, were held in Iran on Friday, 2 March 2012 with a second round on 4 May 2012 in those 65 districts where no candidate received 25% or more of the votes cast. More than 5,000 candidates registered but more than a third were disqualified by the Guardian Council leaving about 3,400 candidates to run for the 290 seat representing the 31 provinces.

The election has been described by journalists and analysts "as a contest between" Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad,[4] with Khamenei supporters winning a large majority of seats.[5] Iranian officials and state media have described the election as a sign of Iranians' trust in the Islamic Republic and a message to the West rejecting pressure over Iran's nuclear program.[5] [6] Although no final election turnout figures were released,[6] state media emphasized that voter turnout was high.[6]

The parliament has "no direct control over key foreign and security policy matters" but some influence over those policies and coming elections.[6] In the wake of the crushing of reformist protest against the 2009 election results, few if any reformist candidates were allowed by the Guardian Council to run. The new parliament was opened on 27 May 2012.

Background

See also: Elections in Iran.

After two consecutive wins in 2004 and 2008, the governing conservatives are hoping to secure yet another majority in the parliament.

Events since the 2008 election

The 2008 election saw a majority win for the conservatives and supporters of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad but in the last years of the parliament, It was a despite with the president and the parliament, major in the budget approval. The parliament elected Ali Larijani, a former opponent of Ahmadinejad in the 2005 presidential election as the chairman. The first disagreement with the government was the vote of no confidence and dismissal of then Interior Minister, Ali Kordan, just three months after the opening of the new parliament. The presidential election was held in June 2009 in which Ahmadinejad was re-elected as the president. This was very despite with the results. Opposition repudiated the result and claimed that there was fraud in the election. The inauguration ceremony, held in parliament on 5 August 2009, was not attended by more than 60 of the 290 members of Parliament. Parliament also rejected three of the introduced ministers of Ahmadinejad's second cabinet.

Electoral system

The registration of candidates was handled by the Interior Ministry and candidates are vetted by the Guardian Council.[7]

Since 2007, Iran has been divided into 207 electoral districts. These districts are roughly based on geography, but shaped according to the number of voters so that each district holds roughly the same number of registered voters. 202 districts are Muslim majority and 5 districts belong to the recognized religious minorities. Therefore, these districts do not correspond to the borders of top administrative divisions within Iran and each district contains one or more or parts of several provinces of Iran. The legal term of the parliament is four years. The elections must be held before the dissolution of the parliament. The new members must be sworn three months after their elections in the first day of opening of the parliament. The speaker and deputy speakers are elected in the opening day. In the time of war and military occupation, after the proposal of the president and approval of three-fourths of the members of the parliament and approval of the Guardian Council, elections can be postponed in the occupied areas or the entire country for a certain period.

If in a district, no one can earn ¼ of the votes, a second round election will be held after four weeks. If an elected MP dies, resigns or leaves office for other reasons, Ministry of the Interior must hold the election in her/his districts in less than seven months. None of the candidates can nominate herself/himself in more than one district. If so, her/his candidacy will be canceled and they will be disenfranchised. Voting must be an official holiday.[8]

Qualifications

According to Iran's law, in order to qualify as a candidate one must:

Candidates found to be mentally impaired, actively supporting the Shah or supporting political parties and organizations deemed illegal or been charged with anti-government activity, converted to another faith or has otherwise renounced the Islamic faith, have been found guilty of corruption, treason, fraud, bribery, is an addict or trafficker or have been found guilty of violating Shariat law are disqualified.

Campaign

The chief of the Council of Guardians, Ayatollah Ahmad Jannati, has said that reformists he labeled as traitors "need not participate." Former president Mohammad Khatami demanded that political prisoners be freed and that former presidential candidates Mir-Hossein Mousavi and Mahdi Karroubi be released from house arrest as a precondition for his movements participation. Since his call went unheeded Ali Mohammad-Gharibani, head of the Reformist Front Coordination Council, said: "Despite efforts...to create an appropriate election climate, unfortunately more restrictions have been imposed. Therefore, the council has decided that it won’t issue any election list and won’t support anyone."[7] The electoral campaign was started on 23 February and ended on 1 March. Over 5,400 had registered to contest the 290 parliamentary seats. More than 47,000 polling stations will operate nationwide during the elections. Some 3.9 million people will cast their votes for the first time. According to Iran’s Interior Ministry, the election process will be managed by some 850,000 observers in 47,000 polling stations and 1,000 constituencies across the country.

