Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election explained

Statewide polls for the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2012, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against incumbent President Barack Obama.

Note that some states had not conducted polling yet or no updated polls were present from January 1 to August 31, 2012.

Alabama

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 60%–38%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Capital Survey Research Center[1] August 13–16, 2012Barack Obama36%Mitt Romney align=center54% align=center18452 RV±4.6%
Capital Survey Research Center[2] June 7, 18–19, 26–27, 2012Barack Obama36%Mitt Romney align=center51% align=center15551 LV±4.2%

Arizona

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[3] July 23–25, 2012Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney align=center52% align=center11833 RV±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[4] June 26, 2012Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney align=center54% align=center13500 LV±4.5%
Project New America/Public Policy Polling (D)[5] June 4–5, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney align=center49% align=center3791 RV±3.5%
Public Policy Polling[6] May 17–20, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney align=center50% align=center7500 RV±4.4%
DC London/Magellan Strategies (R)[7] April 30 – May 2, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney align=center52% align=center9909 LV±3.25%
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll[8])April 9–17, 2012Barack Obama align=center42%Mitt Romney40% align=center2511 RV±4.4%
Arizona State University[9] April 8–14, 2012Barack Obama40%Mitt Romney align=center42% align=center2488 RV±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchMarch 13, 2012Barack Obama40%Mitt Romney align=center51% align=center11500 LV±4.5%
44%Rick Santorum align=center45% align=center1
NBC News/Marist College[10] February 19–20, 2012Barack Obama40%Mitt Romney align=center45% align=center52,487 RV±1.8%
Barack Obama41%Ron Paul align=center43% align=center2
Barack Obama align=center45%Newt Gingrich40% align=center5
Barack Obama42%Rick Santorum align=center45% align=center3
Public Policy Polling[11] February 17–19, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney47%Tie743 RV±3.6%
Barack Obama align=center46%Ron Paul42% align=center4
Barack Obama align=center48%Newt Gingrich44% align=center4
Barack Obama46%Rick Santorum align=center47% align=center1
Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll)[12] January 5–9, 2012Barack Obama37%Mitt Romney align=center43% align=center6553 RV±4.3%
rowspan=3Barack Obama align=center44%Ron Paul36% align=center8
align=center45%Newt Gingrich35% align=center10
align=center43%Rick Santorum34% align=center9

Three way race

Arkansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%

California

55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Policy Analysis for California Education/USC Rossier School of Education/Tulchin Research[15] August 3–7, 2012Barack Obama55.6%Mitt Romney32.7%22.91,041 LV±3.0%
CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies[16] July 16–17, 2012Barack Obama51.9%Mitt Romney32.6%19.3812 LV±3.4%
Field Research Corporation (Field Poll)[17] June 21 – July 2, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 55%Mitt Romney37% align="center" 18848 LV±3.4%
SurveyUSA[18] May 27–29, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 57%Mitt Romney36% align="center" 211,575 RV±2.5%
Field Research Corporation (Field Poll)[19] May 21–29, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 48%Mitt Romney32% align="center" 16710 RV±3.8%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint[20] May 17–21, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 56%Mitt Romney37% align="center" 191,002 RV±3.5%
Public Policy Institute of California[21] May 14–20, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 50%Mitt Romney39% align="center" 11894 LV±4.2%
SurveyUSA[22] March 29, 2012 – April 2, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 62%Mitt Romney31% align="center" 311,995 RV±2.2%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint[23] March 14–19, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 57%Mitt Romney36% align="center" 211,500 RV±2.9%
Field Research Corporation (Field Poll)[24] February 11–18, 2012Barack Obama55%Mitt Romney35%201,000 RV±3.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[25] February 8–16, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 57%Mitt Romney35% align="center" 22500±4.5%
align=center58%Rick Santorum30% align=center28
SurveyUSA[26] February 8–9, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center60%Mitt Romney31% align=center292,088 RV±2.1%
align=center63%Newt Gingrich27% align=center36
align=center61%Ron Paul29% align=center31
align=center61%Rick Santorum29% align=center32

Colorado

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs[27] August 21–22, 2012Barack Obama align=center48%Mitt Romney44% align=center4500 LV±4.4%
Purple Strategies[28] August 13–14, 2012Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney46% align=center3600 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[29] August 6, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney47%Tied500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[30] August 2–5, 2012Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney43% align=center6779 LV±3.5%
Purple Strategies[31] July 9–13, 2012Barack Obama align=center45%Mitt Romney44% align=center1600 LV±4.0%
Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang-Research Group (D)[32] June 25 – July 5, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney42%7608 LV±4.%
We Ask America[33] June 25, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 46.6%Mitt Romney43% align="center" 3.61,083 LV±2.98%
Public Policy Polling[34] June 14–17, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 49%Mitt Romney42% align="center" 7799 LV±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchJune 7, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney45%Tied500 LV±4.5%
Purple Strategies[35] May 31 – June 5, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 48%Mitt Romney46% align="center" 2600 LV±4.0%
NBC News/Marist College[36] May 22–24, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 46%Mitt Romney45% align="center" 11,030 RV±3.0%
Project New America/Keating Research/Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs (D)[37] May 21–24, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 48%Mitt Romney44% align="center" 4601 RV±4.0%
Purple Strategies[38] April 19–23, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney47%TiedNot reported±4.1%
Public Policy Polling[39] April 5–7, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center53%Mitt Romney40% align=center13542±4.2%
align=center55%Newt Gingrich37% align=center18
align=center54%Rick Santorum38% align=center16
align=center47%Ron Paul42% align=center5

Three way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy PollingAugust 2–5, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney42%Gary Johnson4% align=center4779±3.5%
Public Policy PollingJune 14–17, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney39%Gary Johnson7% align=center8799±3.5%

Connecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Quinnipiac University[40] August 22–26, 2012Barack Obama align=center52%Mitt Romney45% align=center71,472 LV±2.6%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[41] August 21, 2012Barack Obama align=center51%Mitt Romney43% align=center8500 LV±4.5%
Quinnipiac University[42] May 29, 2012 – June 3, 2012Barack Obama align=center50%Mitt Romney38% align=center121,408±2.6%
Quinnipiac University[43] March 14–19, 2012 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center53%Mitt Romney37% align=center161,622±2.4%
align=center55%Rick Santorum35% align=center20

