2009 Galician regional election explained

Election Name:2009 Galician regional election
Country:Galicia
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2005 Galician regional election
Previous Year:2005
Next Election:2012 Galician regional election
Next Year:2012
Seats For Election:All 75 seats in the Parliament of Galicia
Majority Seats:38
Opinion Polls:
  1. Opinion polls
Registered:2,648,276 1.2%
Turnout:1,706,198 (64.4%)
0.2 pp
Election Date:1 March 2009
Leader1:Alberto Núñez Feijóo
Party1:People's Party of Galicia
Leader Since1:15 January 2006
Leaders Seat1:Pontevedra
Last Election1:37 seats, 45.2%
Seats1:38
Seat Change1:1
Popular Vote1:789,427
Percentage1:46.7%
Swing1:1.5 pp
Leader2:Emilio Pérez Touriño
Party2:PSdeG–PSOE
Leader Since2:10 October 1998
Leaders Seat2:Pontevedra
Last Election2:25 seats, 33.2%
Seats2:25
Seat Change2:0
Popular Vote2:524,488
Percentage2:31.0%
Swing2:2.2 pp
Leader3:Anxo Quintana
Party3:Galician Nationalist Bloc
Leader Since3:23 November 2003
Leaders Seat3:Ourense
Last Election3:13 seats, 18.7%
Seats3:12
Seat Change3:1
Popular Vote3:270,712
Percentage3:16.0%
Swing3:2.7 pp
Map Size:350px
President
Before Election:Emilio Pérez Touriño
Before Party:PSdeG–PSOE
After Election:Alberto Núñez Feijóo
After Party:People's Party of Galicia

The 2009 Galician regional election was held on Sunday, 1 March 2009, to elect the 8th Parliament of the autonomous community of Galicia. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with a regional election in the Basque Country.

The election saw the People's Party (PP) retake control of the parliament from the coalition of the Socialists' Party of Galicia (PSdeG–PSOE) and the Galician Nationalist Bloc (BNG), with a majority of 1 seat. As a result, Alberto Núñez Feijoo became the new President of Galicia.

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of Galicia was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Galicia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Galician Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1] Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Galicia and in full enjoyment of their political rights.

The 75 members of the Parliament of Galicia were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of A Coruña, Lugo, Ourense and Pontevedra, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 10 seats and the remaining 35 being distributed in proportion to their populations.[1] [2]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency was entitled the following seats:

SeatsConstituencies
24A Coruña
22Pontevedra
15Lugo
14Ourense

The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[3]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of Galicia expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of Galicia (DOG), with election day taking place between the fifty-fourth and the sixtieth day from publication. The previous election was held on 19 June 2005, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 19 June 2009. The election decree was required to be published in the DOG no later than 26 May 2009, with the election taking place up to the sixtieth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Saturday, 25 July 2009.[1] [2]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Galicia and call a snap election, provided that it did not occur before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[4]

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[2] [5]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

CandidacyParties and
alliances
Leading candidateIdeologyPrevious result
Votes (%)Seats
PPAlberto Núñez FeijóoConservatism
Christian democracy
45.23%
PSdeG–
PSOE
Emilio Pérez TouriñoSocial democracy33.22%
BNGAnxo QuintanaGalician nationalism
Left-wing nationalism
Socialism
18.65%

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 38 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Galicia.

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Regional Government of Galicia.

Predicted President

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president of the Regional Government of Galicia.

