2010 Dutch general election explained

Election Name:2010 Dutch general election
Country:Netherlands
Previous Election:2006
Next Election:2012
Seats For Election:All 150 seats in the House of Representatives
Majority Seats:76
Turnout:75.40% (4.95pp)
Leader1:Mark Rutte
Party1:People's Party for Freedom and Democracy
Last Election1:22
Seats1:31
Percentage1:20.49
Leader2:Job Cohen
Party2:Labour Party (Netherlands)
Last Election2:33
Seats2:30
Percentage2:19.63
Leader3:Geert Wilders
Party3:Party for Freedom
Last Election3:9
Seats3:24
Percentage3:15.45
Leader4:Jan Peter Balkenende
Party4:Christian Democratic Appeal
Last Election4:41
Seats4:21
Percentage4:13.61
Leader5:Emile Roemer
Party5:Socialist Party (Netherlands)
Last Election5:25
Seats5:15
Percentage5:9.82
Leader6:Alexander Pechtold
Party6:Democrats 66
Last Election6:3
Seats6:10
Percentage6:6.95
Leader7:Femke Halsema
Party7:GreenLeft
Last Election7:7
Seats7:10
Percentage7:6.67
Leader8:André Rouvoet
Party8:ChristianUnion
Last Election8:6
Seats8:5
Percentage8:3.24
Leader9:Kees van der Staaij
Party9:Reformed Political Party
Last Election9:2
Seats9:2
Percentage9:1.74
Leader10:Marianne Thieme
Party10:Party for the Animals
Last Election10:2
Seats10:2
Percentage10:1.30
Map:Tweede Kamerverkiezingen 2010.png
Cabinet
Before Election:Fourth Balkenende cabinet
Before Party:CDAPvdACU
After Election:First Rutte cabinet
After Party:VVDCDA

General elections were held in the Netherlands on Wednesday 9 June 2010. This was triggered by the fall of Prime Minister Jan Peter Balkenende's fourth cabinet on 20 February with Queen Beatrix accepting the resignation of the Labour Party (PvdA) ministers on 23 February.[1] The conservative-liberal People's Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD), led by Mark Rutte, won the largest number of seats in the House of Representatives while the social-democratic PvdA, led by Job Cohen, came a narrow second. The election was also noted for the rise of the Party for Freedom (PVV), which came third, led by controversial politician Geert Wilders. On the other hand, Balkenende's Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA) saw a poor result, losing half its seats (along with popular support) and dropping from first to fourth place. The Socialist Party (SP) also lost seats. Notably, the 31 seats won by the VVD was its most since 1998, and the one-seat margin between the VVD and PvdA is the closest on record.[2]

After the election, the formation of a new government took 127 days. Both the VVD and the PvdA hoped to have a leading role. VVD talks with the PvdA and other left-wing parties (trying to form a so-called Purple Coalition without Christian parties) broke down; however, Rutte was able to form a right-wing coalition of the VVD and CDA, with the PVV formally making an agreement (gedoogakkoord) to support the government but without holding any cabinet seats. It was the first coalition government not to be led by a Christian democratic or socialist party in 92 years, as well as the first to be led by the VVD. Rutte was sworn in as Prime Minister on 14 October, becoming the first liberal to hold that post since 1918.

The 150 seats of the House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal) were contested, and filled using party-list proportional representation for a nominal four-year term.

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Background

The election follows the PvdA's withdrawal in February from the coalition over the contribution of Dutch soldiers to the War in Afghanistan. According to the Dutch constitution new elections had to be held within 83 days.

Debates

The first radio debate was held on 21 May 2010. The first television debate, held on 23 May was, according to instant polls, won by Mark Rutte on 36%, with Job Cohen second on 24%, and Geert Wilders and Jan Peter Balkenende third, on 18%.[3]

Opinion polls

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pos:(46,48) text:February pos:(153,48) text:March pos:(286,48) text:April pos:(415,48) text:May pos:(547,48) text:June

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points: (147,30)(147,40) color:black layer:back width:0.5 # maart points: (280,30)(280,40) color:black layer:back width:0.5 # april points: (409,30)(409,40) color:black layer:back width:0.5 # mei points: (541,30)(541,40) color:black layer:back width:0.5 # juni

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layer:front # PvdA points: (40,156)(70,150) color:pvda width:2 # x: 40 + w*30 waarbij w het weeknummer-5 points: (70,150)(100,156) color:pvda width:2 # y: 30 + z*6 waarbij z het aantal zetels points: (100,156)(130,192) color:pvda width:2 # (40+2*30=100, 30+21*6=156)(40+3*30, 30+27*5) points: (130,192)(151,192) color:pvda width:2 points: (151,192)(190,186) color:pvda width:2 points: (190,186)(220,228) color:pvda width:2 points: (220,228)(250,228) color:pvda width:2 points: (250,228)(310,228) color:pvda width:2 points: (310,228)(340,210) color:pvda width:2 points: (340,210)(370,210) color:pvda width:2 points: (370,210)(400,222) color:pvda width:2 points: (400,222)(430,228) color:pvda width:2 points: (430,228)(460,228) color:pvda width:2 points: (460,228)(490,228) color:pvda width:2 points: (490,228)(507,210) color:pvda width:2 points: (507,210)(520,204) color:pvda width:2 points: (520,204)(537,198) color:pvda width:2 points: (537,198)(550,210) color:pvda width:2 points: (550,210)(567,210) color:pvda width:2 points: (571,210)(572,210) color:pvda width:5

