Cyclone Donna Explained

Severe Tropical Cyclone Donna
Formed:1 May 2017
Extratropical:10 May
Dissipated:16 May 2017
Winds:110
Pressure:935
Winds:125
Pressure:929
Year:2017
Fatalities:2 total
Damage:10000000
Areas:Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, New Caledonia, New Zealand
Season:2016–17 South Pacific cyclone season

Severe Tropical Cyclone Donna was the strongest off-season tropical cyclone in the Southern Hemisphere at the time, since surpassed by Cyclone Lola in 2023. The twenty-first tropical disturbance, third named storm, and second severe tropical cyclone of the annual cyclone season, Donna formed from an area of disturbed weather that was first monitored west-northwest of Fiji on 1 May 2017. The disturbance drifted eastward amid an increasingly favourable environment, and it was designated Tropical Depression 21F late on 2 May. Twelve hours later, it intensified into a Category 1 on the Australian tropical cyclone scale and was designated Tropical Cyclone Donna as the storm's motion shifted west and then south. After reaching its initial peak as a Category 4 cyclone early on 6 May, the effects of wind shear and upwelling caused the storm to weaken. However, it reintensified into a Category 5 cyclone on 8 May. Soon after, Donna entered a region of strong westerly flow and began to rapidly weaken. Continuing to accelerate in a southerly direction, Donna eventually weakened into a tropical low on 10 May. By 16 May, Donna's remnants had fully dissipated.

Buffeting the island chain of Vanuatu, Donna has resulted in severe damage throughout the northern provinces, though the exact extent is unknown in the absence of good communication.

Meteorological history

On 1 May, the day after the official end of the South Pacific cyclone season, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) began monitoring an area of disturbed weather about 1,455 km (905 mi) west-northwest of Nadi. Though it possessed an oblong area of low pressure partially exposed to the northeast of deep shower and thunderstorm activity, the system was embedded within an environment of moderate wind shear, good upper-level outflow, and warm ocean temperatures.[1] The official warning agency for the South Pacific, the Fiji Meteorological Service (FMS), began monitoring the disturbance a short while later.[2] As fragmented spiral bands began wrapping into the centre of circulation, the JTWC assessed that the potential for tropical cyclone formation was high, issuing a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert accordingly at 21:00 UTC on 1 May.[3] The storm tracked slowly eastward through the northern islands of Vanuatu but consolidated rapidly as upper-level winds became light, prompting the FMS to upgrade the disturbance to Tropical Depression 21F at 18:00 UTC on 2 May.[4] This was followed by the JTWC's classification of Tropical Cyclone 18P three hours later.[5]

Following formation, the depression turned west in response to a developing subtropical ridge to its south.[6] A continued favourable environment allowed it to intensify into a Category 1 on the Australian tropical cyclone scale by 06:00 UTC on 3 May, at which point it was named "Donna" by the FMS,[7] and further to Category 2 intensity by 18:00 UTC.[8] The JTWC, meanwhile, upped the cyclone to the equivalent of a Category 1 hurricane on the Saffir–Simpson scale, citing consolidation of deep convection near the centre and satellite intensity estimates around 120 km/h (75 mph).[9] Despite some evidence of wind shear along the northern fringes of the storm, it began to clear an eye late on 4 May, prompting the JTWC to classify Donna as a Category 2 equivalent,[10] and the FMS to upgrade to Category 3 strength.[11] At 00:00 UTC on 6 May, after re-tracking through Vanuatu and beginning a southward track, Donna attained its initial peak as a Category 4 cyclone.[12] [13]

Shortly thereafter, the effects of increased northeasterly upper-level flow became more prevalent as the storm's cloud pattern changed to a central cold cover and then devolved into patchy areas of moderate convection.[14] Around 09:00 UTC on 6 May, the JTWC reduced the storm back to a Category 1 equivalent,[15] and by 18:00 UTC, the FMS indicated Donna had weakened to a Category 3 cyclone on the Australian scale.[16]

Drifting south-southwest and then south, Donna continued to struggle under the combined effects of upper-level winds and ocean upwelling.[17] By early on 7 May, however, convection within the eyewall began to increase in intensity,[18] and the FMS upgraded Donna to a Category 4 cyclone for a second time accordingly.[19] Three hours later, the JTWC estimated that it had intensified to a Category 4 equivalent, completely skipping Category 3 status.[20] With a solid ring of deep convection surrounding a well-defined 55 km (35 mi) eye,[21] the FMS upgraded Donna to a Category 5 cyclone at 00:00 UTC on 8 May, estimating that the storm possessed 10-minute sustained winds of 205 km/h (125 mph).[22] As a result, Donna became the strongest off-season tropical cyclone on record during the month of May in the South Pacific basin.[23] Weakening began shortly following peak intensity as Donna's eye became partially obscured and the eastern eyewall was eroded;[24] the storm weakened back to Category 4 intensity by 18:00 UTC on 8 May,[25] Category 1 intensity by 21:00 UTC on 9 May,[26] and ultimately degenerated into a tropical low by 06:00 UTC on 10 May as it dodged New Caledonia.[27]