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 1 March 2009 Parliament of Galicia election results →
Parties and alliancesPopular voteSeats
Votes%±ppTotal+/−
People's Party (PP)789,427 46.68 +1.4538 +1
Socialists' Party of Galicia (PSdeG–PSOE)524,488 31.02 –2.2025 ±0
Galician Nationalist Bloc (BNG)270,712 16.01 –2.6412 –1
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD)23,796 1.41 New0 ±0
Galician Land (TeGa)18,726 1.11 New0 ±0
United Left (EU–IU)16,441 0.97 +0.230 ±0
The Greens–Green Group (OV–GV)5,911 0.35 New0 ±0
For a Fairer World (PUM+J)3,507 0.21 New0 ±0
Galician People's Front (FPG)2,903 0.17 –0.010 ±0
We–People's Unity (Nós–UP)1,510 0.09 –0.010 ±0
Humanist Party (PH)1,227 0.07 –0.020 ±0
Ourensan Democracy (DO)1,066 0.06 +0.020 ±0
More Galicia (+G)923 0.05 New0 ±0
Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS)675 0.04 –0.020 ±0
Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn)420 0.02 New0 ±0
United Galicia (GU)369 0.02 New0 ±0
Liberal Centrist Union (UCL)311 0.02 New0 ±0
Social Democratic Party of Law (SDD)262 0.02 +0.010 ±0
Electronic Voting Assembly (AVE)230 0.01 New0 ±0
Blank ballots28,071 1.66 +0.41
Total1,690,975 75 ±0
Valid votes1,690,975 99.11 –0.43
Invalid votes15,223 0.89 +0.43
Votes cast / turnout1,706,198 64.43 +0.22
Abstentions942,078 35.57 –0.22
Registered voters2,648,276
Sources[74] [75]

Distribution by constituency

ConstituencyPPPSdeGBNG
data-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"Sdata-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"Sdata-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"S
A Coruña45.51230.6815.74
Lugo47.8832.7514.62
Ourense48.5731.9516.02
Pontevedra46.91130.5716.94
Total46.73831.02516.012
Sources

Aftermath

Investiture
Alberto Núñez Feijóo (PP)
Ballot →16 April 2009
Required majority →38 out of 75
Abstentions
Sources

