2019 European Parliament election in Croatia explained

Country:Croatia
Type:parliamentary
Previous Election:2014 European Parliament election in Croatia
Previous Year:2014
Next Election:2024 European Parliament election in Croatia
Next Year:2024
Seats For Election:All 12 Croatian seats in the European Parliament
Election Date:26 May 2019
Turnout:29.85% (4.61 pp)
Leader1:Karlo Ressler
Party1:Croatian Democratic Union
Alliance1:European People's Party
Last Election1:4 seats
Seats1:4
Popular Vote1:244,076
Percentage1:22.73%
Leader2:Tonino Picula
Party2:Social Democratic Party of Croatia
Alliance2:Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats
Last Election2:2 seats
Seats2:4
Seat Change2: 2
Popular Vote2:200,976
Percentage2:18.71%
Image3:Croatian part- Citizens’ Corner debate on EU policies for asylum seekers and immigrants (18432278524) (cropped).jpg
Leader3:Ruža Tomašić
Party3:HRASTHKSHSP AS–UHD
Alliance3:ECR-ECPM
Last Election3:0 seats
Seats3:1
Seat Change3: 1
Popular Vote3:91,546
Percentage3:8.52%
Seats4:1
Image4:Mislav_Kolakušić.jpg
Leader4:Mislav Kolakušić
Party4:Independent politician
Alliance4:Non-Inscrits
Last Election4:
Seat Change4:New
Popular Vote4:84,765
Percentage4:7.89%
Swing4:New
Image5:Sinčić.jpg
Leader5:Ivan Sinčić
Party5:Human Shield (political party)
Alliance5:Non-Inscrits
Colour5:fbec5d
Last Election5:0 seats
Seats5:1
Seat Change5: 1
Popular Vote5:60,847
Percentage5:5.67%
Image6:Valter Flego.jpg
Leader6:Valter Flego
Party6:Amsterdam Coalition
Alliance6:Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe Party
Colour6:62ba49
Last Election6:2 seats
Seats6:1
Seat Change6: 1
Popular Vote6:55,806
Percentage6:5.20%
Elected Members:elected members
Outgoing Members:outgoing members

European Parliament elections were held in Croatia on 26 May 2019, electing members of the national Croatia constituency to the European Parliament.[1] [2] These were the third such elections in the country since its accession to the European Union in 2013.

It was the first election to be held nationally since the 2016 parliamentary election, following which the center-right HDZ had formed a coalition government, first with the center-right MOST and later - in June 2017, with the centrist HNS. The European Parliament elections were therefore viewed as a major test for the center-left SDP, which had contested all previous nationwide elections since 2011 as part of a coalition, but chose to stand in this election alone. The elections as such was deemed important to showcase whether the SDP could remain the largest opposition party, having been faced with months of falling opinion poll ratings. Its main contenders for such a position within the political system were the anti-establishment, eurosceptic Živi zid party, and the newly formed center-left Amsterdam Coalition.[3]

The election resulted in the two largest parties in the country, the ruling centre-right HDZ, and the opposition centre-left SDP, winning an equal number of seats - each taking 4. SDP won in all four of the largest Croatian cities: Zagreb, Split, Rijeka and Osijek.[4] The remaining four seats were evenly divided between the right-wing Croatian Sovereignists coalition, the centre-left Amsterdam Coalition, the anti-establishment Živi zid party and the independent list led by jurist Mislav Kolakušić. The strong performance of right-wing and far-right parties, such as the Croatian Sovereignists coalition and Independents for Croatia-HSP coalition, is thought to have greatly contributed to the surprisingly poor result of the HDZ, notably by significantly reducing its support among members of the Croatian diaspora, who had registered a record turnout in this election. Another surprise in the elections was the large number of votes received by Zagreb jurist Mislav Kolakušić and his independent list - which was something not predicted by opinion polls, as well as the failures of MOST to attain a seat and of independent incumbent MEP Marijana Petir to retain her seat (which she had held since 2014).