Florida

29 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation[44] August 22–26, 2012Barack Obama align=center50%Mitt Romney46% align=center4776 LV±3.5%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[45] August 15–21, 2012Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney46% align=center31,241 LV±2.8%
Gravis Marketing[46] August 20, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney align=center48% align=center3728 LV±3.8%
Foster McCollum White Baydoun/Douglas Fulmer & Associates[47] August 17, 2012Barack Obama39.9%Mitt Romney align=center54.46% align=center14.561,503 LV±2.53%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[48] August 15, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney align=center45% align=center2500 LV±4.5%
Purple StrategiesAugust 13–14, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney align=center48% align=center1600 LV±4.0%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[49] July 24–30, 2012Barack Obama align=center51%Mitt Romney45% align=center61,177 LV±3.0%
Public Policy Polling[50] July 26–29, 2012Barack Obama align=center48%Mitt Romney47% align=center1871 LV±3.3%
WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSA[51] July 17–19, 2012Barack Obama align=center48%Mitt Romney43% align=center5647 LV±3.9%
Purple Strategies[52] July 9–13, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney align=center48% align=center3600 LV±4.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[53] July 9–11, 2012Barack Obama align=center46%Mitt Romney45% align=center1800 RV±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchJuly 9, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney align=center46% align=center1500 LV±4.5%
Priorities USA/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)June 25 – July 3, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney44%4608 LV±4.0%
We Ask America[54] July 1–2, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 46.1%Mitt Romney45.3% align="center" 0.81,127 LV±2.9%
Quinnipiac University[55] June 19–25, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 45%Mitt Romney41% align="center" 41,200 RV±2.8%
Quinnipiac University[56] June 12–18, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 46%Mitt Romney42% align="center" 41,697 RV±2.4%
Purple Strategies[57] May 31, 2012 – June 5, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney align="center" 49% align="center" 4600 LV±4.0%
Public Policy Polling[58] May 31 – June 3, 2012Barack Obama align=center50%Mitt Romney46% align=center4642 RV±3.9%
Quinnipiac University[59] May 15–21, 2012Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney align=center47% align=center61,722 RV±2.4%
NBC News/Marist College[60] May 17–20, 2012Barack Obama align=center48%Mitt Romney44% align=center41,078 RV±3.0%
Suffolk University/7News[61] May 6–8, 2012Barack Obama align=center46%Mitt Romney45% align=center1600 RV±4%
Quinnipiac University[62] April 25 – May 1, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney align=center44% align=center11,169 RV±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchApril 25, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney align=center46% align=center1500 LV±4.5%
Purple Strategies[63] April 19–23, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney align=center47% align=center2600 LV±4.1%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company[64] April 15–17, 2012Barack Obama align=center45%Mitt Romney43% align=center2757 RV±4.0%
Public Policy Polling[65] April 12–15, 2012 rowspan=3Barack Obama align=center52%Newt Gingrich40% align=center8700 LV±3.7%
align=center50%Ron Paul40% align=center10
align=center50%Mitt Romney45% align=center5
Quinnipiac University[66] March 20–26, 2012 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney42% align=center71,228 RV±2.8%
align=center50%Rick Santorum37% align=center13
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchMarch 13, 2012 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center46%Mitt Romney43% align=center3500 LV±4.5%
align=center45%Rick Santorum43% align=center2
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchFebruary 9, 2012 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center47%Mitt Romney44% align=center3500 LV±4.5%
align=center47%Rick Santorum46% align=center1
NBC News/Marist College[67] January 25–27, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney41% align=center81,739 LV±2.7%
align=center52%Newt Gingrich35% align=center17
align=center50%Ron Paul36% align=center14
align=center50%Rick Santorum35% align=center15
Mason-Dixon Research & Polling/Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald[68] January 24–26, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney align=center48% align=center4800 LV±3.5%
rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center50%Newt Gingrich41% align=center9
align=center50%Rick Santorum39% align=center11
Suffolk University[69] January 22–24, 2012Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney align=center47% align=center5600 RVNot reported
Barack Obama align=center49%Newt Gingrich40% align=center9
Quinnipiac University[70] January 19–23, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney45%Tied1,518 RV±2.5%
rowspan=3Barack Obama align=center50%Newt Gingrich39% align=center11
align=center47%Ron Paul39% align=center8
align=center49%Rick Santorum40% align=center9
Everglades Foundation/Tarrance Group (R)[71] January 4–8, 2012Barack Obama align=center46%Mitt Romney45% align=center1607 LV±4.1%
Quinnipiac University[72] January 4–8, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney align=center46% align=center31,412 RV±2.8%
Barack Obama align=center45%Rick Santorum43% align=center2

Three way race

Georgia

16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
20/20 Insight[73] August 15–18, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney align=center49% align=center31,158 LV±2.9%
Majority Opinion Research/InsiderAdvantage[74] May 22, 2012Barack Obama40%Mitt Romney align=center52% align=center12438Not reported
Rosetta Stone Communications/Landmark Communications[75] May 10, 2012Barack Obama40.2%Mitt Romney align=center51.1% align=center10.9600 RV±4.0%
SurveyUSA[76] February 23–26, 2012Barack Obama44%Newt Gingrich align=center48% align=center41,156 RV±2.9%
42%Mitt Romney align=center49% align=center7
43%Rick Santorum align=center47% align=center4
43%Ron Paul align=center46% align=center3

Illinois

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 55%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Crain's Chicago Business/Ipsos[77] July 16–22, 2012Barack Obama align=center51%Mitt Romney31% align=center20600±4.7%
WGN-TV/Chicago Tribune[78] February 2–6, 2012Barack Obama align=center56%Mitt Romney35% align=center21600±4.0%

Indiana

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[79] July 31 – August 1, 2012Barack Obama35%Mitt Romney align=center51% align=center16400 LV±5.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchMay 25, 2012Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney align=center48% align=center6600 LV±4.0%
Howey Politics/DePauw University/Bellwether Research/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group[80] March 26–27, 2012Barack Obama40%Mitt Romney align=center49% align=center9503 LV±4.5%
41%Rick Santorum align=center46% align=center5

Iowa

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[81] August 23–26, 2012Barack Obama align=center47%Mitt Romney45% align=center21,244 LV±2.8%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[82] August 8, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney align=center46% align=center2500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[83] July 12–15, 2012Barack Obama align=center48%Mitt Romney43% align=center51,131 RV±2.91%
We Ask America[84] June 18, 2012Barack Obama align=center45%Mitt Romney44% align=center11,086 LV±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchJune 11, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney align=center47% align=center1500 LV±4.5%
NBC News/Marist College[85] May 22–24, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney44%Tied1,106 RV±3.0%
Public Policy Polling[86] May 3–6, 2012Barack Obama align=center47%Ron Paul39% align=center81,181 RV±2.85%
Barack Obama align=center51%Mitt Romney41% align=center10
Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co.[87] February 12–15, 2012Barack Obama align=center51%Newt Gingrich37% align=center14611 LV±3.5%
Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney align=center46% align=center2
42%Ron Paul align=center49% align=center7
44%Rick Santorum align=center48% align=center4

Maine

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Portland Press Herald/Critical Insights[88] June 20–25, 2012Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney35% align=center14615 RV±4.0%
MassINC Polling Group[89] June 13–14, 2012Barack Obama align=center48%Mitt Romney34% align=center14506 LV±4.4%
Critical Insights[90] May 2–7, 2012Barack Obama align=center50%Mitt Romney42% align=center8600 RV±4.0%
Public Policy Polling[91] March 2–4, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center54%Ron Paul38% align=center161,256 RV±2.8%
align=center58%Rick Santorum35% align=center23
align=center60%Newt Gingrich32% align=center28
align=center58%Mitt Romney35% align=center23

Maryland

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 56%–43%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Massachusetts

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Kimball Political Consulting[93] August 21, 2012Barack Obama52%Mitt Romney41%11592 LV±4%
Public Policy Polling[94] August 16–19, 2012Barack Obama align=center55%Mitt Romney39% align=center161,115LV±2.9%
Public Policy Polling[95] June 22–24, 2012Barack Obama align=center55%Mitt Romney39% align=center16902LV±3.3%
Western New England University[96] May 29–31, 2012Barack Obama align=center56%Mitt Romney34% align=center22504 LV±4.4%
The Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire[97] May 25–31, 2012Barack Obama align=center46%Mitt Romney34% align=center12651 LV±3.8%
Suffolk University[98] May 20–22, 2012Barack Obama align=center59%Mitt Romney34% align=center25600 LV±4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[99] May 7, 2012Barack Obama align=center56%Mitt Romney35% align=center21500 LV±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchApril 9, 2012Barack Obama align=center51%Mitt Romney40% align=center11500 LV±4.5%
The Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire[100] March 21–27, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney33%16544 LV±4.4%
Public Policy Polling[101] March 16–18, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 62%Newt Gingrich28% align="center" 34936 RV±3.2%
align=center58%Ron Paul30% align=center28
align=center58%Mitt Romney35% align=center23
align=center61%Rick Santorum29% align=center32
MassLive.com/The Republican/Western New England University[102] February 23 – March 1, 2012Barack Obama60%Mitt Romney34%26527 RV±4.3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchFebruary 29, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 55%Mitt Romney38% align="center" 17500 LV±4.5%
align=center58%Rick Santorum32% align=center26
Suffolk University[103] February 11–15, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center63%Newt Gingrich27% align=center36600 LV±4.0%
align=center53%Mitt Romney39% align=center14
align=center59%Rick Santorum32% align=center27
align=center60%Ron Paul26% align=center34
Mass Insight Global Partnerships/Opinion Dynamics Corporation[104] January 31 – February 4, 2012Barack Obama56%Mitt Romney38%18456 RV±4.6%