References

Opinion poll sources
Other

Notes and References

  1. Ley Orgánica 1/1981, de 6 de abril, de Estatuto de Autonomía para Galicia] ]. Organic Law . 1 . es . 6 April 1981 . 8 August 2017.
  2. Ley 8/1985, de 13 de agosto, de elecciones al Parlamento de Galicia . Law . 2 . es . 13 August 1985 . 8 August 2017.
  3. Web site: Gallagher . Michael . 30 July 2012 . Effective threshold in electoral systems . https://web.archive.org/web/20170730092518/http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php . dead . 30 July 2017 . Trinity College, Dublin . 22 July 2017.
  4. Ley 1/1983, de 22 de febrero, de normas reguladoras de la Xunta y su Presidencia . Law . 1 . es . 22 February 1983 . 8 August 2017.
  5. Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General . Organic Law . 5 . es . 19 June 1985 . 28 December 2016.
  6. Web site: Avance: Programa especial elecciones gallegas y vascas - 01/03/2009 . es . YouTube . 1 March 2009.
  7. Web site: Los primeros sondeos: el PP consigue 36-38 escaños, el PSOE 25-27 y el BNG 11-13 . es . 20minutos . 1 March 2009.
  8. Web site: Ibarretxe seguirá siendo lehendakari y Touriño mantendrá Galicia, según el sondeo de Ipsos . es . Público . 1 March 2009.
  9. Web site: La encuesta de IPSOS para TVG no garantiza la mayoría absoluta al Partido Popular . es . La Razón . 1 March 2009.
  10. Web site: En busca del nuevo Touriño: Manuel Vázquez lidera las apuestas . es . Diariocrítico . 1 March 2009.
  11. Web site: Se repiten los resultados del 2005, según la encuesta de Sondaxe . es . La Voz de Galicia . 1 March 2009.
  12. Web site: Instituto Sondaxe. Tracking electoral. Elecciones al Parlamento de Galicia 1 de Marzo 2009 . es . Sondaxe . 1 March 2009 . 28 August 2016 . 23 August 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160823221434/http://www.sondaxe.es/images/stories/pdfs/electorales/2009_tracking-autonomicas.pdf . dead .
  13. Web site: PSOE y BNG podrían repetir gobierno aunque el PP muestra tendencia al avance . es . El Progreso . 22 February 2009 . bot: unknown . https://web.archive.org/web/20120205090708/http://elprogreso.galiciae.com/cache/pdf/portada_progreso_22022009.pdf . 5 February 2012 .
  14. Web site: El PSOE y el BNG tienen a Feijóo pisándole los talones en la recta final . es . Xornal de Galicia . 22 February 2009 .
  15. Web site: El bipartito repetirá en la Xunta pero no abre una gran brecha con el PP . es . Faro de Vigo . 22 February 2009.
  16. Web site: La intención de voto se estabiliza . es . La Voz de Galicia . 23 February 2009 . 12 September 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170912233930/http://www.psdeg-psoe.org/descargas/Revista%20de%20prensa%2023.02.09.pdf . 12 September 2017 . dead .
  17. Web site: La campaña no mueve a los indecisos . es . La Voz de Galicia . 22 February 2009.
  18. Web site: El PP se acerca al cambio en Galicia . es . La Razón . 22 February 2009 . bot: unknown . https://web.archive.org/web/20090226190729/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/el-pp-se-acerca-al-cambio-en-galicia . 26 February 2009 .
  19. Web site: Máximo equilibrio en la carrera final hacia el 1-M . https://archive.today/20120630012821/http://www.laregion.es/noticia/82665/elecciones09/auton%F3micas09/encuesta/equilibrio/ . dead . 30 June 2012 . es . La Región . 22 February 2009 .
  20. Web site: Elecciones a la Xunta de Galicia. Datos del 20 de Febrero de 2009 . es . Infortécnica . 20 February 2009.
  21. Web site: Los escándalos de Touriño sitúan a los populares al borde de la mayoría absoluta . es . ABC . 22 February 2009.
  22. Web site: Encuesta Radiografía de Galicia . es . El Mundo . 22 February 2009.
  23. Web site: El PP, a un escaño de volver al poder en Galicia . es . Público . 21 February 2009 . bot: unknown . https://web.archive.org/web/20090224155504/http://www.publico.es/espana/politica/202891/publiscopio/elecciones/gaicia . 24 February 2009 .
  24. Web site: El PP ganaría las elecciones gallegas aunque sin mayoría absoluta . es . Antena 3 . 19 February 2009 .
  25. Web site: El último sondeo de Antena 3 no deja lugar a dudas en torno al 1-M . es . El Semanal Digital . 19 February 2009 . 12 September 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170913043827/http://anterior.esdiario.com/ultimo-sondeo-antena-deja-lugar-dudas--93214.htm . 13 September 2017 . dead .
  26. Web site: El bipartito consolida su mayoría aunque el PP conserva un amplio apoyo de los electores . es . El Correo Gallego . 22 February 2009 . bot: unknown . https://web.archive.org/web/20090225224732/http://www.elcorreogallego.es/galicia/elecciones/ecg-h/bipartito-consolida-su-mayoria-pp-conserva-un-amplio-apoyo-electores/idEdicion-2009-02-22/idNoticia-398729/ . 25 February 2009 .
