2002 New York gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:2002 New York gubernatorial election
Country:New York
Flag Image:Flag of New York (1909–2020).svg
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:1998 New York gubernatorial election
Previous Year:1998
Next Election:2006 New York gubernatorial election
Next Year:2006
Election Date:November 5, 2002
Image1:File:George Pataki 2004 (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:George Pataki
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Running Mate1:Mary Donohue
Popular Vote1:2,262,255
Percentage1:49.40%
Nominee2:H. Carl McCall
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Running Mate2:Dennis Mehiel
Popular Vote2:1,534,064
Percentage2:33.50%
Image3:File:Tom Golisano (1).JPG
Nominee3:Tom Golisano
Party3:Independence Party of New York
Running Mate3:Mary Donohue
Popular Vote3:654,016
Percentage3:14.28%
Governor
Before Election:George Pataki
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:George Pataki
After Party:Republican Party (United States)
Alliance1:Conservative
Alliance2:Working Families

The 2002 New York gubernatorial election was held on November 5, 2002. Republican Governor George Pataki was re-elected to a third term, defeating Democrat Carl McCall and Rochester billionaire Tom Golisano, who ran on the Independence Party line. As of, this was the last time a Republican won a statewide election in New York, and the last time Albany, Tompkins and Westchester counties have voted Republican in a statewide election.

On Election Day, Pataki was easily re-elected, but fell short of receiving 50% of the vote. McCall received 33% of the vote, carrying New York City (other than Staten Island) and nearly carrying Albany County. In contrast to the norm for multiple third party campaigns, Golisano did better than his previous elections, receiving 14% of the vote and carrying his home county of Monroe in western New York. This election was the first New York gubernatorial election since 1978 in which the winner of the gubernatorial election was of the same party as the incumbent president.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declined

Results

Pataki won the nomination unopposed.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Withdrew

Campaign

Comptroller Carl McCall defeated Andrew Cuomo at the Democratic State Convention, and Cuomo withdrew from the race less than a week before the Democratic primary.

Polling

SourceDateCarl McCallAndrew Cuomo
QuinnipiacDecember 14, 200033%39%
QuinnipiacFebruary 14, 200135%36%
QuinnipiacMarch 28, 200133%40%
QuinnipiacApril 24, 200133%39%
QuinnipiacJune 26, 200131%44%
QuinnipiacOctober 2, 200129%41%
QuinnipiacNovember 14, 200129%37%
QuinnipiacJanuary 23, 200238%38%
QuinnipiacFebruary 27, 200235%40%
QuinnipiacApril 18, 200230%44%
QuinnipiacMay 1, 200233%43%
QuinnipiacJuly 2, 200232%47%
QuinnipiacAugust 15, 200247%31%
QuinnipiacSeptember 3, 200253%31%

Lieutenant governor

Results

Other nominations

Conservative and Independence

Besides his standard Republican nomination, Governor Pataki sought the nominations of the Conservative and the Independence Party. Golisano, who sought (and ultimately won) the nomination of the Independence Party, also ran against the Governor in the Conservative primary, spending over $20 million (or over $2,000 per vote) during the primaries. Pataki secured the Republican and Conservative lines, while Golisano successfully defended his hold on the Independence Party ticket.[1]

Liberal

Andrew Cuomo was nominated by the Liberal Party before his withdrawal from the race, and his withdrawal came too late for his name to be removed from the Liberal Party line. Since Liberal Party supporters could not support McCall on their own party's line (and thus ensure that the Liberal Party would maintain ballot access by virtue of having 50,000 votes or more), Cuomo's defeat effectively helped to destroy the Liberal Party.

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[2] October 31, 2002
Sabato's Crystal Ball[3] November 4, 2002