Preparations and impact

According to Aon Benfield Inc. in January 2018, Donna was responsible for two deaths and a total of US$10 million in damage.[28]

Vanuatu

As Donna buffeted Vanuatu, entire villages across the Torres Islands of Torba Province were forced to seek refuge in caves. Throughout the province, buildings were destroyed and others had their roofs ripped off. Heavy rainfall led to flooding of low-lying areas of Efate. In Port Vila, rushing water carved out large chunks of land that resulted in structural collapse.[29] Across the entire northern half of the island chain, crops sustained significant damage and water sources were contaminated, though the full extent of the damage was unknown as a result of severed communications.[30] [31]

Solomon Islands

In the Temotu Province, Donna caused two fatalities; an adult who was struck by a fallen branch and a primary school student of Tarano School who drowned on an out-board motorboat when crossing from one-side to the other side of a lake.[32]

New Zealand

Moisture from the remnants of Donna combined with a weakening Tasman Sea low to produce heavy rains over much of the North Island and the west coast of the South Island. In expectation of more than 100mm of rain, heavy rain warnings were issued for Nelson and the Bay of Plenty regions, while severe weather warnings were issued for much of the North Island.[33] [34]

See also

Notes and References

  1. Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the western and South Pacific Oceans. https://archive.today/20240521235247/https://www.webcitation.org/6q9vRzHbV?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/ABPW10-PGTW_201705010000.htm. Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 1 May 2017. 21 May 2024. 7 May 2017. dead.
  2. Tropical Disturbance Summary. https://archive.today/20240521235207/https://www.webcitation.org/6q9vipzeN?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WWPS21-NFFN_201705010900.htm. Fiji Meteorological Service. 1 May 2017. 21 May 2024. 7 May 2017. dead.
  3. Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert. https://archive.today/20240521235128/https://www.webcitation.org/6q9vcddDn?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTPS21-PGTW_201705012100.htm. Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 1 May 2017. 21 May 2024. 7 May 2017. dead.
  4. Marine Weather Bulletin for Islands Area. https://archive.today/20240521235448/https://www.webcitation.org/6qBZ49xEF?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/FQPS01-NFFN_201705021800.htm. Fiji Meteorological Service. 2 May 2017. 21 May 2024. 7 May 2017. dead.
  5. Tropical Cyclone 18P (Eighteen) Warning NR 001. https://archive.today/20240521235327/https://www.webcitation.org/6qBYjnD2f?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTPS31-PGTW_201705022100.htm. Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 2 May 2017. 21 May 2024. 7 May 2017. dead.
  6. Tropical Cyclone 18P (Donna) Warning NR 002. https://archive.today/20240521235408/https://www.webcitation.org/6qBYjRIq4?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTPS31-PGTW_201705030900.htm. Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 3 May 2017. 21 May 2024. 7 May 2017. dead.
  7. Hurricane Warning 003 Issued from RSMC Nadi May 030716 UTC. https://archive.today/20240521235528/https://www.webcitation.org/6qBZE8S6A?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WHPS01-NFFN_201705030600.htm. Fiji Meteorological Service. 3 May 2017. 21 May 2024. 7 May 2017. dead.
  8. Hurricane Warning 005 Issued from RSMC Nadi May 031913 UTC. https://archive.today/20240521235651/https://www.webcitation.org/6qEbVPHB5?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WHPS01-NFFN_201705031800.htm. Fiji Meteorological Service. 3 May 2017. 21 May 2024. 7 May 2017. dead.
  9. Tropical Cyclone 18P (Donna) Warning NR 003. https://archive.today/20240521235810/https://www.webcitation.org/6qEeL0CI3?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTPS31-PGTW_201705032100.htm. Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 3 May 2017. 21 May 2024. 7 May 2017. dead.
  10. Tropical Cyclone 18P (Donna) Warning NR 005. https://archive.today/20240521235729/https://www.webcitation.org/6qEeJVL6e?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTPS31-PGTW_201705050900.htm. Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 4 May 2017. 21 May 2024. 7 May 2017. dead.
  11. Hurricane Warning 012 Issued from RSMC Nadi May 050114 UTC. https://archive.today/20240521235609/https://www.webcitation.org/6qEbTXrT2?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WHPS01-NFFN_201705050000.htm. Fiji Meteorological Service. 5 May 2017. 21 May 2024. 7 May 2017. dead.
  12. Hurricane Warning 020 Issued from RSMC Nadi May 060115 UTC. https://archive.today/20240521235849/https://www.webcitation.org/6qG3w5ZH4?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WHPS01-NFFN_201705060000.htm. Fiji Meteorological Service. 6 May 2017. 21 May 2024. 7 May 2017. dead.
  13. Web site: Cyclone Donna upgraded to category four storm . Stuff (Fairfax Media) . 6 May 2017.