Four Way race

Michigan

16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
EPIC-MRA[105] August 28, 2012Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney46% align=center31200 LV±2.6%
Mitchell Research & Communications[106] August 23, 2012Barack Obama46.6%Mitt Romney47.7%0.11277 LV±2.74%
Detroit News/Glengariff Group[107] August 18–20, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 47.5%Mitt Romney42.0% align="center" 5.5600 LV±4.0%
Foster McCollum White & Associates/Baydoun Consulting[108] August 16, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney48% align="center" 41,733 LV±2.35%
Mitchell Research & Communications[109] August 13, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 49%Mitt Romney44% align="center" 51,079 LV±2.98%
EPIC-MRA[110] July 24–31, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 48%Mitt Romney42% align="center" 6600 LV±3.5%
Mitchell Research & Communications[111] July 23, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney45% align="center" 1825 LV±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[112] July 23, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 48%Mitt Romney42% align="center" 6500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[113] July 21–23, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 53%Mitt Romney39% align="center" 14579 RV±4.1%
NBC News/Marist College[114] June 24–25, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 47%Mitt Romney43% align="center" 41,078 RV±3.0%
Mitchell Research & Communications[115] June 18, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 47%Mitt Romney46% align="center" 1750 LV±3.58%
We Ask AmericaJune 18, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney45% align=center21,010LV±3.0%
Lambert, Edwards & Associates/Denno Research[116] June 14–15, 2012Barack Obama40%Mitt Romney40%Tied600 LV±4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchJune 14, 2012Barack Obama align=center50%Mitt Romney42% align=center8500 LV±4.5%
Baydoun Consulting/Foster McCollum White & Associates[117] June 12, 2012Barack Obama align=center46.89%Mitt Romney45.48% align=center1.411,783±2.32%
EPIC-MRA[118] June 2–5, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney46% align=center1600 LV±4%
Public Policy Polling[119] May 24–27, 2012Barack Obama align=center53%Mitt Romney39% align=center14500 RV±4.4%
Glengariff Group[120] May 10–11, 2012Barack Obama align=center45%Mitt Romney40% align=center5600 LV±4%
EPIC-MRA[121] March 31 – April 3, 2012Barack Obama align=center47%Mitt Romney43% align=center4600 LV±4%
Marketing Resource Group[122] March 14–19, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney42%7600 LV±4%
NBC News/Marist CollegeFebruary 19–20, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 55%Rick Santorum29% align="center" 263,149 RV±1.8%
align=center56%Newt Gingrich28% align=center28
align=center53%Ron Paul31% align=center22
align=center51%Mitt Romney33% align=center18
Public Policy Polling[123] February 10–12, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center50%Rick Santorum39% align=center11560 RV±4.14%
align=center56%Newt Gingrich34% align=center22
align=center52%Ron Paul34% align=center18
align=center54%Mitt Romney38% align=center16
Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA[124] January 21–25, 2012 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center51%Newt Gingrich38% align=center13600 LV±4%
align=center48%Mitt Romney40% align=center8

Minnesota

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA[125] July 17–19, 2012Barack Obama align=center46%Mitt Romney40% align=center6552 LV±4.3%
Public Policy Polling[126] May 31 – June 3, 2012Barack Obama align=center54%Mitt Romney39% align=center15973 RV±3.1%
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/Survey USA[127] May 9–10, 2012Barack Obama align=center52%Mitt Romney38% align=center14516 RV±4.4%
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/Survey USA[128] January 31 – February 2, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney36% align=center13542 RV±4.3%
align=center55%Newt Gingrich29% align=center26
align=center48%Ron Paul37% align=center11
align=center51%Rick Santorum32% align=center19
Public Policy Polling[129] January 21–22, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center54%Newt Gingrich39% align=center151,236 RV±2.8%
align=center52%Rick Santorum40% align=center12
align=center51%Ron Paul38% align=center13
align=center51%Mitt Romney41% align=center10

Missouri

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 53%–46%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–49%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[130] August 28–29, 2012Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney align=center53% align=center12621 LV±3.9%
St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[131] August 22–23, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney align="center" 50% align="center" 7625 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[132] August 22, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 47%Mitt Romney46% align="center" 1500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[133] August 20, 2012Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney align=center52% align=center10500 LV±4.4%
KSDK-TV St. Louis/KSHB-TV Kansas City/KSPR-TV Springfield/KYTV-TV Springfield/SurveyUSA[134] August 9–12, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney align=center45% align=center1585 LV±4.1%
Missouri Scout/Chilenski Strategies[135] August 8, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney align=center48% align=center1663LV±3.8%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchJuly 30, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney align=center50% align=center6500 LV±4.5%
We Ask America[136] July 24, 2012Barack Obama39.73%Mitt Romney align=center49.01% align=center9.281,172 LV±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchJune 7, 2012Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney align=center49% align=center7500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[137] May 24–27, 2012Barack Obama align=center45%Mitt Romney44% align=center1602 RV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchApril 17, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney align=center48% align=center3500 LV±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchMarch 14–15, 2012Barack Obama42%Rick Santorum align=center51% align=center9500 LV±4.5%
Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney align=center50% align=center9
Public Policy Polling[138] January 27–29, 2012Barack Obama align=center49%Newt Gingrich42% align=center7582 RV±4.1%
Barack Obama align=center45%Ron Paul43% align=center2
Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney45%Tied
Barack Obama align=center47%Rick Santorum44% align=center3

Three way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Capitol Correspondent/North Star Campaign Systems/North Star Campaign Systems/Gravis Marketing (R)[139] August 23, 2012Barack Obama36.1%Mitt Romney53.1%Gary Johnson4.1%171,057 A±3.4%
We Ask AmericaJuly 24, 2012Barack Obama39.7%Mitt Romney49.0%Gary Johnson2.1% align=center9.31,172 LV±3.0%

Montana

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[140] August 20, 2012Barack Obama38%Mitt Romney align=center55% align=center17500 LV±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchJune 18, 2012Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney align=center51% align=center9500±5.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchMay 2, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney align=center51% align=center7450 LV±5.0%
Public Policy Polling[141] April 26–29, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney align=center48% align=center5934 RV±3.2%
41%Ron Paul align=center49% align=center8
Barack Obama45%Newt Gingrich45%Tie
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchFebruary 22, 2012Barack Obama41%Mitt Romney align=center48% align=center7500 RV±4.5%
41%Rick Santorum align=center45% align=center4

