2012 United States presidential election in Indiana explained

See main article: article and 2012 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2012 United States presidential election in Indiana
Country:Indiana
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States presidential election in Indiana
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2016 United States presidential election in Indiana
Next Year:2016
Election Date:November 6, 2012
Image1:Mitt_Romney_by_Gage_Skidmore_6_cropped.jpg
Nominee1:Mitt Romney
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:Massachusetts
Running Mate1:Paul Ryan
Electoral Vote1:11
Popular Vote1:1,420,543
Percentage1:54.13%
Nominee2:Barack Obama
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:Illinois
Running Mate2:Joe Biden
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:1,152,887
Percentage2:43.93%
Map Size:300px
President
Before Election:Barack Obama
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Barack Obama
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2012 United States presidential election in Indiana took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election, in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Indiana voters chose 11 electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Governor of Massachusetts Mitt Romney and his running mate, Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan. Romney and Ryan carried Indiana with 54.13% of the popular vote to the Democratic ticket's 43.93%, thus winning the state's 11 electoral votes.[1]

Indiana and North Carolina were the only two states Obama won in 2008 that flipped to the Republican column in 2012. Although Indiana normally leans Republican, in 2008 Obama had been the first Democrat to win Indiana since 1964, albeit by a narrow 1.03% margin. Unlike North Carolina, Indiana was not seriously contested again by the Obama campaign in 2012; consequently, Romney was able to carry it by a 10.2% margin and win 6 counties Obama won in 2008.

Obama carried Vigo County, home to Terre Haute, and at the time a noted bellwether; before 2020, it had voted for the winner of every presidential election all but twice since 1892. After 2012, demographic change and the rightward turn of exurban areas accelerated by the Trump era have made Vigo County generally uncompetitive to the present day.[2] As of the 2020 presidential election, this is the last time that Delaware, LaPorte, Perry, Porter, and Vigo counties have voted for a Democratic presidential candidate. Obama won nine counties compared to 83 for Romney, who won most rural areas of the state. Romney also performed well in the Indianapolis suburbs; Allen County, home of Fort Wayne; and Vanderburgh County, home of Evansville. As expected, Obama did better in urban, densely populated areas. Obama trounced Romney in Marion County, home of Indianapolis, as well as Lake County, home of Gary and East Chicago. Obama also for the most part did well in counties that contained major colleges, such as Monroe County, home of Indiana University Bloomington; St. Joseph County, home of the University of Notre Dame in South Bend; and Porter County, home of Valparaiso University.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Incumbent President Barack Obama ran unopposed, securing 221,466 votes.[3]

Republican primary

The Republican primary took place on May 8, 2012.[4] [5]

Indiana Republican primary, 2012[6]
CandidateVotesPercentageProjected delegate count
APCNN
FOX
Mitt Romney410,63564.61%2827
Ron Paul98,48715.50%
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)85,33213.43%
Newt Gingrich (withdrawn)41,1356.47%
Unprojected delegates:181946
Total:635,589100.00%464646

General election

Campaign

Incumbent Obama did not visit Indiana, although First Lady Michelle Obama, Vice President Joe Biden and former President Bill Clinton stumped in the state. Meanwhile, the Romney campaign sensed victory in the state, and he visited Indiana several times.[7]

Polling

Republican Nominee Mitt Romney won every pre-election poll conducted in the state by at least 5%, and often by double digits. The average of the final three polls had Romney leading Obama 51% to 43%.[8]

Results

2012 United States presidential election in Indiana[9]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanWillard M. RomneyPaul D. Ryan1,420,54354.13%11
DemocraticBarack H. Obama (incumbent)Joseph R. Biden Jr. (incumbent)1,152,88743.93%0
LibertarianJim Gray50,1111.91%0
Green (write-in)Jill Stein (write-in)Cheri Honkala6250.02%0
Constitution (write-in)Virgil Goode (write-in)Jim Clymer2900.01%0
America's Party (write-in)Thomas Hoefling (write-in)Jonathan D. Ellis350.00%0
Socialist (write-in)Stewart Alexander (write-in)Alex Mendoza170.00%0
Write-insWrite-ins100.00%0
Unaffiliated (write-in)Jill Ann Reed (write-in)Tom Cary80.00%0
Independent (write-in)Randall Terry (write-in)Missy Smith80.00%0
Totals2,624,534100.00%11

Following Romney's win in Indiana, The Indianapolis Star said that "Voters painted Indiana bright red on Tuesday- with a splash or so of blue" and that "voters also proved that while this state is conservative, it doesn't like to stray too far from the middle".[10]