  14. Tropical Cyclone 18P (Donna) Warning NR 010. https://archive.today/20240521235930/https://www.webcitation.org/6qG4LwlMY?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTPS31-PGTW_201705060300.htm. Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 6 May 2017. 21 May 2024. 7 May 2017. dead.
  15. Tropical Cyclone 18P (Donna) Warning NR 011. https://archive.today/20240522000011/https://www.webcitation.org/6qG4LWu8k?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTPS31-PGTW_201705060900.htm. Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 6 May 2017. 22 May 2024. 7 May 2017. dead.
  16. Hurricane Warning 026 Issued from RSMC Nadi May 061909 UTC. https://archive.today/20240522000252/https://www.webcitation.org/6qJWp2GDk?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WHPS01-NFFN_201705061800.htm. dead. 22 May 2024. Fiji Meteorological Service. 6 May 2017. 7 May 2017.
  17. Tropical Cyclone 18P (Donna) Warning NR 014. https://archive.today/20240522000613/https://www.webcitation.org/6qJXX2hBg?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTPS31-PGTW_201705070300.htm. dead. 22 May 2024. Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 6 May 2017. 7 May 2017.
  18. Tropical Cyclone 18P (Donna) Warning NR 016. https://archive.today/20240522000538/https://www.webcitation.org/6qJXWFunU?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTPS31-PGTW_201705071500.htm. dead. 22 May 2024. Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 7 May 2017. 7 May 2017.
  19. Hurricane Warning 035 Issued From RSMC Nadi May 071903 UTC. https://archive.today/20240522000214/https://www.webcitation.org/6qJWnLqzN?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WHPS01-NFFN_201705071800.htm. dead. 22 May 2024. Fiji Meteorological Service. 7 May 2017. 7 May 2017.
  20. Tropical Cyclone 18P (Donna) Warning NR 017. https://archive.today/20240522000452/https://www.webcitation.org/6qJXVuiSi?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTPS31-PGTW_201705072100.htm. dead. 22 May 2024. Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 7 May 2017. 7 May 2017.
  21. Tropical Cyclone 18P (Donna) Warning NR 018. https://archive.today/20240522000412/https://www.webcitation.org/6qJXVTjfC?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTPS31-PGTW_201705080300.htm. dead. 22 May 2024. Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 8 May 2017. 8 May 2017.
  22. Hurricane Warning 038 Issued From RSMC Nadi May 080118 UTC. https://archive.today/20240522000131/https://www.webcitation.org/6qJWmysqr?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WHPS01-NFFN_201705080000.htm. dead. 22 May 2024. Fiji Meteorological Service. 8 May 2017. 8 May 2017.
  23. News: Matt Burrows. Cyclone Donna now category 5, breaks global record. . 8 May 2017. 8 May 2017.
  24. Web site: Tropical Cyclone 18P (Donna) Warning NR 019. https://archive.today/20240522000333/https://www.webcitation.org/6qJXV88lw?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTPS31-PGTW_201705080900.htm. Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 8 May 2017. 22 May 2024. 11 May 2017. dead.
  25. Web site: Hurricane Warning 047 Issued from RSMC Nadi May 081919 UTC. https://archive.today/20240522000051/https://www.webcitation.org/6qJWlzIUK?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WHPS01-NFFN_201705081800.htm. Fiji Meteorological Service. 9 May 2017. 22 May 2024. 11 May 2017. dead.
  26. Web site: Gale Warning 063 Issued from RSMC Nadi May 092152 UTC. https://archive.today/20240522000734/https://www.webcitation.org/6qMVYpKoF?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTPS01-NFFN_201705092100.htm. Fiji Meteorological Service. 9 May 2017. 22 May 2024. 11 May 2017. dead.
  27. Web site: Gale Warning 067 Issued from RSMC Nadi May 100840 UTC. https://archive.today/20240522000653/https://www.webcitation.org/6qMVVaDl4?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WOPS01-NFFN_201705100800.htm. Fiji Meteorological Service. 10 May 2017. 22 May 2024. 11 May 2017. dead.
  28. Web site: Companion Volume to Weather, Climate & Catastrophe Insight. Aon Benfield. 24 January 2018. 30 January 2018. 2 March 2018. https://web.archive.org/web/20180302001946/http://thoughtleadership.aonbenfield.com/Documents/20180124-ab-if-annual-companion-volume.pdf. dead.
  29. Web site: Tropical Cyclone Donna becomes Category 5 storm, worst May storm on record in South Pacific. The New Zealand Herald. 8 May 2017. 8 May 2017.
  30. Web site: Still fierce, Cyclone Donna moving towards New Caledonia. Radio New Zealand. 8 May 2017. 8 May 2017.
  31. Web site: Cyclone Donna lashes Vanuatu . Stuff (Fairfax Media) . 7 May 2017.
  32. News: Damages reported in Temotu. Solomon Star. 15 May 2017. https://web.archive.org/web/20170521093921/http://www.solomonstarnews.com/news/national/12838-damages-reported-in-temotu. 21 May 2017. dead.
  33. News: Heavy rain forecast for Thursday and Friday as Donna combines with Tasman low. 11 May 2017. The New Zealand Herald. 10 May 2017.
  34. News: Newshub staff. Weather: Cyclone Donna leftovers bring heavy rain to New Zealand. 11 May 2017. . 11 May 2017.

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