2014 Illinois gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:2014 Illinois gubernatorial election
Country:Illinois
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2010 Illinois gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2010
Next Election:2018 Illinois gubernatorial election
Next Year:2018
Election Date:November 4, 2014
Image1:Bruce Rauner 2015.jpg
Nominee1:Bruce Rauner
Running Mate1:Evelyn Sanguinetti
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:1,823,627
Percentage1:50.27%
Nominee2:Pat Quinn
Running Mate2:Paul Vallas
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:1,681,343
Percentage2:46.35%
Governor
Before Election:Pat Quinn
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Bruce Rauner
After Party:Republican Party (United States)
Turnout:48.48% 1.21 pp

The 2014 Illinois gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Illinois, concurrently with the election to Illinois's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Prior to this cycle, candidates for governor and lieutenant governor were nominated separately, and the primary winners ran on the same ticket in the general election. In 2011, the law was changed to allow candidates for governor to pick their own running mates. Incumbent Democratic Lieutenant Governor Sheila Simon did not run for reelection, instead running unsuccessfully for comptroller. She was replaced as Quinn's running mate by Paul Vallas, a former CEO of Chicago Public Schools. Rauner chose Wheaton City councilwoman Evelyn Sanguinetti as his running mate and Grimm chose Alex Cummings.

Incumbent Democratic Governor Pat Quinn ran for re-election to a second full term in office. Quinn, then the lieutenant governor, assumed the office of governor on January 29, 2009, upon the impeachment and removal of Rod Blagojevich. He narrowly won a full term in 2010. Primary elections were held on March 18, 2014.[1] Quinn won the Democratic primary, while the Republicans chose businessman Bruce Rauner and the Libertarians nominated political activist Chad Grimm.

Rauner defeated Quinn in the general election with 50.3% of the vote to Quinn's 46.4%, winning every county in the state except for Cook County, home to the city of Chicago and 40% of the state's residents.[2] [3] Quinn was the only incumbent Democratic governor to lose a general election in 2014 and remained the last one to do so until Nevada's Steve Sisolak in 2022.

As of, this alongside the concurrent comptroller election is the only time since 2010 that Republicans won a statewide election in Illinois. It is also the last time a Republican has been elected governor of Illinois. This is the most recent and the last Illinois gubernatorial election in which the winner won a majority of Illinois's counties.

Election information

The primaries and general elections coincided with those for federal (House and Senate) and those for other state offices. The election was part of the 2014 Illinois elections.

Turnout

For the primary election, turnout was 16.88%, with 1,267,028 votes cast.[4] [5] For the general election, turnout was 48.48%, with 3,627,690 votes cast.[6] [5]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Quinn
Tio
Hardiman
OtherUndecided
Strive StrategiesMarch 9, 2014563± 4.21% align=center64%36%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Quinn
Bill
Daley
Lisa
Madigan
Kwame
Raoul
OtherUndecided
We Ask AmericaAugust 6, 20131,528± ? align=center27%23%13% align=center37%
We Ask AmericaJuly 19, 20131,394± ? align=center38%33%29%
We Ask AmericaJune 13, 20131,322± 2.8%21%22% align=center32%25%
37% align=center38%25%
33% align=center44%23%
Paul Simon InstituteJanuary 27–February 8, 2013310± 5.5%22.9%11.9% align=center31.9%4.8%28.4%
We Ask AmericaJanuary 30, 20131,255± 3%20%15% align=center37%18%
align=center38%33%29%
26% align=center51%23%
Public Policy PollingNovember 26–28, 2012319± 5.5%34% align=center37%29%
20% align=center64%17%

Results

Republican primary

By early summer 2013, the field seeking the Republican nomination was set at four candidates.[19] Two of them, State Senators Bill Brady and Kirk Dillard, had sought the nomination in 2010, with Brady edging out Dillard by 193 votes, but ultimately losing to Pat Quinn by less than 1 percent.[20] Dan Rutherford, who was elected state treasurer in 2010 after serving as a State Representative and State Senator, formally entered the race on June 2.[21]

Rauner had announced the formation of an exploratory committee in March[22] and made his entry into the Republican field official on June 5.[23] Despite longstanding rumors that Rauner was committed to spending $50 million on his campaign, he denied in an interview ever specifying a dollar figure.[24]

By the date of the primary, Rauner had broken the previous record for self-funding in an Illinois gubernatorial race by putting more than $6 million of his own money into his campaign. In total, he raised more than $14 million before the primary election.[25]

On March 18, 2014, Rauner won the Republican primary, collecting 40% of the vote, compared to 37% for State Senator Kirk Dillard.

