2014 Iowa gubernatorial election explained

See also: 2014 United States gubernatorial elections.

Election Name:2014 Iowa gubernatorial election
Country:Iowa
Flag Image:Flag of Iowa (xrmap collection).svg
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2010 Iowa gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2010
Next Election:2018 Iowa gubernatorial election
Next Year:2018
Election Date:November 4, 2014
Image1:File:Terry Branstad by Gage Skidmore.jpg
Nominee1:Terry Branstad
Running Mate1:Kim Reynolds
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:666,032
Percentage1:58.99%
Nominee2:Jack Hatch
Running Mate2:Monica Vernon
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:420,787
Percentage2:37.27%
Map Size:240px
Governor
Before Election:Terry Branstad
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Terry Branstad
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2014 Iowa gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014. Republican incumbent Terry Branstad ran for reelection to a sixth overall and second consecutive four-year term.[1] Branstad went on to win a historic sixth term as governor by defeating Democratic challenger and State Senator Jack Hatch, and on December 14, 2015, he became the longest-serving governor in American history. He won 59.1% of the popular vote to Hatch's 37.3%, and carried every county in the state except Johnson, home to Iowa City and the University of Iowa.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		class=small Margin of
error		Terry
Branstad		Tom
Hoefling		Undecided
Public Policy PollingMay 15–19, 2014303± 3.3% align=center66%12%22%
Loras CollegeApril 7–8, 2014600± 4.0% align=center80%4%14%
Suffolk UniversityApril 3–8, 2014224± 6.6% align=center70%9%21%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 20–23, 2014283± 5.8% align=center70%11%18%

Results

Democratic primary

Narcisse was disqualified from appearing on the ballot in the Democratic primary following a ruling by the Iowa Supreme Court[3] that upheld a lower court decision that held that Narcisse had not submitted enough valid signatures to be placed on the ballot for the primary election. Narcisse continued his campaign and declared his intention to run for the nomination as a write-in candidate.[4] When he was unsuccessful, he announced that he would be running in the general election as the nominee of the Iowa Party.[5] [6]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Results

