2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election
Country:Hawaii
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2010 Hawaii gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2010
Next Election:2018 Hawaii gubernatorial election
Next Year:2018
Election Date:November 4, 2014
Image1:Governor David Ige (cropped 2).jpg
Nominee1:David Ige
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Running Mate1:Shan Tsutsui
Popular Vote1:181,106
Percentage1:49.45%
Nominee2:Duke Aiona
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Running Mate2:Elwin Ahu
Popular Vote2:135,775
Percentage2:37.08%
Image3:Mufi Hannemann (2829422273) (cropped).jpg
Nominee3:Mufi Hannemann
Party3:Independent (United States)
Running Mate3:Les Chang
Popular Vote3:42,934
Percentage3:11.72%
Map Size:310px
Governor
Before Election:Neil Abercrombie
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:David Ige
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Hawaii, concurrently with a special election to Hawaii's Class III Senate Seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Primary elections were held on August 9, 2014. In Hawaii, candidates for governor and lieutenant governor run in separate primaries and are then elected on the same ticket. Incumbent Democratic governor Neil Abercrombie ran for re-election to a second term in office, but was defeated by State Senator David Ige in the Democratic primary, making Abercrombie the first incumbent governor to lose renomination in Hawaii history. Incumbent Democratic lieutenant governor Shan Tsutsui was renominated.

The Republicans nominated former lieutenant governor Duke Aiona and pastor and former circuit court judge Elwin Ahu. Also running as an independent was former mayor of Honolulu Mufi Hannemann and former Honolulu parks and recreation director Les Chang. Ige and Tsutsui won the election. As of 2023, this election was the only time since 1994 that the winning gubernatorial nominee won the Hawaii gubernatorial election with only a plurality of the popular vote.

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared
Declined

Debates

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Neil
Abercrombie
David
Ige
OtherUndecided
Ward ResearchJuly 21–29, 2014458± 4.6%36% align=center54%11%
Civil BeatJuly 24–28, 2014895± 3.3%41% align=center51%8%
Public Policy PollingJuly 23–24, 2014410± ?39% align=center49%12%
Civil BeatJune 7–9, 2014729± 3.6%37% align=center48%15%
SMS Research*March 24–April 25, 20141,402± 2.6% align=center42%28%30%
Civil BeatFebruary 12–15, 2014643± 3.9%37%37%26%
Ward ResearchJanuary 29–February 3, 2014528± 4.3% align=center47%38%14%

Results

Lieutenant governor

Brian Schatz won the Democratic primary for lieutenant governor in 2010 with 37% of the vote and was elected alongside Abercrombie. After the death of U.S. Senator Daniel Inouye in December 2012, Abercrombie appointed Schatz to succeed him in the Senate. Schatz resigned as lieutenant governor and was succeeded by Shan Tsutsui, the president of the Hawaii Senate.[5]

Candidates

Declared

Results

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared
Declined

Endorsements

Results

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared
Declined

Results

Libertarian nomination

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Results

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared

Results

Hawaii Independent primary

Governor

Candidates

Declared

Results

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared

Results

No Party primary

Hawaii has strict criteria for independent candidates seeking to participate in the general election.[16] Three of the four candidates were disqualified for not having a running mate. The other candidate also had no running mate, but had already withdrawn from the race. They all still appeared on the ballot, alongside a notice about their status.[17]

Candidates

Disqualified

Withdrew

Results

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[18] November 3, 2014
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] November 3, 2014
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[20] November 3, 2014
align=left Real Clear Politics[21] November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
David
Ige (D)
Duke
Aiona (R)
Mufi
Hannemann (I)
OtherUndecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 20141,002± 6% align=center54%22%5%0%19%
Civil Beatalign=center rowspan=2October 16–19, 2014align=center rowspan=21,221align=center rowspan=2± 2.8% align=center40%34%11%6%8%
align=center27%26% align=center47%
Tarrance Group/RGAOctober 2014800± 3.5% align=center39%36%12%3%11%
Ward ResearchOctober 11–18, 2014605± 4% align=center47%35%12%1%[22] 6%
Global Strategy GroupOctober 3–8, 2014600± 4% align=center45%33%10%2%10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovSeptember 20 – October 1, 20141,319± 4% align=center41%35%6%0%18%
Civil Beatalign=center rowspan=2September 11–14, 2014align=center rowspan=21,055align=center rowspan=2± 3% align=center43%39%8%2%8%
align=center48%45%7%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 9–10, 2014750± 4% align=center40%39%14%2%6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovAugust 18 – September 2, 2014655± 6% align=center37%35%6%2%20%
Ward ResearchJuly 21–29, 2014612± 4%34% align=center41%15%10%
Civil BeatJune 7–9, 20141,078± 3%31%31%17%21%
Ward ResearchJanuary 29 – February 3, 2014642± 3.9%34% align=center51%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Neil
Abercrombie (D)
Duke
Aiona (R)
Mufi
Hannemann (I)
OtherUndecided
Ward ResearchJuly 21–29, 2014612± 4%30% align=center45%14%11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovJuly 5–24, 20141,083± 3%37% align=center40%14%7%
Civil BeatJune 7–9, 20141,078± 3%27% align=center33%18%22%
Ward ResearchJanuary 29 – February 3, 2014642± 3.9%40% align=center48%12%