  27. Web site: El bipartito gallego resiste . es . El País . 22 February 2009 . bot: unknown . https://web.archive.org/web/20111210110159/http://www.elpais.com/elpaismedia/ultimahora/media/200902/22/espana/20090222elpepunac_2_Pes_PDF.pdf . 10 December 2011 .
  28. Web site: La resistencia del PP pone en peligro la hegemonía del PSdeG y el Bloque . es . La Vanguardia . 22 February 2009.
  29. Web site: Barómetro ASCA: El PP estable en los 39 escaños . es . Galicia Diario . 15 February 2009.
  30. Web site: El PP recupera un escaño . es . La Voz de Galicia . 15 February 2009.
  31. Web site: Los indecisos y el voto oculto mantienen el empate entre el PP y la coalición PSOE-BNG . es . La Región . 15 February 2009 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20110921164544/http://www.laregion.es/noticia/81939/elecciones09/auton%C3%B3micas09/encuesta/indecisos/voto/ . 21 September 2011 .
  32. Web site: Dos sondeos prevén reeditar el bipartito tras el 1-M y uno más mantiene la posibilidad de mayoría para el PP . es . Europa Press . 15 February 2009.
  33. Web site: Elecciones a la Xunta de Galicia. Datos del 13 de Febrero de 2009 . es . Infortécnica . 13 February 2009.
  34. Web site: PSOE y BNG seguirán en la Xunta pese a la mayoría del PP . es . La Razón . 16 February 2009 . bot: unknown . https://web.archive.org/web/20111217072449/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/encueste-nc-report-para-la-razon-psoe-y-nacionalistas-seguiran-en-la-xunta-pese-a-la-mayoria-del-pp . 17 December 2011 .
  35. Web site: El pulsómetro: Los socialistas y Bloque podrían renovar . es . Cadena SER . 12 February 2009.
  36. Web site: Encuesta en la Comunidad Autónoma de Galicia . https://web.archive.org/web/20090321073852/http://cadenaser.com/static/pulsometro/anteriores/encuesta_090212.htm . dead . 21 March 2009 . es . Cadena SER . 12 February 2009 . 10 April 2019 . dmy-all .
  37. Web site: Intención de voto decidido . es . Instituto Opina . 12 February 2009 . 22 June 2015 . 23 September 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150923195930/http://www.cadenaser.com/csermedia/cadenaser/media/200902/12/espana/20090212csrcsrnac_1_Pes_PDF.pdf . dead .
  38. Web site: Lugo y Ourense, escenarios principales de la batalla electoral por la Xunta . es . El Progreso . 9 February 2009.
  39. Web site: El PP sigue aún lejos de la mayoría, el paro castiga al PSOE y el BNG avanza . es . Xornal de Galicia . 8 February 2009 .
  40. Web site: El PP sigue aún lejos de la mayoría, el paro castiga al PSOE y el BNG avanza . es . Xornal de Galicia . 8 February 2009.
  41. Web site: El bipartito revalida su mayoría en Galicia . es . Público . 2 February 2009 . bot: unknown . https://web.archive.org/web/20090203192314/http://www.publico.es/espana/196444/bipartito/revalida/mayoria/galicia . 3 February 2009 .
  42. Web site: Preelectoral de Galicia. Elecciones autonómicas, 2009 (Estudio nº 2783. Enero-Febrero 2009) . es . CIS . 12 February 2009.
  43. Web site: Soso arranque electoral en Euskadi y Galicia . es . La Vanguardia . 13 February 2009.
  44. Web site: El electorado mantiene la incógnita entre la mayoría absoluta del PP y un nuevo bipartito . https://archive.today/20120630012817/http://www.laregion.es/noticia/80577/galicia/elecciones/encuesta/regi%F3n/ . dead . 30 June 2012 . es . La Región . 1 February 2009 .
  45. Web site: Más de la cuarta parte de los electores aún no han decidido a quién votarán el 1-M . es . La Voz de Galicia . 25 January 2009 . bot: unknown . https://web.archive.org/web/20090130213300/http://www.lavozdegalicia.es/galicia/2009/01/25/0003_7483844.htm . 30 January 2009 .
  46. Web site: El PP volvería a ser el partido más votado en las elecciones gallegas . es . Antena 3 . 22 January 2009 .
  47. Web site: Encuesta elecciones gallegas hecha por TNS Demoscopia para Antena 3 y Onda Cero . es . Foro Libertad Digital . 22 January 2009 . 12 September 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170912234549/http://foro.libertaddigital.tv/threads/8747-HILO-ELECCIONES-GALICIA-2009?p=135021&viewfull=1#post135021 . 12 September 2017 . dead .
  48. Web site: Tendencia repetida en los sondeos . es . Libertad Popular . 23 January 2009.
  49. Web site: El PP no consigue la mayoría para recuperar la Xunta de Galicia . es . La Razón . 18 January 2009 . bot: unknown . https://web.archive.org/web/20091211195150/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/feijoo-repite-mayoria-pero-no-desbanca-de-la-xunta-al-bipartito . 11 December 2009 .