General election

Candidates

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[24] November 3, 2014
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] November 3, 2014
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[26] November 3, 2014
align=left Real Clear Politics[27] November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		class=small Margin of
error		Terry
Branstad (R)		Jack
Hatch (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Pollingalign=center rowspan=2November 1–3, 2014align=center rowspan=21,265align=center rowspan=2± 2.8% align=center51%40%5%[28] 5%
align=center54%43%—4%
Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 28–November 2, 2014778± 3.5% align=center52%41%2%6%
Iowa PollOctober 28–31, 2014701± 3.7% align=center59%35%2%4%
YouGovOctober 25–31, 20141,112± 4.4% align=center49%35%4%13%
Fox NewsOctober 28–30, 2014911± 3% align=center53%36%5%6%
Reuters/IpsosOctober 23–29, 20141,129± 3.3% align=center57%34%4%5%
QuinnipiacOctober 22–27, 2014817± 3.4% align=center56%37%2%5%
Loras CollegeOctober 21–24, 20141,121± 2.93% align=center55%34%2%9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 20142,322± 3% align=center50%37%0%13%
NBC News/Maristalign=center rowspan=2October 18–22, 2014772 LV± 3.5% align=center59%36%2%4%
1,052 RV± 3% align=center58%34%2%6%
Gravis MarketingOctober 20–21, 2014964± 3% align=center53%43%—4%
Monmouth UniversityOctober 18–21, 2014423± 4.8% align=center58%37%3%2%
Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 15–21, 2014964± 3.2% align=center55%37%2%5%
Suffolk UniversityOctober 11–14, 2014500± 4.4% align=center54%37%3%[29] 7%
Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 8–13, 2014967± 3.2% align=center54%39%1%6%
The Iowa PollOctober 3–8, 20141,000± 3.1% align=center54%39%—4%
MagellanOctober 3, 20141,299± 2.8% align=center55%39%—7%
NBC News/Maristalign=center rowspan=2September 27–October 1, 2014778 LV± 3.5% align=center58%36%1%5%
1,093 RV± 3% align=center58%35%1%6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovSeptember 20–October 1, 20142,359± 2% align=center52%39%0%9%
Gravis MarketingSeptember 29–30, 2014522± 4% align=center51%43%—6%
Public Policy Pollingalign=center rowspan=2September 25–28, 2014align=center rowspan=21,192align=center rowspan=2± 2.8% align=center50%36%4%[30] 9%
align=center52%38%—10%
Iowa PollSeptember 21–24, 2014546± 4.2% align=center48%34%6%[31] 12%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 17–18, 2014750± 4% align=center46%40%3%10%
FOX NewsSeptember 14–16, 2014600± 4% align=center50%37%4%8%
QuinnipiacSeptember 10–15, 20141,167± 2.9% align=center60%37%1%3%
Loras CollegeSeptember 2–5, 20141,200± 2.82% align=center56%34%—11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovAugust 18–September 2, 20141,764± 3% align=center51%38%1%10%
SuffolkAugust 23–26, 2014500± 4% align=center47%35%2%[32] 16%
Public Policy Pollingalign=center rowspan=2August 22–24, 2014align=center rowspan=2915align=center rowspan=2± 3.2% align=center48%35%5%12%
align=center50%37%—13%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 11–12, 2014750± 4% align=center52%35%6%7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovJuly 5–24, 20142,044± 2.7% align=center51%40%1%8%
Gravis MarketingJuly 17–18, 20141,179± 3% align=center50%42%—9%
NBC News/MaristJuly 7–13, 20141,599± 2.5% align=center53%38%1%9%
QuinnipiacJune 12–16, 20141,277± 2.7% align=center47%38%1%14%
Vox Populi PollingJune 4–5, 2014665± 3.8% align=center51%40%—9%
Loras CollegeJune 4–5, 2014600± 4% align=center52%38%—11%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 4–5, 2014750± 4% align=center49%40%2%8%
Global Strategy GroupMay 13–15, 2014602± 4% align=center47%40%—13%
Public Policy PollingMay 15–19, 2014914± 3.3% align=center48%40%—12%
Victory EnterprisesApril 30–May 1, 2014400± 4.9% align=center48%33%—20%
Hickman AnalyticsApril 24–30500± 4.4% align=center50%40%—10%
Vox Populi PollingApril 22–24, 2014600± 4% align=center45%43%—12%
Public Policy PollingApril 19–20, 2014677± 3.8% align=center43%38%—19%
Suffolk UniversityApril 3–8, 2014800± 3.5% align=center42%32%2%[33] 24%
QuinnipiacMarch 5–10, 20141,411± 2.6% align=center46%35%1%17%
Selzer & Co.February 23–26, 2014703± 3.7% align=center44%29%—27%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 20–23, 2014869± 3.3% align=center48%36%—15%
QuinnipiacDecember 10–15, 20131,617± 2.4% align=center49%33%1%17%
Selzer & Co.December 8–11, 2013325± ?% align=center52%29%8%11%
Public Policy PollingJuly 5–7, 2013668± 3.8% align=center47%35%—18%
Selzer & Co.June 2–5, 2013591± 4% align=center55%27%9%9%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 1–3, 2013846± % align=center48%33%—19%