Results

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

Notes and References

  1. News: Hawaii Gov. Neil Abercrombie says he will seek second term . April 29, 2013 . May 2, 2013.
  2. News: Hawaii Gov. Abercrombie gets a primary challenger . July 9, 2013 . July 10, 2013 . The Washington Post.
  3. News: Candidate Q&A — Governor of Hawaii: Van Tanabe . July 9, 2014 . August 1, 2014 . Civil Beat.
  4. News: Case To Join Outrigger, Says Political Career Likely Over . July 16, 2013 . Honolulu Civil Beat . July 12, 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20130820204719/http://hawaii.news.blogs.civilbeat.com/post/55294375609/case-to-join-outrigger-says-political-career-likely . August 20, 2013 . dead .
  5. News: Tsutsui's promotion causes ripple effect: Senate to vote on new president on opening day . Cam . Tran . . December 27, 2012 . dead . https://archive.today/20130127160654/http://www.kitv.com/news/hawaii/Tsutsui-s-promotion-causes-ripple-effect/-/8905354/17931356/-/8q06cbz/-/index.html . January 27, 2013 .
  6. Web site: Hee Candidacy Shakes Up Gov and Lt. Gov Races, and Hawaii Senate . Honolulu Civil Beat . May 11, 2014 . May 13, 2014.
  7. Web site: Lt. Governor Shan Tsutsui Will Run in 2014 . Hawaii Reporter . May 31, 2013 . May 13, 2014.
  8. Web site: Republican Duke Aiona officially enters Hawaii race for governor; race has echoes of 2010 . The Republic . May 19, 2014 . May 20, 2014 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20140521031412/http://www.therepublic.com/view/story/136deb755913485f81872bff85157503/HI--Hawaii-Governor-Race . May 21, 2014 .
  9. Web site: State GOP chair confirms Djou congressional run . . March 21, 2014 . Ian Scheuring.
  10. Web site: Derrick DePledge. 'In discussions ...'. Governing. January 17, 2014 . January 27, 2014.
  11. Web site: Pastor to seek Republican nomination for lieutenant gov . Honolulu Star Advertiser. February 27, 2014 . May 13, 2014.
  12. Web site: Hannemann picks ex-parks chief as gubernatorial running mate. June 3, 2014. June 30, 2014. Derrick. DePledge. Honolulu Star-Advertiser.
  13. Web site: Pastor seeks GOP nomination for lieutenant governor . Find Law . May 13, 2014.
  14. News: Jeff 'The Solar Guy' Davis Running for Hawaii Governor. January 9, 2014. February 8, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140222194707/http://hawaii.politics.government.blogs.civilbeat.com/post/72482903006/jeff-the-solar-guy-davis-running-for-hawaii-governor. February 22, 2014. dead.
  15. Web site: Mufi Hannemann announces candidacy for Hawaii governor's race. Hawaii News Now. April 25, 2014. April 25, 2014.
  16. Web site: No Independent Candidate Polls Enough Votes in Hawaii Primary to Advance to General Election Ballot . Ballot Access News . August 10, 2014 . October 27, 2014.
  17. Web site: Nonpartisans in Hawaii governor race disqualified . West Hawaii Today . June 25, 2014 . October 27, 2014 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20141028010055/http://westhawaiitoday.com/news/state-wire/nonpartisans-hawaii-governor-race-disqualified . October 28, 2014 .
  18. Web site: 2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 . The Cook Political Report . September 3, 2018.
  19. Web site: The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks . Sabato's Crystal Ball . September 3, 2018.
  20. Web site: 2014 Gubernatorial Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . September 3, 2018.
  21. Web site: 2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races . Real Clear Politics . September 3, 2018.
  22. Jeff Davis (L)