Results by county

CountyMitt Romney
Republican
Barack Obama
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
%%%%
Adams8,93768.58%3,80629.21%2892.21%5,13139.37%13,032
Allen84,61357.46%60,03640.77%2,5971.77%24,57716.69%147,246
Bartholomew18,08361.52%10,62536.15%6842.33%7,45825.37%29,392
Benton2,32965.09%1,15932.39%902.52%1,17032.70%3,578
Blackford2,71156.95%1,92740.48%1222.57%78416.47%4,760
Boone18,80867.70%8,32829.98%6462.32%10,48037.72%27,782
Brown4,33256.75%3,06040.08%2423.17%1,27216.67%7,634
Carroll4,99964.01%2,63533.74%1762.25%2,36430.27%7,810
Cass8,44359.62%5,37137.93%3472.45%3,07221.69%14,161
Clark25,45053.83%20,80744.01%1,0212.16%4,6439.82%47,278
Clay7,09665.67%3,46032.02%2492.31%3,63633.65%10,805
Clinton6,33864.13%3,30833.47%2372.40%3,03030.66%9,883
Crawford2,42152.75%2,04144.47%1282.78%3808.28%4,590
Daviess7,63874.42%2,43723.74%1891.84%5,20150.68%10,264
Dearborn15,39468.86%6,52829.20%4341.94%8,86639.66%22,356
Decatur7,11968.94%2,94128.48%2672.58%4,17840.46%10,327
DeKalb10,58764.71%5,41933.12%3542.17%5,16831.59%16,360
Delaware21,25147.15%22,65450.26%1,1692.59%-1,403-3.11%45,074
Dubois11,65462.75%6,52235.12%3952.13%5,13227.63%18,571
Elkhart42,37862.29%24,39935.87%1,2521.84%17,97926.42%68,029
Fayette5,04557.09%3,55540.23%2372.68%1,49016.86%8,837
Floyd19,87856.17%14,81241.85%7021.98%5,06614.32%35,392
Fountain4,66465.59%2,23731.46%2102.95%2,42734.13%7,111
Franklin7,42470.17%2,90927.50%2472.33%4,51542.67%10,580
Fulton5,31765.43%2,62132.25%1882.32%2,69633.18%8,126
Gibson9,48764.45%4,92833.48%3062.07%4,55930.97%14,721
Grant15,15159.82%9,58937.86%5892.32%5,56221.96%25,329
Greene8,45764.36%4,35033.10%3342.21%4,10731.26%13,141
Hamilton90,74766.20%43,79631.95%2,5461.85%46,95134.25%137,089
Hancock22,79669.41%9,31928.37%7282.22%13,47741.04%32,843
Harrison10,64060.21%6,60737.39%4242.40%4,03322.82%17,671
Hendricks44,31266.37%21,11231.62%1,3372.01%23,20034.75%66,761
Henry10,83857.02%7,61340.05%5562.93%3,22516.97%19,007
Howard20,32756.01%15,13541.70%8292.29%5,19214.31%36,291
Huntington10,86268.76%4,59629.09%3392.15%6,26639.67%15,797
Jackson10,41962.34%5,83834.93%4552.73%4,58127.41%16,712
Jasper7,95561.57%4,67236.16%2932.27%3,28325.41%12,920
Jay4,64558.79%3,06338.77%1932.44%1,58220.02%7,901
Jefferson7,09653.94%5,72843.54%3322.52%1,36810.40%13,156
Jennings6,12059.71%3,82137.28%3093.01%2,29922.43%10,250
Johnson39,51368.02%17,26029.71%1,3192.27%22,25338.31%58,092
Knox9,61263.47%5,22834.52%3052.01%4,38428.95%15,145
Kosciusko22,55874.84%6,86222.77%7202.39%15,69652.07%30,140
LaGrange6,23166.88%2,89831.11%1872.01%3,33335.77%9,316
Lake68,43133.85%130,89764.75%2,8191.40%-62,466-30.90%202,147
LaPorte18,61542.62%24,10755.19%9592.19%-5,492-12.57%43,681
Lawrence11,62265.04%5,77932.34%4692.62%5,84332.70%17,870
Madison26,76950.98%24,40746.48%1,3342.54%2,3624.50%52,510
Marion136,50937.92%216,33660.10%7,1271.98%-79,827-22.18%359,972
Marshall11,26063.25%6,13734.48%4042.27%5,12328.77%17,801
Martin3,26268.78%1,35128.48%1302.74%1,91140.30%4,743
Miami8,17463.79%4,22232.95%4173.26%3,95230.84%12,813
Monroe22,48139.29%33,43658.43%1,3062.28%-10,955-19.14%57,223
Montgomery9,82468.03%4,27129.58%3452.39%5,55338.45%14,440
Morgan19,59169.17%7,96928.13%7652.70%11,62241.04%28,325
Newton3,29158.02%2,21239.00%1692.98%1,07919.02%5,672
Noble10,68065.63%5,22932.13%3642.24%5,45133.50%16,273
Ohio1,75962.40%99435.26%662.34%76527.14%2,819
Orange4,61759.38%2,93937.80%2202.82%1,67821.58%7,776
Owen5,06262.39%2,82334.80%2282.81%2,23927.59%8,113
Parke4,23464.85%2,11032.32%1852.83%2,12432.53%6,529
Perry3,40343.21%4,31654.81%1561.98%-913-11.60%7,875
Pike3,62761.20%2,12535.86%1742.94%1,50225.34%5,926
Porter34,40646.94%37,25250.82%1,6452.24%-2,846-3.88%73,303
Posey7,43060.77%4,53337.08%2632.15%2,89723.69%12,226
Pulaski3,36662.34%1,89935.17%1342.49%1,46727.17%5,399
Putnam9,00565.12%4,50732.59%3172.29%4,49832.53%13,829
Randolph6,21860.95%3,76936.94%2152.11%2,44924.01%10,202
Ripley7,48467.94%3,24129.42%2902.64%4,24338.52%11,015
Rush4,63365.94%2,22131.61%1722.45%2,41234.33%7,026
Scott4,53952.05%3,99845.85%1832.10%5416.20%8,720
Shelby10,97865.50%5,35931.97%4232.53%5,61933.53%16,760
Spencer5,51556.60%4,02641.32%2032.08%1,48915.28%9,744
St. Joseph52,57847.36%56,46050.86%1,9711.78%-3,882-3.50%111,009
Starke4,73854.03%3,80943.44%2222.53%92910.59%8,769
Steuben8,54762.41%4,85335.44%2952.15%3,69426.97%13,695
Sullivan4,90259.13%3,19138.49%1972.38%1,71120.64%8,290
Switzerland1,87255.11%1,43742.30%882.59%43512.81%3,397
Tippecanoe28,75750.40%26,71146.81%1,5952.79%2,0463.59%57,063
Tipton4,77364.74%2,43232.99%1682.27%2,34131.75%7,373
Union2,02265.14%1,01832.80%642.06%1,00432.34%3,104
Vanderburgh39,38954.26%31,72543.71%1,4742.03%7,66410.55%72,588
Vermillion3,42651.89%2,97945.12%1982.99%4476.77%6,603
Vigo19,36948.42%19,71249.27%9242.31%-343-0.85%40,005
Wabash8,64467.03%3,97330.81%2782.16%4,67136.22%12,895
Warren2,37762.55%1,32434.84%992.61%1,05327.71%3,800
Warrick17,68062.19%10,18135.81%5662.00%7,49926.38%28,427
Washington6,53360.85%3,90936.41%2952.74%2,62424.44%10,737
Wayne14,32156.21%10,59141.57%5652.22%3,73014.64%25,477
Wells9,25671.46%3,43626.53%2602.01%5,82044.93%12,952
White5,97060.09%3,63736.61%3283.30%2,33323.48%9,935
Whitley10,25868.24%4,42029.40%3542.36%5,83838.84%15,032
Totals1,422,87254.04%1,154,27543.84%55,9962.13%268,59710.20%2,633,143