Three way race

Nebraska

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–33%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[142] May 16, 2012Barack Obama39%Mitt Romney align=center53% align=center14500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[143] March 22–25, 2012Barack Obama39%Mitt Romney align=center51% align=center121,028 RV±3.1%
38%Rick Santorum align=center55% align=center17
40%Newt Gingrich align=center49% align=center9
37%Ron Paul align=center49% align=center12
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchMarch 5, 2012Barack Obama35%Mitt Romney align="center" 52% align="center" 17500 LV±4.5%
37%Rick Santorum align=center49% align=center12
Second congressional district
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy PollingMarch 22–25, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney46%1Not reportedNot reported
Barack Obama47%Rick Santorum47%Tied
Barack Obama46%Newt Gingrich44%2
Barack Obama42%Ron Paul44%2

Nevada

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[144] August 23–26, 2012Barack Obama align=center50%Mitt Romney47% align=center3831 LV±3.4%
Las Vegas Review-Journal/SurveyUSA[145] August 16–21, 2012Barack Obama align=center47%Mitt Romney45% align=center2869 LV±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[146] July 24, 2012Barack Obama align=center50%Mitt Romney45% align=center5500 LV±4.5%
Magellan Strategies[147] July 16–17, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 50%Mitt Romney46% align="center" 4665 RV±3.8%
Public Policy Polling[148] June 7–10, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 48%Mitt Romney42% align="center" 6500 RV±4.4%
NBC News/Marist College[149] May 22–24, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 48%Mitt Romney46% align="center" 21,040 RV±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchApril 30, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 52%Mitt Romney44% align="center" 8500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[150] March 29 – April 1, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 51%Mitt Romney43% align="center" 8533 RV±4.2%
align=center54%Rick Santorum40% align=center14
align=center49%Ron Paul42% align=center7
align=center54%Newt Gingrich39% align=center15
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchMarch 19, 2012 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center50%Mitt Romney44% align=center6500 LV±4.5%
align=center52%Rick Santorum36% align=center16
Three-way race

New Hampshire

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy Polling[152] August 9–12, 2012Barack Obama align=center51%Mitt Romney45% align=center61,055 LV±3.0%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[153] August 1–12, 2012Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney46% align=center3555 LV±4.2%
Democracy for America/Public Policy Polling (D)[154] August 5–8, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney44%61,591 LV±2.5%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[155] July 5–15, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 49%Mitt Romney45% align="center" 4470 LV±4.5%
NBC News/Marist College[156] June 24–25, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 43%Mitt Romney42% align="center" 11029 RV±3.1%
American Research Group[157] June 21–24, 2012Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney46% align=center3417 LVNot reported
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[158] June 20, 2012Barack Obama align=center48%Mitt Romney43% align=center5500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[159] May 10–13, 2012Barack Obama align=center53%Mitt Romney41% align=center121,163 RV±2.9%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[160] April 9–20, 2012Barack Obama align=center51%Mitt Romney42% align=center9486 LV±4.4%
Dartmouth College[161] April 2–5, 2012Barack Obama42.4%Mitt Romney align=center43.9% align=center1.5403 RV±4.9%
American Research GroupMarch 15–18, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney46%2557 RVNot reported
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[162] January 25 – February 2, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 50%Mitt Romney40% align="center" 10495 LV±4.4%
align=center50%Ron Paul42% align=center8
align=center60%Newt Gingrich35% align=center25
align=center56%Rick Santorum35% align=center21

Three way race

New Jersey

14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 52%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Rutgers University[164] August 23–25, 2012Barack Obama align=center51%Mitt Romney37% align=center14710 LV±3.5%
Monmouth University[165] July 18–22, 2012Barack Obama align=center51%Mitt Romney38% align=center13678 RV±3.8%
Quinnipiac University[166] July 9–15, 2012Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney38% align=center111,623 RV±2.4%
Rutgers University[167] May 31 – June 4, 2012Barack Obama align=center56%Mitt Romney33% align=center231,065 RV±2.9%
Quinnipiac University[168] May 9–14, 2012Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney39% align=center101,582±2.5%
Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind)[169] April 30 – May 6, 2012Barack Obama align=center50%Mitt Romney36% align=center14797 RV±3.5%
Quinnipiac University[170] April 3–9, 2012 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney40% align=center91,607 RV±2.4%
align=center51%Rick Santorum36% align=center15
Quinnipiac University[171] February 21–27, 2012 rowspan=3Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney39% align=center101,396 RV±2.6%
align=center55%Newt Gingrich30% align=center25
align=center52%Rick Santorum34% align=center18
WABC-TV New York/SurveyUSA[172] February 24–26, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center52%Mitt Romney38% align=center14533 RV±4.3%
align=center61%Newt Gingrich27% align=center34
align=center57%Rick Santorum33% align=center24
align=center56%Ron Paul31% align=center25
Rutgers University[173] February 9–11, 2012Barack Obama align=center56%Mitt Romney31% align=center25914 RV±3.3%
Quinnipiac University[174] January 10–16, 2012Barack Obama align=center48%Mitt Romney38% align=center101,460 RV±2.6%

New Mexico

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[175] August 21, 2012Barack Obama align=center52%Mitt Romney38% align=center14500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[176] July 13–16, 2012Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney44% align=center5724 RV±3.6%
We Ask America[177] July 9–10, 2012Barack Obama align=center51%Mitt Romney40% align=center111,295 LV±2.8%
Patriot Majority/FM3 Research (D)[178] May 16–21, 2012Barack Obama align=center48%Mitt Romney35% align=center13502 RV±4.4%
Public Policy Polling[179] April 19–22, 2012Barack Obama align=center54%Mitt Romney40% align=center14526 RV±4.3%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchApril 3, 2012 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center53%Rick Santorum38% align=center15500 LV±4.5%
align=center52%Mitt Romney36% align=center16
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchFebruary 14, 2012 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center55%Rick Santorum37% align=center18500 LV±4.5%
align=center55%Mitt Romney36% align=center19

Three way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy PollingJuly 13–16, 2012Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney38%Gary Johnson13% align=center4724±3.64%
Public Policy Polling[180] April 19–22, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney35%Gary Johnson15% align=center13526±4.3%

New York

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Siena College[181] August 14–19, 2012Barack Obama align=center62%Mitt Romney33% align=center29671 LV±3.8%
Siena College[182] July 10–15, 2012Barack Obama align=center61%Mitt Romney34% align=center27758 RV±3.6%
Siena College[183] June 3–6, 2012Barack Obama align=center59%Mitt Romney35% align=center24807 RV±3.4%
Quinnipiac University[184] May 22–28, 2012Barack Obama align=center56%Mitt Romney31% align=center251,504 RV±2.5%
Siena CollegeMay 6–10, 2012Barack Obama align=center57%Mitt Romney37% align=center20766 RV±3.5%
NY1/YNN/Marist College[185] April 10–12, 2012Barack Obama align=center57%Mitt Romney35% align=center22632 RV±4.0%
Siena CollegeApril 1–4, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center65%Newt Gingrich29% align=center36808 RV±3.4%
align=center61%Ron Paul31% align=center30
align=center60%Mitt Romney35% align=center25
align=center62%Rick Santorum23% align=center39
Quinnipiac University[186] March 28 – April 2, 2012 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center56%Mitt Romney33% align=center231,597 RV±2.5%
align=center59%Rick Santorum30% align=center29
Siena College[187] February 26–29, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center60%Mitt Romney34% align=center26808 RV±3.4%
align=center64%Rick Santorum30% align=center34
align=center62%Ron Paul29% align=center33
align=center66%Newt Gingrich27% align=center39
Quinnipiac University[188] February 8–13, 2012 rowspan=3Barack Obama align=center52%Mitt Romney35% align=center171,233 RV±2.8%
align=center57%Newt Gingrich31% align=center26
align=center53%Rick Santorum35% align=center18

