2012 Indiana gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:2012 Indiana gubernatorial election
Country:Indiana
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 Indiana gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2016 Indiana gubernatorial election
Next Year:2016
Image1:File:Mike Pence in November 2013.jpg
Nominee1:Mike Pence
Running Mate1:Sue Ellspermann
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:1,275,424
Percentage1:49.49%
Nominee2:John R. Gregg
Running Mate2:Vi Simpson
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:1,200,016
Percentage2:46.56%
Governor
Before Election:Mitch Daniels
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Mike Pence
After Party:Republican Party (United States)
Map Alt:Indiana Governor Election Results by County, 2012

The 2012 Indiana gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012. Incumbent governor Mitch Daniels was term-limited and unable to seek a third term. The Republican candidate, Congressman Mike Pence; the Democratic candidate, former Speaker of the Indiana House of Representatives John R. Gregg; and the Libertarian candidate, youth mentor, small business owner and reality TV personality, Rupert Boneham, were all unopposed in their respective primaries or conventions and contested the general election. This is the first open Indiana gubernatorial election since 1996 and the first gubernatorial election since 1972 without the governor or lieutenant governor as a nominee.

When the polls closed, the election was very close, and continued to stay close throughout the night. Gregg performed well in Marion County (Indianapolis) and Lake County (Gary), which were Democratic strongholds. Pence performed well in the Indianapolis suburbs and the Fort Wayne area. At 12:34 am EST, the Associated Press called the race for Pence. At 1:06 am, Gregg called Pence to concede, realizing there were not enough votes left to overtake him. Pence ultimately won the election and took office on January 14, 2013. This was the closest race for governor since 1960.

Primaries

Democratic

Libertarian

General election

Candidates

Debates

The Indiana Debate Commission organized three televised debates between Indiana Gubernatorial candidates Republican Mike Pence, Democrat John R. Gregg and Libertarian Rupert Boneham.

Debate scheduleThe first debate was held on Wednesday, October 10, 2012 at the Zionsville Performing Arts Center in Zionsville, Indiana and was moderated by former Indianapolis Star editor Dennis Ryerson.

The second debate was held on Wednesday, October 17, 2012 at the DeBartolo Performing Arts Center in South Bend, Indiana and wasmoderated by Indiana Fiscal Policy Institute president John Ketzenberger.

The third debate was held on Thursday, October 25, 2012 at the WFWA PBS 39 studio in Fort Wayne, Indiana and was moderated by DePauw University Executive Director of Media Relations Ken Owen.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[8] November 1, 2012
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] November 5, 2012
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[10] November 2, 2012
align=left Real Clear Politics[11] November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Pence (R)
John R.
Gregg (D)
Rupert
Boneham (L)
OtherUndecided
Howey Politics/DePauwOctober 28–30, 2012800± 3.5% align=center47%40%5%
Benenson Strategy GroupOctober 18–21, 2012701± 3.7% align=center44%38%6%12%
YouGovOctober 4–11, 2012470± 5.6% align=center49%38%13%
Howey Politics/DePauw UniversitySeptember 19–23, 2012800± 3.5% align=center47%34%5%14%
Market Research InsightAugust 6–9, 2012600± 4% align=center50%32%3%15%
Market Research InsightMarch 26–27, 2012503± 4.5% align=center44%31%5%20%

Statewide results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Pence won 6 of 9 congressional districts.[12]

DistrictPenceGreggRepresentative
1st33.61%63.98%Pete Visclosky
2nd50.63%46.15%Joe Donnelly (112th Congress)
Jackie Walorski (113th Congress)
3rd58.24%38.77%Marlin Stutzman
4th53.82%40.87%Todd Rokita
5th55.34%40.44%Dan Burton (112th Congress)
Susan Brooks (113th Congress)
6th56.56%38.49%Mike Pence (112th Congress)
Luke Messer (113th Congress)
7th33.07%61.73%André Carson
8th48.28%48.69%Larry Bucshon
9th53.08%42.70%Todd Young

External links

Campaign websites (archived)

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Former speaker Gregg to run for Indiana governor. May 16, 2011. May 21, 2012. WTHR. Kevin. Rader. https://web.archive.org/web/20160304114027/http://www.wthr.com/story/14652266/former-speaker-gregg-to-run-for-indiana-governort. March 4, 2016. dead.
  2. Web site: 'Survivor's' Rupert Boneham Announces He'll Run for Governor of Indiana. October 22, 2011. May 21, 2012. The Hollywood Reporter.
  3. Web site: Rupert Receives Libertarian Nomination. November 9, 2012.
  4. Web site: Pence names running mate. May 21, 2012. May 21, 2012. The Journal Gazette. Niki. Kelly.
  5. Web site: Republican gubernatorial candidate Mike Pence chooses running mate. May 21, 2012. May 21, 2012. WXIN.
  6. Web site: Gregg to name Sen. Simpson as running mate. May 21, 2012. May 21, 2012. WISH-TV. Jim. Shella.
  7. Web site: State executive primary preview: No surprises in Indiana tomorrow. May 7, 2012. May 21, 2012. Ballotnews. Lauren. Rodgers. https://web.archive.org/web/20120516065313/http://ballotnews.org/2012/05/07/state-executive-primary-preview-no-surprises-in-indiana-tomorrow/. May 16, 2012. dead.
  8. Web site: 2012 Governor Race Ratings for November 1, 2012 . The Cook Political Report . November 30, 2018.
  9. Web site: PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM . Sabato's Crystal Ball . November 30, 2018 . December 1, 2018 . https://web.archive.org/web/20181201094552/http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/projection-obama-will-likely-win-second-term/ . dead .
  10. Web site: 2012 Gubernatorial Ratings . Gubernatorial Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . November 30, 2018.
  11. Web site: 2012 Elections Map - 2012 Governor Races . Real Clear Politics . November 30, 2018.
  12. Web site: Daily Kos.