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Romney won 7 of 9 congressional districts.[11]

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
37.39%61.19%Pete Visclosky
56.1%42.14%Jackie Walorski
62.54%35.7%Marlin Stutzman
60.88%36.87%Todd Rokita
57.5%40.7%Susan Brooks
60.43%37.28%Luke Messer
35.35%62.9%André Carson
58.37%39.61%Larry Bucshon
57.17%40.7%Todd Young

See also

Sources

References

External links

for Indiana

Major state elections in chronological order

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2012 Presidential Election - Indiana. Politico. 22 November 2012.
  2. Web site: GALOFARO. CLAIRE. The counties that predict presidential election winners didn't this year. Just look at Terre Haute, Indiana.. 2021-01-22. chicagotribune.com.
  3. Web site: Indiana Voters . 2024-04-22 . indianavoters.in.gov.
  4. News: Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar. CNN. January 11, 2012.
  5. News: Presidential Primary Dates. Federal Election Commission. January 23, 2012.
  6. http://www.in.gov/apps/sos/primary/sos_primary12 Secretary of State election results
  7. News: Hoosiers go for Romney; Obama fails to repeat his narrow win here in '08. The Indianapolis Star. November 8, 2012.
  8. Web site: 2012 Presidential Election Polls - IN . uselectionatlas.org.
  9. Web site: 2012 Presidential General Election Results . uselectionatlas.org.
  10. News: Analysis: Hoosiers back Republicans but want them in the middle. The Indianapolis Star. November 8, 2012.
  11. Web site: Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts. Daily Kos. 11 August 2020.