North Carolina

15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
FOX 8/High Point University/SurveyUSA[189] August 26–30, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney align=center46% align=center3543 RV±4.3%
Elon University[190] August 25–30, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney align=center47% align=center41,089 LV±3%
CNN/Time/Opinion Research CorporationAugust 22–26, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney align=center48% align=center1766 LV±3.5%
High Point University/SurveyUSA[191] August 18–23, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney43%Tied540 RV±4.3%
Public Policy Polling[192] August 2–5, 2012Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney46% align=center3813 LV±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[193] August 1, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney49%5500 LV±4.5%
Civitas Institute/National Research (R)[194] July 16–18, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney align="center" 49% align="center" 1600 RV±4%
Public Policy Polling[195] July 5–8, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 47%Mitt Romney46% align="center" 1775 RV±3.5%
Project New America/Myers Research (D)[196] July 1–8, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney49%1500 LV±4.4%
Civitas Institute/SurveyUSA[197] June 29 – July 1, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney align="center" 50% align="center" 5558 RV±4.2%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[198] June 25, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney align=center47% align=center3500 LV±4.5%
NBC News/Marist College[199] June 24–25, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 46%Mitt Romney44% align="center" 21,019 RV±3.1%
Public Policy Polling[200] June 7–10, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney align="center" 48% align="center" 2810 RV±3.4%
WRAL-TV Raleigh/SurveyUSAMay 18–21, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney align="center" 45% align="center" 1524 LV±4.4%
Civitas Institute/National Research (R)[201] May 19–20, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney47%2600 RV±4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchMay 14, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney align="center" 51% align="center" 8500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[202] May 10–13, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 48%Mitt Romney47% align="center" 1666 RV±3.8%
WRAL-TV Raleigh/Survey USA[203] April 26–30, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 47%Mitt Romney43% align="center" 41,636 RV±2.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchApril 10, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney align="center" 46% align="center" 2500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[204] April 4–7, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 51%Newt Gingrich41% align="center" 10975 RV±3.1%
align=center48%Ron Paul43% align=center5
align=center49%Mitt Romney44% align=center5
align=center50%Rick Santorum44% align=center6
Public Policy Polling[205] March 8–11, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center51%Newt Gingrich42% align=center9804 RV±3.5%
align=center48%Ron Paul41% align=center7
align=center49%Mitt Romney46% align=center3
align=center49%Rick Santorum44% align=center5
Public Policy Polling[206] February 3–5, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center50%Newt Gingrich45% align=center51,052 RV±3.0%
align=center47%Ron Paul41% align=center6
align=center47%Mitt Romney46% align=center1
align=center48%Rick Santorum46% align=center2
Civitas Institute/National Research (R)[207] January 9–11, 2012Barack Obama39%Mitt Romney align=center48% align=center9300 RV±4.0%
Public Policy Polling[208] January 5–8, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center46%Mitt Romney45% align=center1780 RV±3.5%
align=center49%Newt Gingrich43% align=center6
align=center47%Ron Paul41% align=center6
align=center49%Rick Perry41% align=center8
Barack Obama46%Rick Santorum46%Tied

Three way race

North Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 63%–36%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
North Dakota Democratic-NPL State Party/DFM Research (D)[209] July 24–26, 2012Barack Obama35%Mitt Romney align=center54% align=center19400 LV±4.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[210] July 10–11, 2012Barack Obama36%Mitt Romney align=center51% align=center15400±5.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[211] June 4–6, 2012Barack Obama39%Mitt Romney align=center52% align=center13625 RV±4.0%

Ohio

18 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing[212] August 27, 2012Barack Obama45.27%Mitt Romney44.39%0.88728 LV±3.8%
Columbus Dispatch[213] August 15–25, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney45%Tied1,758 LV±2.1%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac UniversityAugust 21, 2012Barack Obama align=center50%Mitt Romney44% align=center61,253 LV±2.8%
University of Cincinnati[214] August 16–21, 2012Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney46% align=center3847 LV±3.4%
Purple StrategiesAugust 13–14, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney align=center46% align=center2600 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[215] August 13, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney45%Tied500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[216] August 9–12, 2012Barack Obama align=center48%Mitt Romney45% align=center3961 LV±3.2%
Quinnipiac University[217] July 24–30, 2012Barack Obama align=center50%Mitt Romney44% align=center61,193 LV±3.0%
We Ask America[218] July 24, 2012Barack Obama align=center47.84%Mitt Romney40.2% align=center7.641,115 LV±3.0%
Opportunity Ohio/Magellan Strategies (R)[219] July 23–24, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney43%2597 LV±4.01%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchJuly 18, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 47%Mitt Romney45% align="center" 2500 LV±4.5%
Purple StrategiesJuly 9–13, 2012Barack Obama align=center48%Mitt Romney45% align=center3600 LV±4.0%
Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)[220] June 25 – July 3, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney41%7608 LV±4.0%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 19–25, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 47%Mitt Romney38% align="center" 91,237 RV±2.8%
Public Policy Polling[221] June 21–24, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 47%Mitt Romney44% align="center" 3673 RV±3.8%
Purple StrategiesMay 31 – June 5, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney align="center" 48% align="center" 3600 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchMay 29, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney align="center" 46% align="center" 2500 LV±4.5%
NBC News/Marist CollegeMay 17–20, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 48%Mitt Romney42% align="center" 61,103RV±3.0%
Quinnipiac University[222] May 2–7, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 45%Mitt Romney44% align="center" 11,069 RV±3.0%
Public Policy Polling[223] May 3–6, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 48%Ron Paul40% align="center" 8875 RV±3.3%
align=center50%Mitt Romney43% align=center7
Quinnipiac UniversityApril 25 – May 1, 2012Barack Obama align=center44%Mitt Romney42% align=center21,130 RV±2.9%
Purple StrategiesApril 19–23, 2012Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney44% align=center5Not reported±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchApril 18, 2012Barack Obama align=center46%Mitt Romney42% align=center4500 LV±4.5%
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company[224] April 15–17, 2012Barack Obama align=center45%Mitt Romney39% align=center6606 RV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchMarch 26, 2012 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center48%Mitt Romney40% align=center8500 LV±4.5%
align=center47%Rick Santorum41% align=center6
Quinnipiac UniversityMarch 20–26, 2012 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center47%Mitt Romney41% align=center61,246 RV±2.8%
align=center47%Rick Santorum40% align=center7
NBC News/Marist College[225] February 29 – March 2, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center50%Mitt Romney38% align=center121573 RV±2.5%
align=center51%Newt Gingrich36% align=center15
align=center48%Ron Paul38% align=center101505 RV
align=center50%Rick Santorum36% align=center14
Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company[226] February 11–13, 2012Barack Obama38%Mitt Romney align=center44% align=center6505 RV±4.5%
Barack Obama align=center43%Newt Gingrich37% align=center6
Barack Obama40%Rick Santorum align=center43% align=center3
Barack Obama41%Ron Paul align=center42% align=center1
Quinnipiac University[227] February 7–12, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center50%Newt Gingrich38% align=center121,421 RV±2.6%
align=center47%Rick Santorum41% align=center6
align=center46%Ron Paul40% align=center6
align=center46%Mitt Romney44% align=center2
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[228] February 8, 2012Barack Obama44%Rick Santorum44%Tied500 LV±4.5%
Barack Obama align=center45%Mitt Romney41% align=center4
Public Policy Polling[229] January 28–29, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center48%Rick Santorum42% align=center6820 RV±3.4%
align=center51%Newt Gingrich39% align=center12
align=center48%Ron Paul38% align=center10
align=center49%Mitt Romney42% align=center7
Quinnipiac University[230] January 9–16, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center48%Rick Santorum37% align=center111,610 RV±2.4%
align=center52%Newt Gingrich38% align=center14
align=center48%Ron Paul39% align=center9
align=center44%Mitt Romney42% align=center2