layer:front # VVD points: (40,138)(70,132) color:vvd width:2 # x: 40 + w*30 waarbij w het weeknummer-5 points: (70,132)(100,132) color:vvd width:2 # y: 30 + z*6 waarbij z het aantal zetels points: (100,132)(130,120) color:vvd width:2 # (40+2*30=100, 30+17*6=132)(40+3*30, 30+15*5) points: (130,120)(151,132) color:vvd width:2 points: (151,132)(190,162) color:vvd width:2 points: (190,162)(220,150) color:vvd width:2 points: (220,150)(250,156) color:vvd width:2 points: (250,156)(310,162) color:vvd width:2 points: (310,162)(340,168) color:vvd width:2 points: (340,168)(370,192) color:vvd width:2 points: (370,192)(400,210) color:vvd width:2 points: (400,210)(430,216) color:vvd width:2 points: (430,216)(460,222) color:vvd width:2 points: (460,222)(490,246) color:vvd width:2 points: (490,246)(507,252) color:vvd width:2 points: (507,252)(520,258) color:vvd width:2 points: (520,258)(537,258) color:vvd width:2 points: (537,258)(550,246) color:vvd width:2 points: (550,246)(567,228) color:vvd width:2 points: (567,228)(571,216) color:vvd width:2 points: (571,216)(572,216) color:vvd width:5

layer:front # PVV points: (40,186)(70,174) color:pvv width:2 points: (70,174)(100,174) color:pvv width:2 points: (100,174)(130,192) color:pvv width:2 points: (130,192)(151,186) color:pvv width:2 points: (151,186)(190,174) color:pvv width:2 points: (190,174)(220,168) color:pvv width:2 points: (220,168)(250,162) color:pvv width:2 points: (250,162)(310,168) color:pvv width:2 points: (310,168)(340,156) color:pvv width:2 points: (340,156)(370,138) color:pvv width:2 points: (370,138)(400,138) color:pvv width:2 points: (400,138)(430,138) color:pvv width:2 points: (430,138)(460,132) color:pvv width:2 points: (460,132)(490,138) color:pvv width:2 points: (490,138)(507,138) color:pvv width:2 points: (507,138)(520,132) color:pvv width:2 points: (520,132)(537,126) color:pvv width:2 points: (537,126)(550,120) color:pvv width:2 points: (550,120)(567,132) color:pvv width:2 points: (567,132)(571,174) color:pvv width:2 points: (571,174)(572,174) color:pvv width:5

layer:front # D66 points: (40,132)(70,132) color:d66 width:2 points: (70,132)(100,138) color:d66 width:2 points: (100,138)(130,126) color:d66 width:2 points: (130,126)(151,126) color:d66 width:2 points: (151,126)(190,138) color:d66 width:2 points: (190,138)(220,120) color:d66 width:2 points: (220,120)(250,120) color:d66 width:2 points: (250,120)(310,102) color:d66 width:2 points: (310,102)(340,102) color:d66 width:2 points: (340,102)(370,114) color:d66 width:2 points: (370,114)(400,108) color:d66 width:2 points: (400,108)(430,102) color:d66 width:2 points: (430,102)(460,96) color:d66 width:2 points: (460,96)(490,90) color:d66 width:2 points: (490,90)(507,84) color:d66 width:2 points: (507,84)(520,84) color:d66 width:2 points: (520,84)(537,90) color:d66 width:2 points: (537,90)(550,96) color:d66 width:2 points: (550,96)(567,90) color:d66 width:2 points: (571,90)(572,90) color:d66 width:5

layer:front # SP points: (40,108)(70,102) color:sp width:2 points: (70,102)(100,102) color:sp width:2 points: (100,102)(130,102) color:sp width:2 points: (130,102)(151,96) color:sp width:2 points: (151,96)(190,84) color:sp width:2 points: (190,84)(220,78) color:sp width:2 points: (220,78)(250,84) color:sp width:2 points: (250,84)(310,96) color:sp width:2 points: (310,96)(340,96) color:sp width:2 points: (340,96)(370,90) color:sp width:2 points: (370,90)(400,78) color:sp width:2 points: (400,78)(430,84) color:sp width:2 points: (430,84)(460,84) color:sp width:3 points: (460,84)(490,78) color:sp width:2 points: (490,78)(507,84) color:sp width:2 points: (507,84)(520,90) color:sp width:2 points: (520,90)(537,102) color:sp width:2 points: (537,102)(550,114) color:sp width:2 points: (550,114)(567,114) color:sp width:2 points: (567,114)(571,120) color:sp width:2 points: (571,120)(572,120) color:sp width:5

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Party2006Politieke Barometer[4] Peil.nl[5] TNS-NIPO[6]
%Seats (150)8-6-2010Exit polls (21.00 hrs)7-6-2010Exit polls31-5-2010Exit polls
CDA26.541242125242121
PvdA21.233303130303129
SP16.625141512131315
VVD14.722333136343736
PVV5.99172318181718
GL4.6711111011810
CU4.06656696
D662.03101010111011
PvdD1.82211111
SGP1.62322232
ToN/Trots000001
Others1.200000
  • Trots op Nederland is the party formed by Rita Verdonk after she split from the VVD in 2007 and became an independent representative.