Registration and vetting of candidates

The registration ran from 24–30 January 2012. 5,405 people applied at the Interior Ministry to stand as candidates. These included 490 women. 1,006 applied in Tehran. North Khorasan Province had the smallest number with 39 people.[9] The number of applications was down from the 2008 parliamentary elections when 7,597 applied. According to Aljazeera commentators, the number of rejections—including 33 sitting members of parliament[10] —can be attributed primarily to stricter educational requirements, and the narrowing of what is considered politically acceptable by the Guardian Council.

Beginning with the 2012 elections, candidates have to have at least a master's degree to stand for elections, not just a Bachelors as in earlier elections. In addition candidate hopefuls may have been disqualified for affiliation with leftist organisations, the reformist camp, or even President Ahmadinejad.[11]

Political parties and coalitions

According to Neil MacFarquhar of The New York Times, "there are no real political parties in Iran, only murky, shifting alliances of political figures,[5] " but according to Al Jazeera, the vote is a contest between the United Front of Principlists, who support Supreme Leader Khamenei, and the Front of Islamic Revolution Stability, which backs Ahmadinejad.[4]

Principlists

The coalition is led by Ali Larijani, current chairman of the parliament.

A group of Ahmadinejad supporters.

The front formed by a group of conservatives led by Ali Motahari.

The front led by second deputy speaker of the parliament, Shahab od-Din Sadr.

Reformists

The Council for coordinating the Reforms Front or simply "Reforms Front" (Persian: جبهه اصلاحات),[12] the highest decision-making body inside Iranian reform movement, called the elections 'illegal and unfair' and “decided not to present a unified list [of candidates] and not to support anyone [in the race].”[13] However, some member groups inside the council including Worker House and Democracy Party, and some individual reformists formed the "Reformists Front" (Persian: جبهه اصلاح‌طلبان)[12] led by Mostafa Kavakebian to compete in the elections. Some reformist groups like Assembly of Qom Seminary Scholars and Researchers, Association of Combatant Clerics and Islamic Iran Participation Front ruled out any cooperation with this group, and some labeled them as “fake reformists” (Persian: اصلاح‌طلبان بدلی).[14]

Results

See also: Iranian legislative election, 2012 (Tehran, Rey, Shemiranat and Eslamshahr).

IranPolitikAccording to the IranPolitik, the results were:[15]
Mizan OnlineAccording to Mizan Online, the official news agency of Iranian Judiciary, 182 were conservative, 13 were reformer and 88 were independent (excluding 5 religious minority members and 2 vacant seats).[16]
Seats won by major lists
ListShared SeatsTotal Seats
UFPFIRSRFIIRFPV
UFP36522822 133
FIRS521813 83
RFII2813 1892 70
RF2913125
PV2 2 114
StratforAccording to Stratfor, the United Front of Conservatives and Stability Front won 98 and 43 seats respectively, while other political parties and independents took the rest.
  • Bani Kamal (2013)The affiliations of candidates are determined on the basis of the candidacy lists in which their names appeared. Given the overlap of candidacy lists, the share of each group might be claimed more or less than what is in the table, which shows the results out of 225 confirmed seats.
  • Electoral listNominees listed (out of 290)Seats won (out of 225)
    United Front of Principlists25897
    Independents 83
    Front of Islamic Revolution Stability19917
    Resistance Front of Islamic Iran1807
    Democratic Front8316
    Coalition of Independent Candidates8616
    Monotheism and Justice Front305
    Total290225
    Source: Abdol Moghset Bani Kamal

    Analysis

    The government hopes that the high turnout it claims will give it a boost. According to a statement issued on the Web site of the Foreign Ministry, by turning out in droves, Iranians

    “especially in this sensitive historical era, have shown that, despite all of the conspiracies, pressures, and sanctions, and the bleak portrait painted by the media of global arrogance, they will continue defending independence and the national interest.”[5]

    However, the foreign journalist Laura Secor found a polling station in Tehran (Hosseiniyeh Ershad) where she had always seen long lines of voters in previous elections, nearly empty this year.[17]

    Majid Zavari, a Tehran-based political analyst, said the economy and the persistent unemployment would be pivotal issues in the election: "From one end, Iranian society is facing high unemployment, particularly among educated youth who, despite university degrees, do not have decent living standards. This has increased discontent amongst people," Zavari told Al Jazeera.

