David Shor Explained

David Shor

use both this parameter and |birth_date to display the person's date of birth, date of death, and age at death) -->| death_place = | nationality = American| alma_mater = Florida International University| occupation = | years_active = | employer = | party = Democratic Party| spouse = | partner = | signature = | signature_alt = }}David Shor (born 1991)[1] is an American data scientist and political consultant known for analyzing political polls.[2] He serves as head of data science with Blue Rose Research in New York City,[3] and is a senior fellow with the Center for American Progress Action Fund.[4] Shor describes himself as a socialist and advised a number of liberal political action committees during the 2020 United States elections.[5]

Early life

Shor grew up in Miami, Florida, in a Sephardic Jewish family.[6] He holds a mathematics degree from Florida International University.[7] Shor was a precocious child and gifted in mathematics, starting his undergraduate degree at the age of 13 and finishing at the age of 17.[8] Shor was awarded the Math in Moscow scholarship in fall 2009.[9]

Career

Shor joined the Barack Obama 2012 presidential campaign at the age of 20,[10] working on the Chicago-based team that tracked internal and external polls and developed forecasts.[11] The team Shor worked with developed a polling forecasting model, known as "The Golden Report",[12] that projected Obama's vote share within one percentage point in eight of the nine battleground states.[13] New York Magazine described Shor as the "in-house Nate Silver" of the Obama campaign.[14] [15]

Shor then worked as a senior data scientist with Civis Analytics in Chicago for seven years,[16] where he operated the company's web-based survey.[17] On May 28, 2020, Shor tweeted a summary of an academic study by Omar Wasow, a black political scientist at Princeton University, that argued riots following Martin Luther King Jr.'s assassination likely tipped the 1968 presidential election in Richard Nixon's favor.[18] Some critics argued that Shor's tweet, which was posted during the height of the George Floyd protests, could be interpreted as criticism of the Black Lives Matter movement.[19] Jonathan Chait wrote in New York Magazine that "At least some employees and clients on Civis Analytics complained that Shor's tweet threatened their safety."[20] Shor apologized for the tweet on May 29, and he was fired from Civis Analytics a few days later.

Shor's firing has been cited as an example of "the excesses of so-called cancel culture."[21] [22] Political scientist and journalist Yascha Mounk wrote that Shor had been "punished for doing something that most wouldn't even consider objectionable."[23] Vox editor and columnist Matthew Yglesias condemned the idea "that it's categorically wrong for a personor at least a white personto criticize on tactical or other grounds anything being done in the name of racial justice," which he claimed was common among Shor's progressive critics.[24]

Since 2020, his work at Blue Rose Research aims to develop a data-based model to predict the outcome of future elections on the basis of simulations, designed in particular to advise the Democratic Party in campaign strategies. Shor is an advocate for what he terms "popularism", the idea that Democrats should campaign on a strategy of focusing on issues that enjoy electoral popularity, such as focusing on economic issues over polarizing social and cultural issues.[25] Some political analysts, including Michael Podhorzer, have criticized his work for a lack of transparency regarding his methods and data sources.[26]

Further reading

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: David Shor . Twitter . October 12, 2021.
  2. Web site: Levitz. Eric. 2021-03-03. David Shor on Why Trump Was Good for the GOP – and How Dems Can Win in 2022. 2021-03-04. Intelligencer. en-us.
  3. Web site: David Shor's Postmortem of the 2020 Election. 2021-03-04. www.msn.com.
  4. Web site: David Shor. 2021-03-03. Center for American Progress Action. en-US.
  5. News: Garrison . Joey . Morin . Rebecca . November 24, 2020 . 'Almost Impossible': As Education Divide Deepens, Democrats Fear a Demographic Problem for Future Power . USA Today . 2021-03-04.
  6. Shor . David . davidshor . March 7, 2016 . My sephardic Morrocan relatives don't believe me when tell them that American Jews have historically been left-wing . 706708886825394177 . August 13, 2021.
  7. Web site: See why @davidshor of @CivisAnalytics is one of @crainschicago #Crain20s. 2021-03-03. Crain's Chicago Business. en.
  8. Graff. Garrett M.. Garrett Graff. June 6, 2016. The Polls Are All Wrong. A Startup Called Civis Is Our Best Hope to Fix Them. Wired. 2021-03-04. 1059-1028.
  9. Web site: Our Alumni List – Math in Moscow. 2021-03-04. mathinmoscow.org.
  10. Web site: 2021-01-06. One Needle to Predict Them All. 2021-03-04. Slate Magazine. en.
  11. Web site: See why @davidshor of @CivisAnalytics is one of @crainschicago #Crain20s. 2021-03-03. Crain's Chicago Business. en.
  12. Web site: Newton . Ben . 2018-10-27 . An Interview with David Shor – A Master of Political Data . 2021-03-04 . Medium . en.
  13. Web site: Data Science Seminar Series (DS3). 2021-03-03. pages.stat.wisc.edu.
  14. Web site: Levitz . Eric . 2020-07-17 . David Shor's Unified Theory of American Politics . 2022-03-13 . Intelligencer . en-us.
  15. News: Lourie Cohen . Hillel . 2022-11-02 . Why U.S. Jewish Voters Are Bucking the Worldwide Trend and Still Voting Democrat . en . Haaretz . 2022-03-13.
  16. Web site: MIDAS & Dept. Political Science Co-Present: David Shor – Democratic Political Data Scientist. 2021-03-04. MIDAS. en-US.
  17. Web site: Matthews. Dylan. 2020-11-10. One Pollster's Explanation for Why the Polls Got It Wrong. 2021-03-04. Vox.
  18. Web site: Mounk . Yascha . 2020-06-27 . Stop Firing the Innocent . 2022-03-14 . The Atlantic . en.
  19. Web site: Yglesias . Matthew . The real stakes in the David Shor saga . Vox . July 29, 2020 . November 8, 2021.
  20. Web site: Chait . Jonathan . 2020-06-11 . The Still-Vital Case for Liberalism in a Radical Age . 2022-03-13 . Intelligencer . en-us.
  21. News: Levitz . Eric . David Shor's Unified Theory of American Politics . https://web.archive.org/web/20231212013540/https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/07/david-shor-cancel-culture-2020-election-theory-polls.html . 2023-12-12 . 2023-12-12 . . 2020-07-17.
  22. News: Robertson . Derek . How Everything Became ‘Cancel Culture' . https://web.archive.org/web/20221209104548/https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2021/06/05/cancel-culture-politics-analysis-491928 . 2022-12-09 . 2023-12-12 . . 2021-06-05.
  23. News: Mounk . Yascha . Stop Firing the Innocent . https://web.archive.org/web/20231208011954/https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/06/stop-firing-innocent/613615/ . 2023-12-08 . 2023-12-12 . . 2020-06-27.
  24. News: Yglesias . Matthew . The real stakes in the David Shor saga . https://web.archive.org/web/20231029170747/https://www.vox.com/2020/7/29/21340308/david-shor-omar-wasow-speech . 2023-10-29 . 2023-12-12 . . 2020-07-29.
  25. Web site: Brownstein. Ronald. 2021-12-09. Democrats Are Losing the Culture Wars. 2021-12-10. The Atlantic. en.
  26. News: Klein . Ezra . David Shor Is Telling Democrats What They Don't Want to Hear . . October 8, 2021 . October 12, 2021.

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