Candidates

Declared

Removed

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
class=small Margin of
error
Adam
Andrzejewski
Bill
Brady
Kirk
Dillard
Dan
Proft
Bruce
Rauner
Dan
Rutherford
Aaron
Schock
Joe
Walsh
OtherUndecided
We Ask AmericaMarch 17, 20141,126± 3%19%27% align=center44%9%
Illinois Mirror/WAS March 16, 20141,162± 3%15%26% align=center32%5%21%
We Ask AmericaMarch 11, 20141,235± 2.9%19%26% align=center46%9%
Tribune/WGN-TVMarch 1–5, 2014600± 4%18%23% align=center36%9%13%
We Ask AmericaMarch 4, 20141,262± 2.85%12%14% align=center40%8%26%
We Ask AmericaFebruary 25, 20141,178± 3%13%17% align=center36%7%27%
McKeon & Assoc.*February 18–19, 2014831± 3.6%24%13% align=center32%3%18%
We Ask AmericaFebruary 18, 20141,323± ?14%13% align=center35%8%30%
Tribune/WGN-TVFebruary 5–8, 2014600± 4%20%11% align=center40%13%15%
We Ask AmericaJanuary 14, 20141,139± 2.9%17%9% align=center34%15%25%
Ogden & FryJanuary 2014778± 2.5%8%6% align=center18%10% align=center58%
We Ask AmericaNovember 26, 20131,233± 2.79%18%10% align=center26%17% align=center29%
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013375± 5.1%17%10% align=center24%14% align=center36%
We Ask AmericaNovember 14, 20131,191± 2.94% align=center25%14%11%18% align=center32%
Battleground PollingNovember 3–11, 2013535± 3.97%13%12%12% align=center18% align=center45%
We Ask AmericaAugust 13, 20131,102± ? align=center21%10%14%17% align=center32%
We Ask AmericaJune 20, 20131,310± 2.8%18%11%12% align=center22% align=center38%
Battleground Polling May 20–27, 2013400± 4.8%19%14%13%5% align=center27%22%
Paul Simon InstituteJanuary 27–February 8, 2013186± 7.2%2%10%3%2% align=center10%9%6%5% align=center53%
Public Policy PollingNovember 26–28, 2012303± 5.6%14%12%7% align=center19%18%8%7%15%