At the previous election in 2014, Croatia was allocated 11 seats and is set to receive one additional seat following the withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the EU. All seats were up for election and the whole country forms a single constituency, with the 12 members elected by proportional representation using open lists and the D'Hondt method.[5]

Current delegation

Croatian parties in the European Parliament in the ninth legislature (2019-2024)
Group 12 National party 12
4Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ) 4
4Social Democratic Party (SDP) 4
1Istrian Democratic Assembly (IDS-DDI) 1
1Croatian Conservative Party (HKS) 1
1Mislav Kolakušić (ind.) 1
1Živi zid (ŽZ) 1

Campaign

A total of 33 valid candidate slates with 396 candidates were submitted for the upcoming European Parliament election. The lists were published by the State Election Commission on 10 April, when the official election campaign began that will last for 45 days.[6]

Croatian Democratic Union

The slate of the Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ), the ruling centre-right party of Croatia and member of the European People's Party (EPP), was led by 30-year-old Karlo Ressler, who was nominated by the youth branch of the party. The slate also includes two current MEPs, three members of the Croatian Parliament, and two county prefects. The party platform for the election was called "Croatia for Generations".[7] Croatian Prime Minister and HDZ President Andrej Plenković said that the election is a choice between a political course of Croatia's development and a backward course that would isolate Croatia.[8] The main campaign rally of the HDZ, held in Zagreb, was attended by German Chancellor Angela Merkel and Manfred Weber, EPP's candidate for European Commission (EC) President. Both of them urged voters to reject nationalism in the upcoming election.[9]

Social Democratic Party of Croatia

The slate of the main opposition party, the centre-left Social Democratic Party of Croatia (SDP) of the Party of European Socialists (PES), was led by current MEP Tonino Picula. While presenting the party list, Picula said that Croatia had not taken full advantage of its membership in the EU. The SDP was expecting to win three seats in the upcoming election.[10] The campaign event in Rijeka, where the SDP is in power, was attended by Frans Timmermans, the candidate of the PES for president of the EC, alongside SDP President Davor Bernardić. Bernardić accused the HDZ for "failing to salvage" the Croatian shipyards in Rijeka and Pula, in cooperation with the EC.[11]

Amsterdam Coalition

The list of the Amsterdam Coalition, a coalition of seven parties, including the Croatian Peasant Party (HSS), the Civic Liberal Alliance (GLAS), and the Istrian Democratic Assembly (IDS), was headed by Istria County prefect Valter Flego of the IDS. GLAS President Anka Mrak Taritaš presented the list as a rejection of a "Europe of barbed wire fences and the Brexit chaos", and said that the coalition advocates an open and free Europe. HSS President Krešo Beljak said that the vote for the coalition is a vote for a European Croatia.[12]

Živi zid

The populist Živi zid party announced a joint platform with Italy's Five Star Movement, Kukiz'15 from Poland, and Greece's AKKEL. The 1st candidate on the slate of the Živi zid was its secretary-general Tihomir Lukanić. Ivan Vilibor Sinčić, the president of the party, presented the platform as a new generation of politicians that will fight against corruption and organised crime.[13]

Bridge of Independent Lists

The slate of the Bridge of Independent Lists (Most) was led by its president, Božo Petrov. If elected, Petrov would have given up his seat in the European Parliament to the next candidate with most preferential votes.[14] Prior to the start of the campaign, the Most party attempted to filibuster a bill that would increase the spending limits for the European election, but the bill was passed by the Croatian Parliament just before the deadline.[15] The party has not joined any of the European political groups and announced the work within the non-affiliated Non-Inscrits.[16]

Independents for Croatia–Croatian Party of Rights

Two right-wing parties, the Independents for Croatia (NHR) and the Croatian Party of Rights (HSP), formed a coalition and emphasized a Europe of "free, sovereign and independent nations" as the main agenda. Their slate included both parties' presidents, Bruna Esih of the NHR and Karlo Starčević of the HSP.[17]

Croatian Sovereignists

See main article: Croatian Sovereignists. The Croatian Sovereignists coalition was formed by four right-wing parties: the Croatian Conservative Party (HKS), the Croatian Growth (Hrast), the Croatian Party of Rights Dr. Ante Starčević (HSP AS), and the United Croatian Patriots (UHD). Its list was led by current MEP Ruža Tomašić of the HKS, who won a mandate in 2013 and in 2014 on the HDZ-led Patriotic Coalition slate.[18]