Oklahoma

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 65.6%–34.4%
(Republican in 2008) 65.7%–34.4%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
SoonerPoll[231] July 26 – August 14, 2012Barack Obama29%Mitt Romney align=center58% align=center29495 LV±4.4%
SoonerPoll[232] May 7–10, 2012Barack Obama27%Mitt Romney align=center62% align=center35504 LV±4.4%

Oregon

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
PPP[233] June 21–24, 2012Barack Obama align=center50%Mitt Romney42% align=center8686±3.7%
Survey USA[234] May 7–10, 2012Barack Obama align=center47%Mitt Romney43% align=center41,468±2.6%
Survey USA[235] March 14–19, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center50%Mitt Romney39% align=center111,615±2.5%
align=center54%Newt Gingrich34% align=center20
align=center49%Rick Santorum40% align=center9
align=center48%Ron Paul39% align=center9

Pennsylvania

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Philadelphia Inquirer/Global Strategy Group/National Research Inc.[236] August 21–23, 2012Barack Obama align=center51%Mitt Romney42% align=center9601 LV±4%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[237] August 20–22, 2012Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney40% align=center9422 LV±5%
Franklin and Marshall College[238] August 7–12, 2012Barack Obama align=center47%Mitt Romney42% align=center5681 RV±3.8%
Quinnipiac UniversityJuly 24–30, 2012Barack Obama align=center53%Mitt Romney42% align=center111,168 LV±3.0%
Public Policy PollingJuly 21–23, 2012Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney43% align=center6758 RV±3.6%
Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. (R)[239] July 19–23, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney43%3800 LV±3.46%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[240] July 18, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 48%Mitt Romney44% align="center" 4500 LV±4.5%
We Ask AmericaJuly 9–10, 2012Barack Obama align=center47%Mitt Romney40% align=center71,227 LV±2.8%
Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)June 25 – July 3, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney40%9608 LV±4.0%
Quinnipiac UniversityJune 19–25, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 45%Mitt Romney39% align="center" 61,252 RV±2.8%
Quinnipiac University[241] June 5–10, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 46%Mitt Romney40% align="center" 6997 RV±3.1%
Franklin & Marshall College[242] May 29 – June 4, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 48%Mitt Romney36% align="center" 12412 RV±4.8%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchMay 21, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 47%Mitt Romney41% align="center" 6500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[243] May 17–20, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney42%8671 RV±3.8%
Quinnipiac UniversityApril 25 – May 1, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 47%Mitt Romney39% align="center" 81,168 RV±2.9%
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[244] March 23 – April 1, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney40%5492 RV±5%
Quinnipiac UniversityMarch 20–26, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 45%Mitt Romney42% align="center" 31,232 RV±2.8%
align=center48%Rick Santorum41% align=center7
Public Policy Polling[245] March 8–11, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney42% align=center7689 RV±4.1%
align=center51%Newt Gingrich39% align=center12
align=center47%Ron Paul41% align=center6
align=center48%Rick Santorum46% align=center2
Quinnipiac University[246] March 7–11, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center46%Mitt Romney40% align=center61,256 RV±2.8%
align=center50%Newt Gingrich37% align=center13
align=center45%Ron Paul40% align=center5
align=center45%Rick Santorum44% align=center1
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchFebruary 8–23, 2012 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center45%Mitt Romney44% align=center1438 LV±4.5%
align=center46%Rick Santorum40% align=center6
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[247] February 15–21, 2012 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center48%Mitt Romney37% align=center11625 RV±4.0%
align=center49%Rick Santorum41% align=center8
Franklin & Marshall College[248] February 14–20, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center41%Mitt Romney33% align=center8592 RV±4.0%
align=center47%Newt Gingrich31% align=center16
align=center41%Ron Paul28% align=center13
align=center45%Rick Santorum37% align=center8
Susquehanna Polling and Research[249] February 2–6, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney align=center45% align=center2800 RV±3.46%
Barack Obama align=center47%Rick Santorum43% align=center4

South Carolina

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%

South Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Tennessee

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Vanderbilt University/Princeton Survey Research Associates International[252] May 2–9, 2012Barack Obama40%Mitt Romney align="center" 47% align="center" 7826 RVNot reported
Middle Tennessee State University[253] February 13–25, 2012Barack Obama40%Newt Gingrich align="center" 45% align="center" 4416 LV±4.0%
41%Ron Paul align=center44% align=center3
41%Mitt Romney align=center47% align=center6
39%Rick Santorum align=center51% align=center12
Vanderbilt University/Princeton Survey Research Associates International[254] February 16–22, 2012Barack Obama align=center41%Newt Gingrich38% align=center31,508 RV±3%
Barack Obama39%Ron Paul align=center40% align=center1
39%Mitt Romney align=center42% align=center3
38%Rick Santorum align=center42% align=center4

Texas

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
University of Texas/Texas Tribune/YouGov[255] May 7–13, 2012Barack Obama35%Mitt Romney align=center55% align=center20511±4.34%
Public Policy Polling[256] April 19–22, 2012Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney align=center50% align=center7591 RV±4.0%
45%Newt Gingrich align=center47% align=center2
43%Ron Paul align=center47% align=center4
University of Texas/Texas Tribune/YouGov[257] February 8–15, 2012Barack Obama38%Newt Gingrich align=center49% align=center11527 LV±4.27%
36%Mitt Romney align=center49% align=center13529 LV±4.26%
37%Rick Santorum align=center51% align=center14
35%Ron Paul align=center44% align=center9
Public Policy Polling[258] January 12–15, 2012Barack Obama align=center47%Newt Gingrich45% align=center2700 RV±3.7%
Barack Obama40%Ron Paul align=center46% align=center6
47%Rick Perry align=center48% align=center1
42%Mitt Romney align=center49% align=center7
42%Rick Santorum align=center49% align=center7

Three way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Other candidates%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy PollingJanuary 12–15, 2012Barack Obamaalign=center 39%Mitt Romney align=center47%Gary Johnson7% align=center8700 RV±3.7%
Barack Obamaalign=center 38%Mitt Romney align=center40%Ron Paul17% align=center2

Utah

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 72%–26%
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%

Vermont

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Castleton University[260] August 11–21, 2012Barack Obama align=center62%Mitt Romney25% align=center37477 RV±4.5%
WDEV/WCAX/Vermont Business Magazine/Castleton University[261] May 7–16, 2012Barack Obama align=center59.3%Mitt Romney27.5% align=center31.8607 RV±4.0%
Castleton University[262] February 11–22, 2012 rowspan=3Barack Obama align=center57%Mitt Romney31% align=center26800 RV±3.5%
align=center59%Rick Santorum30% align=center29
align=center58%Ron Paul28% align=center30