Results

Third party and Independents

Candidates

Declared

Removed from ballot

Declined

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[49] November 3, 2014
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[50] November 3, 2014
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[51] November 3, 2014
align=left Real Clear Politics[52] November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Quinn (D)
Bruce
Rauner (R)
Chad
Grimm (L)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 1–2, 20141,064± 3% align=center47%45%3%5%
48%48%4%
McKeon & AssociatesOctober 28, 2014823± 3.9% align=center45%42%4%9%
We Ask AmericaOctober 27–28, 20142,327± 3% align=center50%45%6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 20143,519± 3% align=center45%41%1%13%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 20–22, 20141,000± 3%47% align=center48%2%4%
APC ResearchOctober 16–21, 2014800± 3.5%43% align=center45%4%7%
Southern Illinois UniversitySeptember 23 – October 15, 20141,006 RV± 3% align=center41%39%5%1%15%
691 LV± 3.7%41% align=center42%3%1%13%
We Ask AmericaOctober 8, 20141,051± 3.02% align=center44%41%7%8%
University of Illinois SpringfieldOctober 2–8, 2014723± 3.7%41% align=center43%2%14%
We Ask AmericaOctober 6, 20141,097± 3% align=center44%40%6%11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovSeptember 20 – October 1, 20143,955± 2% align=center46%43%1%10%
Communication ExpressSeptember 30, 20141,208± 2.87%37% align=center43%5%16%
Fabrizio LeeSeptember 27–29, 2014600± 4% align=center41%39%5%15%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 24–25, 2014750± 4% align=center44%42%6%8%
Battleground PollingSeptember 23–24, 2014408± 4.8%43%43%6%8%
We Ask AmericaSeptember 18–19, 20141,418± 3%41% align=center44%6%9%
Global Strategy GroupSeptember 4–7, 2014605± 4% align=center43%40%5%12%
APC ResearchSeptember 3–5, 2014800± 3.5% align=center48%37%5%10%
We Ask AmericaSeptember 2, 20141,064± 3%37% align=center46%7%10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovAugust 18 – September 2, 20144,363± 3%40% align=center44%2%13%
Garin Hart Yang Research Group*August 12–14, 2014802± 3.5%43% align=center46%11%
We Ask AmericaAugust 5–6, 20141,085± 3.12%38% align=center51%11%
Gravis MarketingAugust 4–5, 2014567± 4%40% align=center48%12%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 29–30, 2014750± 4%39% align=center44%7%10%
We Ask AmericaJuly 28, 20141,087± 2.97%33% align=center47%20%
Mellman Group^July 27–29, 2014600± 5%38% align=center39%23%
Harstad Strategic ResearchJuly 17–22, 20141,003± 3.1%42% align=center46%3%8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovJuly 5–24, 20145,298± 2.1%43% align=center46%2%8%
McKeon & AssociatesJuly 9–10, 2014800± 3.9%34% align=center40%26%
Capitol Fax/We Ask AmericaJuly 8, 2014940± 3.2%39% align=center51%10%
We Ask AmericaJune 10–11, 20141,075± 3%37% align=center47%16%
Where America Stands May 12, 20141,168± 3%31% align=center49%1%3%[53] 16%
We Ask America[54] April 27, 2014?± 3.14%44%44%12%
We Ask America[55] April 21, 2014?± 3.21%38% align=center49%13%
Rasmussen ReportsApril 9–10, 2014750± 4%40% align=center43%6%10%
Where America Stands March 27, 20141,033± 3%32% align=center46%1%2%[56] 19%
Gravis MarketingMarch 21–22, 2014806± 3%35% align=center43%22%
We Ask AmericaJanuary 30, 20141,354± 2.7%39% align=center47%14%
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013557± 4.2% align=center41%38%21%
With Quinn
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Quinn (D)
Bill
Brady (R)
Undecided
We Ask AmericaJanuary 30, 20141,354± 2.7%39% align=center48%13%
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013557± 4.2%41%41%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Quinn (D)
Kirk
Dillard (R)
Undecided
We Ask AmericaJanuary 30, 20141,354± 2.7%37% align=center46%17%
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013557± 4.2%39%39%21%
Public Policy PollingNovember 26–28, 2012500± 4.4%37% align=center44%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Quinn (D)
Dan
Rutherford (R)
Undecided
We Ask AmericaJanuary 30, 20141,354± 2.7%37% align=center46%17%
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013557± 4.2%39% align=center41%20%
Public Policy PollingNovember 26–28, 2012500± 4.4%39% align=center43%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Quinn (D)
Aaron
Schock (R)
Undecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 26–28, 2012500± 4.4% align=center40%39%21%
With Daley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Daley (D)
Kirk
Dillard (R)
Undecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 26–28, 2012500± 4.4%34% align=center36%30%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Daley (D)