    According to analyst, Maryam Khatibi, "reformists are nowhere to be seen," in the election campaign. Nasser Karimi and Brian Murphy of the Associated Press see the election as divided between pro-Ahmadinejad conservatives and pro-Ali Khamenei conservatives.

    Liberals, reformists and youth groups that led the protests are virtually absent from the parliamentary ballots after relentless crackdowns and arrests. Conservatives – now left without a unifying foe – have splintered into various factions either backing or rejecting Ahmadinejad for daring to challenge Khamenei and the ruling clerics.[18]

    However, Mohammad Khatami — former president of the Islamic Republic and the "spiritual leader of the reformist movement" — who had urged Iranians not to vote, did end up voting March 2.[19]

    Turnout

    According to the official accounts, out of 48,288,799 eligible voters, 26,472,760 turned out.[1]

    External links

    Notes and References

    1. Book: Ehteshami, Anoushiravan. Iran: Stuck in Transition. Politics of the Islamic Republic. 2017. Taylor & Francis. The Contemporary Middle East. 63. 9781351985451.
    2. Web site: fa. خواهر احمدي نژاد شکست خورد/ کواکبيان هم به مجلس نرفت. Khabar Online. March 10, 2015.
    3. Web site: ناکامان بزرگ انتخابات مجلس نهم. 5 January 2008. Deutsche Welle. 10 August 2015. fa.
    4. http://www.aljazeera.com/programmes/insidestory/2012/03/20123282513580403.html Iran elections clouded by doubts
    5. https://www.nytimes.com/2012/03/05/world/middleeast/iran-elections-deal-blow-to-ahmadinejad-and-the-presidency.html?_r=2&nl=todaysheadlines&emc=tha22 Elections in Iran Favor Ayatollah’s Allies, Dealing Blow to President and His Office
    6. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/05/05/iran-elections-2012-ahmadinejad_n_1483744.html Iran Elections 2012: Ahmadinejad Routed By Rivals
    7. https://web.archive.org/web/20190102180544/https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle-east/iran-starts-registering-candidates-for-march-parliamentary-elections-reformists-stay-out/2011/12/24/gIQA9f82EP_story.html Iran starts registering candidates for March parliamentary elections; reformists stay out
    8. http://www.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=13901011001364 Electoral law of the Consultative Assembly
    9. http://www.hamshahrionline.ir/news-155442.aspx Number of the candidates for parliamentary election
    10. http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Middle-East/2012/0302/Iran-election-draws-conservatives-God-please-accept-this-vote-from-me Iran election draws conservatives: 'God, please accept this vote from me'
    11. http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/features/2012/02/2012218132517668868.html What it takes to run for Iran's parliament
    12. Web site: fa. واژه نامه جریان های فعال در انتخابات ریاست جمهوری ایران - BBC Persian. BBC Persian. 21 August 2015. 13 June 2013.
    13. Web site: 'Upcoming elections illegal and unfair' says Green Council. Oye! Times. March 10, 2015. Cyrus Green. 20 December 2011.
    14. Web site: We Want to Meet the Supreme Leader. Rooz Online. March 10, 2015. Mohammad Reza Yazdanpanah. 5 March 2013. https://web.archive.org/web/20150928223321/http://www.roozonline.com/english/news3/newsitem/article/we-want-to-meet-the-supreme-leader.html. 28 September 2015. dead.
    15. http://www.iranpolitik.com/2012/05/07/iran-election-watch/iran-election-watch-2012-main-principalist-groups-emerge-weak-majority/ "Iran Election Watch 2012: Main Principalist groups emerge with weak majority"
    16. Web site: تعداد و درصد گرایش سیاسی نمایندگان مجلس نهم. Mizan Online. March 10, 2015.
    17. http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2012/05/07/120507fa_fact_secor Letter from Tehran| Election, Monitored
    18. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/03/01/iran-elections-2012_n_1314653.html?ref=world Iran Elections 2012: Everything You Need To Know On Upcoming Parliamentary Vote
    19. https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/tehranbureau/2012/03/dispatch-tehranis-talk-of-the-elections-stakes-and-khatamis-shock-ballot.html#ixzz1oGR7TGgc Dispatch | Tehranis Talk of the Elections' Stakes and Khatami's Shock Ballot