Independent Democratic Serb Party

The Independent Democratic Serb Party (SDSS), the largest party of the Serbs of Croatia, ran independently for the first time in the European election.[19] Although there were speculations that the SDSS might leave the ruling coalition, its leader Milorad Pupovac confirmed that the SDSS will remain a part it, following a meeting with Prime Minister Plenković.[20] Campaign was marked by SDSS jumbo posters with inscription "Do you know how it is to be a Serb in Croatia?" in which a word Serb was written in Serbian Cyrillic.[21] Second on the list, just behind party leader Milorad Pupovac, was Dejan Jović, university professor and former consultant to Ivo Josipović.[22] As it was expected by campaign leaders jumbo posters were target of widespread nationalist vandalism and destruction which underlined the issue of ethnic intolerance and discrimination.[22]

Other electoral lists

The Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats (HNS–LD), the junior partner in the governing coalition, also ran independently, with Međimurje County Prefect Matija Posavec leading the list.[23]

Current MEP Marijana Petir, who was elected in 2014 on the HDZ-led coalition slate, ran as an independent candidate, with a campaign focused on agrarian issues.[24]

Opinion polls

The following graph depicts the evolution of standings of the two main political parties and other parties in the poll since the parliamentary elections 2003.

Polling average
Main parties
HDZ
SDP
Other parties
ŽZ
A
MOST
BM365
HNS
NHR-HSP
START
HS
NLMK
NLMP
Pametno
Events
Elections

Vote share

DatePolling firmSample
size
HDZSDPŽZAMostBM 365HNSNHR
HSP
StartHSNLMKNLMPPametnoOthersLead
25 May 2014Election results41.429.90.528.211.5
23 Nov 20182x1 komunikacije ----25.518.57.813.17.8--1.27.6--1.0------7.0
27 Dec 20181046--28.422.812.010.66.6--1.66.6--1.0------5.6
18 Jan 2019IPSOS1000--20.110.610.812.57.55.10.28.99.4--------7.6
1 Feb 20192x1 komunikacije ----26.422.010.514.06.8--1.48.6--2.2------4.4
27 Feb 2019IPSOS991--29.615.79.47.24.95.0----4.0--------16.013.9
28 Feb 20192x1 komunikacije ----26.320.09.914.18.7--1.57.5--1.7------6.3
6 Mar 2019Promocija plus1300--27.616.79.68.26.54.02.54.24.02.9------10.9
21 Mar 2019Promocija plus1400--27.016.49.38.46.43.62.34.34.12.8------1.610.6
23 Mar 20192x1 komunikacije ----26.620.810.514.48.8--2.66.2--1.5------5.8
26 Mar 2019IPSOS983--29.518.99.45.66.14.0----4.1--------16.610.6
7 Apr 2019Promocija plus1300--26.916.58.38.26.0----4.54.04.0------10.4
21 Apr 2019Promocija plus1400--25.115.77.77.66.22.42.44.13.23.94.64.6--2.49.4
27 Apr 2019IPSOS841--26.917.48.77.16.03.1--2.83.92.72.82.7--7.09.5
29 Apr 2019Oraclum 1200--36.120.59.76.07.42.21.22.93.42.43.2---2.315.6
30 Apr 20192x1 komunikacije ----24.021.09.87.96.81.01.05.02.02.73.22.5--1.23.0
8 May 2019Promocija plus1300--26.016.27.97.05.63.3--3.4--3.14.34.4----9.8
20 May 2019Promocija plus 1400--24.516.47.46.96.72.33.13.62.24.44.74.82.04.48.1
23 May 20192x1 komunikacije 1041--24.021.211.05.97.02.61.75.33.14.84.84.0--2.8
24 May 2019Oraclum ----34.621.111.15.77.32.81.22.43.12.23.3--1.213.5
24 May 2019IPSOS 985--28.220.17.46.26.13.0--4.63.04.25.1----8.1