Dan
Rutherford (R)
Undecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 26–28, 2012500± 4.4%37% align=center38%25%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bill
Daley (D)
Aaron
Schock (R)
Undecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 26–28, 2012500± 4.4% align=center40%35%25%
With Emanuel
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Rahm
Emanuel (D)
Dan
Rutherford (R)
Undecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013557± 4.2% align=center40%38%22%
With Hynes
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Daniel
Hynes (D)
Dan
Rutherford (R)
Undecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013557± 4.2%34%34%32%
With Madigan
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Lisa
Madigan (D)
Kirk
Dillard (R)
Undecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 26–28, 2012500± 4.4% align=center46%37%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Lisa
Madigan (D)
Dan
Rutherford (R)
Undecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 22–25, 2013557± 4.2% align=center45%40%15%
Public Policy PollingNovember 26–28, 2012500± 4.4% align=center46%37%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Lisa
Madigan (D)
Aaron
Schock (R)
Undecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 26–28, 2012500± 4.4% align=center46%38%17%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Illinois State Board of Elections . Elections.illinois.gov . 2015-01-09 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150331040020/http://www.elections.illinois.gov/ . 2015-03-31 . dead .
  2. Web site: Pat Quinn Concedes Illinois Gubernatorial Race to Bruce Rauner. Huffington Post. November 5, 2014. November 6, 2014.
  3. Newman, James (November 5, 2014) - "Quinn/Rauner a Squeaker? Durbin/Oberweis a Cakewalk? Think Again" - NIU Today. Northern Illinois University. Retrieved December 5, 2014.
  4. Web site: Voter Turnout . www.elections.il.gov . Illinois State Board of Elections . 22 March 2020 .
  5. Web site: Election Results . www.elections.il.gov . Illinois State Board of Elections . 23 March 2020 . https://web.archive.org/web/20200222093629/https://www.elections.il.gov/ElectionOperations/ElectionVoteTotals.aspx . 22 February 2020 . dead .
  6. Web site: Voter Turnout . www.elections.il.gov . Illinois State Board of Elections . 22 March 2020 .
  7. Web site: Tio Hardiman, Ex-CeaseFire Director, Announces He'll Seek Democratic Nomination For Illinois Governor. August 18, 2013. August 19, 2013. The Huffington Post.
  8. http://www.elections.state.il.us/ElectionInformation/CandDetail.aspx?CandidateID=18898&ElectionID=41 Candidate Detail
  9. Web site: Quinn Running Again Because "I Think I'm Doing A Good Job". NBC Chicago. November 29, 2012. November 24, 2013.
  10. News: Burnett. Sara. Quinn picks Paul Vallas as 2014 running mate. Pantagraph. Associated Press. 8 November 2013.
  11. Web site: Bill Daley jumps '100 percent' in Illinois governor race. https://archive.today/20130620014405/http://voices.suntimes.com/early-and-often/politics/bill-daley-jumping-in-illinois-governor-race-with-we-cant-wait-slogan/. dead. June 20, 2013. June 10, 2013. June 10, 2013. Sun Times Chicago.
  12. News: Bill Daley drops bid for governor . Chicago Tribune . September 16, 2013. September 16, 2013.
  13. Web site: Bill Daley for governor? He doesn't want to talk about it. December 12, 2012. December 13, 2012. Capitol Fax. Rich. Miller.
  14. Web site: Brown: Lisa Madigan's exit opens the door for ... who?. July 16, 2013. August 5, 2013. Chicago Sun-times. Mark. Brown.
  15. Web site: Could another Democrat emerge?. September 18, 2013. September 18, 2013. Capitol Fax. Rich. Miller.
  16. Web site: Lisa Madigan takes pass on governor's race. July 15, 2013. July 16, 2013. Chicago Tribune.
  17. Web site: Toni Preckwinkle says 'no' to possible run for governor in 2014. October 17, 2012. October 21, 2012. Chicago Sun-Times. Natasha. Korecki.
  18. Web site: Democratic Sen. Kwame Raoul won't run for Illinois governor. August 29, 2013. August 31, 2013. Chicago Tribune.
  19. Web site: Republican governor candidates . Reboot Illinois . March 14, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20140314210406/http://politics.rebootillinois.com/election-scorecard/illinois-gubernatorial-republican-primary/ . March 14, 2014 . dead . mdy-all .
  20. Web site: 2010 Gubernatorial General Election Results. U.S. Elections Atlas. March 14, 2014.
  21. Web site: Dan Rutherford jumps into governor's race. Geiger. Kim. Chicago Tribune. June 3, 2013 . March 14, 2014.
  22. Web site: Rauner announces "exploratory committee". Capitol Fax. March 5, 2013 . March 14, 2014.