Polls indicated that the elections were too close to call.[7]

Results

Turnout was reported to be over 5% less than the previous elections[8] allegedly due to heavy rain and stormy weather.[9]

By province

Results by province[10]
ProvinceVVDPvdAPVVCDASPD66GLCUSGPPvdDOthers
19.226.213.013.89.85.25.94.30.51.11.0
24.519.016.210.68.65.55.64.92.51.41.2
15.524.811.418.211.54.76.25.10.61.10.9
19.418.713.515.79.76.66.64.23.41.11.1
14.527.611.411.111.76.58.36.10.51.50.8
15.515.626.816.012.94.75.30.60.11.31.2
21.016.117.416.213.46.55.51.00.41.11.4
23.523.613.59.08.48.98.61.50.21.61.2
16.919.112.620.49.35.95.46.22.50.90.8
22.418.616.911.28.27.46.43.62.71.51.1
23.218.112.512.07.19.28.94.62.21.21.0
17.517.415.016.39.24.34.84.38.61.41.2

Reactions

Prime Minister Jan Peter Balkenende stepped down from his position in the CDA and resigned his parliamentary seat on the evening of the election, saying he was taking "political responsibility" for the unsatisfactory election results of his party and that "The voter has spoken, the outcome is clear."[11]

Government formation

See main article: 2010 Dutch cabinet formation. Expectations were that the formation of a new government would take some time.[12] The international media also read this as a slim victory for the "austerity-minded" Liberals amidst the 2010 European sovereign debt crisis.[13]

On 14 October, Mark Rutte was sworn in as prime minister.[14] Rutte's government resigned on 24 April 2012 over austerity measures.

Analysis

Some international media speculated that "for the first time in this nation's history, a Jewish man, albeit a secular one, is on the verge of becoming the next prime minister ... Job Cohen, who was until recently the Mayor of Amsterdam, and represents the top of the ticket for the PvdA ... is at the end of a long battle to run the country that began in February when the PvdA backed out of the ruling coalition government because it did not want to send Dutch troops back to Afghanistan."[15]

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Ontslag en benoeming bewindspersonen . Rijksvoorlichtingsdienst . 2009-02-23 . nl . 2009-02-23.
  2. Web site: Election 2010 – The Netherlands shifts to the right . nrc.nl . 10 June 2010 . 10 June 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20100613040242/http://www.nrc.nl/international/election2010/article2561211.ece/The_Netherlands_shifts_to_the_right . 2010-06-13 . dead.
  3. Peiling: Rutte wint debat . 23 May 2010 .
  4. Web site: Politieke Barometer Week 23 – 08 juni 2010 . Politiekebarometer.nl . 2010-06-11.
  5. Web site: VVD nog 4 zetels voor op PvdA, incl. prognose voor TK2010 (laatste peiling). Peil.nl . No Ties bv . 2010-06-08 . 2010-06-09 . https://web.archive.org/web/20100617043018/http://www.peil.nl/?2987 . 2010-06-17 . dead.
  6. Web site: Slotpeiling: VVD behoudt voorsprong op PvdA . . 2010-05-12 . 2010-06-09.
  7. Web site: Radio Netherlands Worldwide (2010-06-09): Dutch election too close to call . Rnw.nl . 2010-06-04 . 2010-06-11 . https://web.archive.org/web/20100612111631/http://www.rnw.nl/english/article/dutch-election-too-close-call . 2010-06-12 . dead .
  8. News: Tweede Kamer Verkiezingen 2010. Telegraaf.
  9. http://www.rnw.nl/suriname/article/verkiezingen-nog-nooit-zo-spannend Verkiezingen nog nooit zo spannend
  10. Web site: Tweede Kamer 9 juni 2010 . Kiesraad . Dutch . 4 November 2021.
  11. Web site: Dutch PM quits CDA party leadership - Europe . Al Jazeera English . 2010-06-11.
  12. Web site: Dutch Face Months of Coalition Talks; Wilders Third (Update2) . Bloomberg.com . 2005-05-30 . 2010-06-11.
  13. Web site: Dutch election gives austerity-minded Liberals slim win . Dw-world.de . 2010-06-11.
  14. Web site: Dutch government - who's who Radio Netherlands Worldwide . 2010-10-16 . https://web.archive.org/web/20101019004755/http://www.rnw.nl/english/article/dutch-government-whos-who . 2010-10-19 . dead .
  15. Web site: The Netherlands decides its fate - Focus . Al Jazeera English . 2010-06-11.