Polling

SourceDateH. Carl McCall (D)George Pataki (R)Thomas Golisano (I)
QuinnipiacDecember 14, 200036%48%-
QuinnipiacFebruary 14, 200136%43%-
QuinnipiacMarch 28, 200135%48%-
QuinnipiacApril 24, 200136%43%-
QuinnipiacJune 26, 200135%46%-
QuinnipiacOctober 2, 200126%59%-
QuinnipiacNovember 14, 200124%56%-
QuinnipiacJanuary 23, 200227%57%-
QuinnipiacFebruary 27, 200229%57%-
QuinnipiacApril 18, 200229%56%-
QuinnipiacMay 1, 200227%58%-
QuinnipiacJuly 2, 200226%53%7%
MaristSeptember 9, 200232%48%11%
QuinnipiacSeptember 25, 200235%46%14%
MaristOctober 1, 200232%48%9%
QuinnipiacOctober 16, 200231%47%18%
The New York TimesOctober 17, 200231%42%17%
MaristOctober 30, 200227%47%17%
MaristNovember 4, 200227%47%19%
QuinnipiacNovember 4, 200229%45%14%
SourceDateAndrew Cuomo (D)George Pataki (R)Thomas Golisano (I)
QuinnipiacDecember 14, 200037%48%-
QuinnipiacFebruary 14, 200137%46%-
QuinnipiacMarch 28, 200136%48%-
QuinnipiacApril 24, 200136%46%-
QuinnipiacJune 26, 200139%47%-
QuinnipiacOctober 2, 200125%60%-
QuinnipiacNovember 14, 200125%57%-
QuinnipiacJanuary 23, 200228%59%-
QuinnipiacFebruary 27, 200228%59%-
QuinnipiacApril 18, 200230%54%-
QuinnipiacMay 1, 200226%59%-
QuinnipiacJuly 2, 200226%54%6%