  23. Web site: Rauner officially enters GOP race for governor. Garcia. Monique. Secter. Bob. Chicago Tribune. June 6, 2013 . March 14, 2014.
  24. Web site: RAUNER Q&A: ONLY AN OUTSIDER CAN FIX ILLINOIS' MANY PROBLEMS; I'M THE ONE TO DO IT. https://web.archive.org/web/20140314221451/http://politics.rebootillinois.com/2013/06/06/uncategorized/mattdietrich/rauner-q-im-one/1867/. dead. March 14, 2014. Dietrich. Matt. Reboot Illinois. June 6, 2013. March 14, 2014.
  25. Web site: Rauner's $6 million sets record in Illinois governor race. Pearson. Rick. Chicago Tribune. March 6, 2014 . March 14, 2014.
  26. Web site: Brady to launch bid for governor on Wednesday. June 25, 2013. June 26, 2013. Pantagraph.
  27. Web site: Bill Brady Picks Maria Rodriguez As Running-Mate. 2013-09-17. 2013-09-24. CBS Chicago.
  28. Web site: Sen. Dillard Confirms Run for Governor. November 8, 2012. November 10, 2012. NBC Chicago. BJ. Lutz.
  29. Web site: Dillard officially picks State Rep. Jil Tracy as 2014 running mate. 2013-09-03. 2013-09-24.
  30. Web site: Republican 2014 governor hopefuls jockey in Tampa. August 28, 2012. October 21, 2012. Chicago Tribune. Rick. Pearson.
  31. Web site: Gov candidate Bruce Rauner announces Evelyn Sanguinetti as running mate. October 8, 2013. October 19, 2013. ABC 7 Chicago. Charles. Thomas. https://web.archive.org/web/20131020105944/http://abclocal.go.com/wls/story?section=news%2Fpolitics&id=9279300. October 20, 2013. dead.
  32. Web site: State Treasurer Dan Rutherford to announce run for governor. May 30, 2013. May 31, 2013. Chicago Sun-Times. Neil. Steinberg.
  33. Web site: GOP gov hopeful Dan Rutherford taps Steve Kim as running mate. 2013-09-02. 2013-09-24. Chicago Sun-Times. Lauren. Fitzpatrick.
  34. News: Unknown Republicans File for Illinois Governor, US Senate, Legislature. December 3, 2013. Illinois Observer. December 4, 2013.
  35. News: Republican Candidate For Governor Kicked Off The Ballot. January 10, 2014. WUIS 919. February 10, 2014.
  36. Web site: Former gubernatorial candidate Andrzejewski staying out of 2014 campaign. March 20, 2013. October 19, 2013. Herald & Review. Kurt. Erickson.
  37. Web site: Dan Duffy Endorses Bruce Rauner for Governor. October 16, 2013. October 19, 2013. McHenry County Blog. Cal. Skinner.
  38. Web site: Word on the Street: Adam Kinzinger for governor? It could make sense. September 1, 2012. November 25, 2012. PJStar.com.
  39. News: Ray LaHood rules out running for office after Cabinet term. Chicago Tribune . Katherine . Skiba .
  40. Web site: Suburban Republicans for governor in 2014?. August 17, 2012. October 21, 2012. The Daily Herald. Mike. Riopell.
  41. Web site: Dan Proft Nixes Run for Illinois Governor in 2014. August 28, 2013. October 19, 2013. 89 WLS. Bill. Cameron. https://web.archive.org/web/20131020135836/http://www.wlsam.com/common/page.php?pt=Dan+Proft+Nixes+Run+for+Illinois+Governor+in+2014&id=63563. October 20, 2013. dead. mdy-all.
  42. News: Schock won't seek GOP nod for Illinois governor. Chicago Tribune . Rick . Pearson . April 26, 2013 . April 26, 2013 .
  43. Web site: Joe Walsh, Governor? Defeated Illinois Congressman Mulls His Next Steps. November 8, 2012. November 16, 2012. The Huffington Post.
  44. Web site: Chad Grimm . 14 August 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20131020100109/http://www.lp.org/candidates/liberty-candidates-14/chad-grimm . 20 October 2013 . dead . dmy-all .
  45. Web site: Green Party Candidates Seek Place on November Ballot . Vinicky . Amanda . Meisel . Hannah . 27 March 2014 . wuis.org . 14 August 2014.
  46. http://www.miamiherald.com/2014/08/22/4303510/illinois-november-ballot-set-without.html Rauner Dealt Double Blows Over Illinois Ballot
  47. Web site: STATE SENATOR SAM MCCANN CONSIDERING A THIRD PARTY RUN FOR ILLINOIS GOVERNOR . Illinois Review . June 6, 2014 . July 22, 2014.
  48. Web site: McCann out before he's in governor's race . The State Journal-Register . Bernard Schoenburg . June 10, 2014 . July 22, 2014.
  49. Web site: 2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 . The Cook Political Report . September 3, 2018.
  50. Web site: The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks . Sabato's Crystal Ball . 3 November 2014 . September 3, 2018.
  51. Web site: 2014 Gubernatorial Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . September 3, 2018.
  52. Web site: 2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races . Real Clear Politics . September 3, 2018.
  53. Mike Oberline (C) 2%, Scott Summers (G) 1%
  54. Poll identified candidate's party
  55. Poll did not identify candidate's party
  56. "Green Party candidate"