Future Shock Explained

Future Shock
Author:Alvin Toffler
Subject:Social Sciences
Country:United States
Language:English
Publisher:Random House
Release Date:1970
Media Type:Print (hardback & paperback)
Isbn:0-394-42586-3
Isbn Note:(original hardcover)
Followed By:The Third Wave

Future Shock is a 1970 book by American futurist Alvin Toffler,[1] written together with his wife Adelaide Farrell,[2] [3] in which the authors define the term "future shock" as a certain psychological state of individuals and entire societies, and a personal perception of "too much change in too short a period of time". The book, which became an international bestseller, has sold over 6 million copies and has been widely translated.

The book grew out of the article "The Future as a Way of Life" in Horizon magazine, Summer 1965 issue.[4] [5] [6] [7]

Major themes

Future shock

Alvin Toffler argued that society is undergoing an enormous structural change, a revolution from an industrial society to a "super-industrial society". This change, he states, overwhelms people. He argues that the accelerated rate of technological and social change leaves people disconnected and suffering from "shattering stress and disorientation"—future shocked. Toffler stated that the majority of social problems are symptoms of future shock. In his discussion of the components of such shock, he popularized the term "information overload."

This analysis of the phenomenon of information overload is continued in later publications, especially The Third Wave and Powershift.

In the introduction to an essay titled "Future Shock" in his book, Conscientious Objections, Neil Postman wrote:

Sometime about the middle of 1963, my colleague Charles Weingartner and I delivered in tandem an address to the National Council of Teachers of English. In that address we used the phrase "future shock" as a way of describing the social paralysis induced by rapid technological change. To my knowledge, Weingartner and I were the first people ever to use it in a public forum. Of course, neither Weingartner nor I had the brains to write a book called Future Shock, and all due credit goes to Alvin Toffler for having recognized a good phrase when one came along. (p. 162)

Development of society and production

Alvin Toffler distinguished three stages in the development of society and production: agrarian, industrial, and post-industrial.

Each of these waves develops its own "super-ideology” to explain reality. This ideology affects all the spheres that make up a civilization phase: technology, social patterns, information patterns, and power patterns.

The first stage began in the period of the Neolithic Era with the advent of agriculture, thereby passing from barbarity to civilization. A large number of people acted as prosumers (eating their grown food, hunting animals, building their own houses, making clothes,....). People traded by exchanging their own goods for commodities of others. The second stage began in England with the Industrial Revolution with the invention of the machine tool and the steam engine. People worked in factories to make money they could spend on goods they needed (it means they produced for exchange, not for use). Countries also created new social systems. The third stage began in the second half of the 20th century in the West when people invented automatic production, robotics, and the computer. The services sector attained great value.

Toffler proposed one criterion for distinguishing between industrial society and post-industrial society: the share of the population occupied in agriculture versus the share of city labor occupied in the services sector. In a post-industrial society, the share of the people occupied in agriculture does not exceed 15%, and the share of city laborers occupied in the services sector exceeds 50%. Thus, the share of the people occupied with brainwork greatly exceeds the share of the people occupied with physical work in post-industrial society.

The third wave led to the Information Era (now). Homes are the dominant institutions. Most people carry produce and consume in their homes or electronic cottages, as they produce more of their own products and services markets become less important for them. People consider each other to be equally free as vendors of prosumer-generated commodities.

Fear of the future

Alvin Toffler's main thought centers on the idea that modern humans (we) feel shock from rapid changes. For example, Toffler's daughter went to shop in New York City and she couldn't find a shop where it used to be, thus New York is a city losing her history.

Features of post-industrial society

Significance and reception

The book sold over 6 million copies within five years[8] and has been widely translated (it had translations into twenty foreign languages as of 2003).[9] It has been described as "an international bestseller within weeks of publication".[10]

A documentary film based on the book was released in 1972 with Orson Welles as the on-screen narrator.[11]

See also

Notes and References

  1. Alvin Toffler: still shocking after all these years - Interview. New Scientist. 19 March 1994.
  2. News: Heidi Toffler, Unsung Force Behind Futurist Books, Dies at 89. Schneider. Keith. 2019-02-12. The New York Times. 2020-01-08. en-US. 0362-4331.
  3. Future Shock at 40: What the Tofflers Got Right (and Wrong). Fast Company. 15 October 2010.
  4. Toffler, Alvin, "The Future as a Way of Life", Horizon magazine, Summer 1965, Vol VII, Num 3
  5. Web site: September 8, 2013. For the love of reading: Horizon Magazine hardcover issues 1959 - 1977 table of contents.
  6. Eisenhart, Mary, "Alvin And Heidi Toffler: Surfing The Third Wave: On Life And Work In The Information Age", MicroTimes #118, January 3, 1994
  7. http://www.sociosite.net/topics/texts/toffler.php "Alvin Toffler: still shocking after all these years: New Scientist meets the controversial futurologist"
  8. Book: W. Warren Wagar. The Next Three Futures: Paradigms of Things to Come. Greenwood Press. 1991. 978-0-313-26528-0. 26.
  9. Book: Corneliu Vadim Tudor. Romania's One Way Ticket to the Future. Greater Romania Foundation Publishing House. 2003. 978-973-86070-4-0. 55.
  10. Book: Morgen Witzel. Encyclopedia of History of American Management. 15 May 2005. A&C Black. 978-1-84371-131-5. 501.
  11. Web site: Future Shock: Orson Welles Narrates a 1972 Film About the Perils of Technological Change Open Culture. 2021-02-05. en-US.