}

With Branstad
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		class=small Margin of
error		Terry
Branstad (R)		Bruce
Braley (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 1–3, 2013846± % align=center47%41%—11%
Public Policy PollingMay 3–6, 20121,181± 2.85% align=center44%40%—16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		class=small Margin of
error		Terry
Branstad (R)		Chet
Culver (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJuly 5–7, 2013668± 3.8% align=center47%42%—11%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 1–3, 2013846± % align=center50%40%—10%
Public Policy PollingMay 3–6, 20121,181± 2.85% align=center44%42%—14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		class=small Margin of
error		Terry
Branstad (R)		Michael
Gronstal (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJuly 5–7, 2013668± 3.8% align=center50%36%—14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		class=small Margin of
error		Terry
Branstad (R)		Bob
Krause (D)		OtherUndecided
QuinnipiacDecember 10–15, 20131,617± 2.4% align=center49%31%1%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		class=small Margin of
error		Terry
Branstad (R)		Dave
Loebsack (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 1–3, 2013846± % align=center48%38%—14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		class=small Margin of
error		Terry
Branstad (R)		Tyler
Olson (D)		OtherUndecided
QuinnipiacDecember 10–15, 20131,617± 2.4% align=center50%32%1%17%
Selzer & Co.December 8–11, 2013325± ?% align=center51%28%8%13%
Public Policy PollingJuly 5–7, 2013668± 3.8% align=center47%33%—20%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 1–3, 2013846± % align=center47%31%—22%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		class=small Margin of
error		Terry
Branstad (R)		Tom
Vilsack (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingFebruary 1–3, 2013846± % align=center47%46%—8%
Public Policy PollingMay 3–6, 20121,181± 2.85%43% align=center46%—11%
With Hoefling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		class=small Margin of
error		Tom
Hoefling (R)		Jack
Hatch (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMay 15–19, 2014914± 3.3%30% align=center37%—33%
Suffolk UniversityApril 3–8, 2014800± 3.5%23% align=center35%3% align=center39%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 20–23, 2014869± 3.3%30% align=center34%— align=center36%
With Reynolds
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		class=small Margin of
error		Kim
Reynolds (R)		Chet
Culver (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJuly 5–7, 2013668± 3.8%38% align=center42%—20%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		class=small Margin of
error		Kim
Reynolds (R)		Michael
Gronstal (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJuly 5–7, 2013668± 3.8%37%37%—26%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		class=small Margin of
error		Kim
Reynolds (R)		Jack
Hatch (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJuly 5–7, 2013668± 3.8% align=center36%33%—30%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		class=small Margin of
error		Kim
Reynolds (R)		Tyler
Olson (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJuly 5–7, 2013668± 3.8% align=center36%32%—32%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Branstad won all 4 of the congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.[34]

DistrictBranstadHatchRepresentative
55.95%40.98%Rod Blum
56.66%39.85%Dave Loebsack
56.55%38.79%David Young
67.25%29.39%Steve King