Virginia

13 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[263] August 23, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney47%Tied500 LV±4.5%
Public Policy Polling[264] August 16–19, 2012Barack Obama align=center50%Mitt Romney45% align=center5855 LV±3.4%
Purple StrategiesAugust 13–14, 2012Barack Obama45%Mitt Romney align=center48% align=center3600 LV±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[265] August 7, 2012Barack Obama align=center48%Mitt Romney46% align=center2500 LV±4.5%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University[266] July 31 – August 6, 2012Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney45% align=center41,412 LV±2.6%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchJuly 16–17, 2012Barack Obama align=center47%Mitt Romney46% align=center1500 LV±4.5%
Quinnipiac University[267] July 10–16, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney44%Tied1,673 RV±2.4%
Purple StrategiesJuly 9–13, 2012Barack Obama align=center46%Mitt Romney44% align=center2600 LV±4.0%
Public Policy PollingJuly 5–8, 2012Barack Obama align=center50%Mitt Romney42% align=center8647 RV±3.9%
Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang Research GroupJune 25 – July 3, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney43%3608 LV±4%
We Ask AmericaJune 25, 2012Barack Obama43.3%Mitt Romney align="center" 48.0% align="center" 4.71,106 LV±2.95%
Virginian Pilot/Old Dominion University[268] May 16 – June 15, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 49%Mitt Romney42% align="center" 7776 RV±3.5%
Purple StrategiesMay 31 – June 5, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 49%Mitt Romney46% align="center" 3600 LV±4.0%
Quinnipiac University[269] May 30 – June 4, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 47%Mitt Romney42% align="center" 51,282 RV±2.7%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchJune 3, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney47%Tied500 LV±4.5%
NBC News/Marist College[270] May 17–20, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 48%Mitt Romney44% align="center" 41,076 RV±3.0%
Washington Post[271] April 28 – May 2, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 51%Mitt Romney44% align="center" 7964 RV±4%
Public Policy Polling[272] April 26–29, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 53%Newt Gingrich37% align="center" 16680 RV±3.8%
align=center50%Ron Paul39% align=center11
align=center51%Mitt Romney43% align=center8
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchApril 23, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney align=center45% align=center1500 LV±4.5
Purple StrategiesApril 19–23, 2012Barack Obama align=center48%Mitt Romney46% align=center2Not reported±4.1%
Roanoke College[273] March 26 – April 5, 2012Barack Obama40%Mitt Romney align=center46% align=center6603 A±4%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[274] March 20, 2012Barack Obama51%Mitt Romney42%9500 LV±4.5%
Quinnipiac University[275] March 13–18, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 50%Mitt Romney42% align="center" 81,034 RV±3.1%
align=center54%Newt Gingrich35% align=center19
align=center49%Rick Santorum40% align=center9
align=center49%Ron Paul39% align=center10
NBC News/Marist College[276] February 29 – March 2, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center52%Mitt Romney35% align=center171,273 RV±2.8%
align=center57%Newt Gingrich31% align=center26
align=center54%Rick Santorum32% align=center221,245 RV
align=center53%Ron Paul32% align=center21
Roanoke College[277] February 13–26, 2012 rowspan=3Barack Obama align=center48%Newt Gingrich37% align=center11607 A±4%
align=center45%Rick Santorum39% align=center6
align=center45%Ron Paul35% align=center10
Barack Obama42%Mitt Romney align=center43% align=center1
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchFebruary 21, 2012 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney43% align=center6500 LV±4.5%
align=center51%Rick Santorum43% align=center8
Richmond Times-Dispatch/Muhlenberg College/Christopher Newport University[278] February 4–13, 2012Barack Obama align=center45%Newt Gingrich40% align=center51,018 RV±3.1%
Barack Obama43%Mitt Romney align=center46% align=center2
Barack Obama42%Rick Santorum align=center46% align=center4
Barack Obama43%Ron Paul43%Tie
Quinnipiac University[279] February 1–6, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center47%Mitt Romney43% align=center41,544 RV±2.5%
align=center51%Newt Gingrich37% align=center14
align=center49%Rick Santorum41% align=center8
align=center47%Ron Paul40% align=center7
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research[280] January 16–18, 2012 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center45%Mitt Romney44% align=center1625 RV±3.9%
align=center49%Newt Gingrich38% align=center11

Three way race

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Constitution Party%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Public Policy PollingJuly 5–8, 2012Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romneyalign=center 35%Virgil Goodealign=center 9% align=center14647±3.9%
Public Policy PollingApril 26–29, 2012Barack Obama align=center50%Mitt Romneyalign=center 38%Virgil Goodealign=center 5% align=center12680±3.8%

Washington

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
Moore Information[281] August 6–7, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney36%10500 LV±4%
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA[282] August 2–3, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 54%Mitt Romney37% align="center" 17524 LV±4.4%
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSAJuly 16–18, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 46%Mitt Romney37% align="center" 9630 RV±4%
Public Policy Polling[283] June 14–17, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 54%Mitt Romney41% align="center" 131,073 RV±3.0%
Elway Research[284] June 13–16, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 49%Mitt Romney41% align="center" 8408 RV±5%
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA[285] May 8–9, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 50%Mitt Romney36% align="center" 14557 RV±4.2%
Public Policy Polling[286] February 16–19, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 55%Newt Gingrich35% align="center" 201,264 RV±2.76%
align=center53%Mitt Romney38% align=center15
align=center51%Ron Paul38% align=center13
align=center52%Rick Santorum40% align=center12
KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA[287] February 13–15, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center56%Newt Gingrich34% align=center22572 RV±4.2%
align=center50%Mitt Romney39% align=center11
align=center50%Ron Paul37% align=center13
align=center51%Rick Santorum38% align=center13

West Virginia

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
R.L. Repass & Partners[288] August 22–25, 2012Barack Obama38%Mitt Romney align=center52% align=center14401 LV±4.9%
R.L. Repass & Partners[289] April 25–28, 2012Barack Obama37%Mitt Romney align=center54% align=center17410 RV±4.8%

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%

Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac UniversityAugust 15–21, 2012Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney47% align=center21,190 LV±3%
Marquette Law School[290] August 16–19, 2012Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney46% align=center3576 LV±4.2%
Public Policy Polling[291] August 16–19, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney align=center48% align=center11,308 LV±2.7%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[292] August 15, 2012Barack Obama47%Mitt Romney align=center48% align=center1500 LV±4.5%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[293] August 13–14, 2012Barack Obama align=center49%Mitt Romney45% align=center4920 RV±3.0%
CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac UniversityJuly 31 – August 6, 2012Barack Obama align=center51%Mitt Romney45% align=center61,428±2.6%
Marquette Law School[294] August 2–5, 2012Barack Obama50%Mitt Romney45%51,188 LV±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchJuly 25, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 49%Mitt Romney46% align="center" 3500 LV±4.5%
We Ask AmericaJuly 17–18, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 49%Mitt Romney42% align="center" 71,162 LV±2.93%
Marquette Law School[295] July 5–8, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 51%Mitt Romney43% align="center" 8810 LV±3.5%
Public Policy Polling[296] July 5–8, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 50%Mitt Romney44% align="center" 61,057 LV±3.3%
Marquette Law School[297] June 13–16, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney43%6594 LV±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchJune 12, 2012Barack Obama44%Mitt Romney47%3500 LV±4.5%
We Ask America[298] June 3, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney43%51,275 LV±2.75%
Marquette Law School[299] May 23–26, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 51%Mitt Romney43% align="center" 8600 LV±4%
St. Norbert College[300] May 17–22, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 49%Mitt Romney43% align="center" 6406 LV±5.0%
Daily Kos/Public Policy Polling[301] May 11–13, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 47%Mitt Romney46% align="center" 1851 RV±3.4%
Marquette Law School[302] May 9–12, 2012Barack Obama46%Mitt Romney46%Tied600 LV±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchMay 9, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 49%Mitt Romney45% align="center" 4500 LV±4.5%
Marquette Law School[303] April 26–29, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 51%Mitt Romney42% align="center" 9705 RV±3.8%
Daily Kos/Public Policy Polling[304] April 13–15, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 50%Mitt Romney44% align="center" 61,136 RV±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchMarch 27, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 56%Newt Gingrich31% align="center" 25500 LV±4.5%
align="center" 52%Mitt Romney41% align="center" 11
NBC News/Marist College[305] March 22–27, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 52%Mitt Romney35% align="center" 171,391 RV±2.6%
align=center51%Rick Santorum38% align=center13
align="center" 51%Rick Santorum39% align="center" 121,400 RV
align=center51%Ron Paul36% align=center15
Marquette Law School[306] March 22–25, 2012Barack Obama align="center" 48%Mitt Romney43% align="center" 5707 RV±3.7%
align=center51%Rick Santorum39% align=center12
align=center53%Newt Gingrich36% align=center17
align=center50%Ron Paul40% align=center10
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchFebruary 27, 2012 rowspan=2Barack Obama align=center47%Mitt Romney42% align=center5500 LV±4.5%
align=center46%Rick Santorum41% align=center5
Public Policy Polling[307] February 23–26, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center55%Newt Gingrich37% align=center18900 RV±3.27%
align=center53%Ron Paul37% align=center16
align=center53%Mitt Romney39% align=center14
align=center49%Rick Santorum43% align=center6
Marquette Law School[308] February 16–19, 2012 rowspan=4Barack Obama align=center53%Mitt Romney38% align=center15716 RV±3.7%
align=center51%Rick Santorum40% align=center11
align=center56%Newt Gingrich33% align=center23
align=center52%Ron Paul36% align=center16
Marquette Law School[309] January 19–22, 2012Barack Obama align=center48%Mitt Romney40% align=center8701 RV±3.8%