Results

Results by county

CountyPataki%Pataki#McCall%McCall#Golisano%Golisano#Cronin%Cronin#Aronowitz%Aronowitz#Others%Others#Total
Albany40.29%45,80440.24%45,74815.04%17,1010.79%9011.08%1,2251.02%1,165113,679
Allegany59.02%8,13414.82%2,04219.47%2,6831.42%1960.70%960.88%12113,782
Bronx29.57%58,60061.08%121,0503.98%7,8930.41%8220.37%7340.44%875198,195
Broome48.64%32,33919.45%12,95626.24%17,4780.64%4251.12%7460.83%55066,604
Cattaraugus55.74%12,40019.34%4,30219.27%4,2871.60%3550.62%1390.85%19022,247
Cayuga55.16%14,20321.04%5,41717.84%4,5930.89%2280.89%2280.90%23325,749
Chautauqua59.41%22,86921.62%8,32314.93%5,7470.89%3410.44%1700.94%36038,493
Chemung62.79%16,39817.69%4,61915.39%4,0180.83%2160.70%1830.64%16626,116
Chenango59.50%8,67617.34%2,52917.81%2,5970.79%1151.54%2250.94%13714,582
Clinton72.36%17,11314.82%2,5296.55%1,5500.64%1510.61%1451.05%24823,650
Columbia52.06%11,99528.01%6,45413.42%3,0910.69%1601.97%4541.50%34623,040
Cortland54.33%7,85124.37%3,52216.56%2,3930.80%1161.44%2080.80%11514,450
Delaware58.99%9,13918.58%2,87814.98%2,3200.86%1341.42%2201.43%22115,492
Dutchess57.26%44,28924.05%18,60613.80%10,6711.31%1,0150.94%7290.92%71577,348
Erie43.18%130,37728.27%85,36022.75%68,7021.59%4,7910.61%1,8310.96%2,905301,929
Essex71.84%10,55012.22%1,7948.06%1,1830.70%1030.74%1081.15%16914,686
Franklin68.37%8,62815.92%2,0097.87%9930.83%1050.68%860.97%12212,619
Fulton56.09%9,01219.01%3,05520.54%3,3010.91%1460.38%611.00%16016,067
Genesee52.23%9,58813.91%2,55329.43%5,4021.21%2230.44%810.82%15018,358
Greene57.90%9,36320.29%3,28116.23%2,6251.15%1860.80%1291.34%21616,170
Hamilton59.86%1,74018.92%55016.62%4831.10%320.28%81.24%362,907
Herkimer59.86%11,83415.80%3,17820.58%4,1400.92%1860.48%970.96%19420,113
Jefferson65.18%17,61614.42%3,89716.33%4,4140.66%1790.30%820.64%17227,027
Kings (Brooklyn)34.60%141,84656.12%230,0404.10%16,7870.40%1,6551.38%5,6740.21%875409,909
Lewis62.30%5,82314.66%1,37016.71%1,5620.92%860.29%270.88%829,347
Livingston43.10%8,75717.97%3,65134.77%7,0660.82%1670.69%1401.01%20520,320
Madison51.87%10,39320.99%4,20622.43%4,4931.18%2360.82%1640.95%19120,035
Monroe34.27%81,11024.65%58,33437.17%87,9670.77%1,8200.81%1,9290.86%2,039236,691
Montgomery52.64%9,28518.97%3,34620.26%3,5730.87%1530.37%651.04%18317,640
Nassau60.56%232,78525.98%99,8659.33%35,8601.45%5,5740.37%1,5720.74%2,855384,408
New York (Manhattan)32.53%117,86355.78%202,1015.45%19,7430.25%9162.05%7,4151.40%5,054362,277
Niagara47.65%32,00519.30%12,96627.21%18,2781.36%9160.31%2100.96%64867,165
Oneida56.14%40,18619.17%13,71919.94%14,2741.31%9400.35%2510.93%66871,580
Onondaga50.47%74,69426.43%39,11018.56%27,4590.92%1,3660.84%1,2390.97%1,437147,986
Ontario45.38%15,48016.16%5,51233.65%11,4780.72%2470.87%2971.01%34334,111
Orange61.22%53,95020.27%17,86613.52%11,9141.42%1,2510.79%6950.81%71588,121
Orleans48.15%5,42613.92%1,56834.34%3,8690.88%990.41%460.75%8411,268
Oswego52.97%17,39320.79%6,82621.66%7,1110.86%2840.45%1470.99%32532,836
Otsego54.40%9,84622.70%4,10915.60%2,8240.97%1751.95%3531.75%31618,099
Putnam69.50%19,99814.79%4,28411.11%3,2171.24%3590.83%2401.09%31728,961
Queens43.74%155,59945.18%160,7466.06%21,5560.90%3,2190.68%2,4020.62%2,196355,756
Rensselaer48.91%27,12027.94%15,49117.87%9,9081.08%6010.92%5121.14%63155,447
Richmond (Staten Island)67.06%59,65620.50%18,2398.52%7,5830.81%7220.46%4090.66%58688,958
Rockland61.26%53,02525.48%22,0548.73%7,5570.75%6490.68%5890.87%75086,551
St. Lawrence62.64%19,36519.89%6,23411.55%3,6210.53%1660.46%1450.95%29731,348
Saratoga54.21%38,79723.59%16,88117.39%12,4480.92%6591.03%7351.13%81171,567
Schenectady46.96%24,20127.90%14,37819.63%10,1161.06%5460.80%4101.02%52751,537
Schoharie53.11%5,73121.28%2,29619.84%2,1411.12%1211.01%1091.38%14910,791
Schuyler58.93%3,53517.39%1,04316.49%9890.95%572.02%1210.95%575,999
Seneca55.65%5,96918.52%1,98621.16%2,2700.74%790.76%811.22%13110,726
Steuben62.26%17,52312.15%3,41920.33%5,7211.03%2900.82%2320.81%22928,147
Suffolk57.79%209,36122.85%82,77614.16%51,2881.54%5,5890.55%1,9780.89%3,216362,280
Sullivan54.89%11,27924.09%4,94915.25%3,1331.10%2260.83%1701.17%24020,548
Tioga59.54%9,56114.92%2,39621.54%3,4590.82%1311.07%1720.78%12516,059
Tompkins39.00%10,99538.62%10,88711.84%3,3380.53%1505.03%1,4182.13%60128,192
Ulster50.88%29,80126.58%15,56715.72%9,2050.87%5112.25%1,3181.79%1,04658,572
Warren56.75%11,96422.91%4,83115.09%3,1820.89%1880.68%1431.08%22721,083
Washington55.23%9,49121.92%3,76717.53%3,0120.93%1600.88%1521.26%21717,183
Wayne45.00%12,55314.95%4,17136.45%10,1690.89%2480.54%1520.87%24227,898
Westchester54.37%140,32931.81%82,0998.95%23,1130.85%2,2000.77%1,9821.05%2,715258,104
Wyoming53.57%6,93115.72%2,03425.50%3,2991.84%2380.32%410.87%11212,938
Yates52.26%3,78118.23%1,31924.44%1,7681.04%751.06%771.16%847,235
Totals49.40%2,262,25533.50%1,534,06414.28%654,0160.97%44,1950.91%41,7970.93%42,7514,579,078

Counties that flipped from Republican to Independence

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. http://www.elections.ny.gov/NYSBOE/elections/2002/primary/2002primarycanvass.pdf www.elections.state.ny.us 2002 Primary Canvas
  2. Web site: Governor Updated October 31, 2002 The Cook Political Report. https://web.archive.org/web/20021208065752/http://www.cookpolitical.com/display.cfm?section=political&edit_id=225. December 8, 2002. The Cook Political Report. en. October 31, 2002. September 18, 2018. dead. mdy-all.
  3. Web site: Governors Races. https://web.archive.org/web/20021212142349/http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/governor_all.htm. December 12, 2002. www.centerforpolitics.org. en-US. November 4, 2002. September 18, 2018. dead. mdy-all.