Electorate opinion polling for the 2016 Australian federal election explained
Various research and polling firms conducted opinion polling prior to the 2016 federal election in individual electorates across Australia, in relation to voting intentions in the Australian House of Representatives.
New South Wales
Victoria
Queensland
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Date | Seat | 2CP vote |
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| L/NP | ALP | KAP | L/NP swing | Seat classification | Sample size |
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25 Jun 2016 | Kennedy (Qld)[16] | 42% | | 58% | −5.8 | Marginal KAP | ? |
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25 Jun 2016 | | 53% | 47% | | −3.9 | Fairly safe L/NP | ? |
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25 Jun 2016 | | 52% | 48% | | −2.3 | Marginal L/NP | ? |
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25 Jun 2016 | | 46% | 54% | | −4.5 | Marginal L/NP | ? |
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25 Jun 2016 | | 49% | 51% | | −1.8 | Marginal L/NP | ? |
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25 Jun 2016 | | 47% | 53% | | 0.0 | Marginal ALP | ? |
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17 Jun 2016 | Herbert (Qld) | 54% | 46% | | −2.2 | Fairly safe L/NP | 505 |
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17 Jun 2016 | Capricornia (Qld) | 50% | 50% | | −0.8 | Marginal L/NP | 529 |
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17 Jun 2016 | Brisbane (Qld) | 51% | 49% | | −3.3 | Marginal L/NP | 594 |
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11 Jun 2016 | Bonner (Qld)[17] | 56% | 44% | | +2.3 | Marginal L/NP | ? |
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2 Jun 2016 | Longman (Qld)[18] | 50% | 50% | | −6.9 | Fairly safe L/NP | 836 | |
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Western Australia
South Australia
Tasmania
Northern Territory
References
- Notes
Citations
Notes and References
- Web site: ReachTEL: 51-49 to Coalition – the Poll Bludger. 2016-06-25. English. 2016-06-25.
- Web site: ReachTEL: 51-49 to Coalition - The Poll Bludger. 2016-06-24. English. 2016-06-24.
- https://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2016/06/23/another-electorate-polling-round/ Another electorate polling round-up: Poll Bludger 23 June 2016
- https://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2016/06/21/electorate-polling-round/ Electorate polling round-up: Poll Bludger 21 June 2016
- Web site: Nocookies . The Australian . 2016-06-27.
- Web site: Highlights of week six - The Poll Bludger . Blogs.crikey.com.au . 2016-06-27.
- Web site: Nocookies . The Australian . 2016-06-27.
- Web site: Paul Karp . Rob Oakeshott 'uplifted' after poll shows large swing against Nationals | Australia news . The Guardian . 15 June 2016. 2016-06-27.
- http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/federal-election-2016/malcolm-turnbull-facing-10-swing-in-wentworth-as-his-popularity-plummets-20160603-gpazki.html Malcolm Turnbull facing 10% swing in Wentworth as his popularity plummets: SMH 5 June 2016
- Web site: 7 News – Macarthur Poll: ReachTEL 19 May 2016 . 2 July 2016 . 20 September 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160920131151/https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/7-news-macarthur-poll-19may2016 . dead .
- Web site: Galaxy: 54-46 to federal Coalition in Queensland – The Poll Bludger . Blogs.crikey.com.au . 2016-06-15.
- Web site: Federal election 2016: Poll points to Greens Batman win. Richard Willingham. 20 June 2016. Theage.com.au. 2016-06-27.
- Web site: Federal election 2016: Shock poll result for Kelly O'Dwyer. Is Higgins the 'Indi of 2016'?. Mark Hawthorne. 13 June 2016. Smh.com.au. 2016-06-15.
- https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/7-news-corangamite-poll-26may2016 7 News – Corangamite Poll: ReachTEL 26 May 2016
- http://www.theaustralian.com.au/federal-election-2016/federal-election-2016-libs-struggling-in-dunkley-without-billson/news-story/00388c878661cff4822e511ccacb5c16 Libs struggling in Dunkley without Billson: The Australian 13 May 2016
- https://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2016/06/24/reachtel-51-49-coalition-2// ReachTEL: 51-49 to Coalition
- Web site: Mark Kenny . 2016 election polls: Labor behind, Xenophon candidates set to displace Liberals . Smh.com.au . 2016-06-11 . 2016-06-15.
- https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/7-news-longman-poll-3june2016 7 News – Longman poll – 2 July 2016: ReachTEL
- Web site: Blog. 2016-06-17. ReachTEL. 2016-06-27.
- https://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/wa/a/31742030/barnett-backlash-dents-hopes-of-wa-liberals/ Barnett backlash dents hopes of WA Liberals: The West Australian 2 Jun 2016
- http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/national/federal-election/kate-ellis-and-mark-butler-expected-to-keep-their-seats-the-advertiser-poll-shows/news-story/4c25a67a8f8e297d9e5e311049665a54 Kate Ellis and Mark Butler expected to keep their seats, The Advertiser poll shows: The Advertiser 30 June 2016
- http://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/election-2016-malcolm-turnbull-could-lose-another-seat-to-independent-nick-xenophons-team/news-story/ce11710e8478383621a00218b1a91202 Election 2016: Malcolm Turnbull could lose another seat to independent Nick Xenophon’s team - Herald Sun 20 June 2016
- http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/national/federal-election/labor-frontbencher-kate-ellis-headed-for-defeat-to-liberals-in-adelaide-alp-poll-shows/news-story/a176c2857bf9a1cd2d00da9a52a9ea8d Labor frontbencher Kate Ellis headed for defeat to Liberals in Adelaide, ALP poll shows: The Advertiser 20 June 2016
- http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/subscribe/news/1/index.html?sourceCode=AAWEB_WRE170_a&mode=premium&dest=http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/national/federal-election/opinion-polls-pyne-sitting-pretty-in-sturt-briggs-on-the-edge-in-mayo/news-story/9bb6e56bf07d44022faa4e8e5c60d75b&memtype=anonymous No Cookies | The Advertiser
- Web site: Blog . ReachTEL . 2016-06-10 . 2016-06-15 . 21 September 2016 . https://web.archive.org/web/20160921043031/https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/7-news-grey-poll-9june16 . dead .
- http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/national/federal-election/new-polls-show-jamie-briggs-and-christopher-pyne-in-real-battle-to-hold-their-seats-from-xenophon-challengers/news-story/8d063cc0456f3b8f1415cb9f5ae13f99 No Cookies | The Advertiser
- http://www.9news.com.au/national/2016/06/03/00/10/narrow-margins-for-nikolic-in-bass-poll Narrow margins for Nikolic in Bass: poll – 9news.com.au 3 Jun 2016
- Web site: ReachTEL Tasmanian electorates polling – The Poll Bludger . Blogs.crikey.com.au . 2016-06-15.
- Web site: Category . The Mercury . 14 May 2016. 2016-06-15.
- http://www.ntnews.com.au/news/northern-territory/an-independent-poll-shows-solomon-mp-natasha-griggs-will-struggle-to-retain-her-seat-at-the-federal-election/news-story/187faae4f0bcbcbe0d2927227cec9b01 An independent poll shows Solomon MP Natasha Griggs will struggle to retain her seat at the federal election: NT News (News Ltd) 27 June 2016