  50. Web site: Una encuesta estima una subida de tres escaños para el BNG, en detrimento del PP . es . La Opinión A Coruña . 18 January 2009.
  51. Web site: Xornal de Galicia revela que el PPdeG baja en la primera encuesta del 1-M . es . Xornal de Galicia . 18 January 2009 . 22 June 2015 . https://web.archive.org/web/20130914235401/http://www.xornal.com/article.php?sid=20090118014857 . 14 September 2013 . dead . dmy-all .
  52. Web site: El PSOE celebra que Galicia confíe en Touriño, y el PP, que la mayoría esté a tiro . https://web.archive.org/web/20170913044019/http://www.psdeg-psoe.org/descargas/rev1509.pdf . dead . 13 September 2017 . es . La Voz de Galicia . 15 September 2008.
  53. Web site: El PP está a tres diputados de la mayoría absoluta, a seis meses de las autonómicas . es . La Voz de Galicia . 14 September 2008 . bot: unknown . https://web.archive.org/web/20080918014608/http://www.lavozdegalicia.es/galicia/2008/09/14/0003_7138800.htm . 18 September 2008 .
  54. Web site: El PP está a tres diputados de la mayoría absoluta, a seis meses de las autonómicas . es . La Voz de Galicia . 14 September 2008 . bot: unknown . https://web.archive.org/web/20080918014608/http://www.lavozdegalicia.es/galicia/2008/09/14/0003_7138800.htm . 18 September 2008 .
  55. Web site: Gráfico: Barómetro galego 2006 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150622073352/http://www.elcorreogallego.es/galicia/politica/ecg/grafico-barometro-galego-2006/idEdicion-2006-12-30/idNoticia-119250// . dead . 22 June 2015 . es . El Correo Gallego . 30 December 2006.
  56. Web site: Barómetro galego. Do 23 de novembro ao 7 de decembro de 2006. Política e economía en Galicia e España . gl . USC . 30 December 2006. 10347/8310 .
  57. News: El Barómetro Galego asegura que el PSdeG ya aventaja al PP . es . El País . 30 December 2006 . Varela . Fernando .
  58. Web site: La mayoría de los gallegos quiere un nuevo Estatuto que reconozca su carácter nacional . es . Cadena SER . 3 July 2006.
  59. Web site: Pulsómetro 03/07/2006 . https://web.archive.org/web/20060704135335/http://www.cadenaser.com/static/pulsometro/anteriores/encuesta_060703.htm . dead . 4 July 2006 . es . Cadena SER . 3 July 2006 . 10 April 2019 . dmy-all .
  60. Web site: El PSdeG obtiene un 24,4% en intención directa de voto, 12 puntos más que BNG y 3,5 que PP, según un estudio de la Xunta . es . Europa Press . 12 December 2008.
  61. News: La crisis desgasta a los tres líderes, según el barómetro de la Xunta . es . El País . 13 December 2008 . Precedo . José .
  62. Web site: El PSOE baja en voto declarado y el nacionalismo se mantiene . https://web.archive.org/web/20150622200445/http://www.lavozdegalicia.es/galicia/2008/09/14/0003_7138801.htm . 2015-06-22 . es . La Voz de Galicia . 14 September 2008.
  63. Web site: Barómetro Clima Social de Galicia: las formaciones políticas del bipartito (PSdeG-BNG) pierden puntos en intención de voto. También baja la valoración de sus líderes mientras el PPdeG se mantiene . es . Galicia Digital . 29 July 2008.
  64. News: Cae la confianza ciudadana en la economía y en el Gobierno autónomo . es . El País . 30 July 2008 . Flotats . Anna .
  65. Web site: O barómetro da Xunta suspende a Feijoo e mantén a vantaxe do bipartito . gl . Vieiros . 17 October 2007.
  66. Web site: El PSdeG gana 3,3 puntos de intención directa de voto en tres meses y aventaja en 8,8 al PP . es . El Correo Gallego . 28 July 2007.
  67. Web site: Gráfico: Clima social en Galicia . es . El Correo Gallego . 28 July 2007.
  68. News: El 59,1% de los gallegos aprueban la gestión política y económica del Gobierno . es . El País . 29 July 2007 . Rodríguez-Medel . Marta Jar .
  69. Web site: El PSOE gallego se desploma y Touriño pierde en cinco meses el 10% de su intención de voto . es . ABC . 5 April 2007.
  70. Web site: El PSOE gallego se desploma y Pérez Touriño pierde más de dos puntos, según una encuesta de la Xunta . es . ABC . 5 April 2007.
  71. Web site: Un sondeo de la Xunta da al PSOE un 25% en intención directa de voto, por un 18 al PP y un 13 al BNG . es . La Voz de Galicia . 18 July 2006.
  72. Web site: El PSOE supera por primera vez al PP en Galicia . es . La Voz de Galicia . 8 February 2006.
  73. Web site: El PSdeG aventaja al PPdeG en más de cuatro puntos en intención directa de voto, según el barómetro de la USC . es . Europa Press . 9 February 2006.
  74. Web site: Elecciones al Parlamento de Galicia (1981 - 2020) . es . Historia Electoral.com . 25 September 2017.
  75. Web site: Parliament of Galicia election results, 1 March 2009 . 27 March 2009 . es . www.juntaelectoralcentral.es . . 25 September 2017.