Seat projections

DatePolling firmSample
size
HDZSDPŽZAMostBM 365HNSNHR
HSP
StartHSNLMKNLMPOthersLead
23 Nov 20182x1 komunikacije ----4312100100001
27 Dec 20182x1 komunikacije----4321100100001
18 Jan 2019IPSOS----3222100110001
1 Feb 20192x1 komunikacije ----4312100100001
27 Feb 2019IPSOS----6311010000003
28 Feb 20192x1 komunikacije ----4312100100001
6 Mar 2019Promocija plus----5321100000002
21 Mar 2019Promocija plus----5321100000002
23 Mar 2019----4312100100001
26 Mar 2019IPSOS----6311100000003
7 Apr 2019Promocija plus----5311100100002
21 Apr 2019Promocija plus----5311100000002
27 Apr 2019IPSOS----5311100000002
29 Apr 2019Oraclum ----6311100000003
30 Apr 20192x1 komunikacije ----4411100100000
8 May 2019Promocija plus----5311100000002
20 May 2019Promocija plus ----5311100000002
23 May 2019----4421100000000
24 May 2019IPSOS----5311100000102
24 May 2019Oraclum ----6311100000003

Exit polls

Results

The ruling HDZ won 22.72% of the vote and 4 seats in the European Parliament. The SDP, the main opposition party, also won 4 seats in the parliament, with 18.71% of the popular vote. The SDP will gain the fourth seat after the United Kingdom leaves the EU. The Croatian Sovereignists coalition, the independent list of Mislav Kolakušić, the Živi Zid party, and the Amsterdam Coalition won one seat each.[25] The voter turnout was 29.9%, up from 25.2% in the 2014 election.[18]

Prime Minister Plenković admitted that he expected more votes. The elected MEP's of the HDZ list are Karlo Ressler, Dubravka Šuica, Tomislav Sokol and Željana Zovko. SDP President Davor Bernardić was satisfied with the results, which exceeded his expectations. The elected MEP's of the SDP are Biljana Borzan, Tonino Picula, Predrag Fred Matić and Romana Jerković. Jerković will take her seat after Brexit. Ruža Tomašić of the Croatian Sovereignists won the highest number of preferential votes and retained her seat in the parliament. The biggest surprise of the election was Kolakušić's independent list, which won 7.89% of the vote. Kolakušić announced a presidential campaign the day after the election.[25]

Ivan Vilibor Sinčić, the president of the Živi zid party, won most preferential votes on his party list and a place in the parliament ahead of the slate leader, Tihomir Lukanić. The Amsterdam Coalition's main candidate, Valter Flego, won a seat in the parliament.[25]

Elected lists and candidates

See also: List of members of the European Parliament for Croatia, 2019–2024.

List of elected MEPs

MEPPartyNumber of preference votesShare of preference votes on candidate's listTerm length
Ruža TomašićHKS69,98976.45%1 July 2013 – 26 June 2021
Mislav KolakušićInd.68,88381.26%2 July 2019 –
Biljana BorzanSDP64,73632.21%1 July 2013 –
Karlo ResslerHDZ52,85921.65%2 July 2019 –
Tonino PiculaSDP50,92125.33%1 July 2013 –
Dubravka ŠuicaHDZ31,791 13.02%1 July 2013 –
Valter FlegoIDS21,228 38.03%2 July 2019 –
Ivan Vilibor SinčićŽZ18,31430.09%2 July 2019 –
Predrag MatićSDP13,371 6.65%2 July 2019 –
Željana ZovkoHDZ9,861 4.04%21 November 2016 –
Tomislav SokolHDZ4,5731.87%2 July 2019 –
Romana JerkovićSDP1,368 0.68%2 July 2019 –