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Governor Terry Branstad announces gubernatorial run, tours Iowa. KWWL. 15 January 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140116135037/http://www.kwwl.com/story/24450784/2014/01/14/governor-terry-branstad-to-tour-iowa-make-special-announcement. 16 January 2014. dead.
  2. Web site: HAYWORTH: Republican Hoefling aiming to challenge Branstad in 2014. Sioux City Journal . March 4, 2014 . March 21, 2014.
  3. Web site: Opinion in Narcisse v. Schultz, No. 14-0512. Iowa Supreme Court. March 31, 2014. April 3, 2014.
  4. Web site: IA-Gov: Iowa Supreme Court rejects Narcisse bid for spot on primary ballot. Bleeding Heartland. Bleeding Heartland. April 1, 2014. April 3, 2014.
  5. Web site: Jonathan Narcisse to run for governor as third-party candidate. The Des Moines Register. . July 30, 2014. September 10, 2014.
  6. Web site: Register Soapbox: Governor candidate Jonathan Narcisse. The Des Moines Register. . August 9, 2014. September 10, 2014.
  7. Web site: State Sen. Jack Hatch officially enters 2014 race for Iowa governor. September 16, 2013. September 16, 2013. The Des Moines Register. Jason. Noble. https://archive.today/20130916171844/http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2013/09/16/state-sen-jack-hatch-officially-enters-2014-race-for-iowa-governor/article. September 16, 2013. dead. mdy-all.
  8. Web site: Narcisse says he'll seek Democratic nomination in gubernatorial race. January 18, 2014. January 20, 2014. Des Moines Register. Lauren. Horsch.
  9. Web site: 4th Democrat enters race for governor; Sioux City stop planned. October 2, 2013. October 14, 2013. Sioux City Journal. Bret. Hayworth.
  10. News: Koplan. Tal. State Rep. Tyler Olson drops Terry Branstad challenge. December 17, 2013. Politico. December 17, 2013.
  11. Web site: New Hatch committee aimed at run for governor. May 10, 2013. May 12, 2013. The Des Moines Register. Jason. Noble. Jennifer. Jacobs.
  12. Web site: Democrat Chet Culver: I won't run for public office in 2014. Des Moines Register. Jacobs. Jennifer. February 12, 2014. February 12, 2014. https://archive.today/20140212230651/http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2014/02/12/democrat-chet-culver-i-wont-run-for-public-office-in-2014/article. February 12, 2014. dead. mdy-all.
  13. Web site: Waterloo Democrat Jeff Danielson won't run for higher office. June 4, 2013. June 5, 2013. The Des Moines Register. Jennifer. Jacobs. https://archive.today/20130620223546/http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2013/06/04/waterloo-democrat-jeff-danielson-wont-run-for-higher-office. June 20, 2013. dead. mdy-all.
  14. Web site: Democrat Mike Fitzgerald rules out a run for Iowa governor. August 30, 2013. August 30, 2013. The Des Moines Register. Jennifer. Jacobs.
  15. Web site: Democrats Mike Gronstal and Pam Jochum won't run for governor (updated). July 30, 2013. July 30, 2013. Des Moines Register. Jennifer. Jacobs.
  16. Web site: Hatch names steering committee for Iowa governor's race. October 11, 2013. October 14, 2013. The Des Moines Register. William. Petroski.
  17. Web site: Krause ends bid for governor, endorses fellow Democrat Hatch . Des Moines Register . 2 January 2014 . 3 January 2014 . https://archive.today/20140103155511/http://blogs.desmoinesregister.com/dmr/index.php/2014/01/02/krause-ends-bid-for-governor-endorses-fellow-democrat-hatch . 3 January 2014 . dead . dmy-all .
  18. News: Dorman. Todd. January 2, 2014. Petersen won't run for governor. The Gazette. Cedar Rapids, Iowa. January 4, 2014.
  19. Web site: Tom Vilsack won't run for Iowa governor again. June 5, 2013. June 5, 2013. The Des Moines Register. Jennifer. Jacobs.
  20. Web site: Monica Vernon signs on as Jack Hatch's lieutenant governor. June 18, 2014. June 18, 2014. The Des Moines Register. Jason. Noble. https://archive.today/20140618190157/http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/elections/2014/06/17/jack-hatch-monica-vernon-iowa-lieutenant-governor/10635183/. June 18, 2014. dead. mdy-all.
  21. Web site: Meet the Candidate: Iowa Governor: Jim Hennager, New Independent Party Iowa. October 14, 2014. October 17, 2014. Des Moines Register.
  22. Web site: Iraq war vet among libertarians nominated at state convention. March 25, 2014. June 18, 2014. Ames Tribune. Gavin. Aronsen.
  23. Web site: Iowa Party lieutenant governor candidate hopes to tap voter discontent. July 31, 2014. September 10, 2014. The Gazette. James Q. Lynch.
  24. Web site: 2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 . The Cook Political Report . September 3, 2018.
  25. Web site: The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks . Sabato's Crystal Ball . September 3, 2018.
  26. Web site: 2014 Gubernatorial Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . September 3, 2018.
  27. Web site: 2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races . Real Clear Politics . September 3, 2018.
  28. Jim Hennager (NIP) 2%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 2%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%
  29. Jim Hennager (NIP) 1%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 1%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%
  30. Jim Hennager (NIP) 3%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 2%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%
  31. Jim Hennager (NIP) 2%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 3%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 1%
  32. Jim Hennager (NIP) 1%, Lee Deakins Hieb (L) 1%, Jonathan Narcisse (IP) 0%
  33. Lee Hieb (L)
  34. Web site: Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project.

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