Three way race

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Capital Survey Research Center. https://web.archive.org/web/20121114160458/http://www.myaea.org/PDFfile/Surveys/2012ALPRESELEC.pdf . November 14, 2012 .
  2. Web site: Romney leads Obama in Alabama poll, but voters question his Mormon faith (Political Skinny). George . Talbot. July 2, 2012. al.
  3. Web site: 2012 Arizona: Romney vs. Obama | RealClearPolling. www.realclearpolling.com.
  4. Web site: Election 2012: Arizona President. www.rasmussenreports.com.
  5. Web site: Project New America/Public Policy Polling (D). https://web.archive.org/web/20120828124203/http://projectnewamerica.com/PNAAZPollJune2012.pdf . August 28, 2012 .
  6. Web site: Public Policy Polling.
  7. Web site: DC London/Magellan Strategies (R). https://web.archive.org/web/20120514071248/http://magellanstrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/Magellan-Arizona-General-Election-Survey-Release-050312.pdf . May 14, 2012 .
  8. Web site: Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll.
  9. Web site: Poll: Obama/Romney race a toss-up in Arizona. TucsonSentinel.com.
  10. Web site: First Read - NBC poll: Romney, Santorum deadlocked in Michigan; Romney leads in Arizona. February 22, 2012. https://web.archive.org/web/20120222122235/http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/22/10474814-nbc-poll-romney-santorum-deadlocked-in-michigan-romney-leads-in-arizona . February 22, 2012 .
  11. Web site: Public Policy Polling.
  12. Web site: Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll). https://web.archive.org/web/20120912004746/http://www.brcpolls.com/12/RMP%202012-I-01.pdf. dead. September 12, 2012.
  13. Web site: Public Policy Polling. June 22, 2022. March 26, 2019. http://webarchive.loc.gov/all/20190326071159/http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_POTUSAZ_052312.pdff. bot: unknown.
  14. Web site: Obama Holding Democrats, But Failing With Independent Voters. Roby. Brock. March 27, 2012.
  15. Web site: Policy Analysis for California Education/USC Rossier School of Education/Tulchin Research.
  16. Web site: CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 Strategies.
  17. Web site: Field Research Corporation (Field Poll). https://web.archive.org/web/20120901184654/http://field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/Rls2416.pdf . September 1, 2012 .
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  19. Web site: Field Research Corporation (Field Poll). https://web.archive.org/web/20120819070205/http://field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/Rls2410.pdf . August 19, 2012 .
  20. Web site: USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll: Gay Marriage Not a Key Voting Issue for 75 Percent of CA Voters > USC Dana and David Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences. June 2, 2012. https://web.archive.org/web/20120602090048/http://dornsife.usc.edu/usc-dornsife-los-angeles-times-poll-presidential-may-2012/ . June 2, 2012 .
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  24. Web site: Field Research Corporation (Field Poll). https://web.archive.org/web/20120312021009/http://www.field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/Rls2403.pdf . March 12, 2012 .
  25. Web site: Election 2012: California President. www.rasmussenreports.com.
  26. Web site: SurveyUSA Election Poll #18974. www.surveyusa.com.
  27. Web site: Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs. https://web.archive.org/web/20120907121831/http://onsightpublicaffairs.com/media/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/KR-ONSIGHT-Colorado-Statewide-Poll-August-2012-Topline-Results-FOR-RELEASE.pdf . September 7, 2012 .
  28. Web site: Purple Strategies. https://web.archive.org/web/20121016045955/http://www.purplestrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/PurplePoll_Aug15_Final.pdf. dead. October 16, 2012.
  29. Web site: Election 2012: Colorado President. www.rasmussenreports.com.
  30. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_CO_080712.pdf Public Policy Polling
  31. Web site: Purple Strategies. https://web.archive.org/web/20120907001644/http://www.purplestrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/7.2012-Purple-Poll.pdf . September 7, 2012 .
  32. Web site: Priorities USA Action Blog. July 11, 2012. https://web.archive.org/web/20120711113536/http://www.prioritiesusaaction.org/blog/2012-07-mitt-romneys-central-qualification-becomes-a-signifi . July 11, 2012 .
  33. Web site: VA & CO | weaskamerica.com. June 26, 2012. https://web.archive.org/web/20120626142156/http://weaskamerica.com/2012/06/26/va-co/ . June 26, 2012 .
  34. Web site: Public Policy Polling.
  35. Web site: Purple Strategies. https://web.archive.org/web/20120607200113/http://www.purplestrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/6.2012-Purple-Poll.pdf . June 7, 2012 .
  36. Web site: NBC News/Marist College. https://web.archive.org/web/20121005045915/http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/NBC-News-Marist-Poll-Colorado-Questionnaire_May-2012.pdf . October 5, 2012 .
  37. Web site: Project New America/Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs (D). https://web.archive.org/web/20120611181855/http://www.projectnewamerica.com/PNACOPresidentialMemo5-29-12.pdf . June 11, 2012 .
  38. https://web.archive.org/web/20120510121032/http://www.purplestrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/AprilPurplePoll_v9.pdf Purple Strategies
  39. Web site: Public Policy Polling.
  40. Web site: Quinnipiac University. https://web.archive.org/web/20120919211418/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=1790. dead. September 19, 2012.
  41. Web site: Election 2012: Connecticut President. www.rasmussenreports.com.
  42. Web site: Quinnipiac University. https://web.archive.org/web/20120927043533/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=1758. dead. September 27, 2012.
  43. Web site: Quinnipiac University. https://web.archive.org/web/20120322163812/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=1724. dead. March 22, 2012.
  44. Web site: CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation.
  45. Web site: The Latest Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS Poll. archive.nytimes.com.
  46. Web site: Florida | PDF | Chi Squared Distribution | Correlation And Dependence. Scribd.
  47. Web site: FMWB-Fulmer & Associates Aggregate Polling Study Report for Florida General Election | PDF. Scribd.
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