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: European Parliament Election in Croatia Called for 26 May . total-croatia-news.com . 27 March 2019.
  2. Web site: Odluka o raspisivanju izbora za članove u Europski parlament iz Republike Hrvatske . izbori.hr . 27 March 2019 . hr . 27 March 2019 . https://web.archive.org/web/20190327065948/https://www.izbori.hr/site/UserDocsImages/2019/Izbori_clanova_u_EU_parlament_iz_RH/Odluka_predsjednice_EU.pdf . dead .
  3. Web site: Europski izbori odredit će lidera oporbe . novilist.hr . 28 March 2019 . 28 March 2019 . https://web.archive.org/web/20190328170217/http://novilist.hr/novilist_public/Komentari/Kolumne/Putevi-i-stranputice-Zlatka-Crnceca/ZLATKO-CRNCEC-Europski-izbori-odredit-ce-lidera-oporbe?meta_refresh=true . dead .
  4. Web site: U najvećim gradovima ljevica je pomela HDZ na EU izborima.
  5. Web site: Zakon o izborima zastupnika Republike Hrvatske u Europski parlament . . 26 February 2018 . https://web.archive.org/web/20171006013241/http://www.sabor.hr/Default.aspx?art=37682&sec=3239 . 6 October 2017 . dead . dmy-all .
  6. News: Campaign begins for European Parliament elections. Croatian Radio Television. 10 April 2019. 14 April 2019. 14 April 2019. https://web.archive.org/web/20190414222130/https://glashrvatske.hrt.hr/en/news/politics/campaign-begins-for-european-parliament-elections/. dead.
  7. News: Young party official leads slate of HDZ candidates for EP elections. N1. 6 April 2019. 14 April 2019. 14 April 2019. https://web.archive.org/web/20190414222122/http://hr.n1info.com/English/NEWS/a393062/Young-party-official-leads-slate-of-HDZ-candidates-for-EP-elections.html. dead.
  8. News: Plenković Praises HDZ Candidates for European Parliament Elections. Total Croatia News. 14 April 2019.
  9. News: Merkel and Weber tell HDZ rally nationalism is Europe's enemy. N1. 19 May 2019. 19 May 2019. 22 May 2019. https://web.archive.org/web/20190522024558/http://hr.n1info.com/English/NEWS/a403562/Merkel-and-Weber-tell-HDZ-rally-nationalism-is-Europe-s-enemy.html. dead.
  10. News: EU Is Space of Opportunities for Croatia. Total Croatia News. 8 April 2019.
  11. News: Timmermans Supports SDP Candidates in European Elections. Total Croatia News. 19 May 2019.
  12. News: Amsterdam Coalition Submits Candidates List for European Elections. Total Croatia News. 5 April 2019.
  13. News: Živi Zid Presents Its Slate for European Elections. Total Croatia News. 1 April 2019.
  14. News: MOST Hopeful of Winning Two Seats in European Parliament. Total Croatia News. 27 March 2019.
  15. News: Sabor passes campaign financing law. Croatian Radio Television. 23 March 2019. 16 April 2019. 16 April 2019. https://web.archive.org/web/20190416164338/https://glashrvatske.hrt.hr/en/news/politics/sabor-passes-campaign-financing-law/. dead.
  16. News: MOST Leader Says Eurobureaucrats Attempting to Create Super-State. Total Croatia News. 5 May 2019.
  17. News: Right-Wing Parties to Run Together for European Parliament. Total Croatia News. 2 April 2019.
  18. News: EP election: Two major parties in Croatia take four seats each. N1. 26 May 2019. 27 May 2019. 27 May 2019. https://web.archive.org/web/20190527191418/http://hr.n1info.com/English/NEWS/a405864/EP-election-Two-major-parties-in-Croatia-take-four-seats-each.html. dead.
  19. News: Živi Zid, SDSS Submit Candidates for European Parliament Elections. Total Croatia News. 9 April 2019.
  20. News: SDSS to stay on with the HDZ-led coalition government. Croatian Radio Television. 25 March 2019. 16 April 2019. 16 April 2019. https://web.archive.org/web/20190416173816/https://glashrvatske.hrt.hr/en/news/politics/sdss-to-stay-on-with-the-hdz-led-coalition-government/. dead.
  21. News: Dejan Jović, an alarm call for Croatian society . Vale . Giovanni . 24 June 2019 . 25 April 2020 . . Trento, Italy.
  22. News: Интервју петком - Дејан Јовић: "Поставили смо огледало пред лице и савест људи" . Miladinović . Aleksandar . 24 May 2019 . 25 April 2020 . .
  23. News: People's Party and Greens submit European election lists; HDSSB won't run. Croatian Radio Television. 7 April 2019. 16 April 2019. 16 April 2019. https://web.archive.org/web/20190416173815/https://glashrvatske.hrt.hr/en/news/politics/peoples-party-and-greens-submit-european-election-lists-hdssb-wont-run/. dead.
  24. News: Marijana Petir Launches Campaign for Another Term in European Parliament. Total Croatia News. 25 April 2019.
  25. News: Results in from EU Parliament elections. Croatian Radio Television. 27 May 2019. 2 June 2019. 2 June 2019. https://web.archive.org/web/20190602171408/https://glashrvatske.hrt.hr/en/news/politics/results-in-from-eu-parliament-elections/. dead.